Iraq Weekly Status Report April 18, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs

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April 18, 2007
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
April 18, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
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April 18, 2007
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Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
6
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
8
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
10
Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
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6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
22
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
23
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
25
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
27
28
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April 18, 2007
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Highlights
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1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
A suicide bomber blew himself up in the Iraqi Council of Representatives inside
Baghdad’s Green Zone April 12, killing Mohammed Awadh, a member of the
National Dialogue Front. In an Internet statement posted April 13, Al-Qaida in Iraq
(AQI) “the Islamic State of Iraq” claimed responsibility for the attack. Iraqi officials
said the bomber was believed to have been a bodyguard for a Sunni lawmaker.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
British forces handed over security of the southern Iraq province of Maysan April
18. With the handover of Maysan, the third of the four provinces that Britain took
charge of after the 2003 invasion, three of the four provinces in the British area are
now under Provincial Iraqi control.
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3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
After the April 12 bombing of the CoR cafeteria, Iraq’s parliament met in an
extraordinary session April 13, the Muslim day of prayer, and declared it would not
bow to terrorism. Parliamentarians and other top Iraqi officials attended.
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4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
The U.S. Army-funded construction of the ED-603 Samarra power distribution laydown yard in Salah al-Din province has been completed, providing convenient,
safe, storage and control of electrical equipment that will be used on projects in the
city of Samarra.
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April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
The Department of Defense (DoD) received authorization to enter into “607 agreements”
with the Government of Iraq (GOI). DoD is authorized to furnish commodities and
services to be reimbursed with Iraqi government funds for the benefit of GOI ministries,
as provided by the authority of the U.S. Foreign Assistance Act, Section 607.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
In the past month, U.S. and Iraqi forces have detained 1,000 suspects as a result of
Operation Fardh al-Qanun, bringing the number of detainees jailed in U.S.-run facilities
to 18,000. Of the estimated 2,000 formerly U.S.-held Iraqi detainees turned over to the
Iraqi Central Criminal Court, 1,747 have been convicted, 80% of whom received
sentences ranging from upwards of five years to the death penalty.
7. International Support for Iraq
Media reports said that Saudi Arabia has agreed to forgive 80% of the more than $15
billion that Iraq owes the kingdom. Iraqi Foreign Minister Bayan Jabr, who was in
Washington for World Bank meetings, said in an interview that Russia was holding out
on debt forgiveness until talks begin on concessions that Russian oil and gas companies
had under Saddam Hussein.
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the
Insurgents
In a statement from Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki’s office, the Prime Minister welcomed the
decision of Muqtada al-Sadr to have ministers from his party resign from the
government, saying it freed up seats at the cabinet table for technocratic ministers.
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April 18, 2007
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[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Attack Inside Green Zone Kills Iraqi Lawmaker:
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• A suicide bomber blew himself up at the Iraqi Parliament inside Baghdad’s Green
Zone April 12, killing Mohammed Awadh, a member of the National Dialogue Front.
In an Internet statement posted April 13, Al-Qaida in Iraq affiliated the “Islamic State
of Iraq” claimed responsibility for the attack.
• During a rare session of Iraq’s parliament on a Friday, April 13, the Muslim day of
prayer, lawmakers expressed outrage and resolve concerning the attack.
Parliamentarians and other Iraqi government officials joined in the session.
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April 18, 2007
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[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
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General Caldwell Says Protests Are Symbols of Political Freedom:
• Speaking in Baghdad April 11, Multi-National Forces-Iraq spokesman Major
General William Caldwell said that recent organized protests in Iraq serve as
symbols of new political freedom which were previously suppressed by Saddam
Hussein.
• Caldwell also said that recent progress has been aided by Operation Fardh alQanun and that increased contact between Iraqi Security Forces and citizens builds
confidence in the rule of law, as well as demonstrating to Iraqis that militias and
outlaws are not the solution for long-term security.
Defense Secretary In Middle East to Garner Support for Iraq:
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• Defense Secretary Robert Gates is in the Middle East in an effort to urge leaders to
back Iraq’s government and to put aside their doubts concerning Prime Minister
Maliki’s ability to end sectarian violence. Gates arrived in Amman April 16 to hold
talks with King Abdullah II.
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April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
POLICE
~135,000
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 25,400
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~32,900
TOTAL
~193,300**
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
~137,800***
AIR FORCE
~900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~139,800**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~333,100****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of April 18, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
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April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government Developments
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Iraqi Parliament Meets Following Suicide Bombing:
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Sadr Ministers Quit Iraq Government:
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After the April 12 bombing of the CoR cafeteria, Iraq’s parliament met in an
extraordinary session April 13, the Muslim day of prayer, and declared it would not
bow to terrorism. Parliamentarians and other top Iraqi officials attended.
