June 20, 2007
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
June 20, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
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June 20, 2007
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Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of U.S. government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
6
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
8
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
10
Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
13
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
21
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
22
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
24
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
26
27
2
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June 20, 2007
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Highlights
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1.
Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
Suspected al-Qaida terrorists destroyed the two minarets of the Askariyah shrine in Samarra early
June 13, in a repeat of the 2006 attack that shattered the mosque’s famous golden dome. To ward
off a surge of violence, Prime Minister Maliki quickly imposed a curfew on vehicle traffic and large
gatherings in Baghdad. The following day, bombers posing as television cameramen destroyed the
Talha Bin al-Zubair mosque, an important Sunni shrine outside of Basrah, causing Maliki to order a
curfew for that city as well. The attack appeared to be the work of Shiite militants seeking revenge
for the Samarra attack. Overall, however, the 2007 Samarra attack has not yet ignited the same
waves of sectarian violence seen in the wake of the 2006 Samarra bombing.
2.
Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
The Department of Defense’s June 2007 report to Congress, “Measuring Stability and Security in
Iraq,” reports trained and equipped Iraqi Security Forces increased by 18,000 since the last quarterly
report in March. In addition, nine Iraqi divisions, 31 brigades, and 95 battalions are in the lead or
operating independently in their areas. That is an increase of one division headquarter and two
battalions since March. These troops are working alongside Coalition forces to provide greater
security to the Iraqi population.
3.
Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
A handful of Sunni mosques were attacked or burned in Baghdad June 14, and two major Sunni
mosques were burnt down in Basrah. Imposing immediate curfew and increased troop levels kept
Iraq in relative calm a day after suspected al-Qaida bombers toppled the towering minarets of the
Samarra mosque. Additionally, the U.S. military said Iraqi forces had arrested the Emergency
Service Unit commander and 12 policemen responsible for security at the shrine at the time of the
explosions.
4.
Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
Approximately 20,000 people in Baghdad, Karkh, Baghdad province, will receive improved sewage
and wastewater disposal service from the completed U.S.-funded repair of the Um al-Dilal sewage
lift station.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5.
Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
Fifteen Basrah senior bankers representing government and private banks met to discuss constraints
on the development of the banking sector, and proposed new institutions to assist the business
community, especially small and medium projects (SMEs). The banks also discussed the possible
establishment of a formal association, and ways to utilize available funding for increasing use of the
banking system, rather than the current cash-based methods.
6.
Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
As part of the continual, standardized training of the Iraqi security forces, more than 2,000 national
policemen from the 6th Brigade, 2nd Iraqi National Police Division, graduated from a four-week
training course at the National Police Academy in al-Numaniyah June 8. U.S. Army Maj. Gen.
Kenneth W. Hunzeker, the Civilian Police Assistance Training Team commanding general, tasked
with training, equipping and mentoring the Iraqi civilian police forces, talked to the national policemen
about their role in Iraq’s developing democracy. Hunzeker said, “You are the blue line between
insurgency and peace. You’ll be the champion of justice and an enforcer of the rule of law.”
7.
International Support for Iraq
The UN Security Council’s routine mid-year review of the mandate of the U.S.-led multi-national force
resulted in its continuation as requested by Iraq.
8.
Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Several religious leaders in Iraq used their June 15 sermons to discuss the bombing of the Askariyah
shrine in Samarra. A representative of Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani in Karbala reportedly implicated
lax security in the attacks and questioned whether political sensitivities had prevented proper
disclosure of information available to the Iraqi government. He also argued that the more serious
political problem will be the sectarian violence that can result from attacks on holy places.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Suspected AQI Terrorists Bomb Samarra Mosque:
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• Suspected al-Qaida terrorists destroyed the two minarets of the Askariyah shrine in Samarra early
June 13, in a repeat of the 2006 attack that shattered the mosque’s famous golden dome. To ward off
a surge of violence, Prime Minister Maliki quickly imposed a curfew on vehicle traffic and large
gatherings in Baghdad.
• The following day, bombers posing as television cameramen destroyed the Talha Bin al-Zubair
mosque, an important Sunni shrine outside of Basrah, causing Maliki to order a curfew for that city as
well. The attack appeared to be the work of Shiite militants seeking revenge for the Samarra attack.
• Overall, however, the 2007 Samarra attack has not yet ignited the same waves of sectarian violence
seen in the wake of the 2006 Samarra bombing.
