27 April 2005
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
Table of Contents
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SECTION
SLIDE(S)
Highlights
3
1.0 Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2.0 Ensure the Continuation of Support for
Iraq’s Electoral Process through 2005
6
3.0 Create Jobs and Provide Essential Services
9
4.0 Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy
14
5.0 Establish Good Governance, Rule of Law
20
6.0 Maintain International Engagement & Support
22
General Information
24
2
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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1.0 Neutralize the Insurgents
• Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) continue operations to neutralize the insurgents.
2.0 Ensure the Continuation of Support for Iraq’s Electoral Process
through 2005
• On April 28, The Transitional National Assembly overwhelmingly approved the
cabinet of Iraq Prime Minister Ja’afari. This followed the approval of this list
by the Presidency Council. The list included five positions that will be filled
temporarily by other members of the cabinet (e.g. Ja’afari will act as Defense
Minister) until a decision can be reached on permanent ministers.
3.0 Provide Jobs and Essential Services
• The Ministry of Electricity met with Turkey and Syria to discuss additional
electricity imports for the summer and beyond. An agreement with Turkey
was previously reached to supply $50 million in imported electricity.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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4.0 Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy
• Vice President ‘Abd al-Mahdi told US officials in Washington that adoption of a
fuel subsidy reform plan will be a top priority for the new Cabinet.
5.0 Establish Good Governance, Rule of Law
• The Ministry of Justice conducted an investigation concerning rights violations
against detainees. The Minister clarified that any violations uncovered would be
sent to the cabinet for possible prosecution.
6.0 Maintain International Engagement and Support
• After talks with the main opposition Social Democrats on April 20, Danish Prime
Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen expected broad political backing for a new sixmonth mandate to keep troops in Iraq. Denmark has some 500 troops serving
with the Multi-National Forces in Iraq; the present mandate expires at the end of
June.
• According to the Japan-Iraq Assistance Update, Japan is now providing grant aid
totaling $1.5 billion to Iraq to rebuild the foundations of public life covering such
areas as power generation, education, water supply and sanitation, health, and
employment, as well as security. Up to $3.5 billion in aid will be provided for
medium-term reconstruction.
• The UN lead for constitutional issues, South African Nicholas Fink Hayson, has
arrived in Baghdad.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.0] Neutralize the Insurgents – Iraqi Security Forces Update
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Ministry of Defense Forces
Ministry of Interior Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED & EQUIPPED
POLICE
57,586
HIGHWAY PATROL
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
71,797
AIR FORCE
193
OTHER MOI FORCES
29,396
NAVY
521
TOTAL
86,982*
TOTAL
72,511**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
O
F
159,493
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T * Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absences personnel are included in these numbers
A
T ** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absences personnel are not included in these numbers
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Data as of April 25, 2005
5
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.0] Ensure the Continuation of Support for Iraq’s Electoral Process
through 2005 – Developments
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ITG Formation:
• On April 28, The Transitional National Assembly overwhelmingly approved
the cabinet of Iraq Prime Minister Ja’afari. This followed the approval of this
list by the Presidency Council. The list included five positions that will be
filled temporarily by other members of the cabinet (e.g.. Ja’afari will act as
Defense Minister) until a decision can be reached on permanent ministers.
Transitional National Assembly (TNA):
• A USAID partner held a “lessons learned” debriefing for the organizers of the
first TNA session to better prepare for future sessions. Attended by TNA staff
members and representatives of the Common Press Information Center
(CPIC) and International Press Center (IPC), most agreed that although the
TNA session was a success from an organizational standpoint, there were
clear problems with the TNA’s ability to liaise with the Arabic media.
– In response to the criticism, USAID’s partner–in collaboration with CPIC
and the State Department’s Public Affairs Office–organized a series of
practical training sessions for the TNA Public Affairs Office on how to work
with the media prior to and during parliamentary sessions.
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UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.0] Ensure the Continuation of Support for Iraq’s Electoral Process
through 2005 – Developments
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Transitional National Assembly (TNA) cont’d:
• A USAID partner providing support to the TNA hosted its third “Engendering
the Constitution” meeting in late March, attended by 42 female members of the
TNA, Governorate Councils and various non-governmental organizations.
Continuing TNA Responsibilities:
- Serve as Iraq's national legislature until the election of a new government
under a permanent constitution.
- Put to a vote of confidence the Prime Minister and Council of Ministers
nominees; nominees must be approved in the TNA by a simple majority.
- According to the Transitional Administrative Law, the TNA is to draft Iraq's
new Constitution by August 15, 2005; this will be presented to the Iraqi
people for their approval in a national referendum by October 15, 2005.
- If it is approved, an election for a permanent Iraqi government under that
new Constitution will occur by the end of 2005.
