November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
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November 29, 2006
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Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
1
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
6
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
8
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
10
Services
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
13
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
21
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
22
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
25
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Special Addendum: Provincial Reconstruction Teams
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
26
27
28UNCLASSIFIED
2
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
Insurgents detonated five car bombs and launched multiple mortar attacks into
Baghdad’s Sadr City neighborhood November 23, killing at least 202 people and
injuring more than 250.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
Soldiers from the 2nd Battalion, 1st Brigade, 7th Iraqi Army (IA) Division conducted
a local census, key leader engagements and security and civil-military operations
in western Ramadi November 24, setting the conditions for the battalion to assume
security responsibility for their portion of the city. Once the area of operations is
officially transferred, the 2/1/7 IA Division will be the third and final battalion in the
1st Brigade, 7th IA Division to own an area of operation in Ramadi.
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3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Press reports that 30 lawmakers and five Cabinet Ministers announced their
withdrawal from the unity government in protest over Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s
meeting with President Bush in Amman.
S
T
A
T
E
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
Construction began on three improvement projects for primary healthcare centers
in Baghdad November 14. The $246,000 US Army-funded projects will serve
approximately 105,000 patients a year.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
The Council of Ministers unanimously endorsed the International Compact with Iraq
(ICI) November 26. The ICI aims to reform subsidies, implement fiscal federalism,
and strengthen the oil, agriculture and other key economic sectors. Also included
are goals for improving governance, rule of law, civil rights and civil society.
Implementation of the ICI will be tracked by Iraq’s international partners against
specific benchmarks and timelines. A final signing event, where as many as 70
international partners will pledge their support for Iraq and the Compact, is
expected to occur in early 2007.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
Saddam Hussein’s genocide trial resumed in Baghdad November 27, with a
Kurdish witness testifying how he survived a firing squad by Iraqi forces.
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
Iraq and Syria have fully restored diplomatic relations for the first time in more than
25 years, when ties were severed due to Syria’s support of Iran during the eightyear-long Iraq-Iran war.
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of
the Insurgents
Gunmen killed Fadhila Abdel Karim, a woman working for Iraqiya television network
in Mosul November 26, making her the third media worker murdered this month in
the city.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Sadr City Attacks on Iraqi Civilians:
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T
E
• Insurgents detonated five car bombs and launched multiple mortar attacks into
Baghdad’s Sadr City neighborhood November 23, killing at least 202 people and
injuring more than 250.
• The bombings touched off another series of retaliatory attacks including murders,
mortar strikes and mosque burnings.
ISF Capture 28 in Raid in Mahmudiyah:
• Iraqi Police (IP), with Coalition advisers, captured 28 insurgents during a November
20 raid south of Baghdad. The targeted insurgent cell was suspected of conducting
mortar and improvised explosive device attacks against Iraqi Security Forces (ISF),
kidnapping and murdering Iraqi civilians and promoting sectarian violence in the
northern Babil province area.
• The IP initially detained 43 suspects: 18 with outstanding Ministry of Interior arrest
warrants, 10 suspected insurgents and another 15 suspects who were later
released from Iraqi custody.
5
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
Urban Warfare Training Introduced for Basic Trainees:
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M
E
N
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O
F
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A
T
E
• The Iraqi Army (IA) Regional Training Center (RTC) in Taji is emphasizing urban
warfare training as part of the basic combat training course for all Iraqi soldiers as
preparation for future assignments. The urban warfare training and concepts are
new for the IA and include tactics for entering and clearing a room and buildings as
well as an emphasis on respecting human rights.
• The RTC is projected to train 6,750 soldiers per year at the current rate of 750
soldiers in six week rotations.
IA Battalion Conducts Census and Security Operations in Ramadi:
• Soldiers from the 2nd Battalion, 1st Brigade, 7th IA Division conducted a census,
key leader engagements and security and civil-military operations in western
Ramadi November 24. The operation set the conditions for the battalion to assume
the security lead and take responsibility for their portion of the city.
