April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Iraq Weekly Status Report April 18, 2007 Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs US Department of State 1 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Table of Contents D E P A R T M E N T This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars of US government policy for victory in Iraq. SECTION SLIDE Highlights 3 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents 5 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance 6 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic 8 Government 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential 10 Services O F S T A T E 5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy 13 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights 22 7. Increase International Support for Iraq 23 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and 25 Public Isolation of the Insurgents Sources and Contact Information Notes and Source Citations 27 28 2 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Highlights D E P A R T M E N T 1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents A suicide bomber blew himself up in the Iraqi Council of Representatives inside Baghdad’s Green Zone April 12, killing Mohammed Awadh, a member of the National Dialogue Front. In an Internet statement posted April 13, Al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI) “the Islamic State of Iraq” claimed responsibility for the attack. Iraqi officials said the bomber was believed to have been a bodyguard for a Sunni lawmaker. 2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance British forces handed over security of the southern Iraq province of Maysan April 18. With the handover of Maysan, the third of the four provinces that Britain took charge of after the 2003 invasion, three of the four provinces in the British area are now under Provincial Iraqi control. O F 3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government After the April 12 bombing of the CoR cafeteria, Iraq’s parliament met in an extraordinary session April 13, the Muslim day of prayer, and declared it would not bow to terrorism. Parliamentarians and other top Iraqi officials attended. S T A T E 4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services The U.S. Army-funded construction of the ED-603 Samarra power distribution laydown yard in Salah al-Din province has been completed, providing convenient, safe, storage and control of electrical equipment that will be used on projects in the city of Samarra. 3 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Highlights D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E 5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy The Department of Defense (DoD) received authorization to enter into “607 agreements” with the Government of Iraq (GOI). DoD is authorized to furnish commodities and services to be reimbursed with Iraqi government funds for the benefit of GOI ministries, as provided by the authority of the U.S. Foreign Assistance Act, Section 607. 6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law In the past month, U.S. and Iraqi forces have detained 1,000 suspects as a result of Operation Fardh al-Qanun, bringing the number of detainees jailed in U.S.-run facilities to 18,000. Of the estimated 2,000 formerly U.S.-held Iraqi detainees turned over to the Iraqi Central Criminal Court, 1,747 have been convicted, 80% of whom received sentences ranging from upwards of five years to the death penalty. 7. International Support for Iraq Media reports said that Saudi Arabia has agreed to forgive 80% of the more than $15 billion that Iraq owes the kingdom. Iraqi Foreign Minister Bayan Jabr, who was in Washington for World Bank meetings, said in an interview that Russia was holding out on debt forgiveness until talks begin on concessions that Russian oil and gas companies had under Saddam Hussein. 8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents In a statement from Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki’s office, the Prime Minister welcomed the decision of Muqtada al-Sadr to have ministers from his party resign from the government, saying it freed up seats at the cabinet table for technocratic ministers. 4 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency Attack Inside Green Zone Kills Iraqi Lawmaker: D E P A R T M E N T • A suicide bomber blew himself up at the Iraqi Parliament inside Baghdad’s Green Zone April 12, killing Mohammed Awadh, a member of the National Dialogue Front. In an Internet statement posted April 13, Al-Qaida in Iraq affiliated the “Islamic State of Iraq” claimed responsibility for the attack. • During a rare session of Iraq’s parliament on a Friday, April 13, the Muslim day of prayer, lawmakers expressed outrage and resolve concerning the attack. Parliamentarians and other Iraqi government officials joined in the session. O F S T A T E 5 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces D E P A R T M E N T General Caldwell