August 29, 2007
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Iraq Weekly
Status Report
August 29, 2007
Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs
US Department of State
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August 29, 2007
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Table of Contents
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This report provides weekly updates in the eight key areas identified as pillars
of U.S. government policy for victory in Iraq.
SECTION
SLIDE
Highlights
3
1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
5
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
6
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
9
Government
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
11
Services
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
15
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights
23
7. Increase International Support for Iraq
24
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and
26
Public Isolation of the Insurgents
Sources and Contact Information
Notes and Source Citations
27
28
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August 29, 2007
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Highlights
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1. Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgents
Multi-National Forces-Iraq Deputy Press Secretary, Rear Admiral Mark Fox,
reported August 26 that operations have diminished al-Qaida in Iraq’s areas of
influence. Additionally, Iraqi and Coalition forces continue to break down extremist
militia groups - known as special groups - that are affiliated with Iran’s Quds Force.
2. Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance
Joint operations between the Coalition and Iraqi Security Forces are now double
compared to that of this time last year, while the total number of attacks against
civilians and security forces are at their lowest level since August 2006.
3. Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic Government
Iraq’s senior Shia, Sunni Arab and Kurdish political leaders have reached
consensus on measures vital to fostering national reconciliation, including draft
legislation on de-Ba’thification reform, provincial powers laws, as well as setting up
a mechanism to release some Sunni detainees being held without charges. These
laws will need to be passed by the Council of Representatives.
4. Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services
Basrah has received $30 million from the U.S. Congress to upgrade its public
utilities. Tuama al-Nouri, head of the Basrah Reconstruction and Development
Council, has said the grant will be wholly dedicated to service projects. Also, the
Iraqi government will begin to execute exports of oil to Jordan as part of a longstanding agreement between the two governments.
3
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August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Highlights
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5. Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy
In cooperation with the U.S. Government Task Force for Business Stability Operations (BSO)
in Iraq, the Iraqi government will host an Iraq Business and Investment Conference in Dubai
August 28-30. The goal of the conference is to stimulate trade and investment in the south of
the country.
6. Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law
Saddam Hussein’s cousin, widely known as “Chemical Ali,” as well as 14 others faced charges
of crimes against humanity August 21 for the crushing of a Shiite uprising after the 1991 Gulf
War, as Iraq's third trial against former regime officials began with three of the defendants
already sentenced to death in another case. The Iraqi High Tribunal said the defendants are
charged with engaging in widespread or systematic attacks against the civilian population.
7. International Support for Iraq
On August 28, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown rejected a call to pull his country’s troops
out of Iraq, saying they still had an important job to do battling militias and providing security.
In an open letter to opposition party leader Sir Menzies Campbell, Brown argued that it was
wrong to say the continued presence of British troops would achieve little, or to say that they
were severely restricted in what they can do.
8. Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public Isolation of the
Insurgents
On August 27, Baghdad newspapers highlighted Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s recent
statements in which he called for a strategic agreement between the five main political blocs.
During a press conference held in Baghdad after the inauguration of the cabinet’s press center
August 26, the government-funded al-Sabah newspaper quoted Maliki as highlighting
partnership as a key decision-making mechanism for the Iraqi political process.
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August 29, 2007
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[1.] Defeat the Terrorists and Neutralize the Insurgency
Coalition and Iraqi Security Forces Diminish al-Qaida and Special Groups:
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• Deputy Multi-National Forces-Iraq Spokesman, Rear Admiral Mark Fox, reported
August 26 that operations have diminished al-Qaida in Iraq’s areas of influence.
Additionally, Iraqi and Coalition forces also continue to break down extremist militia
groups - known as Special Groups - that are affiliated with Iran’s Quds Force.
• Iraqi and Coalition forces captured two suspected special group members in
Diwaniyah August 22. The two had conducted Improvised Explosive Device
(IED) and Katyusha rocket attacks against Iraqi and Coalition forces.
• Coalition forces repulsed a militia attack, killing 18, in northwest Baghdad near
Kadhimiya August 23.
• The Iraqi Army (IA) detained a special groups leader from Baghdad who had
conducted a network organized to conduct IED attacks August 24. This
network was also involved in sectarian murders of innocent Iraqis.
