February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
February 7, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
1
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
7
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
9
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
11
Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
15
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
24
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
25
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
28
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
30
31
2
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
Iraqi and US forces swept through Baghdad's Sunni district of Adhamiyah
February 6 in a clearing operation that marked the start of the new Baghdad
Security Plan.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
As part of the Iraqi defense ministry’s efforts to create a comprehensive and
complete personnel system, officials within the department recently held a training
session on data collection for the Iraqi Army.
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Press reports say that Council of Representatives member Jamal Jafaar
Mohammed al-Ibrahimi al-Basri is also Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, who was
sentenced to death by a Kuwaiti court in absentia for the 1983 bombings of the US
and French embassies in Kuwait.
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
The recently completed US Army-funded repair of the 100-meter, two-deck bridge
across the Tigris in Mosul is now fully serviceable for both vehicles and
pedestrians, thereby benefiting over 1.7 million Iraqis.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
The State Company for Textiles in Najaf has been awarded a $443,604 contract for
Iraqi Ministry of Defense (MoD) uniforms on a competitive USG procurement. This
is the first competitive contract awarded to an Iraqi State-Owned Enterprise (SOE)
during the present USG effort to enhance economic activity by linking Iraqi SOEs to
USG requirements. The company won the bid by proving its ability to supply
superior quality goods at a competitive price. This initial contract is expected to be
followed by further competitive awards for additional MoD uniforms.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
The Iraqi Army and US Marines concluded a mission that resulted in the capture of
77 detainees near Habbaniyah February 2.
O
F
7. International Support for Iraq
About 200 Iraqi refugees staged a sit-in outside the UN High Commissioner for
Refugees office in Damascus to protest new residency limits for civilians and their
families fleeing Iraq.
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8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of
the Insurgents
The Iraqi National Media Center Director in the Cabinet Council Secretariat General
issued a statement February 7 over the “aggressive stance of al-Jazeera channel
toward Iraqi people and its national government.”
4
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Baghdad Security Crackdown Launches:
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• Iraqi and US forces swept through Baghdad's Sunni district of Adhamiyah February
6 in a clearing operation that marked the start of the new Baghdad Security Plan.
IA Captures Death Squad Leader:
• Iraqi Army (IA) Special Operations forces captured a suspected death squad leader
February 1 during operations in southern Baghdad.
• The death squad leader is allegedly responsible for carrying out kidnappings and
murders against Iraqi civilians and ran a cell that consisted of more than 20 men.
• The suspect and his group are implicated in setting-up illegal checkpoints in order
to kidnap Iraqi civilians and murder them. The leader and his cell are also
implicated in the kidnapping of three Iraqi civilians in December 2006 and burning
them alive.
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UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Truck Bomb Blast Kills Over 100 in Baghdad’s Rusafa Neighborhood:
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• A bomb encased in a large truck detonated in Baghdad’s Rusafa neighborhood, in
the center of Baghdad the afternoon of February 3. The bomb targeted civilians at
a busy intersection, killing 105 and wounding 251. Media reporting stated the
attack was the worst single bombing since the US-led invasion began in 2003.
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6
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
Iraqi Military Information Consolidated:
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• As part of Iraq’s Ministry of Defense (MoD)’s efforts to create a comprehensive and
complete personnel system, officials within the department recently held a training
session on data collection for the Iraqi Army.
• According to the director of the MoD Records Directorate “this system will provide
commanders with an exact idea of who is serving in the military at the battalion level
and will also ensure that all Iraqi soldiers receive the pay that is due to them.”
National Police Expand Capabilities:
• According to Iraqi National Police Battalion Commander Col. Mohammed, the Iraqi
National Police 2nd Division are receiving training that enables them to respond
quicker to emergencies and increases their capability of rapidly deploying personnel
to traffic control points should the security situation require it.
• Sgt. Bashar, one of the Division’s training instructors, said there are 18 men going
through a five-week program, emphasizing that trainees at the headquarters have
already gone through their basic training and that this new training focuses on
advanced skills to take the policemen to the next level of readiness.
