February 14, 2007
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
February 14, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
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February 14, 2007
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Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
7
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
9
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
11
Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
15
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
23
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
24
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
26
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
27
28
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February 14, 2007
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Highlights
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1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
President Bush says that the Iraqi government is following through on its
commitment to deploy three additional army brigades in the capital as part of the
Baghdad Security Plan.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
Iraqi security Forces and soldiers from Multi-National Division-Baghdad uncovered
14 weapons caches and detained 140 insurgent suspects in and around the Iraqi
capital during the week of February 3-9.
O
F
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Deputy Health Minister Hakim al-Zamili, the second highest ranking official in the
ministry and a supporter of influential Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, has been
arrested. He allegedly planned several of his coworkers’ deaths and is accused by
Iraqis of being personally responsible for embezzling millions of dollars of
American relief funding and giving the money directly to insurgent groups.
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4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
The Hamdan Reverse Osmosis Compact Unit project in Basrah province was
completed January 10. The $521,000 US-Army funded project designed and built
a water treatment plant with a reverse osmosis unit. This project provides
domestic drinking water to more than 30,000 residents of Hamdan village of Abu
al-Khaseeb district.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
On February 8, the GOI passed its 2007 budget. The budget anticipates income of
$33.4 billion, of which $31 billion is expected in oil exports. The budget also
anticipates expenditures of $41 billion, including a little over $10 billion for
reconstruction programs and $7.3 billion for security. The GOI will cover the $7.6
billion deficit using unspent funds from fiscal years 2005 and 2006, currently held in
the Development Fund for Iraq.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
The Central Criminal Court of Iraq convicted 14 insurgents January 26-February 1
for various crimes, including possession of illegal weapons, possessing fake
identification and illegal border crossing.
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7. International Support for Iraq
Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari reopened his country’s embassy in Saudi
Arabia February 13 after 17 years and said the two countries needed to improve
joint efforts to fight Islamist militants.
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8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of
the Insurgents
On February 9, al-Qaida in Iraq posted an Internet video claiming to show the
shooting down of a US army helicopter which fell in Anbar province February 7.
The group has claimed responsibility for the attack.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Baghdad Security Forces Coming Together:
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• In his February 15 speech the President outlined the progress of the Baghdad
Security Plan. He stated that, “our new commander in Iraq, General David
Petraeus, is now on the ground in Baghdad. I visited him by secure video
yesterday. He reports that coalition troops are arriving on schedule. He says the
Iraqi government is following through on its commitment to deploy three additional
army brigades in the capital. Prime Minister Maliki has said part of our strategy is to
put more Iraqis in the fight in the capital city to achieve our objective, and he's doing
that. So far, coordination between Iraqi and coalition forces has been good -- they
are beginning joint operations to secure the city by chasing down the terrorists, and
insurgents, and the criminals, and the roaming death squads. They're doing what
the Iraqi people want in Baghdad -- they want a peaceful life.”
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UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
IA, 2-7 Cavalry Take Down Insurgent Operation, Uncover Large Weapons Cache:
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• Soldiers from the 2nd Battalion, 4th Brigade, 2nd Iraqi Army (IA) Division and A Co.,
2nd Battalion, 7th Cavalry Regiment raided several buildings in northeast Mosul
February 9 in response to intelligence received about a possible weapons cache.
• Ten suspects were detained in the southern compound, five of which tested positive
for explosive residue. Millions of dinars (worth thousands of dollars in US currency)
were also found in an underground storage room along with over 400 fake
identification cards. One suspect was detained in the northern compound, and a
tunnel gave way to the discovered cache of ordnance and weapons. The weapons
seized at the site included approximately 250,000 rounds of small-arms
ammunition, grenade fuses, dozens of rockets, 100 grenades, over 200 mortar
rounds, more than a dozen rocket launchers, approximately 100 pounds of
Improvised Explosive Device-making material, more than a dozen small arms. All
of the ordnance was turned over to explosive ordnance disposal teams, and the
remaining evidence was processed along with the 11 detainees.
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February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
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Implementing the Baghdad Security:
• Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) and soldiers from Multi-National Division-Baghdad
(MND-B) uncovered 14 weapons caches and detained 140 insurgent suspects in
and around the Iraqi capital during the week of February 3-9.
