• • Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 Treatment 9 y331 y332 y333 y334 k = 1, . . . , 4 (Replications) and ijk ∼ N (0, σ 2) i.i.d yijk = μij + ijk , i = 1, . . . , 3 (Material); j = 1, . . . , 3 (Temperature) Model: Treatment 1 Treatment 2 Treatment 3 . . . y111 y121 ... ... y112 y122 ... ... y113 y123 ... ... y114 y124 ... ... 2 Analysis The analysis is best considered in two stages. The first part of the analysis ignores the treatment structure, i.e., that it is a factorial. Analyze the data as one-way classification with 9 treatments (i.e., 1 factor with 9 levels) and equal sample sizes. Data will look like: Last update: February 29, 2016 Stat402 (Spring 2016) Slide set 8 • • Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 3 (τ β)ij =incremental effect due to combination of material i and temp. j βj = incremental effect due to plate temperature j τi = incremental effect due to plate material i for the treatment mean μij where μij = μ + τi + βj + (τ β)ij SV d.f. Treatment 8 Error 27 Total 35 Now, consider the modeling of the treatment structure. We consider the non-additive model ANOVA The Two-way Factorial in a CRD (Cont’d) Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 1 Example 5.1: Measure maximum output voltage of storage batteries. All combinations of 3 plate materials and 3 temperatures are used in a completely randomized design with 4 replications per each combination. Nine treatment combinations allocated to 36 runs completely at random. The treatment arrangement is called a 3 × 3 factorial. 9 treatments combinations: 3 materials × 3 temperatures The Two-way Factorial in a Completely Randomized Design Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 = = Estimates (τ β)ij ANOVA table on p.194 d.f. 8 2 2 4 27 35 = = = = ȳ... ȳi.. − ȳ... ȳ.j. − ȳ... ȳij. − ȳi.. − ȳ.j. + ȳ... ⎪ ⎪ ⎭ ⎫ ⎪ ⎪ ⎬ or μ̂ij = ȳij. 6 [H0 : μ̄1. = · · · = μ̄a. B Means) [H0 : μ̄.1 = · · · = μ̄.b H0 : (τ β)ij = 0 for all i, j [H0 : no interaction ≡ ≡ vs vs vs vs vs vs ȳ1 ȳ1.. ȳ2.. .. ȳa.. ȳ... F M ST rt /M SE 1 M SA /M SE 2 M SB /M SE 3 M SAB /M SE Ha : interaction] Ha : at least one = 0 Ha : at least one ineq.] Ha : at least one βj = 0 Ha : at least one ineq.] Ha : at least one τi = 0 MS M ST rt M SA M SB M SAB M SE (= s2E ) (Grand Mean) 3 H0 : β1 = · · · = βb = 0 2 ≡ What is tested? H0 : τ1 = · · · = τa = 0 1 F statistic Hypotheses Tested SV Treatment A B AB Error Total SS SST rt SSA SSB SSAB SSE SST k yijk )/abn d.f. ab − 1 a−1 b−1 (a − 1)(b − 1) ab(n − 1) abn − 1 j yab1, . . . , yabn ȳ.b. b y1ba, . . . , y1bn A Means) ... ... ... ... ... 7 Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 i ANOVA Table ȳ... = ( ȳij. = ȳ.j. = b n j=1 k=1 yijk )/bn (Factor a n ( i=1 k=1 yijk )/an (Factor n k=1 yijk /n (Cell Means) ȳi.. = ( Factor B 1 2 y111, . . . , y11n y121, . . . , y12n y211, . . . , y21n .. .. ya11, . . . , ya1n ȳ.1. ȳ.2. Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 where 1 2 .. a Factor A Data: 5 Montgomery Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 Two-way Factorial in a Completely Randomized Design 4 of i = 1, . . . , a j = 1, . . . , b μ + τi + βj + (τ β)ij + ijk k = 1, . . . , n effect of i-th level of A a=# levels of Factor A effect of j-th level of B b=# levels of Factor B interaction effect of i-th level n=# of replications of each of A and j-th level of B treatment combination the μ̂ τ̂i β̂j (τˆβ)ij at τi = βj = yijk Model: Look Material Temp Material × Temp Error Total SV Trt This partitioning partitions the d.f. due to treatment above as follows: rijk = i=1 j=1 k=1 b n a s2E = M SE 10 A 100(1 − α) C.I. for β1 − β2 (or μ̄.1 − μ̄.2) 2 (ȳ.1. − ȳ.2.) ± t α2 ,ν · sE an where ν = ab(n − 1) − ȳij.)2 = k=1 (yijk n − ȳ...)2 i=1 a j=1 b k=1 (yijk n − ȳij.)2 SST = SST rt + SSE = SSA + SSB + SSAB + SSE SSE = Interaction Plot ANOVA table Interpretation of Results: Battery Life Data 11 Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 • • j=1 (yij b j=1 b Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 Test the No Interaction Hypothesis first. If no significant interaction between A and B then: Go ahead and test for main effects. These tests compare factor means i.e. means of each factor averaged over the levels of the other factor If A or/and B are significant, then use methods such as LSD, Tukey, Prelanned comparisons, Orthogonal Polynominals to compare factor means. A 100(1 − α)% C.I. for τ1 − τ2 (or μ̄1. − μ̄2.) 2 (ȳ1.. − ȳ2..) ∓ t α2 ,ν · sE bn • i=1 a i=1 a a SSA = bn( i=1(ȳi.. − ȳ...)2) b SSB = an( j=1(ȳ.j. − ȳ...)2) a b ⎪ ⎩ SSAB = n( i=1 j=1(ȳij. − ȳi.. − ȳ.j. + ȳ...)2) ⎧ ⎪ ⎨ SST rt = n Total SS = SST = 9 • • Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 Algebraic Decomposition of Total Variation 8 (yijk − ȳij.)2 Suggested procedure i=1 j=1 k=1 b n a = yijk − ŷijk = yijk − (ȳ... + (ȳi.. − ȳ...) + (ȳ.j. − ȳ...) + (ȳij. − ȳi.. − ȳ.j. + ȳ...)) = (yijk − ȳij.) SSRes: rijk Residuals = μ̂ + τ̂i + β̂j + (τˆβ)ij = ȳ... + (ȳi.. − ȳ...) + (ȳ.j. − ȳ...) + (ȳij. − ȳi.. − ȳ.j. + ȳ...) Predicted Values: ŷijk Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 Hypotheses Tested (Cont’d) • • • • Stat 402 (Spring 2016): Slide Set 8 μ1 − μ2 : (−100.2, −24.8)∗ μ1 − μ3 : (−126.2, −50.8)∗ μ2 − μ3 : (−63.7, 11.7005) 12 Interaction is significant This implies that rather than comparing battery means or material means, we need to make comparisons among the 9 cell means (observe the interaction plot) The interaction plot suggests that it makes sense to compare the average battery life for the material types at each of the temperature. For example, from the JMP output, we have, that all pairs of material type means at each of temperatures 15 and 125 are not different from each other as evidenced by the interaction plot. From JMP, 95% CI’s for differences in Material means at Temperature 70 are: Comparison of Means: Battery Life Data