July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
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July 4, 2007
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Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
1
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of U.S. government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
8
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
10
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
13
Services
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
16
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
24
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
25
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
27
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
28
29
2
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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1.
Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
Coalition Forces (CF) are increasing the pressure on extremists, simultaneously applying more force
in Baghdad and in the belts around the city. These operations have had several recent successes:
CF killed a significant senior al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI) leader -- Abu Abd al-Rahman al-Masri June 29.
He had an extensive history with AQI and worked directly for Abu Ayyub al-Masri, the AQI leader,
facilitating communications throughout the region. Also, earlier in June, Iraqi Army and CF killed
Kamal Jalil Bakr Uthman, also known as Said Hamza, who was the AQI military emir of Mosul and
who had planned, coordinated and facilitated suicide bombings. Uthman also facilitated the
movement of more than 100 foreign fighters through safe houses in the area.
2.
Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
Hundreds of volunteers from area tribes willing to fight against al-Qaida, turned out for a screening to
become Iraqi Police candidates in Baghdad’s Nasir Wa Salam and Abu Ghraib neighborhoods,
starting June 25. The three-day recruiting drive by the Ministry of Interior saw more than 600 men
participate. During the recruiting drive, potential candidates were screened for identification, health,
and fitness.
3.
Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Prime Minister Maliki’s Cabinet of Ministers unanimously approved a draft oil law on July 2 with 24 of
the cabinets 37 members present. Cabinet members from the Sunni Accord Front and the Shiite
Sadrist Movement boycotted the meeting due to separate political disputes with Maliki. The draft,
crucial to regulating how wealth from Iraq's huge reserves will be shared by its sectarian and ethnic
groups, was originally approved by the cabinet in February but faced stiff opposition from Kurds, who
felt they were getting a bad deal.
4.
Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
In excess of 35,000 patients per year will receive outpatient healthcare from the completed al-Thani
Public Health Clinics which can treat up to 100 patients per day.
3
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5.
Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
U.S. Government-funded micro-finance providers hit a milestone this week, with total loan
disbursements since the inception of the program in August 2003 surpassing $100 million.
6.
Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 99 individuals from May 20 - June 2 for violations
of the Iraqi Terrorist Law, Penal Code and Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) Orders enforced by
the Iraqi judiciary.
7.
International Support for Iraq
South Korea has delayed a decision on when to pull its 1,200 remaining troops out of Iraq, raising the
possibility that it could extend the mission for another year. South Korean troops have been stationed
in northern Iraq on a reconstruction mission since 2003.
8.
Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the Insurgents
In a tacit admission of the troubles between Iraq’s two largest Shiite political parties, their respective
leaders signed an agreement this week to work together and back appointments to the cabinet and
other posts based on professional experience rather than party allegiances.
S
T
A
T
E
4
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Focused Operations Against al-Qaida and al-Qaida Affiliates:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
• Coalition Forces (CF) and Iraqi forces are increasing the pressure on extremists, both in
Baghdad and in the belts around the city. These operations have had several recent
successes:
• CF killed a significant senior al-Qaida in Iraq (AQI) leader -- Abu Abd al-Rahman alMasri June 29. He had an extensive history with AQI and worked directly for Abu
Ayyub al-Masri, the al-Qaida leader of Iraq, facilitating communications throughout
the region.
• Earlier in June, Iraqi Army and coalition forces killed Kamal Jalil Bakr Uthman, aka
Said Hamza, who was the AQI military emir of Mosul and who had planned,
coordinated and facilitated suicide bombings. Uthman also facilitated the movement
of more than 100 foreign fighters through safe houses in the area.
S
T
A
T
E
5
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Operations Targeting Secret Cells and Special Groups:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• Coalition Forces (CF) are also targeting extremist elements known as Secret Cells or Special Groups
who are destabilizing the security situation in Iraq. These “Special Groups” (militia extremists) are
funded, trained, and armed by external sources, specifically by Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps
Quds Force operatives.
• In the past few months, Iraqi and CF have conducted a range of operations against these Special
Groups. The following slide shows 27 of the higher level operatives that have been detained or killed
since February of this year. The majority are in detention but three were killed when they took hostile
action against CF. These individuals played key roles in the planning and execution of bombings,
kidnappings, extortion, sectarian murders, illegal arms trafficking, and other attacks against Iraqi
citizens, police, army and CF.
