January 10, 2007
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
January 10, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
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January 10, 2007
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Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
7
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
9
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
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Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
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6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
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7. Increase International Support for Iraq
24
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
26
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
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28
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January 10, 2007
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Highlights
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
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In a speech to the nation January 10, President Bush ordered more than 20,000
additional troops to be sent to Iraq as part of a $6.8 billion plan to curb the violence in
Iraq. $5.6 billion will be spent to send the additional troops, while more than one billion
will be aimed at improving Iraq's economy, civil society, infrastructure and judicial
system. Bush also announced that the Iraqi government would be ready to take control
of security nationwide by November.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
MNF-I spokesman Major General Caldwell announced January 3 that 80% of Iraq’s
Army Divisions are in the lead. This is compared to a year ago on January 1, 2006,
when only one of Iraq’s ten army divisions was responsible for its own battlespace,
meaning it could plan, coordinate and conduct security operations independent of
Coalition forces.
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki warned rival political parties against interfering in his
newly announced Baghdad security plan and stated that the plan will be enforced
regardless of ethnic and political backgrounds.
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
Limited power imports from other regions and below-average production from local
generating plants have limited Baghdad daily electricity service to six hours or less
since December 29.
3
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January 10, 2007
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Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
The Council of Representatives (COR) began debating the $41 billion Iraqi
government budget January 9, with Minister of Finance Bayan Jabr in attendance.
The Minister of Finance discussed the budget in detail with the COR. Minister Jabr
expects the debate to last a few weeks rather than months.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
According to tapes played January 8 in a trial of former Iraqi officials, Saddam
Hussein and his cousin Ali Hassan al-Majeed discussed killing thousands of Iraqis
with chemical weapons before unleashing them on Kurds in 1988.
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
On January 9, the United Nations refugee agency launched a $60 million appeal to
fund its work over the next year for hundreds of thousands of refugees and
internally displaced persons affected by the conflict in Iraq.
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of
the Insurgents
On January 9, a new video of Saddam Hussein's corpse, with a gaping neck
wound, was shown on an Iraqi news website known to support the Baath Party.
The video appeared to have been taken by a mobile phone and was apparently
taken shortly after the sentence against Saddam was carried out for his ordering
the extrajudicial killing of 148 Iraqis in Dujail in 1982.
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January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
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President Announces Additional Troops to Iraq:
• In a speech to the nation January 10, President Bush ordered more than 20,000
additional troops to be sent to Iraq as part of a $6.8 billion plan to curb the violence in
Iraq. $5.6 billion will be spent to send the additional troops, while more than one billion
will be aimed at improving Iraq's economy, civil society, infrastructure and judicial system.
Bush also announced that the Iraqi government would be ready to take control of security
nationwide by November.
Secretary of Defense Announces New Military Commanders:
• Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced his recommendations January 5 to
replace the commanders of US Central Command (CENTCOM) and Multi-National
Force-Iraq (MNF-I). Gates recommended Navy Admiral William “Fox” Fallon to replace
retiring General John Abizaid at CENTCOM and Army Lieutenant General David H.
Petraeus to take command of MNF-I from General George Casey, whom Gates
nominated to serve as the next Army Chief of Staff.
Prime Minister Maliki Announces Iraqi “Surge” to Restore Order in Baghdad:
• Prime Minister Maliki announced January 6 that he was beginning an open-ended
operation to restore security in Baghdad, “regardless of sect or politics.” An aide to Maliki
said the Prime Minister would commit some 20,000 Iraqi troops to the operation - roughly
equal to the “surge” in US forces announced by the President January 10.
5
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January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
MNC-I Commander, LTG Odierno, Discusses Expectations for Iraq War:
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• Lieutenant General (LTG) Raymond Odierno, who assumed command of the
Multi-National Corps – Iraq (MNC-I) last month, said January 7 that even with
the likely deployment of additional US combat troops expected as part of the
President’s revised Iraq strategy, it might take another two or three years for
Coalition and Iraqi forces to gain the upper hand in the war. LTG Odierno also
emphasized the critical role additional Coalition and Iraqi Security Forces
troops would play in protecting and securing the population in Baghdad.
IA Captures Four Murder And Kidnapping Cell Leaders in Sadr City Raid:
• Iraqi Army (IA) Special Forces with Coalition advisors captured four suspects
January 3 in Sadr City during operations targeting perpetrators of violence
against innocent Iraqis. The four suspects are believed to be leaders of a
kidnapping and murder cell responsible for the deaths of Iraqi civilians,
kidnapping, and conducting illegal trials and executions. They are also
suspected of organizing and directing sectarian-based mortar attacks on
neighborhoods surrounding Sadr City.