Cabinet ministers loyal to Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr announced they were
resigning April 16 to protest Prime Minister Maliki’s refusal to set a timetable for an
American withdrawal. Prime Minister Maliki welcomed the announcement, saying
that he would soon name independent technocrat ministers to replace the six
ministers loyal to Sadr who quit. Senior Shi'ite lawmaker Haider al-Ibadi said
earlier that Maliki would present the candidates for the posts, which include the
health and transport ministries, to parliament by next week.
Draft Oil Law to be Presented to CoR Soon:
•
The Iraqi Oil Ministry spokesman said April 18 that Iraq’s draft oil law is to be sent
to parliament “within the coming few days if everything goes well.” “The draft is
with the State Shura Council now to be put in a legal form after being written in
technical language,” Assem Jihad told The Associated Press in a phone interview.
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UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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T Minister of
M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim*
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
* Possible resignation
announced but not
confirmed
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
(F) = Female
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari*
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Safa al SAfi (acting)
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih*
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi*
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi*
Liwa Sumaysim8
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
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Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
Committed
Apportioned
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Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$4,978.54
$4,978.54
$0.00
$4,976.66
$4,976.66
$0.00
$4,734.99
$4,746.75
$11.76
Electricity Sector
$4,216.87
$4,173.03
$4,173.03
$0.00
$4,034.86
$4,034.86
$0.00
$3,185.34
$3,185.34
$0.00
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,664.42
$1,664.42
$0.00
$1,580.47
$1,580.47
$0.00
$1,400.39
$1,400.39
$0.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,303.26
$1,303.17
$1,303.17
$0.00
$1,297.57
$1,297.57
$0.00
$1,034.68
$1,035.65
$0.97
Democracy
$999.26
$998.31
$998.31
$0.00
$998.23
$998.23
$0.00
$920.65
$920.67
$0.02
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$410.06
$401.26
$401.26
$0.00
$401.26
$401.26
$0.00
$358.16
$358.18
$0.01
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$330.66
$330.66
$0.00
$323.30
$323.30
$0.00
$217.13
$217.13
$0.00
Health Care
$815.78
$814.30
$814.30
$0.00
$800.27
$800.27
$0.00
$650.34
$650.34
$0.00
Transportation and
Communications
$456.72
$456.67
$456.67
$0.00
$450.91
$450.91
$0.00
$350.15
$350.15
$0.00
$2,115.79
$2,015.67
$2,015.67
$0.00
$1,966.23
$1,966.23
$0.00
$1,538.52
$1,538.52
$0.00
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$809.25
$809.25
$0.00
$809.25
$809.25
$0.00
$780.77
$780.77
$0.00
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$213.00
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$187.47
$188.06
$0.59
$18,405.59
$18,155.77
$18,155.77
$0.00
$17,849.48
$17,849.48
$0.00
$15,358.58
$15,371.94
$13.36
IRRF II Construction
-
$10,399.23
$10,399.23
$0.00
$10,114.60
$10,114.60
$0.00
$8,366.65
$8,369.24
$2.59
IRRF II Non-Construction
-
$6,758.23
$6,758.23
$0.00
$6,736.65
$6,736.65
$0.00
$6,071.28
$6,082.03
$10.76
IRRF II Democracy
-
$998.31
$998.31
$0.00
$998.23
$998.23
$0.00
$920.65
$920.67
$0.02
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,878.89
$20,629.07
$20,629.07
$0.00
$20,081.78
$20,081.78
$0.00
$17,497.58
$17,510.94
$13.36
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
As of April 17, 2007
10
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April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
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Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Daily Supply
7-Day Average Supply
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
3/16/07
12/16/06
9/17/06
6/19/06
3/21/06
11
12/21/05
9/22/05
6/24/05
3/26/05
12/26/04
9/27/04
6/29/04
3/31/04
1/1/04
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Date
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T • During the week of April 12-18 electricity availability averaged 4.7 hours per day in Baghdad and
E
11.0 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 1% above the same period in 2006.
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity and Health
Electricity:
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The U.S. Army-funded 11kv electrical overhead feeder lines from the alMadinaa to Sadeyah substation in Diyala province have been completed,
providing direct and reliable power to the homes of 8,000 local residents.