• With more than 7,400 patrols conducted during the week, the trend of having ISF in
the lead on day-to-day missions continues, according to Brig. Gen. John Campbell,
MND-B deputy commanding general. “Nearly 3,800 of those patrols were
conducted by Iraqi police and Iraqi national police,” Campbell noted. “Clearly, our
Iraqi partners are taking the lead.”
• During the week, 34 operations - at company level or higher - were conducted.
These operations, 20 of them joint and 14 US-led, resulted in the cache finds and
detention of suspected terrorists, Campbell said. He also said that as the
implementation of the new security plan progresses, the focus of operations will
shift throughout Baghdad.
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UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
POLICE
~135,000***
ARMY
~132,800***
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 24,400
AIR FORCE
~900
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~28,900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~134,800**
TOTAL
~188,300**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~323,100****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of February 5, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
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UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government– Developments
Deputy Health Minister Arrested:
D
E • Deputy Health Minister Hakim al-Zamili, the second highest ranking official in the
ministry and a supporter of influential Shia cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, was arrested for
P
allegedly planning the deaths of several of his coworkers, as well as allegedly being
A
personally responsible for the embezzling of millions of dollars of American relief
R
funding and giving the money directly to insurgent groups.
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M Iraqi Budget Approved:
E • The Iraqi parliament has approved a $42 billion budget of 2007, the largest in Iraq's
N
history. Iraq's budget for this year reached record levels as a result of increased oil
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prices.
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UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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T Minister of
M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
(F) = Female
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Hashim al-Shibli
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi
Liwa Sumaysim
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
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Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
(Millions of USD)
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Committed
Apportioned
Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$4,988.66
$4,988.66
$0.00
$4,986.19
$4,986.20
$0.00
$4,718.48
$4,721.36
$2.87
Electricity Sector
$4,239.51
$4,224.34
$4,224.15
($0.18)
$4,080.91
$4,081.68
$0.77
$3,045.97
$3,075.68
$29.72
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,677.11
$1,677.11
$0.00
$1,583.54
$1,583.54
$0.00
$1,327.97
$1,341.68
$13.72
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,303.93
$1,303.93
($0.00)
$1,297.72
$1,297.72
($0.00)
$1,008.53
$1,014.00
$5.47
Democracy
$1,001.85
$1,001.80
$1,001.80
$0.00
$1,001.73
$1,001.73
$0.00
$893.95
$894.28
$0.33
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$401.50
$401.26
$401.26
$0.00
$401.26
$401.26
$0.00
$354.85
$355.27
$0.42
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$331.95
$331.94
($0.00)
$324.59
$324.58
($0.00)
$209.77
$212.39
$2.62
Health Care
$818.90
$817.61
$817.58
($0.03)
$802.11
$802.53
$0.41
$623.93
$629.00
$5.07
Transportation and
Communications
$464.12
$464.09
$464.09
$0.00
$458.28
$458.28
$0.000
$339.67
$341.91
$2.25
$2,131.08
$2,119.78
$2,119.78
($0.00)
$2,048.37
$2,048.37
($0.00)
$1,443.32
$1,456.13
$12.81
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$813.95
$813.95
$0.00
$766.59
$766.61
$0.02
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$213.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$212.45
$212.45
$0.00
$164.24
$164.24
$0.00
$18,448.95
$18,356.94
$18,356.72
($0.22)
$18,011.11
$18,012.29
$1.18
$14,897.28
$14,972.57
$75.29
IRRF II Construction
$10,572.77
$10,572.55
($0.22)
$10,248.78
$10,249.96
$1.19
$8,077.21
$8,142.19
$64.98
IRRF II Non-Construction
$6,782.36
$6,782.36
($0.00)
$6,760.60
$6,760.60
($0.00)
$5,926.12
$5,936.10
$9.98
IRRF II Democracy
$1,001.80
$1,001.80
$0.00
$1,001.73
$1,001.73
$0.00
$893.95
$894.28
$0.33
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,922.25
$20,830.24
$20,830.02
($0.22)
$20,243.41
$20,244.59
$1.18
$17,036.28
$17,111.57
$75.29
As of February 13, 2007
11
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
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Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Actual
7-day Average
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
Daily Load Served (MWh)
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E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
12/16/06
11/16/06
10/17/06
9/17/06
8/18/06
7/19/06
6/19/06
5/20/06
4/20/06
3/21/06
2/19/06
1/20/06
12/21/05
11/21/05
10/22/05
9/22/05
8/23/05
7/24/05
6/24/05
5/25/05
4/25/05
3/26/05
2/24/05
1/25/05
12/26/04
11/26/04
10/27/04
9/27/04
8/28/04
7/29/04
6/29/04
5/30/04
4/30/04
3/31/04
3/1/04
1/31/04
1/1/04
S
Date
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A
T • During the week of February 8-14 electricity availability averaged 6.3 hours per day in Baghdad and
E
8.7 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 12% above the same period in 2005.