7
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
POLICE
~135,000***
ARMY
~132,800***
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 24,400
AIR FORCE
~900
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~28,900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~134,800**
TOTAL
~188,300**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~323,100****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of February 5, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
8
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government– Developments
Newly Elected Iraqi Representative Accused of Terrorist Past:
D
E • Press reports say that Council of Representatives member Jamal Jafaar Mohammed
al-Ibrahimi al-Basri is also Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, who was sentenced to death by a
P
Kuwaiti court in absentia for the 1983 bombings of the US and French embassies in
A
Kuwait. Prime Minister Maliki has asked for all evidence against Jamal Mohammed be
R
turned over to Iraqi authorities so he can face prosecution if necessary.
T
M Iraq Prime Minister Urges Faster Start to Baghdad Security Plan:
E • Prime Minister Maliki complained February 6 that the Baghdad security operation was off to
a slow start and warned that insurgents are taking advantage of the delay to kill as many
N
people as possible.
T
Sadr Orders Mahdi Army not to Confront Coalition Forces:
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F •
The Chicago Tribune reports that, according to Sadrist and other Shiite officials, Muqtada
al-Sadr has ordered his militia not to confront US forces and has endorsed negotiations
aimed at easing the deployment of American troops in parts of the country loyal to him.
S
T GOI to Host Regional Conference on Iraq Security:
A • The GOI has invited Syria, Iran, and other regional countries to Baghdad next month to
T
discuss the security situation in Iraq. The talks will be the first of ten meetings to take place
E
in Baghdad. The Arab League, Organization of Islamic Conference, and United Nations
have also been asked to attend.
9
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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E
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A
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T Minister of
M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
(F) = Female
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Hashim al-Shibli
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi
Liwa Sumaysim
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
10
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
(Millions of USD)
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Apportioned
Committed
Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$4,988.17
$4,988.66
$0.49
$4,986.19
$4,986.19
$0.00
$4,716.47
$4,718.48
$2.01
Electricity Sector
$4,239.51
$4,224.34
$4,224.34
$0.00
$4,080.91
$4,080.91
$0.00
$3,029.57
$3,045.97
$16.40
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,678.03
$1,677.11
($0.93)
$1,584.47
$1,583.54
($0.93)
$1,318.28
$1,327.97
$9.68
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,303.93
$1,303.93
$0.00
$1,297.72
$1,297.72
($0.00)
$982.42
$1,008.53
$26.12
Democracy
$1,001.85
$1,001.74
$1,001.80
$0.06
$1,001.74
$1,001.73
($0.01)
$893.61
$893.95
$0.34
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$401.50
$401.26
$401.26
$0.00
$401.26
$401.26
$0.00
$354.55
$354.85
$0.30
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$331.95
$331.95
$0.00
$324.59
$324.59
$0.00
$209.55
$209.77
$0.23
Health Care
$818.90
$817.61
$817.61
$0.00
$801.76
$802.11
$0.36
$621.37
$623.93
$2.56
Transportation and
Communications
$464.12
$464.11
$464.09
($0.02)
$458.30
$458.28
($0.021)
$339.69
$339.67
($0.02)
$2,131.08
$2,119.78
$2,119.78
($0.00)
$2,048.37
$2,048.37
($0.00)
$1,444.08
$1,443.32
($0.76)
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$765.96
$766.59
$0.63
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$213.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$164.24
$164.24
$0.00
$18,448.95
$18,357.33
$18,356.94
($0.39)
$18,011.71
$18,011.11
($0.61)
$14,839.79
$14,897.28
$57.49
IRRF II Construction
$10,573.21
$10,572.77
($0.44)
$10,249.35
$10,248.78
($0.57)
$8,053.62
$8,077.21
$23.58
IRRF II Non-Construction
$6,782.38
$6,782.36
($0.02)
$6,760.62
$6,760.60
($0.02)
$5,892.56
$5,926.12
$33.57
IRRF II Democracy
$1,001.74
$1,001.80
$0.06
$1,001.74
$1,001.73
($0.01)
$893.61
$893.95
$0.34
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,922.25
$20,830.63
$20,830.24
($0.39)
$20,244.01
$20,243.41
($0.61)
$16,978.79
$17,036.28
$57.49
As of February 6, 2007
11
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
O
F
Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Actual
7-day Average
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
Daily Load Served (MWh)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
12/16/06
11/16/06
10/17/06
9/17/06
8/18/06
7/19/06
6/19/06
5/20/06
4/20/06
3/21/06
2/19/06
1/20/06
12/21/05
11/21/05
10/22/05
9/22/05
8/23/05
7/24/05
6/24/05
5/25/05
4/25/05
3/26/05
2/24/05
1/25/05
12/26/04
11/26/04
10/27/04
9/27/04
8/28/04
7/29/04
6/29/04
5/30/04
4/30/04
3/31/04
3/1/04
1/31/04
1/1/04
S
Date
T
A
T • During the week of February 1-7 electricity availability averaged 6.1 hours per day in Baghdad and
E
9.4 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 8% above the same period in 2005.
