A National Information Framework for Public Sector Information and Open Data APPSI DISCUSSION PAPER October 2012 Foreword This paper originated in a December 2010 discussion of APPSI members on the parallels between a national physical infrastructure and a national information infrastructure. The former has been embraced by Government, a standing committee has been established and some investment has been made available to pursue a strategic approach. While many positive developments have occurred in the last two years in Government‟s policies and practices on Public Sector Information (PSI), there has been no formal recognition yet that a parallel information infrastructure is critical to how the UK operates. APPSI has welcomed Government attention to information, including the Open Data initiative, the creation of new bodies (such as the Data Strategy Board, the Open Data User Group and the Open Data Institute) and the Open Data White Paper to facilitate the availability and re-use of PSI. Since its earliest discussions, however, APPSI members (and others) have argued consistently that simply making large numbers of data sets available is unlikely to maximise the utility of PSI in generating social and economic benefits. Such availability is a necessary but not a sufficient condition for success. We have argued that other essential factors are important and that a more strategic approach is necessary to leverage the value of Open Data. We refer to this strategic infrastructure as the National Information Framework. We have now concluded that the time is appropriate to promote and extend the discussion and to expose our views to a community wider than the normal government groups with whom we have mainly interacted. Our internal discussions on this have been influenced by the many recent developments and others that will no doubt occur (a revised EU Directive on PSI is in preparation). This APPSI discussion paper then is a „living document‟ which we will continue to develop. APPSI invites anyone involved or interested in the beneficial use of Public Sector Information to comment on the ideas and proposals contained in this paper. The best way to do this is by emailing comments to secretariat@appsi.gsi.gov.uk. We will collate these comments, consider them, and review and re-publish our proposals as we move, we hope, towards the development of a National Information Framework to benefit the economy and society. David Rhind Chairman – Advisory Panel on Public Sector Information The Advisory Panel on Public Sector Information is an independent UK-wide Non-Departmental Public Body of the Ministry of Justice. APPSI advises Ministers and the Director of the Office of Public Sector Information (The National Archives) on matters relating to Public Sector information re-use. Its members are drawn from the business and entrepreneurial, economic, academic, ICT, legal and public sector communities, also including local government and health sector experience and representing all three Devolved Administrations. Members have operated at senior level in numerous different organisations, acquiring many years of relevant experience. Members give their time for free. More details of APPSI can be found on http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/appsi/default.htm. Contents Synopsis 1 Purpose of paper 1 Executive summary 1 Introduction 2 The National Information Framework 4 Issues that need addressing 6 The way forward 10 The NIF – What would success look like? 11 A National Information Framework for Public Sector Information and Open Data Authors: The Advisory Panel on Public Sector Information (APPSI) Synopsis 1 This is an APPSI paper about a plan to transform the use of information in the UK to deliver better personal, government and corporate decision-making and to support the growth agenda. It embraces recent government initiatives on Open Data while arguing for a structure – the National Information Framework - to be put in place to deliver real and lasting benefits and to ensure that the considerable investments are directed strategically. Purpose of paper: 2 The aim of this document is to encourage dialogue on the importance of information as a vital element of the national infrastructure. It seeks to: summarise a collective APPSI vision of a National Information Framework (NIF); reflect discussions and inputs from APPSI members and others who have been consulted, including government representatives; assess how consistent are the UK government‟s Open Data and related plans with developing a strategic and contemporary NIF; provide a compelling and clear argument for the NIF that can be published and made widely available; obtain views from the wider community about the merits and features of a NIF. Executive Summary 3 In the recent past the UK government – and others – has sought to make much data that it holds more readily available, and often at no cost to the user. This initiative has been labelled „Open Data‟. It is intended to foster transparency (enabling citizens to hold our governments1 to account) and to generate new activities based on exploitation of the data using new technology (and hence to create business opportunities, new jobs and better services for the public). This approach has much in common with the Public Sector Information (PSI) agenda pursued by the European Union through a PSI Directive subsequently transposed into national regulations. The UK government‟s Advisory Panel on Public Sector Information has welcomed the Open Data initiative and recognised the significant achievements to date. 1 We use the term „governments‟ to refer to the devolved administrations and local government as well as the UK government. 