March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
March 21, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
1
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
6
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
8
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
10
Services
O
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A
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
13
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
21
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
22
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
25
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
26
27
2
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
Sectarian violence in Baghdad has decreased since the beginning of Fardh alQanun as Coalition forces have moved off of large Forward Operating Bases and
into smaller community-based combat outposts in order to better protect the Iraqi
population.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
Under a $220 million acquisition plan, the Iraqi Navy will soon add 21 vessels to its
fleet, taking it another step closer to operational independence. The navy force
will also expand from its current 1,200 personnel to 2,000-2,500 by 2010.
Additionally, Iraqi naval installations are undergoing $180 million in modernization
and infrastructure improvement efforts to build roads, utilities and barracks, in
addition to the reconstruction of piers to support the incoming vessels.
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Saddam Hussein's former deputy, Taha Yassin Ramadan, was hanged before
dawn March 20, the fourth man to be executed in the killings of 148 Shiites
following a 1982 assassination attempt against Saddam in the town of Dujail.
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
The construction of the US Army-funded CERP5/Saqliwiah float bridge road in
Habbaniyah, al-Anbar province has been completed, providing increased traffic
ability and reliable access to school, work, and other activities for 69,000 local
residents.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
Official Iraqi statistics show an overall price decline of 6.8% from January to February.
Year-on-year prices were up 37.1% (a sharp decline from January’s year-on-year rate of
66.4%). Core inflation (which excludes fuel and transport prices) was down 1.2% in
February, with year-on-year inflation at 23.7%, down from 30.7% in January. It is too
early to say that inflation is under control, but this may be a positive first step.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
The Central Criminal Court of Iraq convicted 23 individuals March 2-10 for violations of
the Iraqi Terrorist Law, Residence Law, Penal Code, and Coalition Provisional Authority
Orders enforced by the Iraqi judiciary.
7. International Support for Iraq
UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon applauded a meeting held in New York regarding the
International Compact with Iraq March 16, claiming it served “to bring the larger
international community together to consider how best to support the people of Iraq
under the Compact” which will “focus on Iraq's long-term economic development, while
also stressing progress in the political and security fields, through a mutually reinforcing
relationship.”
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the
Insurgents
During a television interview March 19, Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki insisted that sectarian
violence in his country had ended and blamed the ongoing violence on al-Qaida, which
he said posed the “biggest threat” to both Iraq and the Middle East.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Fardh al-Qanun Lowers Violence in Northwest Baghdad:
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• Sectarian violence in Baghdad has decreased since the beginning of Fardh al-Qanun, as
Coalition forces have moved off of large Forward Operating Bases and into smaller,
community-based combat outposts in order to better protect the Iraqi population.
• According to Colonel J.B. Burton, the commander of the 2nd Brigade Combat Team,
1st Infantry Division, his Brigade has seen a significant drop in violence over the
past few months in the northwest Baghdad neighborhoods of Shula and Kadhimiya.
• There, murders are down from 141 in January to 63 in February to 16 in March as of
March 18. However, the area has seen an increase in car bombs targeting Shiite
gathering places, as Sunni extremists and terrorists attempt to counter the security
operations and incite sectarian violence.
• Although overall violence has decreased, Colonel Burton stressed that it is still too
early to judge success, and that there are still months of difficult work ahead. As
other commanders have stated, Fardh al-Qanun is a long-term operation that will
require continued patience as security efforts work to enable political solutions.
Troop Surge to Total 28,000:
• The Department of Defense announced March 16 that the total number of U.S. troops
who will be part of the “surge” in Iraq will be about 28,000, adding an additional 7,500
support troops to the initial 21,500, making up five Brigade Combat Teams.
5
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
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Iraq Navy on Its Way to Independence:
• Under a $220 million acquisition plan, the Iraqi Navy will soon add 21 vessels to its
fleet, taking it another step closer to operational independence.
• By 2010, 15 patrol boats, four patrol ships from Italy, and two off-shore support
vessels will be added to the current fleet of fast attack boats and Predatorclass ships.
• The navy force will also expand from its current 1,200 personnel to 2,0002,500 by 2010.
• Iraqi naval installations are also undergoing $180 million in modernization and
infrastructure improvement efforts to build roads, utilities and barracks, in addition to
the reconstruction of piers to support the incoming vessels.
