Integrating Ecologic, Economic, and Social Sciences Using a Spatially Explicit, Landscape Dynamic Simulation System Chris Stalling, RMRS Forestry Science Lab Acknowledgement • Jimmie Chew, RMRS • Kirk Moeller, RMRS • Anne Black, ALWRI • Adam Liljeblad, ALWRI Introduction • Integration of knowledge – The interactions of the biophysical, social, and economic landscape components • Use of models for better understanding and communication • Modeling with SIMPPLLE – A method – A tool developed specifically for integration Theory Ecologic Social Economic From theory to reality Reality Ecologic Economic Social How do we bring these seemingly divergent perspectives together? • Modeling that helps us think about the world by: – Representing interactions of socioeconomic values with biophysical environment – Displaying trade-offs necessary for sustainability – Communication using visualization and interactive, ‘real-time’ modeling SIMPPLLE as the ecological core Designed to simulate complex landscape-scale interactions between vegetation and other abiotic and biotic landscape components. Developed to help managers make decisions that address ecosystem sustainability based on issues, concerns, and knowledge Runs on site-specific empirical, mechanistic, local and expert-knowledge as logic SIMPPLLE, A Simple Methodology • Basic rule of modeling is to help people better understand the world • Acronym = modeling philosophy to keep things as simple as possible, add complexity only as needed • Modeling system platform allows users to interact and communicate issues and concerns about landscapes • www.fs.fed.us/rm/missoula/4151/SIMPPLLE Users Decide How to Represent the Landscape • What is the appropriate scale for issues? • Is the analysis to be irregular polygons or grid-based? • Should time be in decades, years, seasons? • Include vegetation, landforms, aquatics, man-made structures, social values? • Should vegetation be dominant forest species, multiple life forms, grass types? Climate Change Models NAU Insect and Disease Research Wildlife Models R1,GAP, Birdlife Int’l – Europe Watershed Models Vegetation FVS Model USGS, CO Plateau SIMPPLLE the ecological core FCCS PNW Fire Models Economic Models FMOs MAGIS-JFS, BEMRP SPECTRUM, R1 Planning FIA Plots Invasive Species MSU, MESA VERDE NP What are we missing? Ecologic Social SIMPPLLE Economic A planning problem: People care about their landscape; yet most planning and analysis activities don’t explicitly acknowledge or incorporate these attachments. Ecologic possible Social acceptable Economic feasible A solution? Incorporate information about ‘attachment to place’ directly into our ecologic/economic models. Conceptual framework Social settings Biophysical settings cohesion Landform (e) (a) (b) activities PVT Cover Type (c) Cover Type/ Structural phase outcomes Location identity Attachment to place Conceptual framework Social settings Biophysical settings cohesion Community/ Cultural Landform (e) Family/Friends (a) (b) activities PVT Cover Type (c) Cover Type/ Structural phase Personal outcomes Location identity Attachment to place Social & Physical Attachment Physical Associates Social Outcomes Family/ Inter-Social Individual Community Objective Physical Activity Related Subjective Management Influenced Ownership Related Density Related Social & Physical Attachment Physical Associates Social Outcomes Family/ Inter-Social Community Objective Subjective Individual Physical Subsistence Exercise Physical Economic Management Influenced Employment Emotional Relaxation Natural Inquiry Activity Related Ownership Related Density Related Social & Physical Attachment Physical Associates Social Outcomes Family/ Inter-Social Individual Community Activity Related Interconnected Trail System Natural Sounds Objective Physical Subjective Management Influenced Ownership Related Wilderness Abundance of Rec. Opps. Density Related Uncrowded Open Space Activity Related Ownership Related Density Related Adapted from Firey, 1960 So What?