Math 3080-001 Spring 2009 Worksheet #2 1.) Name: DO NOT TURN THIS IN! A first step in a regression analysis involving two variables is to construct a _______________. In such a plot, each (x,y) is represented as a point plotted on a two-dimensional coordinate system. 2.) The simple linear regression model is Y = β 0 + β1 x + ε , where the quantity ε is a random variable assumed to be __________ distributed, with E (ε ) = __________ and V (ε ) = __________ . 3.) If S xy = −289.17 and S xx = 340.2, then the least squares estimate of the slope coefficient β1 of the true regression line y = β 0 + β1 x is βˆ1 = __________. 4.) If βˆ1 = −1.0, ∑ xi = 10, ∑ yi = 20, and n = 15, then the least squares estimate of the intercept β 0 of the true regression line y = β 0 + β1 x is βˆ0 = __________. 5.) The vertical deviations y1 − yˆ1 , y2 − yˆ 2 ,KK , yn − yˆ n from the estimated regression line are referred to as the __________. 6.) In a simple linear regression problem, the following statistics are given: ∑x i = 10, ∑ xi2 = 55, ∑ xi yi = 130, ∑ yi = 40, ∑ yi2 = 330, βˆ0 = 2.50 and βˆ1 = 1.75, The error sum of squares is __________. 7.) In simple linear regression analysis, the __________, denoted by __________, can be interpreted as a measure of how much variability in y left unexplained by the model - that is, how much cannot be attributed to a linear relationship. 8.) In simple linear regression analysis, a quantitative measure of the total amount of variation in observed y values is given by the _____________________, denoted by __________. 9.) Since the mean of βˆ1 is E ( βˆ1 ) = β1 , then βˆ1 is an __________ estimator of β1 . 10.) In the simple linear regression model Y = β 0 + β1 x + ε , the quantity ε is a random variable, assumed to be normally distributed with E( ε ) = 0, and V( ε ) = σ 2 . The estimated standard error of β̂1 (the least squares estimated of β1 ), denoted by sβˆ , 1 is ______________ divided by ____________. 11.) In the simple linear regression model Y = β 0 + β1 x + E , the quantity ε is a random variable, assumed to be normally distributed with E( ε ) = 0 and V( ε ) = σ 2 . The estimator β̂1 has a _____________ distribution, because it is a linear function of independent _____________ random variables. 12.) The assumptions of the simple linear regression model imply that the standardized variable T = ( βˆ1 − β1 ) / S βˆ has a t distribution with __________ degrees of freedom. 1 13.) A 100(1 - α ) % confidence interval for the slope β1 of the true regression line is β̂1 ± __________ ⋅ sβˆ . 1 14.) Given that βˆ1 = 1.5, sβˆ = .12 , and n = 15, the 95% confidence interval for the slope 1 β1 of the true regression line (______________,______________). 15.) In testing H 0 : β1 = 0 versus H a : β1 ≠ 0, the test statistic value is the t – ratio t = __________ divided by __________. 16.) In testing H 0 : β1 = 0 versus H a : β1 ≠ 0, using a sample of 15 observations, the rejection region for .05 level test is either t ≥ __________ or t ≤ __________. 17.) In testing H 0 : β1 = 0 versus H a : β1 > 0, using a sample of 18 observations, the rejection region for .025 level test is t ≥ ______________. 18.) Both the confidence interval for µ y.x , the expected value of Y when x = x∗ , and ∗ prediction interval for a future Y observation to be made when x = x∗ , are _____________ for an x∗ near x than for an x∗ far from x . 19.) Let Yˆ = βˆ0 + βˆ1 x∗ , where x∗ is some fixed value of x. Then, the mean value of Yˆ is E (Yˆ ) = __________. 20.) A confidence interval refers to a parameter, or population characteristic, whose value is fixed but unknown to us. In contrast, a future value of Y is not a parameter but instead a random variable; for this reason we refer to an interval of plausible values for a future Y as a ____________ rather than a confidence interval.