Int Journ Earth Sciences (1999) 88 : 190–200 Q Springer-Verlag 1999 ORIGINAL PAPER J.-P. Burg 7 Yu. Podladchikov Lithospheric scale folding: numerical modelling and application to the Himalayan syntaxes Received: 26 November 1998 / Accepted: 27 November 1998 Abstract We describe the eastern and western Himalayan syntaxes, which are large-scale antiforms situated at geodynamically similar locations and the metamorphic evolution of which is coeval in the India–Asia collisional history. To understand the mechanical plausibility of the structural interpretation, we present twodimensional finite-element modelling of lithospheric folding. The models reveal the coeval development of adjacent synformal basins, analogous to the Peshawar and Kashmir basins on both sides of the western syntaxis. Similarities between geological data and calculated models indicate that lithospheric buckling is a basic response to large-scale continental shortening and an efficient mountain building process. Key words Himalaya 7 Syntaxes 7 Folding 7 Modelling 7 Intermontane basins 7 Pakistan Introduction The purpose of this study was to advocate crustal and lithospheric scale folding as a plausible (and perhaps the dominant) mechanism of continental shortening, and to examine the first-order consequences of this process in terms of P–T–t and structural history. Folding and buckling instabilities are responses to layer parallel shortening that have been thoroughly investigated (Turcotte and Schubert 1982). Classical theories are restricted to initial development of the instability and to linear viscous (Ramberg 1964), elastic and viscoelastic rheologies (Biot 1961). Recent theoretical development extends to the waning stages of folding and to non-linear visco-plastic rheologies (Johnson and J.-P. Burg (Y) 7 Yu. Podladchikov Geologisches Institut, ETH-Zentrum, Sonneggstrasse 5, CH-8092 Zurich Switzerland e-mail: jpb6erdw.ethz.ch; Tel.: c41-1-6326027; Fax: c41-1-6321030 Fletcher 1994). These theories are commonly applied in structural geology to outcrop- and kilometre-scale folds, in which cases gravity can be ignored. However, gravity plays a fundamental role at a crustal and lithospheric scale, which means that new methods are needed to model folding of the oceanic (McAdoo and Sandwell 1985; Martinod and Davy 1992) and continental (Cobbold et al. 1993; Burov and Diament 1995) lithosphere. Non-linearity of lithospheric rheology has an important influence on deformational behaviour and subsequent structures (e.g. see Johnson and Fletcher 1994). Because the exact analytical treatment of non-linear rheology is complex, there have been several attempts to find a compromise between this complexity and relevance to reality. Frequently employed “thin-sheet” approximations have arisen from the search for “effective” elastic (Burov and Diament 1995) or viscous solutions (Sonder et al. 1987; Houseman and England 1993). In such approximations, the complex rheological profile of the continental lithosphere is replaced by a set of “effective” elastic or viscous layers that have an “apparent” response similar to that of the lithosphere under simple loading histories. Existing thin-sheet approximations are only applicable at early stages of folding and cannot be used to study effects such as fold locking and loss of symmetry during buckling. Simplified thin-sheet models have been employed previously particularly for the India–Asia collision belt (Vilotte and Daignières 1982; England and McKenzie 1983; England and Houseman 1986; Houseman and England 1986, 1993) assumed constant velocity profiles with depth, which kinematically excludes folding as a response to compression. Another approach is based on pre-description of mechanical motions (Henry et al. 1997). However, such kinematic models require detailed knowledge of the velocity field, which is commonly lacking for remote and poorly studied areas. Two-dimensional FEM modelling using a wide range of non-linear rheologies is conceptually simpler than modelling based on either kinematic assumptions or 191 dynamic concepts of “effective” substitutes for depthdependent rheological profiles (i.e. thin-plate models having a dynamic response similar to that of the lithosphere for certain types of loading). Although the twodimensional FEM method is technically more difficult to implement than kinematic modelling, the numerical code can be verified independently of the geological application. Thus, 2D FEM may be the most reliable tool for simulating geodynamical histories of areas on which kinematic information is lacking. This article gives a brief description of the western and eastern Himalayan syntaxes interpreted as antiformal structures. The syntaxes are thousands of kilometres apart but are situated at geodynamically similar locations and their metamorphic evolution is coeval in the India–Asia collisional history (Burg et al. 1997). We then present the main concepts