12
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services –Electricity, Health, Transportation
Electricity:
D
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P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
•
The Bayji to Baghdad West #1 line repairs are complete, with service being
restored.
Health:
•
The recently completed US Army-funded Najaf Teaching Hospital is complete
and will provide medical students the equipment and space needed to improve
the health care of over 482,000 area residents.
Transportation:
•
The recently completed US Army-funded repair of the 100-meter, two-deck
bridge in Mosul is now fully serviceable for both vehicles and pedestrians,
thereby benefiting over 1.7 million Iraqis.
S
T
A
T
E
13
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services –Water
Water:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
•
The Ifraz Water Treatment Plant (URI 3597) was put back into operation at
4,000 cm/h by the Irbil Director General of Water after FlourAmec completed
repairs to the main headers and associated piping. After pressure testing both
the Ifraz and Maroda sites, the contractor was able to start the intake and
booster pumps. When additional electrical power is coordinated through the
Director General of Electricity, the plant will be able to boost production to 6000
cm/h.
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F
S
T
A
T
E
14
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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A
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M
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N
T
O
F
Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending February 2 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $49.39/barrel
– Dated Brent at $56.35/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $57.09/barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $52.93/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis Last Iraqis This
Week
Week
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
`
Gulf Region District (GRD)
32,485
32,366
-0.37%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
36,116
33,317
-7.75%
885
4,128
366.44%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
11,857
6,496
11,906
6,396
0.41%
-1.54%
GRAND TOTAL
87,839
88,113
0.31%
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2
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%
change
CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of February 6
15
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
1 ,5 0 0
$ 9 0 .0
$ 8 0 .0
1 ,4 5 0
$ 7 0 .0
$ 6 0 .0
1 ,4 0 0
$ 5 0 .0
$ 4 0 .0
1 ,3 5 0
NID Exchange Rate
O
F
• The following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
April. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by the
IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the
dollar is reflected in the figure below.
