Project Title: Continued development and testing of the landscape level dynamic simulation system, SIMPPLLE, for the Northern Rocky Mountains, Colorado Front Range, and the Colorado Plateau Announcement for Proposals Joint Fire Sciences AFP 2006-4 Task 1, Announcement for Proposals, 2006-4, and task statement this proposal Task 1, -- studies that will build on or extend results of completed JSFP is responding to: research, propose re-measurement of past study site or experimental plots, or evaluate and test models or modeling systems. Principal Investigator: Dr. Jimmie D. Chew Affiliation: Rocky Mountain Research Station Address: Forestry Sciences Lab, Missoula, MT 59801 Phone: 406-542-4171 Email: jchew@fs.fed.us Original JFSP Project(s) this Optimizing landscape treatments for reducing wildfire risk and improving proposal is linked to: ecological sustainability of ponderosa pine forests with mixed severity fire regimes 01-1-3-22, Merril Kaufmann A risk-based comparison of potential fuel treatment trade-off models 98-1-806, David Weise Application of a fuel characterization system for major fuel types of the contiguous US and AK 98-1-1-06, Roger Ottmar Federal Cooperator: Mary Manning USDA Forest Service, Region 1 (Signature will be required if a Missoula, MT full proposal is requested) Email: mmanning@fs.fed.us Phone: 406-329-3304 Bruce Short, USDA, Forest Service, Region 2 Rio Grande NF, Monte Vista, CO Email: bshort@fs.fed.us Phone: 719-852-6225 Christine Turner, USGS, Box 25046, Federal Center Mail Stop 939, Denver, CO 80225-0046 Email: cturner@usgs.gov Phone: 303-236-1561 Charles Tuss , USDI, BLM, Butte, MT Email: charles_tuss@blm.gov Phone: 406-533-7634 George L San Miguel, National Park Service, Mesa Verde NP PO Box 8, Mesa Verde, CO 81330 Email: george_san_miguel@nps.gov Duration of Project: 3 calendar years (July/2006 through Sept/2008); 3 fiscal years Annual Funding Requested: FY2006: $ 28,815 ;FY2007: $ 168,589 ; FY2008: $ 85,013 Total JFSP Funding Requested: $282,417 Total Value of In-Kind $138,500 Contributions: Abstract:: A new version of the landscape simulation system, SIMPPLLE, will be developed and delivered to three geographic areas; Northern Rocky Mountains, Colorado Front Range, and Colorado Plateau. This additional development and testing is in respond to user’s requests and will include the Fuel Characteristic Classification System (FCCS). These changes will be made to the system’s code in a way to facilitate future incorporation into the other nine geographic areas that the system covers when users request . Signature of PI: 11-14-05 JFSP AFP 2006-4, Page 1 of 7 I. Introduction SIMPPLLE is a dynamic landscape modeling system used in land management planning. Its functionality was compared to other models in a model comparison study (98-1-8-06). The version used for all the locations is available on the web site: http://www.fs.fed.us/rm/missoula/4151/SIMPPLLE/index.htm. It was also used in the Colorado Front Range optimization study (01-1-3-22) and made available on CDs in a workshop in Denver on 10/20/06. 1. Project Justification The above mentioned JFS projects have contributed funding to the development of SIMPPLLE in twelve different geographic areas (along with funding from BLM, Forest Service, USGS, Montana State University, and a nonprofit organization). We are supporting significant use and expanding interest in three of these areas, Northern Rocky Mts, Colorado Plateau, and the Colorado Front Range. SIMPPLLE is being used for a range of uses from broad regional assessments, Forest Plan revision, watershed assessments, and ecosystem restoration and fuel treatment project planning. For example SIMPPLLE is being used with USGS in their FRAME project (Framing Research for Adaptive Management of Ecosystems) on the Colorado Plateau. Through this development and the interaction with users we have feedback identifying critical components that need to be completed and added to the system. 2. Project Objectives Our objective is to provide a new version of SIMPPLLE that has the additional functionality requested by users for all three areas. These changes will include the incorporation of the FCCS (Fuel Characteristic Classification System) by Ottmar, JFSP, 98-1-1-06, to improve the systems ability to link vegetation change to fuel models and improve our dynamics of the fire process within the system. II. Materials and Methods 1. Description of the original studies or models The existing model, SIMPPLLE, was peer reviewed by the Inventory and Monitoring Institute of the WO, Forest Service and has a peer reviewed overview publication in the Western Journal of Applied Forestry (see SIMPPLLE web site). 