• Once the area of operations is officially transferred, the 2/1/7 IA Division will be the
third and final battalion in the 1st Brigade, 7th IA Division to own an area of
operation in Ramadi.
6
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
POLICE
~135,000***
ARMY
~132,700***
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 24,400
AIR FORCE
~900
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~28,900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~134,700**
TOTAL
~188,300**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~323,000****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of November 27, 2006 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
7
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government– Developments
Sadrists Withdraw from Iraqi Government:
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E
•
Followers of radical Shia militia leader Muqtada al-Sadr withdrew from the
unity government in protest over Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s meeting with
President Bush in Amman. Thirty lawmakers and five cabinet ministers
walked out of the government.
Maliki Blames Politicians for Deteriorating Security:
•
Prime Minister Maliki stated publicly that politicians, rather than insurgents, are
to blame for the deteriorating security in Iraq. Maliki claimed the security
situation is a reflection of political disagreements and that politicians must try
to prevent violence.
Thousands of Iraqis Flee Violence:
•
More than 1,000 Iraqis a day are displaced by sectarian violence, according to
a report released by the Geneva-based International Organization for
Migration, a UN-associated group. The increasing movement of Iraqi families,
caused by the lack of security and by the growth of armed local militias and
criminal gangs, is adding to the already chaotic governmental situation in
Baghdad, according to UN, US and non-governmental reports released over
the past weeks.
8
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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E
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A
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T Minister of
M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
O
F
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T
A
T
E
Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
(F) = Female
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Hashim al-Shibli
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi
Liwa Sumaysim
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
9
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
(Millions of USD)
D
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T
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S
T
A
T
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Committed
Apportioned
Sector
Obligated
Disbursed
2207 Report
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$5,002.59
$4,986.68
$4,986.68
$0.00
$4,984.21
$4,984.21
$0.00
$4,666.84
$4,671.03
$4.19
Electricity Sector
$4,239.51
$4,239.51
$4,236.97
$4,238.03
$1.06
$4,095.27
$4,095.26
($0.00)
$2,805.01
$2,832.42
$27.41
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,724.70
$1,723.05
$1,722.90
($0.15)
$1,618.24
$1,618.81
$0.57
$1,198.19
$1,243.18
$45.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,304.15
$1,304.05
$1,303.84
($0.21)
$1,297.66
$1,297.45
($0.21)
$939.06
$942.13
$3.07
Democracy
$1,001.85
$1,001.85
$1,001.85
$1,001.85
$0.00
$1,001.85
$1,001.85
$0.00
$857.12
$855.01
($2.11)
Education, Refugees, Human Rights,
Governance
$401.50
$401.50
$401.21
$401.21
$0.00
$401.21
$401.21
$0.00
$329.15
$325.42
($3.73)
Roads, Bridges and Construction
$333.60
$333.60
$332.45
$332.45
$0.00
$326.50
$326.58
$0.08
$201.97
$202.05
$0.07
Health Care
$818.90
$818.90
$817.19
$817.55
$0.36
$801.31
$801.32
$0.01
$549.53
$554.16
$4.63
Transportation and Communications
$464.12
$464.12
$464.11
$464.11
$0.00
$458.24
$458.23
($0.004)
$325.36
$327.41
$2.05
Water Resources and Sanitation
$2,131.08
$2,131.08
$2,128.46
$2,129.43
$0.96
$2,056.58
$2,056.47
($0.11)
$1,350.37
$1,360.32
$9.95
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$813.95
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$740.85
$754.30
$13.45
Admin Expense (USAID, STATE)
$213.00
$213.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$138.01
$138.00
($0.01)
$18,448.95
$18,448.95
$18,422.42
$18,424.46
$2.04
$18,067.46
$18,067.80
$0.33
$14,101.45
IRRF II Construction
$10,596.05
$10,598.29
$2.23
$10,262.85
$10,263.39
$0.54
$7,615.39
$7,678.16
$62.77
IRRF II Non-Construction
$6,824.52
$6,824.33
($0.20)
$6,802.77
$6,802.56
($0.21)
$5,628.94
$5,672.26
$43.32
IRRF II Democracy
$1,001.85
$1,001.85
$0.00
$1,001.85
$1,001.85
$0.00
$857.12
$855.01
($2.11)
$2,139.0
$0.00
Total
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,922.25
$20,922.25
$20,895.72
$20,897.76
$2.04
$20,299.76
$20,300.10
$0.33
$16,240.45
As of November 28, 2006
10
$14,205.43 $103.97
$16,344.43 $103.97
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Actual
7-day Average
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
Daily Load Served (MWh)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
11/16/06
10/17/06
9/17/06
8/18/06
7/19/06
6/19/06
5/20/06
4/20/06
3/21/06
2/19/06
1/20/06
12/21/05
11/21/05
10/22/05
9/22/05
8/23/05
Date
7/24/05
6/24/05
5/25/05
4/25/05
3/26/05
2/24/05
1/25/05
12/26/04
11/26/04
10/27/04
9/27/04
8/28/04
7/29/04
6/29/04
5/30/04
4/30/04
3/31/04
3/1/04
1/31/04
1/1/04
O
F
S
T
• During the week of November 22-28, electricity availability averaged 7.0 hours per day in Baghdad
A
and 10.8 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 10% above the same period in
T
2005.
