August 15, 2007
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
August 15, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
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August 15, 2007
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Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of U.S. government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
7
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
9
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
11
Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
15
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
23
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
25
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
27
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
28
29
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August 15, 2007
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Highlights
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1.
Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
Four coordinated truck bombs detonated in western Ninewah province August 14, killing and
wounding hundreds of Iraqi civilians. Terrorists likely targeted the villages because of the their
remote location away from stringent U.S. and Iraqi security operations and in an attempt to increase
sectarian strife. Meanwhile, the U.S. commander in Baghdad’s eastern neighborhoods of
Adhamiyah and Sadr City said the security situation there is improving with attacks against civilians,
car bombings, indirect fire attacks, kidnappings, and sectarian killings all down since his unit began
operations seven months ago.
2.
Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) successfully provided security for crowds of pilgrims traveling to
commemorate an annual holy day at a mosque in the Khadimiyah neighborhood of Baghdad last
week. With no reported incidents, this year’s annual pilgrimage was a significant step for the ISF.
The same pilgrimage in 2005 was marred by an estimated 1,000 people killed in a stampede on the
Jisr al-Aiema bridge after reports spread that a suicide bomber was in the crowd.
3.
Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Iraqi former Prime Minister Iyad Allawi accused the government of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki of
being ill-equipped to halt the slide toward all-out chaos, and urged a nonsectarian replacement of the
regime in a U.S. National Public Radio broadcast August 13. Efforts are underway among senior
Iraqi political leaders to convene a leadership meeting designed to reach compromise and
reconciliation on key legislative and other issues.
4.
Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
A 13-company South Korean consortium announced August 10 that it has signed interim deals worth
$25 billion to build dams, highways and houses in Iraqi Kurdistan. The memorandum of
understanding was signed in late July in the capital of Irbil, where about 1,200 South Korean troops
are currently stationed.
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August 15, 2007
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Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
During a recent visit to Moscow, Iraqi Oil Minister Husayn al-Shahristani indicated that once
the new law governing the Iraqi oil sector is in place, oil and gas contracts will be developed
through transparent and market-oriented mechanisms, as opposed to awarding new deals
based on political considerations as they have been in the past.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
Attorney General Alberto Gonzales arrived in Baghdad August 11 to meet with Department of
Justice officials working in Iraq to rebuild the country’s legal and law enforcement
infrastructure. This is Gonzales’ third visit to Iraq during his tenure as Attorney General.
7. International Support for Iraq
The UN Security Council voted unanimously on the expansion of the role of the UN in Iraq.
Resolution 1770, presented by the U.S. and Britain, extends the mandate of the UN
Assistance Mission for Iraq to one additional year. In addition to increasing the number of UN
employees in Iraq, the resolution permits a UN special representative in Iraq and to the
delegation to offer advice, support and help to the Iraqi government.
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the
Insurgents
Iraqi newspapers resumed publication August 12 after the lifting of a four-day curfew imposed
by the Iraqi government throughout Baghdad in preparation for pilgrims to the Shiite shrine of
Imam al-Kadhim, and devoted most of their pages to Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s recent
visit to Turkey and Iran.
4
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Coordinated Truck Bombs in Northern Iraq Result in Deadliest Attack:
D
E • Four coordinated vehicle-borne improvised explosive devices detonated in the
villages of Khahtaniya and al-Jazeer in western Ninewah province August 14, killing
P
and wounding hundreds of Iraqi civilians. U.S. media report that the confirmed
A
death toll from the four truck bombings passed 250, making the attack the deadliest
R
of the Iraq war. The majority of the victims were members of the Yezidi religious
T
minority sect.
M
E • Iraqis and minority sects in remote areas such as the Yazidis are especially
N
vulnerable as militants seek new targets to avoid the strict security measures
T
imposed on Baghdad and surrounding areas to help protect the Iraqi population and
reduce sectarian violence.
O
F U.S. and Iraqi Forces Detain 12 “Rogue” JAM Members:
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• Iraqi and U.S. forces detained 12 "rogue" members of the Jaysh al-Mahdi (JAM)
militia allegedly involved in bomb attacks and assassinations of Sunni Arabs. The
twelve were detained in a series of coordinated raids across Baghdad August 13.
Eight of the detainees are allegedly high-level leaders linked to JAM special groups
that carry out attacks on Iraqi and Coalition forces. Additionally, the suspects
include a brigade commander, battalion commander, two company commanders
and one leader of an extra-judicial killing cell.