• Also on August 24, a separate IA unit captured a special groups member in
Taji who had had a history of planting IEDs against Iraqi and Coalition forces.
5
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
Iraqi Security Forces Conducting Major Combat Operations:
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• Multi-National Forces-Iraq Deputy Spokesman, Rear Admiral Mark Fox, said August
26 that joint operations between Coalition and Iraqi Security Forces are now double
compared to that of this time last year, while the total number of attacks against
civilians and security forces are at their lowest level since August 2006.
Iraqi Security Forces Place Emphasis on Mission Support Training:
• The Iraqi police in Anbar inaugurated the Police Intelligence Fusion Center in
Ramadi. The center functions as the heart of a computer infrastructure that will
eventually link every police district in Anbar, as well as host a provincial data base
on criminal and terrorist activity. The consolidation of provincial criminal information
represents a major advance for police analytical capabilities in Anbar and will add
momentum to Anbar’s dramatic improvement in security conditions.
• Iraqi Army (IA) students are now being trained in an eight-week formal vehicle
maintenance and servicing course in Kirkush. With more than 105 models of
vehicles in service, it is important for the IA to be able to maintain and repair the
vehicles they operate. The ability to provide routine maintenance and vehicle repair
helps keep the IA adequately supplied in their fight against terrorism.
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August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security Forces
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Iraqi Air Force Patrols Oil Pipelines and Electrical Lines:
• The Iraqi Air Force is using their growing aircraft fleet to take part in the protection
of oil and electric lines by placing surveillance forces in the air. There are currently
35 helicopters assigned to the Iraqi Air Force, which is double what the military had
the year before, and there are plans to triple it next year, according to U.S. Army Lt.
Gen. James M. Dubik, Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
commanding general.
• Already in 2007, the Taji unit has flown more than 100 missions outside the wire,
exposing them to not only appreciative citizens on the ground, but also enemy
contact.
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August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[2.] Transition Iraq to Security Self-Reliance – Iraqi Security
Forces
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Ministry of Interior Forces
COMPONENT
TRAINED &
EQUIPPED
POLICE
~135,000
NATIONAL
POLICE
~ 26,300
OTHER MOI
FORCES
~32,900
TOTAL
~194,200*
Ministry of Defense Forces
COMPONENT
OPERATIONAL
ARMY
~163,500***
AIR FORCE
~900
NAVY
~1,100
TOTAL
~165,500**
Total Trained & Equipped ISF:
~359,700****
* Ministry of Interior Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are included in these numbers
** Ministry of Defense Forces: Unauthorized absence personnel are not included in these numbers
*** Army numbers include Special Operations Forces and Support Forces
**** Does not include the approximately 144,000 Facilities Protection Service personnel working in 27
ministries
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UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government
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Iraqi Leaders Sign Unity Accord:
• Iraq’s senior Shia, Sunni Arab and Kurdish political leaders have reached consensus on
measures vital to fostering national reconciliation, including draft legislation on deBa’thification reform, provincial powers laws, as well as setting up a mechanism to
release some Sunni detainees being held without charges. However, these laws need to
be passed by the Council of Representatives.
Sunnis Demand Reforms Before Returning to Government:
• Despite the signing of the Unity Accord, Iraqi Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi said that
the Sunni party has no immediate intention to return to the government in Baghdad
unless its demands for reform are met. The Sunni National Accord Front, led by
Hashimi’s Iraqi Islamic Party, quit Prime Minister Maliki’s unity government August 1,
leaving him with only 23 ministers in the 40-member cabinet.
Sadr Calls for Halt Mahdi Army Activities:
• Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr has ordered a six-month suspension of activities by his
Mahdi Army militia in order to reorganize the force. A Sadr aid also stated that it will no
longer attack U.S. and Coalition troops.
