Iraq Status WORKI PAPERS NG

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01 0500 EDT Jun 04
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WORKING PAPERS
Iraq Status
This briefing is classified
UNCLASSIFIED
Derived from: Multiple Sources
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Highlights
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CPA Priorities:
• Governance
• Essential Services
• Economy
• Security
• Strategic
Communications
CPA Intermediate Objectives:
• Support transition to sovereignty
• Develop framework and capacity for
elections
• Build Financial Market Structure
• Reconstitute Oil Infrastructure
D
E
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E
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E
Weekly Highlights:
• Mr. Iyad Allawi nominated unanimously by the Iraqi Governing
Council (IGC) for prime minister of the Interim Iraqi Government
• UN panel interviewed candidates for key Independent Election
Commission (IEC) positions
• Iraq’s annualized inflation rate for Apr 04 was 19.6%, down from a
peak of 47.7% in Oct 03
• Estimated crude oil export revenue is over $6.2 billion for 2004 to
date
N/P
2
O
F
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Governance
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N
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O
F
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E
N
S
E
N/P
• Former exile Mr. Iyad Alawi’s nomination for prime minister of the
Interim Iraqi Government unanimously endorsed by Iraqi Governing
Council (IGC)
- UN Special Representative Lakhdar Brahimi "respects" the decision
and will work with Alawi to pick remainder of government
• Brahimi continues consultations with a broad spectrum of Iraqi people
and their leadership
• UN completed processing the 1,878 nominations for the Independent
Election Commission (IEC) positions
- UN panel interviewing 25 short-listed candidates
- 18 nominations will then be submitted to IGC for review
• Iraqi Property Claims Commission (IPCC) Offices accepted 2,582 claims
as of 21 May, providing Iraqis a means to resolve property ownership
disputes
• Ministries of Transportation and Environment transitioned to full Iraqi
control last week (15 Ministries have transitioned to date)
CPA Objective: Governance
Support Transition to Sovereignty; Develop Civic Participation in Governance;
Develop Framework and Capacity for Elections; Promote Respect for Human Rights;
Promote Durable Solutions for Refugees and Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs)
3
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Governance (Cont) – National Transition
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2004
08 Mar
End-May
Establishment of Election Commission (approximate date)
End-May
Selection of Interim Government (approximate date)
30 Jun
July/Aug
2005
31 Jan
O
F
Early ’05
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Transitional Administrative Law signed
Iraqi Interim Government takes power
Phase I
(Interim Government)
National Conference selects Consultative Council
Elections for the National Assembly complete: NLT 31 Jan 05
(31 Dec 04 if possible)
Iraqi Transitional Government takes power
Phase II
(Elected Government)
15 Aug
National Assembly completes draft of permanent constitution
15 Oct
Referendum for permanent constitution
15 Dec
Elections for government completed
31 Dec
Elected government assumes office
4
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Strategic Communication
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• USAID’s Democracy Development Activities (DDA) program
organized over 9,000 sessions in Iraq, with 280,000 participants
O
F
– Numerous focus groups, seminars, public forums, and town
hall meetings across Iraq
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
– Stimulated civic participation and increased Iraqis’
understanding of the Transitional Administrative Law (TAL)
and basic democratic principles
• Other activities continue in support of political transition and the
TAL including:
– Distribution of booklets and leaflets on the TAL
• CPA and USAID continue to undertake extensive activities
providing assistance to Iraqi women, including:
– Establishment of women’s centers
– Vocational training and education programs
– Civic education and participation
5
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Essential Services - Water and Sanitation
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N/P
• Work is continuing on the expansion of Shark Dijlah water treatment
plant in Baghdad
– Improvements to the plant will increase potable water flow by 45
percent to the underdeveloped area of east Baghdad
– Sharkh Dijlah is one of two main water treatment plants that serve 4.7
million Baghdad residents
• Mechanical and electrical work is more than 50 percent complete at Ad