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UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
POLICE
~135,000
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 25,400
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~32,900
TOTAL
~193,300**
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
~134,500***
AIR FORCE
~900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~136,500**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~329,800****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of March 21, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
7
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government Developments
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Saddam's Former Deputy Hanged in Iraq:
• Saddam Hussein's former deputy, Taha Yassin Ramadan, was hanged without
incident before dawn March 20, the fourth man to be executed in the killings of 148
Shiites following a 1982 assassination attempt against Saddam in the town of
Dujail.
Iraqi Prime Minister Makes Historic Visit to al-Anbar:
• Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki traveled to al-Ramadi in a historic meeting with
governmental and tribal leaders March 13. The talks between Maliki and leaders
from throughout al-Anbar took place at the headquarters of the Iraqi Army’s newest
unit, the 7th Iraqi Division and was focused on reconciliation and reconstruction
efforts. Meeting participants included the provincial governor, Ma’moun Sami
Rashid Alwani, his provincial council, and prominent tribal leaders from throughout
al-Anbar.
Vice President Hashemi Calls for Talks with Insurgents:
• Iraqi Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi called for talks with all insurgent groups, with
the exception of al-Qaida March 21, adding that these groups too were a part of the
Iraqi community.
8
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
D
E
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A
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T Minister of
M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
O
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T
A
T
E
Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
(F) = Female
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Hashim al-Shibli
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi
Liwa Sumaysim
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
9
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
(Millions of USD)
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Committed
Apportioned
Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$4,988.67
$4,988.67
$0.00
$4,986.20
$4,986.20
$0.00
$4,723.45
$4,726.87
$3.42
Electricity Sector
$4,239.51
$4,172.88
$4,173.01
$0.14
$4,034.04
$4,034.17
$0.14
$3,122.68
$3,122.71
$0.03
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,672.76
$1,672.76
$0.00
$1,582.78
$1,582.78
$0.00
$1,369.28
$1,369.28
$0.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,303.87
$1,303.90
$0.03
$1,297.66
$1,297.69
$0.03
$1,025.06
$1,029.34
$4.28
Democracy
$1,001.85
$998.59
$999.23
$0.63
$998.51
$999.15
$0.63
$896.25
$913.89
$17.64
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$401.50
$401.15
$401.26
$0.11
$401.15
$401.26
$0.11
$357.23
$357.79
$0.56
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$331.90
$331.94
$0.04
$324.54
$324.58
$0.04
$214.45
$214.45
$0.00
Health Care
$818.90
$814.48
$814.52
$0.03
$800.24
$800.27
$0.03
$635.62
$635.94
$0.32
Transportation and
Communications
$464.12
$456.67
$456.67
$0.00
$450.87
$450.87
$0.00
$344.93
$344.93
$0.00
$2,131.08
$2,112.63
$2,112.68
$0.06
$2,042.78
$2,042.83
$0.06
$1,503.52
$1,503.52
$0.00
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$813.13
$809.25
($3.87)
$813.13
$809.25
($3.87)
$773.80
$783.32
$9.52
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$213.00
$212.45
$210.59
($1.86)
$212.45
$210.59
($1.86)
$185.67
$185.02
($0.65)
$18,448.95
$18,279.17
$18,274.47
($4.70)
$17,944.34
$17,939.65
($4.70)
$15,151.94
$15,187.06
$35.13
IRRF II Construction
$10,503.63
$10,503.82
$0.19
$10,190.62
$10,190.82
$0.19
$8,245.59
$8,245.62
$0.03
IRRF II Non-Construction
$6,776.95
$6,771.43
($5.52)
$6,755.21
$6,749.68
($5.52)
$6,010.11
$6,027.56
$17.45
$998.59
$999.23
$0.63
$998.51
$999.15
$0.63
$896.25
$913.89
$17.64
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
IRRF II Democracy
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,922.25
$20,752.47
$20,747.77
($4.70)
$20,176.64
$20,171.95
($4.70)
$17,290.94
$17,326.06
$35.13
As of March 20, 2007
10
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
O
F
Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Actual
7-day Average
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
160,000
Daily Load Served (MW h)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
12/16/06
11/16/06
10/17/06
9/17/06
8/18/06
7/19/06
6/19/06
5/20/06
4/20/06
3/21/06
2/19/06
1/20/06
12/21/05
11/21/05
10/22/05
11
9/22/05
8/23/05
7/24/05
6/24/05
5/25/05
4/25/05
3/26/05
2/24/05
1/25/05
12/26/04
11/26/04
10/27/04
9/27/04
8/28/04
7/29/04
6/29/04
5/30/04
4/30/04
3/31/04
3/1/04
1/31/04
1/1/04
0
S
T
Date
A
T • During the week of March 5-21 electricity availability averaged 6.0 hours per day in Baghdad and
E
10.9 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 9% below the same period in 2006.