5
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Trends Encouraging in Eastern Baghdad Hotspots:
D
E • The U.S. commander for security operations in Baghdad’s eastern neighborhoods
of Adhamiyah and Sadr City said August 11 that the security situation there is
P
improving. U.S. Army Colonel John Castles, Commander of 2nd Brigade Combat
A
Team (BCT), 82nd Airborne Division said attacks against civilians, car bombs,
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indirect fire attacks, kidnappings, and sectarian killings are all down in his area of
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eastern Baghdad.
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E • Castle’s 4,000-member BCT is responsible for the security of 3.5 million Iraqis and
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maintains five combat outposts and three joint security stations in the area. The
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BCT’s soldiers are living out in the sector among the people they protect.
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• Over the last seven months, the BCT has participated in more than 7,500 patrols
and conducted more than 300 named operations, destroying and disrupting terrorist
cells and special-action groups, and turning over 300 detainees and the evidence
against them to Iraqi authorities.
• Finally, the BCT and its embedded Provincial Reconstruction Team (PRT) are
working with local government leaders and the people of the region to bring
services back to the region. Along with the embedded PRT, which provides the
commander the ability to plan long-term stability projects, the BCT has financed 30
projects totaling $2.5M with another 60 projects set to start at a price of $8M.
6
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
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Iraqi Security Forces Provide Security for Holy Day:
• Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) successfully provided security for crowds of pilgrims
traveling to commemorate an annual holy day at a mosque in the Khadimiyah
neighborhood of Baghdad last week. With no reported incidents, this year’s annual
pilgrimage was a significant step for the ISF. The same pilgrimage in 2005 was
marred by an estimated 1,000 people killed in a stampede on the Jisr al-Aiema
bridge after reports spread that a suicide bomber was in the crowd.
• The Iraqi Police and Army worked together to ensure the pilgrims, many of whom
walked for days from areas around Baghdad and Diyala province, reached the
mosque safely. Iraqi Major General Abdul-Kareem Khalaf, director of the Iraqi
interior ministry’s national command center, said the ISF were intensively deployed
on the main roads leading to Kadhimiya to protect visitors to the shrine. In addition,
a citywide driving ban was in effect to prevent suicide car bombings.
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UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
POLICE
~135,000
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 26,300
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~32,900
TOTAL
~194,200*
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
~163,500***
AIR FORCE
~900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~165,500**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~359,700****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
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UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government
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Former Prime Minister Condemns Maliki Government on Reconciliation:
• Iraqi former Prime Minister Iyad Allawi accused the government of Prime Minister Maliki
of being ill-equipped to halt the slide toward all-out chaos, and urged a nonsectarian
replacement of the regime.
• Allawi, whose mixed Sunni-Shiite Iraqi National List this month joined a boycott of the
government led by Maliki, told U.S. National Public Radio August 13 that the present
government is fueling the problems ravaging the country. “The whole situation is based
on sectarianism and is anti-reconciliation,” Allawi said in the interview. “I think the whole
system ought to be changed, and a nonsectarian regime should prevail.”
Iraqi Senior Leaders Meet to End Political Stalemate:
• Leaders from Iraq’s divided communities held talks August 14 to pave the way for a
leadership meeting called for by Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki. The meeting is designed
to reach compromise and reconciliation on key legislative and other issues.