Coalition and Iraqi Special Operations Forces Capture Two Key Individuals:
• Coalition and Iraqi special operations forces detained two wanted individuals June 15. The first al-Hilfi
was the head of the secret cells of the extremist elements associated within the Jaysh al-Mahdi and
was reportedly involved in kidnappings and operations against Coalition Forces (CF). The second
was Abu Tiba who was a member of the Ajur al-Dulaimi gang that is believed to be associated with the
recent kidnapping of the British citizens at the Ministry of Finance in Baghdad.
Joint Forces Kill Key AQI Leader:
• Iraqi Army and CF killed terrorist leader Kamal Jalil Bakr ‘Uthman, also known as Sa’id Hamza, during
a search operation in western Mosul June 12. Kamal was known to be the al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI)
military emir of Mosul, and intelligence indicates he planned, coordinated, and facilitated suicide
bombings in the Mosul area.
5
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
Quarterly Report Describes ISF Development:
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• The Department of Defense’s June 2007 report to Congress, “Measuring Stability and
Security in Iraq,” reports trained and equipped Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) increased by
18,000 since the last quarterly report in March.
• In addition, nine Iraqi divisions, 31 brigades, and 95 battalions are in the lead or operating
independently in their areas. That is an increase of one division headquarter and two
battalions since March. These troops are working alongside Coalition forces to provide
greater security to the Iraqi population.
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6
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
POLICE
~135,000
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 26,300
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~32,900
TOTAL
~194,200**
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
~156,900***
AIR FORCE
~900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~158,900**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~353,100****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
7
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government
Reprisals After Second Attack on Samarra Mosque:
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• Some Sunni mosques were attacked or burned June 14, but most notably, two major
Sunni mosques were totally destroyed in Basrah. A Government ordered curfew was
imposed, and increased troop levels kept Iraq in relative calm a day after suspected alQaida bombers toppled the towering minarets of the Samarra mosque. Additionally, the
U.S. military said Iraqi forces had arrested the Emergency Service Unit commander and
12 policemen responsible for security at the shrine at the time of the explosions.
• Prime Minister Maliki fired the Basrah police chief June 18 over his forces’ failure to stop
reprisal attacks this weekend on Sunni mosques. At least two major mosques were
attacked in the Basrah area over the weekend in retaliation for June 13 attack of the
Samarra shrine.
Iraqi Sunni Leader Dies of Heart Attack:
• Iraq’s top Sunni Arab religious leader, Shaykh Jamal al-Din Abd al-Karim al-Dabban, died
June 17 at the age of 68. Dabban suffered a heart attack in his hometown of Tikrit.
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June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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M Agriculture
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N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
(F) = Female
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
* Vacant
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
*
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister
of Foreign
*
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
*
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Safa al Safi (acting)
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
*
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
*
Minister of State for
Civil Society
*
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
*
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Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
Committed
Apportioned
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Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,004.79
$4,978.21
$4,978.21
$0.00
$4,975.17
$4,975.17
$0.00
$4,797.45
$4,797.45
$0.00
Electricity Sector
$4,216.87
$4,171.28
$4,171.28
$0.00
$4,046.30
$4,046.30
$0.00
$3,322.85
$3,322.85
$0.00
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,623.09
$1,623.09
$0.00
$1,572.42
$1,572.42
$0.00
$1,456.14
$1,456.14
$0.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,302.73
$1,302.73
$0.00
$1,296.75
$1,296.75
$0.00
$1,092.52
$1,092.52
$0.00
Democracy
$998.35
$997.98
$997.98
$0.00
$997.91
$997.91
$0.00
$932.51
$934.51
$2.01
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$410.06
$399.91
$399.91
$0.00
$399.90
$399.90
$0.00
$368.06
$369.56
$1.50
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$327.80
$327.80
$0.00
$320.73
$320.73
$0.00
$227.06
$227.06
$0.00
Health Care
$816.22
$770.75
$770.75
$0.00
$758.81
$758.81
$0.00
$668.79
$668.79
$0.00
Transportation and
Communications
$456.72
$455.45
$455.45
$0.00
$447.17
$447.17
$0.00
$354.39
$354.39
$0.00
$2,115.79
$2,006.53
$2,006.53
$0.00
$1,963.12
$1,963.12
$0.00
$1,614.27
$1,614.27
$0.00
Private Sector Development
$809.26
$808.91
$808.91
$0.00
$808.91
$808.91
$0.00
$789.19
$789.24
$0.05
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$211.05
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$188.13
$188.19
$0.06
$18,401.56
$18,053.11
$18,053.11
$0.00
$17,797.66
$17,797.66
$0.00
$15,811.36
$15,814.98
$3.62
IRRF II Construction
-
$10,341.46
$10,341.46
$0.00
$10,090.24
$10,090.24
$0.00
$8,656.77
$8,656.77
$0.00
IRRF II Non-Construction
-
$6,713.68
$6,713.68
$0.00
$6,709.52
$6,709.52
$0.00
$6,222.09
$6,223.70
$1.61
IRRF II Democracy
-
$997.98
$997.98
$0.00
$997.91
$997.91
$0.00
$932.51
$934.51
$2.01
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,874.86
$20,526.41
$20,526.41
$0.00
$20,029.96
$20,029.96
$0.00
$17,950.36
$17,953.98
$3.62
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
As of June 19, 2007
10
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
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Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Daily Supply
7-Day Average Supply
Estimated Demand
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
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50,000
6/14/07
3/16/07
12/16/06
9/17/06
6/19/06
3/21/06
12/21/05
9/22/05
6/24/05
3/26/05
12/26/04
9/27/04
6/29/04
3/31/04
1/1/04
0
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Date
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E • For the week of June 13-19, national electricity supply was unchanged from the same period in
2006.