1 But APPSI believes long-term success cannot simply be founded on a process to make 4 available data for free re-use. Now is the time to become more strategic. Success necessitates recognition that we need a contemporary National Information Framework (NIF) which includes (at least) all key data sets to meet currently anticipated needs in governments and other key sectors of the economy. The NIF also consists – crucially – of policies, procedures, standards, directories, metadata, tools, user guidance, skill sets and other foundation elements as well as information derived from the entire public sector – not just central government – and possibly the private sector. We believe such a NIF would give the UK a competitive advantage, as other countries are moving in the same direction. 5 This paper summarises APPSI‟s views on the NIF and why moving effectively to the next level requires a holistic approach. It reviews how government‟s plans for Open Data relate to this wider concept. It points out challenges that need to be addressed to achieve success. 6 The publication of a White Paper on Open Data2, and the creation of a Digital Strategy Board (DSB) and related bodies, are welcomed and provide a good platform for development of the NIF. We urge that, in addition to its specific role in Open Data procurement, the DSB should be asked to give attention to the strategic setting of information, working with APPSI and with other relevant bodies. Introduction 7 Changing technology has enabled us to collect ever more data and, from it, generate information. Indeed, according to the former Vice President for Information Management at HP3, 90% of all information ever created has been collected in the last two years. Apparently we are currently collecting of the order of 2.5 quintillion bytes of information per day4. 8 Of this, a substantial – and particularly valuable element - arises from data collected by governments. APPSI‟s remit since 2003 has been to advise the UK government on how best to exploit such Public Sector Information (PSI) through its widespread re-use. Accordingly, APPSI has been actively engaged with the Open Data initiative since it was first developed. 9 The UK government has recognised that data and information derived from it are crucial national assets. Speaking at the Open Government Partnership conference in Brazil in April 2012, Mr Francis Maude, the Cabinet Office Minister, said that, “Data is the new raw material of the 21st century”. This raw material fuels economic growth, innovation, employment, 2 Open Data White Paper Unleashing the Potential, HM Government Cm 8353, June 2012 Data wars: unlocking the data gold mine. BBC Technology web site 13 April 2012 A quintillion bytes is an Exabyte 1 EB = 1000000000000000000 bytes or 1018 bytes or 1000000000 gigabytes. Historically, a byte was the number of bits used to encode a single character of text in a computer. 3 4 2 cultural advancement as well as transparency and efficiency in public administration. To this end, the government‟s Open Data initiative has already stimulated unrestricted availability of several thousand data sets accessible to the public as well as businesses. 10 Much has changed in the last few years through evolution in the concepts of PSI and Open Data. In particular, at least three key enablers of widening use of PSI have emerged. The first and best known is the rapid development of new technologies; this enables new applications for existing data, often benefiting individuals. It has enabled the democratisation of data use (and also vastly enhanced mass collection, integration and dissemination – the so-called „Big Data‟ which brings its own challenges). 11 The second enabler is the emerging growth of interest in „end to end‟ analyses. The scope for such analyses is compromised if information is held in ways which amount to silos through differences in classification, formatting or physical isolation. It is now, for instance, widely accepted that assessment of risk from natural hazards requires some combination of data on topography (sometimes submarine as well as terrestrial), climate/weather, land cover, riverine networks, transport networks, population characteristics (recognising that diurnal variations may be important, such as the orders of magnitude variation between night and day headcount in areas like the City of London) and communication networks. To analyse risk and implement mitigation or recovery plans, some of the information may be needed in near real-time. Computer systems to integrate such data are now becoming commonplace. But we still have problems coping with data of widely differing accuracy and incorporating qualitative information in our analyses. 12 However, of equal importance is the third enabler: that government has „got it‟. We welcome the very serious attention the UK government has given in the last three years to aiding transparency and fostering social and economic gain through improving access to data and information of which it is custodian. The Open Data plans announced by the Chancellor and the White Paper are valuable in themselves but we see them as a step in the journey toward a bigger vision of a National Information Framework. 3 ‘‘We welcome the very serious attention the UK government has given in the last three years to aiding transparency and fostering social and economic gain through improving access to data and information.’’ The National Information Framework 13 In autumn 2010, APPSI launched an extended discussion on how to make the process of opening up data less ad hoc and more strategic. At that time, the data sets that were readily available reflected a legacy of limited user awareness, licensing constraints ‘‘our vision is parallel in some respects to the National (physical) Infrastructure Plan’’ and the varying willingness of government departments to expend resources on „freeing up‟ data for use outside of their own immediate domains. We argued that our vision is parallel in some respects to the National (physical) Infrastructure Plan that is now supported by HM Treasury and business. The box below summarises our views on the NIF. The Nature of the National Information Framework The drive for transparency gave Open Data momentum. Increasingly, governments are using information as a way of encouraging choice and accountability in service provision. But there is also an important understanding that information, properly developed and disseminated, is the fuel of the (potentially massive) information economy. Governments produce and require vast amounts of information. They use information to support policy development and monitoring, effective service delivery and management of the functions of government at many levels and through many types of entity. More specifically, information management within governments alone is critical to at least the range of activities below: Financial and economic management Understanding public expectations Marketing and communications and engagement Procurement and supply chain management Economic development Emergency management Environmental management Community cohesion and safety Support to politicians, executives, managers, staff, shareholders, stakeholders, regulators in all decision-making Corporate/strategic planning, investment and budgeting Service planning and delivery Performance and resource management Providing accountability Other (e.g. commercial or academic research) users of data held within governments greatly extend this range of applications. Yet, unlike other key resources – e.g. finance, property, IT, HR, and procurement - information is seldom managed in a coherent and integrated way. So there is great value in the development of a National Information Framework (NIF) to cover strategies, competences, a role, organisational recognition, even a profession, in information management. In a holistic view, the NIF is data and relevant policies about its availability and accessibility, data catalogues, quality statements, standards, statutes, licensing arrangements and attribution, guidance on safe use, e.g. on data linkage or national security, examples of past use, research programmes, communications and advice, human capital development, protocols for maintaining the NIF (e.g. for anticipating new needs and addressing the creation of the data without excessive delays) and much else. In tractable terms, the NIF refers to a manageable initiative to create, make readily available and publicise an entity and framework to promote availability and best practice in fostering re-use of public sector information. It will be guided by existing legal, etc. frameworks but will be based on a strategic, prioritised view of what is most important for driving public services and enhancing the economy. All UK information is potentially in scope for the NIF. Realistically, we should initially focus on the information that governments can manage or influence – and that which is the highest priority. But the data of interest is not all generated in Whitehall departments, so the approach should reflect the federated nature of most national information assets and therefore a success factor will be the involvement on a common footing of devolved administrations and key public facing sectors, such as local government and health, which have the more direct interface with citizens. And further, to consider near-government (e.g. transport, privatised utilities), non-government sources and blends of these. 4 14 The NIF is founded on a vital infrastructure5. As indicated, this includes policies, procedures, standards and agreed vocabulary, directories, metadata, tools, skill sets, guidance and other elements6 as well as information derived from the entire public sector – not just central government – and possibly the private sector. Although it overlaps, it is not identical to Public Sector Information for three reasons. The first is that it involves much more than data and information. Second, not all PSI belongs in Open Data. Third, while substantial volumes of key data sets and information drawn from the entire public sector is a necessary condition, increasingly data collected by private sector agencies will also form part of the NIF (e.g. commercial satellite information, transport data and demographic information). In the globalisation of the information economy, the NIF is an entity of crucial and increasing 15 importance to all citizens of the UK - rather than simply of benefit in relation to central government. As such it has a multiplicity of diverse users and many stakeholders. 16 Not all data and information are of equal value and the NIF gives a basis for prioritisation. The state, businesses and other bodies could run much more efficiently and effectively and civic society could function more effectively with more appropriate data and information. However, collecting such data can be very expensive. But much already exists as a byproduct of government activity, even though it is not always readily accessible. We do not know the cost in cash, institutional, human and opportunity costs of the present data collection efforts by governments in the UK. However, given the budgets of relevant Trading Funds and other bodies like the Office for National Statistics, the direct cost is in excess of £1bn annually and is certainly significantly more. We do not believe that there is presently any strategic overview of what is and should be collected and maintained by governments. We are convinced that such a strategic overview is highly desirable – especially in the current stringent financial environment – for some data may no longer be of high priority and new data may be required to meet current or anticipated needs. 