E
11
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services –Health Care and Special Interest
Health Care:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
•
Construction began on three improvement projects for primary healthcare
centers in Baghdad November 14. The $246,000 US Army-funded projects will
build underground water tanks and a connection to the city water main.
Lockable metal windows will be installed at the pharmacy counter and colored
stucco will be put on the front façade. Sliding doors will be installed between
doctor and exam rooms. Heating coils and missing HVAC components will be
supplied as well. Each clinic is expected to serve approximately 35,000 patients
a year.
Special Interest:
•
Construction was completed November 12 on the Forensic Laboratory
Renovation and Expansion project in Karadah. The $1.9 million US Armyfunded project enhanced force protection measures, renovated the first and
second floors, added a third floor, and provides the Iraqi police a state-of-the-art
facility to assist in solving criminal cases.
•
Construction was completed November 11 on the Husseiniya Courthouse
project in Baghdad province. The $408,000 US Army-funded project
constructed a new courthouse and installed a backup generator. This provincial
government building will serve the community of Istiqlal, an area with
approximately 100,000 residents.
12
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Oil Update:
• Crude oil prices in world markets for the week ending November 24 closed with the following
prices:
– Basrah Light at $52.32/barrel
– Dated Brent at $59.13/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $57.59/barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $55.80/barrel
Employment Update:
• The following chart shows the number of Iraqis employed by USG-administered projects:
Employing Organization
Iraqis Last Week Iraqis This Week
% Increase on Week
PCO
21,393
22,728
6.24%
60,743
60,580
-0.27%
(Project and Contracting Office)
O
F
USAID
AIRP (Accelerated Iraqi Reconstruction Program) 687
MILCON (Military Construction)
98
530
102
-22.85%
4.08%
S
T
A
T
E
CERP*
MNSTC-I
7,234
11,065
6,422
0.00%
-7.65%
IRRF NON-CONSTRUCTION
7,234
11,982
6,435
GRAND TOTAL
108,572
108,661
0.08%
-0.20%
* CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of November 28
13
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
1 ,5 0 0
$ 8 0 .0
1 ,4 9 0
$ 7 0 .0
$ 6 0 .0
1 ,4 7 0
$ 4 0 .0
$ 3 0 .0
NID Exchange Rate
1 ,4 8 0
$ 5 0 .0
1 ,4 6 0
$ 2 0 .0
1 ,4 5 0
$ 1 0 .0
1 ,4 4 0
3
-4
,2
00
J
6
J a an
n 8
15 - 9
J
Ja a
n n2 -1
29 2 9
- -2
F 6
eb
F
2
F eb
eb 6
1
F Fe 2 8
eb b 1
28 19 6
- -2
M 2
M
a
M ar
ar ch r 2
c
M h 5
ar 1 2 9
M ch ar 1 15
ch 9 26 23
A
30
A pr
p il
ri 2
A l1 p
r 2- 6
A il 1 1 2
p
r 6A il 1 1 7
p
ri 9 l2 2
6 3
M
ay 30
M
ay 2
M
ay 9 8
1
M M a 21 6
ay y 2
31 24 2
- -3
J 0
Ju un
5
Ju n 6
n Ju 13 12
n -2
25 0
Ju 29
Ju l 2
Ju l 9 6
l1 -1
Ju 6 3
l2 -2
Ju Ju 3 - 0
