Return to Part C 239 Stand attributes: Stem density = 1,345 tpa, basal area = 246 ft 2 /ac, top height = 106 ft, stand density index = 559, quadratic mean diameter = 5.8 in, crown competition factor = 195, canopy cover = 60 percent. Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 Species (based on trees per acre): White fir (Abies concolor) = 99 percent, ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) = 1 percent. Site: Elevation = 4,700 ft, slope = 30 percent, aspect = 135°. Initial stand conditions A Appendix 6—Fuel Treatment Scenarios for the Pacific Northwest Region (Region 6) 240 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 B 241 remains likely for the 50-year projection. prevent active crown fire spread, but passive crown fire years, canopy bulk density decreases sufficiently to as the trees grow and the stand self-thins. Within 10 height increases and canopy bulk density decreases tons/ac respectively. With no action, canopy base fuel and duff loadings are high at 30 tons/ac and 20 100-percent basal area mortality is predicted. Woody ity are high especially for severe fire weather for which crown fire spread. Potential flame lengths and mortal- tions are conducive to passive crown fire and active density is 0.21 kg/m 3 (0.0131 lb/ft 3 ), so initial condi- overstory. Canopy base height is 4 ft, and canopy bulk primarily white fir understory with a ponderosa pine This stand has 1,345 trees per acre (tpa) composed of Initial conditions/no-action trajectory no surface fuel treatment or with pile and burn, and in 40 years for the prescribed fire treatment. At this time, a second treatment would be necessary to reduce crown fire potential. It may seem contradictory that the treatment with the greatest reduction in surface fuel loading and tree density would have the most fleeting effect on crown fire potential, but this demonstrates the important influence of regeneration on crown fire potential as predicted with FFE. For all other treatments, canopy base height and canopy bulk density increase as the trees grow and the stand self-thins. treatments effectively reduce canopy bulk density and increase canopy base height enough to reduce crown fire potential; the greater the thinning, the greater the reduction in fire hazard. Thinning without surface fuel treatments increases surface fuels; the greater the thinning, the greater are activity fuels and potential flame lengths. Pile and burn reduces woody surface fuels in all size classes, decreasing flame length and tree mortality. Prescribed fire reduces surface fuel loading even more, but reduces primarily litter, duff, and fine woody fuels. Woody fuel loading in the larger size Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 lengths are higher than in the pile and burn treatment. model 11 remains the predominant model and flame classes remains high following prescribed fire, so fuel allowing for passive crown fire again in 50 years with and basal area mortality are also reduced. All thinning ments except the 50 tpa treatment, in which greater for all combinations of thinning and surface fuel treatregeneration causes a decrease in canopy base height and decreases crown fire potential, but snag (0.0062 density doubles. Fuel loadings, potential flame lengths, lb/ft3 ), ft, reduces canopy bulk density to 0.10 Crown fire remains unlikely for the 50-year projection Prescribed fire only increases canopy base height to 16 kg/m 3 Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— long-term effects Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— immediate effects C 242 Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 6 5 7 12 2 20 4 5 0 14 Passive Active 45 100 Initial condition 4 1 3 8 1 14 3 4 41 26 Surface Surface 10 12 Prescribed fire only 9 7 7 12 3 20 4 6 61 23 Surface Surface 10 13 3 2 2 3 3 18 2 3 66 23 Surface Surface 9 10 1 3 7 12 1 4 3 4 55 26 Surface Surface 8 9 3 2 2 3 4 18 4 5 63 32 Surface Surface 5 5 1 3 7 12 1 4 3 4 92 34 Surface Surface 5 5 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 12 7 7 12 4 20 5 7 111 32 Surface Surface 5 10 Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 21a—Projected treatment effects on fuels and fire first cycle after treatments implemented Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 1 2 7 12 1 0 3 4 40 26 Surface Surface 10 11 2 2 2 3 3 18 2 3 71 18 Surface Surface 13 13 8 6 7 12 3 20 4 5 56 18 Surface Surface 14 17 Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 1 2 7 12 1 0 3 4 47 26 Surface Surface 10 11 2 2 2 3 3 18 2 3 71 15 Surface Surface 14 15 7 5 7 12 3 20 4 6 22 15 Surface Surface 18 21 Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit D 243 Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel Fuel/fire attribute treatment None Surface fuel treatment Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 6 8 15 23 3 21 6 8 0 18 Passive Passive 188 19 2 20 yrs 6 8 15 28 3 21 6 8 0 20 Passive Passive 164 13 1 30 yrs 6 8 14 29 3 21 6 8 0 21 Passive Passive 132 10 1 40 yrs 7 8 12 17 1 21 6 8 76 31 Surface Surface 101 22 2 10 yrs 4 9 14 22 1 21 6 8 76 30 Surface Surface 34 16 2 20 yrs 3 8 13 25 2 20 6 8 78 30 Surface Surface 19 10 1 30 yrs 3 7 12 25 2 20 6 7 79 29 Surface Surface 11 6 1 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 6 7 11 18 3 21 5 7 0 16 Passive Passive 277 23 2 10 yrs 3 6 10 23 2 20 5 7 0 29 Passive Passive 9 3 1 50 yrs 6 8 14 30 3 21 6 8 0 23 Passive Passive 113 8 1 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 12 7 7 12 4 20 5 7 111 32 Surface Surface 143 24 2 1 yr 6 5 7 12 2 20 4 5 0 14 Passive Active 222 25 2 1 yr No action Table 21b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection 9 7 7 12 3 20 4 6 61 23 Surface Surface 144 24 2 1 yr 4 1 3 8 1 14 3 4 41 26 Surface Surface 440 27 2 1 yr 5 5 13 21 2 14 5 7 26 24 Surface Surface 43 17 2 20 yrs 4 5 13 25 2 15 6 7 29 22 Surface Surface 23 10 1 30 yrs 4 5 12 26 2 15 5 7 37 22 Surface Surface 15 6 1 40 yrs 6 8 12 17 2 21 5 7 32 22 Surface Surface 102 21 2 10 yrs 4 9 15 22 2 21 6 8 33 21 Surface Surface 38 15 2 20 yrs 4 8 14 25 2 21 6 8 35 20 Surface Surface 24 10 1 30 yrs 4 7 12 26 2 21 6 8 39 19 Surface Surface 17 7 1 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 6 5 11 15 2 14 5 7 27 25 Surface Surface 75 23 2 10 yrs Prescribed fire only 4 7 11 25 2 21 5 7 43 19 Surface Surface 13 5 1 50 yrs 4 5 11 24 2 15 5 7 45 21 Surface Surface 12 4 1 50 yrs E 244 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 1 3 7 12 1 4 3 4 92 34 Surface Surface 103 27 2 3 2 2 3 4 18 4 5 63 32 Surface Surface 143 24 2 1 yr 3 6 13 18 1 4 5 7 79 33 Surface Surface 64 24 2 4 4 7 10 1 18 3 5 120 31 Surface Surface 101 22 2 10 yrs 3 6 15 24 1 5 6 8 76 32 Surface Surface 36 17 2 3 5 11 16 1 18 4 6 91 30 Surface Surface 35 15 2 20 yrs 2 5 13 27 1 5 6 8 78 31 Surface Surface 26 10 1 3 5 10 19 2 18 5 6 89 30 Surface Surface 20 10 1 30 yrs 3 5 12 27 2 5 5 7 0 30 Passive Passive 20 6 1 3 4 9 20 2 18 4 6 90 29 Surface Surface 11 5 1 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 21b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 3 5 11 25 2 5 5 7 0 30 Passive Passive 15 3 1 3 4 8 19 2 18 4 6 2 29 Passive Passive 10 3 1 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 1 2 7 12 3 18 3 4 55 26 Surface Surface 119 27 2 3 2 2 3 3 18 2 3 66 23 Surface Surface 144 24 2 1 yr 4 6 14 19 2 4 5 7 32 25 Surface Surface 74 23 2 4 4 7 10 2 18 3 5 64 22 Surface Surface 102 21 2 10 yrs 3 6 16 24 2 5 6 8 32 24 Surface Surface 43 17 2 3 5 11 16 2 18 4 6 46 21 Surface Surface 35 15 2 20 yrs 3 6 15 28 2 5 6 8 33 22 Surface Surface 28 11 1 3 5 10 19 2 18 5 6 45 20 Surface Surface 23 10 1 30 yrs 3 5 14 28 2 5 6 8 36 22 Surface Surface 19 7 1 4 5 10 20 2 18 5 6 48 19 Surface Surface 16 6 1 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 3 5 12 27 2 6 6 7 40 21 Surface Surface 15 4 1 4 4 9 20 2 18 5 6 51 19 Surface Surface 14 4 1 50 yrs F 245 Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 4 4 7 10 3 18 3 4 58 17 Surface Surface 108 21 2 6 7 11 17 3 21 5 7 28 17 Surface Surface 108 21 2 10 yrs 5 5 11 16 3 18 4 6 38 19 Surface Surface 50 16 2 5 8 14 22 3 21 6 8 27 19 Surface Surface 50 16 2 20 yrs 5 5 11 20 3 19 5 7 38 20 Surface Surface 31 10 1 5 8 14 26 3 21 6 8 28 20 Surface Surface 32 11 1 30 yrs 5 5 10 21 3 19 5 7 38 20 Surface Surface 31 8 1 5 7 13 26 3 21 6 8 30 20 Surface Surface 29 8 1 40 yrs 6 5 10 22 3 19 5 7 38 21 Surface Surface 43 8 1 6 7 13 26 3 21 6 8 32 20 Surface Surface 41 8 1 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 2 2 2 3 3 18 2 3 71 18 Surface Surface 145 24 2 8 6 7 12 3 20 4 5 56 18 Surface Surface 145 24 2 1 yr Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 21b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 2 2 2 3 3 18 2 3 71 15 Surface Surface 159 25 2 7 5 7 12 3 20 4 6 22 15 Surface Surface 159 25 2 1 yr 4 4 7 10 3 18 3 5 37 15 Surface Surface 121 22 2 6 7 11 17 3 21 5 7 17 15 Surface Surface 121 22 2 10 yrs 5 5 11 16 3 18 5 6 24 17 Surface Surface 65 17 2 5 8 15 23 3 21 6 7 14 17 Surface Surface 64 17 2 20 yrs 5 5 11 21 3 19 5 7 22 18 Surface Surface 50 12 1 6 8 14 26 3 21 6 8 14 18 Surface Passive 50 12 1 30 yrs 6 5 11 23 3 19 5 7 25 20 Surface Surface 43 8 1 6 7 14 27 3 21 6 8 18 20 Surface Surface 43 8 1 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 7 6 11 23 3 19 5 7 23 22 Surface Surface 52 8 1 6 7 13 27 3 21 6 8 18 21 Surface Surface 50 8 1 50 yrs G 246 Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 2 7 12 1 0 3 4 40 26 Surface Surface 136 27 2 1 yr 4 7 14 19 2 0 5 7 24 25 Surface Surface 75 23 2 10 yrs 4 7 16 24 2 1 6 8 25 24 Surface Surface 44 17 2 20 yrs Canopy bulk density 0.21 4 (kg/m 3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 60 559 Basal area (ft 2) 195 246 Merchantable volume (ft 3) Crown competition factor 8,280 Total volume (ft 3) Canopy closure (percent) 5.8 8,959 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,345 Trees per acre None 1 yr Stand attribute Surface fuel treatment 0.18 5 193 60 561 257 8,584 9,333 6.4 1,145 10 yrs 0.15 6 191 59 560 266 8,851 9,676 7.0 988 20 yrs 0.14 6 190 58 559 274 9,352 9,982 7.6 863 30 yrs No action 4 6 15 28 2 1 6 8 32 22 Surface Surface 27 11 1 30 yrs 0.12 6 189 58 559 282 9,717 10,238 8.2 761 40 yrs 4 6 14 28 2 2 6 8 35 22 Surface Surface 20 7 1 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 21c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel treatment Table 21b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 0.12 7 189 57 558 290 9,961 10,495 8.9 676 50 yrs 4 5 12 27 2 2 6 8 39 21 Surface Surface 17 4 1 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 0.10 16 141 45 318 217 8,014 8,421 5.8 127 1 yr 1 2 7 12 1 0 3 4 47 26 Surface Surface 162 27 2 1 yr 0.10 18 145 46 327 227 8,321 8,761 18.3 124 10 yrs 5 7 14 19 2 0 5 7 24 25 Surface Surface 75 23 2 10 yrs 4 6 15 28 2 1 6 8 25 23 Surface Surface 27 11 1 30 yrs 0.11 19 152 47 343 243 8,881 9,362 19.4 119 20 yrs 0.12 21 159 48 357 259 9,605 9,976 20.4 113 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 4 7 16 24 2 1 6 8 24 24 Surface Surface 44 17 2 20 yrs 0.12 24 163 48 367 271 10,125 10,437 21.5 107 40 yrs 4 6 14 28 2 2 6 8 29 22 Surface Surface 20 6 1 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.13 27 168 49 378 284 10,582 10,924 22.5 103 50 yrs 4 6 12 27 2 2 6 7 33 21 Surface Surface 16 4 1 50 yrs H 247 Prescribed fire Pile and burn 8,280 246 Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 4 Canopy base height (ft) 8,280 246 Total volume (ft3) Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 195 4 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.21 4 (kg/m3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 60 559 Basal area (ft 2) 195 246 Merchantable volume (ft3) Crown competition factor 8,280 Total volume (ft3) Canopy cover (percent) 5.8 8,959 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,345 Trees per acre 0.21 60 Canopy cover (percent) Canopy bulk density (kg/m³) 559 Stand density index Basal area 5.8 8,959 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,345 Trees per acre 0.21 195 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 60 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 559 Stand density index Basal area 5.8 8,959 Total volume (ft3) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,345 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.07 48 111 34 343 187 7,455 7,641 9.9 346 0.08 48 116 35 320 196 7,829 8,025 13.5 199 0.08 48 116 35 302 196 7,829 8,025 15.6 149 10 yrs 0.08 48 117 35 360 199 7,962 8,158 10.4 340 0.08 48 122 36 334 208 8,327 8,532 14.1 194 0.08 48 122 36 315 208 8,318 8,522 16.2 145 20 yrs 0.08 48 122 36 373 210 8,377 8,598 10.8 329 0.08 48 127 37 347 220 8,784 9,011 14.6 188 0.08 48 127 37 327 219 8,774 9,001 16.9 141 30 yrs 0.08 4 132 39 384 220 8,763 8,991 11.3 316 0.08 47 133 38 360 231 9,224 9,469 15.2 184 0.08 47 132 38 337 230 9,176 9,419 17.6 137 40 yrs 0.08 5 140 40 397 231 9,181 9,403 11.8 306 0.09 5 140 40 370 241 9,644 9,878 15.8 178 0.09 5 138 39 347 240 9,595 9,825 18.2 132 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 0.07 44 111 35 232 184 7,238 7,417 26.0 50 0.07 44 111 35 232 184 7,600 7,789 26.0 50 0.07 44 111 35 232 184 7,600 7,789 26.0 50 1 yr Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 21c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.10 21 139 44 306 220 8,026 8,297 20.1 100 0.11 21 139 44 306 220 8,654 8,996 20.1 100 0.11 21 139 44 306 220 8,654 8,996 20.1 100 1 yr 0.10 22 132 41 356 217 8,313 8,597 13.2 227 0.12 22 147 45 364 238 8,969 9,330 15.9 173 0.12 22 147 45 352 238 8,969 9,330 17.2 147 10 yrs 0.11 24 139 42 372 231 8,900 9,174 13.9 218 0.13 24 155 47 385 257 9,677 10,038 16.7 169 0.13 24 154 46 369 255 9,607 9,964 18.1 142 20 yrs 0.12 25 144 43 384 244 9,368 9,677 14.7 208 0.14 25 161 47 398 271 10,192 10,598 17.5 162 0.13 25 159 47 379 267 10,067 10,466 19.1 135 30 yrs 0.12 26 149 44 395 255 9,881 10,131 15.3 199 0.14 26 166 48 409 284 10,799 11,082 18.3 155 0.14 26 164 47 390 279 10,656 10,927 19.9 129 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.13 28 154 44 407 267 10,305 10,575 16.0 191 0.15 27 171 49 420 296 11,243 11,548 19.1 149 0.14 27 168 48 400 291 11,069 11,370 20.8 124 50 yrs I 248 246 (ft 2 ) 4 Canopy base height (ft) 8,280 246 Total volume (ft3 ) Merchantable volume (ft3 ) (ft 2 ) 4 Canopy bulk density 0.21 4 Canopy base height (ft) (kg/m3 ) 60 195 Canopy cover (percent) Crown competition factor Stand density index 237 8,024 0.10 15 163 52 (ft 2 ) 372 246 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) 8,428 14.7 200 0.15 15 163 52 372 237 8,684 9,348 14.7 200 0.15 15 163 52 372 237 8,684 9,348 14.7 200 1 yr 559 8,280 Total volume (ft3 ) Basal area 5.8 8,959 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,345 Trees per acre 0.21 195 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 60 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 559 Stand density index Basal area 5.8 8,959 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,345 Trees per acre 0.21 195 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 60 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3 ) 559 Stand density index tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Prescribed fire Pile and burn 8,280 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) Basal area 5.8 8,959 Total volume (ft3 ) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,345 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.10 18 143 45 355 226 8,319 8,755 14.8 189 0.16 18 174 54 412 260 8,965 9,688 14.4 229 0.16 18 174 54 407 260 8,965 9,688 14.9 216 10 yrs 0.11 20 150 46 372 242 8,887 9,361 15.7 181 0.14 20 179 55 425 275 9,454 10,243 15.5 211 0.14 20 179 54 419 275 9,434 10,219 15.9 199 20 yrs 0.12 24 156 47 385 256 9,503 9,896 16.6 171 0.14 21 186 55 442 293 10,271 10,871 16.4 200 0.14 21 185 55 435 292 10,237 10,835 16.9 188 30 yrs 0.12 25 161 48 397 269 10,070 10,371 17.4 163 0.13 22 187 55 442 301 10,768 11,162 17.5 181 0.13 22 187 55 437 301 10,763 11,158 18.0 171 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 21c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.12 26 166 48 408 282 10,520 10,834 18.2 156 0.13 23 182 53 431 301 10,807 11,189 18.7 158 0.13 23 182 53 426 301 10,798 11,182 19.2 150 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 0.10 18 180 57 412 243 8,017 8,403 12.2 300 0.20 12 180 57 412 243 8,535 9,245 12.2 300 0.20 12 180 57 412 243 8,535 9,245 12.2 300 1 yr 0.10 18 142 45 354 225 8,319 8,724 14.7 190 0.19 13 187 58 443 263 8,817 9,592 12.4 314 0.19 13 187 58 439 263 8,817 9,592 12.6 301 10 yrs 0.11 20 150 46 371 241 8,899 9,345 15.6 182 0.17 14 191 58 454 278 9,244 10,140 13.4 284 0.17 14 191 58 450 278 9,241 10,136 13.7 272 20 yrs 0.12 21 155 47 384 255 9,472 9,876 16.5 173 0.15 15 194 58 461 291 9,858 10,589 14.4 256 0.15 15 193 58 457 290 9,846 10,576 14.7 245 30 yrs 0.12 22 161 48 396 268 10,066 10,374 17.3 164 0.13 17 195 58 464 301 10,452 10,946 15.5 230 0.13 17 194 57 458 299 10,394 10,899 15.8 220 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.12 23 166 48 408 282 10,517 10,855 18.1 157 0.12 17 189 56 451 301 10,458 10,982 16.7 198 0.12 17 189 56 447 301 10,416 10,948 17.0 190 50 yrs J 249 14 12 12 12 12 12 2 10 10 10 10 10 11 10 12 12 12 12 1 10 20 30 40 `50 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire Model 10 12 12 12 12 12 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years Model Years None Surface fuel treatment None Surface fuel treatment 12 10 13 13 13 13 Percent 74 66 98 87 85 86 Percent 26 34 2 13 15 14 Weight Model Weight 64 55 67 71 66 54 2 12 10 10 10 10 10 6 12 12 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 89 69 80 77 67 55 61 91 72 65 68 75 Model Weight Model Weight Model Weight Model 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Weight 11 12 12 12 12 12 9 10 10 10 10 10 14 12 12 12 12 12 Model Percent 62 67 83 87 82 73 Weight 67 56 81 87 83 73 74 98 68 57 56 60 9 12 10 10 10 10 Percent 30 48 32 25 29 36 2 0 0 0 0 0 Model Percent 4 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 12 12 12 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 Model 17 44 19 13 17 27 21 2 32 43 44 40 Percent 38 33 17 13 18 27 Weight 222 2 Model Fuel models 9 6 Percent Weight 99 Model Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Percent 67 52 68 75 71 64 Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 20 45 33 29 34 46 39 8 28 35 32 25 Percent 11 31 20 23 33 45 Weight Fuel models 10 10 12 12 12 12 Weight Fuel models Fuel models Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Model Weight Prescribed fire only No action Table 21d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection 8 Percent Weight Weight K 250 9 10 10 12 12 12 11 12 12 12 12 12 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire 66 63 85 92 89 80 90 71 °F Miles/hour 14 9 Temperature Windspeed 10 3 = Moist 70 moisture values from Reinhardt and Crookston (2003). *Moisture categories correspond to variant-specific percentage Windspeed (mph) Moisture category* Temperature (°F) Table 21f—Prescribed fire weather conditions used in models Severe—98th percentile Moderate—75th percentile Fire weather conditions Table 21e—FVS fuel model selection 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 10 10 10 10 14 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 61 62 89 95 96 97 94 100 59 56 62 69 Model Weight tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. 