of the numerical methods we use to model large-scale folding. Because of the number of parameters controlling folding style, we do not attempt a systematic study. We restrict this work to a particular example of continental shortening, i.e. the West and East Himalayan “syntaxes”. The particular model set-up chosen to simulate the Indian continental lithosphere prior to shortening is then described. Some relevant results of numerical modelling are reported. Similarities between the geology of the West and East Himalayan syntaxes and calculated models are emphasised. We conclude that lithospheric buckling is a basic and mountain-building response to shortening. Himalayan “syntaxes” The Himalaya is an active mountain belt that terminates at both ends in nearly transverse syntaxes (Wadia 1931), i.e. areas where orogenic structures turn sharply Fig. 2 Comparison of the Pressure–time evolution of basement rocks in the Pliocene–Pleistocene Himalayan syntaxes. Hatched boxes are Nanga Parbat data from Zeitler et al. (1989, 1993) and the curve through points with error bars are Namche Barwa data from Burg et al. (1997, 1998) Fig. 1 Location of the Namche Barwa (eastern) and Nanga ParbatcHazara-Kashmir (western) Himalayan syntaxes in the India–Asia collisional system about a vertical axis (Fig. 1). Both syntaxes are named after the main peaks that tower above them, the Namche Barwa (7756 m) in the core of the eastern syntaxis and the Nanga Parbat (8126 m) in the western bend of the Himalayas, in Pakistan (Wadia 1931; Gansser 1991). Both syntaxes record remarkably similar thermo-mechanical evolution of basement rocks overprinted by Himalayan metamorphism and Pliocene–Pleistocene high-grade metamorphism and anatexis (Fig. 2). The syntaxes are crustal antiforms that fold the Paleocene Tethyan suture zone around halfwindows of Indian crust (Wadia 1957; Gansser 1966; Treloar et al. 1991; Burg et al. 1997) Both syntaxes straddle the same Neogene time span and have undergone rapid denudation during fold amplifi- 192 cation (Fig. 2), which links their continuing growth to the uplift that produced Tibet in the last few million years (Molnar et al. 1993). A rise of the Moho level is recorded under the Nanga Parbat (Farah et al. 1984). No information on the depth of the Moho is available beneath the Namche Barwa. In Pakistan, the Hazara-Kashmir syntaxis is the southern continuation of the Nanga Parbat Syntaxis. In the Arunachal (eastern) Himalaya, the Siang antiform (Singh 1993) appears as the southwestern continuation of the Namche Barwa syntaxis. Geological interpretation indicates crustal-scale folding as the mechanism that produced these orogenic structures. Kinematic studies indicate that both the western and eastern antiforms result from compression nearly orthogonal to their axial trace (in the Nanga Parbat, Butler and Prior 1988; in the Namche Barwa, Burg et al. 1998; in the Hazara-Kashmir antiforms, Bossart et al. 1988). Across-syntaxis compression is also indicated by present-day focal mechanisms in Pakistan (Verma et al. 1980) and in the eastern Himalayas (Holt et al. 1991). The aim of the numerical modelling presented below was to test the plausibility of these interpretations. Table 1 Model parameters for all runs Box characteristics Length of model Depth of model (base of lithosphere) Granitic layer thickness (upper crust) Diabase layer thickness (lower crust) Olivine layer thickness (upper mantle) Convergence rate Bulk modulus Shear modulus Conductivity Specific heat 2500 km 120 km 25 km 10 km 85 km 2!10 –10 ms –1 1!10 10 Pa 1!10 10 Pa 2.6 Wm –1 7C –1 1050 m 2s –2 7C –1 Granite properties Density (Tp0 7C) Power-law exponent A coefficient Activation energy 2700 kg m –3 3.3 3.16!10 –26 Pa –n s –1 1.9!10 5 J mol –1 Diabase properties Density (Tp0 7C) Power-law exponent A coefficient Activation energy 2900 kg m –3 3 3.2!10 –20 Pa –n s –1 2.76!10 5 J mol –1 Olivine properties Density (Tp0 7C) Power-law exponent A coefficient Activation energy 3300 kg m –3 3 7.10 –14 Pa –n s –1 5.1!10 5 J mol –1 Numerical modelling Method We use a two-dimensional finite-element code that couples plane strain mechanical and thermal calculations. Finite elements are seven-node quadratic triangles (Poliakov and Podladchikov 1992; Podladchikov et al. 1993). Robustness of the model has been verified for salt diapirism (Poliakov et al. 1996). Rheology ranges from elasticity to Mohr-Coulomb plasticity (Mandl 1988) or thermally activated power-law creep (Carter and Tsenn 1987) depending on a yield-strength criterion (Poliakov et al. 1996). Effects of gravity, as well as thermal and compositional buoyancy and viscosity dependencies, are included. The resolution of finiteelement grids was 901!101. Model set-up and boundary conditions The model (Fig. 3; Table 1) is a stratified box with three compositional layers: (a) upper granitic crust (25 km); (b) lower mafic crust (10 km of diabase); and (c) sub-crustal