12
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services –Water
Water:
D
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•
The USG will conduct a meeting in Amman, Jordan February 24-26 to discuss
development of an integration plan for the grouting equipment for Mosul Dam.
The equipment is being purchased by the USG, Iraqi Ministry of Water
Resources, and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Participants will include the US Army Corps of Engineers, Iraq Reconstruction
and Management Office, the Ministry of Water Resources, and a grouting expert
under contract with the USG.
•
The Hamdan Reverse Osmosis Compact Unit project in Basrah province was
completed January 10. The $521,000 US-Army funded project designed and
built a water treatment plant with a reverse osmosis unit and provides domestic
drinking water to more than 30,000 residents of Hamdan village of Abu alKhaseeb district.
S
T
A
T
E
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UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services –Electricity and Health
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P
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N
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T
A
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Electricity:
•
A USG contractor began work to rehabilitate the existing breakers at the Khan
Bani Saad (KBS) substation February 6. This $1.64 million project will increase
the capacity and reliability of electricity to the KBS prison facility in Diyala
province.
Health:
•
After four attempts, the US Army Corps of Engineers' Gulf Region District-North
(GRD) was able to get medical equipment delivered to the Nahrawan primary
health care center (PHC). GRD is now preparing to turn the facility over to the
Ministry of Health.
•
Sectarian violence in this province has made it difficult to deliver medical
equipment and supplies to the PHC. GRD is working closely with the brigade
combat teams to secure convoy movements so that the delivery trucks will
arrive safely.
14
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending February 9 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $50.89/barrel
– Dated Brent at $57.53/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $58.99/barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $54.87/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis Last Iraqis This
Week
Week
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
`
%
change
Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA)
23,988
22,812
-4.90%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
33,317
33,868
1.65%
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2
4,128
3,973
-3.75%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
12,205
6,396
10,828
6,396
-11.28%
GRAND TOTAL
80,034
77,877
-2.70%
0.00%
CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of February 13
15
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
$90.0
1,500
$80.0
1,450
$70.0
$60.0
1,400
$50.0
$40.0
1,350
NIDExchange Rate
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F
• The following table shows volume sold and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
April. Since September, the Central Bank has begun slowly appreciating the dinar, as suggested by the
IMF, to tackle rampant inflation over the past year. This welcome increase in the dinar's value against the
dollar is reflected in the figure below.
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – February 13, 2006
USDSold (Millions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
$30.0
$20.0
1,300
$10.0
$0.0
1,250
A
A pri
pr l
i 2
A l 12 - 6
p
ri
A l 16 12
p
ri
A l 19 17
pr
il
26 23
M -3
0
a
M y2
ay M 9 8
ay 1
M 2 6
M a 1ay y
2 22
31 4
- 30
J
Ju un
5
n
Ju 6
n -1
Ju 13 2
n -2
25 0
Ju 29
l
Ju 2
l Ju 9 6
l1 -1
3
Ju 6 l 2 20
3
Ju Ju l 3 l 26 25
1 -A 3
0
ug
A
u
g
7
A
u 8g
1
A 1 0
A u 1u g
g 2 22
S 30 3 ep - 2
S 6 Se 9
ep p
S
5
S 13 ep
ep 12
S
21 e
p
S
ep - S 19
ep
2
O 6
25
c
O t 3 Oc
ct t
O 2
O 11 ct
ct 1
19 Oc 0
N - O t 18
o
N v 4 ct
o
2
v -N 9
8
- N ov
o 7
N
v
N o
14
ov v
1
D 29 5 ec - 2
D 6 De 8
ec c
D
D 13 ec 1
ec 1
20 De 2
Ja - c 1
n D 8
Ja 8 ec
n - J 26
Ja 17 an
n - J 16
2
a
Ja 3 - n 2
n Ja 2
Fe 30 n 2
b -F 9
6
e
-F b
eb 5
13