17 We need also to ensure that the data which is collected is accessible to potential users. It is desirable but perhaps not essential that all data components of the NIF are made available 5 The importance of infrastructure under-pinning publically accessible data was recognised at least as long ago as 1994 when President Clinton made Executive Order 12904 setting up the National Spatial Data Infrastructure (NSDI) in the USA, based initially and largely on copyright-free federal government data. The NSDI was described as “a comprehensive and coordinated environment for the production, management, dissemination, and use of geospatial data, involving the totality of the relevant policies, technology, institutions, data, and individuals.” (finance was not factored in). Experience of the NSDI – including its governance, the success of some partnerships but not others, the incentives trialed to make it work at local and state level as well as nationally and its origins as part of the Osborne and Gaebler proposals to reform government are all germane to the UK. 6 If the NIF is to provide added value over and above a data repository/graveyard, it follows that the data must be capable of being linked and used in combination. This in turn requires good documentation of the information characteristics and use of standards such as common definitions wherever possible. Stability and fairness of the policies – on licensing, charging, updating and quality assurance – are vital if businesses are to be tempted to engage with data exploitation for service delivery. Central to the success of the NIF is the existence of suitable information management (c.f. ICT) skills. 5 at low or no cost to the end user. It is very highly desirable, however, that all key or core data sets are made available free at the point of use.7 18 The NIF would not have to be created from scratch. The basis already exists through extensive, distributed data development and limited release across the whole range of government departments and agencies. But it has grown up chaotically over decades (or longer), the product of a myriad of historical decisions in different government departments. It has not been the product of much strategic thought, is invisible to many potential users and does not meet contemporary needs. Our argument for developing a properly structured NIF is predicated upon the need to prioritise the essential from the „nice to have‟ and to maximise advantage through considering synergies as well as the merits of individual data sets. We do not pretend this will be easy. It requires both top down and bottom up approaches. But the foundation exists. 19 Our concept of an NIF could be achieved incrementally. The NIF embraces the data, its users and their applications, plus the infrastructure needed to make it function. While it potentially covers all data and all sectors, and related functions, it can be focussed initially on the information and operations that governments can most readily influence and which seem of highest priority. Issues that need addressing 20 Here we identify important issues which we believe need to be tackled to meet the challenges for Open Data and to make a contemporary NIF work effectively. What is the proper role of governments? 21 The NIF needs to be founded on some coherent and fundamental principles about the role of governments in providing information for „those outside‟. Is the role of governments simply to provide for wider use, and at no or low cost, that data which they themselves need? Or should governments ensure that data and information needed by external bodies and civic society (and which is not otherwise easily available) should be collected and disseminated under an Open Government Licence, where possible? Or – at the extreme – should governments become genuinely active players in the information market, tailoring what they 7 We note that the Dutch government has defined a set of 12 key registers - core datasets - which it proposes to be made available free or at maximum marginal costs for external-to-government use of the key registers is planned from 2016. See Marc de Vries (2012) Funding of a system of key registers in a psi-conomics and contemporary perspective - the Dutch experience in a Danish context, Danish Ministry for Housing, Urban and Rural Affairs, April 2012. De Vries argues that the creation of „key registers‟ is the foundation of infrastructure: he defines a Key Register as “a high quality database that constitutes the sole source of data for the performance of governmental statutory duties. Accordingly, governmental organisations are under the obligation to avail themselves of only these sources and citizens and companies cannot be requested to submit these data more than once. Typically, Key Registers hold essential and frequently used public sector information pertaining to persons, companies, land, buildings and other „infrastructural‟ elements critical to the proper functioning of government. Some important Key Registers in Denmark are the Central Business Register (CVR), the Danish Cadastral Map and Register, the Danish Civil Registration System (CPR), the Danish collection of topographical maps and the Danish Building and Dwelling Register (BBR)”. 