Says Protests Are Symbols of Political Freedom: • Speaking in Baghdad April 11, Multi-National Forces-Iraq spokesman Major General William Caldwell said that recent organized protests in Iraq serve as symbols of new political freedom which were previously suppressed by Saddam Hussein. • Caldwell also said that recent progress has been aided by Operation Fardh alQanun and that increased contact between Iraqi Security Forces and citizens builds confidence in the rule of law, as well as demonstrating to Iraqis that militias and outlaws are not the solution for long-term security. Defense Secretary In Middle East to Garner Support for Iraq: O F S T A T E • Defense Secretary Robert Gates is in the Middle East in an effort to urge leaders to back Iraq’s government and to put aside their doubts concerning Prime Minister Maliki’s ability to end sectarian violence. Gates arrived in Amman April 16 to hold talks with King Abdullah II. 6 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Ministry of Interior Forces COMPONENT TRAINED & EQUIPPED POLICE ~135,000 NATIONAL POLICE ~ 25,400 OTHER MOI FORCES ~32,900 TOTAL ~193,300** Ministry of Defense Forces COMPONENT OPERATIONAL ARMY ~137,800*** AIR FORCE ~900 NAVY ~1,100 TOTAL ~139,800** Total Trained & Equipped ISF: ~333,100**** * Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers ** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers *** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces **** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27 ministries Data as of April 18, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD) 7 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government Developments D E P A R T M E N T Iraqi Parliament Meets Following Suicide Bombing: • Sadr Ministers Quit Iraq Government: • O F S T A T E After the April 12 bombing of the CoR cafeteria, Iraq’s parliament met in an extraordinary session April 13, the Muslim day of prayer, and declared it would not bow to terrorism. Parliamentarians and other top Iraqi officials attended. Cabinet ministers loyal to Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr announced they were resigning April 16 to protest Prime Minister Maliki’s refusal to set a timetable for an American withdrawal. Prime Minister Maliki welcomed the announcement, saying that he would soon name independent technocrat ministers to replace the six ministers loyal to Sadr who quit. Senior Shi'ite lawmaker Haider al-Ibadi said earlier that Maliki would present the candidates for the posts, which include the health and transport ministries, to parliament by next week. Draft Oil Law to be Presented to CoR Soon: • The Iraqi Oil Ministry spokesman said April 18 that Iraq’s draft oil law is to be sent to parliament “within the coming few days if everything goes well.” “The draft is with the State Shura Council now to be put in a legal form after being written in technical language,” Assem Jihad told The Associated Press in a phone interview. 8 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government - Iraqi National Unity Government President D E P A R T Minister of M Agriculture E Ya'rub Nathim* of N Minister Education T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i O F S T A T E Deputy President Jalal Talabani Deputy President Tariq al-Hashimi * Possible resignation announced but not confirmed ‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi Prime Minister Deputy Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki (F) = Female Deputy Prime Minister Barham Salih Salam al-Zawba’i Minister of Communications Minister of Culture Minister of Defense Minister of Displacement & Migration Minister of Electricity Muhammad Tawfiq Allawi As’ad Kamal Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi Abdul Qadir Muhammed Jasim Abd al-Samad Rahman Sultan Karim Wahid Minister of Environment Minister of Finance Minister of Foreign Affairs Minister of Health Minister of Higher Education Narmin ‘Uthman (F) Bayan Jabr Hoshyar Zebari Ali al-Shammari* Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili Minister of Human Rights Minister of Industry & Minerals Minister of Interior Minister of Justice Minister of Housing & Construction Minister of Labor & Social Affairs Wijdan Mikha’il (F) Fawzi al-Hariri Jawad al-Bulani Safa al SAfi (acting) Bayan Daza’I (F) Mahmud Muhammad Jawad al-Radi Minister of Oil Minister of Planning Minister of Trade Minister of Science & Technology Minister of Municipalities & Public Works Minister of Transportation Husayn alShahristani Ali Baban Abd al-Falah alSudani Ra’id Fahmi Jahid Riyad Ghurayyib Karim Mahdi Salih* Minister of Water Resources Minister of Youth & Sports Minister of State for Civil Society Minister of State for National Dialogue Affairs Minister of State for National Security Affairs ‘Abd al-Latif Rashid Jasim Muhammad Ja’far Adil al-Asadi* Akram al-Hakim Shirwan al-Waili Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Minister of State for Governorates Affairs Minister of State for Tourism and