Diwaniyah wastewater treatment plant
– Will benefit more than 80,000 when completed in Aug 04
• Repairing damaged water and sewage stations and networks in Fallujah
to address urgent needs after the recent conflicts
– Will be completed by end of Jun and benefit more than 200,000
people
CPA Water Objective: Provide Water Supply, Sewerage & Municipal
Services; Improve Water Resource Management
Create viable organization to deliver water/sewerage/municipal services (WSMS);
Expand WSMS to meet national needs; Develop full range of municipal services &
inclusive delivery mechanism; Infrastructure improvements to water resource
system; Facilities improvements & capacity building within Ministry
6
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Essential Services – Telecommunications and Postal
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M
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O
F
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N
S
E
N/P
• Total number of telephone subscribers in Iraq is now over 1,192,000
(inc. 415,000 cell phone subscribers) – over 43 % above pre-war levels
Telephone Subscribers (Fixed and Cell)
• Chart shows
trend in number
of telephone
subscribers
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
Cell Phones
Fixed Phones
200,000
0
Mar_03
(Pre-War)
Dec_03
Jan_04
Feb_04
Mar_04
Apr_04
May_04
(As at
May 24)
• Completed the Baghdad Digital Network, which provides emergency
communications capability for police, fire and emergency medical
technicians
• Iraq Post’s International Service Center opened at Baghdad International
Airport and introduction of Iraq's new Postal Code system announced
CPA Objectives: Reconstruct Communications & Postal Systems
Build Iraq’s first responder network • Establish independent regulatory agency •
Upgrade Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC) network • Build transmission
component data network for Iraq, including international gateways • Restructure
ITPC and its business operations • Upgrade and modernize postal systems • Upgrade
ITPC outside plant for increased subscriber capacity and use
7
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Essential Services – Transportation
D • Reconstruction of Baghdad International Airport (BIAP) and other
activities continue in preparation for commercial operations and
E
increased traffic
P
A
– More than 30 cargo handlers unload up to 45 tons of cargo each day
R
– BIAP transition timeline due to commence on 01 Jun with Iraqi Air
T
Traffic Control (ATC) taking over the civilian side of airport operations
M
E
– Work is expected to be complete by Aug 04
N
• Port Umm Qasr received 50 ships in Apr and over 40 in May, dredging of
T
the port continues
O • Work initiated on a $7M project for salvage and dredging at the port of
Khor Az Zubayr to enable oil tankers to use dock facilities
F
– Contract awarded to an Iraqi company based in Baghdad
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
CPA Objectives: Restore Economically Strategic Transportation
Infrastructure
Enable Iraqi civil aviation to prepare for international commercial aviation and
cargo service • Enable Iraqi Port Authority to administer a port of call with
intermodal capabilities and inland container distribution • Enable Iraqi Republic
Railways to provide domestic and international passenger and freight
capabilities • Reform civil service at Ministry of Transportation
8
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Essential Services - Food Security
D • Chart below shows % of estimated requirements for Public Distribution
System (PDS) goods from Apr - 01 Jul
E
P • Requirement
Progress Toward Three-Month Buffer Stock by July 1st
A
includes stocks
180%
R
sufficient for the
160%
period and a three
140%
T
120%
M month buffer by 01
100%
Jul
E
80%
60%
N • While substantial
40%
T
additional
20%
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Opening Stocks
Scheduled Arrivals Under Existing Contracts (OFF)
New Procurements MOT
New Procurements WFP
Planned Arrivals MOT Procurement
OFF Unconfirmed Contracts
To
tal
De
ter
ge
nt
So
ap
Sa
lt
Inf
an
tF
orm
W
ula
ea
nin
gC
ere
als
Mi
lk
Te
a
Su
ga
r
Gh
ee
/O
il
Pu
lse
s
Ri
ce
0%
Na
tio
na
lW
he
at
Fo
re
ign
W
he
at
O
F
shipments of most
goods have been
procured, they are
not shown as these
shipments will
arrive after 01 Jul
CPA Food Security Objective: Provide Food Security for all Iraqis
Enhance capacity of Ministry of Agriculture • Assure supply of inputs • Strengthen
research system • Ensure adequate stocks for Public Distribution System (PDS) •
Monitor food security • Hand over administration of system in the North • Initiate
reform of rations basket • Environmental Initiatives
9
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Essential Services – Food Security (cont)
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• Buffer stock build-up is slower than anticipated, due to delays in
