April 25, 2007
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
April 25, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
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UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of US government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
7
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
9
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
11
Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
14
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
23
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
24
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
26
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
27
28
2
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April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
A suicide car bomber struck a U.S. military patrol base in Diyala province north of
Baghdad, killing nine soldiers and wounding 20 others, in the deadliest attack on
American forces in 16 months.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
The Shaibah logistics base, once the main center of British military operations in
Iraq, was turned over to the Iraqi national army April 24 for use as a training base.
The brief ceremony by British and Iraqi forces was the latest example of the
Coalition’s efforts to give Iraqi forces control over some parts of Iraq as British
forces plan to begin withdrawing from southern Iraq where most of them are
based.
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki announced that he will not replace the six Sadrist
ministers who withdrew from the cabinet with members of the Iran-backed United
Iraqi Alliance or with independents close to Muqtada al-Sadr. The Sadrist
ministers withdrew in protest of the Prime Minister’s refusal to set a timetable for
an American withdrawal from Iraq.
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
The U.S. Army-funded construction of the Primary Healthcare Clinic R-WA04 alHaidariya in al-Kut, Governorate of Wasit has been completed, providing improved
availability of health care and enhancing the quality of life to it’s area residents.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
Beginning April 18, Iraqi members of parliament, officials, and experts met in Dubai
in a series of technical meetings to discuss the draft Hydrocarbon Framework and
Revenue Sharing laws.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
Criminal proceedings were initiated in Baghdad April 2 in a newly opened and
secure Rule of Law complex, Mujama Siyadat al-Qanun, against an alleged alQaida suspect accused of killing scores of civilians, and against a Shi’a national
police officer accused of torturing and abusing mostly Sunni detainees while in his
custody.
7. International Support for Iraq
During a visit to Cairo by Prime Minister Maliki, Egyptian Prime Minister Ahmad
Nazif pledged to continue supporting Iraq in order to restore peace and stability to
the country. Prime Minister Nazif added that “Egypt stands strongly on the side of
Iraq and by every means backs it in achieving peace and stability.”
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of
the Insurgents
An Internet video posted April 19 by the Islamic State of Iraq announced an “Islamic
Cabinet” for Iraq and named the head of al-Qaida in Iraq as “minister of war.” The
message came shortly after the Sunni insurgent group posted another video
showing the execution of 20 men said to be members of the Iraqi military and
security forces.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Fardh al-Qanun Efforts Against Extremists Continue:
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• Iraqi Security Forces and Coalition efforts to reduce the violence continue as
Operation Fardh al-Qanun enters its ninth week. Joint Security Stations, manned
by Coalition and Iraqi forces, continue to stand up throughout the city and establish
a permanent presence in troubled neighborhoods. Another initiative to improve
security is the emplacement of temporary concrete barriers around Baghdad
neighborhoods that have experienced high levels of violence.
• Attacks against Baghdad civilians have declined 50% over the last six months. In
November 2006, 41% of all attacks reported in the city were directed against
civilians; however, during the month of April, only 20% targeted the civilian
population.
• While attacks have continued to decline over the first nine weeks of the new
security plan, lethal high-profile attacks have continued, highlighted by the four
vehicle-borne improvised explosive bombings in the Baghdad area April 18.
Al-Qaida in Iraq, who likely conducted those bombings, continues to
indiscriminately target civilians to undermine the GOI and dishearten the Iraqi
people.
• To date, more than 200,000 patrols have been conducted in support of Operation
Fardh al-Qanun. More than 300 caches have been uncovered and more than 800
improvised explosive devices have been found.
5
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Suicide Vehicle Bomb Strikes U.S. Military Outpost, Killing Nine:
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• A suicide car bomber struck a U.S. military outpost north of Baghdad, killing nine
soldiers and wounding 20 others, in the deadliest attack on American forces in 16
months.
• The bomber exploded his vehicle against a patrol base in Diyala province April
23, bringing the U.S. military death toll for April so far to 70, according to the
U.S. military. Fifteen of the wounded were later able to resume their duties,
but the attack was still the bloodiest since December 1, 2005.
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UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
Britain Turns over Logistics Base to the ISF:
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• The Shaibah logistics base, once the main center of British military operations in
Iraq, was turned over to the Iraqi national army April 24 for use as a training base.
The brief ceremony by British and Iraqi forces was the latest example of the
Coalition’s efforts to give Iraqi forces control over some parts of Iraq as British
forces plan to begin withdrawing from southern Iraq where most of them are based.
