January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Iraq Weekly
Status Report
January 17, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
1
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Table of Contents
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
7
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
9
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
12
Services
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
15
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
23
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
24
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
26
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
28
29
2
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
At a press conference January 15, US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad and MultiNational Forces-Iraq Commander General George Casey discussed the new
Baghdad Security Plan, which is based on the assumption that increased security
for Baghdad is key to allowing political progress and for securing the rest of the
country. The plan is designed, structured, and led by the Iraqis with US support.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
In recruiting drives held January 10, the Fallujah Police District enlisted 102 Iraqi
males, and the Habbaniyah Police District enlisted 199. The 301 recruits will soon
travel to Jordan to attend the International Police Training College, where they will
be joined by 550 recruits from other parts of Anbar province.
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Iraq’s Deputy Prime Minister, Barham Salih (Kurdish Alliance), said that Iraqi
leaders must commit to reforms. He stated that “the time has come to take
initiative, and utilize American support that has been offered to us to really turn the
corner." Salih added that failure to do so would damage Iraqi leaders’ credibility in
the eyes of Iraqis.
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
Construction was recently completed on the Rumaytha substation in Muthanna
province. The US Army-funded project provides additional electricity to the
municipal grid system for the local population of Rumaytha.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
USAID recently awarded $9.9 million in grants to establish or continue the development of
sustainable Iraqi microfinance institutions. Microfinance operations throughout the country
support lending to approximately 17,000 active clients with a total portfolio of approximately
$19 million.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
The sentences against the former head of Iraqi Intelligence and the judge of the Revolutionary
Court that ordered the execution of 148 citizens of Dujail in 1982 were carried out at dawn
January 15. Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti, Saddam's half-brother and Awad al-Bandar, former
judge on Saddam’s Revolutionary Court, were hanged for their roles in the Dujail killings.
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice participated in a number of meetings with key Gulf
leaders to persuade America's Arab allies to support President Bush's new strategy for
quelling violence in Iraq. Secretary Rice discussed the Iraq plan privately with Saudi Arabia's
King Abdullah, and met the foreign ministers of the Gulf Cooperation Council, along with those
of Egypt and Jordan, also known as the “GCC + 2” group of Arab states.
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the
Insurgents
More than 13 hours after the carrying out of the sentences against two of Saddam Hussein's
aides, Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti and Awad Hamad al-Bandar, an official video was played to a
small group of Iraqi and Western reporters that showed the noose decapitating Tikriti. Officials
said they would only run the silent, three-minute video once and not show it in public again.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Ambassador Khalilzad and General Casey Discuss New Security Plan:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• At a press conference January 15, US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad and Multi-National
Forces-Iraq Commander General George Casey discussed the new Baghdad Security
Plan, which is based on the assumption that increased security for Baghdad is key to
allowing political progress and for securing the rest of the country.
• The plan is designed, structured, and led by the Iraqis with US support. Prime Minister
Maliki and the Government of Iraq (GOI) have committed that all those who break the law
will be targeted; there will be no sanctuary for criminals or murderers; no militia will be a
replacement for the state or control local security; and military commanders will have
freedom of action and an ability to do what is needed without political interference or
micromanagement.
Plan Incorporates Economic, Political, and Reconstruction Efforts to Assist with Security:
• An essential part of the plan is for Iraq to improve its ability to meet the needs of its
people. To facilitate this, the Iraqis are planning political, economic services, and public
affairs programs with senior Iraqi leaders in charge of each. Additionally, the GOI will
also spend $10 billion on infrastructure and reconstruction projects, creating jobs for
the Iraqi people.
• Working jointly with the GOI, the US will double the number of Provincial Reconstruction
Teams in Iraq to support the provincial and local governments, helping communities with
reconciliation efforts and accelerating the transition to Iraqi self-reliance.
5
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Political Progress Necessary for Security Plan’s Success:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• Political progress is also critical to the success of the new security plan. As such,
the GOI has committed to holding provincial elections, reforming de-Ba'athification
laws, passing hydrocarbon legislation, sharing oil revenues among all Iraqis, and
considering constitutional amendments.
Regional Efforts to Improve Security:
• The new plan also reinforces regional efforts to stabilize Iraq, and it is integrated
into a broader regional strategy, encouraging more Arab states to play a positive
role and supporting Iraqi efforts to engage their neighbors.
• The regional aspect of the plan also seeks to change the behavior of Iran and Syria,
going after their networks in Iraq that are attacking Coalition Forces and
undermining Iraqi security. For example, the Coalition and GOI have already taken
steps against Iranian Explosively Formed Penetrator/Improvised Explosive Device
networks associated with the Iranian Quds forces.