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity and Transportation
Electricity:
D
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P
A
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M
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N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
•
The Bayji to Baghdad West #1 400 KV line remains down, with damage to 19
towers. The Ministry had several crews at the repair sites. The downed line
resulted in limited power transfer from the north to the Baghdad Loop. A small
amount of power is still being transferred from the north on the 132 KV grid, but
more substantial transfers have occurred on only two days since December 27.
•
The Ministry of Electricity reported that the Khur Zubayr to Hartha 400 KV line
tripped offline March 2. The line was reported back in service March 5. On
March 7, the Ministry reported the Bayji to Mosul #2 400 KV line was off due to
unknown reasons. The line was later returned to service.
Transportation:
•
The construction of the US Army-funded CERP5/Saqliwiah float bridge road in
Habbaniyah, al-Anbar province has been completed, providing increased traffic
ability and reliable access to school, work, and other activities for 69,000 local
residents.
12
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending March 16 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $ $55.11/ barrel
– Dated Brent at $60.546/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $57.932/barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $57.548/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis Last Iraqis This
Week
Week
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
`
%
change
Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA)
22,540
22,540
0.00%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
20,219
21,519
6.43%
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2
4,305
4,305
0.00%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
12,592
6,481
9,764
6,481
-22.46%
GRAND TOTAL
66,137
64,609
-2.31%
0.00%
CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of March 20
13
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
S
T
A
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E
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: April 2, 2006 – March 13, 2007
$90.0
1,500
$80.0
$60.0
1,400
$50.0
$40.0
1,350
$30.0
$20.0
NIDExchange Rate
1,450
$70.0
1,300
$10.0
$0.0
A
A pr
p il
A ril 2
p 12 - 6
r
A il 1 - 1
p 6 2
A ril - 1
p 19 7
ri
l2 6 23
M a
M y 30
a
M y 2a 9 8
M M y 2 -1
ay ay 1 6
31 24 - 2
2
- Ju Jun30
Ju n
5
n 6
Ju 13- 1
n - 2
25 20
Ju - 2
Ju l 2 9
Ju l 9 - 6
l Ju 16 13
Ju J l 23 20
l 3ul 1 26 25
- A Au 30
u
A g g7
u 8
A A g1 -1
u u 1 0
g g
S 3 2 -2
S ep 0 - 3 - 2
ep 6 S 2
S 13 - S ep9
ep
- e 5
2 S p1
S 1 - ep 2
ep S 1
e 9
O 26 p
O ct - O 25
ct 3
c
O 11- O t 2
ct - ct
1 O 1
N 9 ct 0
o N v Oc 18
o 4
v - t2
8 N 9
- o
N No No v 7
o v v
D v 2 1 14
e 9 5
D c - ec 6 D 28
D 1 - D ec
ec 3 e 1
c
2 -D 1
Ja 0 ec 2
Ja n D 1
n 8 ec 8
Ja 1 - J 2
n 7 - an 6
2 J
Ja 3 an 16
n F 3 Jan 22
e 0
F b 6 - F 29
eb - e
F 1 Fe b
eb 4 b 5
F 1
F 21 eb 3
eb Fe 2
M 28 b 0
ar 2
7- Ma 7
M r
M ar 6
ar 13
14
-2
0
O
F
• The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
April. Since September, the Central Bank has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in
an effort to rein in galloping inflation. There are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit,
with prices falling 6.8% between January and February.
USDSold (Millions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
1,250
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
14
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
June 1, 2006 - March 20, 2007
10.00%
$70.00
$69.00
9.80%
$68.00
9.60%
$67.00
9.40%
$66.00
9.20%
$65.00
Yield Percentage
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to
approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial
debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’
current yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
9.00%
$64.00
8.80%
$63.00
15-Mar
8-Mar
1-Mar
22-Feb
15-Feb
8-Feb
1-Feb
25-Jan
18-Jan
4-Jan
11-Jan
28-Dec
21-Dec
7-Dec
14-Dec
30-Nov
23-Nov
9-Nov
16-Nov
2-Nov
26-Oct
19-Oct
12-Oct
5-Oct
28-Sep
21-Sep
14-Sep
7-Sep
31-Aug
24-Aug
17-Aug
10-Aug
27-Jul
3-Aug
20-Jul
13-Jul
6-Jul
29-Jun
22-Jun
15-Jun
8.60%
8-Jun
$62.00
1-Jun
S
T
A
T
E
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
15
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
Inflation Statistics Show Progress:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
•
House Resolution Proposed to Prohibit U.S. Investment in Iraqi Oil:
•
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Official Iraqi statistics show an overall price decline of 6.8% from January to
February. Year-on-year prices were up 37.1% (a sharp decline from January’s
year-on-year rate of 66.4%). Core inflation (which excludes fuel and transport
prices) was down 1.2% in February, with year-on-year inflation at 23.7%, down from
30.7% in January. It is too early to say that inflation is under control, but this may be
a positive first step.