• Two other British bases - al-Saie and Shatt al-Arab - were turned over to Iraqi
forces in Basrah, Iraq’s second largest city, in the last month.
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7
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
POLICE
~135,000
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 25,400
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~32,900
TOTAL
~193,300**
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
~137,800***
AIR FORCE
~900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~139,800**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~334,300****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
Data as of April 25, 2007 (updated bi-weekly by DOD)
8
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government – Developments
Fourth Fallujah City Councilman Killed in Two Years:
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Iraq’s Yazidi Minority Demands Protection After Killings:
•
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Fallujah city council chairman Sami Abdul-Amir al-Jumaili, a critic of al-Qaida
who took the job after his three predecessors were assassinated, was killed
April 21. The 65-year-old Sunni shaykh was the fourth city council chairman to
be killed in 14 months as insurgents target fellow Sunnis willing to cooperate
with the U.S. and Iraqi forces. Abdul-Amir’s predecessor, Abbas Ali Hussein,
was shot to death February 2.
Sectarian tensions are high in the Mosul area of northern Iraq following the
killing of 23 members of the Yazidi minority (a small, ancient heterodox sect who
are ethnic Kurds) and following the stoning death of a Yazidi woman who
recently converted to Islam to marry a Sunni Muslim man.
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UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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E
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A
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T Minister of
M Agriculture
E Ya'rub Nathim*
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
Tariq al-Hashimi
* Possible resignation
announced but not
confirmed
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
(F) = Female
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
As’ad Kamal
Muhammad Abdallah alHashimi
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister of Foreign
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
Ali al-Shammari*
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Safa al Safi (acting)
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
Karim Mahdi Salih*
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Adil al-Asadi*
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
Sa’d Tahir Abd Khalaf
al-Hashimi*
Liwa Sumaysim8
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
10
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
(Millions of USD)
Committed
Apportioned
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Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,002.59
$4,978.54
$4,978.54
$0.00
$4,976.66
$4,976.66
$0.00
$4,746.75
$4,759.58
$12.82
Electricity Sector
$4,216.87
$4,173.03
$4,173.03
$0.00
$4,034.86
$4,034.86
$0.00
$3,185.34
$3,185.34
$0.00
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,664.42
$1,664.42
$0.00
$1,580.47
$1,580.47
$0.00
$1,400.39
$1,400.39
$0.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,303.26
$1,303.17
$1,303.17
$0.00
$1,297.57
$1,297.57
$0.00
$1,035.65
$1,046.13
$10.47
Democracy
$999.26
$998.31
$998.31
$0.00
$998.23
$998.23
$0.00
$920.67
$920.78
$0.11
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$410.06
$401.26
$401.39
$0.13
$401.26
$401.26
$0.00
$358.18
$370.49
$12.31
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$330.66
$330.66
$0.00
$323.30
$323.30
$0.00
$217.13
$217.13
$0.00
Health Care
$815.78
$814.30
$814.30
$0.00
$800.27
$800.27
$0.00
$650.34
$650.34
$0.00
Transportation and
Communications
$456.72
$456.67
$456.67
$0.00
$450.91
$450.91
$0.00
$350.15
$350.15
$0.00
$2,115.79
$2,015.67
$2,015.67
$0.00
$1,966.23
$1,966.23
$0.00
$1,538.52
$1,538.52
$0.00
Private Sector Development
$813.95
$809.25
$809.25
$0.00
$809.25
$809.25
$0.00
$780.77
$786.38
$5.61
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$213.00
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$188.06
$210.48
$22.42
$18,405.59
$18,155.77
$18,155.90
$0.13
$17,849.48
$17,849.48
$0.00
$15,371.94
$15,435.69
$63.75
IRRF II Construction
-
$10,399.23
$10,399.23
$0.00
$10,114.60
$10,114.60
$0.00
$8,369.24
$8,372.06
$2.82
IRRF II Non-Construction
-
$6,758.23
$6,758.36
$0.13
$6,736.65
$6,736.65
$0.00
$6,082.03
$6,142.86
$60.82
IRRF II Democracy
-
$998.31
$998.31
$0.00
$998.23
$998.23
$0.00
$920.67
$920.78
$0.11
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,878.89
$20,629.07
$20,629.20
$0.13
$20,081.78
$20,081.78
$0.00
$17,510.94
$17,574.69
$63.75
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
As of April 24, 2007
11
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
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F
Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Daily Supply
7-Day Average Supply
Estimated Demand
200,000
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
3/16/07
12/16/06
9/17/06
6/19/06
3/21/06
12
12/21/05
9/22/05
6/24/05
3/26/05
12/26/04
9/27/04
6/29/04
3/31/04
1/1/04
0
S
T
Date
A
T • During the week of April 19-25 electricity availability averaged 5.1 hours per day in Baghdad and
E
11.4 hours nationwide. Electricity output for the week was 8% above the same period in 2006.