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UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[3.] Help Iraqis to Forge a National Compact for Democratic
Government - Iraqi National Unity Government
President
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Education
T Khudayyir al-Khuza’i
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Deputy President
Jalal Talabani
Deputy President
(F) = Female
Tariq al-Hashimi
‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi
* Vacant
Prime Minister
Deputy Prime Minister
Nuri al-Maliki
Deputy Prime Minister
Barham Salih
Salam al-Zawba’i
Minister of
Communications
Minister of Culture
Minister of Defense
Minister of Displacement
& Migration
Minister of
Electricity
Muhammad Tawfiq
Allawi
*
Abdul Qadir Muhammed
Jasim
Abd al-Samad Rahman
Sultan
Karim Wahid
Minister of
Environment
Minister of Finance
Minister
of Foreign
*
Affairs
Minister of Health
Minister of Higher
Education
Narmin ‘Uthman (F)
Bayan Jabr
Hoshyar Zebari
*
Abd Dhiyab al-Ajili
Minister of Human
Rights
Minister of Industry
& Minerals
Minister of
Interior
Minister of Justice
Minister of Housing &
Construction
Minister of Labor &
Social Affairs
Wijdan Mikha’il (F)
Fawzi al-Hariri
Jawad al-Bulani
Safa al Safi (acting)
Bayan Daza’I (F)
Mahmud Muhammad
Jawad al-Radi
Minister of Oil
Minister of
Planning
Minister of Trade
Minister of Science &
Technology
Minister of Municipalities
& Public Works
Minister of
Transportation
Husayn alShahristani
Ali Baban
Abd al-Falah alSudani
Ra’id Fahmi Jahid
Riyad Ghurayyib
*
Minister of Water
Resources
Minister of Youth &
Sports
‘Abd al-Latif Rashid
Jasim Muhammad Ja’far
Minister of State for
Foreign Affairs
Minister of State for
Governorates Affairs
Rafi Hiyad al-Isawi
*
Minister of State for
Civil Society
Wijdan Mikha’il (acting)
Minister of State for
Tourism and Antiquities
*
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Minister of State for
National Dialogue Affairs
Minister of State for National
Security Affairs
Akram al-Hakim
Shirwan al-Waili
Minister of State for
Women’s Affairs
Fatin Abd al-Rahman
Mahmud (F)
Minister of State for
CoR Affairs
Safa al-Safi
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential Services –
Financials from Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund (IRRF) 1 and IRRF 2
Committed
Apportioned
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Obligated
Disbursed
Sector
Apportion
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Last Week
Current
Change
Security and Law Enforcement
$5,004.79
$4,967.72
$4,967.72
$0.00
$4,966.76
$4,966.76
$0.00
$4,811.80
$4,811.80
$0.00
Electricity Sector
$4,216.87
$4,140.99
$4,140.99
$0.00
$4,020.62
$4,020.62
$0.00
$3,444.61
$3,444.61
$0.00
Oil Infrastructure
$1,724.70
$1,610.07
$1,610.07
$0.00
$1,559.89
$1,559.89
$0.00
$1,473.11
$1,473.11
$0.00
Justice, Public Safety and Civil
Society
$1,304.15
$1,265.71
$1,265.71
$0.00
$1,258.81
$1,258.81
$0.00
$1,102.55
$1,102.55
$0.00
Democracy
$998.35
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$967.19
$967.19
$0.00
Education, Refugees, Human
Rights, Governance
$409.84
$399.76
$399.76
$0.00
$399.76
$399.76
$0.00
$371.19
$371.19
$0.00
Roads, Bridges and
Construction
$333.60
$322.08
$322.08
$0.00
$320.82
$320.82
$0.00
$232.18
$232.18
$0.00
Health Care
$815.55
$770.68
$770.68
$0.00
$761.54
$761.54
$0.00
$683.85
$683.85
$0.00
Transportation and
Communications
$456.72
$452.65
$452.65
$0.00
$446.98
$446.98
$0.00
$358.85
$358.85
$0.00
$2,115.79
$1,990.84
$1,990.84
$0.00
$1,942.99
$1,942.99
$0.00
$1,666.58
$1,666.58
$0.00
Private Sector Development
$811.91
$807.85
$807.85
$0.00
$807.85
$807.85
$0.00
$794.22
$794.22
$0.00
Admin Expense (USAID,
STATE)