6 collect to meet the needs of users within and outside the public sector? And to what extent is it sensible in the longer term for governments to collect data, as opposed to largely procuring it commercially by exploiting their huge purchasing power? For example, do governments really need to collect such a wide range of transport data given the heavy engagement of the private sector in this domain? If governments are no longer the main data collector, how best do they foster an Open Data environment in the public interest? 22 At present, any over-arching policy on the role of UK governments as information „players‟ is unclear, especially where this would involve additional expenditure. Most importantly, in a government committed to the Open Data cause, there is a paradox ‘‘There is a paradox in that some of the most useful data currently produced in the public sector – considered as ‘core reference data sets’ by many – are charged for.’’ in that some of the most useful data currently produced in the public sector – considered „core reference data sets‟ by many - are charged for. Such fundamental inconsistencies need to be addressed. Clarity of definitions 23 The terminology used by governments and many stakeholders is also inconsistent, as the White Paper recognises. APPSI is taking a lead and working closely with the Cabinet Office and The Department for Business, Innovation and Skills on a standard glossary of PSI and Open Data definitions. Beyond individual technical terms, however, are variations in the definition of groups of users. For example, various non-commercial bodies are excluded from the Public Sector Mapping Agreement and equivalent procurement exercises while the academic community is included. This inconsistency hinders take-up of PSI and would complicate the operation of a NIF. What exists and what is already used? 24 At present there are several other key „unknown unknowns‟, notably what data are actually held by the entire public sector. For example, the assessment process set up under the Statistics and Registration Service Act of 2007 revealed to potential users for the first time that there are no fewer than 1135 sets of National Statistics produced by central government departments (let alone an unknown number of sets of other official statistics). 25 Other than spasmodic, patchy and short-lived developments of information asset registers in various government departments over the last decade, there seems to be no general parallel to the statistical stock-take. It would be helpful in prioritising the creation of a NIF to know 7 what exists and is already available, the extent to which available information is presently used, its potential value and cost of making it fit for purpose, even if only as ball-park estimates. Again, statisticians have pioneered assessments of current use although they have proved difficult to identify in some cases. At present, there is general talk about data release that is not always supported by evidence of need: there is therefore (at least) the risk of spending resources publishing data that nobody wants. Coping with confidentiality 26 Thus far the Open Data initiative has confined itself to non-personal data although the White Paper begins to consider access to confidential data. Great care is obviously required because of concerns about release of confidential data about individuals and businesses. Yet a greatly restrictive approach severely limits important research – for example in health where individualised data is needed for analysis of the possible causes of many diseases let alone improvements to services which could be achieved by linking personal data. The Thomas and Walport Data Sharing Report (2008) advocated a number of steps to make sharing of confidential data possible while avoiding data disclosure. Various other promising developments are underway, such as Dame Fiona Caldicott‟s review of information governance in the NHS and social care to enable good practice in the sharing of information. 27 We are clear that such sharing of confidential data is of immense practical value and that ways need to be implemented to permit wider use of such linked personal data but without disclosing to whom this data pertains. The most important key to achieving this is through anonymisation after any linkage is done in a „safe harbour‟. The Information Commissioner has recently published a consultation on approaches to anonymisation8, the Office for National Statistics already runs a data analysis service for approved researchers based on certain confidential data and various academic groups have worked on sophisticated methodologies to avoid disclosure of confidential information. We urge government to continue to tackle the issue because in so doing it will facilitate use of data of immense value. The information ecosystem 28 The bounds of the de facto NIF are inexorably growing. For example, data held in the wider public sector outside central government is of considerable interest to individual citizens about their devolved administration, local authority or health trust. Data drawn from multiple sources – governments, the private sector and even crowd-sourced information – are being combined to add value. In addition, the provision of some data is globalising and increasingly government bodies procure or exploit data – some of it available at no cash cost - from novel 8 http://www.ico.gov.uk/about_us/consultations/our_consultations.aspx 8 suppliers. Open Street Map is a resource of growing relevance and Google Maps is a tool widely used by a number of UK government bodies. Many governments around the world purchase or lease satellite imagery from major US-based corporations. Credit rating agencies, major retailers and value-adders like Dr Foster sell data to various government entities (even though some of it originates from within government). The terms under which such data are procured sometimes restrict it being made widely available, even under the Open Data initiative. A particular example is that some privatised entities under contract to government collect data that is not readily made available for re-use, sometimes because the contracts include commercial rights. 