Antiquities Minister of State for Women’s Affairs Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf al-Hashimi* Liwa Sumaysim8 Fatin Abd al-Rahman Mahmud (F) 9 Minister of State for CoR Affairs Safa al-Safi UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2 Committed Apportioned D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Obligated Disbursed Sector Apportion Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Last Week Current Change Security and Law Enforcement $5,002.59 $4,978.54 $4,978.54 $0.00 $4,976.66 $4,976.66 $0.00 $4,734.99 $4,746.75 $11.76 Electricity Sector $4,216.87 $4,173.03 $4,173.03 $0.00 $4,034.86 $4,034.86 $0.00 $3,185.34 $3,185.34 $0.00 Oil Infrastructure $1,724.70 $1,664.42 $1,664.42 $0.00 $1,580.47 $1,580.47 $0.00 $1,400.39 $1,400.39 $0.00 Justice, Public Safety and Civil Society $1,303.26 $1,303.17 $1,303.17 $0.00 $1,297.57 $1,297.57 $0.00 $1,034.68 $1,035.65 $0.97 Democracy $999.26 $998.31 $998.31 $0.00 $998.23 $998.23 $0.00 $920.65 $920.67 $0.02 Education, Refugees, Human Rights, Governance $410.06 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $401.26 $401.26 $0.00 $358.16 $358.18 $0.01 Roads, Bridges and Construction $333.60 $330.66 $330.66 $0.00 $323.30 $323.30 $0.00 $217.13 $217.13 $0.00 Health Care $815.78 $814.30 $814.30 $0.00 $800.27 $800.27 $0.00 $650.34 $650.34 $0.00 Transportation and Communications $456.72 $456.67 $456.67 $0.00 $450.91 $450.91 $0.00 $350.15 $350.15 $0.00 $2,115.79 $2,015.67 $2,015.67 $0.00 $1,966.23 $1,966.23 $0.00 $1,538.52 $1,538.52 $0.00 Private Sector Development $813.95 $809.25 $809.25 $0.00 $809.25 $809.25 $0.00 $780.77 $780.77 $0.00 Admin Expense (USAID, STATE) $213.00 $210.48 $210.48 $0.00 $210.48 $210.48 $0.00 $187.47 $188.06 $0.59 $18,405.59 $18,155.77 $18,155.77 $0.00 $17,849.48 $17,849.48 $0.00 $15,358.58 $15,371.94 $13.36 IRRF II Construction - $10,399.23 $10,399.23 $0.00 $10,114.60 $10,114.60 $0.00 $8,366.65 $8,369.24 $2.59 IRRF II Non-Construction - $6,758.23 $6,758.23 $0.00 $6,736.65 $6,736.65 $0.00 $6,071.28 $6,082.03 $10.76 IRRF II Democracy - $998.31 $998.31 $0.00 $998.23 $998.23 $0.00 $920.65 $920.67 $0.02 IRRF I Total $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $2,473.30 $0.00 $2,232.3 $2,232.3 $0.00 $2,139.00 $2,139.0 $0.00 Grand Total IRRF I & II $20,878.89 $20,629.07 $20,629.07 $0.00 $20,081.78 $20,081.78 $0.00 $17,497.58 $17,510.94 $13.36 Water Resources and Sanitation Total As of April 17, 2007 10 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Electricity Overview D E P A R T M E N T O F Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004 Daily Supply 7-Day Average Supply Estimated Demand 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 3/16/07 12/16/06 9/17/06 6/19/06 3/21/06 11 12/21/05 9/22/05 6/24/05 3/26/05 12/26/04 9/27/04 6/29/04 3/31/04 1/1/04 0 S T Date A T • During the week of April 12-18 electricity availability averaged 4.7 hours per day in Baghdad and E 11.0 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 1% above the same period in 2006. UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services – Electricity and Health Electricity: D E P A R T M E N T O F • The U.S. Army-funded 11kv electrical overhead feeder lines from the alMadinaa to Sadeyah substation in Diyala province have been completed, providing direct and reliable power to the homes of 8,000 local residents. • The U.S. Army-funded ED-603 Samarra power distribution lay-down yard in Salah al-Din province has been completed, providing convenient and safe storage and control of electrical equipment that will be used on projects in the city of Samarra. Health: • The U.S. Army-funded PHC-A NA05 punch list work in al-Nahrawan, Ninewa province has been completed, providing a healthcare facility that will include a pharmacy, exam rooms, dental care, and other emergency services for its local residents. S T A T E 12 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job Creation D E P A R T M E N T Oil Update: • Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending April 16 closed with the following prices: – Basrah Light at $61.768/ barrel – Dated Brent at $67.975/barrel – WTI Cushing at $62.578/ barrel – Oman/Dubai at $63.88/barrel Employment Update: Iraqis Las t We e k Iraqis This We e k % change Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA ) 21,861 21,861 0.00% US A gency f or International Development (USA ID) 22,647 32,495 43.48% Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP) 2 4,258 4,258 0.00% Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I) 10,899 10,744 -1.42% Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction 6,484 6,484 0.00% GRAND TOTAL 6 6 ,14 9 7 5 ,8 4 2 14 .6 5 % Iraqi Employment Per Organization Program O F S T A T E CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only. Data as of April 17 13 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction: S T A T E Central Bank of Iraq USD Currency Auction: June 6, 2006 – April 16, 2007 $90.0 1,500 $80.0 $60.0 1,400 $50.0 $40.0 1,350 $30.0 $20.0 NIDExchangeRate 