•
The U.S. Army-funded ED-603 Samarra power distribution lay-down yard in
Salah al-Din province has been completed, providing convenient and safe
storage and control of electrical equipment that will be used on projects in the
city of Samarra.
Health:
•
The U.S. Army-funded PHC-A NA05 punch list work in al-Nahrawan, Ninewa
province has been completed, providing a healthcare facility that will include a
pharmacy, exam rooms, dental care, and other emergency services for its local
residents.
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April 18, 2007
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[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending April 16 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $61.768/ barrel
– Dated Brent at $67.975/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $62.578/ barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $63.88/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis
Las t
We e k
Iraqis
This
We e k
%
change
Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA )
21,861
21,861
0.00%
US A gency f or International Development (USA ID)
22,647
32,495
43.48%
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP) 2
4,258
4,258
0.00%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
10,899
10,744
-1.42%
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
6,484
6,484
0.00%
GRAND TOTAL
6 6 ,14 9
7 5 ,8 4 2
14 .6 5 %
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
Program
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CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of April 17
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April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
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Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: June 6, 2006 – April 16, 2007
$90.0
1,500
$80.0
$60.0
1,400
$50.0
$40.0
1,350
$30.0
$20.0
NIDExchangeRate
1,450
$70.0
1,300
$10.0
$0.0
Ju
Ju n 6
n Ju 13 12
n -2
25 0
Ju 29
Ju l 2
l Ju 9 6
l1 -1
Ju 6 3
l -2
Ju Ju 23 0
l3 l2 -2
1 6 5
- A 30
u
A
g
u
7
A g
u 8
g 1
A Au 11 0
u g g
2
S 30 23 2
ep - 2
S
ep 6 Se 9
p
S 13 Se 5
ep - p
21 Se 12
p
S
ep - S 19
ep
O 26
25
c O t3 O
ct - ct
O 2
O 11 c
ct - t 1
1 Oc 0
N 9- t 1
o
O 8
N v 4 ct
o
2
v 8 No 9
N v7
N No ov
o v
14
v
D 29 15
ec - D 6 D 28
ec - e
c
D 13 De 1
ec - c
2 De 12
Ja 0 - c
D 1
Ja n 8 ec 8
n J 2
Ja 17 an 6
n -J 1
2
a 6
Ja 3 - n 2
n Ja 2
F 30 n
eb - 2
9
F 6 Fe
eb Fe b 5
F 14 b
eb 1
2 Fe 3
F 1- b
eb F 2
e 0
M 28- b 2
ar M 7
7- ar
M 6
M M ar
ar a
13
2 r1
M 2-M
4ar
a 20
2 r
A 8- 27
A pr Ap
p 3
r - r2
10 A
- pr
A 8
p
r
16
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• The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
April. Since September, the Central Bank has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in
an effort to rein in galloping inflation. There are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit,
with prices falling 6.8% between January and February.
USDSold(Millions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
1,250
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
14
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
June 1, 2006 - April 11, 2007
$70.00
10.00%
$69.00
9.80%
$68.00
9.60%
$67.00
9.40%
$66.00
9.20%
$65.00
Yield Percentage
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• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to
approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial
debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’
current yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
9.00%
8.80%
$63.00
8.60%
9-
Ju
n
Ju
19 n
-J
u
27 n
-J
un
5Ju
13 l
-J
u
21 l
-J
u
31 l
-J
u
8- l
A
1 6 ug
-A
2 4 ug
-A
u
1- g
Se
11 p
-S
19 ep
-S
27 ep
-S
e
5- p
Oc
13 t
-O
23 ct
-O
31 ct
-O
c
8- t
No
16 v
-N
24 ov
-N
o
4- v
De
12 c
-D
20 ec
-D
28 ec
-D
e
5- c
Ja
15 n
-J
a
23 n
-J
a
31 n
-J
an
8Fe
16 b
-F
26 eb
-F
e
6- b
M
14 a r
-M
22 ar
-M
30 ar
-M
a
9- r
Ap
r
$62.00
1-
S
T
A
T
E
$64.00
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
15
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
Deputy Secretary Authorizes 607 Agreements:
D
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M
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N
T
•
Progress for Iraqi Debt Reduction in Run-up to Compact Signing:
•
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
The Department of Defense (DoD) received authorization to enter into “607
agreements” with the Government of Iraq (GOI). DoD is authorized to furnish
commodities and services to be reimbursed with Iraqi funds for the benefit of GOI
ministries, as provided by the authority of the U.S. Foreign Assistance Act, Section
607.