olivine lithosphere (85–120 km). Deformation is produced by the application of lateral horizontal velocities. The mechanical boundary conditions consist of a bottom boundary, fixed in the vertical direction and free to slip in the horizontal direction; lateral boundaries converging at constant velocity and free to slip in the vertical direction; and a free-surface upper boundary. At each time step the vertical position of the entire model box is adjusted (i.e. shifted downwards by constant displacement) to keep the far-field Fig. 3 Lithosphere model used for numerical experiments surface elevation at zero level. The technique is justified because the lithosphere is not deforming at distance from the Himalayas and, therefore, does not produce any topographic elevation. Our approach allows adopting a kinematic (vertically fixed) basal boundary condition as opposed to more complex, though strictly valid, isostatic condition of vanishing 193 Table 2 Temperatures used at the base of model lithospheres Model name T1 7C T2 7C T73 7C Erosion WARM COLD HOT INTERMEDIATE WARME 1200 900 1300 1000 1200 1350 1150 1350 1150 1350 1230 930 1310 1030 1230 No No No No kp10 –7 m 2 s –1 differential stresses at some compensation level. Our experience has shown that using the isostatic lower boundary conditions requires smaller time steps but produces similar results. The starting configuration has a relaxed stress state with gravitational load and a nonlinear, steady-state temperature distribution. Thermal boundary conditions are 0 7C at the surface and fixed basal temperatures, which are: (a) T(x)pT1 beneath the left “half” of the model; (b) a thermal perturbation with a maximum temperature T2 exponentially decaying from the centre; and (c) T(x)pT3 beneath the right “half” of the model (Fig. 3; Table 2). The thermal perturbation T2 is employed to localise deformation at the centre of the model. There is no lateral heat flux through the sides. Erosion is modelled according to a linear diffusion equation (Podladchikov et al. 1993). Compared with other 2D numerical models, we do not prescribe any deformation mode (e.g. homogeneous pure shear or heterogeneous simple shear at a forcing point, etc.). For example, fault location is not pre-ordained by introducing special “slippery” nodes or employing singular points of abrupt velocity changes as boundary conditions. Instead, deformation is localised by the long wavelength variation of the basal temperature. Inherent shorter wavelength, i.e. more localised structures, develop with growing bulk strain and are controlled by the instantaneous rheological configuration of the lithosphere. Boundary loading is due to the constant-velocity convergence of lateral sides, i.e. the external (far field) deformation mode is restricted to rigid plate motions. The development of an asymmetry in the model reflects an inherent physical process triggered by small differences in basal temperature of the shortened lithospheric plate. Compared with analogue modelling, the position of the brittle–ductile transition for each compositional layer is not prescribed by the choice of different materials (Davy and Cobbold 1991; Willet et al. 1993; Beaumont et al. 1996) and may evolve through time. An internally consistent result of stress modelling is that three-layer models presented here would be equivalent to a six-layer analogue model. For proper comparison the analogue model should involve adjustment of the thicknesses of both the brittle and ductile material layers, because after each strain increment the stressstrength field must be evaluated, brittle material beyond its yield condition replaced by ductile material, and vice versa. This is an incremental exercise where numerical modelling reveals its advantages. The geometrical parameters and physical constants we have adopted are based on geophysical information available for the structure and properties of the Indian plate (Henry et al. 1997). Rheological laws for dry granite, diabase and olivine result from laboratory measurements extrapolated to tectonic time scales, as assumed in standard modelling studies (e.g. Carter and Tsenn 1987; Ranalli 1995). Our parameter values (Table 1) are typical of those adopted for lithospheric scale modelling. A critical uncertainty is the Indian geotherm, which was therefore systematically varied in our experiments. Numerical runs with different upper crustal thicknesses are not presented here because, in the context of our modelling, it is an “effective” parameter quantifying complicated rheologies of the heterogeneous crust; however, this parameter is crudely constrained geophysically and has a relatively minor influence on results presented herein. Results Because of the number of parameters controlling deformation styles, we do not attempt any systematic study. We restrict ourselves to a particular example of continental shortening such as inferred in the West and East