22 1335 EST Mar 04
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
DRAFT
WORKING PAPERS
Iraq Status
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
This briefing is classified
UNCLASSIFIED
Derived from: Multiple Sources
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Highlights
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
CPA Priorities:
• Essential Services
• Security
• Governance
• Economy
• Strategic
Communications
CPA Intermediate Objectives:
• Reconstitute electric power
infrastructure
• Reconstruct the telecom system
• Draft "Transitional Administrative Law"
• Build financial market structures
• Improve dissemination of information
Weekly Highlights:
O
F
• UN estimates Iraq requires 1.4 million more housing units - CPA has
contracts to build 3,528 units
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
• 984,225 telephone subscribers – 18% above pre-war active subscribers;
278,645 cell phone subscribers
• Transitional Administrative Law will serve as supreme law from 30 Jun until
election of new government under permanent constitution by 31 Dec 05
• As of 14 Mar, the Trade Bank of Iraq has opened 109 letters of credit totaling
$499 million covering imports from 24 countries
• USAID’s Local Governance Program is conducting Democracy Dialogue
Activities throughout Iraq as part of the Civic Education Campaign
N/P
2
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Electricity Overview
Goal June 04: 6,000 MW Peak
Production Capacity
6000
5000
Megawatts
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
4000
4009
3583
4000
4153
4271
4148
3978
3969
4130
3826
Production (MW)
3000
Goal Jun 04
2000
Goal Oct 03
1000
0
7-14 Jan
15-22 Jan 23-29 Jan 30 Jan - 5
Feb
6-12 Feb
13-19 Feb 20-26 Feb 27 Feb - 4 05 Mar - 11 12 Mar-18
Mar
Mar
Mar
• Ambassador Bremer approved a new increase plan on 14 Jan to
O prevent current project delays from impacting the goal of 6,000 MW
F
by 01 Jun
D • CPA Autumn Maintenance Program begun Oct 03 transitioned into
E the Spring Program in February and has resulted in 1276 MW in
F
scheduled maintenance losses on average over the past week.
E Unscheduled generator maintenance continues with 519 MW out of
N service
S
E
N/P Data as of 18 Mar
3
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Power Production
Mega Watt Hour Production
O
F
140000
120000
100000
80000
MWH
60000
June Goal MWH
40000
MW Hrs Actual
20000
MW Hrs 7 Day Av.
0
01
-J
an
04
-J
an
07
-J
an
10
-J
an
13
-J
an
16
-J
an
19
-J
an
22
-J
an
25
-J
an
28
-J
an
31
-J
an
03
-F
eb
06
-F
eb
09
-F
eb
12
-F
eb
15
-F
eb
18
-F
eb
21
-F
eb
24
-F
eb
27
-F
eb
01
-M
ar
04
-M
ar
07
-M
ar
10
-M
ar
13
-M
ar
16
-M
ar
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
By Region
MW
2500
2330
2350
2300
2100
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
2000
1719 1700
Pre-War
1500
1320
1200
1201
Current
Oct 03 Goal
Jun 04 Goal
1000
815
600
500
500
0
N/P Data as of 18 Mar
North
Central
4
South
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Hours of Power – Week of 12 March
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Dahok
89 MW
11Hrs
Arbil
Naynawa
381 MW
13 Hrs
16 Hrs
Tamim
151 MW
16 Hrs
Sulaymaniyah
16 Hrs
Percent Change (7 Day)
Baghdad
Salah Ad Din
219 MW
16 Hrs
Duhok
Dyala
104 MW
16Hrs
Anbar
O
F
Average Hours of
Electricity Available to
Residents by Governate
= 8 Hrs = Red
9 to 15 Hrs =Amber
= 16 Hrs = Green
180 MW
14 Hrs
Naynawa
Tamim
Baghdad
Salah Ad Din
1194 MW
17 Hrs
Karbala Babil
81 MW 107 MW
21 Hrs 14 Hrs
N/P
An Najaf
1.3%
12.6%
9.8%
Anbar
-7.0%
89 MW
10 Hrs
Dyala
12.2%
Babil
12.5%
55 MW
14 Hrs
Misan
66 MW
19 Hrs
Dhi Qar
87 MW
19 Hrs
88 MW
13 Hrs
Muthanna
50 MW
16 Hrs
5
-0.25%
Wasit
Qadisiyah
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
3.5%
Karbala
-20.6%
Najaf
-24.4%
Qadisiyah
Basrah
Wasit
238 MW
24 Hrs
Muthanna
Dhi Qar
2.2%
-19.9%
14.7%
8.5%
Misan
-1.7%
Basrah
-10.1%
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Crude Oil Production
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Millions of Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
3.00
Current Goal: 2.0 MBPD
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
22-28 Jan
29 Jan - 4 Feb
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
20-26 Feb
Production
27 Feb - 4 Mar
12-18 Mar
Target
Weekly Average of 2.388 MBPD Exceeds Target of 2.0 MBPD
• Long Term Target (Dec 04): 2.8-3.0 MBPD (Pre-War Capacity)
• Pre-War Peak: 2.5 MBPD in Mar 03
• Post-War Peak: 2.541 MBPD on 28 Feb 04
• Weekly average of crude exports: 1.6 MBPD
6
5-11 Mar
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Diesel Production
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
20.0
Current Goal: 18.0 M Liters
18.0
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
22-28 Jan
29 Jan - 4 Feb
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
20-26 Feb
Production
Import
27 Feb - 4 Mar
5-11 Mar
12-18 Mar
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 88% of goal
7
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Kerosene Production
18.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
O
F
4.0
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
0.0
22-28 Jan
N/P
Current Goal: 18.0 M Liters
20.0
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
2.0
29 Jan - 4 Feb
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