$211.05
$209.95
$209.95
$0.00
$209.95
$209.95
$0.00
$188.08
$188.08
$0.00
$18,403.32
$17,935.64
$17,935.64
$0.00
$17,693.32
$17,693.32
$0.00
$16,094.21
$16,094.21
$0.00
IRRF II Construction
-
$10,250.83
$10,250.83
$0.00
$10,015.96
$10,015.96
$0.00
$8,848.57
$8,848.57
$0.00
IRRF II Non-Construction
-
$6,687.46
$6,687.46
$0.00
$6,680.01
$6,680.01
$0.00
$6,278.45
$6,278.45
$0.00
IRRF II Democracy
-
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$997.34
$997.34
$0.00
$967.19
$967.19
$0.00
IRRF I Total
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$2,473.30
$0.00
$2,232.3
$2,232.3
$0.00
$2,139.00
$2,139.0
$0.00
Grand Total IRRF I & II
$20,876.62
$20,408.94
$20,408.94
$0.00
$19,925.62
$19,925.62
$0.00
$18,233.21
$18,233.21
$0.00
Water Resources and
Sanitation
Total
11
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Electricity Overview
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Daily Electricity Supplied and Estimated Demand in Iraq Since January 2004
Daily Supply
7-Day Average Supply
Estimated Demand
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
6/14/07
3/16/07
12/16/06
9/17/06
6/19/06
3/21/06
Date
12/21/05
9/22/05
6/24/05
3/26/05
12/26/04
9/27/04
6/29/04
3/31/04
1/1/04
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T • Daily electricity demand August 22-28 was 22% above the same period in 2006. Daily supply from
A
the electricity grid was 5% above 2006; it met 50% of total electricity demand, compared with 58%
T
for the year-earlier period.
E
• Average hours of power via electricity grid after meeting demand from essential services: Baghdad
6.4 and nationwide 10.9. Year-ago levels were Baghdad 5.7 and nationwide 10.9.
12
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Provision of Essential Services
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Public Utilities:
•
Basrah has received $30 million from the U.S. Congress to upgrade its public utilities.
Tuama al-Nouri, head of the Basra Reconstruction and Development Council, has said
the grant will be wholly dedicated to service projects.
•
Additionally, the Danish Foreign Ministry has agreed to finance the reconstruction of a
44-km highway linking Umm Qasr port with Basrah.
Electricity
•
The ED M843 Electrical Network project in Baghdad has been completed. The project
improves electrical service to the residents of Karkh where the population is 130,000.
Water:
•
The M861 Sewer, Water, and Road Net project is completed. The project will provide
more than 65,000 people with storm and runoff water and sewer services.
13
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[4.] Help Iraq Build Government Capacity and Provide Essential
Services – Government Capacity
Oil Exports:
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• Jordan has said it was due to take delivery within days of much delayed supplies of Iraq
crude oil at preferential rates under an agreement with Baghdad. The first delivery of
crude will be considered a trial phase to deal with security conditions, with supplies
starting at around 10,000 barrels daily and gradually increasing to reach 30,000 barrels.
Contracting Issues:
• Deputy Oil Minister Ahmad al-Shamma said that the Ministry of Finance is putting major
oil projects at risk with confusing new unwritten procedures for Letters of Credit (LC).
Ministry of Finance (MoF) officials are now requiring copies of Ministry of Oil (MoO)
documents before processing LC requests, effectively stopping progress. MoF officials
have also transferred MoO funds to a different MoO bank account, further confusing
the LC process. MoO officials also question MoF’s need to review contracts that have
been approved through required channels.