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity, Health and Transportation
Electricity:
D
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A
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T
M
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N
T
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F
•
The completed U.S. Army-funded construction of the PRDC al-Jazira feeder in
Diyala province has been completed, providing direct, reliable power to the
homes of 4,000 area residents.
Health:
•
The U.S. Army-funded construction of the Primary Healthcare Clinic R-WA04 alHaidariya in al-Kut, Governorate of Wasit has been completed, improving the
availability of health care and enhancing the quality of life to it’s area residents.
Transportation:
•
The U.S. Army-funded construction of the PRDC pavement of Haji Sfiah Street
in Basrah province has been completed, providing increased trafficability and
reliable access to school, work and other activities for local residents.
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13
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending April 20 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $60.362/ barrel
– Dated Brent at $65.908/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $63.01/ barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $62.764/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis Last Iraqis This
%
Week
Week
change
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
Program
Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA)
22,016
21,484
-2.42%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
32,495
37,690
15.99%
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)2
4,258
4,448
4.46%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
10,744
6,484
9,753
6,484
-9.22%
GRAND TOTAL
75,997
79,859
5.08%
0.00%
CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of April 24
14
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
O
F
• The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since
April. Since September, the Central Bank has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in
an effort to rein in galloping inflation. There are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit,
with prices falling 6.8% between January and February.
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: June 6, 2006 – April 23, 2007
1,500
$90.0
$80.0
1,450
$70.0
$60.0
1,400
$50.0
$40.0
1,350
$30.0
$20.0
1,300
$10.0
$0.0
Ju
n
Ju 6
n -1
Ju 13 2
n -2
25 0
Ju 29
l2
Ju
l Ju 9 6
l1 -1
3
Ju 6l 2 20
JuJu 3l 3 l 2 25
1 6
- A 30
u
g
A
u
7
g
A 8
u
g
1
A Au 11 0
u g g
2 22
S 30 3
ep - S 6 Se29
ep
p
S
5
S 13 ep
ep S 12
21 e
p
1
S
ep Se 9
p
26
25
O
ct - O
O 3
ct
ct 2
1 O
O 1 ct
ct - O 1
0
1
9 ct
18
N
O
o
ct
N v4
2
o
v -N 9
8
- ov
N 7
o
v
N No
14
o v
v 1
D 29 5ec - 2
D 6 De 8
ec c
D 1
D 13 ec
ec D 1
20 e 2
c
Ja - D 1
8
n
ec
Ja 8
n - J 26
1
Ja 7 an
n - J 16
23 an
Ja 2
n Ja 2
n
F 30
29
eb F 6 Fe
eb b
F
5
F 14- eb
eb
Fe 13
2
b
F 12
eb Fe 0
28 b2
M
ar M 7
7- ar
M 6
ar
M M
13
ar a
22r 1
4
M
M -2
ar
ar 0
28 27
A
A
A pr
p 3 pr
r 1 A 2
A 0- pr
p
A 8
r
17 pr
-A 16
p
r
23
S
T
A
T
E
N
IDE
xchangeR
ate
U
S
DS
old(M
illions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
1,250
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
15
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
June 1, 2006 - April 20, 2007
$70.00
10.00%
$69.00
9.80%
$68.00
9.60%
$67.00
9.40%
$66.00
9.20%
$65.00
Yield Percentage
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to
approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial
debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’
current yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
9.00%
8.80%
$63.00
8.60%
Ju
9- n
Ju
19 n
-J
u
27 n
-J
un
5Ju
13 l
-J
u
21 l
-J
31 u l
-J
8- u l
A
16 ug
-A
24 ug
-A
ug
1Se
11 p
-S
19 ep
-S
27 ep
-S
ep
5Oc
13 t
-O
23 ct
-O
31 ct
-O
c
8- t
N
o
16 v
-N
24 ov
-N
o
4- v
De
12 c
-D
20 ec
-D
28 ec
-D
e
5- c
Ja
15 n
-J
a
23 n
-J
an
31
-J
a
8- n
Fe
16 b
-F
26 eb
-F
eb
6M
14 a r
-M
22 ar
-M
30 ar
-M
a
9- r
Ap
17 r
-A
pr
$62.00
1-
S
T
A
T
E
$64.00
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy –Economic Events
D
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A
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M
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N
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O
F
S
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A
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E
Prime Minister Announces Plan to Authorize National Phone Companies:
•
Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki announced that the GOI is planning to authorize the
country’s three national phone companies, MTC Athir, Orascom and Asia-Cell, and
is demanding a minimum payment of $250 million for each company. Several Iraqi
ministers held a meeting where they agreed that the nation’s three mobile
companies would each be given a fifteen-year license that would be renewed every
five years. In return, the three mobile companies will pay a fee of $250 million and
give 18% annual gross revenues to Iraq’s central government.