finalizing the first round of Ministry of Trade (MoT) contracts
O
F
• A schedule for the second phase of MoT commodity
procurements was due to be finalized by 30 May
• Transporting commodities from Um Qasr to warehouses and silos
has been affected by truck drivers concerned about hijackings
and robberies
• Concerns over wheat requirements for June addressed by
additional procurement by CPA / MoT of 100,000 metric tons of
flour and scheduled arrivals of wheat supplied by World Food
Program
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
10
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Essential Services - Health Care
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O
F
D
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N
S
E
N/P
• Estimated that 85% of children have now been immunized and rates will
increase with ongoing programs
• 240 Iraqi hospitals and over 1,200 preventive health clinics are
operating
• Drug and medical supply shortages continue to be reported, especially
in the South, however:
– First shipment of Ministry of Health (MoH) emergency drug purchase
received and two more shipments were due to arrive last week
– A second emergency drug purchase was finalized last week
• Twenty-four MoH employees attended a World Bank sponsored training
seminar in Amman covering the establishment of National Health
Accounts
– Will help the MoH make cost-based decisions as they establish a
sustainable National Health Care finance system
• On 24 May, distribution of over 30,000 medical books and reference
material to 46 medical hospitals, clinics and universities throughout
Iraq began
CPA Health Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Health Care
Develop health care organizations, management, & infrastructure; Train health
care professionals; Pharmaceuticals logistic support; Public health
11
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Essential Services - Education
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N/P
• Nearly 2,500 schools have been rehabilitated
• Primary, intermediate, and secondary students have been completing
their final examinations for the school year
– Ministry of Education reports that the examination process has
been uneventful
– Apart from a few schools in Najaf and Karbala, all schools have
been open for exams including Fallujah
• To date, over 32,000 secondary school teachers and 3,000
supervisors have been trained as part of effort to upgrade the quality
of education
– Includes modern teaching methods, curriculum development, and
promoting change in teaching philosophies
• Six Iraqi high school students attended the second United World
Youth Council at Radley College in Oxford, England
CPA Education Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Education
•
•
•
•
Reorganize and staff the Ministry of Education
Rehabilitate school buildings and build new schools
Advance national dialog on curriculum reform
Continue and expand teacher training
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Program Management Office (PMO)
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E
Trans/Comm
P
A
R
Ed/Human/Road/Health
T
M
E
Water
N
T
Obligated
13
81
Committed
367
7/1 Comm Target
45
427
371
275
722
666
834
749
Security/Justice
O
F
Construction
Tasks
Committed
420
(Target figures are for
01 Jul)
72
Oil
568
865
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
1216
Electric
1739
1993
$ (Mill ions )
N/P Data as of 27 May
0
500
1000
1500
2000
PMO Web-site Portal:
www.rebuilding-iraq.net
13
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Program Management Office (PMO) (cont)
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T
M
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N
T
NC Obligation
24
Admin
6
6
4
23
Roads/Bridges
Electric
98
86
15 5 9
Priv Sector
131
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
NonConstruction
Procurement
70
139
Water
2
Trans/Com
14 0
234
32
37
Ed/Human
O
F
NC Commitment
7/1 Comm Target
24
247
Health
23
325
245
Democracy
14
Justice
(Target figures are for
01 Jul)
351
458
211
540
499
Oil
879
836
504
Security
0
500
1689
1000
1500
2308
2000
$ (Millions)
Data as of 27 May
14
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Economy
D • On 21 May, estimated crude oil export revenue was over $6.2B for 2004
E
• In Jan 04, the Ministry of Planning reported a national unemployment
P
rate of 28% and an underemployment rate of 21.6%
A
R • Iraq’s annualized inflation rate for Apr 04 was 19.6%, down from its peak
T
of 47.7% in Oct 03
M
– Over past six months the CPI has risen by 3.5%, or 7.0% at an annual
E
rate
N
– The April CPI declined by 3.7% relative to its level in March, partially
T
reversing the 9.2% increase in Mar
O
F
• The Trade Bank of Iraq has issued 206 letters of credit, totaling
$789.1M, covering imports from 33 countries
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