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UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Oil Update and Job
Creation
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Oil Update:
• Crude oil price averages in world markets for the week ending August 24 closed with the
following prices:
– Basrah Light at $64.2/ barrel
– Dated Brent at $68.64/barrel
– WTI Cushing at $70.244/ barrel
– Oman/Dubai at $66.638/barrel
Employment Update:
Iraqis
Last
Week
Employment Program
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Iraqis
This
Week
% change
Gulf Region District (GRD) IRRF (Includes MILCON/OMA)
24,576
23,752
-3.35%
US Agency for International Development (USAID) (ESF)
81,202
81,202
0.00%
Commander's Emergency Response Program (CERP)
3,678
3,519
-4.32%
Multi-National Security Transition Command-Iraq (MNSTC-I)
7,608
6,877
-9.61%
117,064
115,350
-1.46%
GRAND TOTAL
15
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy - Banking Sector
1 ,5 0 0
$ 1 0 0 .0
$ 9 0 .0
1 ,4 5 0
$ 8 0 .0
$ 7 0 .0
1 ,4 0 0
$ 6 0 .0
1 ,3 5 0
$ 5 0 .0
$ 4 0 .0
NID Exchange Rate
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Central Bank of Iraq
USD Currency Auction: August 23, 2006 – August 27, 2007
USD Sold (Millions)
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Central Bank’s US Dollar (USD) Currency Auction:
• The following table shows volume sold of and exchange rates for USD in the Iraqi currency auction since April. Since
September, the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) has slowly appreciated the dinar, as suggested by the IMF, in an effort to rein in
galloping inflation. There are signs that this effort has begun to bear fruit, as year-to-date inflation is 4.8% and the year-onyear inflation rate was 30.2% in July. This decline in the rate of inflation may be temporary, however, as the CBI has
slowed its appreciation of the currency and the rate of inflation (particularly for energy prices) typically picks up in the
second half of the year.
1 ,3 0 0
$ 3 0 .0
$ 2 0 .0
1 ,2 5 0
$ 1 0 .0
$ 0 .0
A Au
u g
g
S 30 23
e
S p 6 - S- 2
ep
9
- ep
S 13 S e 5
ep
-S p
12
2
S 1 - ep
ep S 1
e 9
O 26 p
2
c
O t3 -O 5
ct - c
t
O 11 O c 2
ct - t
1 O 10
N 9 - ct 1
o
O
8
N v
o 4 ct 2
v 8 N 9
- ov
N
N No ov 7
o v
14
v
1
2
D
e 9 5
D c 6 - D- 2
ec
8
- e
D 13 D e c 1
ec - c
2 D 12
Ja 0 - ec
1
Ja n 8 D e 8
n - c2
Ja 17 Ja 6
n - n
2 J 1
J a 3 - an 6
n
J 22
F 3 0 an
eb
2
F 6 Fe 9
eb b
F
F 14 e 5
eb - b
2 Fe 13
F 1- b
eb F 2
e 0
M 28- b 2
ar
M 7
7- ar
M
M M a 6
ar a r 1
3
2 r
M 2 - M1 4 ar
a r20
2
2
A 8
A p r -A 7
p 3 p
r
- r2
1
A 0- A p
p
A r
r
A 17 pr 8
p
r -A 1 6
2 p
M 4- r 2
a Ap 3
M y
a 2 r3
M y9 -M 0
ay - ay
M 1 Ma 8
ay 6 y
-M 1
M 23 - ay 5
a
Ju y 3 M a 22
n 0 y
J u e -J 2 9
J u n e 6 -J u n
n 1 u e
Ju e 2 7- ne 4
ne 0 Ju 13
- n
26 Ju e1
- ne 9
Ju 2
Ju
n 5
J u ly
e
28
ly 1 Ju 8 J
ly - u l
y
J
Ju 1 u 5
ly 1 - l y
Ju 1 Ju 10
J
A u ly 7 - ly
u l
J
1
A gu y 3 24 ul 6
u s 1 - y
g t - J
2
A us 7 A ul 3
y
u
g t 1 - A ug 3
u
st 4 - ug us 0
u
22 Au s t 6
- gu t 1
3
A
u st
g
u 21
st
27
S
T
A
T
E
US $ Sold (Weekly Avg)
1 ,2 0 0
The New Iraqi Dinar (NID) exchange rate line is calculated as a weekly weighted average (NID/USD)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Securities Markets
Trading of Iraqi Bonds on the International Secondary Bond Market:
June 13, 2006 - August 24, 2007
$80.00
12.00%
$70.00
10.00%
$60.00
$40.00
6.00%
$30.00
Yield Percentage
8.00%
$50.00
4.00%
$20.00
2.00%
$10.00
15-Aug
2-Aug
20-Jul
9-Jul
26-Jun
13-Jun
31-May
18-May
7-May
24-Apr
11-Apr
29-Mar
16-Mar
5-Mar
7-Feb
20-Feb
25-Jan
12-Jan
1-Jan
19-Dec
6-Dec
23-Nov
30-Oct
10-Nov
17-Oct
4-Oct
21-Sep
8-Sep
28-Aug
15-Aug
2-Aug
20-Jul
0.00%
7-Jul
$0.00
26-Jun
S
T
A
T
E
Iraqi C om m ercial B ond S ales
13-Jun
O
F
• The following table shows the daily bond resale price and yield on Iraqi bonds issued January 20. The bonds were originally issued to
approximately two-thirds of Iraq’s commercial creditors as part of a debt exchange arrangement as per Paris Club terms. Iraq’s commercial
debt was approximately $22 billion before the debt-swap arrangement. The bonds, which are not yet rated, will mature in 2028.