l 3 l 2 25
1 6- 3
A 0
u
A
g
u
g
7
A
8
u
g A A u 11 1 0
u g g
2
S 30 23 2
ep - 2
S
ep 6 Se 9
p
S
1
S
5
ep 3 - ep
21 Se 12
p
S
ep - S 1
e 9
O 26 p 2
c
O t3 -O 5
c t - ct
O 11 O c 2
ct - t
19 Oc 10
t
N
o - O 18
N v 4 ct
o
2
v 8 No 9
N v7
N
o
v
o
v
1
15 4
28
$ 0 .0
n
S
T
A
T
E
$ 9 0 .0
Ja
O
F
• The following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
January 3. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by
the IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This important and welcome appreciation
accounts for the downturn in the dinar exchange rate, as show in the figure below.
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: January 3, 2006 – November 28, 2006
USD Sold (Millions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
14
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
S
T
A
T
E
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
January 20, 2006 - November 24, 2006
10.00%
$76.00
$74.00
9.50%
$70.00
9.00%
$68.00
8.50%
$66.00
Yield Percentage
$72.00
$64.00
8.00%
$62.00
$60.00
7.50%
20
-J
a
31 n
-J
an
9F
20 eb
-F
eb
1M
10 ar
-M
21 ar
-M
30 ar
-M
a
10 r
-A
19 pr
-A
28 pr
-A
p
9- r
M
18 ay
-M
29 ay
-M
ay
7Ju
16 n
-J
u
27 n
-J
un
6Ju
17 l
-J
u
26 l
-J
u
4- l
A
15 ug
-A
24 ug
-A
ug
4S
13 ep
-S
22 ep
-S
ep
3O
12 ct
-O
23 ct
-O
c
1- t
N
10 ov
-N
21 ov
-N
ov
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about
two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was
approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current
yield of 9.47 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
15
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
CoM Endorses International Compact with Iraq:
D
• The Council of Ministers (CoM) unanimously endorsed the International Compact
E
with Iraq (ICI) November 26. The ICI aims to reform subsidies, implement fiscal
P
federalism, and strengthen the oil, agriculture and other key economic sectors. Also
A
included are goals for improving governance, rule of law, civil rights and civil society.
R
Implementation of the ICI will be tracked by Iraq’s international partners against
T
specific benchmarks and timelines. A final signing event, where as many as 70
M
international partners will pledge their support for Iraq and the Compact, is expected
E
to occur in early 2007.
N
T New Regulations to Fight Port Congestion:
O •
F
S
T
A
T
E
The Iraqi ports in Basrah are suffering from the accumulation of containers of all
types of goods which impede the motion of port traffic. The head of the economics
committee in Basrah provincial council, Munadhil Al-Miahi, stressed that the
committee will double the custom duty on these containers in order to expedite them
being picked up by the importers. The containers will then be confiscated after a
certain period, to be sold on the government’s behalf. Dozens of goods containers
have been left in Iraqi ports without any action taken to deliver them to the intended
parties.