Canadian and Japanese Firms Plan to Develop Iraqi Oil Field:
•
The Chief Executive Officer at Ivanhoe Energy stated that the company has signed
a joint partnership agreement with Japanese Inpex Corp. to develop an oil field in
Iraq, Portal Iraq reported.
•
Three years ago, Ivanhoe Energy supposedly won a service contract from the Oil
Ministry under then Minister Ibrahim Bahr al-Ulum to assess large oil fields in Iraq
and their development using the company’s technology. The contract made with
Ivanhoe Energy gives Inpex the benefit of keeping a majority stake, plus technology
fees if the project is successful. Ivanhoe is set to receive an estimated $9 million
from Inpex within a month time. It is unclear if this contract is valid and how it will be
affected by the upcoming hydrocarbon legislation.
17
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Developments
Iraqi Members of Parliament, Officials, and Experts Meet in Dubai:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• On April 18, Iraqi members of parliament, officials, and experts met in Dubai in a
series of technical meetings to primarily discuss the draft framework Hydrocarbon
and Revenue Sharing laws. Iraqi Minister of Oil Husayn al-Shahristani predicted
that the law would be submitted to parliament by the end of the month and passed
by Parliament by the May 31 deadline. Both Shahristani and Kurdistan Regional
Government (KRG) Minister of Natural Resources Hawrami indicated that they are
committed to sending the law to parliament as part of a package including the field
list annexes, revenue sharing law, reorganization of the Oil Ministry, and a law
that lays down the framework for the recreation of the Iraq National Oil Company.
The KRG and the GOI disagree on the annexes and the revenue sharing law.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
18
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.40
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.18
2.14
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
2.13
2.14
2.13
2.09
2.09
2.06
2.06
1.99
2.00
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
1.60
February
12-18
February
19-25
February March 5-11 March 1218
26 - March
4
March 1925
Production
March 26 April 1
April 2-8
April 9-15
April 16-22
Target
• Weekly Average (April 16 – April 22) of 2.18 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
19
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
Exports (MBPD)
$4.00
2.40
$3.50
1.67
1.68
1.68
$3.00
1.62
1.58
1.55
1.51
1.44
1.54
$2.50
1.30
$0.93
$2.00
1.20
$3.41
$2.92
$3.44
$3.03
$1.50
$2.75
$2.73
$2.46
$2.45
$2.19
$2.11
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
1.50
1.45
USD (Billions)
1.80
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.89
$1.87
$1.00
$0.50
0.00
$0.00
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$8.6 Billion
20
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
4%
0%
27%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
41%
60%
96%
100%
40%
73%
59%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of April 16 – April 22
• Diesel: 12.5 ML supply of 22.6 ML target
• Kerosene: 5.9 supply of 10.1 ML target
• Gasoline: 14.1 ML supply of 22.0 ML target
• LPG: 2,856 tons supply of 5,000 tons target
21
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Feb-07
Apr-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Mar-07
10
O
F
5
5
S
T
A
T
E
4
4
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Criminal Proceedings Begin at New Rule of Law Complex:
• On April 2 in Baghdad, criminal proceedings were initiated in a newly opened and
secure Rule of Law Complex, Mujama Siyadat al-Qanun, against an alleged alQaida suspect accused of killing scores of civilians, and against a Shi’a national
police officer accused of torturing and abusing mostly Sunni detainees while in his
custody.
CPATT Connects with Rule of Law Task Force:
• In the past two years, the Civilian Police Assistance Training Team (CPATT) has
assisted with the training of more than 200,000 police men and women in numerous
academies and training establishments across Iraq. CPATT has now linked hands
with the Rule of Law Task Force to assist with the provision of a secure
environment called the Rule of Law Complex, where impartial and legitimate trials
can be conducted. The Rule of Law Complex ensures that prisons conform to
international standards and the laws that govern the application of human rights.