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January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
Eighty Percent of Iraq’s Army Divisions Are in the Lead:
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• MNF-I spokesman Major General Caldwell announced January 3rd that 80% of
Iraq’s Army divisions are in the lead. This is compared to a year ago on
January 1, 2006, when only one of Iraq’s ten army divisions was responsible for
its own battlespace, meaning it could plan, coordinate and conduct security
operations independent of Coalition Forces (CF).
2nd and 3rd IA Divisions to Take Charge in Ninewa Province:
• MNC-I Commander LTG Odierno announced January 7 that the 2nd Iraqi Army
(IA) Division will take charge of security in Mosul and the 3rd IA Division will do
the same in Tal Afar January 15. LTG Odierno stated that CF will then move to
nearby cities and assume more of a combat support role.
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UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
POLICE
~135,000***
ARMY
~132,700***
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 24,400
AIR FORCE
~900
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~28,900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~134,700**
TOTAL
~188,300**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~323,000****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of January 8, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
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January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government– Developments
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Maliki to Launch “Non-Sectarian” Security Plan:
• Prime Minister Maliki aims to launch a new Baghdad security plan, which
Defense Ministry spokesman Mohammed al-Askari said would start “very
soon.”
• Maliki warned rival political parties against interfering in his plan, and stated
that “the Baghdad security plan will not offer a safe shelter for outlaws,
regardless of their ethnic and political affiliations, and we will punish anyone
who hesitates to implement orders because of his ethnic and political
background.”
• According to Maliki’s aides, the Prime Minister believes that if the additional
troops can reduce violence over the next two months, then he can negotiate
more effectively with Shia militia leaders in the city and improve his chances of
disarming them.
SCIRI’s Hakim Applauds Saddam Execution:
• Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI) leader Abd al-Aziz
al-Hakim defended the carrying out of the sentence against Saddam Hussein
for the extrajudicial killing of 148 Iraqis in Dujail in 1982 as a “bold step” by the
government. Hakim also urged authorities to expedite the execution of two
former Hussein-era officials who were sentenced to death together with
Hussein in November.
• Hakim also stated that his community was the victim of “sectarian genocide”
under Hussein.
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January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government– Developments
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Iraqi Politicians Divided on Khalilzad’s Upcoming Nomination to Become US Permanent
Representative to the UN:
• News of Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad’s upcoming nomination to become the US
permanent representative to the UN split Iraqi politicians along sectarian lines, with
members of the ruling Shia alliance voicing eagerness for him to leave and minority
Sunnis expressing concern at the loss of him.
• US Embassy officials have said that they do not favor one sect over the other and
that reducing the violence requires difficult compromises for all parties.
• Sunni lawmakers said Khalilzad's deep knowledge of Iraq's complex political
landscape and his openness to Sunni concerns will be missed.
UNHCR Requests Funding for Internally Displaced Persons:
• The UN's refugee agency, UNHCR, made an emergency appeal for $60 million for
hundreds of thousands of Iraqis forced to flee their homes due to violence. The
agency says it expects the number of internally displaced Iraqis to rise from 1.7
million at the end of 2006 to 2.3 million in 2007. UNHCR says another 2 million
have fled abroad, mainly to Syria, Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt, and Turkey.
Alsammarae Claims to be Acquitted:
• On January 8, former Electricity Minister Aiham Alsammarae said in a press
conference in Dubai that the Iraqi Supreme Court acquitted him.