• Interrogations of these Special Group members have revealed how Iranian Quds Force (IQF)
operatives are training, funding, and arming Iraqi Special Groups as well as how Iranian operatives are
using Lebanese surrogates to create Hizballah-like capabilities. Multi-National Forces-Iraq reports CF
have also learned:
• The IQF goal is to develop the Iraqi Special Groups into a network similar to the Lebanese
Hizballah.
• Funding and training of the Special Groups started in 2004.
• The IQF supplies Special Groups with EFPs, machine guns, rockets, sniper rifles, rocket
propelled grenades and IEDs.
• Iraqi Special Groups are trained in one of three training camps inside Iran and are operated by
the IQF and supported by Lebanese Hizballah operatives.
6
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Central
Iraq
• Hakim al Zamili – 9 Feb
• Abu Zaynab – 21 Feb
• Raydih Hashin Yashir – 20 Mar
• Abu Rusl – 03 Apr
• Abu Mustafa – 05 Apr
D• Abu Liqa – 11 Apr
E• Abu Sha’lan – 13 Apr
P• Abu Yasir al Sheibani – 20 Apr
Basem – 28 Apr
A•• Abu
Abu Zaki – 04 May
R• Abu Zahrah – 05 May
T• Abu Musa – 13 May
• Azhar Dulaymi – Killed 19 May
M
• Husayn Abu Abdullah – 30 May
E• Abbas – 31 May
N• Allawi – 4 Jun 2007
T• Asa’ad – 5 Jun
• Abu Karrar – Killed 9 Jun
• Abu Tiba –16 Jun 07
27 Special Group Members Captured
or Killed since Feb. 9, 2007
O
FSouthern Iraq
• Juma’a Diwan – 18 Feb
• Ali Mussa Daqduq – 20 Mar
S• Qayis Khazali – 20 Mar
T• Layith Khazali – 20 Mar
A• Captain Qays – 20 Mar
• Sheikh Adnan – 22 Mar
T• Muhammad Tahir – 4 May
E• Wisam Abu Qadir – Killed 25 May
Accused Terrorists
7
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Iraqi Citizens Volunteer to Join Iraqi Police:
• Hundreds of volunteers from area tribes, willing to fight against al-Qaida, turned out for a
screening to become Iraqi Police candidates in Baghdad’s Nasir Wa Salam and Abu
Ghraib neighborhoods, starting June 25. The three-day recruiting drive by the Ministry of
Interior saw more than 600 men participate. During the recruiting drive, potential
candidates were screened for identification, health, and fitness.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
8
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Ministry of Interior Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
POLICE
~135,000
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 26,300
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~32,900
TOTAL
~194,200*
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
~156,900***
AIR FORCE
~900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~158,900**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~353,100****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
9
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government
PM Urges Sunni Bloc to end Boycott:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
• Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki urged Sunni lawmakers to end their boycott of his
cabinet, insisting that the case of a Sunni minister accused of terrorism is a purely judicial
matter. The Tawafuq Party (the main Sunni parliamentary bloc) announced that its six
ministers would suspend participation in the government to protest the attempted arrest
of Culture Minister Asad Kamal al-Hashimi.
Cabinet Approves Draft Oil Law:
• Prime Minister Maliki’s Cabinet of Ministers unanimously approved a draft oil law on July
2 with 24 of the cabinets 37 members present. Cabinet members from the Sunni Accord
Front and the Shiite Sadrist Movement boycotted the meeting due to separate political
disputes with Maliki. The draft, crucial to regulating how wealth from Iraq's huge reserves
will be shared by its sectarian and ethnic groups, was originally approved by the cabinet
in February but faced stiff opposition from Kurds, who felt they were getting a bad deal.
Sadr Canceled Planned Protest March in Samara:
S
T
A
T
E
• Iraqi Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr has cancelled plans for his followers to march on a
destroyed Shiite mosque in the Sunni city of Samarra next week. Asad al-Ansari, a Shiite
imam and Sadr loyalist, cited the government's refusal to secure the route as one of the
reasons for the delay.