20-26 Feb
Production
Import
27 Feb - 4 Mar
5-11 Mar
12-18 Mar
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 103% of goal
8
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Gasoline / Benzene Production
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
20.0
Current Goal: 18.0 M Liters
18.0
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
22-28 Jan
29 Jan - 4 Feb
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
20-26 Feb
Production
Import
27 Feb - 4 Mar
5-11 Mar
12-18 Mar
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 102% of goal
9
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Production
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
7000
Current Goal: 6,000 Tons
6000
Tons Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
22-28 Jan
29 Jan - 4 Feb
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
20-26 Feb
Production
Import
27 Feb - 4 Mar
5-11 Mar
12-18 Mar
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 78% of goal
10
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Essential Services - Education
D • Minister of Education (MoE) held press conference on 07 Mar
E
– Reviewed education reform since Sep 03 and a four-year plan for future
P
reforms
A
– Released the Ministry’s situation analysis (in Arabic and English)
R
T
– MoE curriculum specialists will meet with UNESCO experts in a
M
curriculum reform workshop
E • MoE employees attending World Bank workshop in Amman on textbook
N
procurement, school rehabilitation, contracting, finance and administration,
T
and project management
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• MoE committee will redesign the Ministry’s Teacher Training Institute,
composed of teachers, training institute staff, and curriculum specialists
CPA Education Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Education
•
•
•
•
Reorganize and staff the Ministry of Education
Rehabilitate school buildings and build new schools
Advance national dialog on curriculum reform
Continue and expand teacher training
11
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Essential Services – Education (cont)
D • 11,939 schools require repairs and 4,500 new schools are necessary to meet
facility needs
E
P
– USAID rehabilitated 2,350 schools
A
– CPA refurbished 105 schools with Overseas Humanitarian, Disaster and
R
Civic Aid
T
– CJTF-7 provided support to numerous schools with CERP funds
M
E
– US supplemental funds will rehabilitate at least 1,047 schools
N
– World Bank may commit to rehabilitate another 1,000 schools
T
• Oxford Research Int. & ABC News survey of 2,737 Iraqis in Feb found that
O
72% rated their local schools as good, with 47% seeing improvement since
F
before the war
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Number of Schools
Schools Rehabilitated by USAID
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
902
562
490
396
North
Baghdad
South Central
12
South
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Healthcare
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• Ministry of Health (MoH) and University of Baghdad College of Medicine are
training public health students to monitor and evaluate health projects
• USAID continues primary health care training of trainers program which will
reach 2,500 primary health care providers throughout Iraq
• MoH and USAID partner World Vision International are assisting disability
centers that provide support, education, social activities, and vocational
training to 8,000 disabled persons in Mosul
– Provides heaters, winter clothing, floor rugs, wheelchairs, crutches, and
specialized furniture, and one daily hot meal for three months
O
F
• USAID’s Community Action Program (CAP) partner, International Relief and
Development (IRD), is working with community members to improve
Baghdad health services and facilities
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
CPA Health Care Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Health Care
• Develop health care organizations, management, and infrastructure
• Train health care professionals
• Pharmaceutical logistics support
• Secure system
• Public health
N/P
13
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Essential Services – Water
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Oxford Research Int. & ABC News survey found that:
• 50% of respondents rated availability of clean water as good (20% very
good; 30% quite good) compared to 48% who rated availability as bad
• Compared to pre-war conditions: 41% said availability of clean water
was better, 40% said it was same, and 16% said it was worse
• Chart at right shows
observed reservoir
storage levels
against normal
monthly levels for
Feb & Mar. Three
reservoirs on the
Tigris river, & one
on the Euphrates
river, are below
monthly averages
due to heavier than
normal releases for
generating
hydroelectric power
Monthly Reservoir Storage
30
Storage in Billions of Cubic Meters
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
25
20
15
10
5
0
Mosul
Dokan
Adhaim
Haditha
Hemrin
Total
6
4.9
1
6.2
2.2
2.5
1.2
24
Observed
6.73
1.83
0
6.88
1.55
1.3
1.85
20.14
Normal for end of Mar
7.5
5.4
1
7.5
2.5
2.8
1.5
28.2
Normal for end of Feb
Habbaniyah Derbendikhan
Source: Ministry of Water Resources
14
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Water (cont.)