10
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
(F) = Female
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Hashim al-Shibli
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi
Liwa Sumaysim
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
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Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
Apportioned
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Sector
Committed
Obligated
Disbursed
2207 Report
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$5,002.59
$4,990.93
$4,988.60
($2.33)
$4,988.46
$4,986.05
($2.41)
$4,700.03
$4,706.99
$6.97
Electricity Sector
$4,239.51
$4,239.51
$4,238.86
$4,238.86
$0.00
$4,094.48
$4,080.24
($14.24)
$2,932.85
$2,977.12
$44.26
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,724.70
$1,722.88
$1,723.90
$1.02
$1,625.00
$1,625.04
$0.03
$1,282.28
$1,289.13
$6.84
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,304.15
$1,303.84
$1,303.79
($0.05)
$1,297.45
$1,297.39
($0.05)
$971.68
$973.43
$1.74
Democracy
$1,001.85
$1,001.85
$1,001.78
$1,001.74
($0.04)
$1,001.78
$1,001.74
($0.04)
$885.47
$889.29
$3.81
Education, Refugees, Human Rights,
Governance
$401.50
$401.50
$401.20
$401.19
($0.01)
$401.20
$401.19
($0.01)
$337.56
$339.07
$1.51
Roads, Bridges and Construction
$333.60
$333.60
$332.43
$332.41
($0.01)
$326.30
$326.31
$0.01
$205.93
$209.53
$3.61
Health Care
$818.90
$818.90
$817.55
$817.55
$0.00
$801.35
$801.45
$0.10
$572.30
$595.43
$23.12
Transportation and Communications
$464.12
$464.12
$464.11
$464.11
($0.00)
$458.23
$458.23
($0.001)
$334.75
$337.15
$2.39
Water Resources and Sanitation
$2,131.08
$2,131.08
$2,129.43
$2,121.20
($8.23)
$2,057.11
$2,048.90
($8.21)
$1,405.29
$1,417.28
$11.99
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$813.95
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$760.91
$761.57
$0.65
Admin Expense (USAID, STATE)
$213.00
$213.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$138.37
$155.77
$17.40
$18,448.95
$18,448.95
$18,429.42
$18,419.76
($9.66)
$18,077.77
$18,052.95
($24.82)
$14,527.44
IRRF II Construction
$10,598.64
$10,589.83
($8.81)
$10,268.75
$10,244.98
($23.77)
$7,868.14
$7,943.37
$75.22
IRRF II Non-Construction
$6,829.00
$6,828.19
($0.81)
$6,807.24
$6,806.22
($1.02)
$5,773.82
$5,819.10
$45.28
IRRF II Democracy
$1,001.78
$1,001.74
($0.04)
$1,001.78
$1,001.74
($0.04)
$885.47
$889.29
$3.81
$2,139.0
$0.00
Total
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,922.25
$20,922.25
$20,902.72
$20,893.06
($9.66)
$20,310.07
$20,285.25
($24.82)
$16,666.44
As of January 9, 2007
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$14,651.75 $124.31
$16,790.75 $124.31
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
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Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Actual
7-day Average
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
160,000
Daily Load Served (MWh)
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140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
12/16/06
11/16/06
10/17/06
9/17/06
8/18/06
7/19/06
6/19/06
5/20/06
4/20/06
3/21/06
2/19/06
1/20/06
12/21/05
11/21/05
10/22/05
9/22/05
8/23/05
7/24/05
6/24/05
5/25/05
4/25/05
3/26/05
2/24/05
1/25/05
12/26/04
11/26/04
10/27/04
9/27/04
8/28/04
7/29/04
6/29/04
5/30/04
4/30/04
3/31/04
3/1/04
1/31/04
1/1/04
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E
7.8 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 7% below the same period in 2005.
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January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services –Electricity
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Electricity:
•
Limited power imports from other regions and below-average production from
local generating plants have limited Baghdad daily electricity service to six hours
or less since December 29.
•
On January 10, a further reduction in power from both sources made it
necessary to direct all available power to the city’s essential services, leaving
none for other demand.
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UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending January 5 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $49.69/barrel
– Dated Brent at $56.84/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $56.74/barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $54.75/barrel
Employment Update:
There will be no employment update this week.
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* CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of January 9
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UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
$ 9 0 .0
1 ,5 0 0
$ 8 0 .0
1 ,4 8 0
1 ,4 6 0
$ 7 0 .0
1 ,4 4 0
$ 6 0 .0
1 ,4 2 0
$ 5 0 .0
1 ,4 0 0
$ 4 0 .0
1 ,3 8 0
NID Exchange Rate
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• The following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
April. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by the
IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the
dollar is reflected in the figure below.