11
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Sanitation and Water
Sanitation:
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•
Approximately 20,000 people in Baghdad, Karkh, Baghdad province, will receive
improved sewage and wastewater disposal service from the completed U.S.-funded
repair of the Um al-Delal sewage lift station.
Water:
•
Over 1,600 area residents in al-Rutba, al-Anbar province will receive clean potable
water from the completed U.S.-funded WP/PW RW (10) Haweoa project.
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12
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending June 15 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $65.168/ barrel
– Dated Brent at $70.442/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $66.646/ barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $65.036/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis
Last
Week
Iraqis
This
Week
%
change
Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA)
21,555
20,129
-7%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)
49,174
4,534
56,462
4,265
15%
-6%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
9,338
8,986
11,984
8,986
28%
0%
GRAND TOTAL
93,587
101,826
9%
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
Employment Program
CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of June 19
13
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since September, the
Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in an effort to rein in galloping inflation. There
are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit, as year-to-date inflation as of May 31 is 2.3%, which projects a pace well
below the IMF annual target of 30%. However, this decline in the rate of inflation may be temporary, as the CBI has slowed its
appreciation of the currency and the rate of inflation (particularly for energy prices) typically picks up in the second half of the year. It
must also be noted that overall inflation and food prices typically decline in May (with the exception of May 2006), and that the May
2007 declines (-0.5%) were not as large as those recorded in previous years.
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: June 25, 2006 – June 19, 2007
$100.0
1,500
$90.0
$80.0
1,450
$70.0
$60.0
1,400
$50.0
$40.0
1,350
NIDExchange Rate
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USDSold(Millions)
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A
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M
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N
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$30.0
$20.0
1,300
$10.0
25
Ju - 2
Ju l 2 9
Ju l 9 - 6
l Ju 16 13
Ju J l 2 - 2
l 3ul 3 - 0
1 26 25
- A Au 30
u
A g g7
u 8
A A g1 -1
u u 1 0
g g S 3 2 2
S ep 0 - 3 - 2
ep 6 S 2
S 1 - S ep9
ep 3 e 5
2 -S p
S 1 - ep 12
ep S
1
O 26 ep 9
O ct - O 25
c 3
O t 1 - O ct 2
ct 1 - c
1 Ot1
N 9 ct 0
o
N v O 18
o 4 ct
v 8 N 29
- o
N N No v
o o
v 7
v
v
D 2 1 14
D ec 9 - 5 ec 6 D 2
8
D 13- D ec
ec
- Dec 1
2
Ja 0 ec12
Ja n - D 1
n 8 - ec 8
Ja 17 J 2
n - an 6
Ja 23 Jan16
n F 3 Ja 22
e 0 n
F b 6 - F 29
eb
- e
F 1 Fe b
eb 4 b 5
F 21 Fe 13
eb - b
F 2
M 28 eb 0
ar 2
7- Ma 7
M r
M
arM ar 6
1
2a
M 2-r 1 3
ar M42
a
A 2 r 0
A p 8- 27
p r A
r 3- pr
A 10 A 2
p - p
r A
A 17 p r 8
p - r
r A 16
M 24- pr
M ay Ap 23
a
M y 2- r 3
a 9 M 0
M y - M ay
ay 16 a 8
- y
M 23 Ma 15
Juay - M y 2
3
Ju ne 0- ay 2
n 6- Ju 29
e J n
17 un e
-J e 4
u 13
ne
19
$0.0
1,250
Ju
n
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
14
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
June 4, 2006 - June 15, 2007
11.00%
$70.00
$68.00
10.50%
$66.00
10.00%
$64.00
9.50%
$62.00
Yield Percentage
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• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to
approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial
debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’
current yield of 9.6 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
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P
A
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M
E
N
T
9.00%
$60.00
8.50%
$58.00
$56.00
8.00%
1J
12 u n
-J
u
21 n
-J
30 u n
-J
u
11 n
-J
u
20 l
-J
31 u l
-J
9- u l
A
18 u g
-A
29 u g
-A
u
7- g
Se
18 p
-S
27 e p
-S
e
6- p
Oc
17 t
-O
26 ct
-O
c
6- t
No
15 v
-N
24 o v
-N
o
5- v
De
14 c
-D
25 e c
-D
e
3- c
Ja
12 n
-J
a
23 n
-J
a
1- n
Fe
12 b
-F
21 e b
-F
e
2- b
M
13 a r
-M
22 a r
-M
a
2- r
Ap
11 r
-A
20 p r
-A
p
1- r
M
10 a y
-M
21 a y
-M
30 a y
-M
a
8- y
Ju
n
S
T
A
T
E
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
15