10
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government
Provincial Iraq Elections to Proceed as Planned:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• According to PM Maliki, Provincial Iraqi elections will be held in 2007 as planned. “We
are determined to hold the provincial elections this year,” he said in a statement after
meeting the Independent Electoral Commission of Iraq. Maliki gave no date for the
elections but added that he had asked the Commission to find a way to make sure Iraqis
can vote even if they have left the country, or have moved to another part of the country.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
11
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
D
E
P
A
R
T Minister of
M Agriculture
*
E
of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
(F) = Female
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
* Vacant
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
*
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister
of Foreign
*
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
*
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Safa al Safi (acting)
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
*
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
*
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Wijdan Mikha’il (acting)
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
*
12
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
Apportioned
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Committed
Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,004.79
$4,978.21
$4,978.21
$0.00
$4,975.17
$4,975.17
$0.00
$4,797.45
$4,797.45
$0.00
Electricity Sector
$4,216.87
$4,171.28
$4,171.28
$0.00
$4,046.30
$4,046.30
$0.00
$3,322.85
$3,322.85
$0.00
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,623.09
$1,623.09
$0.00
$1,572.42
$1,572.42
$0.00
$1,456.14
$1,456.14
$0.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,302.73
$1,302.73
$0.00
$1,296.75
$1,296.75
$0.00
$1,092.52
$1,092.54
$0.03
Democracy
$998.35
$997.98
$997.98
$0.00
$997.91
$997.91
$0.00
$934.51
$934.51
$0.00
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$410.06
$399.91
$399.91
$0.00
$399.90
$399.90
$0.00
$369.56
$369.57
$0.01
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$327.80
$327.80
$0.00
$320.73
$320.73
$0.00
$227.06
$227.06
$0.00
Health Care
$816.22
$770.75
$770.75
$0.00
$758.81
$758.81
$0.00
$668.79
$668.79
$0.00
Transportation and
Communications
$456.72
$455.45
$455.45
$0.00
$447.17
$447.17
$0.00
$354.39
$354.39
$0.00
$2,115.79
$2,006.53
$2,006.53
$0.00
$1,963.12
$1,963.12
$0.00
$1,614.27
$1,614.27
$0.00
Private Sector Development
$809.26
$808.91
$808.91
$0.00
$808.91
$808.91
$0.00
$789.24
$789.24
$0.00
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$211.05
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$210.48
$210.48
$0.00
$188.19
$188.44
$0.25
$18,401.56
$18,053.11
$18,053.11
$0.00
$17,797.66
$17,797.66
$0.00
$15,814.98
$15,815.27
$0.29
IRRF II Construction
-
$10,341.46
$10,341.46
$0.00
$10,090.24
$10,090.24
$0.00
$8,656.77
$8,656.77
$0.00
IRRF II Non-Construction
-
$6,713.68
$6,713.68
$0.00
$6,709.52
$6,709.52
$0.00
$6,223.70
$6,223.99
$0.29
IRRF II Democracy
-
$997.98
$997.98
$0.00
$997.91
$997.91
$0.00
$934.51
$934.51
$0.00
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,874.86
$20,526.41
$20,526.41
$0.00
$20,029.96
$20,029.96
$0.00
$17,953.98
$17,954.27
$0.29
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
As of June 26, 2007
13
This week’s data was received after the WSR was
finalized. If you need the updated data, please
contact NEA-I-IPOG@state.gov
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Daily Supply
7-Day Average Supply
Estimated Demand
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
O
F
50,000
6/14/07
3/16/07
12/16/06
9/17/06
6/19/06
3/21/06
12/21/05
9/22/05
6/24/05
3/26/05
12/26/04
9/27/04
6/29/04
3/31/04
1/1/04
0
S
T
Date
A
T
E • For the week of June 27-July 3, national electricity supply was 6 percent below the same period in
2006.
14
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Education and Health
Education:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
•
The completed, U.S.-funded BE/CERP7/Repair Two Schools project provides a safe
and secure learning environment for over 250 schoolchildren.
Health:
•
Area residents of al-Ameen will receive outpatient healthcare from the completed U.S.funded BR03 al-Ameen Public Health Clinics, which can treat up to 100 patients per
day.
•
In excess of 35,000 patients per year will receive outpatient healthcare from the
completed BR11 al-Thani Public Health Clinics, which can treat up to 100 patients per
day.