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – January 8, 2006
USD Sold (Millions)
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T
M
E
N
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$ 3 0 .0
1 ,3 6 0
$ 2 0 .0
1 ,3 4 0
1 ,3 2 0
$ 0 .0
1 ,3 0 0
ri
p
A
p
ri
l2
l1 -6
A
2
p
ri
l 1 12
A
6
p
ri
l 1 17
A
9
p
ri
l 2 23
6
30
M
ay
M
2
ay 8
M
9
ay 16
21
M
M ay - 2
ay 2
2
31 4 3
Ju 0
n
Ju
5
n
Ju 6
n
12
1
Ju 3 n
2
25 0
Ju 29
l
Ju 2 l9 6
Ju
l 1 13
Ju 6 l 2 20
Ju 3 Ju l
2
l 3 26 5
1 - 30
A
u
A
g
u
7
g
A
8
u
g -1
11 0
A
A ug - 2
u
g 23 2
30 S
e p - S 29
ep
6
S
ep 5
S
13 ep
S
ep - S 12
21 ep
1
S
ep Se 9
p
26
25
O
ct - O
c
O 3t
ct
2
O
11 c
t
O
1
ct
O 0
19 ct
1
N
O 8
o
ct
v
N
29
4
o
v -N
8
o
v
N
7
o
N
v
14
N ov
o
v 15
29 D
ec - D 28
ec
6
D
ec 1
D
13 ec
D
1
ec
2
D
2 0 ec
- D 18
Ja
ec
n
2
7
-J 6
an
8
$ 1 0 .0
A
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
J u n e 1 , 2 0 0 6 - J a n u a ry 5 , 2 0 0 7
$70.00
10.00%
$69.00
9.80%
$68.00
$67.00
9.40%
$66.00
9.20%
$65.00
Yield Percentage
9.60%
9.00%
$64.00
8.80%
$63.00
3-
A
10 ug
-A
17 u g
-A
24 u g
-A
31 u g
-A
u
7- g
S
14 ep
-S
21 e p
-S
28 e p
-S
ep
5O
12 ct
-O
19 ct
-O
26 ct
-O
c
2- t
N
o
9- v
N
16 ov
-N
23 ov
-N
30 ov
-N
o
7- v
D
14 ec
-D
21 ec
-D
28 ec
-D
ec
4Ja
n
ul
ul
-J
-J
20
27
l
ul
-J
Ju
13
un
6-
un
-J
-J
29
22
n
-J
15
Ju
Ju
un
8.60%
n
$62.00
8-
S
T
A
T
E
Iraq i C o m m ercial B o n d S ales
1-
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about
two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was
approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current
yield of 9.62 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
2007 Budget:
D
E • The Council of Representatives (COR) began debating the budget January 9, with
P
Minister of Finance (MoF) Bayan Jabr in attendance. The MoF discussed the
A
budget in detail with the COR. Minister Jabr expects the debate to last a few weeks
R
rather than months.
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
18
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.80
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.40
2.20
2.21
2.18
2.14
2.05
2.17
2.23
2.05
1.99
2.00
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.79
1.60
1.20
0.80
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
0.40
0.00
October
30November
5
November
6-12
November
13-19
November
20-26
November
27December
3
December
4-10
Production
December
11-17
December
18-24
December
25-31
January 17
Target
• Weekly Average (January 1-7) of 1.99 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
19
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
$4.00
$3.50
1.67
1.68
1.68
1.60
$3.00
1.62
1.55
1.51
1.47
1.44
1.45
1.47
$2.50
1.32
1.20
$2.00
$3.44
$3.41
$3.02
$2.92
$3.03
$1.50
$2.73
$2.46
$2.45
$2.16
USD (Billions)
1.80
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$2.25
$1.89
$2.19
$1.00
$0.50
$0.36
0.00
$0.00
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$0.4 Billion
20
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
1%
32%
80%
46%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
51%
60%
99%
40%
68%
54%
49%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of January 1 – 7
• Diesel: 11.7 ML supply of 21.0 ML target
• Kerosene: 3.5 ML supply of 16.8 ML target
• Gasoline: 12.4 ML supply of 22.5 ML target
• LPG: 2,125 tons supply of 5,630 tons target
21
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Nov-06
Jan-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Dec-06
10
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
5
4
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Iraq Trial Tapes Tell of “Extermination” Plan:
• Saddam Hussein and his cousin Ali Hassan al-Majeed, also known as “Chemical
Ali,” discussed killing thousands with chemical weapons before unleashing them on
Kurds in 1988, according to tapes played January 8 in a trial of former Iraqi officials.
• The trial of six former Iraqi officials over the mass killing of 182,000 Kurdish villagers
in the 1980s resumed January 8, without Saddam Hussein.
• Five other Baath party officials remained on trial for their roles in the 1988 Anfal, or
Spoils of War, campaign in northern Iraq.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
23
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq– Developments
UN Launches Appeal to Help Displaced Iraqis:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
•
On January 9, the United Nations refugee agency launched a $60 million
appeal to fund its work over the next year for hundreds of thousands of
refugees and internally displaced persons affected by the conflict in Iraq.