Himalayan “syntaxes”. For all runs T2 1 T3 1 T1, i.e. the model left part represents the cold portion of the “Indian Plate” newly involved into collision and the right part represents the portion of the plate heated by Fig. 4 Central part of model WARM lithosphere. Note that buckling is noticeable only after 295 km ( 1 10%) of homogeneous shortening and quickly amplifies within the next 10–15% shortening. Asymmetry at 411 km shortening faces towards the hot (i.e. orogenically affected) side of the lithosphere (back-thrusting effect) 194 its previous orogenic history. Respective values of T1, T2 and T3 designate the five numerical models presented herein (Table 2). A warm lithosphere (WARM; Table 1) is our preferred model in terms of comparability with amplitude and wavelength of both Himalayan syntaxes. Figure 4 focuses on deformation of its central part to emphasise the following points: 1. Buckling is observable only after significant (here 295 km, 1 10%) homogeneous, distributed shortening of the lithospheric plate. 2. The decay in the amplitude of the main hinge, which began at slightly more than 400 km (ca. 25%) shortening (Fig. 5; WARM), indicates that the main fold has become locked (does not amplify anymore) and deformation is being transferred to adjacent hinges; therefore, the amplitude of the buckle fold pattern is achieved in the bulk strain range of 10–25%. 3. Crustal and sub-crustal levels are coupled during symmetrical lithospheric buckling until loss of symmetry at the locking stage (i.e. 411 km shortening; Fig. 4). At this point decoupling of the gran- itic and diabase layers is expressed by marked shearing along their boundary. 4. Asymmetrical folding is facing towards the hot (i.e. orogenically affected) parts of the lithosphere. 5. The topographic evolution shows the coeval subsidence of small amplitude synforms on both sides of the growing antiforms (Figs. 5, 6). The COLD (Fig. 7) and HOT (Fig. 8) models represent two experimental end members (coldest and hottest lithospheres, respectively). They show remarkable similarities in terms of deformational response to applied shortening: (a) In both cases, as for run WARM, ultimately unstable homogeneous thickening (up to 10–15%) leads to buckling; (b) Symmetrical buckling terminates at approximately 20% shortening with occurrence of crustal decoupling and subsequent asymmetry. Fig. 5 Vertical motion of antiformal hinges and the intercalated synformal basin during shortening of models WARM (Fig. 4), COLD (Fig. 7), HOT (Fig. 8) and INTERMEDIATE. No erosion is admitted. Boundary conditions are given in Table 1 195 Comparison of end-member experiments emphasises three differences: 1. Buckle wavelength (200 km in Fig. 7 vs ca.100 km in Fig. 8) and amplitude (ca. 25 vs ca. 5 km; Fig. 5) are larger on the cold lithosphere. 2. Lateral propagation of buckling is more strongly manifest in cold than in hot lithosphere (compare Figs. 7 and 8). 3. Intercalated basins on cold lithospheres subside less than on hot lithospheres (Fig. 5). In particular, subsidence is short lived, and starts to reverse, on the cold lithosphere (Fig. 5; COLD). The subsidence accelerates with time for a hot lithosphere, for the duration of these experiments. The INTERMEDIATE model illustrates the situation between cold and hot models (Figs. 5, 6). These four models, all with no erosion, reproduce the fast and exponentially growing differential topography suggested from the geological record in both Himalayan syntaxes (see above); however, the final topography of the cold-type models is clearly too high. We attribute this shortcoming to unrealistic “no-erosion” simplification of the models. Indeed, variations of the effectively unconstrained coefficient of erosion have the obvious effect of reducing topographic elevation. To enlarge upon our comparison between models and geological information we have solved the “too high topography problem” by setting a geologically reasonable erosion coefficient. Figure 9 displays the topography and exhumation histories of the main hinge zone or our preferred model WARM with erosion (WARME; Table 1). Topography due to buckling is 5–10 km. The amount of exhumation is limited by fold locking and is typically ca. 20 km. At the fold-locking stage (ca. ~400 km shortening) both uplift and denudation rates start to decrease. Subsidence in the basins adjacent to the main hinge zone is under-compensated because the sedimentation rate (ca. 5 mm/year) is slower than basement subsidence (Fig. 10). At the foldlocking stage the sedimentation rate keeps accelerating, whereas the subsidence rate slows down. Relevance of modelling results to the Himalayan syntaxes: associated synformal basins The simultaneous subsidence of synformal basins on either side of a lithospheric antiform in the numeric models is an important result. We argue that this pattern is documented in Pakistan where the HazaraKashmir syntaxis is the