16
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.5 MBPD
2.80
2.40
2.33
2.30
2.27
2.29
2.33
2.30
2.20
2.21
November
13-19
November
20-26
2.05
2.00
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.79
1.60
1.20
0.80
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
0.40
0.00
September September October 2- October 98
15
18-24
25-October
1
October
16-22
Production
October
23-29
October
30November
5
November
6-12
Target
• Weekly Average (November 20 – 26) of 2.21 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
$4.00
$3.50
1.80
1.67
1.68
1.68
1.60
$3.00
1.62
1.55
1.51
1.47
1.45
$2.50
1.32
1.20
1.07
$0.51
1.05
$3.41
$3.02
$2.92
$3.44
$3.03
$1.50
$2.73
$2.45
$2.16
0.60
$2.25
$1.00
$1.84
$1.76
$1.60
S
T
A
T
E
$2.00
USD (Billions)
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$0.50
0.00
$0.00
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
• 2005 Revenue Estimate:
$23.5 Billion
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$29.018Billion (Year to Date)
Oct-06
Nov-06
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
16%
14%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
42%
41%
58%
59%
Gasoline
LPG
60%
40%
84%
86%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Note: This is a daily average for the week of November 20 – 26
• Diesel: 11.2 ML supply of 23.4 ML target
• Kerosene: 6.7 ML supply of 16.4 ML target
• Gasoline: 15.5 ML supply of 27.4 ML target
• LPG: 2,747 tons supply of 5,500 tons target
19
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Sep-06
Nov-06
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Oct-06
10
10
O
F
5
S
T
A
T
E
5
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
20
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
Hussein Trial Hears Kurd Witness in Anfal Case:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• Saddam Hussein’s genocide trial resumed in Baghdad November 27 with a Kurdish
witness testifying how he survived a firing squad by Iraqi forces.
• The deposed leader and six others are on trial for their role in a 1980s campaign
against the Kurds in which over 180,000 are alleged to have died. Correspondents
say the court hopes to complete the case before Saddam Hussein is executed
following his conviction in a previous case in which the former leader was found
guilty of crimes against humanity for the killing of 148 people in the mainly Shia
town of Dujail. Hussein was sentenced to death by hanging November 5 but under
Iraqi law, the guilty verdict is automatically sent to the appeal court.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
21
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
UNSCR Approved:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• The United Nations unanimously approved a resolution extending the mandate of
the 160,000-strong multi-national force in Iraq for a year.
UN Envoy Urges Iraqis to Take Measures to Control Violence:
• UN Special Representative to the Secretary General in Iraq Ashraf Qazi appealed
to all Iraqis “to exercise calm and self-restraint, and together face the challenges
that face them,” and called on the Iraqi authorities to capture the perpetrators
behind the wave of attacks in Sadr City November 24, warning that the very social
fabric of the country is at stake.
Iraq-Kuwait Border Accord Signed:
• Iraq and Kuwait agreed to allow Kuwait to complete the building of a border fence
and pay compensation to Iraqi farmers. The resolution demarcated the land border
between the two nations and granted Kuwait some territory that had previously
been held by Iraq and called for the creation of a no-man zone on both sides of the
border, causing some Iraqi farmers living in the border zone to evacuate. Iraq and
Kuwait have agreed to equally share the cost of the fences yearly maintenance,
estimated at $3 million a year.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
Iraq, Syria Restore Relations:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• Iraq and Syria have fully restored diplomatic relations for the first time in more than
25 years, when ties were severed due to Syria’s support of Iran during the eightyear-long Iraq-Iran war.
Talabani Meets with Ahmadinejad:
• Iraqi President Jalal Talabani met with Iranian counterpart Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
in Tehran November 27 to discuss Iran’s possible role in aiding Iraq.
Indonesia Willing to Assist in Iraq:
• Indonesia's foreign minister said that his country would be willing to send
peacekeepers to Iraq and would encourage other Muslim countries to do the same.
Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono told President Bush that any
long-term solution to the conflict in Iraq should include more countries than are
currently involved.
23
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of November 22, 2006
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
26 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Latvia
Singapore
Armenia
El Salvador
Lithuania
Slovakia
Australia
Estonia
Macedonia
South Korea
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Moldova
Ukraine
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Italy
Mongolia
UK
Bulgaria
Japan
Poland
Czech Republic
Kazakhstan
Romania
TOTAL ~ 16,501 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 26 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and six NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Netherlands, Portugal,
Slovenia, Turkey
24
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Media Worker Killed in Mosul:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Iraqi National Security Advisor Speaks to CNN:
O
F
• Iraqi National Security Advisor Mowaffak al-Rubai’e spoke to CNN’s Late Edition
November 26 about the violence in Iraq and the government.
