Forested Wetlands Team Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry Hilo, HI Impacts of Climate Change on the Ecosystem Services of Micronesian Mangrove Forests Japan Hawaii CNMI Philippines Guam Yap Palau Chuuk Pohnpei Marshall Islands Kosrae Fiji New Caledonia American Samoa Tahiti Kosrae 1 km Annual Net Primary Production Forest Type NPP (t C ha-1 yr-1) Temperate Forests1 4.3 – 20.6 Tropical Rain Forests2 6.5 – 16.0 Tropical Savannas and Grasslands3 Mangrove Forests4 4.1 – 17.9 5.7 – 24.4 1 Grace et al. 2001 Reich and Bolstad 2001 3 House and Hall 2001 4 Mitsch and Gosselink 1993 2 Economic Value of mangrove forests in Kosrae FSM: $1,000,000/yr (Naylor and Drew 1998) Firewood $270K Mangrove Crab $550K Fish $170K Many fish species swim ofinto fishmangrove migrate into forests mangrove from adjacent forests from coral reefs adjacent coral andreefs seagrass and seagrass beds beds • Dense mangrove roots protect small, young fish from being eaten by larger fish Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority (1996) Center for Coastal Fisheries and Habitat Research (2005) Mangrove forests in Micronesia also provide habitat for unique assemblages of terrestrial fauna www.softbills.com Photo: P. Colin Riverine mangrove forests can protect coral reef ecosystems by significantly reducing the amount of sediment load entering the system. “…ecological systems of small islands and the functions that they perform, will be sensitive to the rate and magnitude of climate change and sea level raise, especially where exacerbated by human activities.” (IPCC, 2007) How will sea level raise impact organic matter dynamics in mangrove ecosystems? Low Zone Intermediate Zone High Zone High Zone Intermediate Zone Low Zone IMPACTS OF INCREASED FLOODING ON LEAF RESIDENCE TIME IMPACTS OF INCREASED FLOODING IN LEAF RESIDENCE TIME 120 Low Zone Intermediate Zone High Zone Percent Remaining 100 80 60 40 20 0 July August 2007 Distance traveleled (cm/24 hours) 1400 Low Zone Inter. Zone High Zone 1200 1000 800 P < 0.05 600 ns 400 200 0 July August 2007 IMPACTS OF INCREASED FLOODING ON CRAB FEEDING DAY 0 DAY 2 Photographed leaves on day 0, 1, and 2. Loss rate was determined from change in surface area of leaf using ImageJ photoanalysis package. 110 Percent Remaining 100 90 80 70 60 50 High Zone Intermediate Zone Low Zone 40 30 8/13 P < 0.05 8/14 8/15 2007 8/16 8/17 Mass loss from leaf litter bags in the mangrove Normal Highhydrology Zone 100 * * 80 Leaf mass loss (%) Flooded Low Zone 60 40 * 20 > 0 C N P NP C N P NP IMPACTS OF INCREASED NUTRIENT LOADING AND SEA LEVEL ON MICROBIAL RESPIRATION IN MANGROVE SEDIMENTS 4 x 3 factorial design: High zone (C, P, N, NP) Intermediate Zone (C, P, N, NP) Low Zone (C, P, N, NP) CO2 flux was measured from each core at the end of the 8 week experiment during slack low tide using a LICOR-6400. Soil CO2 efflux from the mangrove 2 months CO2 efflux (uMoles / m2 /s) Normal Highhydrology Zone Flooded Low Zone * 1.2 1.0 0.8 * 0.6 0.4 > 0.2 0.0 C N P NP C N P NP Conclusions 1. A 20 – 40 cm increase in sea level has the potential to significantly impact organic matter (and nutrient) cycling in mangrove forests through decreased residence time of organic matter, activity of detritivores, decomposition of leaf litter, and microbial respiration (or decreased root productivity). 2. Changes in the above process can influence important biogeochemical functions of mangrove forests (e.g., food webs, atmospheric C sinks) 3. Nutrient additions increased decomposition of leaf litter (N, NP) as well as respiration (NP) in sediments. If CO2 efflux is accurately reflecting trends in decomposition processes in sediments, mangroves forests are at risk of keeping up with sea level rise with increased nutrients. Above and Belowground Biomass Forest Type AGB (t C ha-1) BGB (t C ha-1) Tropical Rain Forests1 76 - 247 35 – 50 Tropical Grasslands and Savannas2 Mangrove Forests3 6.7 – 169.1 20 - 30 71-590 2.6 – 231.14 Micronesian mangroves 3243 2.0 – 13.44 1 Grace et al. 2001 House and Hall 2001 3 Kauffman unpub. data 4 Cormier 2003 2 Distribution of mangrove species in the Indo Pacific region Indo West Pacific (IWP) 20 5 0 30 10 20 P A C I F I C OC E A N 5 Pohnpei 30 Palau 10 Kosrae EQUATOR 10 I N D I AN O C E A N 5 40 30 20 30 20 CORAL SEA 0 10 5 Moreton World spp ~70 total, 58 IWP & 12 AEP NB: Curved lines represent species number boundaries 0 NC Duke et al. 1998 Tree species richness w/in mangrove forests in Micronesia ranges from 19-11 Rhizophora spp. Bruguiera gymnorrhiza Sonneratia alba