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UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.0] Ensure the Continuation of Support for Iraq’s Electoral Process
through 2005 – Electoral Process Timeline
JAN
FEB
MAR
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Jan 30
A
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February
M
Results
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Announced
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Mar 16
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APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
Oct 15 National
Referendum on
Constitution
Aug 15 Deadline
for drafting of
Constitution
TNA
Seated
Dec 15 National
Elections for
Permanent
Government
Drafting of Constitution
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UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.0] Create Jobs and Provide Essential Services – Economy
Oil Update:
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• Crude oil prices in world markets for the week ending April 22 closed with the following prices:
– Kirkuk Crude at $45.29/barrel
– Dated Brent at $51.37/barrel
– Basra Light at $44.49/barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $46.39/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $52.37/barrel
* WTI Cushing, Dated Brent, and Oman/Dubai have replaced the OPEC basket in this section as these three
crudes determine Iraq crude prices.
Employment Update: Number of Iraqis employed by USG-administered projects in each sector
Employing Organization
PCO (Project and Contracting Office)
USAID
AIRP (Accelerated Iraqi Reconstruction Program)
MILCON (Military Construction)
*CERP (Commanders' Emergency Response Program)
MNSTC-I
IRRF NON-CONSTRUCTION
GRAND TOTAL
Data as of April 27, 2005
Iraqis Last
Week
Iraqis This
Week
% Change on
Week
26,322
80,729
2,525
523
23,706
15,605
9,429
27,488
76,269
2,725
577
23,706
23,938
9,157
4.4%
-5.5%
7.9%
10.3%
0.0%
53.4%
-2.9%
158,839
163,860
3.2%
* CERP numbers are from the9latest GRD SitRep, Update from MNC-I due May 1st
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.0] Create Jobs and Provide Essential Services – Job Creation and
Food Security
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Job Creation:
• The International Labor Organization (ILO) plans to support the Ministry of
Planning in adopting a national employment action plan, and is pushing to have
the plan added to Iraq’s National Development Strategy. The ILO will advise the
Ministry of Planning on capacity building, technical assistance and a national
labor code.
• Forty wheat technology field days are being held this week in Arbil, Dahuk, and
As Sulaymaniyah. The field days, bring together farmers and Ministry of
Agriculture extension staff to discuss the results of improved technologies used
in wheat production. Approximately 1,300 Iraqi farmers are expected to
participate the field days that will demonstrate improved cultivation techniques.
Public Distribution System (PDS):
• The Ministry of Finance (MoF) has transferred $75 million to the MOT to procure
an emergency stock of wheat flour in the coming weeks to increase buffer
stocks against future shortages of wheat.
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UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.0] Create Jobs and Provide Essential Services – Education and
Health Care
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Education:
• PCO has completed 457 schools renovations to date and a further 253 are
under construction. Under the Accelerated Iraq Reconstruction Program (AIRP),
an additional 24 school renovations have been completed and 16 are underway.
– 840 schools are scheduled for completion by mid-2005.
• An Iraqi NGO that focuses on the arts conducted 48 three-day participatory art
workshops for youth in southern Iraq. More than 3,000 youth participated in the
workshops that focused on artistic self-expression and using art as a social and
educational outlet.
– With art programs stifled by the previous regime, schools around the country
had insufficient resources to provide wide-scale art instruction. This program
enhances and broadens education for Iraqi youth.
– An Iraq Transition Initiative grant provided for the equipment, stipends and
lodging for these workshops.
Health Care:
• Construction is underway on 142 new primary health care (PHC) facilities
across Iraq and one has been completed. Under the AIRP, an additional two
PHCs are under construction and eight have been completed.
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UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.0] Create Jobs and Provide Essential Services – Water and
Sanitation & Telecommunications
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Water and Sanitation:
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• PCO has 83 water treatment projects underway, completing 11 to date. Under
the AIRP, there are a further 13 water treatment projects under construction and
36 have been completed.
• PCO has completed 11 Small Water System Rehabilitation projects, which are
delivering clean water to 120,960 residents.
– A total of 145 projects are planned throughout all 18 Governorates, of which
75 have started. Projects are awarded to directly to local contractors and
local water authorities.
• As of April 23, the Mobile Switching Office (MSO) was powered up. 15 base
stations in Baghdad are operational. All base stations will be turned over to the
Iraqis in June.
• Five Iraqi agencies have been connected to the Wireless Broadband Loop. All 35
agencies will be connected by May 30.