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UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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A
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M Agriculture
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of
N Minister
Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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A
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
(F) = Female
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
* Vacant
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
*
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister
of Foreign
*
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
*
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Safa al Safi (acting)
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
*
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
*
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Wijdan Mikha’il (acting)
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
*
10
Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
Committed
Apportioned
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Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,004.79
$4,967.72
$4,967.72
$0.00
$4,966.76
$4,966.76
$0.00
$4,811.80
$4,811.80
$0.00
Electricity Sector
$4,216.87
$4,140.99
$4,140.99
$0.00
$4,020.62
$4,020.62
$0.00
$3,444.61
$3,444.61
$0.00
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,610.07
$1,610.07
$0.00
$1,559.89
$1,559.89
$0.00
$1,473.11
$1,473.11
$0.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,265.71
$1,265.71
$0.00
$1,258.81
$1,258.81
$0.00
$1,102.55
$1,102.55
$0.00
Democracy
$998.35
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$967.19
$967.19
$0.00
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$409.84
$399.76
$399.76
$0.00
$399.76
$399.76
$0.00
$371.18
$371.18
$0.00
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$322.08
$322.08
$0.00
$320.82
$320.82
$0.00
$232.18
$232.18
$0.00
Health Care
$815.55
$770.68
$770.68
$0.00
$761.54
$761.54
$0.00
$683.85
$683.85
$0.00
Transportation and
Communications
$456.72
$452.65
$452.65
$0.00
$446.98
$446.98
$0.00
$358.85
$358.85
$0.00
$2,115.79
$1,990.84
$1,990.84
$0.00
$1,942.99
$1,942.99
$0.00
$1,666.58
$1,666.58
$0.00
Private Sector Development
$811.91
$807.85
$807.85
$0.00
$807.85
$807.85
$0.00
$794.22
$794.22
$0.00
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$211.05
$209.95
$209.95
$0.00
$209.95
$209.95
$0.00
$188.08
$188.08
$0.00
$18,403.32
$17,935.64
$17,935.64
$0.00
$17,693.32
$17,693.32
$0.00
$16,094.20
$16,094.20
$0.00
IRRF II Construction
-
$10,250.83
$10,250.83
$0.00
$10,015.96
$10,015.96
$0.00
$8,848.57
$8,848.57
$0.00
IRRF II Non-Construction
-
$6,687.46
$6,687.46
$0.00
$6,680.01
$6,680.01
$0.00
$6,278.44
$6,278.44
$0.00
IRRF II Democracy
-
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$967.19
$967.19
$0.00
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,876.62
$20,408.94
$20,408.94
$0.00
$19,925.62
$19,925.62
$0.00
$18,233.20
$18,233.20
$0.00
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
11
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
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F
Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Daily Supply
7-Day Average Supply
Estimated Demand
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
6/14/07
3/16/07
12/16/06
9/17/06
6/19/06
3/21/06
12/21/05
9/22/05
6/24/05
3/26/05
12/26/04
9/27/04
6/29/04
3/31/04
1/1/04
S
Date
T • Daily electricity demand August 8-14 was 15 percent above the same period in 2006. Daily supply
A
from the electricity grid was two percent below 2006; it met 51 percent of total electricity demand,
T
compared with 61 percent for the year-earlier period.
E
• Average hours of power via electricity grid after meeting demand from essential services: Baghdad
7.3 and nationwide 10.7. Year-ago levels were Baghdad 7.0 and nationwide 11.0.
12
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Education, Medical, Electricity, and Water & Sanitation
Education:
D
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P
A
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N
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•
Construction on the new Ain-Zala village school in Ninewah province has been
completed. The school will accommodate up to 300 students.
Medical:
•
The U.S. funded Harm Provincial Health Center (PHC) is now available to provide
medical and dental care to over 35,000 residents.
Electricity:
•
O
F
Electricity supply August 8-13 was near its highest level for the year, but the failure of
provinces to follow load-shedding directives resulted in a massive loss of power August
14 at 1700. All Baghdad generation and 60 percent of national generation was
temporarily lost. Half of the lost power had been restored by midnight.
Water & Sanitation:
S
T
A
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E
•
The sanitary sewer network in 9 Nissan, Baghdad will provide reliable sewage disposal
for a population of nearly 47,000.
13
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
– Construction and Energy
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A
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N
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Construction:
•
A 13-company South Korean consortium announced August 10 that it has signed
interim deals worth $25 billion to build dams, highways and houses in Iraqi
Kurdistan. The memorandum of understanding was signed in late July in the capital
of Irbil, where about 1,200 South Korean troops are currently stationed.
•
Under the deal, the South Korean firms will construct houses, five multipurpose
dams and highways spanning 182 kilometers (114 miles) to link Irbil with the border
city of Zakho.
Energy:
•
The Missan oilfields authority finished the rehabilitation of the Sayed Nour oilfield in
eastern Amarah August 12 and is planning to drill 50 new wells in the province, a
media source from the Missan oilfields authority reported.
•
The rejuvenated oilfield is composed of five wells with a production capacity of
15,000 bpd for each, according to the authority, noting work on this field also
comprises the construction of a pumping station with a capacity of 20,000 bpd of
crude oil.