1,450 $70.0 1,300 $10.0 $0.0 Ju Ju n 6 n Ju 13 12 n -2 25 0 Ju 29 Ju l 2 l Ju 9 6 l1 -1 Ju 6 3 l -2 Ju Ju 23 0 l3 l2 -2 1 6 5 - A 30 u A g u 7 A g u 8 g 1 A Au 11 0 u g g 2 S 30 23 2 ep - 2 S ep 6 Se 9 p S 13 Se 5 ep - p 21 Se 12 p S ep - S 19 ep O 26 25 c O t3 O ct - ct O 2 O 11 c ct - t 1 1 Oc 0 N 9- t 1 o O 8 N v 4 ct o 2 v 8 No 9 N v7 N No ov o v 14 v D 29 15 ec - D 6 D 28 ec - e c D 13 De 1 ec - c 2 De 12 Ja 0 - c D 1 Ja n 8 ec 8 n J 2 Ja 17 an 6 n -J 1 2 a 6 Ja 3 - n 2 n Ja 2 F 30 n eb - 2 9 F 6 Fe eb Fe b 5 F 14 b eb 1 2 Fe 3 F 1- b eb F 2 e 0 M 28- b 2 ar M 7 7- ar M 6 M M ar ar a 13 2 r1 M 2-M 4ar a 20 2 r A 8- 27 A pr Ap p 3 r - r2 10 A - pr A 8 p r 16 O F • The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since September, the Central Bank has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in an effort to rein in galloping inflation. There are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit, with prices falling 6.8% between January and February. USDSold(Millions) D E P A R T M E N T US $ Sold (Weekly Avg) 1,250 The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD) 14 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market: Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales June 1, 2006 - April 11, 2007 $70.00 10.00% $69.00 9.80% $68.00 9.60% $67.00 9.40% $66.00 9.20% $65.00 Yield Percentage O F • The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’ current yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments. Bond Price in USD D E P A R T M E N T 9.00% 8.80% $63.00 8.60% 9- Ju n Ju 19 n -J u 27 n -J un 5Ju 13 l -J u 21 l -J u 31 l -J u 8- l A 1 6 ug -A 2 4 ug -A u 1- g Se 11 p -S 19 ep -S 27 ep -S e 5- p Oc 13 t -O 23 ct -O 31 ct -O c 8- t No 16 v -N 24 ov -N o 4- v De 12 c -D 20 ec -D 28 ec -D e 5- c Ja 15 n -J a 23 n -J a 31 n -J an 8Fe 16 b -F 26 eb -F e 6- b M 14 a r -M 22 ar -M 30 ar -M a 9- r Ap r $62.00 1- S T A T E $64.00 Trading High = $73.98 (January 24) Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30) 15 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events Deputy Secretary Authorizes 607 Agreements: D E P A R T M E N T • Progress for Iraqi Debt Reduction in Run-up to Compact Signing: • O F S T A T E The Department of Defense (DoD) received authorization to enter into “607 agreements” with the Government of Iraq (GOI). DoD is authorized to furnish commodities and services to be reimbursed with Iraqi funds for the benefit of GOI ministries, as provided by the authority of the U.S. Foreign Assistance Act, Section 607. Saudi Arabia has agreed to forgive 80% (in line with the Paris Club) of the more than $15 billion that Iraq owes the kingdom. Iraqi Foreign Minister Bayan Jabr said during an interview that Russia was holding out on debt forgiveness until talks begin on concessions that Russian oil and gas companies had under Saddam Hussein. Jabr said China agreed to cancel $4 billion in debt and Egypt to cancel $250 million. Talks continue over nearly $10 billion owed in total to Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar. Karbala Government Vague About Allocation of 2007 Budget: • The Supervising Committee on Regional Projects officially announced how the Karbala Provincial Government will allocate its 2007 reconstruction budget. The government will distribute its 90 billion Dinar budget over 150 projects. The Committee did not specify the nature or scope of these projects, however. 16 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events D E P A R T M E N T O F Shell Signs Contract with Kurdistan: • A spokesman for Shell stated that, after 35 years, the company is ready to return to Iraq. The Anglo-Dutch company is close to making a partnership with Turkey’s TPAO to build a gas line and reestablish gas output in northern Kurdistan. • Shell’s spokesman also stated that the pipeline will lay from the Turkish port of Ceyhan to an oil field in Kirkuk, and that the company is committed to building a domestic energy infrastructure to strengthen Iraq’s domestic power generation. • The Kurdish Minister of Oil announced that by the end of 2007, the ministry aims to give ten exploration and production licenses for the district. A senior exploration executive for Shell stated that company members have met with Iraqi officials to talk about the development of Iraq’s gas and oil industries. S T A T E 17 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production 2.40 2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD 2.14 Millions of Barrels Per Day D E P A R T M E N T 2.13 2.14 2.13 2.09 2.09 2.06 2.05 2.06 1.99 2.00 O F S T A T E 1.60 February 511 February 12-18 February 19-25 February March 5-11 March 1218 26 - March 4 Production March 1925 March 26 April 1 April 2-8 April 9-15 Target • Weekly Average (April 9 – April 15) of 2.13 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD) 18 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export Revenue (US$B) O F Exports (MBPD) $4.00 2.40 $3.50 1.67 1.68 1.68 $3.00 1.62 1.58 1.55 1.51 1.44 1.39 $2.50 1.30 $2.00 1.20 $1.45 $3.41 $2.92 $3.44 $3.03 $1.50 $2.75 $2.73 $2.46 $2.45 $2.19 $2.11 0.60 S T A T E 1.50 1.45 USD (Billions) 1.80 Millions of Barrels per Day D E P A R T M E N T Projected $1.00 $1.89 $1.11 0.00 $0.50 $0.00 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 • 2006 Revenue Estimate: $31.3 Billion • 2007 Revenue Estimate: $7.9 Billion 19 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 (Year to Date) UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product Supplies Domestic Production O F 100% 0% 18% 35% 80% Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies D E P A R T M E N T Import 41% 60% 100% 40% 82% 65% 59% 20% S T A T E 0% Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG Note: This is a daily average for the week of April 9 – April 16 • Diesel: 12.9 ML supply of 22.6 ML target • Kerosene: 5.3 supply of 10.1 ML target • Gasoline: 12.1 ML supply of 22.0 ML target • LPG: 2,373 tons supply of 5,000 tons target 20 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels Feb-07 Apr-07 Goal 25 20 15 Days D E P A R T M E N T Mar-07 10 O F 5 5 S T A T E 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 0 Diesel Kerosene Gasoline LPG • The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages. 21 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights– Iraqi Judicial System Security Plan Brings Increased Number of Detainees: D E P A R T M E N T • In the past month, U.S. and Iraqi forces have detained 1,000 suspects as a result of Operation Fardh al-Qanun, bringing the number of detainees jailed in U.S.-run facilities to 18,000. Of the estimated 2,000 formerly U.S.-held Iraqi detainees turned over to the Iraqi Central Criminal Court, 1,747 have been convicted, 80% of whom received sentences ranging from upwards of five years to the death penalty. O F S T A T E 22 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E Debt Forgiveness Updates: • Saudi Arabia has agreed to forgive 80% of the more than $15 billion that Iraq owes the kingdom. Iraqi Foreign Minister Bayan Jabr said in an interview that Russia was holding out on debt forgiveness until talks begin on concessions that Russian oil and gas companies had under Saddam Hussein. Jabr said China agreed to cancel $4 billion in debt and Egypt to cancel $250 million. Talks continue over nearly $10 billion owed in total to Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar. South Korea signs MOU with Iraq on Oil Field Development: • Oil ministers from Iraq and Korea signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) that could help South Korean companies secure a bigger stake in oil and gas fields in Iraq. • Iraq currently supplies 15.4 million barrels of crude per year to South Korea, which is less than 2% of South Korea’s total crude imports. UN Holds Conference to Confront Iraqi Refugee Crisis: • The UN refugee agency convened a two-day conference April 17 involving more than 60 nations focused on the deepening humanitarian crisis of the nearly 4 million Iraqis who have been displaced due to the continued violence in that country. 23 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi Stability Operations Data as of April 16, 2007 D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E 25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US) Albania Denmark Lithuania Slovakia Armenia El Salvador Macedonia South Korea Australia Estonia Moldova Ukraine Azerbaijan Georgia Mongolia UK Bosnia-Herzegovina Japan Poland Bulgaria Kazakhstan Romania Czech Republic Latvia Singapore TOTAL ~ 13,196 Forces *Note: Fiji participating as a part of the UN mission in Iraq. 34 Countries and NATO* (including US) Support Iraqi Stability Operations *34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey 24 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments Prime Minister Maliki Welcomes Withdrawal of Sadr’s Political Wing: D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E • In a statement from Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki’s office, the Prime Minister welcomed the decision of Muqtada al-Sadr to withdraw his ministers from the government, saying it freed up seats at the cabinet table for technocratic ministers. • Muqtada al-Sadr’s political bloc formally declared its withdrawal from Iraq’s government during a news conference in Baghdad April 16. Sadr was angered last week when protests failed to persuade Prime Minister Maliki to set a date for the withdrawal of American troops from Iraq. • The statement from the Prime Minister’s office also said “that the issue of the withdrawal of multinational forces depends on the readiness of our armed forces to take charge of security in all provinces.” Journalist Killed in Mosul: • The Iraqi Association for the Defense of Journalists’ Rights said April 12 that an Iraqi radio journalist and her husband were killed and their corpses burnt in Mosul. On April 11, gunmen shot dead Iman Yussef Abdallah, who worked for the radio mouthpiece of the Mosul workers’ union, and her husband April 11. 