2. Proposed Work We propose a combination of continued development and testing to incorporate new model features and expand to the full extent of geographic areas where we are getting significant use of the modeling system. The significant features are: Incorporate FCCS – The system uses logic rules to identify the type of fire and fire spread from a combination of vegetation descriptions, past treatments and past disturbance events (insect, disease, and fire). The simulated vegetation attributes and disturbance processes will be converted to the appropriate fuelbed. Multiple Life Form -- Finish the code to model the interaction of three life forms, trees, shrubs, and grass on any “cell”. This will assist in the incorporation of FCCS and the modeling of invasive species. Regional Climate variable – Currently SIMPPLLE captures cyclic changes in temperature and moisture as one value for an entire landscape. This will be expanded to utilize a grid. Timber volumes and biomass - methodology will be developed to provide users the option of using FVS with FIA data to provide volume information. Complete the incorporation of “land units” - JFSP AFP 2006-4, Page 2 of 7 identify common processes and attributes for land units, mapped landtypes or landtype associations. All changes will be tested by simulating insect, disease, and fire processes creating historic and current trends with and without treatments on landscapes within the three areas. III. Project Duration and Timeline This project will last approximately 3 years, assuming a start date in July 2006, with completion in September 2008. Time Period July - Oct/2006 - Acquire GIS coverages, vegetation, land units, dems for all sample landscapes in the three geographic areas - Began initial review of FCCS code March/07 - Complete revision of multiple life form component June /07 -Complete incorporation of FCCS Sept /07- Complete incorporation of biomass capabilities Dec /07 -Complete incorporation of biomass capabilities Jan - Aug /08 Complete testing in seven landscapes across the three geographic area Aug,Sept/2008 Final workshops for each geographic area, distribute cd’s with install executable and GTR users manual and make available on website. IV. Budget 31,500 28,815 Contributed 24,461 4,354 - Requested 31,500 52,000 63,967 7,200 1,000 52,000 72,167 12,846 53,500 Requested 23,261 1,200 - 2008 Contributed LABOR TRAVEL VEHICLES Capitalized Equipment: Materials and Supplies: Science Delivery and Application: Other Total Direct Costs Indirect Costs: 17.8% - of total direct costs (if applicable) Total Requested JFSP Funding Contributed Budget Item Requested Table 1. Proposal Budget Summary for FYs 2006, 2007, and 2008 2006 2007 136,415 6,200 500 143,115 25,474 53,500 1,500 168,589 1,500 85,013 V. Deliverables All deliverables will be available through final workshops and our internet site. Table 2. Deliverable, Description and Delivery Dates Deliverable Description Peer reviewed paper Incorporating FCCS within SIMPPLLE Version 2.5 install executables available from website SIMPPLLE and delivered to each cooperator GTR User Manual for Version 2.5 featuring the three geographic areas Delivery Dates Sept 08 Aug – Sept 08 July 08 VI. Expected Benefits of the Proposal This work will provide an increasing number of clients across a range of federal ownership in these three geographic areas a tool that they can continue to use at a range of planning levels. JFSP AFP 2006-4, Page 3 of 7 APPENDIX A – P. I. Curricula Vitae JIMMIE D. CHEW Forester, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, P.O. Box 8089, Missoula, MT 59807. Phone: 406-542-4171. Fax: 406-329-2124. Email: jchew@fs.fed.us Education BS Forestry, University of Illinois 1967 MF Forest Management, Oregon State University 1968 Ph.D. Applied Ecology, University of Montana, 1995 Professional Experience 1991-present GS-13 Forester RWU-4151 1983-1991 GS-13 Silviculturist, Regional Office, Region One, Forest Service, Missoula MT 1980-1983 GS-12 Planning Team Leader, Nez Perce National Forest, Idaho 1978-1980 GS-11 Timber Management Planner, Nez Perce National Forest, Idaho 1976-1978 District Silviculturist, Elk City District, Nez Perce NF, Idaho 1974-1976 Area Silviculturist, Sitka Area, Tongass National Forest, Sitka, AK 1970-1974 District Silviculturist, Avery Ranger District, St. Joe NF, Idaho 1968-1970 Forester, Sandpoint District, Kaniksu NF, Idaho Professional Interests and Activities Current work emphasizes the design, development, and application of spatialy explicit landscape scale modeling systems to integrate knowledge to simulate the interaction of vegetation, aquatics and landform components. Recent Research Funding Development of a Version of SIMPPLLE for Mesa Verde National Park and the Colorado Plateau. Funding provided by USGS. $27,000 (2004, 05) Incorporation of invasive species spread logic developed by researchers at Montana State University into SIMPPLLE as part of the development of an economic assessment of the impact of invasive species. Funding providing by Montana State University. $20,000 (2004, 05) Development of a version of SIMPPLLE to use in Wyoming and South Dakota Grassland Ecosystems for the quantification of historic conditions and use in planning sustainable management by a collection of private landowners. Funding provided by Ecosystem Research Management Institute, a nonprofit organization. $20,000 (2004, 05) Development and support for the use of SIMPPLLE by BLM’s Montana Field Offices for Management Plan Revision and project planning. $27,000 (2003 through 2005) JFSP AFP 2006-4, Page 4 of 7 Testing of the use of SIMPPLLE by a range of stateholders (private, state, and