11 12 12 12 12 12 Model 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years None Surface fuel treatment 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Fuel moisture 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight 100-hr (1–3 in) Model 10-hr (0.25–1 in) 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight 83 67 86 92 88 78 100 95 54 65 73 80 Percent 69 65 92 97 95 94 Weight 1,000-hr (3+ in) 10 12 12 12 12 12 9 10 10 12 12 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 Model Duff 9 10 10 10 10 10 0 12 12 10 10 10 12 10 10 13 13 13 Model Live 14 33 14 8 12 22 0 5 46 35 27 20 Percent 31 35 8 3 5 6 Weight 3 5 5 8 8 11 15 24 50 125 100 150 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model 1-hr (0–0.25 in) 16 37 15 8 11 20 6 0 41 44 38 31 Percent 39 38 11 5 4 3 Weight Fuel models Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Table 21d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection (continued) Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 1 Weight L 251 Stand attributes: Stem density = 947 tpa, basal area = 252 ft 2 /ac, top height = 91 ft, stand density index = 532, quadratic mean diameter = 7.0 in, crown competition factor = 215, canopy cover = 62 percent. Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 Species (based on trees per acre): White fir (Abies concolor) = 83 percent, ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) = 11 percent, lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) = 6 percent. Site: Elevation = 5,300 ft, slope = 20 percent, aspect = 180º. Initial stand conditions A 252 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 B 253 projection. the predicted fire type is surface fire for the 50-year tion for severe fire weather. For moderate fire weather, remains likely for the duration of the 50-year projec- tree growth and self-thinning, so passive crown fire and canopy base height increases only slightly with fuels accumulate and flame lengths increase over time, and litter loading is 12 tons/ac. With no action, surface cent. Woody surface fuel loading is 15 tons/ac, and duff Potential tree mortality under severe weather is 83 per- fire but not active crown fire under severe fire weather. ft, so ladder fuels are sufficient to enable passive crown 0.13 kg/m 3 (0.0081 lb/ft3), and canopy base height is 3 and lodgepole pine overstory. Canopy bulk density is primarily of white fir understory with ponderosa pine This stand has 947 trees per acre (tpa) composed Initial conditions/no-action trajectory Canopy base height continues to increase as trees grow in the 100, 200, and 300 tpa treatments, and regeneration is not sufficient to affect canopy base height, so crown fire potential remains low for the duration of the 50-year projection. Canopy base height also increases over time in the prescribed fire only treatment, and surface fire is predicted for 50 years. Regeneration is highest in the 50 tpa treatment so canopy base height declines in 40 or 50 years, at which time a second treatment would be necessary to prevent passive crown fire. Surface fuel loading and potential flame lengths remain fairly stable over time in stands treated with a pile and burn or prescribed fire treatment. All thinning prescriptions reduce canopy bulk density sufficiently that active crown fire remains unlikely for the 50-year projection. Prescribed fire only increases canopy base height and reduces canopy bulk density and surface fuel loading, so crown fire potential decreases, but many snags are created that contribute to surface fuel loading in the future. All thinning treatments increase canopy base height, but the lower density treatments (50 and 100 tpa) increase canopy base height to a much greater extent than the higher density treatments (200 and 300 tpa) and also reduce canopy bulk density. The lower density treatments generate greater activity fuels and cause higher potential flame lengths. The pile and burn, and to a greater extent the prescribed fire surface fuel treatments, reduce activity fuels and potential flame lengths. In the 50 tpa treatment, fuel model 6 is the predominant model used, so flame lengths are predicted to be higher than initial conditions regardless Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 of surface fuel treatment. Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— long-term effects Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— immediate effects C 254 Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 5 1 2 7 2 10 2 3 7 22 Surface Passive 16 83 Initial condition 4 0 1 5 1 7 2 3 35 30 Surface Surface 12 12 Prescribed fire only 9 3 2 7 3 10 3 3 209 32 Surface Surface 9 9 2 1 0 2 3 9 2 3 130 32 Surface Surface 9 9 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 3 103 37 Surface Surface 8 8 3 1 0 2 3 9 3 5 76 52 Surface Surface 5 5 1 1 2 7 0 0 3 5 72 55 Surface Surface 5 6 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 12 3 2 7 4 10 4 5 254 52 Surface Surface 5 5 Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 22a—Projected treatment effects on fuels and fire first cycle after treatments implemented Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 3 121 30 Surface Surface 11 11 2 1 0 2 2 9 2 2 55 22 Surface Surface 14 15 6 2 2 7 2 10 2 3 26 22 Surface Surface 14 15 Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 49 30 Surface Surface 12 12 2 0 0 2 2 9 2 2 32 22 Surface Surface 16 16 5 2 2 7 2 10 2 3 16 22 Surface Surface 16 17 Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit D 255 Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel Fuel/fire attribute treatment None Surface fuel treatment Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 5 2 3 7 3 10 2 3 10 22 Surface Passive 100 2 0 20 yrs 5 3 4 8 3 10 2 4 9 21 Surface Passive 89 3 0 30 yrs 5 3 5 9 3 11 2 4 13 20 Surface Surface 81 4 0 40 yrs 6 3 2 7 1 10 3 5 125 51 Surface Surface 26 1 0 10 yrs 3 3 2 7 1 10 4 5 122 50 Surface Surface 10 1 0 20 yrs 2 3 2 6 1 10 4 5 111 49 Surface Surface 6 2 0 30 yrs 2 3 2 6 1 10 3 5 108 49 Surface Surface 6 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 5 2 2 7 3 10 2 3 7 22 Surface Passive 100 1 0 10 yrs 2 3 2 6 1 10 3 5 8 49 Surface Passive 6 2 0 50 yrs 5 4 6 9 3 11 3 4 12 19 Surface Passive 73 4 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 12 3 2 7 4 10 4 5 254 52 Surface Surface 36 1 0 1 yr 5 1 2 7 2 10 2 3 7 22 Surface Passive 76 1 0 1 yr No action Table 22b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection 9 3 2 7 3 10 3 3 209 32 Surface Surface 38 1 0 1 yr 4 0 1 5 1 7 2 3 35 30 Surface Surface 266 3 0 1 yr 4 3 6 7 2 7 2 4 74 28 Surface Surface 18 2 0 20 yrs 4 3 6 7 2 7 2 4 100 26 Surface Surface 12 2 0 30 yrs 3 3 6 8 2 8 2 4 116 24 Surface Surface 13 2 0 40 yrs 5 3 2 7 2 10 2 4 101 28 Surface Surface 28 1 0 10 yrs 4 3 2 7 2 10 2 3 114 26 Surface Surface 12 1 0 20 yrs 3 3 3 7 2 10 2 3 122 26 Surface Surface 9 1 0 30 yrs 3 3 3 7 2 10 2 3 123 25 Surface Surface 11 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 5 3 5 6 2 7 2 4 45 31 Surface Surface 39 3 0 10 yrs Prescribed fire only 3 3 3 7 2 10 2 3 122 25 Surface Surface 11 2 0 50 yrs 3 3 6 8 2 8 2 4 129 24 Surface Surface 12 2 0 50 yrs E 256 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 1 1 2 7 0 0 3 5 72 55 Surface Surface 35 3 0 3 1 0 2 3 9 3 5 76 52 Surface Surface 36 1 0 1 yr 2 1 2 7 1 0 4 6 121 53 Surface Surface 25 3 0 2 1 1 2 1 9 4 6 114 51 Surface Surface 26 1 0 10 yrs 2 2 3 8 1 0 4 6 125 52 Surface Surface 15 2 0 2 1 1 3 1 9 4 5 107 50 Surface Surface 11 1 0 20 yrs 2 2 3 8 1 0 4 5 119 51 Surface Surface 11 2 0 2 1 2 3 1 9 4 5 106 49 Surface Surface 7 1 0 30 yrs 2 2 2 8 1 1 3 5 6 51 Passive Passive 11 2 0 2 2 1 3 1 9 3 5 105 49 Surface Surface 7 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 22b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 2 2 2 7 1 1 3 4 9 50 Surface Passive 10 2 0 2 2 1 4 1 9 3 5 9 48 Surface Passive 7 2 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 1 1 2 7 3 9 2 3 103 37 Surface Surface 53 3 0 2 1 0 2 3 9 2 3 130 32 Surface Surface 38 1 0 1 yr 3 2 3 8 1 0 3 4 84 32 Surface Surface 38 3 0 3 1 1 2 2 9 2 3 160 28 Surface Surface 28 1 0 10 yrs 3 2 5 9 1 0 2 4 100 30 Surface Surface 17 2 0 3 1 2 3 2 9 2 3 153 26 Surface Surface 13 1 0 20 yrs 2 2 5 9 2 1 2 3 108 29 Surface Surface 11 2 0 3 2 2 4 2 9 2 3 157 26 Surface Surface 6 1 0 30 yrs 2 2 4 9 2 1 2 3 113 29 Surface Surface 12 2 0 3 2 2 4 2 9 2 3 154 25 Surface Surface 9 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 3 2 4 8 2 1 2 3 113 28 Surface Surface 12 2 0 3 2 2 4 2 9 2 3 146 25 Surface Surface 10 1 0 50 yrs F 257 Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 4 1 1 3 2 9 2 3 75 24 Surface Surface 42 1 0 5 2 2 7 2 10 2 3 54 24 Surface Surface 42 1 0 10 yrs 4 2 2 4 2 9 2 3 87 24 Surface Surface 28 2 0 5 3 3 7 2 10 2 3 78 24 Surface Surface 28 2 0 20 yrs 4 2 3 4 2 9 2 3 99 23 Surface Surface 18 2 0 4 3 4 8 2 10 2 3 93 23 Surface Surface 18 2 0 30 yrs 4 2 4 5 2 9 2 3 114 21 Surface Surface 17 2 0 4 3 4 8 2 10 2 3 111 21 Surface Surface 17 2 0 40 yrs 5 3 4 6 2 10 2 3 122 21 Surface Surface 34 4 0 5 3 5 8 2 11 2 4 118 21 Surface Surface 32 4 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 2 1 0 2 2 9 2 2 55 22 Surface Surface 51 1 0 6 2 2 7 2 10 2 3 26 22 Surface Surface 51 1 0 1 yr Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 22b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 2 0 0 2 2 9 2 2 32 22 Surface Surface 48 1 0 5 2 2 7 2 10 2 3 16 22 Surface Surface 48 1 0 1 yr 4 1 1 2 2 9 2 2 27 22 Surface Surface 43 1 0 5 2 2 7 2 10 2 3 16 22 Surface Surface 43 1 0 10 yrs 4 1 2 3 2 9 2 3 21 22 Surface Surface 29 1 0 5 2 3 7 2 10 2 3 16 22 Surface Surface 30 1 0 20 yrs 4 2 3 4 3 9 2 3 20 21 Surface Surface 28 2 0 4 3 4 7 2 10 2 3 16 21 Surface Surface 26 2 0 30 yrs 5 2 4 5 2 9 2 3 16 22 Surface Surface 48 4 0 5 3 4 7 2 11 2 4 14 21 Surface Surface 46 4 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 5 3 5 6 2 10 2 4 13 21 Surface Surface 51 5 0 5 4 5 9 2 11 3 4 12 21 Surface Passive 50 5 0 50 yrs G 258 Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 3 121 30 Surface Surface 70 3 0 1 yr 4 3 6 8 2 0 2 4 93 30 Surface Surface 39 3 0 10 yrs 3 3 7 9 2 1 3 4 74 29 Surface Surface 17 2 0 20 yrs Canopy bulk density 0.13 3 (kg/m 3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 62 532 Basal area (ft 2) 215 252 Merchantable volume (ft 3) Crown competition factor 7,490 Total volume (ft 3) Canopy closure (percent) 7.0 8,192 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 947 Trees per acre None 1 yr Stand attribute Surface fuel treatment 0.12 3 218 62 539 262 7,848 8,636 7.4 865 10 yrs 0.13 4 219 62 538 268 8,325 8,916 7.9 785 20 yrs 0.13 4 219 61 538 274 8,611 9,194 8.4 712 30 yrs No action 3 3 6 9 2 1 2 4 87 27 Surface Surface 12 2 0 30 yrs 0.14 5 218 61 537 280 8,782 9,466 8.9 647 40 yrs 3 3 6 9 2 1 2 4 97 26 Surface Surface 14 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 22c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel treatment Table 22b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 0.15 5 218 61 535 285 9,084 9,756 9.4 588 50 yrs 3 3 6 8 2 1 2 4 114 25 Surface Surface 14 2 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 0.08 9 163 50 329 218 6,979 7,383 7.0 150 1 yr 1 1 2 7 1 0 2 2 49 30 Surface Surface 92 3 0 1 yr 0.08 15 167 50 336 224 7,197 7,664 16.7 148 10 yrs 4 3 6 8 2 0 3 4 45 30 Surface Surface 40 3 0 10 yrs 3 3 7 9 2 1 2 4 85 27 Surface Surface 14 2 0 30 yrs 0.09 24 173 51 349 237 7,771 8,125 17.3 144 20 yrs 0.10 32 178 52 357 246 8,141 8,489 18.0 139 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 3 3 7 9 2 1 3 4 71 29 Surface Surface 20 2 0 20 yrs 0.11 37 182 52 365 255 8,467 8,854 18.7 133 40 yrs 3 3 6 9 2 1 2 4 101 26 Surface Surface 15 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.11 41 186 53 373 264 8,748 9,222 19.4 128 50 yrs 3 3 6 9 2 1 2 4 115 25 Surface Surface 14 2 0 50 yrs H 259 Prescribed fire Pile and burn 7,490 252 Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 3 Canopy base height (ft) 7,490 252 Total volume (ft3) Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 215 3 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.13 3 (kg/m3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 62 532 Basal area (ft 2) 215 252 Merchantable volume (ft3) Crown competition factor 7,490 Total volume (ft3) Canopy cover (percent) 7.0 8,192 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 947 Trees per acre 0.13 62 Canopy cover (percent) Canopy bulk density (kg/m³) 532 Stand density index Basal area 7.0 8,192 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 947 Trees per acre 0.13 215 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 62 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 532 Stand density index Basal area 7.0 8,192 Total volume (ft3) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 947 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.04 55 115 35 303 160 5,678 5,814 9.1 351 0.04 54 120 36 283 167 5,944 6,088 12.3 203 0.04 54 120 36 268 167 5,944 6,088 14.2 153 10 yrs 0.04 54 117 36 310 165 5,878 6,014 9.4 342 0.04 51 123 37 289 173 6,153 6,300 12.6 199 0.04 54 123 37 273 173 6,153 6,301 14.5 150 20 yrs 0.04 54 121 37 317 170 6,103 6,223 9.7 335 0.04 51 126 37 295 178 6,391 6,520 13.0 194 0.04 51 126 37 279 178 6,387 6,512 14.9 146 30 yrs 0.04 4 131 39 324 176 6,320 6,454 10.0 327 0.04 52 131 38 301 184 6,599 6,735 13.3 190 0.04 52 131 38 284 183 6,599 6,736 15.3 143 40 yrs 0.04 5 146 41 332 183 6,494 6,664 10.2 319 0.04 5 137 40 307 189 6,789 6,960 13.7 185 0.04 5 135 39 289 189 6,773 6,945 15.7 140 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 0.04 55 117 36 213 163 5,557 5,691 23.4 55 0.04 54 117 36 213 163 5,820 5,961 23.4 55 0.04 54 117 36 213 163 5,820 5,961 23.4 55 1 yr Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 22c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.06 29 151 46 295 210 6,690 6,883 19.6 100 0.08 28 151 46 295 210 7,321 7,540 19.6 100 0.08 28 151 46 295 210 7,321 7,540 19.6 100 1 yr 0.08 35 141 43 335 200 6,873 7,085 12.5 233 0.09 35 156 47 343 221 7,532 7,775 15.3 173 0.09 35 156 47 332 221 7,532 7,775 16.6 147 10 yrs 0.08 38 147 44 348 211 7,298 7,489 13.0 229 0.10 38 162 48 354 232 7,969 8,186 15.9 169 0.10 38 162 48 344 233 7,996 8,215 17.2 144 20 yrs 0.08 38 151 45 357 219 7,600 7,800 13.5 221 0.10 39 168 49 367 243 8,383 8,609 16.4 166 0.10 39 166 48 352 242 8,326 8,549 17.8 139 30 yrs 0.09 39 156 46 365 228 7,937 8,126 14.0 214 0.11 39 172 49 376 253 8,769 8,980 17.0 160 0.10 39 170 49 360 250 8,671 8,879 18.5 134 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.09 39 160 46 374 236 8,207 8,435 14.5 207 0.11 39 177 50 384 262 9,057 9,317 17.6 155 0.11 39 174 49 367 258 8,939 9,196 19.1 130 50 yrs I 260 252 (ft 2 ) 3 Canopy base height (ft) 7,490 252 Total volume (ft3 ) Merchantable volume (ft3 ) (ft 2 ) 215 3 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.13 3 Canopy base height (ft) (kg/m3 ) 245 0.08 25 189 56 62 215 Canopy cover (percent) Crown competition factor Stand density index 6,982 383 252 (ft 2 ) 15.0 7,369 532 7,490 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) Basal area 7.0 8,192 Total volume (ft3 ) 200 947 Trees per acre Quadratic mean diameter (in) 0.13 9 189 56 383 245 7,655 8,257 15.0 200 0.13 9 189 56 383 245 7,655 8,257 15.0 200 1 yr 0.13 Canopy bulk density 62 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 532 Stand density index Basal area 7.0 8,192 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 947 Trees per acre 0.13 215 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 62 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3 ) 532 Stand density index tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Prescribed fire Pile and burn 7,490 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) Basal area 7.0 8,192 Total volume (ft3 ) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 947 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.08 31 164 50 357 223 7,201 7,642 14.1 206 0.11 16 192 57 404 254 7,876 8,559 14.4 224 0.11 16 192 57 399 254 7,876 8,559 14.9 211 10 yrs 0.09 24 171 51 372 236 7,797 8,136 14.6 202 0.11 23 195 57 411 264 8,453 8,955 15.2 210 0.11 23 195 57 406 264 8,455 8,957 15.6 199 20 yrs 0.10 28 177 52 384 247 8,206 8,555 15.2 195 0.12 27 201 58 423 277 8,912 9,440 15.8 202 0.12 27 201 58 418 276 8,910 9,438 16.3 191 30 yrs 0.10 31 181 52 394 258 8,602 8,972 15.9 188 0.13 32 206 58 433 288 9,324 9,917 16.5 194 0.13 32 206 58 429 288 9,323 9,915 17.0 183 