April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Iraq Weekly Status Report April 11, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs US Department of State 1 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Table of Contents D E P A R T M E N T This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars of US government policy for victory in Iraq. SECTION SLIDE Highlights 3 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents 5 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance 6 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic 8 Government 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential 11 Services O F S T A T E 5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy 14 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights 23 7. Increase International Support for Iraq 24 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and 27 Public Isolation of the Insurgents Sources and Contact Information Notes and Source Citations 29 30 2 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Highlights D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents A Coalition spokesman told reporters in Baghdad April 6 that over the past month in the Iraqi capital, Iraqi security and Coalition forces seized more than 300 weapons caches, found and cleared more than 300 improvised explosive devices and detained more than 1,400 suspects. 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance On April 10, Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki rejected demands by the U.S. Congress for a timetable to pull out American troops, saying that withdrawal should be based on the reality on the ground. Maliki also said his government was working to improve security in order to make it possible for U.S. and other foreign troops to leave. 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government On April 11, Iraqi cabinet ministers allied to Muqtada al-Sadr threatened to quit the government to protest the Prime Minister’s lack of support for a timetable for U.S. withdrawal. The threat comes two months into a U.S. effort to pacify Baghdad in order to give Maliki’s government room to function. Sadr’s political committee issued the statement a day after Maliki rejected an immediate U.S. troop withdrawal. 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services The US Army-funded construction of the Bestansur water project in al-Sulaymaniyah province has been completed, providing a major water source for several cities, including but not limited to, Hallabja, Penjwin, and Arbat while serving approximately 200,000 people. 3 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Highlights D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E 5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy Iraqi banking industry leaders and international banking experts gathered in Amman, Jordan April 4-5 for the first Iraqi Banking and Finance Conference. More than 200 delegates attended the two-day conference, organized by the U.S. Agency for International Development through its Izdihar Private Sector Growth and Employment Generation and Economic Governance II projects. 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law The Central Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 41 individuals March 18-21 for violations of the Iraqi Terrorist Law, Penal Code and Coalition Provisional Authority Orders enforced by the Iraqi judiciary. 7. International Support for Iraq The Iraqi government has agreed that Egypt, not Turkey, will host an expanded Iraq Neighbors Ministerial meeting in Sharm el-Shaikh May 4. The Neighbors meeting will follow a May 3 Compact launching ceremony, also in Sharm el-Shaikh. The core Neighbors forum includes Iraq’s six neighbors – Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Turkey, and Bahrain and Egypt. The expanded forum includes representatives from the UN, Arab League, P5, Organization of Islamic Conference, and G8. 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents Muqtada al-Sadr released a statement April 8, urging the Iraqi army and police to stop cooperating with the U.S. and telling his fighters to concentrate on pushing American forces out of Iraq. The statement, which was stamped with his official seal, was distributed in Najaf where – along with Baghdad – hundreds of thousands of protestors demonstrated the following day to mark the fourth anniversary of the fall of Baghdad. 