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
J u n e 1 , 2 0 0 6 - F e b ru a ry 9 , 2 0 0 7
$ 7 0 .0 0
1 0 .0 0 %
$ 6 9 .0 0
9 .8 0 %
$ 6 8 .0 0
$ 6 7 .0 0
9 .4 0 %
$ 6 6 .0 0
9 .2 0 %
$ 6 5 .0 0
Yield Percentage
9 .6 0 %
9 .0 0 %
$ 6 4 .0 0
8 .8 0 %
$ 6 3 .0 0
16 ug
-A
u
24 g
-A
ug
1S
11 ep
-S
e
19 p
-S
e
27 p
-S
ep
5O
13 ct
-O
2 3 ct
-O
3 1 ct
-O
c
8- t
N
16 ov
-N
24 ov
-N
ov
4D
12 ec
-D
20 ec
-D
28 ec
-D
ec
5Ja
15 n
-J
a
23 n
-J
a
31 n
-J
an
8Fe
b
ul
A
8-
ul
-J
-J
31
21
l
-J
un
Ju
13
5-
-J
27
n
19
-J
n
Ju
Ju
ul
8 .6 0 %
un
$ 6 2 .0 0
9-
S
T
A
T
E
Ira q i C o m m e rc ia l B o n d S a le s
1-
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to about
two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement at Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was
approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current
yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
GOI passes 2007 budget:
•
On February 8, the GOI passed its 2007 budget. The budget anticipates income of $33.4
billion, of which $31 billion is expected in oil exports. The budget also anticipates
expenditures of $41 billion, including a little over $10 billion for reconstruction programs
and $7.3 billion for security. The GOI will cover the $7.6 billion deficit using unspent
funds from fiscal years 2005 and 2006, currently held in the Development Fund for Iraq.
Banking Technical Assistance:
•
O
F
Following technical assistance and training from the USAID IZDIHAR project, two Iraqi
banks recently created “credit officer” positions that combine a set of professional
responsibilities previously divided among several departments.
•
S
T
A
T
E
The creation of these new positions represents a major shift in the relationship between
bankers and their clients. Individual credit officers will be responsible for building loan
portfolios, analyzing credit risks, recommending credit extensions, overseeing
repayments, and serving as the borrower’s “relationship officer” for the lifetime of the
loan.
•
This is a crucial step in moving towards cash-flow based lending. Through a number of
courses and direct professional assistance, IZDIHAR has equipped credit officers with the
tools required to discharge their new functions.
18
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.80
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.40
2.14
2.17
2.23
2.05
1.99
1.99
2.00
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.72
2.05
1.70
1.60
1.21
1.20
0.80
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
0.40
0.00
December
4-10
December
11-17
December
18-24
December
25-31
January 1- January 87
14
Production
January
15-21
January
22-28
January 29 February 5- February
11
4
Target
• Weekly Average (February 5 – 11) of 2.05 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
19
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
$4.00
$3.50
1.67
1.68
1.68
1.65
1.62
1.60
1.55
1.51
1.44
1.45
$2.50
1.32
1.30
1.20
$2.00
$3.41
$3.02
$2.92
$3.44
$3.03
$1.56
$1.50
$2.73
$2.46
$2.45
$2.25
$2.19
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
$3.00
USD (Billions)
1.80
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.00
$1.89
$0.50
$0.74
0.00
$0.00
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$2.6 Billion
20
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
18%
15%
34%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
49%
60%
40%
82%
85%
66%
51%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of February 5 – 11
• Diesel: 11.8 ML supply of 21.0 ML target
• Kerosene: 6.4 ML supply of 15.5 ML target
• Gasoline: 13.0 ML supply of 22.1 ML target
• LPG: 2,726 tons supply of 5,500 tons target
21
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Dec-06
Feb-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Jan-07
10
O
F
5
S
T
A
T
E
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
CCCI Convicts 14 Insurgents:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
• The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 14 insurgents January 26February 1 for various crimes, including possession of illegal weapons, possessing
fake identification, and illegal border crossing. The trial court found four Iraqi men
guilty of illegal possession of special weapons in violation of Order 3/2003.