CPATT has helped to coordinate the recruiting and training of over 1,600
correctional officers to administer and run the new prison complexes.
23
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Prime Minister Maliki Receives Promise of Support from Egypt During Visit:
• During a visit to Cairo by Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, Egyptian Prime Minister
Ahmed Nazif pledged to continue supporting Iraq in order to restore peace and
stability in the country. Prime Minister Nazif added that “Egypt stands strongly on
the side of Iraq and by every means backs it in achieving peace and stability.”
UNICEF Launches Immunization Campaign:
• In coordination with UNICEF, Iraqi health workers launched a large-scale
immunization drive this week aimed at protecting 3.9 million infants with the MMR
vaccine against measles, mumps, and rubella.
Secretary Rice Urges Iran to Take Part in Iraq’s Neighbors Conference:
• Secretary Rice urged Iran to take part in Iraq’s Neighbors Conference next month,
telling the Financial Times it would be a “missed opportunity” if Tehran fails to
attend.
Ambassador Satterfield Urges Iraq Neighbors on Debt Relief:
• While talking to reporters in Kuwait, Ambassador Satterfield urged Iraq’s neighbors
to invest in the country and called on oil-rich Gulf states to fulfill their pledge to
forgive billions of dollars in debt owed by the former regime of Saddam Hussein.
24
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of April 16, 2007
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 13,196 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
25
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Islamic Cabinet Named by Sunni Insurgent Group:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• An Internet video posted April 19 by the Islamic State of Iraq announced an “Islamic
Cabinet” for Iraq and named Abu Hamza al-Muhajir, the head of al-Qaida in Iraq, as
“minister of war.” The message came shortly after the Sunni insurgent group
posted another video showing the execution of 20 men said to be members of the
Iraqi military and security forces.
• Shaykh Abu Abdul-Rahman al-Falahi was named as the emir’s “first minister,” while
other positions included ministers of information, “prisoners and martyrs,”
agriculture and health.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
26
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
Slide 5:
D
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F
–
MNF-I Press Release – 24 April 2007 – Release 20070424-02 -- (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=11589&Itemid=128
Slide 6:
–
MNF-I Press Release – 24 April 2007 – Release 20070424-01- (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=11588&Itemid=128)
and Middle East Online - Jay Deshmukh – 24 April 2007 – (http://www.middle-east-online.com/english/iraq/?id=20474)
Slide 7:
–
Yahoo News – 24 April 2007 – (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070424/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_british_forces)
Slide 8:
–
DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report April 25, 2007
Slide 9:
–
http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory?id=3039139
–
http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0424/p99s01-duts.html
Slide 10:
–
NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 11:
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–
IRMO Weekly Report, April 24, 2007
Slide 12:
–
POC Bob Means, Department of State (202) 647-9815
–
The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
hours at 5000 MW average supply load. To date, national electricity supply for 2007is only one percent below 2006. Because demand is increasing, however,
the relative decline in national hours of power is much larger: an average of 8.9 hours for January 1-March 14, 2007, compared with an average of 10.5 hours
for the same period in 2006.
28
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
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E
Slide 13:
Electricity:
– USACE Daily Report – 19 April 07
Health:
– USACE Daily Report – 23 April 07
Transportation:
– USACE Daily Report – 18 April 07
Slide 14:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the IRMO Weekly Report – April 24, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 15:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 16:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 17:
– http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?storyid=1093150977
– http://www.menafn.com/qn_news_story_s.asp?StoryId=1093150712
Slide 18:
– Middle East Economic Survey, :Iraq MPs hold technical meetings on Oil Laws but May Deadline looks Tight,” Volume I. No 17, 23 April 2007
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 20:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
29
UNCLASSIFIED
April 25, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 21:
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–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
–
Weekly US National Outreach Engagement Notes 23-27 April: “Share the Story” www.mnf-iraq.com
Slide 22:
Slide 23:
Slide 24:
–
http://theseoultimes.com/ST/?url=/ST/db/read.php?idx=5123
–
The Washington Post - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/04/17/AR2007041701950.html
–
http://times.hankooki.com/lpage/nation/200612/kt2006120517330611980.htm
–
Associated Press - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070424/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_investment;_ylt=Asoyi7YQTTJ6SM0xoiCxCYYLewgF
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
Associated Press, Al-Qaida-Led Insurgents Announce an “Islamic Cabinet” for Iraq, April 19
Slide 25:
Slide 26:
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30
UNCLASSIFIED