federal) in the Swan Valley in Northwest Montana to facilitate collaborative planning. Funding provided by Washington Office, Forest Service. $25,000 (2003) Support for the use of SIMPPLLE in planning a ecosystem restoration and fuels management project, Lolo National Forest, Ninemile District. $3,000 (2002) Development and support of SIMPPLLE simulation system for Region One’s use in Forest Plan Revison, watershed assessments, and project analysis. $50,000/year (2000 through 2005) Extrapolation of modeling results: identifying represenative landscapes at a drainage level that can be used as a basis for extrapolating SIMPPLLE and MAGIS results, Bitterroot Ecosystem Management and Research Program. $20,000 (2001) A Risk-Based Comparison of Potential Fuels Treatment Tradeoff Models at eight geographic areas across the United States. Pacific Southwest Research Station. $50,000/yr (1998-2004) A Decision Support System for Spatial Analysis of Fuel Treatment Options and Effects at Landscape Scales, RMRS-MSO-14, funded R&D study in support of the National Fire Plan. $180,000 (2001 through 2003) Joint Fire Sciences project directed by Merrill Kaufmann, RWU-4852, Natural Resource Assessment, Ecology, and Management Science, SIMPPLLE and MAGIS are being used together to prioritize fuel treatments in a study area in the South Platte watershed. In additional the Front Range Fuel Partnership provided funding to for development of a version of SIMPPLLE that can be used along the entire Colorado Front Range. $36,000 (2002, 2003) $23,000 (2003 through 2005) Selected Publications Chew, J.D; Stalling, C.; Moeller, K. 2004. Integrating Knowledge for Simulating Vegetation Change at Landscape Scales. Western Journal of Applied Forestry 19(2): 102-108. Chew, Jimmie D. 2003. Comparing Two Methods of Identifying Ecological Restoration Opportunities. In Fire, Fuel Treatments, and Ecological Restoration: Conference Proceedings; 2002 16-18 April; Fort Collins CO. Omi and Joyce, technical editors. RMRS-P-29 Jones, J.G.; Chew, J. D.; Christianson, N. K.; Silvieus, D. J.; Stewart, C. A. 2000. Stevensville West Central Study. In: Smith, Helen Y., ed. 2000. The Bitterroot Ecosystem Management Research Project: What We Have Learned: symposium proceedings; 1999 May 18-20, Missoula, MT. Proc. RMRS-P-17. Ogden, UT: USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. p. 83-90. Jones, J.G. and J.D. Chew. 1999 Applying Simulation and Optimization to Evaluate the Effectiveness of Fuel Treatments for Different Fuel Conditions at Landscape Scales.. In proceeding of the Joint Fire Sciences Conference and Workshop, June 12-17, 1999, Boise Idaho. JFSP AFP 2006-4, Page 5 of 7 Jones, J. Greg; Chew, Jimmie D; Zuuring, Hans R. 1999. Applying Simulation and Optimization to Plan Fuel Treatments at Landscape Scales. In Proceeding of the Symposium on Fire Economic Planning, and Policy: Bottom Lines. 1999 April 5-9 ; San Diego CA; General Technical Report PSW GTR-173. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station 332p. Chew, J.D. 1997. Simulating Vegetation Patterns and Processes at Landscape Scales. Pages 287-290. In Proceedings of Eleventh Annual Symposium on Geographic Information Systems, Integrating Spatial Information Technologies for Tomorrow. 1997 Feb 17-20; Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. 640p. J.G. Jones, J.D. Chew, M.D. Sweet, K.E. Wall, L.A. Weldon, and C.E. Carlson. 1995. Bitterroot Ecosystem Management Research Project (BEMRP): Landscape Analysis to Support Ecosystem Management. Pages 220-229. In Analysis in Support of Ecosystem Management. Workshop Proceedings, USDA Forest Service, Ecosystem Management Analysis Center, Washington D.C. April 10-13,1995. Fort Collins, CO Chew, J.D. 1995. Development of a system for simulating vegetative patterns and processes at landscape scales. Missoula: University of Montana; 182 p. Ph.D. dissertation. Chew, J.D. 1993. An expert system for the diagnosis of stand treatment needs. AI Applications. Vol. 7, No. 4, pp 1-11. Haight, R.G., R.A. Monserud and J.D. Chew. 1992. Optimal harvesting with stand density targets: Managing Rocky Mountain conifer stands for multiple forest outputs. Forest Science 38(2): 554-574. APPENDIX B – SALARY JUSTIFICATION Certification to the Joint Fire Science Program Justification of Need for Salary Support I hereby certify the attached Justification of Need to provide temporary salaries for full-time permanent employees Kirk Moeller, GS-11 Information Specialist, and Christine Stalling, GS-11 Biologists, is necessary and appropriate to enable him/her (them) to fully and directly participate in the proposed project. Justification: Appropriated funding available to project is not sufficient to cover these two employees full time. JFSP AFP 2006-4, Page 6 of 7 I understand that salary funding for this/these employee(s) directly involved in the proposed project is temporary and will not be provided beyond the duration of the proposed project. Signature____________________________________ Date__11-7-05______________ Name (type or print) __Jimmie D. Chew_________________________ Title Forester_______Phone Number __406-542-4171_________ JFSP AFP 2006-4, Page 7 of 7