6
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
Iraqi Police Net 301 New Recruits in Fallujah and Habbiniyah:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• In recruiting drives held January 10, the Fallujah Police District enlisted 102 Iraqi
males, and the Habbaniyah Police District enlisted 199. The 301 recruits will soon
travel to Jordan to attend the International Police Training College, where they will
be joined by 550 recruits from other parts of Anbar province.
• There are currently over 1,900 Iraqi Police candidates in training in Jordan who are
scheduled to return to Anbar province for duty in January and February.
1st IA Division Assumes Control of 2nd Brigade:
• The 1st Iraqi Army (IA) Division assumed tactical command of the 2nd Brigade from
US Marine Regimental Combat Team 5 (RCT-5) in a ceremony in Fallujah January
9. The brigade has operated under the direction of RCT-5 for the last year in
Fallujah proper and will continue its informal partnership with the regiment’s 1st
Battalion, 24th Marines.
7
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Ministry of Interior Forces
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
POLICE
~135,000***
ARMY
~132,700***
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 24,400
AIR FORCE
~900
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~28,900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~134,700**
TOTAL
~188,300**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~323,000****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of January 8, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
8
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government– Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Iraqi Leadership Declares Support for Bush Plan:
• Iraq’s Deputy Prime Minister, Barham Salih (Kurdish Alliance), said that Iraqi
leaders must commit to reforms. He stated that “the time has come to take
initiative, and utilize American support that has been offered to us to really turn
the corner.” Salih added that failure to do so would damage Iraqi leaders’
credibility in the eyes of Iraqis.
• Commenting on the new security plan, Khaled al-Attiya (UIA), a deputy
speaker of parliament, said “If we want the Iraq that we longed for and worked
for, then those political forces which suffered under the former regime ... must
get together and make this work.”
Vice President Hashimi Attacks Maliki for Shia Militia Ties:
• Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi, Iraq’s most senior Sunni Arab politician,
launched a bitter personal attack on Prime Minister Maliki, warning him that
the Iraqi government had only limited time to break with sectarian groups and
start delivering to ordinary citizens.
• Hashimi stated that Maliki must serve all Iraqis, rather than maintain his
affiliation with Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr. He argued that Maliki had to be
“encouraged” to break away from Sadr and unite with other groups in Iraqi
society, such as the Sunnis and the Kurds.
9
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government– Developments
SCIRI’s Hakim Calls on GOI to Curb Militia Violence:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
•
Abdul Aziz al-Hakim (SCIRI) publicly stated that the Government of Iraq
should “strike with an iron fist” against anyone who endangers the “safety of
people.” He also urged the militia of cleric Muqtada al-Sadr to disarm. Hakim
commented just hours after President Bush announced his new strategy in
Iraq.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
10
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
D
E
P
A
R
T Minister of
M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
(F) = Female
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Hashim al-Shibli
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi
Liwa Sumaysim
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
11
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
(Millions of USD)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Committed
Apportioned
Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$4,988.60
$4,988.59
($0.01)
$4,986.05
$4,986.12
$0.07
$4,706.99
$4,712.49
$5.50
Electricity Sector
$4,239.51
$4,238.86
$4,224.59
($14.27)
$4,080.24
$4,080.55
$0.31
$2,977.12
$2,991.69
$14.57
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,723.90
$1,723.90
$0.00
$1,625.04
$1,625.04
$0.00
$1,289.13
$1,306.76
$17.63
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,303.79
$1,304.00
$0.21
$1,297.39
$1,297.60
$0.21
$973.43
$980.06
$6.64
Democracy
$1,001.85
$1,001.74
$1,001.71
($0.03)
$1,001.74
$1,001.71
($0.03)
$889.29
$896.79
$7.51
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$401.50
$401.19
$401.18
($0.01)
$401.19
$401.18
($0.01)
$339.07
$339.15
$0.07
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$332.41
$332.41
($0.00)
$326.31
$326.31
($0.00)
$209.53
$209.54
$0.00
Health Care
$818.90
$817.55
$817.47
($0.08)
$801.45
$801.41
($0.04)
$595.43
$612.34
$16.92
Transportation and
Communications
$464.12
$464.11
$464.11
$0.00
$458.23
$458.23
$0.000
$337.15
$339.50
$2.35
$2,131.08
$2,121.20
$2,121.20
($0.00)
$2,048.90
$2,048.89
($0.00)
$1,417.28
$1,431.28
$13.99
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$813.95
$813.91
($0.04)
$813.95
$813.91
($0.04)
$761.57
$761.58
$0.01
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$213.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$155.77