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Economic Events
Basrah Senior Bankers Meet to Discuss Challenges:
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•
Unused Funds Identified:
•
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Fifteen Basrah senior bankers representing government and private banks met to
discuss constraints on the development of the banking sector, and proposed new
institutions to assist the business community, especially small and medium projects
(SMEs). The banks also discussed the possible establishment of a formal
association, and ways to utilize available funding for increasing use of the banking
system, rather than the current cash-based methods.
Anbar Provincial Director Generals and the Governor have identified 87.6 billion Iraqi
Dinars ($70 million) in Rapid Reconstruction Funds that were not used in FY 2006.
The Governor has obtained permission from the Ministry of Finance to roll those
funds over to FY 2007, while the Governor’s staff is working on a project list to utilize
these funds.
Economic Activity in Diyala Province Slows Due to Security:
•
Military operations and curfew have slowed much of the economic activity in and
around the Diyala river valley. Many shops have closed temporarily and
transportation between the cities and villages of the region has been impeded due to
the security situation. The monthly money shipment from Baghdad has not been
completed for June, causing an acute liquidity crisis. Government salaries and
pensions are also going unpaid.
16
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.40
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.13
2.18
2.19
2.16
2.17
2.03
2.06
2.04
2.00
1.85
1.74
1.60
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.20
0.80
O
F
0.40
S
T
A
T
E
0.00
April 9-15
April 16-22 April 23-29
April 30May 6
May 7-13
May 14-20
Production
May 21-27
May 28 June 3
June 4-10
June 11-17
Target
• Weekly Average (June 11 – 17) of 1.85 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
$4.00
$3.50
1.68
1.68
1.62
1.55
1.44
1.50
1.45
$3.00
1.64
1.58
1.50
1.38
$2.50
$1.33
$2.00
1.30
1.20
$3.41
$3.44
$3.05
$2.75
$2.73
USD (Billions)
1.80
$1.50
$2.75
$2.46
$2.45
$2.19
$2.11
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.00
$1.89
$1.33
$0.50
0.00
$0.00
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$13.9 Billion
18
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
4%
0%
22%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Import
51%
60%
96%
100%
40%
78%
49%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of June 11 – 17
• Diesel: 7.9 ML supply of 22.4 ML target
• Kerosene: 2.9 ML supply of 7.5 ML target
• Gasoline: 9.1 ML supply of 21.0 ML target
• LPG: 2,262 tons supply of 5,130 tons target
19
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Apr-07
Jun-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
May-07
10
O
F
5
5
S
T
A
T
E
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
20
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
National Police Academy Continually Develops Security Forces:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• As part of the continual, standardized training of the Iraqi security forces, more than
2,000 national policemen from the 6th Brigade, 2nd Iraqi National Police Division,
graduated from a four-week training course at the National Police Academy in An
Numaniyah on June 8. U.S. Army Maj. Gen. Kenneth W. Hunzeker, the Civilian Police
Assistance Training Team commanding general, tasked with training, equipping and
mentoring the Iraqi civilian police forces, talked to the national policemen about their role
in Iraq’s developing democracy. Hunzeker said, “You are the blue line between
insurgency and peace. You’ll be the champion of justice and an enforcer of the rule of
law.”
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
21
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
UN Security Council Continues Iraq Mandate:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• The UN Security Council’s routine mid-year review of the mandate of the U.S.-led multi-national force
resulted in its continuation as requested by Iraq.
PKK Commander Warns Turkey of “Military Disaster” if Troops Enter Iraq:
• Cemil Bayık, a senior commander of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), warned the Turkish
government against sending its military forces into northern Iraq, saying that while his units were not
seeking a fight, the Turkish army faced “a political and military disaster” if it crosses into Iraq as part of
an offensive against the PKK.