14
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending August 10 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $66.394/ barrel
– Dated Brent at $70.888/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $71.938/ barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $66.74/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis Last
Week
Iraqis This
Week
% Change
Gulf Region District (GRD) (Includes MILCON/OMA)
24,598
24,576
-0.09%
US Agency for International Development (USAID)
81,202
81,202
0.00%
Commander’s Emergency Response Program (CERP)
3,670
3,678
0.22%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
11,560
11,664
0.90%
Grand Total
121,030
121,120
0.07%
Employment Program
O
F
S
T
A
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E
15
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: August 8, 2006 – August 13, 2007
1 ,5 0 0
$ 9 0 .0
1 ,4 5 0
$ 8 0 .0
$ 7 0 .0
1 ,4 0 0
$ 6 0 .0
1 ,3 5 0
$ 5 0 .0
$ 4 0 .0
NID Exchange Rate
O
F
$ 1 0 0 .0
USD Sold (Millions)
D
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P
A
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M
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N
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Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
• The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since
September, the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in an effort to rein in
galloping inflation. There are early signs that this effort may have begun to bear fruit, as year-to-date inflation is 2.8%,
which projects a pace well below the IMF annual target of 30%. However, this decline in the rate of inflation may be
temporary, as the CBI has slowed its appreciation of the currency and the rate of inflation (particularly for energy prices)
typically picks up in the second half of the year.
1 ,3 0 0
$ 3 0 .0
$ 2 0 .0
1 ,2 5 0
$ 1 0 .0
$ 0 .0
1 ,2 0 0
A
u
A g
u 8
g A
A u 11 10
u g g
S 30 23 22
e
S p - S- 2
ep 6
e 9
S 13 - S p 5
ep
e
-S p
2
1
S 1 - ep 2
ep S 1
9
e
O 26 p
c
O t 3 - O 25
ct - c
O 11 O t 2
ct - ct
1 O 1
N 9 - ct 0
o
O 18
v
N
o 4 ct
v 2
8 N 9
- N ov
N No o 7
o v v
v
1
D 29 15 4
e
D c - D- 2
ec 6
- e 8
D 13 D c 1
ec
e
- c
2 D 1
Ja 0 - ec 2
Ja n 8 D e 18
n - c
Ja 17 Ja 26
n - n
2 J 1
Ja 3 an 6
n -J 2
F 30 an 2
e
F b 6 - F 29
eb - e
b
F 14 Fe 5
eb - b
2 1 F e 13
F
eb - F b 2
e 0
M 28 b 2
ar - M 7
7- a
r
M M Ma 6
ar a r
13
r
2
M 2- 14
ar M a -2
0
A 28 r 2
A p r -A 7
p 3 p
r
- r
A 10 A 2
p - A pr
r
A 17 pr 8
p
r -A 1 6
2
M 4- pr
A 23
M ay
p
a 2 r
M y 9 - M 30
ay - a
M 1 M y
ay 6 ay 8
-M
M 23 a 15
ay - M y
2
Ju
3 a 2
J ne 0 -J y 2
Ju un 6- un 9
n e Ju e
Ju e 2 17- ne 4
ne 0 Ju 13
26 Ju n e1
n 9
Ju - J e
un 25
J u ly
e
1
J u ly 8 - J 2 8
ly - u
J u 1 J u ly
ly 1 - ly 5
J 1 Ju 1
A J u u ly 7 - ly 0
u ly 2 J 1
g
u s 3 1 4 - u ly 6
t - Ju 2
7 A l 3
-A u y
u gg u 3 0
u ss t 6
t
13
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
Iraqi C om m ercial B ond S ales
June 9, 2006 - August 10, 2007
$80.00
12.00%
$70.00
10.00%
$60.00
8.00%
$50.00
$40.00
6.00%
$30.00
Yield Percentage
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to
approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial
debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
4.00%
$20.00
2.00%
$10.00
31-Jul
18-Jul
5-Jul
22-Jun
11-Jun
29-May
16-May
3-May
20-Apr
9-Apr
27-Mar
14-Mar
1-Mar
16-Feb
5-Feb
23-Jan
10-Jan
28-Dec
15-Dec
4-Dec
21-Nov
8-Nov
26-Oct
13-Oct
2-Oct
19-Sep
6-Sep
24-Aug
11-Aug
31-Jul
18-Jul
5-Jul
0.00%
22-Jun
$0.00
9-Jun
S
T
A
T
E
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Economic Events
Iraqi Oil Minister Says No Special Deals For Russia:
D
E •
P
A
R
T
M
•
E
N
T
O
F
During a recent visit to Moscow, Iraqi Oil Minister Husayn al-Shahristani indicated
that once the new law governing the Iraqi oil sector is in place, oil and gas contracts
will be developed through transparent and market-oriented mechanisms, as
opposed to awarding new deals based on political considerations as they have
been in the past.