4 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency Progress for Baghdad Security Plan: D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E • A Coalition spokesman told reporters in Baghdad April 6 that over the past month in the Iraqi capital, Iraqi security and Coalition Forces (CF) seized more than 300 weapons caches, found and cleared more than 300 improvised explosive devices and detained more than 1,400 suspects. In addition, more than 5,000 tips from Iraqi citizens last month “contributed to Iraq security and Coalition forces’ ability to conduct these operations,” said U.S. Navy Rear Adm. Mark I. Fox, Communications Division Chief for Strategic Effects, Multi-National Force-Iraq. • Despite the signs of progress, Fox stressed the importance of maintaining a realistic view of Baghdad security, adding that the current levels of violence are unacceptable. Improvised Explosive Device Factory Found: • Iraqi Army (IA) and CF conducted a joint operation April 5 that resulted in the capture of 27 suspected insurgents and bomb-making materials. Troops also found and secured several explosively-formed projectiles in different stages of production and four that were fully assembled. Three insurgents were killed and six wounded during the operation. Two IA troops and one Coalition soldier were wounded. 5 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces D E P A R T M E N T Iraqi Prime Minister Rejects Timetable for U.S. Withdrawal: • On April 10, Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki rejected demands by the U.S. Congress for a timetable to pull out American troops, saying that withdrawal should be based on the reality on the ground. Maliki also said his government was working to improve security in order to make it possible for U.S. and other foreign troops to leave. • Maliki’s comments came during a news conference in Tokyo, where the Prime Minister was visiting. He said that “We see no need for a withdrawal timetable because we are working as fast as we can,” adding that, “We feel what will govern the departure of the multinational forces are the achievements and victories we manage to obtain on the ground and not a timetable.” O F S T A T E 6 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Ministry of Interior Forces COMPONENT TRAINED & EQUIPPED POLICE ~135,000 NATIONAL POLICE ~ 25,400 OTHER MOI FORCES ~32,900 TOTAL ~193,300** Ministry of Defense Forces COMPONENT OPERATIONAL ARMY ~135,700*** AIR FORCE ~900 NAVY ~1,100 TOTAL ~137,700** Total Trained & Equipped ISF: ~331,000**** * Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers ** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers *** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces **** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27 ministries Data as of April 4, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD) 7 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government Developments D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Sadr Ministers Threaten Withdrawal: • On April 11, Iraqi cabinet ministers allied to Muqtada al-Sadr threatened to quit the government to protest the Prime Minister’s lack of support for a timetable for U.S. withdrawal. The threat comes two months into a U.S. effort to pacify Baghdad in order to give Maliki’s government room to function. Sadr’s political committee issued the statement a day after Maliki rejected an immediate U.S. troop withdrawal. Iraq Rally Calls for U.S. Withdrawal: • Tens of thousands of demonstrators responded to a call from Muqtada al-Sadr to commemorate the martyrdom of Ayatollah al-Sadr and to call for the end of the U.S. occupation of Iraq. The protest was centered in the Shia holy city of Najaf and was peaceful. However, Sadr was not in attendance. Relocation of Arabs from Kirkuk Could Trigger Violence: • The Iraqi government will soon begin relocating Arabs who were moved to Kirkuk under an edict by Saddam Hussein to force Kurds out of the disputed northern city. Those who choose to move will receive about $15,000 and a plot of land in their home towns. Kurdish officials will soon accept applications to determine eligibility. 8 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government Developments D E P A R T M E N T Turkey Threatens Sanctions in Iraq: • Turkish leaders raised the threat of political and economic sanctions against Iraq April 10 unless that country curbs ethnic Kurd separatists staging attacks across the border. Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan warned Iraqi Kurds against interfering in southeastern Turkey April 9, where the Kurdish majority is fighting Turkish security forces, saying “the price for them will be very high.” • Erdogan was responding to Massud Barzani, leader of the Kurdish autonomous region in Iraq, who said Iraqi Kurds would retaliate for any Turkish interference in northern Iraq by stirring up trouble in southeastern Turkey. O F S T A T E 9 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government - Iraqi National Unity Government President D E P A R T Minister of M Agriculture E Ya'rub Nathim of N Minister Education T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i O F S T A T E Deputy President Jalal Talabani Deputy President Tariq al-Hashimi ‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi Prime Minister Deputy Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki Deputy Prime Minister Barham Salih (F) = Female Salam al-Zawba’i Minister of Communications Minister of Culture Minister of Defense Minister of Displacement & Migration Minister of Electricity Muhammad Tawfiq Allawi As’ad Kamal Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi Abdul Qadir Muhammed Jasim Abd al-Samad Rahman Sultan Karim Wahid Minister of Environment Minister of Finance Minister of Foreign Affairs Minister of Health Minister of Higher Education Narmin ‘Uthman (F) Bayan Jabr Hoshyar Zebari Ali al-Shammari Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili Minister of Human Rights Minister of Industry & Minerals Minister of Interior Minister of Justice Minister of Housing & Construction Minister of Labor & Social Affairs Wijdan Mikha’il (F) Fawzi al-Hariri Jawad al-Bulani Hashim al-Shibli Bayan Daza’I (F) Mahmud Muhammad Jawad al-Radi Minister of Oil Minister of Planning Minister of Trade Minister of Science & Technology Minister of Municipalities & Public Works Minister of Transportation Husayn alShahristani Ali Baban Abd al-Falah alSudani Ra’id Fahmi Jahid Riyad Ghurayyib Karim Mahdi Salih Minister of Water Resources Minister of Youth & Sports Minister of State for Civil Society Minister of State for National Dialogue Affairs Minister of State for National Security Affairs ‘Abd al-Latif Rashid Jasim Muhammad Ja’far Adil al-Asadi Akram al-Hakim Shirwan al-Waili Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Minister of State for Governorates Affairs Minister of State for Tourism and Antiquities Minister of State for Women’s Affairs Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf al-Hashimi Liwa Sumaysim Fatin Abd al-Rahman Mahmud (F) 10 Minister of State for CoR Affairs Safa al-Safi UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2 Committed Apportioned D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Obligated Disbursed Sector Apportion Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Security and Law Enforcement $5,002.59 $4,978.54 $4,978.54 $0.00 $4,976.66 $4,976.66 $0.00 $4,733.80 $4,734.99 $1.19 Electricity Sector $4,216.87 $4,173.03 $4,173.03 $0.00 $4,034.86 $4,034.86 $0.00 $3,185.34 $3,185.34 $0.00 Oil Infrastructure $1,724.70 $1,664.42 $1,664.42 $0.00 $1,580.47 $1,580.47 $0.00 $1,400.39 $1,400.39 $0.00 Justice, Public Safety and Civil Society $1,303.26 $1,303.17 $1,303.17 $0.00 $1,297.57 $1,297.57 $0.00 $1,037.28 $1,034.68 ($2.60) Democracy $999.26 $998.31 $998.31 $0.00 $998.23 $998.23 $0.00 $920.32 $920.65 $0.33 Education, Refugees, Human Rights, Governance $410.06 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $357.09 $358.16 $1.08 Roads, Bridges and Construction $333.60 $330.66 $330.66 $0.00 $323.30 $323.30 $0.00 $217.13 $217.13 $0.00 Health Care $815.78 $814.30 $814.30 $0.00 $800.27 $800.27 $0.00 $650.34 $650.34 $0.00 Transportation and Communications $456.72 $456.67 $456.67 $0.00 $450.91 $450.91 $0.00 $350.15 $350.15 $0.00 $2,115.79 $2,015.67 $2,015.67 $0.00 $1,966.23 $1,966.23 $0.00 $1,538.52 $1,538.52 $0.00 Private Sector Development $813.95 $809.25 $809.25 $0.00 $809.25 $809.25 $0.00 $780.77 $780.77 $0.00 Admin Expense (USAID, STATE) $213.00 $210.48 $210.48 $0.00 $210.48 $210.48 $0.00 $186.07 $187.47 $1.40 $18,405.59 $18,155.77 $18,155.77 $0.00 $17,849.48 $17,849.48 $0.00 $15,357.19 $15,358.58 $1.40 IRRF II Construction - $10,399.23 $10,399.23 $0.00 $10,114.60 $10,114.60 $0.00 $8,366.39 $8,366.65 $0.26 IRRF II Non-Construction - $6,758.23 $6,758.23 $0.00 $6,736.65 $6,736.65 $0.00 $6,070.48 $6,071.28 $0.80 IRRF II Democracy - $998.31 $998.31 $0.00 $998.23 $998.23 $0.00 $920.32 $920.65 $0.33 IRRF I Total $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $0.00 $2,232.3 $2,232.3 $0.00 $2,139.00 $2,139.0 $0.00 Grand Total IRRF I & II $20,878.89 $20,629.07 $20,629.07 $0.00 $20,081.78 $20,081.78 $0.00 $17,496.19 $17,497.58 $1.40 Water Resources and Sanitation Total As of April 10, 2007 11 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Electricity Overview O F Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004 Actual 7-day Average Estimated Demand 200,000 180,000 160,000 D aily L o ad S erved (M W h ) D E P A R T M E N T 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 3/16/07 12/16/06 9/17/06 6/19/06 3/21/06 12 12/21/05 9/22/05 6/24/05 3/26/05 12/26/04 9/27/04 6/29/04 3/31/04 1/1/04 0 S T Date A T • During the week of April 5-11 electricity availability averaged 6.6 hours per day in Baghdad and E 12.3 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 9% above the same period in 2006. UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Electricity and Water Electricity: D E P A R T M E N T O F • The U.S. Army-funded Samarra lay-down yard project in Salah al-Din province has been completed, providing O&M service and security for stored electrical materials utilized in 11 neighborhoods throughout Samarra, thereby benefiting over 10,000 people. Water: • The U.S. Army-funded construction of the Bestansur water project in alSulaymaniyah province has been completed, providing a major water source for several cities including, but not limited to, Hallabja, Penjwin, and Arbat while serving approximately 200,000 people. S T A T E 13 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job Creation D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Oil Update: • Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending March 16 closed with the following prices: – Basrah Light at $62.023/ barrel – Dated Brent at $68.595/barrel – WTI Cushing at $64.810/ barrel – Oman/Dubai at $63.328/barrel Employment Update: Iraqi Employment Per Organization Iraqis Last Week Iraqis This Week Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA) 21,309 21,861 2.59% US Agency for International Development (USAID) 27,622 22,647 -18.01% Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2 4,015 4,258 6.05% Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I) 11,975 10,899 -8.99% Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction 6,484 6,484 0.00% GRAND TOTAL 71,405 66,149 -7.36% Program % change CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only. Data as of April 10 14 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction: S T A T E Central Bank of Iraq USD Currency Auction: May 2, 2006 – April 8, 2007 $90.0 1,500 $80.0 $60.0 1,400 $50.0 $40.0 1,350 $30.0 $20.0 NIDExchangeRate 1,450 $70.0 1,300 $10.0 $0.0 M a M y a 2 M y ay 9 8 M M 21 16 ay ay 31 24 22 - -3 Ju Jun0 n 5 Ju n 6Ju 13 12 n 25 20 Ju - 2 9 Ju l 2 Ju l 9 - 6 l Ju 16 13 l Ju J 23 20 l 3ul - 2 1 26 5 - A 3 A u 0 g u A g u 8 7 g A A 1 1 u u 1 0 g g S 30 23 22 ep S ep 6 - S- 2 e 9 S 13 - S p ep 5 e - p 21 S 1 e p 2 S ep - S 1 ep 9 2 O 6 2 c O t3 -O 5 ct - c O 11 O t 2 ct - ct 1 O 1 N 9 - ct 0 o N v Oc 18 o 4 v - t2 8 N 9 - ov N No No 7 o v v v D 2 15 14 e 9 D c - -2 ec 6 D 8 - e D 13 D c 1 e ec - c 2 D 1 Ja 0 ec 2 Ja n 8 De 18 n - c Ja 17 Ja 26 n - n 2 J 1 Ja 3 - an 6 n J 22 F 30 an e F b 6 - F 29 eb - e b F 14 Fe 5 eb - b F 1 F 21- eb 3 eb F 2 e 0 M 28 b ar - M 27 7- a M r6 M ar M ar 13 a 22r 1 M - 4 ar M -2 a 0 A 28 r 2 p -A 7 r 3- pr A 2 p r 8 O F • The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since September, the Central Bank has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in an effort to rein in galloping inflation. There are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit, with prices falling 6.8% between January and February. USDSold(Millions) D E P A R T M E N T US $ Sold (Weekly Avg) 1,250 The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD) 15 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market: Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales June 1, 2006 - April 6, 2007 $70.00 10.00% $69.00 9.80% $68.00 9.60% $67.00 9.40% $66.00 9.20% $65.00 Yield Percentage O F • The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments. Bond Price in USD D E P A R T M E N T 9.00% 8.80% $63.00 9- Ju 19 n -J u 27 n -J un 5Ju 13 l -J u 21 l -J u 31 l -J u 8- l Au 16 g -A u 24 g -A ug 1Se 11 p -S e 19 p -S e 27 p -S ep 5O c 13 t -O 23 ct -O 31 ct -O c 8- t N o 16 v -N 24 ov -N o 4- v D 12 ec -D 20 ec -D 28 ec -D ec 5Ja 15 n -J a 23 n -J a 31 n -J an 8Fe 16 b -F e 26 b -F eb 6M 14 ar -M 22 ar -M 30 ar -M ar 8.60% Ju n $62.00 1- S T A T E $64.00 Trading High = $73.98 (January 24) Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30) 16 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E USAID-Sponsored Conference Focuses on Future of Iraqi Banking Industry: • Iraqi banking industry leaders and international banking experts gathered in Amman, Jordan April 4-5 for the first Iraqi Banking and Finance Conference, Banking in Iraq: The 21st Century Challenge. More than 200 delegates attended the two-day conference, organized by the U.S. Agency for International Development through its Izdihar Private Sector Growth and Employment Generation and Economic Governance II projects. KRG General Command Readying Peshmerga Compensation and Budget Reform: • On April 7, Salah al-Din Kurdistan Satellite TV reported that the General Command of the Kurdistan Security Force approved bills to adjust Peshmerga service years, pension, disability, and bonuses for submission to the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) and Parliament. The Command also approved formation of a negotiating committee for the incorporation of the Peshmerga budget into the GOI Ministry of Defense budget, an unresolved issue during the 2007 budget formulation process. 17 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events D E P A R T M E N T Budget Execution: • At an April 5 Budget Execution Meeting that included half a dozen ministers, senior Ministry of Finance staff and dozens of senior officials from other ministries, Finance Minister Bayan Jabr announced his willingness to immediately release to each spending units their entire budget allocation. O F S T A T E 18 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production O F S T A T E 2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD 2.40 2.14 Millions of Barrels Per Day D E P A R T M E N T 2.13 2.14 2.09 2.09 2.06 2.05 2.00 2.06 1.99 1.99 1.60 January 29 February 511 - February 4 February 12-18 February 19-25 February March 5-11 26 - March 4 Production March 1218 March 1925 March 26 April 1 April 2-8 Target • Weekly Average (April 2– April 9) of 2.06 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD) 19 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export Revenue (US$B) O F Exports (MBPD) 2.40 $4.00 $3.50 1.67 1.68 1.68 $3.00 1.62 1.58 1.55 1.51 1.44 1.48 $2.50 1.30 1.20 $2.00 $3.41 $2.92 $3.44 $2.19 $3.03 $1.50 $2.75 $2.73 $2.46 $2.45 $2.19 $2.11 0.60 S T A T E 1.50 1.45 USD (Billions) 1.80 Millions of Barrels per Day D E P A R T M E N T Projected $1.00 $1.89 $0.50 $0.55 0.00 $0.00 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 • 2006 Revenue Estimate: $31.3 Billion • 2007 Revenue Estimate: $6.8 Billion 20 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 (Year to Date) UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product Supplies O F Domestic Production Import 100% 8% 6% 80% Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies D E P A R T M E N T 45% 43% 55% 57% Gasoline LPG 60% 92% 94% 40% 20% S T A T E 0% Diesel Kerosene Note: This is a daily average for the week of April 2 – April 10 • Diesel: 14.827 ML supply of 22.6 ML target • Kerosene: 4.824 supply of 10.1 ML target • Gasoline: 15.5 ML supply of 22.0 ML target • LPG: 2,911 tons supply of 5,000 tons target 21 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels Feb-07 Apr-07 Goal 25 20 15 Days D E P A R T M E N T Mar-07 10 8 O F 5 5 S T A T E 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 0 Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG • The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages. 22 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights– Iraqi Judicial System D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E CCCI Convicts 41: • The Central Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 41 individuals March 18-21 for violations of the Iraqi Terrorist Law, Penal Code and Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) Orders enforced by