Oneway Classification yij = μ + αi + ij |ȳp . − ȳq .| tc = sd iff tc > tα/2,ν ν = N − t μi ij ∼ iid N (0, σ 2 ) j = 1, . . . , ni , equivalent to assuming yij ∼ N (μi , σ 2 ), j = 1, . . . , ni for each treatment i. Also involves the assumption of homogeneity of variance i.e., same variance in each population. Rej. H0 Contrasts (or Comparisons) i ai μi is said to be a contrast or comparison of means μ1 , μ2 , . . . , μt if a1 , a2 , . . . , at are constants such that i ai = 0. Examples:μ1 − μ2 , 2μ1 − μ2 − μ3 , μ1 − 13 μ2 − 13 μ4 − 13 μ5 Estimation μ̂i = ȳi . = ( i = 1, . . . , t j yij )/ni , (yij − ȳi. )2 , N = i ni σ̂ 2 = s2 = i j N −t αp − αq = ȳp. − ȳq. , p = q 1 1 + SE(ȳp. − ȳq. ) = sd = s np nq An estimate of a linear contrast of the means is given by the linear contrast of the sample means i ai ȳi. where ai = 0. Test for Preplanned (or a priori) Comparisons (Equal Sample Size Case i.e., n1 = n2 = · · · = n) H0 : i ai μi = 0 vs. Ha : i ai μi = 0 are: A (1 − α)100% C.I. for αp − αq (or μp − μq .) is A t-test using the statistic tc = (ȳp. − ȳq. ) ± tα/2,ν · sd | i ai ȳi .| 2 An F-test using the statistic Fc = tα/2,ν = upper α/2 percentage point of the t-distribution with ν d.f. ν = N −t Testing Hypotheses ai n s( or where n( 1 )2 Rej. H0 : if tc > tα/2,N −t ai ȳi. )2 /( s2 2 a) i Rej. H0 : if Fc > Fα,1,N −t Pairwise Comparison of Means Individual Comparisons: AoV Table SV Trt Error Total vs. Ha : αp = αq H0 : α p = α q Use the t-statistic i = 1, 2, . . . , t, vs. Ha : μp = μq or equivalently Testing H0 : μp = μq One Treatment (Factor) in a CRD; may be unequal replications * By the t-test of H0 : μp = μq d.f. t−1 N −t N −1 SS MS MSTrt MSE(= s2 ) F Fc = MSTrt /MSE p-value P r(F > Fc ) * By the C.I.’s for μp − μq * Equivalently, using the Least Significance Difference (LSD) when sample sizes are equal. t-test for H0 : μp − μq = 0 gives Rej: H0 if |ȳp . − ȳq .| > tα/2,ν · s · The F-statistic tests H0 : μ1 = μ2 = · · · μt vs. Ha : at least one ineq. or equivalently H0 : α1 = α2 = · · · = αt vs. Ha : at least one ineq. Oneway Analysis of Covariance One factor experiment in a CRD; a single covariate is also measured. Assume equal replication. i = 1, . . . , t ∼ iid N (0, σ 2 ) j = 1, . . . , n ij yij = μ + τi + β(xij − x̄.. ) + ij ⇐⇒ Assuming straight line regressions for each treatment with the same slope β Treatment 1: Treatment 2: y1j = α1 + βx1j + 1j y2j = α2 + βx2j + 2j .. . Treatment t: ytj = αt + βxtj + tj , , , j = 1, . . . , n j = 1, . . . , n .. . j = 1, . . . , n where αi = μ + τi − x̄.. 2/n , n = sample size, ν = N − t LSDα Multiple Comparisons: * Tukey’s procedure for all possible pairwise comparisons simultaneously (HSD). * Bonferroni conservative procedure for several comparisons (pairwise and/or contrasts of the type ai μi ) simultaneously. Testing Hypotheses An analysis of covariance table SV df Trt t−1 Error(Unadj.) t(n − 1) Regression 1 Error(Adj.) t(n − 1) − 1 Total tn − 1 Trt(Adj.) t−1 Error(Adj.) t(n − 1) − 1 SS MS SSTrt MSTrt SSEUnadj. MSEUnadj. SSReg MSReg SSE MSE(= s2 ) SSTot SSTrt MSTrt SSE MSE(= s2 ) F MSTrt /MSEUnadj. MSReg /MSE MSTrt /MSE The F -statistic for Trt tests the hypothesis Estimation μ̂i = ȳi. (Adj.) = ȳi − b(x̄i. − x̄.. ) ‘Adjusted Treatment Means’ Sxy = Sxy b= Sxx ȳi. = Sxx = i j (xij − x̄i. )(yij − ȳi. ) i j (xij − x̄i. )2 yij n j σ̂ 2 = s2 x̄i. = xij n j x̄.. = i j xij nt MS Error from the ‘Adjusted AoV’ (ȳp. (Adj.) − ȳq. (Adj.)) ± tα/2,ν · sd sd = s 2 (x̄p. − x̄q. ) 2 + n Exx and ν = t(n − 1) − 1 H0 : β = 0 versus Ha : β = 0 The F -statistic for Trt(Adj.) tests the hypothesis H0 : τ1 = τ2 = · · · = τt versus Ha : at least one inequality