Georgian Parliament Approves Iraq Increase:
• Georgia’s parliament has overwhelmingly approved President Mikheil Saakashvili’s proposal to more
than double the country’s military contingent in Iraq to 2,000 soldiers.
Syria and Jordan Enact Tougher Restrictions on Iraqi Refugees:
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• New entry and residency conditions have been imposed in both Jordan and Syria, resulting in tens of
thousands of refugees being stranded on Iraq’s borders and families being divided according to their
age and the type of passport they hold. Currently, at least 2.2 million Iraqis are sheltered in either of
the two nations.
Japan Extends Air Force Transportation Mission in Iraq:
• Japanese lawmakers approved a two-year extension of the country's air force transport mission in
Iraq. The legislation cleared the upper house with support from members of Prime Minister Shinzo
Abe's ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner, the New Komei Party, upper house
official Yuji Masaki said. The lower house - also dominated by the ruling coalition - approved the
legislation last month.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of June 8, 2007
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 11,637 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
23
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Friday Sermons Discuss Samarra Bombing:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• Several religious leaders in Iraq used their June 15 sermons to discuss the bombing of
the Askariyah shrine in Samarra. A representative of Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani in
Karbala reportedly implicated lax security in the attacks and questioned whether political
sensitivities had prevented proper disclosure of information available to the Iraqi
government. He also argued that the more serious political problem will be the sectarian
violence that can result from attacks on holy places.
• Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq (ISCI) leader Nasser al-Din al-Qubanji said in his
sermon that takfiris, Saddamists, and Ba’thists were behind the explosions, adding blame
on the “infiltrated” Iraqi security forces for their lax protection of the site in the 16 months
since the prior blast. Occupation forces also received blame in his sermon for condoning
poor security generally and even putting terrorists back on the street after their detention
by the Iraqi government.
• Salah al-Ubaidi, a Sadrist preacher at the Kufa mosque, is reported simply to have called
for the shrine to be rebuilt rapidly by Sunni, Shia and all who love God, and said that
silence about the first attack is what allowed and encouraged “God’s enemies” to strike a
second time.
24
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Iraq Journalist Found Dead in Baghdad:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• Iraqi police said that the body of an Iraqi newspaper editor kidnapped last week in
eastern Baghdad was found June 17. Flayeh Wadi Mijdab, editor of the state-owned alSabah newspaper was ambushed by gunmen June 13 as he was heading to work.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
26
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
Slide 5:
D
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–
–
–
Press Briefing with Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Ryan Crocker, and Gen. David Petraeus, commander, Multi-National Force – 19
June 2007 -- (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12401&Itemid=131)
MNSTC-I – The Advisor – 16 June 2007
Yahoo News – Charles Hanley – 13 June 2007 – (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070613/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq) and Yahoo News – Stephen Hurst – 15 June
2007 – (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070615/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq;_ylt=ApDSeWze2_ITGsLEdRv8ho4LewgF)
Slide 6:
– MNSTC-I – The Advisor – 16 June 2007
Slide 7:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report June 20, 2007
Slide 8:
–
(AP, http://news.yahoo.com)
–
AFP - http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070611/wl_mideast_afp/iraqpoliticsparliamentspeaker
–
www.washingtonpost.com
–
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/world/iraq/20070612-0028-iraq-religion.html
Slide 9:
–
NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 10:
–
ITAO Weekly Report, June 19, 2007
Slide 11:
–
POC Bob Means, Department of State (202) 647-9815
–
The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average supplied load or 24
hours at 5000 MW average supply load.
27
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
D
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M
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N
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O
F
S
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A
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Slide 12:
Sanitation:
– USACE Daily Report – June 14
Water:
– USACE Daily Report – June 13
Slide 13:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the ITAO Weekly Report – June 19, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 14:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org
Slide 15:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 16:
– PRT Weekly Summary June 8 – June 14
Slide 17:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 18:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
28
UNCLASSIFIED
June 20, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 20:
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–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
–
The Advisor, MNSTC-I Public Affairs, June 16, 2007
–
–
–
–
www.un.org
www.bbc.com
www.middle-east-online.com
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070620/ap_on_re_as/japan_iraq
–
DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly
–
Baghdad OI, June 16
–
Associated Press, “Iraqi Police: Editor of State-Owned al-Sabah Newspaper Found Dead in Baghdad”, June 17
Slide 21:
Slide 22:
Slide 23:
Slide 24:
Slide 25:
O
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29
UNCLASSIFIED