S
T
A
T
E
• Gunmen killed Fadhila Abdel Karim, a woman working for Iraqiya television network
in Mosul November 26, making her the third media worker murdered this month in
the city.
• Abdel Karim’s murder follows the November 15 death of newspaper reporter Fadia
Mohammed Abid, who was shot dead on her way to work. Mohammed al-Ban, a
cameraman from the privately-owned Sharqiya television station, was killed outside
his home in the city November 13.
• Regarding the ongoing violence, Rubai’e said that “this is a war between the
extremists and the moderates in the whole region. And that’s why it is concentrating
its effort in Iraq. If they lose, they lose in the whole region. If they win, God forbid,
they will disrupt the whole region again.”
• Regarding the government, Rubai’e said that “this is a national unity government
adopting a very good and aggressive national reconciliation and dialogue plan.”
25
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Special Addendum: Provincial Reconstruction Teams (PRT)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
PRT Mission Statement:
• To assist Iraq’s provincial governments with developing a transparent and
sustained capability to govern, promoting increased security and rule of law,
promoting political and economic development, and providing provincial
administration necessary to meet the basic needs of the population.
Provincial Reconstruction Team Concept:
• The PRT concept was developed to improve on Regional Embassy Office (REO)
and Provincial Support Team (PST) programs. The PRTs are a civil-military
operation led by the civilians with extensive support from US and Coalition Forces.
The PRTs are an integrated capacity-building effort built around Local Governance
Program (LGP) and include support from other agencies to cover all key capacity
development needs.
PRT Operations Status:
• PRTs have been established in Tamim/Kirkuk; Ninewa/Mosul; Babil/Hillah;
Baghdad; Anbar/Ramadi; Diyala/Baquba; Salah ad-Din; Basrah; and Dhi Qar.
PRTs are comprised of representatives from the US Department of State, United
States Agency for International Development, Multi-National Force – Iraq,
Department of Justice, Gulf Regional Division of the Army Corps of Engineers,
Multi-National Corps – Iraq and Coalition partners.
Interested in working in Iraq?
Please visit http://careers.state.gov/opportunities/iraq/index.html for a list of available positions
26
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 5:
– Washington Post: November 24, 2006 – (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/11/23/AR2006112300399.html) and USA
Today: November 24, 2006 – (http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/iraq/2006-11-23-iraq_x.htm)
– Press Release – MNF-I: November 22, 2006 – Release 20061122-09 (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=7467&Itemid=21)
Slide 6:
– MNSTC-I, The Advisor – 25 November 2006
– MNSTC-I, The Advisor – 25 November 2006
Slide 7:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report November 29, 2006
Slide 8:
– “Summit Nixed after Doubts Raised about Iraqi PM”, CNN, http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/29/bush.trip.ap/index.html
– Iraqi leader attacks politicians.” BBC. November 26, 2006. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6185732.stm
Slide 9:
– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 10:
– IRMO Weekly Report, November 28, 2006
Slide 11:
– POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815
– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average
supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of
power, but this is due in part to an influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation
capacity on actual results.
28
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 12:
Health Care:
– USACE Daily Report – November 28
Special Interest:
– USACE Daily Report – November 24
– USACE Daily Report – November 22
Slide 13:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – November 28, 2006
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 14:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 15:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 16:
– Embassy Baghdad Unclassified O/I – Nov 27
– Izdihar Business News – Nov 8-14
Slide 17:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 18:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 20:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
29
UNCLASSIFIED
November 29, 2006
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 21:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
–
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6186958.stm
–
Associated Press, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061128/ap_on_re_mi_ea/un_iraq
–
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6186958.stm
Slide 22:
Slide 23:
–
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6186958.stm
–
Associated Press, http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061122/ap_on_re_as/indonesia_iraq_peacekeepers
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
AFP, “Media Worker Shot Dead in Northern Iraq,” November 26
–
Iraq Update, November 27
–
NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 24
Slide 25:
Slide 26:
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
30
UNCLASSIFIED