D
• One current USAID project is providing fresh drinking water for people in
E
the At’Tamim Governorate and improved irrigation to enable more
P
productive farming
A
R • Emergency power generators are being rehabilitated at Baghdad water
treatment plants to ensure continuous access to clean water
T
M • USAID’s implementing partner, the International Rescue Committee (IRC),
E
is proceeding with water and sanitation improvements and hygiene
N
education for approximately 161,000 internally displaced persons in Arbil
T
Governorate
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Turkish delegation agreed last week to provide seasonal data on snowfall
& reservoir levels sufficient for Iraq to develop its water plan for this year
CPA Water Objective: Provide Water Supply, Sewerage & Municipal Services; Improve Water
Resource Management
Create viable organization to deliver water/sewerage/municipal services (WSMS) • Expand WSMS to meet national
needs • Develop full range of municipal services & inclusive delivery mechanism • Improve Ministry processes in
preparation for Iraq’s sovereignty • Infrastructure improvements to water resource system • Facilities
improvements & capacity building within Ministry
15
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Essential Services – Food Security
120.0%
100.0%
80.0%
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
Opening Stocks
New Procurements WFP
To
tal
So
ap
De
ter
ge
nt
M
ilk
Te
a
Pu
lse
s
Gh
ee
/O
il
Su
ga
r
Ri
ce
0.0%
Inf
Sa
an
lt
tF
W
or
m
ea
ula
nin
g
Ce
rea
ls
O
F
• Having 100% of each
commodity ensures stock
availability through May
PDS: MAR - MAY Stocks as a Percentage of Requirements
140.0%
Na
tio
na
lW
h
Fo
reig eat
nW
he
at
D • Chart at right shows stocks
for goods that Iraqis receive
E
under the Public
P
Distribution System as a %
of estimated requirements
A
on hand until end of May
R
T • The % of estimated
M
requirements includes
E
opening stocks & scheduled
arrivals of goods
N
T
Scheduled Arrivals Under Existing Contracts
New Procurements MOT
• CPA projects no shortages in Apr / May rations given procurement of high need items
D
E • Scientists from Ministry of Agriculture visited Winter Crops Tech Demonstration
project to observe effect of supplemental irrigation on bread wheat productivity. Plots
F
with supplemental irrigation were growing significantly better than those without
E
N
CPA Food Security Objective: Provide Food Security for all Iraqis
S
Enhance capacity of Ministry of Agriculture • Assure supply of inputs • Strengthen research system • Ensure
adequate stocks for Public Distribution System (PDS) • Monitor food security • Hand over administration of
E
system in the North • Initiate reform of rations basket • Environmental Initiatives
N/P
16
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Telecommunications
D • Total number of telephone subscribers: 984,225
– 18% above pre-war active subscribers
E
– Includes 278,645 cell phone subscribers (34,645 since last week)
P
A • CPA has reinstated service for 122,980 subscribers since May 03, though
R
temporary equipment shortage prevented increase from last week
T
M • Chart below shows percentage of current operational telephone subscribers
compared to number of active subscribers in Apr 03
E
Percentage of Operational Telephone Subscribers (Baseline April 03)
N 100%
Source:
100%
100%
98%
98%
T 80%
96%
96%
CPA Senior
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Advisor to
Minister of
Comm. &
Iraqi
Telephone
& Postal
Company
(ITPC)
73%
73%
60%
40%
20%
0%
North
Baghdad
South Central
South
% Operational (compared to APR 03 subscribers)
CPA Objectives: Reconstruct Communications & Postal Systems
Build Iraq’s first responder network • Establish independent regulatory agency • Upgrade Iraqi
Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC) network for interoperability • Build transmission component
data network for Iraq, including international gateways • Restructure ITPC and its business
operations • Upgrade and modernize postal systems • Upgrade ITPC outside plant for increased
subscriber capacity and use
17
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Building & Housing
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• According to a United Nations estimate, Iraq requires 1.4 million more
housing units. CPA currently has contracts to build 3,528 units. A Polish