S
T
A
T
E
15
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending April 20 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $66.892/ barrel
– Dated Brent at $72.158/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $68.726/ barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $66.788/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqi Employment Per Organization
Iraqis Last
Week
Iraqis This
Week
%
Change
Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA)
21,335
21,335
0%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
41,298
43,546
5.44%
Commander’s Emergency Response Program (CERP)
4,636
4,636
0%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
12,502
10,664
-14.7%
Iraq Reconstruction Relief Fund (IRRF) Non-Construction
8,986
8,986
0%
Grand Total
88,757
89,167
.46%
Employment Program
CERP employment numbers are representative of Baghdad only.
Data as of July 3
16
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
$100.0
1,500
$90.0
$80.0
1,450
$70.0
$60.0
1,400
$50.0
$40.0
1,350
NID Exchange Rate
O
F
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: July 2, 2006 – June 25, 2007
USD Sold (Millions)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
• The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since
September, the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in an effort to rein in
galloping inflation. There are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit, as year-to-date inflation is 2.8%,
which projects a pace well below the IMF annual target of 30%. However, this decline in the rate of inflation may be
temporary, as the CBI has slowed its appreciation of the currency and the rate of inflation (particularly for energy prices)
typically picks up in the second half of the year.
$30.0
$20.0
1,300
$10.0
$0.0
1,250
Ju
Ju l 2
Ju l 9 6
Jul 16 - 1
3
Ju J l 2 - 2
l 3ul 3 - 0
1 26 25
A Au- 3
A ug g 0
u 8 7
A A g1 u u 1 10
g
S 3g Seep 0 23 22
6 - S p 1 - Se 29
ep 3 S p
e
2 - p 5
S 1 Se 12
ep - S p
O 26 ep 19
O ct - 2
c 3 O 5
O t 1 - O ct
ct 1 c 2
- t
N 19 Oc 10
N ov - O t 1
ov 4 c 8
t
8 - N 29
N N - N ov
o o o 7
D v 2v 1 v 1
D ec 9 - 5 - 4
e 6
D c 1 - DDe28
ec 3 e c
- c 1
Ja 20 De 12
Ja n - D c 1
n 8 e
Ja 1 - J c 28
n 7 - an 6
Ja 23 Ja 1
- n 6
F n 3 Ja 2
e
2
F b 60 - n 2
e
F 9
Feb 1 - F eb
b 4- eb 5
F 21 Fe 13
eb - b
M 28 Fe 20
ar - b
7- Ma 27
M r
M
ar M ar 6
a
M 22r 1 13
ar -M 4a2
A Ap 28- r 20
p r A 7
r 3- p
A 10 A r
p 2
A r 1 Appr
p 7- r 8
r A 1
M 24 p 6
M ay -Apr 2
3
a
M y 2- r 3
a 9 M
M y -M a 0
ay 16 a y
M 2 -M y 18
Juay 3- May 5
J n 30 a 22
Juun e 6 -J y 2
n e 1 -Juun 9
e 7 ne
20 -J e 4
- un 13
Ju e
n 19
e
25
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
S
T
A
T
E
Iraqi Commercial Bond Sales
June 4, 2006 - July 4, 2007
$70.00
11.00%
$68.00
10.50%
$66.00
$64.00
9.50%
$62.00
Yield Percentage
10.00%
9.00%
$60.00
8.50%
$58.00
$56.00
8.00%
1Ju
12 n
-J
u
21 n
-J
u
30 n
-J
u
11 n
-J
20 u l
-J
u
31 l
-J
u
9- l
Au
18 g
-A
29 ug
-A
u
7- g
Se
18 p
-S
27 ep
-S
ep
6Oc
17 t
-O
26 ct
-O
c
6- t
N
o
15 v
-N
24 ov
-N
o
5- v
D
14 ec
-D
25 ec
-D
e
3- c
Ja
12 n
-J
a
23 n
-J
a
1- n
Fe
12 b
-F
21 eb
-F
eb
2M
13 ar
-M
22 ar
-M
a
2- r
Ap
11 r
-A
20 pr
-A
p
1- r
M
10 ay
-M
21 ay
-M
30 ay
-M
a
8- y
Ju
n
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to
approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial
debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028. The bonds’
current yield of 10.4 percent remains one of the highest in the world for sovereign debt instruments.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
18
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Economic Events
Microfinance in Iraq Achieves Several Milestones in May:
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• U.S. Government-funded micro-finance providers hit a milestone this week, with total
loan disbursements since the inception of the program in August 2003 surpassing
$100 million. Over that same period, more than 50,000 micro-finance loans have
been made to Iraqi small businesses and entrepreneurs. During the month of May,
five microfinance institutions in Iraq had a total of over 18,000 active clients and
disbursed over $5M, with an outstanding loan portfolio of $24,983,761 in 16
provinces. Expansion to al-Anbar and Dahuk is expected in the next three months,
ensuring all 18 provinces have access to microfinance services.