Iraqi President meets Turkish Special Envoy:
•
Iraqi President Jalal Talabani called on neighboring states not to interfere in
the country’s internal affairs during a meeting with Turkey’s special envoy to
Iraq in Sulaymaniyah January 8. The president said that relations between
Baghdad and Ankara should be based on the principles of mutual respect and
non-interference in internal affairs of each other.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
24
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of December 22, 2006
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 14,138 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
25
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Second Saddam Video Released:
D
E • On January 9, a new video of Saddam Hussein's corpse, with a gaping neck
wound, was shown on an Iraqi news website known to support the Baath party.
P
The video appeared to have been taken by a mobile phone and was apparently
A
taken shortly after the sentence was carried out.
R
T • In a headline over a link to the video, the website said “A new film of the late
M
immortal martyr, President Saddam Hussein.”
E
N • This video marks the second leaked to the public. The first showed Saddam
being taunted before his hanging.
T
• Seven children are reported to have died worldwide after seeing video footage
O
of the execution of Saddam, many in "play" hangings that ended in tragedy.
F
The latest victim was a 12-year-old boy, who hanged himself in northeast Saudi
Arabia January 7, the daily Al-Hayat reported January 8.
S
T AQI Releases Internet Statement:
A • Al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI) released in Internet statement January 8, urging Sunni
T
Arabs in Baghdad to prepare to face the government’s new security plan,
E
calling the Prime Minister’s new plan for Baghdad a cover for “annihilating”
Sunnis.
26
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
D
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A
T
E
Slide 5:
– AFP, http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070111/ts_alt_afp/usiraqbush_10
– The Advisor -- 6 January 2007
– The Financial Times – 7 January 2007 – (http://www.ft.com/cms/s/54c99910-9e80-11db-ac03-0000779e2340.html)
Slide 6:
– The New York Times – 7 January 2007 – (http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/08/world/middleeast/08iraq.html?ref=world)
– MNC-I Press Release – 5 January 2007 - Release 20070105-06 (http://www.mnci.centcom.mil/Releases/MNCI-PR_2007-01-05-06_captured.pdf)
Slide 7:
– MNF-I Press Briefing (MG Caldwell – 3 January 2007 – (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=8787&Itemid=30).
– MNF-I Press Release – 8 January 2007 –(http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=8910&Itemid=109)
Slide 8:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report January 10, 2007
Slide 9:
– Partlow, Joshua. “Iraqi Leader Plans Security Push.” The Washington Post. January 7, 2007. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2007/01/06/AR2007010600486.html
– “Shi'ite Leader Calls For Swift Execution Of Hussein Codefendants.” Reuters, AP. January 8, 2007. http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/1/52ACA4951530-4BB3-8274-4406662799A0.html
Slide 10:
– Partlow, Joshua. “Iraqi Politicians Divided Over U.S. Envoy.” The Washington Post. January 6, 2007. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2007/01/05/AR2007010502005.html
– “UN Seeking Emergency Funds To Help Displaced Iraqis.” Reuters, AP, AFP. January 8, 2007. http://www.rferl.org/featuresarticle/2007/1/A6E43BBA-022B4D2F-BC29-95CE7780F490.html
– “Iraqi escapee ex-minister claims he was acquitted.” Middle East Online. January 8, 2007. http://195.224.230.11/english/iraq/?id=19089
Slide 11:
– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 12:
– IRMO Weekly Report, January 9, 2007
Slide 13:
– POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815
– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of power, but this is due in part to an
influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation capacity on actual results.
28
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
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Slide 14:
Electricity:
– IRMO-Electricity, Baghdad Evening Electricity Update December 29-January 10
Slide 15:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – January 9, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 16:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 17:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 18:
– IMF Stand-By Arrangement Conference Call, January 9, 2006
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 20:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 21:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 22:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 23:
– Reuters, http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/01/07/hussein.trial.reut/index.html
Middle East Online, http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/iraq/?id=19083
29
UNCLASSIFIED
January 10, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 24:
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–
–
“Seoul moving to allow companies to do business in Iraq.” YONAP News. December 28, 2006.
<http://english.yna.co.kr/Engnews/20061229/410100000020061229114456E9.html>
“FM Zebari Receives Russian Ambassador”. Republic of Iraq Ministry of Foreign Affairs. <http://www.mofa.gov.iq/english/home.aspx>
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
–
Associated Press, “New Video of Saddam’s Corpse on Internet,” January 9/AFP, “Children Die Worldwide After Seeing Saddam Hang,” January 8
AFP, “Al-Qaida Urges Baghdad’s Sunnis to Prepare to Fight,” January 8
Slide 25:
Slide 26:
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A
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E
30
UNCLASSIFIED