company will begin construction of 504 units in Basra next week
O
F
• USAID partner International Relief and Development (IRD) is working with
more than 50 local community volunteers to rehabilitate and increase
capacity of the Aruba Square Market in Baghdad’s Kadhamiya district
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
- Vendors are currently selling fruit, vegetables, fish, and meat in an illequipped area with poor sanitation
N/P
• The Ministry of Housing and Construction is working to create a mortgage
financing company to develop the private sector housing market
• Three towns in An Najaf Governorate have completed renovations of their
municipal buildings under a $55,500 combined grant. Renovations will
improve the operating conditions and service delivery of local government
- New market will improve the local economy by helping 150 vendors
establish safer permanent stalls beside the main road
18
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Transportation
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• CPA completed the reconstruction of Al Furat Bridge in Baghdad last week
• Through USAID funding, community members have finished sub-coat for
paving of the Al Asfar road between Rashad and Tikrit
– Project will reduce standard commute between these towns by more
than 1 hour, lowering transportation costs for local farmers, and
connecting the towns to regional centers. Will benefit 20,000 Iraqis
• USAID is training Iraqi firefighters to take over airport fire protection duties
from the US Military. This is an important step in preparing the airport for
commercial activities & transferring responsibility to Iraqis
• Restoration of Iraq’s railroad system near Basrah is progressing; ballast
production rate has met targets, averaging 800 cubic meters a day
CPA Objectives: Restore Economically Strategic Transportation Infrastructure
Enable Iraqi civil aviation to prepare for international commercial aviation and cargo
service • Enable Iraqi Port Authority to administer a port of call with intermodal
capabilities and inland container distribution • Enable Iraqi Republic Railways to
provide domestic and international passenger and freight capabilities • Reform civil
service at Ministry of Transportation
19
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Iraqi Security Forces Personnel & Training Summary
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
On Duty
(Partially
Qualified)
On Payroll
Required
(Untrained)
On Duty
In-Training
(Fully Qualified)
TOTAL
Iraqi Border Police
8,835
0
8,259
0
521
8,780
Dept of Border
Enforcement
16,892
0
9,873
0
0
9,873
Iraqi Police Service
75,000
59,638
12,422
2,324
3,840
78,224
Iraqi Civil Defense
40,000
O Corps
F
Iraqi Armed Forces
40,000
D (IAF)
E Facilities Protection
F Service (Ministries
55,000
E & MSCs)
N
S
235,727
E
N/P Data as of 19 Mar
33,560
0
0
(OJT
Continuous)
1,933
35,493
0
0
3,005
2,169
5,174
0
0
73,992
0
73,992
211,536
20
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Stability Contributors
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
P
Countries with forces in Iraq
33
Albania
Australia
Azerbaijan
Bulgaria
Czech Rep
Denmark
Dom Rep
El Salvador
Estonia
Honduras
Hungary
Italy
Japan
Kazakhstan
Korea
Latvia
Countries considering decision
to provide forces for Iraq
TOTAL ~24K
Lithuania
Macedonia
Moldova
Mongolia
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Philippines
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Singapore
Slovakia
Spain
Thailand
Ukraine
UK
6
TOTAL TBD
39 Countries
Potentially Supporting
Iraqi Stability and
Humanitarian Relief
Data as of 180500Z Mar
21
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Governance – National Transition
D 2004
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
2005
O
F
08 Mar
Transitional Administrative Law signed
01 Apr
Establishment of Election Commission (approximate date)
15 Apr
Annex to TAL released describing selection process
and powers of Interim Government (approximate date)
30 May
Selection of Interim Government (approximate date)
30 Jun
Iraqi Interim Government takes power
31 Jan
Elections for the National Assembly complete: NLT 31 Jan 05
(31 Dec 04 if possible)
Early ’05
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Iraqi Transitional Government takes power
Phase I
(Interim Government)
Phase II
(Elected Government)
15 Aug
National Assembly completes draft of permanent constitution