southern continuation of the Nanga Parbat syntaxis. The synclinal Peshawar Basin to the west is readily recognisable on geological maps as the structural analogue to the synclinal Kashmir Basin to the east of the Hazara-Kashmir syntaxis (Fig. 11). The lithological and stratigraphical correlation between these two synformal depressions were noted by Yeats and Lawrence (1984). The Kashmir Basin includes Paleozoic and Mesozoic sequence overlying a metamorphosed sequence (Wadia 1931). The Paleozoic includes the Permo-Carboniferous sequence of Panjal volcanic and volcanoclastic rocks and is overlain by a Lower Mesozoic sedimentary sequence. The Mesozoic is, in turn, overlain by a 1 1300 m thick cover from late Cenozoic and Quaternary fluvio-lacustrine sedimentation that continues in a few lakes presently (Burbank and Johnson 1982). Volcanic ashes in the lower levels of the late Cenozoic cover show that sedimentation began approximately 4 m.y. ago. A deeply weathered palaeosol below the late Cenozoic unconformity attests to a long period of surface exposure during which the shallow marine Eocene limestones, known elsewhere in the Himalayan realm, were eroded (Burbank et al. 1986). Centripetal drainage dominated the period 1.7–0.4 Ma, whereas sediment accumulation rates from 32 to 16 cm kyr –1 were maintained (Burbank and Johnson 1982; Burbank et al. 1986). The Peshawar Basin comprises a sequence of Cambrian to Jurassic rocks resting on a Precambrian basement (Pogue et al. 1992). Like the Karewas of Kashmir, the Peshawar Basin has a thick Plio-Pleistocene to Holocene fill of alluvial sediments that began accumulating at least 2.8 m.y. ago (Burbank 1983; Burbank and Khan Tahirkheli 1985). Sediments accumulated at an average rate of 15 cm kyr –1 (Burbank and Khan Tahirkheli 1985). The acceleration and deceleration of sedimentation rates are reproduced by our model calculation (Fig. 10). In light of our models, we propose that the symmetrically oriented Peshawar and Kashmir basins are synformal depressions on both sides of, and directly related to, the Nanga Parbat–Hazara-Kashmir syntaxis. Our interpretation explains a first-order feature, namely their location. The syntaxes are traditionally interpreted as the surface expression of low-angle detachment faults that ramp upward farther south (Burbank and Johnson 1982); however, both basins began receiving sediments in Pliocene time. Both basins are coeval with the syntaxis and lacustrine sedimentation, although their overall history is that of surface uplift (Burbank and Johnson 1982). Burbank and Khan Tahirkheli (1985) emphasise that this lacustrine sedimentation contrasts with the fluvial sedimentation that is predominant in adjacent areas. Differences in basin history recognised by the latter authors might be explained by the development of the westward verging syntaxis, a geometrical character that we have not yet modelled. This geometrical asymmetry would account for a 1-m.y. younger onset of sedimentation in the Peshawar Basin where accumulation of PlioPleistocene sediments is not as thick as in the Kashmir Basin. An interesting model feature is the spontaneous large-scale asymmetry developing in the course of shortening once initially symmetrical buckling is suddenly replaced by a “thrusting” mode. The dip 196 Fig. 6 Perspective view of the evolution of the topography profiles during shortening in the absence of erosion direction is controlled by the small difference in bottom temperatures of the colliding plates. Future investigation will show if this asymmetry is relevant to the vergence of the natural syntaxes. Discussion Modelling of the India–Asia collision belt has been based on thin-sheet approximations (Vilotte and Daignières 1982; England and McKenzie 1983; England and Houseman 1986; Houseman and England 1986, 1993) that allow consideration of the 3D geometry of convergent zones and treat first-order questions such as the relative amounts of lateral extrusion vs homogeneous thickening. However, thin-sheet models kinematically exclude folding as a response to compression. Exclusion of folding mechanisms is unfortunate because the stresses necessary to engender folding are less than those for homogeneous thickening. This implies that homogeneous thickening is dynamically unstable. Therefore, the amount of intraplate shortening vs other modes of localised deformations (strike slip, thrusting) is intrinsically underestimated by “dynamic” thin-sheet modelling. Our FEM numerical modelling yields exhumation rates similar to those recognised in the eastern and western Himalayan syntaxes, without prescription of the vertical velocity field. In the model we prescribe only the bulk shortening, whereas the exhumation and the anticline formation are dynamic responses to the shortening. The present thermo-mechanical modelling ensures force balance in addition to the heat and mass balance, which are satisfied in thermo-kinematic