Bond Price in USD
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Trading High = $73.98 (January 24)
Trading Low = $64.66 (August 30)
17
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Economic Events
Upcoming Conference to Focus on Business and Investment:
D
E •
P
A
R •
T
M
E
N
T
In cooperation with the U.S. Government Task Force for Business Stability Operations
(BSO) in Iraq, the Iraqi government will host an Iraq Business and Investment
Conference in Dubai August 28-30.
The goal of the conference, with 100 high net worth businesspeople from the Southern
Governorates of Iraq participating, is to stimulate trade and investment in the south of the
country by showcasing companies with clearly defined projects seeking outside financing
from qualified investors. Investment opportunities will range from smaller businesses in
need of a minimum of $1 million in financing to large enterprises seeking $200 million.
Marketing Iraqi Products:
O
•
F
S
•
T
A
T
E
Shelmar, a retail chain based in Memphis, placed an order with an Iraqi factory last
month for about 2,000 tracksuits and boys shirts. It is now hoped that European and
Middle East based retailers will step in to buy the clothes.
According to reporting from the Los Angeles Times and the Washington Post, some
major U.S. retailers have denied they are close to agreeing on import deals involving
clothing goods from Iraq. The firms have cited the uncertain political environment in
country and the questionable viability of suppliers.
18
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
Data as of August 22, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Production
2.40
O
F
2007 Iraqi Oil Ministry Goal: 2.1 MBPD
2.02
2.09
2.07
2.10
2.06
2.08
2.04
2.03
2.00
1.85
1.60
Millions of Barrels Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
1.15
1.20
0.80
0.40
S
T
A
T
E
0.00
June 11-17 June 18-24
June 25 July 1
July 2-8
July 9-15
July 16-22
Production
July 23-29
July 30 August 5
August 612
August 1319
Target
Power outages on August 16 and 17 affected crude oil production.
19
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
Data as of August 22, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Crude Oil Export
Revenue (US$B)
O
F
$4.00
$3.50
1.76
1.80
1.62
1.44
1.50
1.45
1.67
1.64
1.58
1.55
$3.00
1.50
1.47
$2.50
1.20
$2.00
$3.39
$3.05
$2.75
$2.73
$2.45
$2.75
USD (Billions)
$1.58
1.30
$1.50
$2.96
$2.46
$2.19
0.60
S
T
A
T
E
Exports (MBPD)
2.40
Millions of Barrels per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Projected
$1.89
$2.11
$1.92
$1.00
$0.50
0.00
$0.00
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
• 2006 Revenue Estimate:
$31.3 Billion
• 2007 Revenue Estimate:
$20.8 Billion
20
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
(Year to Date)
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
Data as of August 22, 2007
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – Total Critical Refined Product
Supplies
UNCLASSIFIED
Domestic Production
O
F
100%
3%
19%
80%
Percentage of Share of Weekly Fuel Supplies
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
58%
69%
60%
97%
81%
40%
42%
20%
S
T
A
T
E
Import
31%
0%
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
Note: This is a daily average for August 13 – 19
• Diesel: 5.5 ML supply of 24.5 ML target
• Kerosene: 3.4 ML supply of 11.1 ML target
• Gasoline: 10.5 ML supply of 23.1 ML target
• LPG: 1,651 tons supply of 5,100 tons target
21
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
Data as of August 22, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[5.] Help Iraq Strengthen Its Economy – National Stock Levels
Jun-07
Aug-07
Goal
25
20
15
Days
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Jul-07
10
O
F
5
S
T
A
T
E
4
3
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
Diesel
Kerosene
Gasoline
LPG
• The goal is to have on hand 15 days supply of all refined products, calculated on
the basis of maximum consumption over the year and not adjusted for seasonal
variation. The numbers given above are monthly averages.