the Iraqi judiciary. • The trial court sentenced one individual to death March 27 after being found guilty of violation of Iraq’s Terrorist Law. After receiving information that the Iraqi man was the leader of an al-Qaida linked cell, Multi-National Forces (MNF) searched the individual’s home and found a decapitated head and Improvised Explosive Device components. • CCCI sentenced two individuals to life imprisonment March 28 after being found guilty of violation of Article 194 of the Iraqi Penal Code. The individuals were apprehended in Mosul September 3, 2004 after MNF spotted them firing mortars towards Camp Freedom. • Since its establishment under an amendment to CPA Order 13, in April 2004, the Central Criminal Court has held 1,993 trials for suspected criminals apprehended by Coalition forces. The Iraqi Court proceedings have resulted in the conviction of 1,747 individuals with sentences ranging from imprisonment to death. 23 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Japan Lends $850 Million to Restore Iraq’s Oil Sector: • Japan has agreed to lend $850 million to Iraq in order to help increase oil output, as well as build an oil facility connecting pipelines in Basrah, fund fertilizer and oil refinery plants, and help improve electricity distribution. UK Will Continue Operations in the Persian Gulf: • A senior British government official said April 9 that his country would resume boarding cargo vessels in the Persian Gulf to check for smuggled goods, despite the recent standoff with Iran that saw a Royal Navy team held captive for 13 days. Egypt Plans Regional Conference on Iraq: • The Iraqi government has agreed that Egypt, not Turkey, will host an expanded Iraq Neighbors Ministerial meeting in Sharm el-Shaikh May 4. The Neighbors meeting will follow a May 3 Compact launching ceremony, also in Sharm el-Shaikh. The core Neighbors forum includes Iraq’s six neighbors – Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Turkey, and Bahrain and Egypt. The expanded forum includes representatives from the UN, Arab League, P5, Organization of Islamic Conference, and G8. 24 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments D E P A R T M E N T Iraqi Prime Minister Visits South Korea: • Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki began a visit to South Korea April 11 and said he wants to learn from the country’s fast rise as an economic power. Maliki is scheduled to hold a summit with South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun April 12. Their meeting is expected to center on expanding cooperation in various sectors, including natural resources, electricity and construction. O F S T A T E 25 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi Stability Operations Data as of March 30, 2007 D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E 25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US) Albania Denmark Lithuania Slovakia Armenia El Salvador Macedonia South Korea Australia Estonia Moldova Ukraine Azerbaijan Georgia Mongolia UK Bosnia-Herzegovina Japan Poland Bulgaria Kazakhstan Romania Czech Republic Latvia Singapore TOTAL ~ 13,172 Forces *Note: Fiji participating as a part of the UN mission in Iraq. 34 Countries and NATO* (including US) Support Iraqi Stability Operations *34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey 26 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments Sadr Makes Statement Calling on Iraqis to End Cooperation with the U.S.: D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E • Muqtada al-Sadr released a statement April 8, urging the Iraqi army and police to stop cooperating with the U.S. and telling his fighters to concentrate on pushing American forces out of Iraq. The statement, which was stamped with his official seal, was distributed in Najaf where – along with Baghdad – hundreds of thousands of protestors demonstrated the following day to mark the fourth anniversary of the fall of Baghdad. • The demonstration in Najaf was ordered by Sadr, who was not present and is believed to currently be residing in Iran; though his followers still maintain he is inside Iraq. Wanted Member of Saddam Regime Appears on Television: • A wanted member of Saddam Hussein’s regime, Republican Guards chief Saif alDin Fulayh Hassan Taha al-Rawi, was shown on al-Jazeera television in a video recording broadcast April 8. He was shown accusing U.S. forces of using