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – February 5, 2006
USD Sold (Millions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
$ 3 0 .0
$ 2 0 .0
1 ,3 0 0
$ 1 0 .0
$ 0 .0
1 ,2 5 0
A
A p ri
pr l
i 2
A l 12 - 6
p
ri
A l 16 12
pr
i
A l 19 17
pr
il - 2
26 3
-3
M
0
a
M y2
ay 8
M
ay 9 1
M 21 6
M a
ay y - 22
2
31 4
- J 30
Ju un
5
n
Ju 6
n -1
Ju 13 2
n -2
25 0
Ju 29
l2
Ju
l -6
Ju 9
l1 -1
3
Ju 6 l 2 20
3
Ju Jul - 2
l 3 26 5
1 - 30
A
u
A
ug g 7
A
8
ug 10
A 1
A u 1u g
g 2 22
S 30 3 ep - 2
S 9
S
ep 6 - ep
S
1
e 5
S
ep 3 - p 1
S
21 e 2
p
S
e p - S 19
e
26 p
25
O
c
O t 3 Oc
ct t
1 O 2
O 1 ct
ct - O 1
19 c 0
t
- O 18
N
o
N v 4 ct 2
ov 9
8 No
N v7
ov
N
N o
14
o v
v 1
D 29 5 ec - 2
D 8
D
e c 6 - ec
D
1
1
D
3 e
ec - c 1
D
2
20 e
c
Ja 1
n De 8
Ja 8
c
n - J 26
Ja 17 an
n - J 16
an
2
Ja 3 Ja 22
n
30 n
2
Fe 9
b
5
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
June 1, 2006 - February 2, 2007
$70.00
10.00%
$69.00
9.80%
$68.00
9.60%
$67.00
9.40%
$66.00
9.20%
$65.00
Yield Percentage
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about
two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was
approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current
yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
9.00%
8.80%
$63.00
8.60%
5Ju
13 l
-J
u
21 l
-J
u
31 l
-J
u
8- l
A
u
16 g
-A
u
24 g
-A
ug
1S
e
11 p
-S
e
19 p
-S
e
27 p
-S
ep
5O
c
13 t
-O
c
23 t
-O
c
31 t
-O
c
8- t
N
o
16 v
-N
o
24 v
-N
ov
4D
e
12 c
-D
e
20 c
-D
e
28 c
-D
ec
5Ja
15 n
-J
a
23 n
-J
a
31 n
-J
an
$62.00
1Ju
n
9Ju
19 n
-J
u
27 n
-J
un
S
T
A
T
E
$64.00
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
Iraqi State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) Wins Competitive Bid:
D
• The State Company for Textiles in Najaf has been awarded a $443,604 contract for
E
Iraqi Ministry of Defense (MoD) uniforms on a competitive USG procurement. This
P
is the first competitive contract awarded to an Iraqi State-Owned Enterprise (SOE)
A
during the present USG effort to enhance economic activity by linking Iraqi SOEs to
R
USG requirements. The company won the bid by proving its ability to supply
T
superior quality goods at a competitive price. This initial contract is expected to be
M
followed by further competitive awards for additional MoD uniforms.
E
N
T Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Summit:
O
F
•
S •
T
A
T
E
The Ministry of Oil and the Ministry of Industry & Minerals are scheduled to
participate in an Iraq Oil, Gas & Petrochemical Summit scheduled to be held in
Amman April 17-18.
This will be the first major international summit covering these industries to be held
after the ratification of the investment law and the expected completion of the
hydrocarbon law. Participation is expected by the large international oil and
petrochemical industries as well as financial and investment organizations. Other
participants include the Kurdistan Regional Government.
18
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
Trade and Investment Conference:
D
•
E
P
A
R
T •
M
E
N
T
On February 1, USAID's Izdihar Private Sector Development Project and the
American Chamber of Commerce of Iraq co-hosted the “Trade and Investment
Showcase: Successes of the Government of Iraq” in Amman, sponsored by
Microsoft.
Over 100 people representing businesses and government agencies attended the
event, which focused on the new Iraqi investment law and the GOI’s efforts to
become a member of the World Trade Organization. GOI officials from the
Ministries of Trade, Foreign Affairs, Industry and Minerals, and Planning made
presentations.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
19
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.80
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.40
2.18
2.14
2.17
2.23
2.05
1.99
1.99
2.00
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.72
1.70
1.60
1.21
1.20
0.80
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
0.40
0.00
November
27December
3
December
4-10
December
11-17
December
18-24
December January 1- January 825-31
7
14
Production
January
15-21
January
22-28
January 29
- February
4
Target
• Weekly Average (January 29 – February 4) of 1.99 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
20
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
$4.00
$3.50
1.80
1.67
1.68
$3.00
1.68
1.62
1.60
1.55
1.51
1.44
1.45
$2.50
1.32
1.30
1.20
$2.00
$3.41
$3.02
$2.92
$3.44
$3.03
$2.11
$2.73
$2.19
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
$1.50
$2.46
$2.45
$2.25
USD (Billions)
1.80
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.00
$1.89
$0.50
$0.35
0.00
$0.00
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$2.2 Billion
21
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
12%
26%
31%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
56%
60%
88%
40%
74%
69%
44%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of January 29 – February 4
• Diesel: 11.1 ML supply of 21.0 ML target
• Kerosene: 6.7 ML supply of 15.5 ML target
• Gasoline: 12.2 ML supply of 22.1 ML target
• LPG: 3,089 tons supply of 5,500 tons target
22
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Nov-06
Jan-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Dec-06
10
O
F
5
S
T
A
T
E
4
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
23
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
IA and Marine Mission Captures 77 Detainees:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• The Iraqi Army (IA) and US Marines concluded a mission that resulted in the
capture of 77 detainees near Habbaniyah February 2.