House Resolution 508, the Bring the Troops Home and Iraq Sovereignty Restoration
Act, prohibits the entry of USG or U.S. nationals from entering into a contract for the
development, production, or marketing of petroleum resources in Iraq. This
prohibition would expire if the president certifies to Congress that Iraq has passed
and is enforcing an oil law.
Minister of Finance Jabr Meets with Ambassador Speckhard:
•
Minister of Finance Bayan Jabr met with U.S. Ambassador to Baghdad Dan
Speckhard and discussed the bilateral relations between the two countries. They
also discussed the effects of Fardh al-Qanun on the economic situation in Iraq and
how to promote the level of services offered to citizens.
16
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
2.40
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
1.99
2.00
1.72
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
2.14
2.09
2.05
2.13
2.14
1.99
1.70
1.60
1.21
1.20
0.80
0.40
0.00
January 814
January
15-21
January
22-28
January 29 February 5- February
11
4
February
12-18
Production
February
19-25
February March 5-11
26 - March
4
March 1218
Target
• Weekly Average (March 12 – March 18) of 1.99 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
$4.00
$3.50
1.67
1.68
1.68
1.60
1.63
1.62
1.55
1.51
1.44
1.50
1.45
$2.50
1.30
$1.34
1.20
$2.00
$3.41
$3.02
$2.92
$3.44
$3.03
$1.50
$2.73
$2.46
$2.45
$2.19
$2.11
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
$3.00
USD (Billions)
1.80
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.00
$1.89
$1.43
$0.50
0.00
$0.00
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$5.4 Billion
18
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
0%
9%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
49%
48%
51%
52%
Gasoline
LPG
60%
100%
91%
40%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Note: This is a daily average for the week of March 12 – March 18
• Diesel: 5.3 ML supply of 22.6 ML target
• Kerosene: 4.5 ML supply of 10.1 ML target
• Gasoline: 11.2 ML supply of 22.0 ML target
• LPG: 2,473 tons supply of 5,000 tons target
19
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Jan-07
Mar-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Feb-07
10
O
F
5
5
S
T
A
T
E
5
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
20
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
CCCI Convicts 23:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 23 individuals March 2-10 for
violations of the Iraqi Terrorist Law, Residence Law, Penal Code, and Coalition
Provisional Authority (CPA) Orders enforced by the Iraqi judiciary. Crimes included
joining an armed group to unsettle the stability and security of Iraq, possession of
illegal weapons, and the illegal use of legal documents.
• The trial court sentenced an Iraqi man to death for violation of Iraq’s terrorist
law. The convicted man entered the al-Habaiyah police station disguised in an Iraqi
police uniform August 6, 2006. During an entry search, he struggled with Iraqi
police and shot an Iraqi police officer. After being shot in the leg by an Iraqi
policeman, the convicted man was subdued and searched, and Iraqi police
discovered he was wearing a vest full of explosives. The Iraqi police turned him
over to Coalition Forces (CF) for detention until his conviction at CCCI March 6.
• Since its establishment under an amendment to CPA Order 13, in April 2004, the
Central Criminal Court has held 1,942 trials for suspected criminals apprehended by
CF. The Iraqi Court proceedings have resulted in the conviction of 1,681 individuals
with sentences ranging from imprisonment to death.
21
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
UNSG Praises International Compact with Iraq Meeting in New York:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
• UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon applauded a meeting held in New York
regarding the International Compact with Iraq March 16, claiming it served “to bring
the larger international community together to consider how best to support the
people of Iraq under the Compact” which will “focus on Iraq's long-term economic
development, while also stressing progress in the political and security fields,
through a mutually reinforcing relationship.”