neutron and phosphorous bombs during their assault on Baghdad airport ahead of the capture of the Iraqi capital. • Rawi, who was number 14 on the U.S. most wanted list, carries a one million dollar U.S. bounty on his head. 27 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments D E P A R T M E N T Iraqi Journalist Killed: • A senior Iraqi journalist was killed April 5 when a suicide truck bomb exploded outside the Baghdad TV headquarters. Deputy Bureau Chief Thair Ahmad Jabr was killed, while another 12 employees were wounded. O F S T A T E 28 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Iraq Weekly Status – General Information D E P A R T M E N T • This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the following pages. • Please forward all questions and/or comments to: NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov O F S T A T E 29 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3) Slide 5: D E P A R T M E N T – – The Advisor, “Admiral Outlines Progress of Security Operation in Baghdad,” April 7 The Advisor, “Operation Nets 27 Insurgents and IED Factory,” April 7 Slide 6: – Middle East Online, “Iraqi PM Rejects US Troop Withdrawal Timetable,” April 10 Slide 7: – DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report April 11, 2007 Slide 8: – Associated Press - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070411/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_shiites;_ylt=As2tnyzf6CJfNzoUdBo.Em8LewgF – http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/10/world/middleeast/10iraq.html?ref=middleeast – http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/IRIN/86484793fa93a4b2bd31aa7c73856463.htm Slide 9: – O F Slide 10: – S T A T E Associated Press - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070410/ap_on_re_mi_ea/turkey_iraq_kurds;_ylt=Aov2zwx4EMY8p.nPNgGao1ALewgF NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov Slide 11: – IRMO Weekly Report, April 10, 2007 Slide 12: – POC Bob Means (202) 647-9815 – The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load. To date, national electricity supply for 2007is only one percent below 2006. Because demand is increasing, however, the relative decline in national hours of power is much larger: an average of 8.9 hours for January 1-March 14, 2007, compared with an average of 10.5 hours for the same period in 2006. 30 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3) D E P A R T M E N T O F Slide 13: Electricity: – USACE Daily Report – 4 April 07 Water: – USACE Daily Report – 9 April 07 Slide 14: – Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg Employment Update: – Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – April 11, 2007. – CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0. – PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis. Slide 15: – Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org Slide 16: – Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg Slide 17: – http://www.portaliraq.com/news/USAID-sponsored+conference+focuses+on+future+of+Iraqi+banking+industry__1112530.html – I-Econ IIC April 5 Slide 18: – I-Econ IIC April 5 S T A T E Slide 19: – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 Slide 20: – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 31 UNCLASSIFIED April 11, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3) Slide 21: D E P A R T M E N T – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 – MNF-I Press Release, Detainees released following CRRB review, http://www.mnf-iraq.com/Releases/Mar/060308f.html Slide 22: Slide 23: Slide 24: – http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6541475.stm – http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/IRIN/86484793fa93a4b2bd31aa7c73856463.htm – http://www.aina.org/news/20070408120221.htm – Associated Press - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070411/ap_on_re_mi_ea/skorea_iraq – DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly – The Associated Press, “Radical Cleric Calls for Iraqis to End Cooperation with the U.S., Push Americans Out,” April 8//Associated Press http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070409/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq – AFP, “Iraq Most Wanted Surfaces on Al-Jazeera,” April 8 – AFP, “Top Journalist Killed in Iraq TV Bombing,” April 5 Slide 25: Slide 26: O F S T A T E Slide 27: Slide 28: 32 UNCLASSIFIED