• The mission to detain members of murder and intimidation cells was a joint
operation with Iraqi Forces and Marines of Regimental Combat Team 6, supported
by local Iraqis focused on ridding their towns of insurgents. During the mission,
soldiers of the 1st IA Division and Marines from the 3rd Battalion, 6th Marine
Regiment detained individuals suspected of coordinating insurgent attacks against
Iraqi Security Forces and Coalition Forces. Several of the detainees were
immediately identified as persons of special interest according to intelligence
reports.
Iraqi Police in Ramadi Discover Large Weapons Cache:
• Iraqi members of the Albu Obaid Iraqi Police station discovered one of the largest
weapons caches in the last year while conducting patrols in eastern Ramadi
February 3. The cache consisted of over 300 82mm mortar rounds, three 152mm
artillery rounds, two bags of homemade explosives, two Katyusha 107mm rockets,
in addition to other items that included a mortar base plate, a spool of copper wire
used for detonating improvised explosive devices and various smaller caliber
ammunition.
24
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
Iraqi Refugees Stage Sit-In Outside UNHCR Office in Damascus:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
•
About 200 Iraqi refugees staged a sit-in outside the UN High Commissioner for
Refugees (UNHCR) office in Damascus to protest new residency limits for civilians
and their families fleeing Iraq.
Secretary Rice Announces the Creation of a Task Force on Iraqi Refugees:
•
Secretary Rice announced the creation of a task force headed by Undersecretary
Paula Dobriansky that will coordinate US assistance for Iraqi refugees and
internally displaced persons, while simultaneously aiming to devise plans to help
Iraqis who are at risk due to their work with the USG.
UN Envoy Calls on Iraqis to Display Strong Leadership to Quell Continued Violence:
•
UN Special Representative of the Secretary General for Iraq Ashraf Qazi called
upon the Iraqi people to display the far-sighted leadership necessary to calm the
country’s rising crisis. He condemned the recent increase of violence in Iraq this
week and urged Iraqis to utilize fresh thinking.
25
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
UN High Commissioner for Refugees:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
•
In a meeting with King Abdullah bin Abdul Aziz and other Saudi officials in Riyadh
over the weekend, UNHCR Anthony Guterres stressed the necessity of creating a
stronger partnership between the UNHCR and the Muslim world.
Bosnia Approves Plan to Keep Troops in Iraq:
•
Bulgaria approved an extension of its military mission in Iraq for another year.
Bulgaria will send 155 soldiers to Iraq to replace 120 troops and 35 support
personnel who are there now.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
26
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of February 5, 2007
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 15,371 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
27
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
GOI Statement Against al-Jazeera:
D
E • The Iraqi National Media Center Director in the Cabinet Council Secretariat
General issued a statement February 7 over the “aggressive stance of alP
Jazeera channel toward Iraqi people and its national government.”
A
R • The statement read, in part, “We, in the time where we condemn this hostile
T
stance for this satellite channel, call upon the Iraqi people’s representatives at
M
the parliament to take a strict and decisive stance against this channel and to
E
use all lawful and possible legal actions to sue it in order to stop its antagonist
N
trend.”
T
Video Shows US Helicopter Crash:
O •
F
S
•
T
A
T
E
A video running for more than three minutes was posted to an Islamist website
February 4 showing an attack on a US Apache helicopter that was claimed by
al-Qaida in Iraq.
The images are accompanied by verses from the Koran, religious chants and
calls for jihad in the name of Shaykh Abu Omar al-Baghdadi, the head of a
Sunni group linked to al-Qaida.