22
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[6.] Help Iraq Strengthen the Rule of Law and Promote Civil Rights–
Rule of Law
Fifteen Former Regime Officials on Trial for Crimes Against Humanity:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
• Saddam Hussein’s cousin, widely known as “Chemical Ali,” as well as 14 others faced
charges of crimes against humanity August 21 for the crushing of a Shiite uprising after
the 1991 Gulf War, as Iraq’s third trial against former regime officials began with three of
the defendants already sentenced to death in another case. The Iraqi High Tribunal said
the defendants are charged with engaging in widespread or systematic attacks against
the civilian population. The evidence during the trial will include testimony from about 90
victims and witnesses.
• One such victim was former Iraqi lawmaker Kamil Kanoun Abu al-Heil, who gave
testimony of torture and beatings August 23. Heil said he had, in March 1991, during a
Shiite Muslim uprising against Saddam’s Sunni-led regime, been detained at a Baghdad
prison where hundreds of others were brought daily to be “beaten and tortured.” Heil, a
Shiite who served as a legislator during Saddam’s rule, said he was arrested when he
had come to Baghdad to attend a parliamentary session. He was detained in the alRadhwaniyah prison near Baghdad.
S
T
A
T
E
23
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Developments
British Leader Rejects Call For Iraq Withdrawal Timetable:
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
• On August 28, British Prime Minister Gordon Brown rejected a call to pull his country’s
troops out of Iraq, saying they still had an important job to do battling militias and
providing security. In an open letter to opposition party leader Sir Menzies Campbell,
Brown argued that it was wrong to say the continued presence of British troops would
achieve little, or to say that they were severely restricted in what they can do.
France Seeks to Rebuild Ties with Iraq:
• French President Nicolas Sarkozy said that Iraq’s road to recovery begins with a clear
timetable for the pullout of foreign troops, as he outlined a more assertive role for France
in world crisis areas. Making his first major foreign policy speech since taking office
earlier this year, Sarkozy said his country was ready to help the international community
find a political solution in Iraq.
U.S. Grants UN Project 30 Million Dollars for Iraqi Children:
S
T
A
T
E
• The U.S. announced August 28 that it will give UN agencies $30 million in order to help
tens of thousands of Iraqi child refugees to attend school in neighboring countries in a
joint UNHCR-UNICEF education initiative for Iraqi children.
24
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[7.] Increase International Support for Iraq – Contributors to Iraqi
Stability Operations
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
25 Countries with forces in Iraq (in addition to US)
Albania
Denmark
Korea
Poland
Armenia
El Salvador
Latvia
Romania
Australia
Estonia
Lithuania
Singapore
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Macedonia
Slovakia
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Japan
Moldova
Ukraine
Bulgaria
Kazakhstan
Mongolia
UK
Czech Republic
TOTAL ~ 11,685 Forces
*Note: Fiji participating as a
part of the UN mission in Iraq.
33 Countries and NATO*
(including US)
Support Iraqi Stability Operations
*33 includes the 25 countries listed above, the US, Fiji, and seven NATO, non-MNF-I countries: Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal,
Slovenia, Turkey
25
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
[8.] Strengthen Public Understanding of Coalition Efforts and Public
Isolation of the Insurgents – Developments
Prime Minister’s Statements on Strategic Agreement Dominate Iraqi Press:
D • On August 27, Baghdad newspapers highlighted Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s
E
recent statements in which he called for a strategic agreement between the five main
P
political blocs. During a press conference held in Baghdad after the inauguration of the
A
cabinet’s press center August 26, the government-funded al-Sabah newspaper quoted
R
Maliki as highlighting partnership as a key decision-making mechanism for the Iraqi
T
political process.