• There was almost unanimous support among Preparatory Group members for a
high-level Ministerial launch of the Compact as soon as possible. Of particular
significance, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia reiterated their support for the Compact
process; the Saudis signaled a willingness to move toward Paris Club terms of debt
relief.
Japan Extends Air Mission in Iraq:
S
T
A
T
E
• Japan plans to extend a law allowing its air force to fly support missions to Iraq for
another two years, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said March 20. “We would like to
continue to fulfill our responsibility,” he said. The legislation is expected to pass,
given the ruling coalition's majority in parliament.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
IRFFI Donor Committee Meeting Concludes Successfully:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• The International Reconstruction Fund Facility for Iraq (IRFFI) Donor Committee
Meeting, which was hosted by the government of Turkey, concluded successfully
March 21, with strong resolve from the international donor community, the United
Nations and the World Bank to continue advancing Iraqi leadership on
reconstruction efforts. They reaffirmed their support for IRFFI, which should remain
an important vehicle for donors to support the implementation of the International
Compact with Iraq.
• The next Donor Committee meeting will be held in the fall of this year.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
23
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of March 16, 2007
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 13,205 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
24
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Iraqi Prime Minister Insists Sectarian Violence has Ended:
• During a television interview March 19, Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki insisted that
sectarian violence in his country had ended and blamed the ongoing violence on alQaida, which he said posed the “biggest threat” to both Iraq and the Middle East.
• Maliki said sectarian violence had ended as the result of two factors: national
reconciliation and the ability of the country’s security services in “arresting those
who are provoking the sectarian unrest.”
Islamic Organization Calls for Release of German Hostages:
O
F
• In an interview published March 18, the Islamic Council for Germany called for the
immediate release of two German citizens abducted in Iraq. In a video broadcast,
the president of Germany also called for the release of the abducted citizens, as did
Iraq’s Sunni Vice President, Tariq al-Hashimi.
S
T
A
T
E
• The calls for release follow a video which was shown March 10 by a previously
unknown insurgent group calling itself the “Arrows of Righteousness,” in which the
German hostages were threatened to be killed unless Germany withdrew from
Afghanistan within ten days.
25
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
26
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Slide 5:
– MNF-I Press Release – 18 March 2007 – (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=10687&Itemid=128)
– MNF-I Press Release – 19 March 2007 – (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=10712&Itemid=128)
Slide 6:
–
Slide 7:
–
DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report March 21, 2007
Slide 8:
–
http://www.usmc.mil/marinelink/mcn2000.nsf/0/60C8295E6BEB6BB88525729E003093FB?opendocument
–
http://www.smdailyjournal.com/article_preview.php?id=72446
–
Middle East Online - http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/iraq/?id=20079
Slide 9:
–
O
F
MNF-I Press Release – 20 March 2007 – (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=10736&Itemid=128)
NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 10:
–
IRMO Weekly Report, March 20, 2007
Slide 11:
S
T
A
T
E
–
POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815
–
The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
hours at 5000 MW average supply load. To date, national electricity supply for 2007is only one percent below 2006. Because demand is increasing, however,
the relative decline in national hours of power is much larger: an average of 8.9 hours for January 1-March 14, 2007, compared with an average of 10.5 hours
for the same period in 2006.
27
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
Slide 12:
Electricity:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
– IRMO Weekly Status Report – 13 March 07
– IRMO Weekly Status Report – 13 March 07
Transportation:
– USACE Daily Report – 15 March 07
Slide 13:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – March 20, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 14:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 15:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 16:
– Library of Congress http://thomas.loc.gov/cgi-bin/query/z?c110:H.R.508
– Republic of Iraq Council of Ministers – National Media Center Media Relations Press Release Sunday, March 18, 2007
– Unclassified IIC March 16
Slide 17:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 18:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
28
UNCLASSIFIED
March 21, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 19:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
–
http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=10273&Itemid=21
–
www.un.org
–
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/T126616.htm
–
http://www.uniraq.org/default.asp
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
–
–
AFP, “Sectarian Killing in Iraq has Stopped: Maliki,” March 19
AFP -http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070318/wl_mideast_afp/iraqhostagegermany_070318115413;_ylt=Ah.9xLQ7Htf5V1LjR_cLLPWaOrgF, March 18
Associated Press - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070320/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_german_hostages/
Slide 20:
Slide 21:
Slide 22:
Slide 23:
Slide 24:
O
F
Slide 25:
S
T
A
T
E
29
UNCLASSIFIED