12
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.0] Create Jobs and Provide Essential Services – Electricity Overview
Iraq Daily Electricity Load Served
7-day Average
Pre-War
Estimated Demand
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
10
/7
/2
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11
/4
/2
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4
12
/2
/2
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4
12
/3
0/
20
04
1/
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/2
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2/
24
/2
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5
3/
24
/2
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5
4/
21
/2
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5
20
04
4
9/
9/
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0
4
8/
1
5/
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0
7/
1
6/
1
7/
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0
4
4
4
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0
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2/
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4
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3/
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5/
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Actual
200,000
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30 June 2005 Goal
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• Electricity load served in the last week (April 18-24) averaged of 81,700 MWh. Hours of
available power averaged nine hours in Baghdad and eight hours country-wide.
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27 April 2005
[4.0] Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy
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Funds from UNDP Donor Countries Provided to Approved Projects:
• A total of $424 million was earmarked for approved projects from Australia,
Belgium, Canada, Denmark, EC, Finland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea,
Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, and UK.
• A total of $92 million in un-earmarked funds from Canada, Greece, Iceland, India,
Japan, Norway, Qatar, UK and US are pledged toward supporting education and
culture, healthcare, infrastructure and housing, agriculture, water resources and
environment, food security, mine action, refugees and IDPs.
Vice President ‘Abd al-Mahdi and Ministry of Finance on Subsidies and Budget:
• Vice President ‘Abd al-Mahdi told US officials in Washington that adoption of a
fuel subsidy reform plan will be a top priority for the new Cabinet.
• The Ministry of Finance, with an eye on the IMF fiscal target, is resisting pressure
from other ministries to raise expenditures, but the Ministry will try to identify funds
for infrastructure security and summer diesel imports.
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27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.0] Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.80
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MOO Goal: 2.5 MBPD
2.60
2.40
Millions of Barrels Per Day
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2.20
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
S
1.00
T
28 February - 6
7-13 March
14-20 March
21-27 March
A
March
T • Weekly Average (April 18 - 24) of 2.21 MBPD
E
28 March - 3 April
4-10 April
11-17 April
18-24 April
Production
Target
• Pre-War Peak: 2.5 MBPD in March 2003
• Post-War Peak: 2.67 MBPD
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UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.0] Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy – Crude Oil Export
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Monthly Export (mbpd)
2.500
$2.50
2.000
$2.00
1.500
$1.50
1.367
1.394
1.431
1.000
1.334
$1.00
$1.99
$1.49
Monthly Revenue ($Billions)
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Millions of Barrels Per Day
Monthly Revenue (US$B)
$1.38
$1.34
0.500
$0.50
0.000
$0.00
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
• 2003 Revenue:
$5,076.6 M
• 2004 Revenue:
$17,012.3 M
• 2005 Revenue:
$6,200 M (cumulative for 2005)
16
Apr-05
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.0] Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy – Refined Products
Production %
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200%
180%
Percentage of Monthly Target Reached This Week
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A
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M
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Import %
160%
140%
120%
100%
87%
53%
80%
45%
75%
60%
40%
62%
56%
49%
20%
32%
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Benzene
LPG
Note: This chart represents the average percentage of daily target reached for the week of April 18 – 24
• Diesel: 20.7 ML of 18 ML
• Benzene: 24.5 ML of 18 ML
• Kerosene: 6.9 ML of 6.8 ML
• LPG: 4,605 tons of 4,300 tons
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UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.0] Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy – National Stock Levels
Mar-05
15
14
13
10
10
9
7
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Goal
20
Days of Stocks
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Apr-05
7
6
5
5
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Benzene
LPG
• The goal is for all refined products to be over 15 days worth of stocks at
maximum consumption rates and does not represent seasonal change. The
numbers given above are monthly averages.
18
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.0] Establish Foundations for a Strong Economy – IRRF I & II
Financials
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Financial Status-IRRF I & II
Sector
Obligated
Committed
2207
Report
Disbursed
Apportion
Last
Week
Current
Last
Week
Current
Last
Week
Current
Security and Law Enforcement
5,045
5,045
4,721
4,717
3,990
4,132
1,891
1,995
Electricity Sector
4,369
4,078
3,944
3,945
2,941
2,960
996
1,004
Oil Infrastructure
1,701
1,701
1,570
1,570
1,009
1,011
234
261
Justice, Public Safety, and Civil Society
1,120
1,120
997
1,009
787
799
220
232
Democracy
832
832
756
756
670
670
340
343
Education, Refugees, Human Rights, Governance
379
379
283
286
271
273
79
83
Roads, Bridges, and Construction
359
355
341
343
191
191
67
72
Health Care
786
786
764
756
484
559
65
71
Transportation and Communications
513
512
474
477
320
329
65
65
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Water Resources and Sanitation
2,279
1,770
1,755
1,753
1,068
1,067
105
107
Private Sector Development
843
836
779
780
765
765
447
447
Admin Expense
213
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
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IRRF II SUBTOTAL
18,439
17,443
16,414
16,420
12,525
12,790
4,538
4,709
11,306
10,378
10,110
10,100
7,154
7,288
2,087
2,154
6,301
6,233
5,548
5,564
4701
4,831
2,111
2,213
832
832
756
756
670
670
340
343
IRFF I SUBTOTAL
2,475
2,475
2,475
2475
2,475
2475
2,150
2,150
GRAND TOTAL IRRF I & II
20,914
19,918
18,889
18,895
15,000
15,265
6,688
6814
IRRF II CONSTRUCTION
IRRF II NON-CONSTRUCTION
IRRF II DEMOCRACY
Data as of April 27, 2005
19
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.0] Establish Good Governance, Rule of Law – Refugees, Democracy
and Human Rights
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Justice Ministry Conducts Investigation:
• The Ministry of Justice conducted an investigation concerning rights violations
against detainees. The Minister clarified that any violations uncovered would
be sent to the cabinet for possible prosecution.