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 22c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.11 36 187 53 404 268 9,037 9,380 16.5 181 0.13 36 203 57 424 288 9,424 10,001 17.4 175 0.13 36 203 57 420 288 9,425 9,999 17.8 166 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 0.08 9 203 59 422 250 6,981 7,385 12.4 300 0.13 5 203 59 422 250 7,751 8,444 12.4 300 0.13 5 203 59 422 250 7,751 8,444 12.4 300 1 yr 0.08 15 166 50 364 224 7,201 7,660 13.6 223 0.12 5 209 60 446 264 7,954 8,749 12.3 321 0.12 5 209 60 443 264 7,954 8,749 12.5 308 10 yrs 0.09 23 173 51 378 236 7,760 8,119 14.1 217 0.12 5 215 61 459 277 8,618 9,243 12.9 304 0.12 5 214 60 454 276 8,600 9,222 13.2 291 20 yrs 0.10 27 178 52 388 247 8,144 8,518 14.7 208 0.13 5 219 61 468 288 9,033 9,677 13.6 286 0.13 5 219 61 464 288 9,027 9,669 13.9 274 30 yrs 0.10 32 183 53 399 257 8,518 8,917 15.3 201 0.13 5 214 60 456 288 9,082 9,783 14.5 251 0.13 5 214 60 453 288 9,091 9,785 14.8 242 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.11 36 189 53 409 268 8,906 9,351 15.9 194 0.13 5 210 58 445 288 9,134 9,906 15.4 223 0.13 5 210 58 442 288 9,131 9,901 15.7 214 50 yrs J 261 11 10 6 6 6 6 2 6 6 6 6 6 2 6 6 6 6 9 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire Model 34 25 13 2 50 Percent 46 Weight Model Weight 100 94 83 71 53 54 0 10 10 9 9 6 10 9 9 9 9 9 14 6 10 9 9 9 Percent 61 53 62 68 64 58 73 89 84 76 65 55 Model Weight Model Weight Model Weight Model 0 6 13 16 36 38 21 11 16 24 35 45 0 0 9 10 10 10 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 10 10 10 Model 0 0 5 13 11 9 6 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 5 12 14 8 6 Weight Model Weight 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 11 10 9 9 9 9 Model Percent 96 53 60 69 69 66 74 55 52 57 60 60 100 100 94 93 91 87 9 9 9 9 9 10 34 39 40 39 32 Percent 17 Model Weight Model 2 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 10 10 10 10 14 9 10 10 10 10 Model 26 34 45 43 40 40 0 0 6 7 9 13 Percent 4 47 40 31 31 34 Weight 0 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 0 10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Weight 66 61 60 61 68 Percent 83 Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 Percent 39 42 27 19 28 36 Weight Fuel models 10 10 10 10 10 9 Weight Fuel models Fuel models Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit 9 9 9 9 10 50 66 75 87 98 9 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 `50 Years 20 30 40 50 10 Percent 54 9 1 10 Model Weight Model Years None Surface fuel treatment None Surface fuel treatment Prescribed fire only No action Table 22d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection Weight Weight K 262 9 9 9 9 9 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire 100 67 72 68 65 66 90 71 °F Miles/hour 14 9 Temperature Windspeed 10 3 = Moist 70 moisture values from Reinhardt and Crookston (2003). *Moisture categories correspond to variant-specific percentage Windspeed (mph) Moisture category* Temperature (°F) Table 22f—Prescribed fire weather conditions used in models Severe—98th percentile Moderate—75th percentile Fire weather conditions Table 22e—FVS fuel model selection 0 9 9 9 9 9 0 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Percent 63 56 61 61 64 78 100 89 71 66 58 58 Model Weight tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. 11 10 10 10 10 10 Model 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years None Surface fuel treatment Model Fuel moisture Weight 100-hr (1–3 in) Model 10-hr (0.25–1 in) Weight 100 71 73 71 69 68 100 93 77 71 51 75 Percent 51 51 53 54 70 95 Weight 1,000-hr (3+ in) 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 Model Duff 0 9 9 9 9 9 0 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 Model Live 0 29 27 29 31 32 0 7 23 29 49 25 Percent 49 49 47 46 30 5 Weight 3 5 5 8 8 11 15 24 50 125 100 150 Model Fuel models Weight Model Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1-hr (0–0.25 in) 0 33 28 32 35 34 0 11 29 34 42 42 Percent 37 44 39 39 36 22 Weight Fuel models Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Table 22d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection (continued) Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 2 Weight L 263 Stand attributes: Stem density = 544 tpa, basal area = 167 ft 2 /ac, top height = 84 ft, stand density index = 344, quadratic mean diameter = 7.5 in, crown competition factor = 153, canopy cover = 55 percent. Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 Species (based on trees per acre): White fir (Abies concolor) = 93 percent, ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) = 7 percent. Site: Elevation = 5,000 ft, slope = 35 percent, aspect = 270°. Initial stand conditions A 264 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 B 265 the potential for active crown fire spread remains low. density does not change for the 50-year projection, so the same with passive crown fire likely. Canopy bulk accumulate, so crown fire potential remains essentially thins, but flame lengths also increase as surface fuels height will increase as trees grow and the stand self- duff loading is 11 tons/ac. With no action, canopy base fire weather. Wood loading is 10 tons/ac, and litter and low potential for active crown fire spread under severe potential for passive crown fire and tree mortality but density 0.14 kg/m 3 (0.0087 lb/ft3), so there is high overstory. Canopy base height is 3 ft and canopy bulk primarily white fir understory with ponderosa pine This stand has 544 trees per acre (tpa) composed of Initial conditions/no-action trajectory Reductions in crown fire potential last for 30 years in the 50 tpa treatment, but then regeneration lowers canopy base height making passive crown fire likely again; at this time, another treatment would be necessary to prevent passive crown fire. In the 100 tpa treatment, the influence of regeneration on canopy base height and crown fire potential depends on the surface fuel treatment with the greatest regeneration occurring in the prescribed fire treatment. In the 200 and 300 tpa treatments, regeneration is low and canopy base height increases over time as the stand self-thins and crowns rise, so after 50 years, crown fire remains unlikely except in the prescribed fire treatment in which passive crown fire becomes likely again in 40 years. The prescribed fire only treatment reduces tree density, Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 interpreted with caution. fuels are not tracked in FFE, so these results should be increase flame lengths depending on the site. Grass by fuel model 2. Again, grass fuels may or may not stands with low woody fuel loading are characterized increase potential flame lengths because the more open most of the duff layer, but these surface fuel treatments reduces woody fuel loading even more and consumes initial conditions, and the prescribed fire treatment burn treatment reduces woody fuel loading to below trees further increases canopy base height. The pile and fire potential because fire-caused mortality of smaller prescribed fire fuel treatment further decreases crown removing fewer trees generates less activity fuels. The but potential flame lengths remain low because treatments have little effect on crown fire potential, not sufficient to increase canopy base height, so these 9 to predominantly 11). Thinning to 200 or 300 tpa is flame lengths (fuel models change from predominantly create high surface fuel loadings and increase potential decreasing crown fire potential, but these treatments base height and reduces canopy bulk density, thereby site. Thinning to 50 or 100 tpa greatly increases canopy fire. This may or may not be true depending on the grass fuels drive fire behavior following the prescribed model 9 to predominantly fuel model 2, suggesting that because conditions change from predominantly fuel all size classes, but potential flame lengths increase This treatment also reduces woody surface fuels in crown fire potential, but it creates many more snags. which increases canopy base height enough to reduce Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— long-term effects Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— immediate effects C 266 Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 4 3 2 1 2 9 2 3 5 19 Surface Passive 24 98 Initial condition 3 0 1 1 1 6 3 5 17 25 Surface Surface 19 31 Prescribed fire only 7 4 2 1 3 9 3 4 70 22 Surface Surface 17 17 2 1 1 0 3 8 4 6 49 22 Surface Surface 17 37 1 2 2 1 1 0 4 6 37 29 Surface Surface 15 43 3 1 1 0 4 8 4 7 33 43 Surface Surface 11 37 1 2 2 1 1 0 4 7 34 50 Surface Surface 10 38 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 10 4 2 1 4 9 3 4 141 43 Surface Surface 11 11 Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 23a—Projected treatment effects on fuels and fire first cycle after treatments implemented Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 1 1 2 1 1 0 4 5 39 25 Surface Surface 19 35 2 1 1 0 2 8 2 3 11 19 Surface Passive 22 94 5 3 2 1 3 9 2 3 3 19 Surface Passive 22 97 Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 1 1 2 1 1 0 3 5 19 25 Surface Surface 19 31 1 1 1 0 2 8 2 3 11 19 Surface Passive 23 90 4 3 2 1 2 9 2 3 4 19 Surface Passive 24 98 Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit D 267 Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel Fuel/fire attribute treatment None Surface fuel treatment Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 6 4 4 4 3 10 3 4 9 19 Surface Passive 95 7 0 20 yrs 6 5 6 5 3 10 3 4 11 19 Surface Passive 87 7 0 30 yrs 6 5 8 7 3 10 4 5 2 19 Surface Passive 89 7 0 40 yrs 5 3 2 2 1 9 5 7 64 40 Surface Surface 14 6 0 10 yrs 3 4 2 3 1 9 5 7 65 38 Surface Surface 11 6 0 20 yrs 2 4 2 4 1 9 5 7 0 37 Surface Passive 13 6 0 30 yrs 2 4 2 6 1 9 5 7 7 35 Surface Passive 13 6 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 5 3 2 2 3 9 3 4 8 19 Surface Passive 100 6 0 10 yrs 2 3 2 7 1 9 5 6 12 34 Surface Passive 13 5 0 50 yrs 6 6 9 10 3 10 4 6 6 19 Surface Passive 79 6 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 10 4 2 1 4 9 3 4 141 43 Surface Surface 18 5 0 1 yr 4 3 2 1 2 9 2 3 5 19 Surface Passive 72 5 0 1 yr No action Table 23b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection 7 4 2 1 3 9 3 4 70 22 Surface Surface 19 5 0 1 yr 3 0 1 1 1 6 3 5 17 25 Surface Surface 131 6 0 1 yr 4 3 6 4 2 7 3 5 23 23 Surface Surface 20 6 0 20 yrs 4 3 6 5 2 7 3 4 27 23 Surface Surface 22 6 0 30 yrs 4 4 6 7 2 7 3 4 34 21 Surface Surface 22 6 0 40 yrs 5 3 2 2 2 9 4 6 70 22 Surface Surface 17 6 0 10 yrs 3 4 2 3 2 9 4 5 72 22 Surface Surface 12 6 0 20 yrs 3 4 2 4 2 10 4 5 73 22 Surface Surface 16 6 0 30 yrs 3 4 3 6 2 10 4 5 75 21 Surface Surface 18 6 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 5 3 6 2 2 7 3 5 14 24 Surface Surface 18 6 0 10 yrs Prescribed fire only 3 4 3 7 2 10 3 5 14 21 Surface Surface 17 5 0 50 yrs 4 4 7 8 2 7 3 5 43 19 Surface Surface 22 5 0 50 yrs E 268 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 1 2 2 1 1 0 4 7 34 50 Surface Surface 23 6 0 3 1 1 0 4 8 4 7 33 43 Surface Surface 18 5 0 1 yr 2 2 3 3 1 0 5 7 49 46 Surface Surface 17 6 0 3 1 1 1 1 8 5 7 50 40 Surface Surface 14 6 0 10 yrs 2 2 3 4 1 0 5 7 60 44 Surface Surface 16 7 0 2 2 1 3 1 8 5 7 51 38 Surface Surface 12 6 0 20 yrs 2 3 3 6 1 1 5 7 0 42 Passive Passive 19 6 0 2 2 1 4 1 8 5 7 0 37 Passive Passive 15 6 0 30 yrs 2 3 3 7 1 1 5 6 8 27 Surface Passive 19 6 0 2 2 1 5 1 8 5 7 6 35 Surface Passive 15 6 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 23b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 2 3 3 8 1 1 4 5 12 23 Surface Surface 19 5 0 2 2 2 6 1 8 5 6 12 34 Surface Passive 15 5 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 1 1 2 1 3 8 4 6 37 29 Surface Surface 33 6 0 2 1 1 0 3 8 4 6 49 22 Surface Surface 19 5 0 1 yr 3 3 5 3 1 0 5 7 69 28 Surface Surface 18 6 0 3 1 1 1 2 8 4 6 66 22 Surface Surface 17 6 0 10 yrs 2 3 5 4 1 0 5 6 74 28 Surface Surface 16 6 0 3 2 1 2 2 8 4 6 70 22 Surface Surface 15 6 0 20 yrs 2 3 5 5 1 1 4 6 0 27 Surface Passive 20 6 0 3 2 2 4 2 8 4 5 71 22 Surface Surface 19 6 0 30 yrs 2 3 5 7 2 1 4 6 7 26 Surface Passive 20 6 0 3 2 2 5 2 9 3 5 7 21 Surface Passive 19 6 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 3 3 5 8 2 1 4 5 10 26 Surface Passive 30 5 0 3 2 3 7 2 9 3 5 12 20 Surface Passive 17 5 0 50 yrs F 269 Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 4 1 1 1 2 8 2 3 26 19 Surface Surface 32 6 0 5 3 2 2 2 9 3 4 16 19 Surface Surface 32 6 0 10 yrs 5 2 2 3 2 9 2 3 33 18 Surface Surface 33 6 0 5 4 3 3 2 10 3 4 28 18 Surface Surface 33 6 0 20 yrs 5 3 4 4 2 9 3 4 40 19 Surface Surface 56 7 0 5 4 5 5 2 10 3 4 38 19 Surface Surface 53 7 0 30 yrs 6 4 6 6 2 9 3 5 49 19 Surface Surface 60 7 0 6 5 7 7 2 10 3 5 45 19 Surface Surface 58 7 0 40 yrs 6 4 8 9 2 9 4 5 77 19 Surface Surface 53 6 0 6 5 9 9 2 10 4 6 41 19 Surface Surface 50 6 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 2 1 1 0 2 8 2 3 11 19 Surface Passive 33 5 0 5 3 2 1 3 9 2 3 3 19 Surface Passive 33 5 0 1 yr Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 23b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 1 1 1 0 2 8 2 3 11 19 Surface Passive 31 5 0 4 3 2 1 2 9 2 3 4 19 Surface Passive 31 5 0 1 yr 4 1 1 1 3 8 2 3 29 18 Surface Surface 33 6 0 5 3 2 2 3 9 2 3 19 18 Surface Surface 33 6 0 10 yrs 5 2 2 3 3 9 3 4 25 19 Surface Surface 74 6 0 6 4 3 3 3 10 3 4 22 19 Surface Surface 73 6 0 20 yrs 6 3 4 4 3 9 3 4 26 20 Surface Surface 79 7 0 6 4 5 5 3 10 3 5 25 20 Surface Surface 78 7 0 30 yrs 6 4 7 7 2 9 3 5 31 19 Surface Surface 71 7 0 6 5 8 7 2 10 4 5 26 19 Surface Surface 70 7 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 6 5 9 9 2 9 4 6 27 19 Surface Surface 60 6 0 6 6 10 10 2 10 4 6 21 19 Surface Surface 58 6 0 50 yrs G 270 Fuel/fire attribute 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 1 2 1 1 0 4 5 39 25 Surface Surface 46 6 0 1 1 yr 4 7 3 2 0 4 5 51 24 Surface Surface 18 6 0 4 10 yrs 4 7 4 2 1 3 5 70 24 Surface Surface 22 6 0 3 20 yrs Canopy bulk density 0.14 3 Canopy base height (ft) (kg/m 3) 55 153 344 Stand density index Crown competition factor 167 Basal area (ft 2) Canopy closure (percent) 4,531 Merchantable volume (ft 3) 7.5 5,004 Quadratic mean diameter (in) Total volume (ft 3) 544 Trees per acre None 1 yr Stand attribute Surface fuel treatment 0.14 4 150 54 341 174 4,777 5,325 8.4 450 10 yrs 0.14 5 149 53 340 180 5,173 5,616 9.3 386 20 yrs 0.14 6 145 53 335 184 5,305 5,817 10.1 328 30 yrs No action 4 7 6 2 1 3 5 79 23 Surface Surface 24 6 0 3 30 yrs 0.14 5 138 51 324 185 5,409 5,899 11.2 270 40 yrs 4 7 7 2 1 3 5 6 22 Surface Passive 23 6 0 3 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 23c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel treatment Table 23b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 0.14 7 134 49 311 185 5,612 5,950 12.4 221 50 yrs 4 7 8 2 1 3 5 12 21 Surface Passive 27 5 0 4 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 0.10 7 104 40 223 134 3,978 4,306 7.5 151 1 yr 1 2 1 1 0 3 5 19 25 Surface Surface 68 6 0 1 1 yr 0.10 8 107 41 232 141 4,202 4,541 13.2 150 10 yrs 4 7 3 2 0 3 5 24 24 Surface Surface 24 6 0 4 10 yrs 4 7 6 2 1 3 5 32 24 Surface Surface 26 6 0 3 30 yrs 0.11 11 112 42 244 152 4,637 4,932 14.0 142 20 yrs 0.11 12 115 43 255 163 4,966 5,328 14.9 134 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 4 7 4 2 1 3 5 27 25 Surface Surface 26 7 0 4 20 yrs 0.12 14 119 43 266 174 5,413 5,729 15.9 127 40 yrs 4 7 7 2 1 3 5 6 22 Surface Passive 30 6 0 4 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.14 17 122 44 275 184 5,820 6,097 16.8 119 50 yrs 4 7 9 2 1 3 5 12 21 Surface Passive 29 5 0 4 50 yrs H 271 Prescribed fire Pile and burn 167 (ft 2) 3 Canopy base height (ft) 167 (ft 2) 153 3 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.14 3 (kg/m3) Canopy base height (ft) 25 55 153 Canopy cover (percent) 344 Stand density index Crown competition factor 137 167 0.05 36 61 23 190 90 3,095 3,184 7.0 340 0.05 35 68 25 187 100 3,423 3,527 9.6 198 0.05 35 68 25 176 100 3,423 3,527 11.2 148 10 yrs 0.05 36 63 25 196 94 3,206 3,304 7.2 331 0.06 35 70 26 193 106 3,577 3,691 10.0 192 0.06 35 70 26 182 105 3,574 3,688 11.6 143 20 yrs 0.05 4 88 30 208 102 3,332 3,456 7.7 319 0.06 4 83 29 202 113 3,742 3,874 10.6 185 0.06 4 79 28 190 112 3,737 3,866 12.2 138 30 yrs 0.09 7 95 34 222 112 3,501 3,647 8.2 308 0.06 7 88 32 212 121 3,963 4,094 11.2 178 0.06 7 83 30 198 119 3,948 4,074 12.8 133 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.13 9 104 38 239 123 3,681 3,883 8.7 296 0.07 9 94 34 224 131 4,181 4,353 11.9 171 0.07 9 88 31 207 128 4,161 4,310 13.6 127 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 0.04 31 67 96 3,039 4,531 Basal area (ft 2) 18.8 3,142 Merchantable volume (ft3) 7.5 5,004 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 50 0.05 30 67 25 137 96 3,342 3,463 18.8 50 0.05 30 67 25 137 96 3,342 3,463 18.8 50 1 yr Total volume (ft3) 544 Trees per acre 0.14 55 Canopy cover (percent) Canopy bulk density (kg/m³) 344 Stand density index Basal area 4,531 Merchantable volume (ft3) 7.5 5,004 Quadratic mean diameter (in) Total volume (ft3) 544 Trees per acre 0.14 153 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 55 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 344 Stand density index Basal area 4,531 Merchantable volume (ft3) 7.5 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 5,004 Trees per acre None Total volume (ft3) 544 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment Table 23c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.08 29 93 36 198 127 3,606 3,777 15.3 100 0.12 29 93 36 198 127 4,212 4,434 15.3 100 0.12 29 93 36 198 127 4,212 4,434 15.3 100 1 yr 0.09 34 79 31 211 114 3,755 3,897 9.7 222 0.12 33 96 37 233 137 4,425 4,612 12.1 172 0.12 33 96 37 226 137 4,425 4,612 13.1 146 10 yrs 0.09 35 83 32 223 122 4,034 4,201 10.2 217 0.12 35 100 38 245 147 4,782 5,000 12.8 166 0.12 35 101 38 239 148 4,811 5,031 13.8 143 20 yrs 0.09 4 93 35 234 131 4,298 4,482 10.8 206 0.12 