28
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Shiite Leader Calls for Unity:
D •
E
P
A •
R
T •
M
E
N
T
In his first public statement in months concerning Iraq, on February 3, Grand
Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani called for Muslim unity and an end to sectarian conflict.
Sistani noted that differences have existed between Shiites and Sunnis for
centuries but should not be cause for bloodshed.
In an apparent referral to Abdullah bin Jabrain, Sistani also accused some
unspecified individuals and groups of working to widen the division among
Muslims. Jabrain is a key member of Saudi Arabia’s clerical establishment who
joined other senior figures from the Wahhabi school of Sunni Islam to describe
Shiites as “the most vicious enemies of Muslims.”
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
29
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
30
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 5:
– AFP, US and Iraqi forces launch Baghdad security crackdown,” February 6
– MNF-I Press Release – 4 February 2007 – Release 20070204-04 – (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9629&Itemid=21)
Slide 6:
– Yahoo News – Richard Colvin – 5 February 2007 – (http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070205/ts_nm/iraq_dc)
Slide 7:
– The Advisor – February 3, 2007
Slide 8:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report February 7, 2007
Slide 9:
–
–
–
–
“U.S. Military: Iraqi Lawmaker is Embassy Bomber” 7 Feb 06 (CNN), http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/meast/02/05/iraq.lawmaker/index.html?eref=aol
“Iraq PM Urges Start to Baghdad Crackdown” 6 Feb 06 (Associated Press Online), http://www.clis.com/WEBNEWS/wed/bn/Airaq.RbxO_HF6.html
“Al Sadr Tells Militia to Lay off U.S. Forces” 30 Jan 2007 (Chicago Tribune), http://deseretnews.com/dn/view/0,1249,655192409,00.html
“Baghdad Invites Neighbors to Conference” 1 Feb 2007 (The New Anatolian), http://www.thenewanatolian.com/tna-22216.html
Slide 10:
– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 11:
– IRMO Weekly Report, February 6, 2007
Slide 12:
– POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815
– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of power, but this is due in part to an
influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation capacity on actual results.
31
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 13:
Electricity:
– IRMO Weekly Status Report - 30 January 07
Health:
– USACE Daily Report - 6 February 07
Transportation:
– USACE Daily Report – 6 February 07
Slide 14:
Water:
– USACE Daily Report – 5 February 07
Slide 15:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – February 6, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 16:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 17:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 18:
– Embassy Baghdad Unclassified O/I – January 31
Slide 19:
– Embassy Baghdad Unclassified O/I – February 3
Slide 20:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 21:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 22:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 23:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
32
UNCLASSIFIED
February 7, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 24:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
–
http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9734&Itemid=21
–
http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9724&Itemid=128
–
February 6, 2007 “U.S. Sets up Task Force on Iraqi Refugees.” (AFP)
http://www.bulletinnews.com/state/index_main.aspx?doctype=2&d=070206&url=http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070206/pl_afp/iraqrefugeesus_0702060
00442
February 5, 2007 "Iraqi Refugees Protest Syria's Alleged Visa Restrictions.” (The Associated Press/International Herald Tribune)
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/05/africa/ME-GEN-Syria-Iraq.php
February 7, 2007 “Condemning Rising Violence in Iraq, UN Envoy Urges Fresh Thinking.” (UN News Center)
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=21443&Cr=Iraq&Cr1=
Slide 25:
–
–
Slide 26:
–
–
February 7, 2007 “Guterres Calls for Stronger Ties Between UNHCR and Muslim World.” (UNHCR) http://www.unhcr.org/news/NEWS/45c75cd22.html
Reuters, http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L0728970.htm, February 7
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
–
GOI Release: National Media Center Director's statement against al-Jazeera, February 7
AFP, “Al-Qaeda shows video of US helicopter downing in Iraq,” February 4
–
Associated Press, “Shiite Top Cleric Calls for Unity among Muslims,” February 3
Slide 27:
Slide 28:
Slide 29:
S
T
A
T
E
33
UNCLASSIFIED