• Multi-National Forces-Iraq (MNF-I) were on patrol in the vicinity of Rawah
September 20, 2006 when they spotted a vehicle acting suspiciously. MNF-I
stopped the vehicle with the four defendants and then searched the vehicle, finding
one Improvised Explosive Device (IED), one Berretta 9mm pistol with two full
magazines and det cord. Explosive Ordinance Disposal responded to the scene
and recognized the IED as a “speed-bump style” IED that contained 15-20 pounds
of explosive filler. On January 28, the trial panel sentenced all four men to 15 years
imprisonment.
Iraqi Court Sentences Saddam Aide To Die:
S
T
A
T
E
• On February 12, an Iraqi court raised the sentence against Saddam Hussein's vice
president to death by hanging for the killings of Shiites in the town of Dujail. The
decision had been expected after an appeals court ruled that Taha Yassin
Ramadan's previous sentence of life in prison was too lenient.
• Ramadan is the fourth member of the ousted regime to face capital punishment for
the killings of 148 Shiites after a 1982 attempt on Saddam's life in the mainly Shiite
town of Dujail, north of Baghdad.
23
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
Saudi Embassy in Iraq Reopens:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
•
World Bank Pledges Loan:
•
The Managing Director of the World Bank (WB) said that the international firm is
willing to support the Iraqi government's efforts to restore economic activities in the
war-torn country, the Iraq Director reported.
•
The WB official indicated that the bank has pledged to deliver a $500 million loan
to Iraq in order to boost the economic situation, despite the security conditions. He
added that the bank will improve Iraq's power sector as soon as the government
allows international investments in oil resources.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari reopened his country’s embassy in Saudi
Arabia February 13 after 17 years and said the two countries needed to improve
joint efforts to fight Islamist militants. “This will be an important step in improving
relations between the two countries,” Zebari told a gathering of Saudi officials and
foreign diplomats at the reopening of the embassy, which closed in 1990 after
Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait.
24
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of February 5, 2007
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 15,371 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
25
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Video Shows US Helicopter Crash:
D
E •
P
A
R •
T
M
E
N
T
On February 9, al-Qaida in Iraq posted an Internet video claiming to show the
shooting down of a US army helicopter which fell in Anbar province February 7.
The group has claimed responsibility for the attack.
The US Army has said that seven people, including passengers and crew, were
killed in the crash.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
26
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
Slide 5:
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T
– http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/02/20070215-1.html
Slide 6:
– http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9875&Itemid=21
Slide 7:
–
Press Release – MNC-I: October 29, 2006 – Release 20061029-01 (http://www.mnci.centcom.mil/Releases/MNCI-PR_2006-10-29-01_assumption.pdf)
–
Press Release – MNC-I: October 27, 2006 – Release 20061027-01 (http://www.mnci.centcom.mil/Releases/MNCI-PR_2006-10-27-01_graduates.pdf)
Slide 8:
–
DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report February 14, 2007
Slide 9:
–
http://www.allheadlinenews.com/articles/7006407024
–
http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?StoryId=1093142904
Slide 10:
O
F
–
NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 11:
– IRMO Weekly Report, February 13, 2007
Slide 12:
S
T
A
T
E
–
POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815
–
The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
hours at 5000 MW average supply load. Currently supplies are not much improved over last year when judged by hours of power, but this is due in part to an
influx of new appliances. This has dramatically altered demand and diluted the effect of increased generation capacity on actual results.
Slide 13:
Water
– USACE Daily Update – Feb 12
– USACE Iraq Reconstruction Report – Feb 7
28
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
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E
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M
E
N
T
Slide 14:
Electricity:
– USACE Iraq Reconstruction Report – Feb 7
Health:
– USACE Daily Update – Feb 13
Slide 15:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – February 13, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 16:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 17:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 18:
– http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/02/20070214-2.html
– USAID Izdihar website – Feb 8 - http://www.izdihar-iraq.com/news/stories.html#story115
O
F
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 21:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 20:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 22:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
29
UNCLASSIFIED
February 14, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 23:
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–
http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9813&Itemid=21
–
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/iraq_saddam_s_deputy;_ylt=AjYL_n73oeAq802hhPl2IXVLUd1F
–
http://www.khaleejtimes.com/DisplayArticleNew.asp?xfile=data/focusoniraq/2007/February/focusoniraq_February102.xml&section=focusoniraq
–
http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?StoryId=1093142908
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
AFP, “Al-Qaeda posts video of US chopper in Iraq,” February 9
Slide 24:
Slide 25:
Slide 26:
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F
S
T
A
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E
30
UNCLASSIFIED