Saudi Arabia has agreed to forgive 80% (in line with the Paris Club) of the more
than $15 billion that Iraq owes the kingdom. Iraqi Foreign Minister Bayan Jabr said
during an interview that Russia was holding out on debt forgiveness until talks begin
on concessions that Russian oil and gas companies had under Saddam Hussein.
Jabr said China agreed to cancel $4 billion in debt and Egypt to cancel $250 million.
Talks continue over nearly $10 billion owed in total to Kuwait, the United Arab
Emirates, and Qatar.
Karbala Government Vague About Allocation of 2007 Budget:
•
The Supervising Committee on Regional Projects officially announced how the
Karbala Provincial Government will allocate its 2007 reconstruction budget. The
government will distribute its 90 billion Dinar budget over 150 projects. The
Committee did not specify the nature or scope of these projects, however.
16
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
D
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Shell Signs Contract with Kurdistan:
•
A spokesman for Shell stated that, after 35 years, the company is ready to return to
Iraq. The Anglo-Dutch company is close to making a partnership with Turkey’s
TPAO to build a gas line and reestablish gas output in northern Kurdistan.
•
Shell’s spokesman also stated that the pipeline will lay from the Turkish port of
Ceyhan to an oil field in Kirkuk, and that the company is committed to building a
domestic energy infrastructure to strengthen Iraq’s domestic power generation.
•
The Kurdish Minister of Oil announced that by the end of 2007, the ministry aims to
give ten exploration and production licenses for the district. A senior exploration
executive for Shell stated that company members have met with Iraqi officials to talk
about the development of Iraq’s gas and oil industries.
S
T
A
T
E
17
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.40
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.14
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
2.13
2.14
2.13
2.09
2.09
2.06
2.05
2.06
1.99
2.00
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
1.60
February 511
February
12-18
February
19-25
February March 5-11 March 1218
26 - March
4
Production
March 1925
March 26 April 1
April 2-8
April 9-15
Target
• Weekly Average (April 9 – April 15) of 2.13 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
18
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
Exports (MBPD)
$4.00
2.40
$3.50
1.67
1.68
1.68
$3.00
1.62
1.58
1.55
1.51
1.44
1.39
$2.50
1.30
$2.00
1.20
$1.45
$3.41
$2.92
$3.44
$3.03
$1.50
$2.75
$2.73
$2.46
$2.45
$2.19
$2.11
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
1.50
1.45
USD (Billions)
1.80
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.00
$1.89
$1.11
0.00
$0.50
$0.00
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$7.9 Billion
19
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
0%
18%
35%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
41%
60%
100%
40%
82%
65%
59%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of April 9 – April 16
• Diesel: 12.9 ML supply of 22.6 ML target
• Kerosene: 5.3 supply of 10.1 ML target
• Gasoline: 12.1 ML supply of 22.0 ML target
• LPG: 2,373 tons supply of 5,000 tons target
20
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Feb-07
Apr-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Mar-07
10
O
F
5
5
S
T
A
T
E
4
4
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
21
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
Security Plan Brings Increased Number of Detainees:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• In the past month, U.S. and Iraqi forces have detained 1,000 suspects as a result of
Operation Fardh al-Qanun, bringing the number of detainees jailed in U.S.-run
facilities to 18,000. Of the estimated 2,000 formerly U.S.-held Iraqi detainees
turned over to the Iraqi Central Criminal Court, 1,747 have been convicted, 80% of
whom received sentences ranging from upwards of five years to the death penalty.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
22
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Debt Forgiveness Updates:
• Saudi Arabia has agreed to forgive 80% of the more than $15 billion that Iraq owes
the kingdom. Iraqi Foreign Minister Bayan Jabr said in an interview that Russia was
holding out on debt forgiveness until talks begin on concessions that Russian oil
and gas companies had under Saddam Hussein. Jabr said China agreed to cancel
$4 billion in debt and Egypt to cancel $250 million. Talks continue over nearly $10
billion owed in total to Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar.
South Korea signs MOU with Iraq on Oil Field Development:
• Oil ministers from Iraq and Korea signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)
that could help South Korean companies secure a bigger stake in oil and gas fields
in Iraq.
• Iraq currently supplies 15.4 million barrels of crude per year to South Korea, which
is less than 2% of South Korea’s total crude imports.
UN Holds Conference to Confront Iraqi Refugee Crisis:
• The UN refugee agency convened a two-day conference April 17 involving more
than 60 nations focused on the deepening humanitarian crisis of the nearly 4 million
Iraqis who have been displaced due to the continued violence in that country.