• The New Iraqi Dinar was at 1,465 dinars per dollar on 20 May, and has
been relatively stable for nearly three months
N/P
CPA Economic Objectives
Build Financial Market Structures; Develop Transparent Budgeting And Accounting
Arrangements; Private Sector Initiatives; Design Oil Trust Fund; Lay Foundations For
An Open Economy; Pursue National Strategy For Human Resources Development
15
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Economy (cont)
D • Micro-credit loans now total almost $5M, with 2,500 clients
E
– Provide credit to financially viable micro and small businesses
P
– First loan in Fallujah as micro-lending presence is established in
A
Al Anbar Province
R
T • As of 20 May, the balance in the Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) was
M
$10.2B ($3.1B is already committed, and $7.1B is slated for projected
E
04 budget items)
N
T • Recent economic sector surveys were completed by the Iraqi Central
Statistics Organization (CSO)
O
– Will assist in economic and planning and in meeting data
F
requirements for an IMF stabilization program
– CPA and USAID providing technical support and training to build
D
E
CSO’s capacity to use modern statistical data and forecasting
F
techniques
E
• A Ministry of Trade delegation attended the World Trade Organization
N
(WTO) General Council meeting in Geneva, Switzerland
S
E
– This was the first formal participation in the WTO by Iraq
N/P
16
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Accelerated Iraqi Reconstruction Program (AIRP)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• New Accelerated Iraq Reconstruction Program (AIRP) announced to
meet urgent local needs in eighteen Iraqi cities
• Projects and requirements were developed as a joint effort between
CPA, PMO, various US and Iraqi agencies, and local community
leadership
• Projects cover: water and sanitation, health, education, building,
roads, power, and telecommunications
• Benefits of the AIRP:
– Will employ thousand of Iraqis in high unemployment areas
– Jump starts community essential services construction
– 100% contract awards by 15 Jun
– Rapid execution and impact
– Over 160 urgent, high profile projects
– Stimulates local economy
– Provides opportunities for local businesses
– Improves Iraqi’s quality of life
17
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Iraqi Budgeted Spending for 2004
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• The following chart shows Iraqi budgeted spending for 2004, from all
revenue sources:
New OFF
Ministry funding in millions of US$
Finance (with selected major payments)*
Revised Iraqi Budget, March 2004
Salaries Other Operating Capital Projects Other
(inc. FPS)
Expenses
17
Public Distribution System
Fuel Imports
Transfer Payments
Foreign Obligations (e.g., reparations)
Local/Regional Grants
Salaries and Retirement Awards
SOE Restructuring and Salary Support
Regional Development
Nation Building projects
Additional Security Projects
Rapid Regional Response Program
CERP
All other
Electricity
Health
Education
Transport
Housing
Oil
Public Works
Water Resources
Interior
Justice
Defense
Other Agencies
TOTAL
12,938
184
814
2,400
2,100
1,671
1,432
831
797
761
600
571
500
225
70
981
8
230
682
7
37
5
15
19
367
42
77
265
1,773
210
750
103
82
17
56
21
7
108
67
24
425
14,809
18
900
50
170
212
233
200
166
128
10
42
0
237
2,532
814
Total
Deposits
Total
2004
Budgeted
Total
13,953
1,580
15,533
2,400
2,100
1,671
1,432
831
797
761
600
571
500
225
70
981
200
0
0
0
0
0
50
277
0
500
0
123
430
2,600
2,100
1,671
1,432
831
797
811
877
571
1,000
225
193
1,411
1,118
1,030
955
301
287
261
202
155
485
151
101
927
19,926
315
0
0
0
0
460
0
0
0
0
0
130
2,485
1,433
1,030
955
301
287
721
202
155
485
151
101
1,057
22,411
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Electricity Overview
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
Goal 01 June 04: 6,000 MW
Peak Deliverable Generation
Capacity
6000
5000
Megawatts
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
4000
4098
3896
4058
3763
3659
3812
3825
3845
4006
3901
Peak Production (MW)
3000
Goal Jun 04
2000
Goal Oct 03
1000
0
19 Mar- 26 Mar- 02 Apr- 09 Apr- 16 Apr 23 Apr- 30 Apr 07 may 14 May 21 May
25 Mar 01 Apr 08 Apr 15 Apr - 22
29Apr
- 06
- 13
- 20
- 27
Apr
May
May
May
May
• Ambassador Bremer approved an increase plan in Jan to reach
6,000 MW of peak deliverable capacity and 120,000 MWH of daily
production by 01 Jun. Due to unforeseen problems, these goals
will slip until 30 Jun
• CPA spring maintenance program continues resulting in about
1,323 MW of generation capacity currently offline for scheduled
and 529 MW for unscheduled maintenance
N/P Data as of 27 May
19
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Power Production
Mega Watt Hour Production
140000
120000
100000
80000
MWH
60000
40000
June Goal MWH
MW Hrs Actual
20000
MW Hrs 7 Day Av.