Contracts Awarded to Local Iraq Companies:
•
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
The U.S. military is making a concerted effort to push Iraq's government, civil service
and business community to work together effectively. Maj. Gen. Darryl A. Scott,
head of the Joint Contracting Command for Iraq and Afghanistan, said some 52% of
all contracts are now going to Iraqi companies working around the country. This shift
came in response to "very high-profile failures by large international companies" on
past reconstruction deals. This year, the United States awarded $650 million worth
of contracts to Iraq firms, which has generated jobs for almost 42,000 Iraqis. About
half of the contracted work supports the U.S. military, while 28% is targeted for
infrastructure and the remainder is earmarked primarily to help build up the Iraqi
security forces.
19
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.40
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.19
2.16
2.17
2.03
2.06
2.04
2.09
2.02
2.00
1.85
1.74
1.60
Millions of Barrels Per Day
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P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.20
0.80
O
F
0.40
S
T
A
T
E
0.00
April 23-29
April 30May 6
May 7-13
May 14-20
May 21-27
Production
May 28 June 3
June 4-10
June 11-17 June 18-24
June 25 July 1
Target
• Weekly Average (June 25 – July 1) of 2.09 Million Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
20
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
$4.00
$3.50
1.68
1.68
1.62
1.55
1.44
1.50
1.45
$3.00
1.64
1.58
1.50
1.47
$2.50
1.30
$2.00
1.20
$3.41
$3.44
$3.05
$2.75
$2.73
$2.75
$2.87
USD (Billions)
1.80
$1.50
$2.46
$2.45
$2.19
$2.11
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
Millions of Barrels per Day
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N
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Projected
$1.00
$1.89
$0.50
0.00
$0.00
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$15.4 Billion
21
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
5%
0%
32%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
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A
R
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M
E
N
T
65%
60%
95%
100%
40%
68%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
Import
35%
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for the week of June 25 – July 1
• Diesel: 7.3 ML supply of 22.4 ML target
• Kerosene: 2.3 ML supply of 7.5 ML target
• Gasoline: 10.5 ML supply of 21.0 ML target
• LPG: 2,330 tons supply of 5,130 tons target
22
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Apr-07
Jun-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
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A
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T
M
E
N
T
May-07
10
O
F
5
5
S
T
A
T
E
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
23
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Iraqi Judicial System
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
CCCI Convicts 99, Sentences 16 to Death, 7 to Life Imprisonment:
• The Central Criminal Court of Iraq (CCCI) convicted 99 individuals from May 20 - June 2
for violations of the Iraqi Terrorist Law, Penal Code and Coalition Provisional Authority
(CPA) Orders enforced by the Iraqi judiciary.
• Since its establishment under an amendment to CPA Order 13 in April 2004, the Central
Criminal Court has held 2,211 trials for suspected criminals apprehended by Coalition
Forces. The Iraqi Court proceedings have resulted in the conviction of 1,957 individuals
with sentences ranging from imprisonment to death.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
24
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
South Korea Delays Iraq Decision:
• South Korea has delayed a decision on when to pull its 1,200 remaining troops out of
Iraq, raising the possibility that it could extend the mission for another year. South
Korean troops have been stationed in northern Iraq on a reconstruction mission since
2003.
UNSCR Terminates UNMOVIC:
• The U.N. Security Council has closed down the agency charged with monitoring Saddam
Hussein's illicit weapons programs. Fourteen of the 15 Security Council members voted
to immediately abolish the UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Committee, known
as UNMOVIC. The 15th member, Russia, abstained.