36 106 39 256 158 5,121 5,356 13.6 157 0.12 36 106 39 250 159 5,155 5,393 14.6 136 30 yrs 0.10 6 102 37 246 142 4,622 4,791 11.5 196 0.12 5 113 40 268 169 5,529 5,726 14.4 149 0.12 36 112 40 261 170 5,558 5,754 15.5 129 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.10 8 104 37 250 149 4,789 4,979 12.5 176 0.13 7 119 41 281 181 5,895 6,107 15.3 142 0.13 8 117 41 272 181 5,906 6,117 16.5 122 50 yrs I 272 3 167 (ft 2 ) 3 Canopy base height (ft) 167 (ft 2 ) 0.14 Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 3 Crown competition factor (kg/m3 ) 55 153 Canopy cover (percent) 344 Stand density index Basal area 4,531 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) 7.5 5,004 Quadratic mean diameter (in) Total volume (ft3 ) 544 Trees per acre 0.14 153 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 55 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 344 Stand density index Basal area 4,531 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) 7.5 5,004 Quadratic mean diameter (in) Total volume (ft3 ) 544 Trees per acre 0.14 153 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 55 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3 ) 344 Stand density index tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Prescribed fire Pile and burn 167 (ft 2 ) Basal area 4,531 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) 7.5 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 5,004 Trees per acre None Total volume (ft3 ) 544 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.10 18 128 48 273 161 3,973 4,280 12.1 200 0.14 3 128 48 273 161 4,665 5,147 12.1 200 0.14 3 128 48 273 161 4,665 5,147 12.1 200 1 yr 0.10 24 102 39 241 139 4,192 4,492 11.4 197 0.14 6 131 49 293 172 4,919 5,405 12.0 220 0.14 6 131 49 290 172 4,919 5,405 12.3 207 10 yrs 0.11 32 106 40 252 148 4,629 4,863 12.1 185 0.15 10 134 49 304 183 5,486 5,859 12.9 202 0.15 10 134 49 300 183 5,478 5,851 13.3 190 20 yrs 0.11 34 111 41 265 160 4,988 5,280 13.0 175 0.14 14 129 47 295 184 5,590 5,987 14.1 170 0.14 14 129 47 292 184 5,588 5,989 14.5 161 30 yrs 0.12 5 119 43 278 172 5,436 5,694 13.8 165 0.14 18 125 45 286 185 5,729 6,077 15.3 144 0.14 17 124 45 283 184 5,735 6,062 15.7 137 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 23c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.12 7 122 43 284 181 5,791 6,009 14.9 151 0.14 33 121 43 277 185 5,849 6,118 16.6 123 0.14 33 121 43 276 185 5,865 6,124 16.9 118 50 yrs Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 0.10 8 143 52 303 166 3,969 4,296 10.1 300 0.14 3 143 52 303 166 4,730 5,295 10.1 300 0.14 3 143 52 303 166 4,730 5,295 10.1 300 1 yr 0.10 12 104 40 245 138 4,138 4,456 10.9 213 0.15 6 149 54 330 182 4,995 5,577 10.3 317 0.15 6 149 54 327 182 4,995 5,577 10.5 304 10 yrs 0.10 13 107 41 255 148 4,545 4,822 11.7 199 0.15 8 143 52 320 184 5,303 5,769 11.4 261 0.14 8 142 52 317 183 5,292 5,758 11.6 251 20 yrs 0.11 14 113 42 269 160 4,897 5,241 12.5 188 0.13 10 136 50 309 184 5,376 5,895 12.5 215 0.13 10 136 50 307 184 5,368 5,889 12.7 208 30 yrs 0.12 5 119 43 276 170 5,273 5,589 13.5 172 0.14 13 130 47 298 185 5,488 5,979 13.8 179 0.14 13 130 47 296 184 5,478 5,969 14.0 174 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.12 7 121 43 284 179 5,661 5,919 14.5 157 0.14 15 125 45 289 185 5,665 6,045 15.0 150 0.14 15 125 45 288 185 5,666 6,049 15.2 147 50 yrs J 273 11 6 6 6 6 6 2 6 6 6 6 6 2 6 6 6 6 6 1 10 20 30 40 `50 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire Model 9 9 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years Model Years None Surface fuel treatment None Surface fuel treatment 10 10 9 9 12 12 Percent 80 61 64 88 90 73 Percent 20 39 36 12 10 27 Weight Model Weight 100 100 94 87 81 54 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 14 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 91 70 85 86 83 78 90 100 100 100 96 90 Model Weight Model Weight Model Weight Model 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent Weight 0 Model Weight 2 6 6 6 6 10 2 6 6 6 9 9 11 6 6 6 9 10 Model Percent 77 57 54 45 34 44 Weight 100 80 74 69 53 48 90 81 70 53 42 44 9 9 9 9 9 9 Percent 37 29 36 35 29 21 0 6 6 6 6 6 Model Percent 0 19 15 10 5 3 Weight Model 0 10 10 10 10 6 9 9 9 9 6 10 2 10 9 9 6 9 Model 0 20 26 31 37 41 10 19 29 37 37 32 Percent 21 30 24 31 33 34 Weight 0 0 0 0 9 9 10 10 6 0 0 9 9 10 10 10 6 Model Fuel models 0 0 0 0 10 12 0 0 0 9 21 24 Percent 2 13 22 24 33 23 Weight Model Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Percent 63 52 49 55 65 76 Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 0 0 6 13 19 25 10 0 0 0 4 10 Percent 9 30 15 14 17 22 Weight Fuel models 2 10 10 10 10 10 Weight Fuel models Fuel models Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Model Weight Prescribed fire only No action Table 23d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection Weight Weight K 274 9 9 9 10 10 10 2 10 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire 76 48 52 60 67 83 percentile 90 71 °F Miles/hour 14 9 Temperature Windspeed 10 3 = Moist 70 moisture values from Reinhardt and Crookston (2003). *Moisture categories correspond to variant-specific percentage Windspeed (mph) Moisture category* Temperature (°F) Table 23f—Prescribed fire weather conditions used in models Severe—98th Fire weather conditions Table 23e—FVS fuel model selection 9 6 9 9 9 9 0 10 10 9 9 12 11 10 10 9 12 12 Percent 65 64 51 70 98 81 100 93 72 52 87 88 Model Weight tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. 9 9 9 10 10 10 Model 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years None Surface fuel treatment Fuel moisture Weight 100-hr (1–3 in) Model 10-hr (0.25–1 in) 0 22 23 14 8 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight 65 52 58 65 78 93 100 95 65 71 97 79 Percent 76 68 54 87 88 72 Weight 1,000-hr (3+ in) 2 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 Model Duff 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 10 10 9 12 12 10 10 9 9 12 12 Model Live 35 24 25 25 17 6 0 5 35 29 3 21 Percent 24 32 46 13 12 28 Weight 3 5 5 8 8 11 15 24 50 125 100 150 0 6 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 0 24 17 10 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0 9 6 6 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model 1-hr (0–0.25 in) 24 30 25 26 25 14 0 7 28 48 13 12 Percent 35 36 49 30 2 19 Weight Fuel models Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Table 23d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection (continued) Region 6 — Deschutes National Forest 3 Weight L 275 Stand attributes: Stem density = 1,216 tpa, basal area = 174 ft 2 /ac, top height = 93 ft, stand density index = 415, quadratic mean diameter = 5.1 in, crown competition factor = 199, canopy cover = 69 percent. Region 6 — Malheur National Forest Species (based on trees per acre): Grand fir (Abies grandis) = 82 percent, Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) = 14 percent, ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) = 3 percent, western larch (Larix occidentalis) = 2 percent. Site: Elevation = 4,600 ft, slope = 29 percent, aspect = 140°. Initial stand conditions A 276 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Malheur National Forest B 277 for 50 years. passive crown fire remains likely for severe fire weather decrease as trees grow and the stand self-thins, but base height will increase and canopy bulk density will and duff loading is 27 tons/ac. With no action, canopy weather. Woody fuel loading is 19 tons/ac, and litter high for severe fire weather but low for moderate fire ate fire weather. Similarly, potential tree mortality is fire spread for severe fire weather but not for moder- so initial conditions are conducive to active crown and canopy bulk density is 0.21 kg/m 3 (0.0131 lb/ft 3), ponderosa pine overstory. Canopy base height is 3 ft, primarily grand fir understory with Douglas-fir and This stand has 1,216 trees per acre (tpa) composed of Initial conditions/no-action trajectory Crown fire remains unlikely for thinning treatments with a pile and burn or no surface fuel treatment for the 50-year projection, because flame lengths remain low, preventing passive crown fire even when regeneration causes canopy case height to decrease. Passive crown fire is predicted in 30 to 40 years for all treatments with prescribed fire, because these treatments have the greatest regeneration and therefore the biggest decrease in canopy base height when regeneration moves into the canopy. All treatments reduce canopy bulk density enough that active crown fire remains unlikely for the 50-year projection. The prescribed fire only treatment reduces crown fire potential, surface fuel loading, potential flame lengths, and potential mortality but creates many snags that will contribute to surface fuels in the future. All thinning treatments are effective at reducing canopy bulk density and increasing canopy base height enough to reduce the potential for active and passive crown fire. The greater the thinning, the greater the reduction in crown fire potential, but the differences between the 300 tpa treatment and the 200 tpa treatment are minor. All thinning treatments increase surface fuel loadings; the greater the thinning, the greater the activity fuels. Region 6 — Malheur National Forest caution. site specific, so this result should be interpreted with of fire behavior is not predicted well in FFE and is than fuel model 8. The importance of brush as a driver are characterized by predominantly fuel model 5 rather tpa treatment is the most open stand, and conditions with the same surface fuel treatments, because the 50 burn or prescribed fire are higher than other thinnings flame lengths of the 50 tpa treatment with a pile and it still remains at 17 tons/ac after the treatment. The fire treatment also partially reduces the duff layer, but ning without surface fuel treatments. The prescribed potential flame lengths and mortality more than thin- surface fuels to below initial conditions and decrease pile and burn and prescribed fire treatments reduce conditions because canopy base height is higher. The but potential tree mortality remains lower than initial These activity fuels increase potential flame lengths, Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— long-term effects Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— immediate effects C 278 Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 4 7 7 1 2 25 2 3 10 14 Surface Active 25 100 Initial condition 1 1 3 0 1 17 1 1 155 35 Surface Surface 16 16 Prescribed fire only 8 8 7 1 3 25 3 5 90 30 Surface Surface 14 20 2 2 2 0 3 23 1 1 424 30 Surface Surface 14 14 0 2 4 0 1 17 1 1 472 35 Surface Surface 12 12 2 2 2 0 3 23 2 4 151 36 Surface Surface 9 9 0 2 4 0 1 17 2 6 106 40 Surface Surface 9 13 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 10 8 7 1 3 25 4 6 109 36 Surface Surface 9 15 Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 24a—Projected treatment effects on fuels and fire first cycle after treatments implemented Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 0 2 4 0 1 17 1 1 273 35 Surface Surface 15 15 2 2 2 0 2 23 1 1 300 25 Surface Surface 18 18 6 7 7 1 3 25 3 4 63 25 Surface Surface 18 22 Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0 2 4 0 1 17 1 1 259 35 Surface Surface 15 15 2 2 2 0 2 23 1 1 217 22 Surface Surface 21 21 6 7 7 1 3 25 2 3 46 22 Surface Surface 21 24 Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit D 279 Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel Fuel/fire attribute treatment None Surface fuel treatment Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 5 7 9 4 3 25 3 4 2 17 Surface Passive 54 4 0 20 yrs 5 6 9 5 3 25 3 4 7 18 Surface Passive 55 4 0 30 yrs 6 6 8 6 3 25 3 4 7 17 Surface Passive 50 4 1 40 yrs 5 8 8 2 1 25 3 5 90 36 Surface Surface 38 5 0 10 yrs 3 8 9 4 1 25 3 5 121 37 Surface Surface 14 4 0 20 yrs 2 7 9 5 1 24 3 4 9 38 Surface Passive 8 3 0 30 yrs 2 6 8 5 1 24 2 4 24 38 Surface Surface 6 3 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 4 7 8 2 2 25 2 3 14 15 Surface Passive 62 4 0 10 yrs 2 5 7 6 1 24 2 4 36 37 Surface Surface 6 3 0 50 yrs 6 5 8 7 3 25 3 4 12 15 Surface Passive 44 4 1 50 yrs Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 10 8 7 1 3 25 4 6 109 36 Surface Surface 51 5 0 1 yr 4 7 7 1 2 25 2 3 10 14 Surface Active 65 5 0 1 yr No action Table 24b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection 8 8 7 1 3 25 3 5 90 30 Surface Surface 51 5 0 1 yr 1 1 3 0 1 17 1 1 155 35 Surface Surface 308 7 0 1 yr 3 4 8 5 2 17 2 4 46 30 Surface Surface 23 5 0 20 yrs 3 4 8 7 2 17 2 4 59 28 Surface Surface 13 4 0 30 yrs 3 3 8 8 2 17 2 4 82 25 Surface Surface 11 4 1 40 yrs 4 8 8 2 1 25 3 4 91 29 Surface Surface 39 4 0 10 yrs 3 8 9 4 2 25 3 4 102 28 Surface Surface 16 4 0 20 yrs 2 7 9 5 2 25 3 4 123 28 Surface Surface 9 3 0 30 yrs 3 6 8 6 2 24 3 4 157 28 Surface Surface 7 3 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 5 4 7 3 2 17 2 4 39 33 Surface Surface 34 6 0 10 yrs Prescribed fire only 3 6 7 6 2 24 2 4 17 26 Surface Surface 7 3 1 50 yrs 3 3 3 3 2 17 2 4 113 24 Surface Surface 10 4 1 50 yrs E 280 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0 2 4 0 1 17 2 6 106 40 Surface Surface 42 7 0 2 2 2 0 3 23 2 4 151 36 Surface Surface 51 5 0 1 yr 2 3 7 3 1 17 2 5 126 40 Surface Surface 28 6 0 2 3 4 2 1 22 1 4 271 36 Surface Surface 38 5 0 10 yrs 2 3 8 5 1 17 2 3 13 41 Surface Passive 18 5 0 2 3 5 3 1 22 1 3 388 37 Surface Surface 14 4 0 20 yrs 2 3 8 7 1 17 2 3 22 34 Surface Surface 11 3 0 2 3 6 5 1 22 2 2 38 38 Surface Surface 8 3 0 30 yrs 2 3 7 7 1 17 2 3 33 27 Surface Surface 9 3 0 2 3 5 5 1 22 2 2 62 37 Surface Surface 7 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 24b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 2 3 6 7 1 17 2 3 45 23 Surface Surface 9 2 0 2 3 5 5 1 22 2 2 67 37 Surface Surface 7 3 0 50 yrs Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 0 2 4 0 3 23 1 1 472 35 Surface Surface 52 7 0 2 2 2 0 3 23 1 1 424 30 Surface Surface 51 5 0 1 yr 2 4 8 3 1 17 2 3 220 34 Surface Surface 33 6 0 2 3 4 2 1 22 1 2 483 29 Surface Surface 39 4 0 10 yrs 2 4 9 5 1 17 2 4 168 33 Surface Surface 20 5 0 2 3 5 3 2 22 2 2 311 28 Surface Surface 16 4 0 20 yrs 2 4 9 7 1 17 2 4 8 32 Surface Passive 10 4 0 2 3 6 5 2 22 2 3 288 28 Surface Surface 9 3 0 30 yrs 2 3 8 7 2 17 2 4 22 32 Surface Surface 8 2 0 2 3 5 5 2 22 2 3 31 27 Surface Surface 8 3 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 2 3 7 7 2 17 2 3 25 31 Surface Surface 7 2 0 3 3 5 6 2 22 2 3 39 26 Surface Surface 8 3 0 50 yrs F 281 Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 7 8 2 2 25 3 4 64 23 Surface Surface 41 4 0 7 7 1 3 25 3 4 63 25 Surface Surface 53 5 0 3 3 5 3 2 22 2 3 220 22 Surface Surface 19 4 0 7 9 4 2 25 3 4 81 22 Surface Surface 19 4 0 3 20 yrs 3 3 6 5 2 22 2 3 194 21 Surface Surface 12 4 0 7 9 5 2 25 3 4 91 21 Surface Surface 12 4 0 3 30 yrs 3 3 6 6 2 22 2 3 226 20 Surface Surface 11 3 0 6 8 6 2 25 3 4 125 20 Surface Surface 11 3 0 3 40 yrs 4 3 5 6 2 22 2 3 246 18 Surface Surface 11 4 1 5 8 6 2 25 3 4 141 19 Surface Surface 11 4 1 4 50 yrs Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 3 3 4 2 2 22 1 2 293 23 Surface Surface 41 4 0 4 6 2 2 2 0 2 23 1 1 300 25 Surface Surface 53 5 0 10 yrs 1 yr Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 24b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 2 2 2 0 2 23 1 1 217 22 Surface Surface 54 5 0 7 7 1 3 25 2 3 46 22 Surface Surface 54 5 0 6 1 yr 3 3 4 2 2 22 1 2 190 23 Surface Surface 43 4 0 7 8 2 2 25 3 4 42 23 Surface Surface 43 4 0 4 10 yrs 3 3 5 3 2 22 2 3 130 22 Surface Surface 21 4 0 7 9 4 2 25 3 4 47 22 Surface Surface 21 4 0 3 20 yrs 3 3 6 5 2 22 2 3 154 20 Surface Surface 14 3 0 6 9 5 2 25 3 4 80 20 Surface Surface 15 4 0 3 30 yrs 4 3 5 6 3 22 2 3 162 18 Surface Surface 13 3 0 6 8 6 3 25 3 4 90 18 Surface Surface 13 3 0 4 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 4 3 5 6 3 22 2 3 202 16 Surface Surface 14 4 1 5 8 6 3 25 3 4 110 17 Surface Surface 12 3 1 4 50 yrs G 282 Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0 2 4 0 1 17 1 1 273 35 Surface Surface 69 7 0 1 yr 3 5 8 3 1 17 2 3 107 34 Surface Surface 33 6 0 10 yrs 2 4 9 5 1 17 2 4 106 31 Surface Surface 20 5 0 20 yrs Canopy bulk density 0.21 3 (kg/m 3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 69 415 Basal area (ft 2) 199 174 Merchantable volume (ft 3) Crown competition factor 4,041 Total volume (ft 3) Canopy closure (percent) 5.1 4,813 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,216 Trees per acre None 1 yr Stand attribute Surface fuel treatment 0.18 4 215 71 459 198 4,945 5,830 5.5 1,186 10 yrs 0.16 4 228 74 497 220 5,927 6,890 5.9 1,149 20 yrs 0.14 5 239 75 530 241 6,864 7,943 6.3 1,105 30 yrs No action 2 4 9 7 2 17 2 4 120 29 Surface Surface 10 4 0 30 yrs 0.15 5 250 77 562 262 7,762 9,013 6.7 1,067 40 yrs 2 4 8 7 2 17 2 4 19 28 Surface Surface 8 3 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 24c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel treatment Table 24b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 0.18 6 261 78 594 283 8,651 10,110 7.1 1,033 50 yrs 3 3 7 7 2 17 2 4 21 26 Surface Surface 8 3 1 50 yrs Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 0.06 7 115 47 246 139 3,965 4,446 5.1 209 1 yr 0 2 4 0 1 17 1 1 259 35 Surface Surface 88 7 0 1 yr 0.07 8 120 48 257 148 4,343 4,847 11.5 206 10 yrs 4 5 8 3 1 17 2 4 87 33 Surface Surface 33 6 0 10 yrs 2 4 9 7 2 17 2 4 90 29 Surface Surface 11 4 0 30 yrs 0.08 10 131 51 281 166 5,141 5,680 12.3 201 20 yrs 0.08 13 141 53 303 184 5,927 6,540 13.1 197 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 3 5 9 5 2 17 2 4 88 31 Surface Surface 21 5 0 20 yrs 0.09 17 151 55 326 202 6,674 7,416 13.9 192 40 yrs 2 4 8 7 2 17 2 4 13 27 Surface Passive 8 3 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.10 22 161 57 347 220 7,446 8,275 14.7 187 50 yrs 3 3 7 7 2 17 2 4 21 25 Surface Surface 8 3 1 50 yrs H 283 Prescribed fire Pile and burn 