models; therefore, our results support the plausibility of crustal folding as envisioned by the kinematic model of Burg et al. (1997). In addition, the model simultaneously covers the formation of the adjacent basins, well developed next to the West Himalayan syntaxis. Tuning of the coefficient of erosion and selecting a “preferred” thermal model successfully and simultaneously reproduced the sedimentation rate, the exhu- 197 Fig. 7 Shortening experiment of the COLD lithosphere Fig. 8 Shortening experiment of the HOT lithosphere 198 Fig. 9 Topography and exhumation histories of the main hinge zone of our preferred model WARME. Topography due to buckling is up to 5–10 km. Exhumation is limited by fold locking and the typical amount is ca. 20 km Fig. 11 Tectonic sketch map and simplified cross section of the Nanga Parbat–Hazara-Kashmir syntaxes showing the synclinal Peshawar Basin to the west as a structural analogue of the synclinal Kashmir basin to the east. Location in the Himalaya System in inset. Facing black arrows are compression directions from focal mechanism solutions. Moho projected from Ni et al. (1991) Fig. 10 Topography and basement subsidence of basins next to the main antiformal hinge (as in Fig. 4) in the erosional model WARME mation rate and the magnitude of the differential relief. Examination of the Himalayan syntaxes supports the concept of lithospheric buckling as a basic response to shortening, a complementing mechanism to the conventionally accepted subduction/accretion mechanisms. Lithospheric buckling may produce elevated regions with associated synformal basins. We emphasise that dominant geological and physiographical features of northern Pakistan formed during the past 4 Ma have been controlled by the growth of the Nanga Parbat syntaxis. This is true also for the less well-known eastern Himalayan syntaxis. The next question to address is whether there is a link between the tectonic location of syntaxis areas and the dominance of lithosphere-scale folding as a shortening mechanism. The Himalayan syntaxes are areas of “laterally constrained shortening” between major faults that prevent widening of the deformation area. We suspect that lateral constraints are of consequence because the out-of-plane (lateral) extensional strain rate strongly decreases the development rate of the folding instability, which minimises the magnitude of fold hinge magnification achieved at given amounts of shortening; therefore, constrained areas are expected to be preferential for large-scale buckling instead of vertical thickening as shortening mechanism. Late convergence stages would favour the buckling mode because it needs some strain to develop and the presence of topographical loads along with the lack of accommodation space prohibit lateral escape in deforming areas. Conclusion Our 2D finite element numerical experiments systematically reproduce deformation features independently 199 recognised by analogue modelling (Burg et al. 1994; Martinod and Davy 1994). This result suggests that certain behaviours are characteristic: 1. Numerical and analogue models initially undergo homogeneous shortening and coeval thickening before they become unstable and buckle. Hot lithospheres undergo more distributed shortening than cold ones. Regardless of thermal regime, buckling is a basic response of stratified lithospheres to applied, far-field compression. 2. Lithospheric folding is mechanically preferable to homogeneous thickening and can cause/drive mountain building and exhumation of deep-seated rocks. The coefficient of erosion, the parameter controlling the erosion rate, has major importance for (a) the amount of exhumation possible in the core of crustal antiforms, and (b) the maximum topography achieved during shortening. 3. Buckle amplification is limited by fold locking-up. A cold (strong) lithosphere tends to exhibit higheramplitude folding with a longer wavelength of ca. 200 km than a hot lithosphere. Kilometre-scale amplification is achieved in the strain range of 10–25%. 4. With shortening beyond the locking condition, buckling propagates laterally and adjacent crustal folds develop. Propagation is less pronounced in hot than in cold lithospheres. 5. Folding of both crustal and sub-crustal levels indicates coupling of all lithospheric layers during this deformation mode. 6. In all cases asymmetry grows gradually and becomes dominant after approximately 25% shortening. 7. Synformal, small-amplitude basins develop on both sides of the growing anticlines. The Himalayan syntaxes are preferential sites of large-scale folding. This deformation has been quantified by 2D FEM modelling that couples plane strain mechanical and thermal calculations with non-linear lithospheric rheologies. Both syntaxes have grown within the past 4 m.y. and were accompanied by the formation of quickly subsiding synformal basins. 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