Iraqi Delegation in Tehran Discusses the Refugee Situation:
• The Ministry of Displacement and Migration recently sent a delegation to
Tehran. The delegation primarily discussed the situation of Iraqi refugees who
lost their nationalities in Iran.
National Democratic Institute (NDI) Delegation to Croatia:
• NDI sent 16 representatives from eight Iraqi political parties to Croatia for
in-depth campaign training on research, goal-setting, targeting, message
development, voter contact, media relations, and campaign planning.
20
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.0] Establish Good Governance, Rule of Law – Refugees, Democracy
and Human Rights
Award of Civil Society Micro Grants:
D • After a review of all micro grant applications, a USAID partner providing support to
E
the Iraqi Transitional Government finalized the selection of nongovernmental
P
organizations (NGOs) ready to implement proposed projects related to civic
A
education and to contribute to the national constitutional process. A first group of
NGOs will be officially awarded grants in April, based on the quality of their
R
applications and projects. On the day of the awards, 22 organizations will participate
T
in a day-long training workshop on donor relations, financial management and report
M
writing.
E
N Ministry of Oil Takes Charge:
T • The Iraqi Oil Ministry has fired more than 450 employees suspected of selling fuel on
the black market. The move is the most recent in a series of measures designed to
crack down on corruption within the industry. The Oil Ministry's general inspector Ali
O
Muhsin Ismael said the government's inability to provide a secure environment was
F
partly responsible for problems in the sector.
S Iraq Law Schools Strengthen Democracy and Promote Stability:
T • USAID’s Higher Education and Development Program (HEAD) works with Iraqi law
schools to build strong links with international academic counterparts, creating an onA
campus environment that favors pro-democratic, moderate thought, and actively
T
involves professors and students in the effort to develop a new constitution and
E
support the nascent political process. DePaul University’s International Human
Rights Law Institute (IHRLI) is working through the HEAD program to strengthen legal
instruction at three Iraqi law schools.
21
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.0] Maintain Int’l Engagement & Support – Developments
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International Support:
• After talks with Social Democrats on April 20, Danish Prime Minister Anders
Fogh Rasmussen expected broad political backing for a new six-month
mandate to keep troops in Iraq. Denmark has some 500 troops serving with
the Multi-National Forces in Iraq; the present mandate expires at the end of
June.
• According to the Japan-Iraq Assistance Update, Japan is providing grant aid
totaling $1.5 billion to Iraq to rebuild the foundations of public life. The
assistance covers areas such as power generation, education, water supply
and sanitation, health, and employment, as well as security. Up to $3.5 billion
in aid will be provided for medium-term reconstruction.
• Italy has announced it will contribute 500,000€ to the Trustee Fund created by
NATO to finance transportation and housing costs for Iraqi officers who will
attend the Atlantic Alliance training course set to begin in the coming months.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.0] Maintain Int’l Engagement & Support – Stability Contributors
D
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M
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N
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27 MNF-I Contributors (in addition to US)
Albania
El Salvador
Latvia
Poland
Armenia
Estonia
Lithuania
Romania
Australia
Georgia
Macedonia
Singapore
Azerbaijan
Italy
Moldova
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Japan
Mongolia
Ukraine
Czech Rep
Kazakhstan
Netherlands
UK
Denmark
Korea
Norway
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
NTM-I forces in country total
over 130 additional personnel
from 17 countries, including
the US.
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A
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TOTAL ~ 22,000 Forces
28 Countries and NATO
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
Data as of April 20, 2005
23
UNCLASSIFIED
27 April 2005
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
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• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
respective pages in the “Notes Page” section (View Æ Notes Page).
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to (unclassified) NEA-IIPOG-DL@state.gov or (classified) NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.sgov.gov
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UNCLASSIFIED