4,041 174 Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 3 Canopy base height (ft) 4,041 174 Total volume (ft3) Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 199 3 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.21 3 (kg/m3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 69 415 Basal area (ft 2) 199 174 Merchantable volume (ft3) Crown competition factor 4,041 Total volume (ft3) Canopy cover (percent) 5.1 4,813 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,216 Trees per acre 0.21 69 Canopy cover (percent) Canopy bulk density (kg/m³) 415 Stand density index Basal area 5.1 4,813 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,216 Trees per acre 0.21 199 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 69 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 415 Stand density index Basal area 5.1 4,813 Total volume (ft3) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,216 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.05 35 75 31 157 113 3,572 3,833 20.4 50 0.06 34 75 31 157 113 3,894 4,186 20.4 50 0.06 34 75 31 157 113 3,894 4,186 20.4 50 1 yr 0.05 3 81 34 246 124 4,339 4,659 8.2 338 0.06 38 87 35 237 136 4,760 5,108 11.3 196 0.06 38 87 34 224 136 4,760 5,108 13.0 146 20 yrs 0.06 4 113 41 267 138 4,860 5,224 8.7 332 0.06 4 106 38 255 149 5,320 5,701 11.9 192 0.06 4 101 37 240 148 5,317 5,693 13.7 144 30 yrs 0.09 5 123 45 287 151 5,308 5,731 9.2 327 0.06 6 115 41 273 163 5,850 6,284 12.6 189 0.06 6 109 39 255 161 5,820 6,245 14.5 141 40 yrs 0.11 6 133 48 307 166 5,725 6,211 9.7 321 0.06 6 123 44 289 176 6,275 6,769 13.2 186 0.06 7 117 42 271 174 6,254 6,740 15.2 139 50 yrs Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 0.05 38 73 29 228 113 3,821 4,101 7.8 343 0.06 37 80 32 221 124 4,176 4,484 10.7 199 0.06 37 80 32 209 124 4,176 4,484 12.3 149 10 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 24c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.06 24 103 42 213 140 3,965 4,306 16.0 100 0.07 21 103 42 213 140 4,470 4,880 16.0 100 0.07 21 103 42 213 140 4,470 4,880 16.0 100 1 yr 0.07 29 95 38 243 135 4,302 4,669 10.5 225 0.08 27 113 44 261 157 4,867 5,315 12.9 174 0.08 27 113 44 252 157 4,867 5,315 13.9 148 10 yrs 0.07 29 104 41 264 151 5,051 5,445 11.2 221 0.08 27 123 47 284 175 5,764 6,252 13.7 171 0.08 27 123 47 274 175 5,756 6,242 14.9 145 20 yrs 0.07 3 118 44 286 167 5,784 6,234 11.9 217 0.08 30 134 49 307 195 6,688 7,217 14.6 168 0.08 30 134 49 297 194 6,671 7,199 15.8 143 30 yrs 0.07 5 135 47 310 185 6,548 7,053 12.6 213 0.09 4 146 51 331 214 7,579 8,179 15.4 165 0.08 34 145 51 319 213 7,558 8,157 16.7 140 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.07 6 145 49 331 202 7,256 7,799 13.3 209 0.09 5 160 53 352 233 8,426 9,081 16.3 162 0.09 5 158 53 340 232 8,401 9,053 17.6 137 50 yrs I 284 174 (ft 2 ) 3 Canopy base height (ft) 4,041 174 Total volume (ft3 ) Merchantable volume (ft3 ) (ft 2 ) 3 Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.21 3 Canopy base height (ft) (kg/m3 ) 69 199 Canopy cover (percent) Crown competition factor Stand density index 156 3,976 0.06 13 127 52 (ft 2 ) 266 174 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) 4,410 12.0 200 0.10 12 127 52 266 156 4,491 5,138 12.0 200 0.10 12 127 52 266 156 4,491 5,138 12.0 200 1 yr 415 4,041 Total volume (ft3 ) Basal area 5.1 4,813 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,216 Trees per acre 0.21 199 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 69 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 415 Stand density index Basal area 5.1 4,813 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,216 Trees per acre 0.21 199 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 69 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3 ) 415 Stand density index tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Prescribed fire Pile and burn 4,041 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) Basal area 5.1 4,813 Total volume (ft3 ) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 1,216 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.06 18 105 43 245 143 4,337 4,798 11.8 187 0.11 16 138 54 303 176 4,970 5,635 11.8 233 0.11 16 138 54 299 176 4,970 5,635 12.1 220 10 yrs 0.07 21 115 45 268 160 5,188 5,654 12.7 183 0.11 19 151 57 332 199 6,045 6,742 12.6 228 0.11 19 151 57 328 199 6,038 6,734 13.0 215 20 yrs 0.08 25 126 48 292 179 6,051 6,565 13.5 180 0.12 21 164 60 362 223 7,219 7,941 13.5 223 0.12 21 164 59 358 222 7,213 7,933 13.9 210 30 yrs 0.08 5 142 51 317 200 6,941 7,528 14.4 176 0.13 27 178 62 393 248 8,308 9,215 14.4 218 0.13 27 178 62 388 247 8,310 9,213 14.9 206 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 24c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.09 5 153 53 340 219 7,830 8,454 15.3 173 0.14 32 191 64 422 272 9,493 10,492 15.3 213 0.14 32 191 64 417 272 9,497 10,493 15.8 201 50 yrs Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 0.06 12 144 57 298 162 3,971 4,428 10.0 300 0.11 8 144 57 298 162 4,485 5,209 10.0 300 0.11 8 144 57 298 162 4,485 5,209 10.0 300 1 yr 0.07 16 110 45 253 145 4,349 4,826 11.4 205 0.11 10 157 60 337 184 4,950 5,723 10.1 331 0.11 10 157 60 334 184 4,950 5,723 10.3 318 10 yrs 0.07 18 121 48 277 164 5,193 5,699 12.2 201 0.12 11 171 63 369 208 6,049 6,854 10.9 324 0.12 11 171 63 366 208 6,043 6,846 11.1 311 20 yrs 0.08 19 133 50 303 183 6,065 6,622 13.0 198 0.13 16 187 66 404 234 7,220 8,105 11.6 317 0.13 17 186 66 400 234 7,206 8,085 11.9 304 30 yrs 0.09 4 147 53 329 204 6,899 7,602 13.9 194 0.15 19 202 68 439 261 8,289 9,440 12.4 309 0.15 19 202 68 435 261 8,269 9,426 12.7 297 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.10 5 161 55 354 225 7,897 8,572 14.8 190 0.16 26 217 70 472 287 9,439 10,773 13.2 303 0.16 25 218 70 470 289 9,474 10,818 13.5 292 50 yrs J 285 11 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 5 5 8 8 8 8 1 10 20 30 40 `50 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire Model 10 10 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years Model Years None Surface fuel treatment None Surface fuel treatment 8 8 8 12 12 12 Percent 56 69 95 96 94 92 Percent 44 31 5 4 6 8 Weight Model Weight 73 51 66 64 66 70 8 8 10 10 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 10 14 8 8 8 8 10 Percent 65 84 71 63 53 55 50 67 83 82 83 84 Model Weight Model Weight Model Weight Model 27 35 28 36 34 30 39 32 12 18 17 16 Percent 35 11 26 37 47 45 Weight 0 13 7 0 0 0 11 0 4 0 0 0 Percent 0 5 3 0 0 0 Weight Model Weight 8 8 8 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 11 10 10 10 10 10 Model Region 6 — Malheur National Forest 0 10 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 10 0 5 5 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 8 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 82 82 76 73 68 64 Weight 100 70 56 52 50 55 98 95 81 73 70 68 0 8 8 8 8 8 Percent 0 47 40 34 34 34 Model Weight Model 0 10 10 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 14 8 8 8 8 8 Model 0 30 44 48 50 45 2 5 19 27 30 32 Percent 18 18 24 27 32 36 Weight Model Fuel models Weight Model Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Percent 100 53 60 66 66 66 Weight Fuel models Fuel models Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Model Weight Prescribed fire only No action Table 24d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection Weight Weight K 286 8 8 8 8 8 10 8 8 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire 100 57 54 61 59 57 90 71 °F Miles/hour 14 9 Temperature Windspeed 10 3 = Moist 70 moisture values from Reinhardt and Crookston (2003). *Moisture categories correspond to variant-specific percentage Windspeed (mph) Moisture category* Temperature (°F) Table 24f—Prescribed fire weather conditions used in models Severe—98th percentile Moderate—75th percentile Fire weather conditions Table 24e—FVS fuel model selection 0 10 8 8 8 8 0 10 10 10 10 8 14 8 8 8 8 8 Percent 98 77 77 80 80 82 100 92 76 64 57 50 Model Weight tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. 11 10 10 10 10 10 Model 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years None Surface fuel treatment Model Fuel moisture Weight 100-hr (1–3 in) Model 10-hr (0.25–1 in) Weight 100 51 58 63 60 58 100 90 73 61 52 57 Percent 88 74 78 81 86 89 Weight 1,000-hr (3+ in) 8 8 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 10 11 10 10 10 10 10 Model Duff 0 10 8 8 8 8 0 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Model Live 0 49 42 37 40 42 0 10 27 39 48 43 Percent 12 26 22 19 14 11 Weight 2 5 5 7 8 10 15 23 50 125 100 150 Model Fuel models Weight Model Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1-hr (0–0.25 in) 0 43 46 39 41 43 0 8 24 36 43 50 Percent 2 23 23 20 20 18 Weight Fuel models Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Table 24d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection (continued) Region 6 — Malheur National Forest Weight L 287 Stand attributes: Stem density = 764 tpa, basal area = 174 ft 2 /ac, top height = 90 ft, stand density index = 379, quadratic mean diameter = 6.5 in, crown competition factor = 204, canopy cover = 65 percent. Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 Species (based on trees per ac): Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) = 90 percent, ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) = 9 percent. Site: Elevation = 4,400 ft, slope = 34 percent, aspect = 220°. Initial stand conditions A 288 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 B 289 crown fire potential decreases over time, and passive crown fire becomes unlikely in 10 years and remains unlikely for the 50-year projection. In all thinned stands, canopy base height continues to increase as trees grow and the stand self-thins, and passive crown fire remains unlikely for 50 years in the 100, 200, and 300 tpa treatments. Abundant regeneration causes a drop in canopy base height in 30 years in the 50 tpa treatments with a pile and burn and with no surface fuel treatment, and in 10 years in the 50 tpa treatment with prescribed fire. At this time, passive crown fire is predicted again, but the increase in crown fire potential is fleeting and soon decreases as the regeneration grows and crowns rise. Surface fuels accumulate over time in all thinned stands with pile and burn or prescribed fire treatments, but potential flame lengths decrease as the stand becomes less open and the assigned fuel model shifts from model 6 to model 9. potential flame lengths increase because the more open stand is characterized by predominantly fuel model 6, brush fuels. Brush fuels are not tracked in FFE and the presence of brush following prescribed fire is site specific, so these results should be interpreted with caution. All thinning treatments increase canopy base height and reduce canopy bulk density. The 100 tpa thinning without a surface fuel treatment is the only treatment that remains susceptible to passive crown fire. Thinning to 50 tpa increases canopy base height much more than the other prescriptions because some larger overstory trees are removed as well as ladder fuels. All thinning treatments increase surface fuels, the greater the thinning, the greater is the increase in surface fuel loading. The 100 tpa treatment demonstrates that thinning must increase canopy base height enough to compensate for higher flame lengths associated with activity fuels if no surface fuel treat- fire and low potential for active crown fire spread under severe fire weather. Potential basal area mortal- ity is 70 percent for severe fire weather, but only 18 percent for moderate fire weather. Woody fuel loading is 9 tons/ac, and litter and duff loading is 7 tons/ac. With no action, canopy base height increases as the trees grow and the stand self­-thins, making passive crown fire unlikely in 10 years, but crown fire potential declines only slightly because flame lengths increase as surface fuels accumulate. Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 predominantly characterized by fuel model 6. the low-density stands with scarce surface fuels are surface fuels, but flame lengths remain high because a greater extent, the prescribed fire treatment reduce ment is applied. The pile and burn treatment and, to projection. In the prescribed fire only treatment, creates more snags. Surface fuel loading is reduced, but initial conditions have high potential for passive crown so ments that active crown fire is unlikely for the 50-year canopy bulk density is 0.08 on canopy base height and crown fire potential and (0.005 Canopy bulk density remains low enough in all treat- The prescribed fire only treatment has little effect ponderosa pine. Canopy base height is only 2 ft and lb/ft 3), of primarily understory Douglas-fir with overstory kg/m 3 Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— long-term effects Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— immediate effects This stand has 764 trees per acre (tpa) composed Initial conditions/no-action trajectory C 290 Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 3 3 3 0 2 5 2 3 0 29 Surface Passive 18 70 Initial condition 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 5 10 48 Surface Passive 16 36 Prescribed fire only 6 3 2 0 3 3 4 6 26 45 Surface Surface 11 20 1 1 1 0 3 3 4 6 20 45 Surface Surface 12 25 0 1 1 0 1 2 4 6 29 48 Surface Surface 10 24 2 1 0 0 3 2 4 7 61 50 Surface Surface 6 15 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 7 49 53 Surface Surface 6 15 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 7 3 1 0 3 3 4 6 81 50 Surface Surface 6 7 Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 25a—Projected treatment effects on fuels and fire first cycle after treatments implemented Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 0 1 1 0 1 3 4 6 18 48 Surface Surface 14 25 1 1 1 0 2 4 3 4 13 33 Surface Surface 15 26 4 3 2 0 2 5 3 4 12 33 Surface Passive 16 30 Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0 1 1 0 1 3 4 5 12 47 Surface Passive 16 33 1 1 1 0 2 4 2 3 20 31 Surface Surface 17 20 4 3 2 0 2 5 2 3 17 31 Surface Surface 17 21 Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit D 291 Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel Fuel/fire attribute treatment None Surface fuel treatment Fuel/fire attribute 7 3 1 0 3 3 4 6 81 50 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 3 3 3 0 2 5 2 3 0 29 Surface Passive 42 0 0 7 4 3 1 3 6 3 4 16 29 Surface Surface 115 1 0 20 yrs 7 5 4 2 3 6 3 4 19 30 Surface Surface 92 1 0 30 yrs 7 5 5 3 3 7 3 4 21 33 Surface Surface 86 1 0 40 yrs 5 3 1 0 1 3 4 7 94 48 Surface Surface 2 0 0 10 yrs 3 3 1 0 2 3 4 7 93 48 Surface Surface 6 0 0 20 yrs 3 3 1 1 2 3 4 6 0 47 Passive Passive 8 0 0 30 yrs 3 3 2 1 2 3 2 3 25 47 Surface Surface 9 0 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 5 3 2 0 3 5 2 3 11 30 Surface Surface 106 1 0 10 yrs 3 3 2 2 2 4 2 3 32 47 Surface Surface 10 1 0 50 yrs 7 6 6 4 3 7 3 5 21 35 Surface Surface 76 1 0 50 yrs 6 3 2 0 3 3 4 6 26 45 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 5 10 48 Surface Passive 164 1 0 1 yr 4 3 3 1 2 4 3 5 29 45 Surface Surface 12 1 0 10 yrs 4 3 3 2 2 4 3 5 42 44 Surface Surface 23 1 0 20 yrs 5 3 4 3 2 4 3 5 60 41 Surface Surface 33 1 0 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 5 4 5 4 2 5 3 5 39 40 Surface Surface 35 2 0 40 yrs 4 3 2 0 2 4 4 6 52 43 Surface Surface 3 0 0 10 yrs 4 3 2 0 2 4 4 6 57 42 Surface Surface 9 0 0 20 yrs 4 4 2 1 2 4 4 5 75 42 Surface Surface 13 0 0 30 yrs 4 4 3 1 2 5 4 5 89 42 Surface Surface 21 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 yr No action Table 25b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection 5 4 3 2 2 5 3 5 98 41 Surface Surface 24 2 0 50 yrs 5 5 6 5 2 5 3 5 97 41 Surface Surface 34 2 0 50 yrs E 292 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0 1 1 0 0 2 4 7 49 53 Surface Surface 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 3 2 4 7 61 50 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 0 50 Passive Passive 7 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 7 75 48 Surface Surface 2 0 0 10 yrs 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 16 37 Surface Surface 13 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 3 4 7 78 48 Surface Surface 6 0 0 20 yrs 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 27 30 Surface Surface 17 1 0 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 3 15 47 Surface Surface 9 0 0 30 yrs 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 3 30 27 Surface Surface 34 1 0 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 3 27 47 Surface Surface 12 0 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 25b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 4 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 29 27 Surface Surface 44 2 0 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 3 39 47 Surface Surface 14 1 0 50 yrs 0 1 1 0 3 3 4 6 29 48 Surface Surface 15 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 3 4 6 20 45 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 2 2 2 1 2 3 4 6 37 45 Surface Surface 10 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 3 4 6 47 43 Surface Surface 3 0 0 10 yrs 3 2 3 2 2 3 4 6 63 44 Surface Surface 14 1 0 3 1 1 0 2 4 4 6 53 42 Surface Surface 10 0 0 20 yrs 3 2 3 3 2 3 4 6 4 43 Surface Passive 12 0 0 4 2 1 1 2 4 4 6 74 41 Surface Surface 19 1 0 30 yrs 3 3 3 3 2 3 2 4 13 44 Surface Surface 21 1 0 4 2 2 2 2 4 4 6 89 41 Surface Surface 26 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 4 3 4 4 2 4 2 4 14 44 Surface Surface 31 2 0 5 3 3 3 2 4 4 5 8 41 Surface Passive 27 2 0 50 yrs F 293 Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 1 1 1 0 2 4 3 4 13 33 Surface Surface 14 0 0 4 3 2 0 2 5 3 4 12 33 Surface Passive 14 0 0 3 1 1 0 3 4 3 4 35 38 Surface Surface 20 0 0 5 3 2 0 3 5 3 4 36 39 Surface Surface 20 0 0 10 yrs 5 2 1 1 3 5 3 4 50 38 Surface Surface 34 1 0 5 3 3 1 3 5 3 4 52 39 Surface Surface 34 1 0 20 yrs 6 3 3 2 3 5 3 5 70 39 Surface Surface 