23
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of April 16, 2007
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 13,196 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
24
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Prime Minister Maliki Welcomes Withdrawal of Sadr’s Political Wing:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• In a statement from Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki’s office, the Prime Minister welcomed
the decision of Muqtada al-Sadr to withdraw his ministers from the government,
saying it freed up seats at the cabinet table for technocratic ministers.
• Muqtada al-Sadr’s political bloc formally declared its withdrawal from Iraq’s
government during a news conference in Baghdad April 16. Sadr was angered last
week when protests failed to persuade Prime Minister Maliki to set a date for the
withdrawal of American troops from Iraq.
• The statement from the Prime Minister’s office also said “that the issue of the
withdrawal of multinational forces depends on the readiness of our armed forces to
take charge of security in all provinces.”
Journalist Killed in Mosul:
• The Iraqi Association for the Defense of Journalists’ Rights said April 12 that an
Iraqi radio journalist and her husband were killed and their corpses burnt in Mosul.
On April 11, gunmen shot dead Iman Yussef Abdallah, who worked for the radio
mouthpiece of the Mosul workers’ union, and her husband April 11.
25
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Insurgent Group Makes Claims of Manufacturing Its Own Weapons:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• In an audio recording posted to the Internet April 17, the leader of the “Islamic State
of Iraq,” Abu Omar al-Baghdadi said that Iraq had become a “university of terrorism”
- producing highly qualified warriors since the 2003 U.S.-led invasion. Baghdadi
said that his forces were successfully confronting U.S. forces in Iraq and had begun
producing a guided missile called al-Quds 1 or Jerusalem 1.
• According to Baghdadi, the rockets “have moved into the phase of military
production with an advanced degree of range and accuracy.” Baghdadi did not
elaborate further on the nature of the weapon, and the claim that the group is
making its own rockets is virtually impossible to verify.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
26
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
Slide 5:
D
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N
T
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F
–
AFP - http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070412/ts_afp/iraq//http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6554843,00.html//Associated Press http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070413/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_070413092754;_ylt=AjWMgZ21GrPolXnzGvb0YKZX6GMA
Slide 6:
–
The Advisor, “General Sees Peaceful Protests as Signs of Freedom in Iraq,” April 14
–
The New York Times - http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/17/world/middleeast/17gates.html
Slide 7:
–
DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report April 18, 2007
Slide 8:
–
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory?id=3039139
–
Reuters - http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070417/wl_nm/iraq_dc
–
www.cnn.com
–
Associated Press - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070418/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_oil_law
Slide 9:
–
NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 10:
S
T
A
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E
–
IRMO Weekly Report, April 17, 2007
Slide 11:
–
POC Bob Means, Department of State (202) 647-9815
–
The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
hours at 5000 MW average supply load. To date, national electricity supply for 2007is only one percent below 2006. Because demand is increasing, however,
the relative decline in national hours of power is much larger: an average of 8.9 hours for January 1-March 14, 2007, compared with an average of 10.5 hours
for the same period in 2006.
28
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Slide 12:
Electricity:
• USACE Daily Report – 13 April 07
• USACE Daily Report – 12 April 07
Health:
• USACE Daily Report – 17 April 07
Slide 13:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – April 17, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 14:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 15:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
O
F
Slide 16:
– April 13 OI
– The Washington Post - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/17/AR2007041701950.html
– Baghdad OI April 15
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 17:
– http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?StoryId=1093150009
Slide 18:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
29
UNCLASSIFIED
April 18, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 20:
D
E
P
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T
M
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N
T
O
F
S
T
A
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E
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
–
–
–
Washington Post. April 15, 2007. By Walter Pincus - Washington Post Reporter
Weekly Report, International Criminal Investigative Training Assistance Program.
April 7, 2007
Slide 21:
Slide 22:
Slide 23:
–
http://theseoultimes.com/ST/?url=/ST/db/read.php?idx=5123
–
The Washington Post - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/17/AR2007041701950.html
–
http://times.hankooki.com/lpage/nation/200612/kt2006120517330611980.htm
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
AFP, “Iraqi Prime Minister Welcomes Sadr Pull-Out,” April 16
–
Middle East Online - http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/iraq/?id=20388
–
AFP, “Woman journalist killed with husband in Iraq,” April 12
–
Reuters - http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070417/wl_nm/iraq_qaeda_baghdadi_dc
–
Associated Press, “Leader of al-Qaida-Linked Group in Iraq Says it is Making Rockets, ME,” April 17
Slide 24:
Slide 25:
Slide 26:
30
UNCLASSIFIED
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