Shahristani also said that Russian companies which worked for years in the Iraqi
energy industry until the war began in 2003 would get no special treatment as
earlier oil and gas contracts are reviewed and renegotiated. He did note, however,
that Russian oil company Lukoil, which had an agreement with Saddam Hussein’s
government to drill at the West Qurna field, could have a competitive advantage
within the new framework given its previous experience in Iraq.
Iraqi-Made Clothes to be Sent to U.S. Market:
S
T •
A
T
E
During an announcement August 12 to put state industries back to work, Deputy
Industry Minister Sami al-Araji said that a U.S. team led by Paul Brinkley was in
discussions with major American retailers such as Sears and Wal-Mart to have
Iraqi-made clothing on sale in a limited number of major American cities by the
holiday season.
18
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.40
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.04
2.02
2.10
2.09
2.07
2.06
June 25 July 1
July 2-8
July 9-15
2.08
2.04
2.03
July 30 August 5
August 612
2.00
1.85
1.60
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.20
0.80
0.40
0.00
June 4-10
June 11-17 June 18-24
Production
19
July 16-22
July 23-29
Target
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
$4.00
$3.50
1.76
1.80
1.64
1.58
1.55
1.44
1.50
1.45
1.76
$2.54
1.50
$3.00
1.47
1.30
$2.50
1.20
$2.00
$3.39
$3.05
$2.75
$2.73
$2.45
$2.75
USD (Billions)
1.62
$1.50
$2.96
$2.46
$2.19
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.89
$2.11
$1.00
$1.21
$0.50
0.00
$0.00
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$20.1 Billion
20
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
0%
28%
35%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
65%
60%
100%
40%
72%
65%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
Import
35%
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for August 6 – 12
• Diesel: 9.5 ML supply of 24.5 ML target
• Kerosene: 2.4 ML supply of 11.1 ML target
• Gasoline: 8.1 ML supply of 23.1 ML target
• LPG: 1,608 tons supply of 5,100 tons target
21
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Jun-07
Aug-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Jul-07
10
O
F
5
S
T
A
T
E
4
3
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Rule of Law
Attorney General Alberto Gonzales Travels to Baghdad:
D
•
E
P
A
R
T •
M
E
N
T
O
F
Attorney General Alberto Gonzales arrived in Baghdad August 11 to meet with and
thank Department of Justice officials working in Iraq to rebuild the country’s legal
and law enforcement infrastructure. This is Attorney General Gonzales’ third visit to
Iraq during his tenure as Attorney General.
Attorney General Gonzales was accompanied by Michael J. Sullivan, director of the
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), John Clark, director of
the U.S. Marshals Service, and other Department of Justice staff. The Attorney
General met with Multi-National Forces-Iraq Commanding General David Petraeus
upon arriving in Iraq. The Attorney General’s agenda while in Iraq included
meetings with Ambassador Ryan Crocker, Department of Justice and U.S. military
personnel, and various Iraqi government officials, including Chief Justice Medhat alMahmoud of the Federal Supreme Court, Minister of Human Rights Wijdan Mikha’il
and Minister of the Interior Jawad al-Bulani.
S
T
A
T
E
23
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Rule of Law
Iraq Sets Date for Third Saddam-Era Trial:
D
• This month, the Iraqi High Tribunal is set to open a third trial into alleged crimes
E
committed under Saddam Hussein, this time over the suppression of a Shiite
P
uprising. Fifteen defendants will go on trial, including Ali Hassan al-Majid, who is
A
widely known as Chemical Ali, and who was sentenced to death two months ago for
R
his role in the slaughter of ethnic Kurds.
T
M Iraqi Judge Fatalities Prove Need for Newly Constructed Complex:
E
N • Overall, more than 30 Iraqi judges have been killed in the line of duty in Iraq,
underscoring the need for the new complex in Baghdad aimed at protecting the
T
justice system, U.S. and Iraqi officials said August 13. The number was disclosed
during a press conference to promote a new justice complex in eastern Baghdad
O
that began operating last month.
F
S
T
A
T
E
24
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
Expansion of UNAMI Role Unanimously Approved:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• The UN Security Council voted unanimously August 10 to expand the UN role in Iraq.
Resolution 1770, presented by the U.S. and Britain, extends the UN Assistance Mission
for Iraq mandate for another year. In addition to increasing the number of UN employees
in Iraq, the resolution permits the UN Special Representative in Iraq to offer advice,
support, and help to the Iraqi government.