0
16
-J
an
26
-J
an
05
-F
eb
15
-F
eb
25
-F
eb
06
-M
a
16 r
-M
ar
26
-M
a
05 r
-A
pr
15
-A
pr
25
-A
pr
05
-M
a
15 y
-M
a
25 y
-M
ay
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Generation By Region
O
F
5000
4500
3500
Turkey
3000
Syria
Fixed Gen
2500
Central
2000
South
North
1500
1000
500
0
04
20
6/
/2
05
04
20
2/
/1
05
04
20
8/
/2
04
04
20
4/
/1
04
04
20
1/
/3
03
04
20
7/
/1
03
04
20
3/
/0
03
20
04
20
8/
/1
02
04
20
4/
/0
02
04
20
1/
/2
01
04
20
7/
/0
01
03
20
4/
/2
12
03
20
0/
/1
12
03
20
6/
/2
11
03
20
2/
/1
11
N/P Data as of 27 May
03
20
9/
/2
10
03
20
5/
/1
10
03
20
1/
/0
10
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
MWPeak
4000
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Hours of Power – Week of 20 May
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Average Hours of Electricity
Available to Governorate
Per Day Over a 7 Day Period
Dahok
94.7 MW
20 Hrs
Naynawa
293.1 MW
9 Hrs
Tamim
120 MW
13 Hrs
Salah Ad Din
194 MW
10 Hrs
Anbar
179 MW
11 Hrs
= 8 Hrs = Red
9 to 15 Hrs =Amber
= 16 Hrs = Green
Arbil
14 Hrs
Sulaymaniyah
178 MW
14 Hrs
Percent Change (7 Day)
Dyala
81 MW
11 Hrs
Baghdad
1081 MW
12 Hrs
Wasit
99 MW
Karbala Babil
14 Hrs
70 MW 78 MW
8
Hrs
15 Hrs
Qadisiyah
48 MW
10 Hrs
An Najaf
Dhi Qar
81 MW
101 MW
11 Hrs
16 Hrs
Muthanna
Muthanna
37Hrs
MW
10
10
Hrs
38 MW
21
Misan
45 MW
13 Hrs
Basrah
293 MW
14 Hrs
Baghdad
2.7%
Duhok
0.0%
Naynawa
12.4%
Tamim
10.2%
Salah Ad Din
6.7%
Anbar
8.0%
Dyala
24.8%
Babil
7.3%
Karbala
8.2%
Najaf
10.9%
Qadisiyah
7.9%
Wasit
9.4%
Muthanna
13.3%
Dhi Qar
-1.4%
Misan
7.9%
Basrah
-0.2%
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Crude Oil Production
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Current Goal: 2.5 MBPD
Millions of Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2-8 Apr
9-15 Apr
16-22 Apr
23-29 Apr
30 Apr - 6 May
Production
7-13 May
14-20 May
21-27 May
Target
Weekly Average of 2.236 MBPD Is Below Target of 2.5 MBPD
• Long Term Target (Dec 04): 2.8 - 3.0 MBPD (Pre-War Capacity)
• Pre-War Peak: 2.5 MBPD in Mar 03
• Post-war Peak: 2.595 MBPD on 16 Apr 04
22
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Crude Oil Exports
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Monthly Average of Crude Oil Exports
2.000
1.825
1.804
Mar-04
Apr-04
1.800
1.524
1.600
1.541
1.537
1.382
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.400
1.149
1.200
0.983
1.000
0.800
0.646
0.600
0.400
0.322
0.200
0.200
0.000
Jun-03
Jul-03
Aug-03
Sep-03
Oct-03
Nov-03
Dec-03
Jan-04
Feb-04
• Current Monthly Average: 1.198 MBPD
23
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Diesel Supply
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
30.0
Current Goal: 19.5 M Liters
25.0
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
2-8 Apr
9-15 Apr
16-22 Apr