43 1 0 6 4 4 2 3 5 3 5 74 39 Surface Surface 42 1 0 30 yrs 6 4 4 3 3 5 3 5 83 38 Surface Surface 46 2 0 6 5 5 3 3 6 3 5 90 38 Surface Surface 45 2 0 40 yrs 6 5 6 5 2 6 3 5 102 39 Surface Surface 45 3 0 7 6 7 5 2 6 3 5 84 39 Surface Surface 43 2 0 50 yrs 1 1 1 0 2 4 2 3 20 31 Surface Surface 15 0 0 4 3 2 0 2 5 2 3 17 31 Surface Surface 15 0 0 1 yr 3 1 1 0 3 5 2 3 48 33 Surface Surface 25 0 0 4 3 2 0 3 5 2 3 31 33 Surface Surface 25 0 0 10 yrs 5 2 1 1 3 5 2 3 49 31 Surface Surface 38 1 0 6 3 3 1 3 6 2 4 43 32 Surface Surface 38 1 0 20 yrs 6 3 2 1 3 5 2 4 38 34 Surface Surface 47 1 0 6 4 3 1 3 6 3 4 36 35 Surface Surface 48 1 0 30 yrs 7 4 3 2 3 6 3 4 41 35 Surface Surface 52 1 0 7 5 5 2 3 6 3 4 40 35 Surface Surface 55 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 yr Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 25b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 7 5 5 3 3 6 3 4 51 35 Surface Surface 53 2 0 7 6 6 4 3 7 3 5 39 36 Surface Surface 55 2 0 50 yrs G 294 Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0 1 1 0 1 3 3 4 12 33 Surface Passive 28 1 0 1 yr 3 3 3 1 2 3 3 5 32 45 Surface Surface 11 1 0 10 yrs 4 3 3 2 2 4 3 5 55 44 Surface Surface 20 1 0 20 yrs Canopy bulk density 0.08 2 (kg/m 3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 65 379 Basal area (ft 2) 204 174 Merchantable volume (ft 3) Canopy closure (percent) 4,494 Total volume (ft 3) Crown competition factor 6.5 5,287 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 764 Trees per acre None 1 yr Stand attribute Surface fuel treatment 0.08 4 207 66 384 184 4,912 5,717 7.2 651 10 yrs 0.08 6 208 64 383 189 5,110 5,994 7.8 571 20 yrs 0.08 7 208 64 384 196 5,576 6,350 8.4 506 30 yrs No action 4 4 4 3 2 4 3 5 67 41 Surface Surface 28 1 0 30 yrs 0.07 8 206 63 379 199 5,857 6,635 9.0 446 40 yrs 5 4 5 3 2 4 3 5 77 40 Surface Surface 35 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 25c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel treatment Table 25b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 0.07 9 204 62 377 203 6,190 6,954 9.7 394 50 yrs 5 5 6 5 2 5 3 5 11 40 Surface Passive 34 2 0 50 yrs 0.04 6 144 49 255 150 4,360 4,981 6.5 186 1 yr 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 3 17 31 Surface Surface 47 1 0 1 yr 0.05 13 151 50 265 158 4,663 5,273 12.6 182 10 yrs 4 3 3 1 2 4 3 5 25 45 Surface Surface 12 1 0 10 yrs 5 4 4 3 3 4 3 5 61 41 Surface Surface 39 1 0 30 yrs 0.05 18 156 50 271 166 4,922 5,621 13.5 168 20 yrs 0.05 24 155 49 268 169 5,231 5,854 14.4 149 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 4 3 3 2 3 4 3 5 44 44 Surface Surface 28 1 0 20 yrs 0.05 16 153 48 264 171 5,430 6,093 15.4 133 40 yrs 5 4 5 4 2 5 3 5 76 40 Surface Surface 42 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 0.05 34 150 46 260 172 5,654 6,301 16.5 117 50 yrs 5 5 6 5 2 5 3 5 92 40 Surface Surface 38 2 0 50 yrs H 295 Prescribed fire Pile and burn 4,494 174 Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 2 Canopy base height (ft) 4,494 174 Total volume (ft3) Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 204 2 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.04 42 88 29 155 112 3,722 4,088 20.3 50 0.04 41 88 29 155 112 3,956 4,344 20.3 50 0.04 41 88 29 155 112 3,956 4,344 20.3 50 1 yr 0.04 2 97 34 231 114 3,910 4,236 7.8 345 0.04 45 93 30 214 119 4,155 4,502 10.5 199 0.04 45 93 30 202 119 4,155 4,502 12.1 149 10 yrs 0.06 4 120 41 251 127 4,094 4,525 8.3 336 0.04 46 96 31 221 124 4,345 4,759 10.8 195 0.04 45 96 31 209 124 4,343 4,758 12.5 146 20 yrs 0.08 6 135 46 274 144 4,439 4,919 9.0 323 0.04 4 112 36 235 135 4,713 5,131 11.5 189 0.04 4 109 35 221 134 4,712 5,128 13.2 141 30 yrs 0.09 8 141 48 283 153 4,554 5,118 9.8 293 0.04 6 121 39 247 146 5,036 5,515 12.2 179 0.04 7 116 37 231 144 5,030 5,505 14.0 135 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.10 11 145 48 288 161 4,776 5,459 10.7 259 0.04 9 128 40 257 155 5,361 5,863 13.0 168 0.04 9 122 38 239 152 5,346 5,835 14.8 128 50 yrs 0.04 19 121 41 215 142 4,168 4,668 16.1 100 0.05 13 121 41 215 142 4,549 5,138 16.1 100 0.05 13 121 41 215 142 4,549 5,138 16.1 100 1 yr 0.05 22 112 37 245 136 4,400 4,873 10.5 227 0.05 23 130 42 257 154 4,813 5,378 12.8 174 0.05 23 130 42 249 154 4,813 5,378 13.8 148 10 yrs 0.05 28 116 38 252 143 4,620 5,173 10.9 218 0.05 25 136 43 267 163 5,100 5,766 13.3 168 0.05 25 136 43 259 163 5,099 5,765 14.5 143 20 yrs 0.05 5 126 40 265 152 4,976 5,566 11.5 212 0.05 32 138 43 271 169 5,392 6,084 14.0 158 0.05 32 141 44 267 172 5,474 6,191 15.2 137 30 yrs 0.05 5 134 42 270 159 5,160 5,813 12.1 199 0.05 37 141 43 271 173 5,638 6,357 14.9 143 0.05 37 143 43 268 176 5,720 6,458 16.0 126 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 0.08 2 (kg/m3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 65 379 Basal area (ft 2) 204 174 Merchantable volume (ft3) Crown competition factor 4,494 Total volume (ft3) Canopy cover (percent) 6.5 5,287 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 764 Trees per acre 0.08 65 Canopy cover (percent) Canopy bulk density (kg/m³) 379 Stand density index Basal area 6.5 5,287 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 764 Trees per acre 0.08 204 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 65 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 379 Stand density index Basal area 6.5 5,287 Total volume (ft3) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 764 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment Table 25c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.05 7 136 42 270 163 5,366 6,025 13.0 178 0.05 6 142 43 268 174 5,764 6,494 15.7 130 0.05 40 144 43 266 178 5,883 6,635 16.8 116 50 yrs I 296 174 (ft 2 ) 2 Canopy base height (ft) 4,494 174 Total volume (ft3 ) Merchantable volume (ft3 ) (ft 2 ) 2 Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.08 2 Canopy base height (ft) (kg/m3 ) 65 204 Canopy cover (percent) Crown competition factor Stand density index 163 4,347 0.04 10 160 53 (ft 2 ) 276 174 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) 4,938 12.2 200 0.07 6 160 53 276 163 4,723 5,475 12.2 200 0.07 6 160 53 276 163 4,723 5,475 12.2 200 1 yr 379 4,494 Total volume (ft3 ) Basal area 6.5 5,287 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 764 Trees per acre 0.08 204 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 65 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 379 Stand density index Basal area 6.5 5,287 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 764 Trees per acre 0.08 204 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 65 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3 ) 379 Stand density index tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Prescribed fire Pile and burn 4,494 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) Basal area 6.5 5,287 Total volume (ft3 ) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 764 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.05 15 138 46 263 153 4,633 5,199 11.8 203 0.06 14 168 54 297 175 4,982 5,692 12.1 219 0.06 14 168 54 293 174 4,982 5,692 12.5 206 10 yrs 0.05 24 143 46 270 161 4,924 5,571 12.5 189 0.06 20 169 53 297 180 5,213 6,005 13.1 194 0.06 20 169 53 294 180 5,214 6,005 13.5 182 20 yrs 0.05 28 145 46 273 167 5,320 5,920 13.3 172 0.06 27 165 51 289 180 5,536 6,204 14.0 169 0.06 27 166 51 286 180 5,543 6,217 14.4 160 30 yrs 0.05 31 144 45 268 167 5,439 6,082 14.1 154 0.06 30 160 49 280 179 5,668 6,363 15.0 147 0.06 30 160 49 277 179 5,666 6,363 15.4 138 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 25c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.05 7 145 44 266 171 5,670 6,316 15.1 137 0.06 33 154 47 268 176 5,771 6,421 16.0 126 0.06 33 154 47 265 176 5,765 6,418 16.4 119 50 yrs 0.04 7 178 59 308 169 4,360 4,978 10.2 300 0.08 5 178 59 308 169 4,736 5,558 10.2 300 0.08 5 178 59 308 169 4,736 5,558 10.2 300 1 yr 0.05 12 147 49 276 158 4,669 5,272 11.2 229 0.07 8 191 61 334 185 5,018 5,833 10.4 313 0.07 8 191 61 331 185 5,018 5,833 10.6 300 10 yrs 0.05 19 150 48 279 164 4,914 5,592 12.1 207 0.07 12 199 61 344 196 5,352 6,290 11.2 285 0.07 12 198 61 341 196 5,351 6,289 11.5 273 20 yrs 0.05 25 150 47 276 167 5,244 5,865 13.0 181 0.07 11 199 60 343 202 5,856 6,680 12.1 254 0.07 11 198 60 339 201 5,818 6,649 12.4 241 30 yrs 0.05 29 148 46 270 168 5,389 6,046 13.9 160 0.06 13 196 58 338 204 6,175 6,984 13.0 223 0.06 13 192 58 329 201 6,081 6,873 13.3 209 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 0.05 32 147 45 267 171 5,637 6,276 14.9 141 0.07 16 189 56 327 203 6,349 7,124 13.9 193 0.06 26 185 55 318 199 6,270 7,018 14.2 180 50 yrs J 297 10 6 6 6 9 9 6 6 6 9 9 9 6 9 9 9 9 9 1 10 20 30 40 `50 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire Model 9 9 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years Model Years None Surface fuel treatment None Surface fuel treatment 10 10 9 9 12 12 Percent 96 66 68 86 99 92 Percent 4 34 32 14 1 8 Weight Model Weight 88 100 100 97 85 70 Weight Model Weight Model 12 0 0 3 15 30 3 0 0 0 0 3 Percent 34 17 10 7 7 11 Weight 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 1 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Weight 6 6 6 6 9 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 10 Model 6 9 10 10 10 10 Percent 51 71 67 61 52 50 Weight 100 100 88 78 71 58 97 90 86 75 61 49 9 6 9 6 6 6 Percent 35 35 33 25 18 8 Weight 0 10 6 9 9 9 Model Percent 0 29 31 21 11 4 Weight Model 0 0 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 Model 0 0 12 21 29 42 3 10 14 13 27 43 Percent 48 21 22 25 37 42 Weight 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Model Fuel models 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 12 12 8 Percent 2 8 11 13 11 8 Weight Model Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Percent 65 36 36 54 71 88 Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 2 0 0 10 10 10 2 0 0 0 0 10 6 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 65 83 90 93 93 89 97 100 100 100 100 97 Model Weight Model Fuel models Fuel models Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Model Weight Prescribed fire only No action Table 25d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection Weight Weight K 298 9 9 9 10 10 10 6 6 6 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire 83 57 49 47 62 80 81 64 °F Miles/hour 14 8 Temperature Windspeed 10 3 = Moist 70 moisture values from Reinhardt and Crookston (2003). *Moisture categories correspond to variant-specific percentage Windspeed (mph) Moisture category* Temperature (°F) Table 25f—Prescribed fire weather conditions used in models Severe—98th percentile Moderate—75th percentile Fire weather conditions Table 25e—FVS fuel model selection 9 9 10 6 6 6 6 6 10 9 6 6 6 10 9 9 6 12 Percent 53 50 45 67 91 91 67 70 49 51 76 99 Model Weight tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. 9 9 10 10 10 10 Model 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years None Surface fuel treatment 0 10 9 9 9 9 0 10 6 6 9 10 6 6 6 9 0 Model Fuel moisture Weight 100-hr (1–3 in) Model 10-hr (0.25–1 in) 0 19 22 15 9 4 0 1 25 21 11 0 Percent 21 21 19 14 4 0 Weight 71 43 37 56 75 94 94 97 71 52 72 93 Percent 82 71 52 68 90 93 Weight 1,000-hr (3+ in) 6 6 6 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 Model Duff 9 9 10 6 6 6 6 10 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 12 Model Live 29 33 36 27 17 5 6 3 29 48 25 5 Percent 13 29 48 32 8 7 Weight 3 6 5 8 8 11 15 18 50 125 100 150 0 10 9 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 0 6 0 0 Model Fuel models 0 24 27 16 8 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 Percent 5 0 0 0 1 0 Weight Model Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1-hr (0–0.25 in) 17 24 29 37 29 16 33 29 26 28 13 1 Percent 26 29 36 19 5 9 Weight Fuel models Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Table 25d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection (continued) Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 1 Weight L 299 Stand attributes: Stem density = 2,514 tpa, basal area = 188 ft 2 /ac, top height = 86 ft, stand density index = 510, quadratic mean diameter = 3.7 in, crown competition factor = 369, canopy cover = 88 percent. Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 Species (based on trees per acre): Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) = 99 percent, ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) = 1 percent. Site: Elevation = 4,800 ft, slope = 25 percent, aspect = 145°. Initial stand conditions A 300 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 B 301 that active crown fire spread remains unlikely for the 50-year projection. In the prescribed fire only treatment, forest structure changes little over time, but surface fuels accumulate, and higher flame lengths cause a gradual increase in crown fire potential. In the 50 and 100 tpa treatments, regeneration causes an abrupt decline in canopy base height in 10 to 30 years depending on surface fuel treatment, but because flame lengths are low, the decline in canopy base height only temporarily increases crown fire potential. In the 200 and 300 tpa treatments, regeneration is minimal, so canopy base height continues to increase over time as the trees grow and the stand self­-thins. In high-density treatments with prescribed fire, regeneration is greater and canopy base height decreases in 40 years, at which time surface fuels have accumulated and flame lengths are higher, so passive crown fire is predicted again for severe fire weather. Another treatment would be necessary to reduce surface fuels or increase canopy canopy base height, but fire-caused mortality of small trees reduces canopy bulk density and increases snag density. Surface fuel loading is greatly reduced and potential flame lengths decrease initially. All thinning treatments increase canopy base height and reduce canopy bulk density; the greater the thinning, the greater the change in forest structure. Immediately after the thinning the predicted fire type changes to surface fire for all treatments, but extensive activity fuels cause higher potential flame lengths. Both the pile and burn and the prescribed fire surface fuel treatments reduce woody fuels, and the prescribed fire treatment also reduces litter and duff, but potential flame lengths decrease only slightly because fuel model 5 is assigned to the open stands with low woody fuel loading. Flame lengths remain above 4 ft for severe fire weather, but are 2 ft or less for moderate fire weather. Brush fuels are not tracked in FFE and may or may not be present following treatment. ft and canopy bulk density is 0.52 kg/m 3 (0.0325 lb/ft3), so initial conditions have low potential for are 6 ft in 50 years for severe fire weather. 50-year projection. treatments for moderate fire weather for the entire Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 Surface fuels accumulate over time, and flame lengths but surface fire is predicted for moderate fire weather. passive crown fire is predicted for severe fire weather, potential for passive crown fire increases. In 40 years, so the potential for crown fire spread decreases, but the opy bulk density decreases, and flame lengths increase, no action, canopy base height remains constant, can- tons/ac, and litter and duff loading is 12 tons/ac. With flame lengths are only 2 ft. Woody fuel loading is 11 weather. Potential tree mortality is 34 percent, and fire spread (conditional crown fire) under severe fire passive crown fire but high potential for active crown overstory ponderosa pine. Canopy base height is 7 base height. Crown fire potential remains low in all All treatments reduce canopy bulk density sufficiently The prescribed fire only treatment does not affect composed of primarily understory Douglas-fir with This is a dense stand with 2,514 trees per acre (tpa) Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— long-term effects Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— immediate effects Initial conditions/no-action trajectory C 302 Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 3 4 4 0 2 10 1 2 197 6 Surface Conditional 34 34 Initial condition 1 0 2 0 1 7 1 1 232 22 Surface Surface 23 23 Prescribed fire only 14 9 3 0 5 8 5 7 43 40 Surface Surface 12 28 3 3 1 0 4 7 2 5 62 40 Surface Surface 12 18 0 2 2 0 1 6 1 6 53 51 Surface Surface 10 18 3 2 1 0 5 6 2 6 50 48 Surface Surface 8 10 0 2 1 0 0 5 2 6 43 51 Surface Surface 7 9 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 14 8 2 0 5 7 5 8 38 48 Surface Surface 8 29 Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 26a—Projected treatment effects on fuels and fire first cycle after treatments implemented Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 0 2 2 0 1 6 1 5 50 36 Surface Surface 14 24 3 2 1 0 4 8 2 4 138 23 Surface Surface 18 18 12 8 3 0 4 9 4 6 45 23 Surface Surface 18 36 Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0 2 2 0 1 7 1 4 81 29 Surface Surface 17 22 2 2 1 0 4 9 1 2 447 17 Surface Surface 22 22 10 6 4 0 4 10 3 5 53 17 Surface Surface 22 35 Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit D 303 Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel Fuel/fire attribute treatment None Surface fuel treatment Fuel/fire attribute 14 8 2 0 5 7 5 8 38 48 Surface Surface 6 4 0 1 yr 3 4 4 0 2 10 1 2 197 6 Surface Cond. 159 4 0 8 5 4 2 6 11 3 4 22 13 Surface Cond. 474 5 0 20 yrs 10 6 4 3 6 12 3 5 15 16 Surface Surface 353 5 0 30 yrs 10 7 6 5 6 12 4 5 11 18 Surface Passive 314 5 0 40 yrs 8 8 2 1 1 7 3 5 73 47 Surface Surface 7 4 0 10 yrs 5 7 3 2 2 8 3 6 79 45 Surface Surface 12 5 0 20 yrs 4 7 3 3 2 8 3 4 9 45 Surface Passive 17 5 0 30 yrs 3 7 4 5 2 8 3 4 17 47 Surface Surface 21 6 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 6 4 3 1 6 10 2 3 45 10 Surface Cond. 295 4 0 10 yrs 3 7 4 7 2 8 3 4 22 49 Surface Surface 21 5 0 50 yrs 10 8 7 6 5 13 4 6 8 19 Surface Passive 229 5 0 50 yrs 14 9 3 0 5 8 5 7 43 40 Surface Surface 6 4 0 1 yr 1 0 2 0 1 7 1 1 232 22 Surface