Danish Military Ends Iraq Mission:
• The Danish battalion of 450 ground troops has left Iraq, a Danish army spokesman
reported August 8. “The Danish battalion that has been deployed in southern Iraq is now
out of Iraq,” Army Operational Command (AOC) spokesman Hans Vedholm reported.
EU Supports First Border Security Working Group (BSWG):
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
• The EU Presidency issued a statement August 13 welcoming the first BSWG, held in
Damascus August 8-9; emphasizing the need for regular BSWG meetings to explore
ways to improve security and reduce violence in Iraq.
Sweden Ends Commercial Flights to and from Iraq:
• Sweden has suspended commercial flights to and from Iraq, the aviation authority said
August 14, contending one of the country’s passenger jets was targeted by a rocket last
week as it left the northern Iraqi city of Sulaimaniyah. An Iraqi airport official denied the
plane came under fire, blaming Kurds who were hunting using spotlights that the pilots
mistook for the arc of an incoming missile.
25
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Korea
Poland
Armenia
El Salvador
Latvia
Romania
Australia
Estonia
Lithuania
Singapore
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Macedonia
Slovakia
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Moldova
Ukraine
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Mongolia
UK
Czech Republic
TOTAL ~ 11,325 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
33 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*33 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal,
Slovenia, Turkey
26
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Baghdad Newspapers Resume Publication:
D
E • Iraqi newspapers resumed publication August 12 after the lifting of a four-day
curfew imposed by the Iraqi government throughout Baghdad in preparation for
P
pilgrims to the Shiite shrine of Imam al-Kadhim, and devoted most of their pages to
A
Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s recent visit to Turkey and Iran.
R
T Associated Press Correspondent Kidnapped:
M
E • An official Iraqi police source, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that an Iraqi
photographer working for the U.S. Associated Press news agency was kidnapped
N
August 8 during an attack in central Baquba. Talal Ahmed Abdullah was kidnapped
T
after an armed group intercepted his vehicle and led him to an unknown place.
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
28
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
Slide 5:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
– MNF-I Press Release – 15 August – Release No. 20070815-05 - (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=13363&Itemid=128).
– 16 August - Washington Post
– 14 August – (http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070814/wl_mideast_afp/iraqunrestusmilitia).
– 15 August - (http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070815/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq).
Slide 6:
– MNF-I Press Release – 10 August -- (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=13271&Itemid=128)
Slide 7:
– MNF-I Press Release – 10 August -- (http://www.mnfiraq.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=13271&Itemid=128)
Slide 8:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report August 13, 2007
Slide 9:
– http://news.yahoo.com
– http://news.yahoo.com
Slide 10:
– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 11:
– ITAO Weekly Report, August 14, 2007
Slide 12:
– POC Department of State, NEA-I ASSIST, 202 647-9815
– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at
6000 MW average supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load.
29
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 13:
Education:
– USACE Daily Report – August 8
Medical:
– USACE Daily Report – August 8
Electricity:
– Iraq Updates – August 8
– LA Times – August 14
Water & Sanitation:
– USACE Daily Report – August 8
Slide 14:
Construction:
– http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/20595, August 14
Energy:
– http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/20621, August 14
– http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/20567, August 12
Slide 15:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the ITAO Weekly Report – June 19, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 16:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org.
Slide 17:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 18:
– Reuters, “Economic Policy Mistakes Hurt Iraq: U.S. Official,” August 12
– Associated Press, “Report: Iraqi Oil Minister Says No Special Deals for Russia,” August 9
30
UNCLASSIFIED
August 15, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
Slide 19:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
–
Slide 20:
–
Slide 21:
–
Slide 22:
–
Slide 23:
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
DoJ Release – 11 August 2007
Slide 24:
–
AFP – 13 August 2007
–
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070813/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_judges;_ylt=At4ntA7eoMLy51xDGOKmur8LewgF
Slide 25:
–
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070810/ts_nm/iraq_un_dc_2;_ylt=AoLv8pjVd0ROjT.isuVn191X6GMA
–
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070807/wl_mideast_afp/denmarkiraqunrest
–
http://news.yahoo.com
–
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070814/ap_on_re_mi_ea/sweden_iraq_flights
Slide 26:
–
Source: DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly.
Slide 27:
–
August 12: http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/20550
–
August 8: http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/20404
31
UNCLASSIFIED