$155.77
$0.00
$18,448.95
$18,419.76
$18,405.53
($14.24)
$18,052.95
$18,053.42
$0.47
$14,651.75
$14,736.94
$85.19
IRRF II Construction
$10,589.83
$10,575.48
($14.35)
$10,244.98
$10,245.13
$0.15
$7,943.37
$7,989.33
$45.97
IRRF II Non-Construction
$6,828.19
$6,828.34
$0.15
$6,806.22
$6,806.58
$0.35
$5,819.10
$5,850.81
$31.71
IRRF II Democracy
$1,001.74
$1,001.71
($0.03)
$1,001.74
$1,001.71
($0.03)
$889.29
$896.79
$7.51
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,922.25
$20,893.06
$20,878.83
($14.24)
$20,285.25
$20,285.72
$0.47
$16,790.75
$16,875.94
$85.19
As of January 16, 2007
12
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
O
F
Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Actual
7-day Average
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
160,000
Daily Load Served (MWh)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
12/16/06
11/16/06
10/17/06
9/17/06
8/18/06
7/19/06
6/19/06
5/20/06
4/20/06
3/21/06
2/19/06
1/20/06
12/21/05
11/21/05
10/22/05
9/22/05
8/23/05
7/24/05
6/24/05
5/25/05
4/25/05
3/26/05
2/24/05
1/25/05
12/26/04
11/26/04
10/27/04
9/27/04
8/28/04
7/29/04
6/29/04
5/30/04
4/30/04
3/31/04
3/1/04
1/31/04
1/1/04
S
T
Date
A
T • During the week of January 11-17 electricity availability averaged 4.4 hours per day in Baghdad
E
and 7.7 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 12% below the same period in 2005.
13
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services –Electricity and Transportation
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Electricity:
•
Construction was recently completed on the Rumaytha substation in Muthanna
province. The US Army-funded project provides additional electricity to the
municipal grid system for the local population of Rumaytha.
Transportation:
•
Construction was recently completed on five concrete paved roads in Ninewa
province, totaling approximately 1.16 km. This US Army-funded project
provides increased traffic flow and reliable access to major infrastructure
arteries while serving a community of approximately 10,000 residents.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
14
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending January 12 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $46.10/barrel
– Dated Brent at $53.30/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $54.12/barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $51.61/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis Last Iraqis This
Week
Week
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
`
Gulf Region District (GRD)
23,266
23,658
1.68%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
36,522
33,868
-7.27%
N/A
885
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
3,311
6,415
7,907
6,415
138.81%
GRAND TOTAL
69,514
72,733
4.63%
2
S
T
A
T
E
%
change
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)
0.00%
CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of January 16
15
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
$ 9 0 .0
1 ,5 0 0
$ 8 0 .0
1 ,4 8 0
1 ,4 6 0
$ 7 0 .0
1 ,4 4 0
$ 6 0 .0
1 ,4 2 0
$ 5 0 .0
1 ,4 0 0
$ 4 0 .0
1 ,3 8 0
NID Exchange Rate
O
F
• The following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
April. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by the
IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the
dollar is reflected in the figure below.
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – January 16, 2006
USD Sold (Millions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
$ 3 0 .0
1 ,3 6 0
$ 2 0 .0
1 ,3 4 0
1 ,3 2 0
$ 0 .0
1 ,3 0 0
A
pr
p r il 2
il
1 -6
A
pr 2 il
12
1
A
pr 6 il
17
1
A
pr 9 il
2
26 3
M
30
ay
M
2
ay 8
M
9
ay 16
M 21
M ay - 2
ay 2
2
31 4 3
-J 0
Ju un
5
n
Ju 6
n
1 12
Ju 3
n -2
25 0
Ju 29
l2
Ju
-6
l
Ju 9 l 1 13
Ju 6 l 2 20
J 3
Ju ul - 2
l 3 26 5
1 - A 30
u
A
ug g 7
A
ug 8 1
A 11 0
A ug - 2
ug
2
2
30 3 S
ep - 29
S
ep
6
S
ep 5
S
13 ep
S
ep 1
S
2
21 ep
- S 19
S
ep
ep
2
O 6 - 25
ct
O
c
O 3
ct - O t 2
11 c
t
O
ct - O 10
19 ct
1
N
ov Oc 8
t2
N
4
ov 9
N
8
o
-N v
7
o
N
N ov v 1
ov 1
4
5
D 29 - 2
ec D 8
6
ec
D
ec 1
D
13 ec
D
ec 1
D
2
20 ec
Ja - D 18
n
ec
8
- J 26
an
16
$ 1 0 .0
A
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
S
T
A
T
E
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
June 1, 2006 - January 12, 2007
10.00%
$70.00
$69.00
9.80%
$68.00
$67.00
$66.00
9.40%
$65.00
$64.00
9.20%
$63.00
Yield Percentage
9.60%
9.00%
$62.00
$61.00
8.80%
$60.00
$59.00
8.60%
1Ju
n
8Ju
15 n
-J
u
22 n
-J
u
29 n
-J
un
6Ju
13 l
-J
u
20 l
-J
u
27 l
-J
u
3- l
A
10 ug
-A
17 ug
-A
24 ug
-A
31 ug
-A
ug
7S
14 ep
-S
21 ep
-S
28 ep
-S
ep
5O
12 ct
-O
19 ct
-O
26 ct
-O
c
2- t
N
o
9- v
N
16 ov
-N
23 ov
-N
30 ov
-N
o
7- v
D
14 ec
-D
21 ec
-D
28 ec
-D
ec
4Ja
11 n
-J
an
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about
two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was
approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current
yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
Grants Awarded to Support Three International Microfinance Organizations:
D
•
E
P
A
R
T
M •
E
N
T
The US Agency for International Development (USAID) recently awarded $9.9
million in grants to establish or to continue the development of sustainable Iraqi
microfinance institutions. Microfinance firms throughout the country support lending
to approximately 17,000 active clients with a total portfolio of approximately $19
million.