Surface 536 5 0 1 yr 7 6 3 1 3 7 2 4 28 23 Surface Surface 18 5 0 10 yrs 5 6 3 2 3 8 2 3 35 23 Surface Surface 39 5 0 20 yrs 5 6 4 4 3 8 2 4 29 24 Surface Surface 59 6 0 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 6 6 5 6 4 9 3 4 19 25 Surface Surface 70 5 0 40 yrs 8 8 3 1 2 8 3 5 87 41 Surface Surface 8 4 0 10 yrs 5 8 3 2 2 9 2 5 78 40 Surface Surface 13 5 0 20 yrs 4 8 3 3 2 9 2 5 83 37 Surface Surface 17 5 0 30 yrs 4 7 4 5 2 9 3 5 10 34 Surface Passive 21 5 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 yr No action Table 26b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection 4 7 5 6 2 9 3 5 17 35 Surface Surface 25 5 0 50 yrs 6 7 6 7 4 9 3 5 17 25 Surface Surface 74 5 0 50 yrs E 304 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0 2 1 0 0 5 2 6 43 51 Surface Surface 10 5 0 3 2 1 0 5 6 2 6 50 48 Surface Surface 6 4 0 1 yr 1 3 2 1 1 5 2 3 4 50 Surface Passive 10 5 0 3 2 1 1 1 6 2 6 51 47 Surface Surface 7 4 0 10 yrs 2 3 2 3 2 5 2 3 17 33 Surface Surface 15 5 0 3 2 1 2 2 7 4 6 65 45 Surface Surface 12 5 0 20 yrs 3 3 3 4 2 5 2 3 24 24 Surface Surface 24 5 0 3 3 2 3 2 7 2 3 16 45 Surface Surface 19 5 0 30 yrs 3 3 3 6 2 5 2 3 31 22 Surface Surface 32 5 0 3 3 2 5 2 7 2 3 23 46 Surface Surface 24 6 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 26b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 4 3 4 7 2 6 2 4 35 20 Surface Surface 34 5 0 3 3 3 6 2 7 2 4 26 40 Surface Surface 24 5 0 50 yrs 0 3 2 0 4 7 1 6 53 51 Surface Surface 16 5 0 3 3 1 0 4 7 2 5 62 40 Surface Surface 6 4 0 1 yr 2 3 3 1 2 6 1 6 61 49 Surface Surface 10 5 0 3 2 1 1 2 7 1 5 70 39 Surface Surface 8 4 0 10 yrs 2 4 3 3 2 6 2 5 67 47 Surface Surface 14 5 0 3 3 1 2 2 8 2 5 72 39 Surface Surface 13 5 0 20 yrs 2 4 4 4 2 6 2 3 31 42 Surface Surface 18 5 0 3 3 2 3 2 8 2 5 86 36 Surface Surface 18 5 0 30 yrs 3 4 4 6 2 6 2 4 18 40 Surface Surface 23 5 0 3 3 3 5 2 8 2 5 11 33 Surface Passive 22 5 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 3 4 5 7 2 6 2 4 19 40 Surface Surface 27 5 0 4 4 4 6 2 8 2 4 38 34 Surface Surface 26 5 0 50 yrs F 305 Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 3 2 1 0 4 8 2 4 138 23 Surface Surface 7 4 0 12 8 3 0 4 9 4 6 45 23 Surface Surface 4 4 0 3 2 1 1 3 9 1 3 270 25 Surface Surface 10 4 0 7 7 3 1 3 10 3 4 95 25 Surface Surface 7 4 0 10 yrs 3 3 1 2 3 9 1 3 264 26 Surface Surface 18 5 0 5 7 3 2 3 10 2 4 120 26 Surface Surface 14 5 0 20 yrs 4 3 2 3 3 9 2 3 208 26 Surface Surface 27 5 0 5 7 4 3 3 10 2 4 124 26 Surface Surface 22 5 0 30 yrs 5 3 3 5 3 9 2 4 156 26 Surface Surface 33 5 0 5 7 5 5 3 11 3 4 111 26 Surface Surface 29 5 0 40 yrs 5 4 5 6 3 10 3 4 133 25 Surface Surface 36 5 0 5 8 6 6 3 11 3 5 96 26 Surface Surface 33 5 0 50 yrs 2 2 1 0 4 9 1 2 447 17 Surface Surface 7 4 0 10 6 4 0 4 10 3 5 53 17 Surface Surface 7 4 0 1 yr 3 2 1 1 3 9 1 2 545 19 Surface Surface 13 4 0 6 6 3 1 3 11 2 4 120 20 Surface Surface 13 4 0 10 yrs 4 2 1 2 3 10 1 2 360 19 Surface Surface 25 5 0 5 6 3 2 3 11 2 3 147 19 Surface Surface 25 5 0 20 yrs 5 3 2 3 4 10 2 3 218 20 Surface Surface 36 5 0 6 6 4 3 4 11 2 4 128 20 Surface Surface 37 5 0 30 yrs 6 4 4 5 4 10 2 4 145 20 Surface Surface 48 5 0 6 7 5 5 4 12 3 4 102 21 Surface Surface 48 5 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 yr Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 26b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 7 5 6 6 4 11 3 5 105 22 Surface Surface 55 5 0 7 7 7 6 4 12 3 5 87 21 Surface Surface 54 5 0 50 yrs G 306 Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0 2 2 0 1 6 1 5 50 36 Surface Surface 29 5 0 1 yr 3 5 4 3 2 7 2 5 76 38 Surface Surface 16 5 0 20 yrs Canopy bulk density 0.52 7 (kg/m 3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 88 510 Basal area (ft 2) 369 188 Merchantable volume (ft 3) Crown competition factor 3,579 Total volume (ft 3) Canopy closure (percent) 3.7 4,651 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,514 Trees per acre None 1 yr Stand attribute Surface fuel treatment 0.31 7 365 88 525 202 3,884 5,145 4.1 2,182 10 yrs 349 86 517 208 4,497 5,504 4.6 1,773 20 yrs 0.25 7 3 5 4 4 2 7 2 5 86 38 Surface Surface 21 5 0 30 yrs 0.18 7 345 85 522 219 5,166 5,977 5.1 1,532 30 yrs No action Table 26c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory 3 5 3 1 2 7 2 5 69 37 Surface Surface 11 5 0 10 yrs 0.16 7 334 83 513 224 5,691 6,340 5.7 1,277 40 yrs 3 5 5 6 2 7 2 4 13 35 Surface Passive 25 5 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height; cond. = conditional. Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel treatment Table 26b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 0.15 7 331 82 514 231 6,264 6,818 6.1 1,126 50 yrs 4 5 6 7 2 8 3 4 23 33 Surface Surface 29 5 0 50 yrs 0.12 7 189 63 284 132 3,400 4,049 3.7 544 1 yr 0 2 2 0 1 7 1 4 81 29 Surface Surface 43 5 0 1 yr 0.12 7 197 65 297 140 3,550 4,273 6.9 534 10 yrs 4 5 4 1 2 7 2 4 88 31 Surface Surface 12 5 0 10 yrs 4 5 4 4 3 8 2 4 92 32 Surface Surface 26 6 0 30 yrs 0.12 7 211 67 317 154 4,115 4,691 7.5 505 20 yrs 0.11 7 217 67 327 164 4,550 5,049 8.1 461 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 3 5 4 3 2 7 2 4 90 30 Surface Surface 20 5 0 20 yrs 0.11 7 219 66 332 172 5,025 5,435 8.8 411 40 yrs 4 6 5 6 3 8 3 4 14 32 Surface Passive 33 5 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 0.10 8 218 65 331 177 5,417 5,805 9.5 361 50 yrs 5 6 6 7 3 8 3 5 11 31 Surface Passive 36 5 0 50 yrs H 307 Prescribed fire Pile and burn 3,579 188 Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 7 Canopy base height (ft) 3,579 188 Total volume (ft3) Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 369 7 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.04 42 86 28 129 89 3,187 3,361 18.0 50 0.04 31 86 28 129 89 3,387 3,562 18.0 50 0.04 31 86 28 129 89 3,387 3,562 18.0 50 1 yr 0.04 2 94 33 190 90 3,230 3,438 7.0 341 0.04 35 89 28 166 93 3,437 3,653 10.7 148 0.04 35 89 28 166 93 3,437 3,653 10.7 148 10 yrs 0.07 4 119 41 214 105 3,338 3,624 7.6 334 0.05 40 92 30 169 96 3,572 3,792 11.1 144 0.05 40 92 30 169 96 3,572 3,792 11.1 144 20 yrs 0.11 7 134 47 237 120 3,470 3,836 8.3 319 0.05 5 100 34 175 101 3,725 3,944 11.7 136 0.05 5 100 32 175 101 3,725 3,944 11.7 136 30 yrs 0.12 10 144 50 255 134 3,619 4,203 9.1 299 0.05 8 103 36 178 105 3,796 4,055 12.3 127 0.04 8 103 33 178 105 3,796 4,055 12.3 127 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.14 13 153 52 271 147 4,075 4,524 9.9 278 0.05 10 106 37 182 110 3,881 4,216 13.1 118 0.04 10 106 34 182 110 3,881 4,216 13.1 118 50 yrs 0.04 29 110 38 167 103 3,375 3,560 13.8 100 0.06 28 110 38 167 103 3,701 3,894 13.8 100 0.06 28 110 38 167 103 3,701 3,894 13.8 100 1 yr 0.04 32 98 33 186 97 3,452 3,665 9.0 220 0.06 32 117 39 197 111 3,803 4,034 10.8 173 0.05 32 117 39 191 111 3,803 4,034 11.8 147 10 yrs 0.04 33 101 34 191 101 3,600 3,838 9.3 215 0.06 32 121 40 204 117 4,026 4,279 11.3 168 0.05 32 121 40 198 117 4,028 4,281 12.3 142 20 yrs 0.05 4 117 38 202 110 3,835 4,074 9.9 206 0.06 33 128 41 211 123 4,337 4,576 11.9 160 0.06 33 127 41 204 123 4,334 4,573 12.9 135 30 yrs 0.06 7 123 40 211 117 4,041 4,300 10.5 195 0.07 6 135 43 219 130 4,663 4,900 12.6 151 0.07 6 133 42 210 129 4,654 4,887 13.7 127 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 0.52 7 (kg/m3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 88 510 Basal area (ft 2) 369 188 Merchantable volume (ft3) Crown competition factor 3,579 Total volume (ft3) Canopy cover (percent) 3.7 4,651 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,514 Trees per acre 0.52 88 Canopy cover (percent) Canopy bulk density (kg/m³) 510 Stand density index Basal area 3.7 4,651 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,514 Trees per acre 0.52 369 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 88 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 510 Stand density index Basal area 3.7 4,651 Total volume (ft3) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,514 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment Table 26c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.05 9 128 42 217 124 4,192 4,517 11.2 181 0.07 8 138 43 221 135 4,858 5,146 13.3 140 0.07 8 135 42 211 133 4,848 5,130 14.4 118 50 yrs I 308 188 (ft 2 ) 7 Canopy base height (ft) 3,579 188 Total volume (ft3 ) Merchantable volume (ft3 ) (ft 2 ) 7 Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 0.52 7 Canopy base height (ft) (kg/m3 ) 88 369 Canopy cover (percent) Crown competition factor Stand density index 124 3,419 0.06 24 148 51 (ft 2 ) 221 188 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) 3,777 10.6 200 0.12 23 148 51 221 124 3,770 4,302 10.6 200 0.12 23 148 51 221 124 3,770 4,302 10.6 200 1 yr 510 3,579 Total volume (ft3 ) Basal area 3.7 4,651 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,514 Trees per acre 0.52 369 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 88 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 510 Stand density index Basal area 3.7 4,651 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,514 Trees per acre 0.52 369 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 88 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3 ) 510 Stand density index tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Prescribed fire Pile and burn 3,579 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) Basal area 3.7 4,651 Total volume (ft3 ) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,514 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.06 26 121 42 202 111 3,582 3,925 10.2 197 0.10 26 161 54 248 137 4,008 4,515 10.4 233 0.10 26 161 54 245 137 4,008 4,515 10.7 220 10 yrs 0.06 27 127 43 211 118 3,930 4,184 10.7 190 0.10 27 172 55 262 149 4,617 4,913 11.0 224 0.10 27 172 55 259 149 4,618 4,913 11.4 211 20 yrs 0.06 29 135 44 219 125 4,254 4,480 11.3 180 0.10 29 179 56 272 158 5,098 5,345 11.8 209 0.10 29 179 56 269 158 5,099 5,346 12.1 197 30 yrs 0.07 6 142 45 225 132 4,585 4,808 12.0 168 0.10 31 183 56 278 166 5,576 5,813 12.6 193 0.10 31 183 56 274 166 5,577 5,814 13.0 181 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 26c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.07 8 145 45 229 138 4,843 5,091 12.8 154 0.10 35 186 55 280 171 5,915 6,163 13.4 176 0.10 35 186 55 276 171 5,914 6,157 13.7 166 50 yrs 0.09 19 179 60 263 139 3,414 3,908 9.2 300 0.17 19 179 60 263 139 3,763 4,583 9.2 300 0.17 19 179 60 263 139 3,763 4,583 9.2 300 1 yr 0.08 23 139 48 225 120 3,571 4,072 9.5 242 0.15 22 198 64 296 157 4,000 4,837 9.3 330 0.14 22 198 64 293 157 4,000 4,837 9.5 317 10 yrs 0.08 23 146 49 235 129 4,032 4,370 10.1 231 0.15 24 212 65 315 172 4,808 5,320 10.0 314 0.15 24 212 65 313 172 4,808 5,320 10.2 301 20 yrs 0.08 25 152 50 243 136 4,448 4,687 10.7 217 0.14 26 220 65 327 183 5,521 5,809 10.7 291 0.14 26 220 65 324 183 5,527 5,814 11.0 278 30 yrs 0.07 6 156 50 247 142 4,777 5,014 11.4 199 0.13 29 222 65 328 189 5,975 6,254 11.5 262 0.13 29 221 64 325 189 5,973 6,247 11.8 250 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 0.08 6 158 49 248 146 5,027 5,298 12.2 181 0.13 32 218 63 323 191 6,321 6,600 12.4 230 0.13 32 219 63 321 192 6,338 6,630 12.6 221 50 yrs J 309 12 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 6 9 9 9 5 9 9 9 9 10 1 10 20 30 40 `50 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire Model 8 10 10 10 10 12 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years Model Years None Surface fuel treatment None Surface fuel treatment 10 8 12 12 12 10 Percent 89 71 92 72 56 57 Percent 11 29 8 28 44 43 Weight Model Weight 77 100 98 78 56 66 Weight Model Weight Model 23 0 2 22 44 34 38 8 2 11 27 43 Percent 38 10 40 47 40 28 Weight 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Model Fuel models 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 1 0 0 0 Percent 0 1110 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Weight 5 5 5 8 9 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 12 10 10 10 10 10 Model 8 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 57 95 68 65 74 90 Weight 100 99 87 72 56 63 67 98 92 74 55 57 0 8 8 8 12 12 Percent 0 15 26 14 5 19 Weight Model Weight Model 0 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 8 10 5 5 5 5 5 Model 0 1 13 28 44 37 33 2 8 20 37 43 Percent 43 5 32 34 24 10 Weight 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 0 0 0 0 8 8 8 Model Fuel models 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 8 0 Percent 0 0 0 2 2 1 Weight Model Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Percent 100 85 74 86 95 81 Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 1 0 10 10 10 9 10 1 2 10 10 10 10 5 6 9 9 9 Percent 62 89 60 53 60 72 56 92 98 89 73 57 Model Weight Model Fuel models Fuel models Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Model Weight Prescribed fire only No action Table 26d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection Weight Weight K 310 8 8 8 8 10 10 5 5 5 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire 100 71 59 46 64 86 81 64 °F Miles/hour 14 8 Temperature Windspeed 10 3 = Moist 70 moisture values from Reinhardt and Crookston (2003). *Moisture categories correspond to variant-specific percentage Windspeed (mph) Moisture category* Temperature (°F) Table 26f—Prescribed fire weather conditions used in models Severe—98th percentile Moderate—75th percentile Fire weather conditions Table 26e—FVS fuel model selection 0 10 10 5 5 8 5 5 5 10 8 8 12 8 8 8 8 12 Percent 61 90 72 79 100 87 45 65 64 51 62 92 Model Weight tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. 10 10 10 10 10 10 Model 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years None Surface fuel treatment Fuel moisture Weight 100-hr (1–3 in) Model 10-hr (0.25–1 in) 0 7 10 12 9 0 21 6 16 13 8 2 Percent 0 3 7 4 0 0 Weight 74 39 45 62 84 95 92 92 75 52 86 88 Percent 85 76 71 88 90 73 Weight 1,000-hr (3+ in) 5 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Model Duff 8 5 5 5 5 12 10 10 10 8 8 12 12 8 8 8 12 12 Model Live 26 37 30 20 8 5 8 8 25 48 14 12 Percent 15 24 29 12 10 27 Weight 3 6 5 8 10 15 15 18 50 125 100 150 0 8 8 8 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 0 24 25 18 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 0 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0 8 8 8 8 0 10 10 10 5 5 5 0 5 5 5 5 0 Model 1-hr (0–0.25 in) 0 22 31 43 26 14 35 29 20 36 30 6 Percent 39 7 21 17 0 13 Weight Fuel models Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Table 26d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection (continued) Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 2 Weight L 311 Stand attributes: Stem density = 2,092 tpa, basal area = 166 ft 2 /ac, top height = 92 ft, stand density index = 445, quadratic mean diameter = 3.8 in, crown competition factor = 217, canopy cover = 66 percent. Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 Species (based on trees per acre): Grand fir (Abies grandis) = 53 percent, Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) = 38 percent, lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) = 1 percent, ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) = 8 percent. Site: Elevation = 3,400 ft, slope = 36 percent, aspect = 266°. Initial stand conditions A 312 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 B 313 moderate fire weather. Crown fire potential decreases over time in the prescribed fire only treatment as canopy base height continues to increase, but surface fuels accumulate and flame lengths are predicted to be 5 ft in 50 years. Regeneration in the 50 tpa treatment causes an abrupt decline in canopy base height, and passive crown fire becomes likely again in 30 years. At this time, a second treatment would be necessary to prevent passive crown fire. Regeneration plays an important role in crown fire potential over time, but the decrease in canopy base height may not be as extreme or abrupt in reality. Canopy base height continues to increase in all other thinning treatments, so crown fire potential remains low for both moderate and severe fire weather for the entire 50-year projection. The prescribed fire only treatment increases canopy base height and reduces canopy bulk density and surface fuels enough to change the predicted fire type to surface fire for severe and moderate fire weather; however, many snags are created and surface fuels accumulate rapidly. Potential flame lengths increase immediately after treatment despite the reduction in woody surface fuels, because the more open stand is characterized by fuel model 6 suggesting that brush fuels are an important contributor to fire behavior following prescribed fire; this may or may not be a factor, depending on the site. All thinning treatments effectively reduce canopy bulk density and increase canopy base height enough to reduce crown fire potential and tree mortality, but the 100 to 300 interpreted with caution. fuels are not tracked in FFE, so these results should be low and fuel model 6 is the primary model used. Brush after treatment because canopy base height is relatively is still predicted to be passive crown fire immediately treatment with a prescribed burn surface fuel treatment fuels are characterized by fuel model 6. The 300 tpa lengths, because the more open stands with low surface but this change in surface fuels does not reduce flame treatment and to a greater extent by prescribed fire, These activity fuels are reduced by the pile and burn greater the change in surface fuels and flame lengths. potential flame lengths; the greater the thinning, the thinning treatments also increase surface fuels and tpa treatments similarly affect stand structure. The Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— long-term effects Silvicultural and surface fuel treatments— immediate effects Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 severe fire weather, but surface fire is predicted for fire is predicted for the entire 50-year trajectory for so crown fire potential remains similar. Passive crown fuels accumulate and potential