Climate Change Research at the Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry Boone Kauffman - Director Restoration Team Christian Giardina, Susan Cordell, Paul Scowcroft Invasive Species Team Flint Hughes and Tracy Johnson Wetlands Team Rich MacKenzie Ecosystem Management Team Karen Bennett, Katie Friday, Anne Marie LaRosa Tropical forests Cover about 10% of the earth’s land surface Provide many vital ecosystem services Harbor between > 50% of the world’s species Store about 40% of the carbon residing in terrestrial vegetation Small changes to tropical forests can cause major impacts to biodiversity and global change They are large global carbon sinks and sources – (deforestation is a source of 1-3 Pg C; forests a sink of ~ 1 Pg C; Lewis 2006) Global Change - How will it affect Tropical Pacific Islands? Increased sea level Increased severity of typhoons Increased El Nino droughts Increased temperature Decreased stream flows Increased coral bleaching Ocean acidification C. Fletcher 2007 UH Manoa C. Fletcher 2007 UH Manoa GLOBAL TRENDS: 1906-2005: 0.074oC per decade 1976-2005: 0.177oC per decade (IPCC, 2007) Giambelluca, Diaz, and Luke (In Review) IPIF is conducting research to examine the interacting feedbacks, thresholds, and non-linear responses that could drive: Change/Collapse due to droughts Change/Collapse due to fire Loss of biodiversity Dominance of Invasive species Increased impacts of disturbance Novel disturbance regimes Aboveground Net Primary Production Litterfall CO2 Total Belowground Carbon Flux Litter Layer ΔCL Mineral soil surface Roots Δ CR Soil Carbon ΔCS Rhizosphere Are soil carbon decomposition rates in forests regulated by temperature? Question 1 Soils from 26 sites (paired pine and hardwood forests on sandy textured soils; Fissore et al. 2008) from 6 bioclimatic regions were fractionated to isolate acid insoluble C (Loya et al. 2003). Active C was quantified by incubation (Fissore et al. 2008). Acid soluble C estimated by difference. Radiocarbon in bulk and acid insoluble fractions were quantified, and MRT estimated or modeled for each fraction (Torn et al. 2002). The MRT for active C showed a strong response to MAT. The MRT for slow and recalcitrant C showed much weaker responses to MAT (Q10 < 1.4). Active SOC 3.5 100 a. % of tot SOC 3.0 100 c. e. 80 80 2.5 60 60 2.0 40 40 1.5 20 20 1.0 0.5 40 12000 15 9000 10 6000 5 0 0 0 5 10 15 MAT (oC) 20 25 f. 15000 20 20 -5 d. 25 years 60 0 0 b. 80 MRT days Recalcitrant SOC Slow SOC 3000 0 -5 0 5 10 15 MAT (oC) 20 25 -5 0 5 10 15 MAT (oC) 20 25 Take home Soil carbon decomposition rates for upland forests appear less sensitive to temperature than currently predicted. Apparent temperature response of SOC decomposition rate were influenced by the supply of substrate to soil microbes. Soils with large labile C stocks (anaerobic, frozen) are highly sensitive to warming. Hawaii Permanent Plot Network (HIPPNET) Rebecca Ostertag, UH-Hilo Lawren Sack, UCLA Susan Cordell, IPIF Christian Giardina, IPIF ($500,000 in NSF EPSCoR Support to the University of Hawaii) Using remote, field and tower based approaches to: 1) Quantify responses of forest structure (composition, C storage) & function (production, resource use, recruitment) to climate change and non-native plant / animal invasion. 2) Create core infrastructure to support future research in plant community ecology, biogeochemistry, meteorology, ecophysiology, & invasive species biology. Pacific NEON Domain USFS EFR Network Sensor networks & cyberinfrastructure will be deployed in the HETF to gather data on our most compelling ecological challenges NEON infrastructure will be located along an elevation/MAT gradient where geology and vegetation are constant. Kanakaleonui Bird Corridor Stations and Plots Waipunalei Stations and plots HIPPNET Tower and Plot HETF Laupahoehoe Interactions between climate change and invasive species across landscapes of Hawaii using plot based and remotely sensed data Flint Hughes, IPIF Greg Asner, Carnegie Institution of Washington Using state-of-the-art LiDAR and Hyperspectral imagery and field based approaches to: 1) Investigate the combined and interactive influences of invasive species and climate change on the composition, structure, and function in forests of the HETF. 2) Determine the effects of changing precipitation, temperature, and plant invasion on the composition, biomass, and productivity of HETF forests. Breaking the Grass/Fire Cycle in “Dry Forest” Landscapes in Hawaii Susan Cordell, IPIF Gregory P. Asner, Carnegie Institution of Washington Jarrod Thaxton, University of Puerto Rico ($1.6 million SDERP Grant from the US DOD to IPIF and CIW) Combines remote sensing and field based studies to: 1) Define the current condition and historical change. 2) Quantify restoration potential in face of climate change 3) Develop landscape restoration and monitoring technologies. 4) Develop effective fuel and fire risk reduction measures. Breaking the Grass/Fire Cycle in the Cetti Bay Watershed in Guam Karen Bennett, IPIF Christian Giardina, IPIF Rich MacKenzie, IPIF Boone Kauffman, IPIF ($5 million Grant from US DOD to Government of Guam and IPIF) Using a remote and field based approaches to: 1) Define historical, current & desired future conditions. 2) Develop and implement watershed scale prescriptions to eliminate fire and return native tree species cover. 3) Implement watershed scale monitoring protocols.