M
E CBS News Translator Abducted and Killed in Iraq:
N • A translator for CBS News in Iraq was found dead after being abducted from his home by
T
armed men a week ago, CBS said August 27. Anwar Abbas Lafta, an Iraqi who had
O
F
worked for CBS News for ten months, was abducted on the evening of August 20 by men
who entered his home, fought with him and his brother and shot his sister in the arm,
CBS said in a statement.
S
T
A
T
E
26
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Iraq Weekly Status – General Information
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• This brief draws from multiple sources. References are cited on the
following pages.
• Please forward all questions and/or comments to:
NEA-I-IPOG-DL@state.gov
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
27
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (1 of 3)
Slide 5:
D
E
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A
R
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M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
– August 26, 2007 - MNF-I Press Conference with Adm. Fox (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index)
Slide 6:
– August 26, 2007 - MNF-I Press Conference with Adm. Fox (http://www.mnf-iraq.com/index) – August 26
– August 10-16, 2007 - PRT Weekly Summary
– August 18, 2007 - The Advisor
Slide 7:
– August 18, 2007 - The Advisor
Slide 8:
– DoD Input to Iraq Weekly Status Report August 29, 2007
Slide 9:
– August 26, 2007 - http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/6964933.stm
– August 27, 2007 - http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2007/08/27/politics/animal/main3207881.shtml
– August 29, 2007 - http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070829/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq
Slide 10:
– NEA Political Section, NEA-I-POL-DL@state.gov
Slide 11:
– ITAO Weekly Report, August 29, 2007
Slide 12:
– POC Department of State, NEA-I ASSIST, 202 647-9815
– The chart shows average daily power production in megawatt hours (MWh). 120,000 MWh goal equates to 20 hours at 6000 MW average
supplied load or 24 hours at 5000 MW average supply load.
28
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (2 of 3)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
S
T
A
T
E
Slide 13:
– August 24, 2007 - Iraq Updates (Azzaman) – www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/21016
– August 21, 2007 - USACE Daily Report
– August 26, 2007 - USACE Daily Report
Slide 14:
– August 23, 2007 - http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070823/wl_mideast_afp/jordaniraqoil
– August 27, 2007 - IIC, (U) Contracting Impediments in Oil Ministry
Slide 15:
– Oil Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Employment Update:
– Information regarding the Employment Update was sourced from the ITAO Weekly Report – August 29, 2007.
– CERP has not reported figures for some time. Until they report accurate data, the number will remain at 0.
– PCO will be reporting on a bi-weekly basis.
Slide 16:
– Information regarding the NID auction was gathered from the Central Bank of Iraq’s website: http://www.cbiraq.org.
Slide 17:
– Iraqi Bond Prices are sourced from Bloomberg
Slide 18:
– August 26, 2007 - http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/21103
– August 26, 2007 - http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/21101
– August 29, 2007 - http://www.usatoday.com/printedition/money/20070829/b_madeiniraq.art.htm
Slide 19:
– Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
29
UNCLASSIFIED
August 29, 2007
UNCLASSIFIED
Notes and Source Citations (3 of 3)
D
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F
Slide 20:
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 21:
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 22:
–
Department of State, NEA-I-ECON, 202-647-9885
Slide 23:
–
August 21, 2007 -http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070821/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq_trial;_ylt=AgsBCHlgkNnwipiOykWddFVvaA8F)
–
August 22, 2007 - AFP - http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070822/wl_mideast_afp/iraqtrialshiites)
Slide 24:
–
August 28, 2007 - http://voanews.com/english/2007-08-28-voa42.cfm
–
August 21, 2007 - http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2007/08/21/ap4040505.html
–
August 28, 2007- http://www.africasia.com/services/news/newsitem.php?area=mideast&item=070828102048.zne46yhf.php
Slide 25:
–
S
T
A
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E
Source: DOD Input to Weekly Status Report, updated bi-weekly.
Slide 26:
–
August 27 - http://www.reuters.com/article/companyNewsAndPR/idUSN279135020070827
–
August 27 - http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/21138
–
August 23 - http://www.iraqupdates.com/p_articles.php/article/20966
30
UNCLASSIFIED