USAID also helped to establish three indigenous microfinance organizations in the
north, west and center of the country. USAID assisted these organizations in
registering with the NGO office, awarded each a start-up grant of $250,000 in loan
capital, provided staff training and individualized technical assistance, and worked
with local US military civilian affairs teams, which support initial operational costs.
O
F International Accounting Standards and Ethics Introduced Into University Curricula:
S •
T
A
T
E
•
USAID facilitated the introduction of the International Accounting Standards and
Ethics course into the curriculum at eight universities throughout the country,
reaching 437 students (25% female). USAID also provided procurement funds to
two universities to renovate their facilities.
Over 40,000 hours of training in the international best practices of accounting have
been completed both in- and outside of universities to date.
18
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.80
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.40
2.20
2.21
2.18
2.05
2.17
2.14
2.23
2.05
1.99
2.00
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.72
1.60
1.20
0.80
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
0.40
0.00
November
6-12
November
13-19
November
20-26
November
27December
3
December
4-10
December
11-17
Production
December
18-24
December January 1- January 825-31
7
14
Target
• Weekly Average (January 8-14) of 1.72 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
19
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
$4.00
$3.50
1.67
1.68
1.68
1.60
$3.00
1.62
1.55
1.51
1.47
1.44
1.45
$2.50
1.32
1.25
1.20
$2.00
$3.44
$3.41
$3.02
$2.92
$3.03
$1.50
$2.73
$2.46
$2.45
$2.16
USD (Billions)
1.80
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$2.25
$1.13
$2.19
$1.00
$0.50
$0.71
0.00
$0.00
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$0.7 Billion
20
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
15%
23%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
41%
67%
60%
40%
85%
77%
59%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
33%
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of January 8 – 14
• Diesel: 8.7 ML supply of 21.0 ML target
• Kerosene: 4.4 ML supply of 16.8 ML target
• Gasoline: 12.4 ML supply of 22.5 ML target
• LPG: 4,232 tons supply of 5,630 tons target
21
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Nov-06
Jan-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Dec-06
10
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
5
4
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages. (For the Week January
22
UNCLASSIFIED
1-7)
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
Two Saddam Aides Hanged at Dawn:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
•
The sentences against the former head of Iraqi Intelligence and the judge of the
Revolutionary Court that ordered the execution of 148 citizens of Dujail in 1982
were carried out at dawn January 15. Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti, Saddam's halfbrother and Awad al-Bandar, former judge on Saddam’s Revolutionary Court, were
hanged for their roles in the Dujail killings.
•
Barzan was a feared figure in Iraq at the head of the intelligence service in the
1980s. Bandar presided the Revolutionary Court which sentenced 148 Shiite men
and youths to death after an assassination attempt on Saddam in the town of
Dujail in 1982. Along with Saddam, they were convicted November 5 of crimes
against humanity by the US-sponsored High Tribunal.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
23
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
Saudi Arabia to Host Next Arab League Summit:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
•
Iraqi President Talabani Arrives in Syria:
•
President Talabani became the first Iraqi head of state to visit Syria in nearly three
decades when he arrived in Syria January 14 with a high-ranking delegation
including interior, trade and water ministers and the chief of the State Oil Marketing
Organization.