23-29 Apr
30 Apr - 6 May
Production
Import
7-13 May
14-20 May
21-27 May
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 85% of goal
24
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Kerosene Supply
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
7.0
6.0
Current Goal: 4.5 M Liters
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
2-8 Apr
9-15 Apr
16-22 Apr
23-29 Apr
30 Apr - 6 May
Production
Import
7-13 May
14-20 May
21-27 May
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 97% of goal
25
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Gasoline / Benzene Supply
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
25.0
Current Goal: 19.0 M Liters
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
2-8 Apr
9-15 Apr
16-22 Apr
23-29 Apr
30 Apr - 6 May
Production
Import
7-13 May
14-20 May
21-27 May
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 83% of goal
26
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Supply
6000
Current Goal: 4,800 Tons
5000
Tons Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
4000
3000
2000
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
1000
0
2-8 Apr
9-15 Apr
16-22 Apr
23-29 Apr
Production
30 Apr - 6 May
Import
7-13 May
14-20 May
21-27 May
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 51% of goal
27
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Iraqi Security Forces Personnel & Training Summary
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
On Duty
Required
Untrained
Iraqi Police
Service
(IPS) 1
89,369 65,084
Dept of
Border
Enforcement
(DBE) 2
20,420
0
Total On
Duty
In
Academy
Training
In TIP
Training
Total On
Duty & In
Training
TIP
Trained
Academy
Trained
21,018
4,701
90,803
1,174
250
92,227
0
0
17,472
101
0
17,573
Required
On Duty
In-Training
TOTAL
Iraqi Armed
Forces
(IAF) 3
35,000
3,939
2,763
6,702
Iraqi Civil
Defense
Corps
(ICDC) 4
40,556
24,874
100
24,974
28
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Iraqi Security Forces Personnel & Training Summary (cont)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Facilities
Protection
Service
(Ministries &
MSCs)
(FPS) 5
Required
On Duty
In-Training
TOTAL
73,992
73,992
156
74,148
Total on Duty
and in
Training:
Total
Required:
259,337
215,624
1
2
3
4
5
New requirement from MNF-I 22 Apr based on better census data. IPS implementing new
reporting procedures
OSC SITREP 29 Apr. DBE includes Border Police, Customs, Immigration, Nationality. There
is no TIP training for DBE but Border Police received basic sentry training
MNF-I C3 Effects NISF Roll-up
OSC SITREP 29 Apr. ICDC includes the 36th ICDC BN
FPS requirements changed by Ministries. Numbers are estimated. Source OSC SITREP
Number required and total on duty reflects best available data in
the wake of recent combat operations.