flame lengths increase, time as trees grow and the stand self-thins, but surface increase and canopy bulk density will decrease over is 7 tons/ac. With no action, canopy base height will fuel loading is 9 tons/ac, and litter and duff loading fire spread under severe fire weather. Initial woody and tree mortality, but low potential for active crown conditions have high potential for passive crown fire bulk density is 0.08 kg/m 3 (0.005 lb/ft 3) so initial ponderosa pine. Canopy base height is 2 ft, and canopy composed of grand fir, Douglas-fir, lodgepole pine, and This is a dense stand with 2,092 trees per acre (tpa) Initial conditions/no-action trajectory C 314 Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Potential basal area mortality (%) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe Moderate Severe 3 3 3 0 2 5 2 3 0 31 Surface Passive 21 75 Initial condition 1 0 1 0 1 4 4 5 19 43 Surface Surface 16 30 Prescribed fire only 6 5 2 0 3 4 4 5 22 40 Surface Surface 11 25 2 1 1 0 3 3 4 6 18 40 Surface Surface 12 31 0 1 1 0 1 3 4 6 22 43 Surface Surface 11 31 2 1 0 0 3 2 4 7 41 53 Surface Surface 7 24 0 1 1 0 1 2 4 7 31 56 Surface Surface 7 23 Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 7 4 1 0 4 2 4 6 63 53 Surface Surface 7 11 Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 27a—Projected treatment effects on fuels and fire first cycle after treatments implemented Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 0 1 1 0 1 3 4 6 22 42 Surface Surface 15 32 1 1 1 0 3 4 3 4 26 34 Surface Surface 16 25 5 3 2 0 3 4 3 4 26 34 Surface Surface 16 26 Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0 1 1 0 1 3 3 8 7 42 Surface Passive 16 56 1 1 1 0 3 4 2 3 37 31 Surface Surface 19 21 4 3 2 0 3 5 2 3 34 31 Surface Surface 19 23 Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit D 315 Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel Fuel/fire attribute treatment None Surface fuel treatment Fuel/fire attribute 7 4 1 0 4 2 4 6 63 53 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 3 3 3 0 2 5 2 3 0 31 Surface Passive 189 1 0 9 5 4 1 4 6 3 4 5 36 Surface Passive 395 3 0 20 yrs 10 6 6 2 3 6 4 5 5 36 Surface Passive 229 4 0 30 yrs 9 7 8 4 3 7 4 6 7 36 Surface Passive 166 4 0 40 yrs 5 4 1 0 2 3 4 6 82 51 Surface Surface 1 0 0 10 yrs 4 4 1 0 2 3 4 6 103 50 Surface Surface 3 0 0 20 yrs 3 4 1 0 2 3 4 6 0 50 Passive Passive 3 0 0 30 yrs 4 4 1 0 3 4 4 6 7 49 Surface Passive 3 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 6 3 3 0 4 5 2 4 8 33 Surface Passive 407 2 0 10 yrs 4 5 1 1 3 4 2 4 22 48 Surface Surface 4 1 0 50 yrs 8 8 9 6 3 7 4 6 9 37 Surface Passive 127 4 0 50 yrs 6 5 2 0 3 4 4 5 22 40 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 1 0 1 0 1 4 4 5 19 43 Surface Surface 520 1 0 1 yr 5 4 4 1 3 4 3 5 41 40 Surface Surface 9 1 0 10 yrs 6 4 4 1 3 4 3 4 49 36 Surface Surface 11 1 0 20 yrs 6 4 4 2 3 5 3 4 102 35 Surface Surface 21 1 0 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 7 5 5 3 3 5 3 4 132 35 Surface Surface 21 1 0 40 yrs 5 4 2 0 3 4 3 5 60 37 Surface Surface 2 0 0 10 yrs 5 5 2 0 3 4 3 5 99 35 Surface Surface 4 0 0 20 yrs 5 5 2 0 3 5 3 5 124 34 Surface Surface 10 1 0 30 yrs 6 5 2 1 3 5 3 5 145 35 Surface Surface 17 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 yr No action Table 27b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection 6 6 3 2 3 5 3 5 177 35 Surface Surface 18 2 0 50 yrs 7 5 5 4 3 5 3 5 155 34 Surface Surface 20 1 0 50 yrs E 316 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Pile and burn Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 0 1 1 0 1 2 4 7 31 56 Surface Surface 9 1 0 2 1 0 0 3 2 4 7 41 53 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 7 51 54 Surface Surface 8 1 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 4 7 62 51 Surface Surface 1 0 0 10 yrs 2 2 2 1 2 2 4 7 77 54 Surface Surface 8 1 0 3 2 1 0 2 3 4 7 78 50 Surface Surface 4 0 0 20 yrs 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 12 44 Surface Passive 7 0 0 3 2 1 0 2 3 4 6 0 50 Passive Passive 4 0 0 30 yrs 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 18 35 Surface Surface 12 1 0 4 3 1 0 3 3 2 3 21 49 Surface Surface 4 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 27b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 4 4 2 2 3 3 2 4 19 33 Surface Surface 18 1 0 4 3 1 1 3 4 2 4 21 49 Surface Surface 9 1 0 50 yrs 0 1 1 0 3 3 4 6 22 43 Surface Surface 16 1 0 2 1 1 0 3 3 4 6 18 40 Surface Surface 1 0 0 1 yr 3 2 3 1 2 3 4 6 52 40 Surface Surface 9 1 0 3 2 1 0 3 4 4 5 55 37 Surface Surface 2 0 0 10 yrs 3 3 4 1 3 3 4 6 92 38 Surface Surface 7 1 0 4 2 1 0 3 4 3 5 88 34 Surface Surface 3 0 0 20 yrs 4 3 4 2 3 3 3 5 116 37 Surface Surface 10 1 0 5 3 1 0 3 4 3 5 117 34 Surface Surface 15 1 0 30 yrs 5 4 4 2 3 4 3 5 132 38 Surface Surface 17 1 0 6 3 1 1 3 5 3 5 138 35 Surface Surface 18 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 5 4 4 3 3 4 3 5 5 38 Surface Passive 20 2 0 6 4 2 2 3 5 3 5 162 35 Surface Surface 19 2 0 50 yrs F 317 Pile and burn Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) None Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Fuel/fire attribute Surface fuel treatment 1 1 1 0 3 4 3 4 26 34 Surface Surface 1 0 0 5 3 2 0 3 4 3 4 26 34 Surface Surface 1 0 0 3 1 1 0 3 4 2 4 70 35 Surface Surface 10 0 0 5 3 2 0 3 5 3 4 72 35 Surface Surface 10 0 0 10 yrs 6 2 1 0 3 5 3 4 100 33 Surface Surface 22 1 0 7 4 2 0 3 5 3 4 102 33 Surface Surface 21 1 0 20 yrs 7 3 2 1 3 5 3 4 119 32 Surface Surface 23 1 0 7 5 3 1 3 6 3 4 123 32 Surface Surface 23 1 0 30 yrs 7 4 3 2 3 6 3 4 142 32 Surface Surface 22 1 0 7 5 4 2 3 6 3 4 150 32 Surface Surface 23 1 0 40 yrs 8 5 4 3 3 6 3 4 174 30 Surface Surface 36 3 0 8 6 5 3 3 7 3 5 150 32 Surface Surface 35 3 0 50 yrs 1 1 1 0 3 4 2 3 37 31 Surface Surface 11 0 0 4 3 2 0 3 5 2 3 34 31 Surface Surface 11 0 0 1 yr 4 1 1 0 4 5 2 3 71 35 Surface Surface 26 0 0 5 3 2 0 4 5 2 3 56 35 Surface Surface 26 0 0 10 yrs 7 2 1 0 3 5 3 4 67 33 Surface Surface 36 1 0 8 4 3 0 3 6 3 4 66 33 Surface Surface 37 1 0 20 yrs 8 4 2 1 4 6 3 4 114 32 Surface Surface 29 1 0 9 5 4 1 4 6 3 4 121 32 Surface Surface 30 1 0 30 yrs 8 4 3 2 4 6 3 4 139 33 Surface Surface 49 2 0 9 6 5 2 4 7 3 5 118 34 Surface Surface 46 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 1 yr Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 27b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 9 6 6 4 4 7 4 5 107 34 Surface Surface 68 2 0 9 7 7 4 4 7 4 5 103 34 Surface Surface 59 4 0 50 yrs G 318 Fuel/fire attribute 0–3 in 3–6 in 6–12 in >12 in Litter Duff Moderate Severe Severe Severe Moderate Severe 0–17.9 in 18–29.9 in 30–36 in 0 1 1 0 1 3 4 6 22 42 Surface Surface 30 1 0 1 yr 4 3 4 1 3 3 3 5 46 39 Surface Surface 9 1 0 10 yrs 4 4 4 1 3 4 3 5 80 36 Surface Surface 10 1 0 20 yrs Canopy bulk density 0.08 2 (kg/m 3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 66 445 Basal area (ft 2) 217 166 Merchantable volume (ft 3) Canopy closure (percent) 4,328 Total volume (ft 3) Crown competition factor 3.8 4,896 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,092 Trees per acre None 1 yr Stand attribute Surface fuel treatment 0.07 4 217 66 454 181 5,236 5,758 4.5 1,630 10 yrs 0.07 5 214 65 449 188 5,887 6,373 5.1 1,318 20 yrs 0.07 6 218 62 456 199 6,689 7,074 5.7 1,139 30 yrs No action 5 4 4 2 3 4 3 5 101 35 Surface Surface 20 1 0 30 yrs 0.07 7 219 62 456 206 7,290 7,695 6.2 984 40 yrs 6 5 5 2 3 5 3 4 132 35 Surface Surface 22 2 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 27c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Hard snags (stems/ac) Torching index Crowning index Type of fire Flame length (ft) Prescribed fire Surface fuel loadings (tons/ac) Surface fuel treatment Table 27b—Treatment effect on fuels and fire behavior, 50-year projection (continued) 0.06 8 220 61 457 212 7,841 8,232 6.7 876 50 yrs 6 6 5 3 3 5 3 5 170 35 Surface Surface 20 2 0 50 yrs 0.05 10 145 49 248 144 4,379 4,759 3.8 194 1 yr 0 1 1 0 1 3 3 8 7 42 Surface Passive 48 1 0 1 yr 0.06 16 158 51 265 157 4,967 5,312 12.2 193 10 yrs 4 4 4 1 3 4 3 4 26 38 Surface Surface 9 1 0 10 yrs 6 5 5 2 3 4 3 4 96 36 Surface Surface 25 1 0 30 yrs 0.07 17 179 54 295 180 6,012 6,395 13.3 187 20 yrs 0.07 31 191 56 310 196 6,922 7,266 14.4 172 30 yrs Prescribed fire only 5 4 4 1 3 4 3 4 52 36 Surface Surface 17 1 0 20 yrs 0.07 36 203 57 326 211 7,752 8,168 15.4 162 40 yrs 6 5 5 3 3 5 4 5 93 36 Surface Surface 23 1 0 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 0.07 41 215 58 341 226 8,607 9,043 16.5 153 50 yrs 7 6 6 4 3 5 4 6 101 36 Surface Surface 21 1 0 50 yrs H 319 Prescribed fire Pile and burn 4,328 166 Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 217 2 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) 4,328 166 Merchantable volume (ft3) (ft 2) 217 2 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 19.3 0.04 31 84 29 144 102 3,678 3,834 19.3 50 0.04 31 84 29 144 102 3,955 4,120 0.04 39 87 29 220 108 4,047 4,199 7.6 344 0.04 38 95 31 210 116 4,355 4,516 10.3 199 0.04 38 95 31 198 116 4,355 4,516 11.9 149 10 yrs 0.04 44 98 33 240 120 4,715 4,920 8.1 339 0.04 44 105 34 229 130 5,076 5,293 11.0 196 0.04 44 105 33 216 130 5,076 5,294 12.7 147 20 yrs 0.05 4 122 39 265 136 5,533 5,733 8.7 334 0.04 4 121 37 251 146 5,960 6,166 11.8 193 0.04 4 120 37 237 146 5,961 6,169 13.6 145 30 yrs 0.07 6 138 42 282 149 6,166 6,429 9.2 324 0.04 6 137 40 268 159 6,665 6,935 12.4 190 0.04 6 133 39 253 159 6,679 6,944 14.3 142 40 yrs Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit 0.08 8 146 43 295 159 6,770 7,057 9.7 310 0.04 7 146 41 283 172 7,417 7,697 13.1 183 0.04 8 144 40 270 173 7,506 7,786 15.1 140 50 yrs 0.05 15 124 42 202 131 4,258 4,467 15.5 100 0.06 11 124 42 202 131 4,741 4,980 15.5 100 0.06 11 124 42 202 131 4,741 4,980 15.5 100 1 yr 0.06 23 124 40 246 136 4,794 4,968 10.4 230 0.06 25 146 46 259 155 5,362 5,554 12.7 175 0.06 25 146 46 250 155 5,362 5,554 13.8 149 10 yrs 0.06 37 140 43 272 155 5,697 5,942 11.2 227 0.07 38 164 49 286 177 6,378 6,657 13.7 173 0.07 39 164 49 277 177 6,378 6,658 14.8 147 20 yrs 0.06 46 153 45 292 171 6,620 6,851 11.9 221 0.07 47 175 50 300 191 7,287 7,534 14.7 162 0.07 47 177 50 295 193 7,378 7,629 15.8 141 30 yrs 0.06 50 164 47 307 184 7,406 7,701 12.8 208 0.07 52 185 50 313 204 8,118 8,418 15.6 153 0.07 51 186 51 306 205 8,161 8,463 16.8 133 40 yrs Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 0.08 2 (kg/m3) Canopy base height (ft) Stand density index 66 445 Basal area (ft 2) 217 166 Merchantable volume (ft3) Crown competition factor 4,328 Total volume (ft3) Canopy cover (percent) 3.8 4,896 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,092 Trees per acre 0.08 66 Canopy cover (percent) Canopy bulk density (kg/m³) 445 Stand density index Basal area 3.8 4,896 Total volume (ft3) 50 2,092 Trees per acre Quadratic mean diameter (in) 0.04 31 84 29 144 102 3,955 4,120 19.3 50 1 yr 0.08 Canopy bulk density 66 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 445 Stand density index Basal area 3.8 4,896 Total volume (ft3) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,092 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment Table 27c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.06 4 174 48 319 197 8,196 8,470 13.6 195 0.07 56 195 51 326 217 8,926 9,238 16.6 144 0.07 56 196 51 319 219 9,014 9,317 17.9 125 50 yrs I 320 166 (ft 2 ) 2 Canopy base height (ft) 4,328 166 Total volume (ft3 ) Merchantable volume (ft3 ) (ft 2 ) 2 4,328 166 Total volume (ft3 ) Merchantable volume (ft3 ) (ft 2 ) 0.08 Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 2 Crown competition factor (kg/m3 ) 66 217 Canopy cover (percent) 445 Stand density index Basal area 3.8 4,896 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,092 Trees per acre 0.08 217 Crown competition factor Canopy base height (ft) Canopy bulk density 66 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3) 445 Stand density index Basal area 3.8 4,896 Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,092 Trees per acre 0.08 217 Crown competition factor Canopy bulk density 66 Canopy cover (percent) (kg/m3 ) 445 Stand density index tpa = trees per acre; d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. Prescribed fire Pile and burn 4,328 Merchantable volume (ft3 ) Basal area 3.8 4,896 Total volume (ft3 ) Trees per acre None Quadratic mean diameter (in) 2,092 Stand attribute Initial condition Surface fuel treatment 0.05 12 157 53 260 151 4,380 4,708 11.8 200 0.07 11 157 53 260 151 4,968 5,462 11.8 200 0.07 11 157 53 260 151 4,968 5,462 11.8 200 1 yr 0.06 20 146 47 261 151 5,005 5,269 11.7 203 0.07 24 184 57 308 181 5,637 6,036 12.0 230 0.07 24 184 57 305 181 5,637 6,036 12.4 217 10 yrs 0.07 31 165 50 291 174 6,051 6,365 12.7 198 0.07 30 201 58 332 202 6,700 7,093 13.2 213 0.07 30 201 58 328 202 6,702 7,097 13.5 202 20 yrs 0.07 35 176 51 305 189 6,940 7,253 13.7 183 0.08 33 215 60 352 220 7,762 8,142 14.2 200 0.08 33 216 60 348 221 7,768 8,148 14.6 190 30 yrs 0.07 40 188 52 320 204 7,759 8,143 14.7 172 0.08 37 230 61 369 237 8,699 9,147 15.2 189 0.08 37 230 61 366 238 8,703 9,149 15.6 179 40 yrs Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Table 27c—Treatment effect on forest stand attributes, 50-year trajectory (continued) 0.07 46 198 53 334 217 8,641 9,004 15.6 163 0.08 42 234 60 368 243 9,286 9,722 16.2 169 0.08 42 234 60 364 243 9,266 9,704 16.7 161 50 yrs 0.05 10 176 58 293 159 4,380 4,754 9.9 300 0.08 10 176 58 293 159 4,902 5,508 9.9 300 0.08 10 176 58 293 159 4,902 5,508 9.9 300 1 yr 0.06 17 155 50 275 156 4,986 5,322 11.0 236 0.07 14 203 62 340 189 5,536 6,093 10.5 313 0.07 14 203 62 337 189 5,536 6,093 10.8 300 10 yrs 0.07 22 173 53 301 177 5,928 6,326 12.0 224 0.07 17 223 64 367 213 6,623 7,205 11.7 286 0.07 17 222 64 363 212 6,609 7,188 11.9 273 20 yrs 0.07 27 186 54 318 193 6,895 7,238 13.1 206 0.08 27 243 66 393 236 7,890 8,322 12.7 267 0.08 27 242 66 388 235 7,874 8,307 13.0 255 30 yrs 0.07 31 199 55 336 209 7,786 8,190 14.0 195 0.07 31 248 65 395 245 8,593 9,067 13.8 234 0.07 31 245 65 391 245 8,605 9,083 14.1 226 40 yrs Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in d.b.h. limit Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 0.07 36 212 57 353 226 8,756 9,129 15.0 183 0.07 35 237 62 381 244 9,085 9,531 15.0 198 0.07 37 244 64 376 244 8,931 9,373 15.5 185 50 yrs J 321 10 6 6 6 6 9 6 6 6 6 9 9 6 6 6 9 9 9 1 10 20 30 40 `50 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire Model 9 10 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years Model Years None Surface fuel treatment None Surface fuel treatment 10 9 12 12 12 12 Percent 96 52 97 75 65 60 Percent 4 48 3 25 35 40 Weight Model Weight 83 93 100 92 80 65 Weight Model Weight Model 17 7 0 8 20 35 5 0 0 1 11 26 Percent 21 30 22 18 24 35 Weight 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 1 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Weight 6 6 6 6 10 10 6 6 6 6 10 10 10 6 10 10 10 10 Model 6 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 61 44 42 48 61 78 Weight 100 89 61 45 54 69 88 70 48 34 47 63 9 9 9 9 9 12 Percent 32 28 31 20 9 2 Weight 0 6 6 6 6 0 Model Percent 0 21 12 6 2 0 Weight Model 0 10 10 10 6 6 9 9 9 10 9 9 6 10 6 9 9 9 Model 0 9 27 38 30 19 12 30 37 33 28 21 Percent 35 38 33 26 21 13 Weight 0 9 9 9 9 9 0 0 10 9 6 6 9 9 9 6 6 6 Model Fuel models 0 2 12 17 14 12 0 0 15 33 25 16 Percent 5 18 25 26 18 9 Weight Model Thin from below to 100 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Percent 68 51 57 74 90 98 Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 2 2 0 10 10 10 2 0 0 10 10 10 6 10 10 10 10 10 Percent 77 70 78 82 76 65 95 100 100 99 89 74 Model Weight Model Fuel models Fuel models Thin from below to 50 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Model Weight Prescribed fire only No action Table 27d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection Weight Weight K 322 9 9 9 10 10 10 6 6 10 10 10 10 1 10 20 30 40 50 1 10 20 30 40 50 Pile and burn Prescribed fire 85 45 45 66 85 100 81 61 °F Miles/hour 14 8 Temperature Windspeed 10 3 = Moist 70 moisture values from Reinhardt and Crookston (2003). *Moisture categories correspond to variant-specific percentage Windspeed (mph) Moisture category* Temperature (°F) Table 27f—Prescribed fire weather conditions used in models Severe—98th percentile Moderate—75th percentile Fire weather conditions Table 27e—FVS fuel model selection 9 10 9 9 9 12 6 6 10 9 9 9 10 10 9 9 9 12 Percent 44 55 58 78 93 93 63 80 57 62 77 98 Model Weight tpa = trees per acre, d.b.h. = diameter at breast height. 9 9 10 10 10 10 Model 1 10 20 30 40 50 Years None Surface fuel treatment Fuel moisture Weight 100-hr (1–3 in) Model 10-hr (0.25–1 in) 0 25 27 15 6 0 0 3 5 1 0 0 Percent 26 11 3 0 0 0 Weight 60 41 66 99 84 67 91 88 54 81 98 78 Percent 73 60 75 99 92 75 Weight 1,000-hr (3+ in) 6 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 Model Duff 9 10 9 9 12 12 6 10 9 9 9 12 10 10 9 9 12 12 Model Live 40 32 23 1 16 33 9 12 46 19 2 22 Percent 19 40 25 1 8 25 Weight 3 6 5 8 8 11 15 18 50 125 100 150 0 0 0 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 Model Fuel models 0 27 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Percent 7 0 0 0 0 0 Weight Model Thin from below to 300 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Percent - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0 9 6 6 6 0 0 10 6 6 0 0 0 0 6 6 6 Model 1-hr (0–0.25 in) 15 30 28 19 9 0 37 16 38 37 23 2 Percent 31 34 39 22 7 7 Weight Fuel models Thin from below to 200 tpa, 18-in. d.b.h. limit Table 27d—Forest Vegetation Simulator fuel model selection (continued) Region 6 — Okanogan and Wenatchee National Forests 3 Weight L Pacific Northwest Research Station Web site Telephone Publication requests FAX E-mail Mailing address http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw (503) 808-2592 (503) 808-2138 (503) 808-2130 pnw_pnwpubs@fs.fed.us Publications Distribution Pacific Northwest Research Station P.O. Box 3890 Portland, OR 97208-3890