15 Oct
Referendum for constitution
15 Dec
Elections for permanent government completed
31 Dec
Permanent government assumes office
22
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Governance – Transitional Administrative Law
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Transitional Administrative Law (TAL)
will serve as Iraq’s supreme law between
30 Jun handover of sovereignty and
election of a new government under a
permanent constitution
• TAL outlines authorities for Iraqi
Transitional Government:
– Legislative: National Assembly
• 275 elected officials
• Electoral law will aim to achieve at least one-quarter women and fair
representation of all communities in Iraq
– Executive: Presidency Council, Council of Ministers, Prime Minister
• President and two Deputies elected by National Assembly
• Presidency Council appoints Prime Minister and Council of Ministers
• Prime Minister responsible for day-to-day government management
– Judicial Authority
• Higher Juridical Council will supervise federal judiciary
• Federal Supreme Court – 9 members nominated by Higher Juridical
Council and appointed by Presidency Council
• TAL posted on internet at www.cpa-iraq.org
UNCLASSIFIED
23
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Economics – Financial Market Structures
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Members of the Central Bank of Iraq, Central Statistical Organization and
CPA-Economic Policy visited Mosul, Arbil, and Sulaymaniyah to arrange
for cooperation in gathering and reporting macro-economic, fiscal,
money and banking statistics
• Information technology specialists from the Federal Reserve Bank of New
York are studying Iraqi banking system’s IT, communications, and
automation capabilities and needs, with a particular focus on the Central
Bank
• CPA and USAID are assisting Rasheed and Rafidain banks to reconcile
year-end financial statements according to International Accounting
Standards
• Iraq Stock Exchange is expected to open in early April
CPA Economic Objective: Commence Reform of Tax System
• Reform tax rates
24
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Economics – Currency & Banking
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• $3.6 billion out of supplemental funds are currently committed to Iraq relief
and reconstruction efforts, 35 % of the 01 Jul goal
• As of 14 Mar, the Trade Bank of Iraq has opened 109 letters of credit
totaling $499 million covering imports from 24 countries
• As of 11 Mar, the balance in the Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) was $8.1
billion
– Total payments out of the DFI amounted to $5.6 billion
– DFI investment program has earned $15 million in interest
• As of 20 Feb, Iraq’s two large state-owned commercial banks, Rafidain and
Rasheed, have extended dollar loans totaling $8.9 million, a 49% increase
over the dollar loan amount extended as of 30 Nov 03
• CPA has issued over 1,400 micro and small business loans worth
approximately $3 million
CPA Economic Objective: Build Financial Market Structures
• Modernize the Central Bank
• Commercial Banking System
• Re-establish Baghdad Stock Exchange
• Restructure National Debt
25
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Economics – Currency & Banking (cont)
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
value of dollars sold
at the auction was $22
million
• From 28 Feb – 04 Mar,
the NID appreciated
0.7 percent against
the US dollar
Date
# banks
Amount sold
Auction price
participating
or bought (dinars per dollar)
16-Feb
13
$7.735 million
1,400
17-Feb
14
$11.310 million
1,425
19-Feb
14
$13 million
1,415
Exchange Rate Movements
New Iraqi Dinars (NID) per US $1
12
/11
/20
03
12
/18
/20
03
12
/25
/20
03
1/1
/20
04
1/8
/20
04
1/1
5/2
00
1/2 4
2/2
00
1/2 4
9/2
00
4
2/5
/20
04
2/1
2/2
00
4
2/1
9/2
00
4
2/2
6/2
00
4
3/4
/20
04
3/1
1/2
00
4
D
E • The Currency Auction
was developed and is
P
operated by the
A
Central Bank of Iraq
R
(CBI)
T • At the New Iraqi Dinar
M
(NID) auction on
E
04 Mar, the settlement
price was 1,415 dinars
N
per dollar and the
T
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
Old Saddam Rate (10K per $)
26
Street Market Price
Settlement Price (Auction)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Economics – Other Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Ministry of Planning announced unemployment rate of 28 % and