when β is not zero. This test is equivalent to comparing the intercepts of the regression lines i.e., A (1 − α) 100% C.I. for μp − μq is where H0 : μ1 = μ2 = · · · = μt versus Ha : at least one inequality when the covariate is not present in the model. The F -statistic for Regression tests the hypothesis 1/2 H0 : α1 = α2 = · · · = αt versus Ha : at least one inequality If this hypothesis is rejected, then at least one pair of treatment effects (equivalently, adjusted treatment means) is different. A Twoway Factorial in a CRD Estimation μ̂ij = ȳij. = ( Two Crossed Factors A, B in a completely randomized design is another example of a twoway classification. Model: yijk = μ + αi + βj + γij +ijk yijk )/n k μ̄ˆi. = ȳi.. = ( i = 1, . . . , a (Factor A) μij j j = 1, . . . , b (Factor B) μ̄ˆ.j = ȳ.j. = ( k = 1, . . . , n (Replication) yijk )/nb k i yijk )/na k σ̂ 2 = s2 = MSE ijk ∼ iid N (0, σ 2 ) μij = Expected mean in the ij th cell of the two classification. SE (ȳi.. − ȳi .. ) = s 2/bn SE (ȳ.j. − ȳ.j . ) = s 2/an Levels of Factor B 1 2 . Levels of .. Factor A i .. . a 1 μ11 μ21 .. . ··· ··· 2 μ12 μ22 j ··· ··· b μ1b μ2b .. . μ̄1. μ̄2. .. . μ̄i. .. . μij .. . μa1 μ̄.1 .. . ··· ··· μa2 μ.2 μ̄.j ··· ··· μab μ̄.b A (1-α)100% CI for Treatment Mean Differences. μ̄i. − μ̄i . : (ȳi.. − ȳi .. ) ± tα/2,ν · s · μ̄.j − μ̄.j : (ȳ.j. − ȳ.j . ± tα/2,ν · s · 2/nb 2/na ν = d.f. for MSE i.e.,ν = ab(n − 1) μ̄a. Figure 1: Means model: Cell means and marginal means SE(ȳij. − ȳij . ) = s 2/n A (1 − α)100% CI for cell mean diferences μij − μij : (ȳij. − ȳij . ) ± tα/2,ν · s 2/n SE(ȳij. − ȳi j. ) = s 2/n A (1 − α)100% CI for cell mean differences μij − μi j : (ȳij. − ȳi j. ) ± tα/2,ν · s 2/n Oneway Random Model Hypotheses Testing Here we consider an experiment with one random factor. Model: The general model is given by AoV Table SV Treatment A B A*B Error Total d.f. SS ab-1 a-1 b-1 (a-1)(b-1) ab(n-1) abn-1 MS F MSA MSB MSAB MSE MSA /MSE MSB /MSE MSAB /MSE (1) (2) (3) yij = μ + ai + ij i = 1, . . . , a j = 1, . . . , n where the random effects ai , i = 1, . . . , a are assumed to be distributed independently as N (0, σa2 ) random variables independently of the random errors ij . As usual, the ij i = 1, . . . , a; j = 1, . . . , n are assumed to be distributed independently as N (0, σ 2 ) random variables. Hypothesis Testing: F-tests (1) Tests H0 : μ̄1. = μ̄2. = · · · = μ̄a. vs. Ha : at least one ineq. (2) Tests H0 : μ̄.1 = μ̄.2 = · · · = μ̄.b vs. Ha : at least one ineq. (3) Tests H0 : (μij − μ̄i. − μ̄.j + μ̄.. ) = 0 for all (i, j) ⇔ H0 : no interaction SV A Error Total d.f. a−1 a(n − 1) an − 1 SS SSA SSE AoV Table MS F M SA M SA /M SE M SE(= s2 ) E(MS) σ 2 + n σa2 σ2 The F-statistic from the analysis of variance table is used to test the hypothesis H0 : σa2 = 0 vs. Ha : σa2 > 0 Depending on whether the test for interaction is significant or not, we can test hypotheses like H0 : μ̄i. = μ̄i . vs. Ha : μ̄i. = μ̄i . H0 : μ̄j = μ̄.j vs. Ha : μ̄.j = μ̄.j H0 : μi = μij vs. Ha : μij = μij H0 : μij = μi j vs. Ha : μij = μi j Estimation: As usual we estimate the error variance by the MSE σ̂ 2 = s2 If the hypothesis H0 : σa2 = 0 is rejected in favor of Ha : σa2 > 0 we may also estimate σa2 . To do this equate the observed mean squares M SA to its Expected Value (which is an algebraic expression): or test any preplanned comparisons among the factor A means and/or factor B means. σ 2 + n σa2 = M SA , and solve for σa2 which gives the result M SA − σ̂ 2 n where the right hand side consists only of numbers computed and are obtained from the Anova table. This method of estimation is called the method of moments. σ̂a2 =