Re-assessments and updates are continuing
29
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Security - Build Justice
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Ambassador Bremer announced the creation of the Special Task Force
on Compensation for Victims of the Former Regime
– Initial endowment of $25 million from the Development Fund for Iraq
• President Bush announced that Abu Ghraib prison will be demolished,
as a symbol of Iraq’s new beginning
• The fourth of six judicial training courses has been completed, each
course trains approximately 30 judges
– Covers due process, rule of law, human rights, judicial
independence, ethics, developments in international law, and CPA
Orders
• Weekly programs to train about 600 court-appointed defense
counselors for indigent defendants began last week
• Iraqi Corrections Service has improved the prisoner transport system,
which has reduced disruptions to scheduled court appearances
CPA Objective: Build Justice
Establish Independent Judiciary; Reform Judicial System; Improve the Penal
System; Establish Commission on Public Integrity; Solidify Real Property Rights
30
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Security - Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• The Coalition military headquarters, Combined Joint Task Force - 7
stood down and transitioned into the Multi-National Force – Iraq
• Fallujah has remained relatively quiet since the creation of the Fallujah
Brigade and there have been no violations of the cease-fire since
03 May
• All militias have now agreed to a transition and reintegration plan
- Almost 90 percent of the roughly 100,000 militia members will have
passed into new occupations prior to the elections
• The Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) Personnel Redirection
O
program continues to make progress with the hiring of 25 high-level
F
former weapons scientists and engineers
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
- Will work as scientific and technical consultants with Iraqi Ministries
and the private sector in support of reconstruction efforts
CPA Objectives: Security
Achieve a Secure and Stable Environment; Develop Institutions that are Effective in
Protecting Society and Constitutional Order; Develop Iraqi Defense Capabilities and
Oversight Mechanism
31
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Security – Developments (Cont)
D • Key leadership of the Ministry of Defense has been appointed,
E
including the Inspector General and all five Directors General
P
A • Status of the Iraqi Army:
R
- Three battalions conducting operations with Coalition forces
T
- Three new battalions are training new recruits and leadership staff
M
E
- One battalion is learning techniques for military operations in
N
urban terrain through a “train-the-trainer” program
T
• 19 Iraqi helicopter pilots graduated from flight training conducted at
O the Royal Jordanian Air Force in Jordan
F
- All 19 airman were pilots under the former regime
D
• Thirty police managers are enrolled in the first Mid-Level Management
E
course for the Iraqi Police Service (IPS)
F
E • More than 21,000 police of the former regime are on duty after
N
completing Training and Integration of Police program
S
E
N/P
32
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Security – Developments (Cont)
Significant Acts
70
Total SIGACTS
60
40
Anniversary
of Invasion
30
20
10
N/P
5/1
5/0
4
5/1
/04
4/1
7/0
4
4/3
/04
3/2
0/0
4
3/6
/04
2/2
1/0
4
2/7
/04
1/2
4/0
4
Date
Baghdad Murders
O
F • Chart opposite shows
250
200
200
Murders Recorded
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
1/1
0/0
4
11
/29
/03
12
/13
/03
12
/27
/03
11
/15
/03
11
/1/
03
0
grenades (RPG), and
improvised rockets
murders reported to the
Baghdad Police
Department since May 03
Fallujah
and al-Sadr
Sedition
Operation Iron
Hammer
Announced
50
10
/18
/03
D • Chart shows significant
E
insurgent activities in
P
Iraq, includes attacks
A
using:
R
– Improvised explosive
T
M
devices (IED), vehicleE
borne IEDs, mortars,
N
rocket propelled
T
179
155
148
145
150
122
119
117
92
100
129
83
62
50
0
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Month
Dec
Jan
2004
Feb
Mar
Apr
Murders do not include manslaughter, deaths due to terrorist actions, or Iraqis killed by Coalition forces.
33
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
WORKING PAPERS
01 0500 EDT Jun 04
Stability Contributors – OIF
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
P
Countries with forces in Iraq
34
Albania
Australia
Azerbaijan
Bulgaria
Czech Rep
Denmark
Dom Rep
El Salvador
Estonia
Georgia
Honduras
Hungary
Italy
Japan
Kazakhstan
Korea
Latvia
Data as of 28 May
Countries considering decision
to provide forces for Iraq
TOTAL ~24K
5
Lithuania
Macedonia
Moldova
Mongolia
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Philippines
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Singapore
Slovakia
Spain
Thailand
Ukraine
UK
TOTAL TBD
39 Countries
Potentially Supporting
Iraqi Stability and
Humanitarian Relief
34
UNCLASSIFIED
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