underemployment rate of 21.6 %, a total of 49.6 % affected
• CJTF-7 C-9 estimates that CPA has created 379,721 jobs for Iraqis (45
percent of the CJTF-7 target of 850,000):
– Security / National Defense: 220,923
– CJTF-7: 51,673
– Civilian contractors working under CPA contracts: 68,154
– Governorate Teams: 1,550
• In the recent Oxford Research Int. survey, 69% rated the availability of
jobs as bad, however 73% expect improvement over the next year
• The “road-show” throughout Europe promoting foreign investment in
Iraq has already yielded visits from several companies
• As of 10 Mar 04, estimated crude oil export revenue reached $2.8 billion
for 2004
CPA Economic Objective: Pursue National Strategy for Human
Resources Development
27
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Program Management Office (PMO)
06 Jan
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
21 Jan
ce
en
r
fe
on
C
’s
er
d
d
Bi
d
se
a
e
l
Re
s
P
RF
Trans/Comm
3.5
Ed/Human
29
22 Jan
k
or
W
t
ar
St
ed
rd
a
Aw
ts
c
ra
nt
o
C
371
Construction Tasks Committed by 01 Jul
722
749
45.2
Oil
Mid-Apr
367
518.2
Security/Justice
Visit Governorates (Late
Jan through Apr)
l
ta
en ed IA)
em rd N
pl wa –
p
u tA E
tS c E
ri s ntra FC
F o (A
C
31.2
Water
Mid-Mar
865
PMO Web-site Portal:
www.rebuilding-iraq.net
1288.5
Electric
1993
0
500
1000
1500
2000
$ (Millions)
Target
14 Mar - Status
Committed
28
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Program Management Office (PMO) (cont)
06 Jan
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
21 Jan
ce
en
r
fe
on
C
’s
er
d
d
Bi
d
se
a
e
l
Re
s
P
RF
N/P
Mid-Mar
Visit Governorates (Late
Jan through Apr)
l
ta
en ed IA)
em rd N
pl wa –
p
u tA E
tS c E
ri s ntra FC
F o (A
C
ed
rd
a
Aw
ts
c
ra
nt
o
C
Mid-Apr
k
or
W
t
ar
St
4
Roads/Bridges 4
38.2
86
Electric
Priv Sector
Water
0.2
NonConstruction
Procurement
by 01 Jul
131
8.5
139
77.8
Trans/Com
234
10
Ed/Human
247
Health 0
325
200
Democracy
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
22 Jan
458
62
Justice
540
733.8
836
Oil
528.6
Security
0
500
2308
1000
1500
2000
$ (Millions)
14 Mar - Status
Target
Actual Commitments
29
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
22 1335 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Program Management Office (PMO) (cont)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Sector
2207
Report
14 Mar - Status
Apportioned
Committed
Obligated
* Security and Law Enforcement
3,243
2332.7
1048.6
351.6
Electricity Sector
5,560
1683.1
1326.7
1038.2
Oil Infrastructure
1,701
1600.0
779
451.6
Justice, Public Safety, and Civil Society
(less democracy)
560
560.9
* 91
Democracy
458
458.0
200
Education, Refugees, Human Rights,
Governance
280
138.5
10
Roads, Bridges, and Construction
370
119.3
4
4
Health Care
793
330.0
0
0
Transportation and Telecommunications
500
164.0
81.3
6.3
Water Resources and Sanitation
4,332
496.2
39.7
38.9
Private Sector Development
184
64.5
.2
0
TOTAL
18,439
7947.2
3578.7
2087.5
CONSTRUCTION
12,611
3950
1990.3
1355.3
NON-CONSTRUCTION
5,370
3539.2
1388.4
576.9
DEMOCRACY
458
458
200
155.3
18,439
7947.2
3578.7
2087.5
Total
In Millions
32.1
155.3
9.5
* Previous Democracy Building Amounts30Recorded in Justice, Public Safety, & Civil Society
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
22 1335 EST Mar 04
Strategic Communication
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• USAID is working with the CPA to ensure that the Iraqi population is well
educated about the Transitional Administrative Law
O
F
• The Iraqi people celebrated International Women’s Day on 08 Mar. Events
marking the celebration included:
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
– Programs to support this effort include producing booklets, and the
dissemination of information to local media outlets
• USAID’s Local Governance Program is conducting Democracy Dialogue
Activities throughout Iraq as part of the Civic Education Campaign
– Dialogues will improve public understanding of the transition to
democracy and increase participation in the political process
– Grand opening of Mansour Women’s Center in Baghdad (including its
computer training center), an art exhibit by Iraqi women artists, and
performances by an all-female band that formed after the war
– Approximately 150 women of all ages, ethnic, and religious
backgrounds attended the first Women’s Day Celebration at the new
Center for Iraqi Women in Mosul
31
UNCLASSIFIED