Jordan to Host Regional Conference on Refugees:
• Jordan will host in July a conference of countries sheltering hundreds of thousands of
Iraqis who have fled the violence in their country. Regional countries, mainly Jordan,
Syria and Iraq, as well as the United Nations, will take part in the conference that will
discuss ways of helping these states cope with burdens caused by Iraqi refugees. The
UN refugee agency urged countries to help more than 1,400 Palestinians stranded in a
parched corner of Iraq, near the Syrian border.
25
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
Data as of June 22, 2007
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N
T
O
F
S
T
A
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E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Lithuania
Slovakia
Armenia
El Salvador
Macedonia
South Korea
Australia
Estonia
Moldova
Ukraine
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Mongolia
UK
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Poland
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Romania
Czech Republic
Latvia
Singapore
TOTAL ~ 11,524 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
34 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*34 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands,
Portugal, Slovenia, Turkey
26
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
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E
P
A
R
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M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Iraqi Shiite Parties Agree to Try to Unite Moderates:
• In a tacit admission of the troubles between Iraq’s two largest Shiite political parties, their
respective leaders signed an agreement this week to work together and back
appointments to the cabinet and other posts based on professional experience rather
than party allegiances, officials said. Officials representing Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s
party (Dawa) and the cleric Abd al-Aziz Hakim’s party (the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council)
say they hope that the step will be the beginning of a broader agreement among
moderate groups in the Parliament. Negotiations are under way with Kurdish leaders,
although it is not yet clear whether they will sign on.
Four Journalist Killed:
• Four Iraqi journalists have been killed in attacks across Iraq in the last three weeks. At
least 187 journalists and media assistants have been killed since March 2003. The vast
majority have been Iraqis killed by insurgent groups or militias angered by their coverage
or ideologically opposed to their employers. Others have been caught in the crossfire
between the opposing sides. Officials said that Iraqi journalist Zina Shakir Mahmud was
shot to death in Mosul July 24, becoming the second female journalist to be killed in the
city this month.
27
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
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• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
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28
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
Slide 5:
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– MNF-I Press Briefing (BG Bergner) – 2 July 2007 – (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12641&Itemid=131).
Slide 6:
– MNF-I Press Briefing (BG Bergner) – 2 July 2007 – (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12641&Itemid=131).
Slide 7:
– MNF-I Press Briefing (BG Bergner) – 2 July 2007 – (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12641&Itemid=131).
Slide 8:
– MNF-I Press Briefing (BG Bergner) – 2 July 2007 – (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12641&Itemid=131).
Slide 9:
– MNF-I Press Briefing (BG Bergner) – 2 July 2007 – (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12641&Itemid=131).
Slide 10:
– MNF-I Press Release – 30 June 2007 -- (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12616&Itemid=109).
Slide 11:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report June 27, 2007
Slide 12:
– http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-iraq24jun24,0,7576039.story?coll=la-home-center
– http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-iraq_25jun25,1,5983544.story?coll=chi-newsnationworld-hed
– http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-iraq_25jun25,1,5983544.story?coll=chi-newsnationworld-hed
29
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
Slide 13:
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– http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070703/ts_nm/iraq_dc_5
Slide 14:
– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 15:
– ITAO Weekly Report, July 3, 2007
Slide 16:
– POC Bob Means, Department of State (202) 647-9815
– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at
6000 MW average supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load.
Slide 17:
Education:
– USACE Daily Report – July 2
Health:
– USACE Daily Report – June 27
Slide 18:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the ITAO Weekly Report – June 19, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 19:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org.
Slide 20:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
30
UNCLASSIFIED
July 4, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
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Slide 21:
–
–
Slide 22:
–
Slide 23:
–
Slide 24:
–
Slide 25:
–
Slide 26:
–
Baghdad OI – July 2,2007 – “Microfinance in Iraq”
Washington Times – June 23, 2007 by Sharon Behn
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
MNF-I Press Release, 21 June 2007; http://www.mnf-iraq.com
Slide 27:
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–
www.bbc.com
–
http://www.iraqdevelopmentprogram.org/idp/news/new1675.htm
–
www.un.org
–
www.un.org
Slide 28:
–
Source: DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly.
Slide 29:
–
New York Times, June 29, 2007 by Alicia Rubin
–
AFP-http://news.yahoo.com 6-28-2007
31
UNCLASSIFIED