25 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED [8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments Insurgent Group Makes Claims of Manufacturing Its Own Weapons: D E P A R T M E N T • In an audio recording posted to the Internet April 17, the leader of the “Islamic State of Iraq,” Abu Omar al-Baghdadi said that Iraq had become a “university of terrorism” - producing highly qualified warriors since the 2003 U.S.-led invasion. Baghdadi said that his forces were successfully confronting U.S. forces in Iraq and had begun producing a guided missile called al-Quds 1 or Jerusalem 1. • According to Baghdadi, the rockets “have moved into the phase of military production with an advanced degree of range and accuracy.” Baghdadi did not elaborate further on the nature of the weapon, and the claim that the group is making its own rockets is virtually impossible to verify. O F S T A T E 26 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Iraq Weekly Status – General Information D E P A R T M E N T • This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the following pages. • Please forward all questions and/or comments to: NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov O F S T A T E 27 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3) Slide 5: D E P A R T M E N T O F – AFP - http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070412/ts_afp/iraq//http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/story/0,,-6554843,00.html//Associated Press http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070413/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_070413092754;_ylt=AjWMgZ21GrPolXnzGvb0YKZX6GMA Slide 6: – The Advisor, “General Sees Peaceful Protests as Signs of Freedom in Iraq,” April 14 – The New York Times - http://www.nytimes.com/2007/04/17/world/middleeast/17gates.html Slide 7: – DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report April 18, 2007 Slide 8: – http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory?id=3039139 – Reuters - http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070417/wl_nm/iraq_dc – www.cnn.com – Associated Press - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070418/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_oil_law Slide 9: – NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov Slide 10: S T A T E – IRMO Weekly Report, April 17, 2007 Slide 11: – POC Bob Means, Department of State (202) 647-9815 – The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load. To date, national electricity supply for 2007is only one percent below 2006. Because demand is increasing, however, the relative decline in national hours of power is much larger: an average of 8.9 hours for January 1-March 14, 2007, compared with an average of 10.5 hours for the same period in 2006. 28 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3) D E P A R T M E N T Slide 12: Electricity: • USACE Daily Report – 13 April 07 • USACE Daily Report – 12 April 07 Health: • USACE Daily Report – 17 April 07 Slide 13: – Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg Employment Update: – Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – April 17, 2007. – CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0. – PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis. Slide 14: – Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org Slide 15: – Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg O F Slide 16: – April 13 OI – The Washington Post - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/17/AR2007041701950.html – Baghdad OI April 15 S T A T E Slide 17: – http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?StoryId=1093150009 Slide 18: – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 Slide 19: – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 29 UNCLASSIFIED April 18, 2007 UNCLASSIFIED Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3) Slide 20: D E P A R T M E N T O F S T A T E – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 – Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885 – – – Washington Post. April 15, 2007. By Walter Pincus - Washington Post Reporter Weekly Report, International Criminal Investigative Training Assistance Program. April 7, 2007 Slide 21: Slide 22: Slide 23: – http://theseoultimes.com/ST/?url=/ST/db/read.php?idx=5123 – The Washington Post - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/17/AR2007041701950.html – http://times.hankooki.com/lpage/nation/200612/kt2006120517330611980.htm – DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly – AFP, “Iraqi Prime Minister Welcomes Sadr Pull-Out,” April 16 – Middle East Online - http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/iraq/?id=20388 – AFP, “Woman journalist killed with husband in Iraq,” April 12 – Reuters - http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070417/wl_nm/iraq_qaeda_baghdadi_dc – Associated Press, “Leader of al-Qaida-Linked Group in Iraq Says it is Making Rockets, ME,” April 17 Slide 24: Slide 25: Slide 26: 30 UNCLASSIFIED