Secretary Rice Launches Consultations on Iraq in Gulf States:
•
S
T
A
T
E
Saudi Arabia's ambassador to the Arab League announced January 16 that
Riyadh will host the organization's next summit March 28 and 29 in a bid to heal
ethnic divisions in the region. The 22-member Arab League traditionally holds its
annual summit in March in different Arab capitals.
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice participated in a number of meetings with
key Gulf leaders to persuade America's Arab allies to support President Bush's
new strategy for quelling violence in Iraq. Secretary Rice discussed the Iraq plan
privately with Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah, and met the foreign ministers of the
Gulf Cooperation Council, along with those of Egypt and Jordan, also known as
the “GCC + 2” group of Arab states.
24
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of January 10, 2007
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 14,138 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
25
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Aides Execution Shown on Video:
D
•
E
P
A
R
T
M •
E
N
T •
More than 13 hours after the carrying out of the sentences against two of
Saddam Hussein's aides, Barzan Ibrahim al-Tikriti and Awad Hamad al-Bandar,
an official video was played to a small group of Iraqi and Western reporters that
showed the noose decapitating Tikriti. Officials said they would only run the
silent, three-minute video once and not show it in public again.
In order to avoid the distribution of any illicit videos – such as the ones released
after the execution of Saddam Hussein – reporters attending the showing had
their mobile phones taken by Iraqi security men.
Tikriti and Bandar, who were sentenced in November for their roles in the killing
of 148 Shiites in Dujail in 1982, were hanged January 15.
O
F Iraqi Leaders Comment on President Bush’s “New Way Forward”:
• In response to President Bush’s new strategy in Iraq, Prime Minister Maliki said
S
that the plan represents the common vision and mutual understanding between
T
the Iraqi government and the US administration…”
A
T • Iraqi President Jalal Talabani said that the plan “represent[s] a new point of
departure for improving the security situation and are consistent and in
E
harmony with the plans established by the Iraqi government for confronting
terrorism and eliminating all types of violence and violations of the law…”
26
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Freelance Journalist Killed:
D
E • A local police officer said January 13 that gunmen killed an Iraqi journalist
outside his home in Mosul. Khudhir Yunis, a freelance journalist working for a
P
number of Baghdad-based newspapers, was shot dead overnight.
A
R • Yunis, a member of the Iraqi Journalist Association in Mosul, was the fifth
T
journalist to be killed in Mosul in the last two months.
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
28
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 5:
– Press Briefing - U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Zalmay Khalilzad and MNF-I Commander General George Casey – 15 January 2007
(Iraqhttp://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9113&Itemid=30)
Slide 6:
– Press Briefing - U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Zalmay Khalilzad and MNF-I Commander General George Casey – 15 January 2007
(Iraqhttp://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9113&Itemid=30)
Slide 7:
– MNF-I Press Release – 11 January 2007 – Release 20070111-15 (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9006&Itemid=21)
– MNF-I Press Release – 10 January 2007 – Release 20070110- 08 (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=8966&Itemid=21)
Slide 8:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report January 17, 2007
Slide 9:
– http://www.ft.com/cms/s/deb2bf24-a4c2-11db-b0ef-0000779e2340.html
– "Morning Edition.“ National Public Radio. January 12, 2007
– Mroue, Bassem. “Shiite Leader Backs Iraqi Security Plan.” Associated Press. January 11, 2007.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070111/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_shiites
Slide 10:
– “Interview: Iraqi government could collapse if security plan fails.” Reuters. January 16, 2007.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/KAR655413.htm
Slide 11:
– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 12:
– IRMO Weekly Report, January 16, 2007
Slide 13:
– POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815
– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average
supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of
power, but this is due in part to an influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation
capacity on actual results.
29
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 14:
Electricity:
– USACE Daily Report - 9 January 07
Transportation:
– USACE Daily Report - 12 January 07
Slide 15:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – January 16, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 16:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 17:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 18:
– USAID Bi-weekly Report – Jan 8
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 20:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 21:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 22:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 23:
– Mariam Karouny, Reuters Report January 15, 2007, http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070115/wl_nm/iraq_saddam_aides_dc_3
30
UNCLASSIFIED
January 17, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 24:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
–
–
–
http://www.un.org
http://www.turkishweekly.net/news.php?id=42119
http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2007-01-16-rice_x.htm
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
–
The New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/16/world/middleeast/16hang.html?pagewanted=1&_r=1&ref=world, January 15
Prime Minister Maliki, (Official Statement, AFP, 1/13/07), President Talabani, Official Statement, 1/11/06)
–
AFP, “Iraqi Freelance Journalist Killed,” January 13, 2007
Slide 25:
Slide 26:
Slide 27:
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
31
UNCLASSIFIED