Monthly SPAD/TPWS Update September 2014 Issued by Theresa Liu, Safety Intelligence Analyst, RSSB Key statistics All SPADs annual moving total (AMT) 304 ↑ Last month: 301 Last year: 274 20+ SPADs annual moving total 84 17 ↓ Last month: 85 Last year: 84 Multi-SPAD signals (two or more SPADs in five years) 129 16+ SPADs annual moving total ↑ Last month: 126 Last year: 125 ↓ Last month: 19 Last year: 16 Annual moving percentage of TPWS brake demands SPAD risk relative to September 2006 55% ↓ 76% ↓ Last month: 56% Last year: 62% Last month: 78% Last year: 63% There were 25 SPADs during September. This is 3 greater than in September 2013. The three-year average for the previous three September's is 22.3. The annual moving total, which was 274 a year ago, is now 304; 3 greater than last month. An increase of 30 since last year. Of the 25 SPADs during September: 16 involved TPWS brake demands; 10 were interventions and 6 were activations. Monthly performance SPAD Numbers 33 32 26 31 29 28 22 17 19 SPAD Risk 25 23 19 400 140% 350 120% 300 100% 250 150 O N D J F M A M J J A S 76% 200 80% 60% 100% 100 40% 50 20% 0 Sep-06 0% Sep-08 Sep-10 Sep-12 5 of September’s SPADs were risk ranked 16+; of which none were risk ranked 20+. There are currently 3 SPAD Risk Rankings outstanding for September. The blue line in the chart above right shows the trend in underlying SPAD risk since the Sept 2006 benchmark date. At the end of September, the underlying level of SPAD risk was estimated to be 76% of the Sept 2006 baseline. This update regarding SPAD and TPWS performance for September 2014 is based on data available as at the date of issue and is subject to change as further information becomes known. The AMT refers to SPADs which have occurred in the last 12 months of the relevant period. Last month and last year are what the respective measure was at those points. A TPWS intervention occurs when TPWS applies the brakes before, or in the absence of, the driver doing so. A TPWS activation occurs when a driver has already applied the brakes before the TPWS operates.