29 If we look forward five or ten years, this information ecosystem seems certain to develop considerably, with some data being made available at zero cost by government and other, competitive or value-added, data being made available at a charge by UK or foreign private sector bodies. We strongly suspect that financial constraints and other factors will progressively limit what government collects while the private sector will be competing to collect and market data. As indicated above, this raises fundamental questions about the shape and role of the public sector in the information ecosystem, perhaps becoming more of a consumer than collector. The NIF needs to be designed to evolve to meet such challenges, while recognising that they cannot all be anticipated. Have we got the right human capital? 30 There is good evidence that the skills – within governments and elsewhere – necessary to develop much greater and more effective use of Open Data, let alone build a NIF, are in short supply. We see these skills as a crucial part of the necessary infrastructure. We need to develop information management professionalism. Information management is a key resource but, unlike other key resources such as finance, information technology, human relations, property, and procurement, it does not have recognised and well-developed educational and professional underpinnings. A national information strategy? 31 All of the above might be much easier to take forward if there were a national information strategy – but there is not9. Having made inquiries into why previous attempts to create such a strategy failed, we recognise the difficulties of creating something beyond the banal and set of „motherhood‟ statements. We remain of the view that to have a high quality strategy would however be of great value and APPSI would be delighted to contribute to its creation. 9 All central government departments are required to produce their own Open Data strategies, but these are not coordinated into a NIF. Some „arms length‟ government bodies have published their own information strategies, e.g. the NHS published „The Power of Information’, its own information strategy in May 2012; see http://www.dh.gov.uk/en/Publicationsandstatistics/Publications/PublicationsPolicyAndGuidance/DH_134181 9 The way forward 32 The UK Government White Paper and parts of the various documents describing the Open Data agenda represent a potentially effective series of measures which could drive the framework within which national datasets can be grown, curated and disseminated in ways that facilitate market growth and citizen engagement. The explicit role that the Data Strategy Board has in advising Ministers on the quality of Open Data and the support for research in this domain could be key to this. 33 The way in which Government information is developed, procured, and managed needs, however, to be underpinned by long term planning in terms of information standards, training of staff, procurement terms and institutional culture – which is what a NIF would achieve. It is possible the Open Data Institute will take a lead in at least some of this, but it is critical that the Institute is empowered and connected to the information management and IT infrastructure of governments, rather than develop as an isolated research body. Structures and mechanisms need to be installed at the outset to make this an Institute that has practical impact over the middle term. 34 The UK government‟s plans form valuable building blocks for the NIF. The White Paper contains a number of excellent commitments, although we do not yet see the „glue‟ that will bring the initiatives together, along with an infrastructure to provide leadership. The definition of the Data Strategy Board and its scope clearly provides that body with an opportunity to become the nexus of a contemporary National Information Framework. That said, we remain convinced that steps to create a NIF merit much greater explicit focus. As presently defined, the Data Strategy Board, working with others like APPSI, is in a potentially good position to foster the NIF but its Terms of Reference need tuning to make this possible. 35 In our view, the UK government should promote discussion and investigation of the NIF through a structured series of papers, workshops and studies to engage as widely as possible with those who stand to contribute and benefit. These can help to define requirements, build the justification and establish priorities. APPSI is helping the Cabinet Office and the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills to shape the thinking and stands ready to contribute further and help to facilitate appropriate elements of the development, perhaps in a joint initiative with the Data Strategy Board. 10 ‘‘Government should promote further discussion and investigation of the NIF through a structured series of papers, workshops and studies.’’ The NIF – What would success look like? 36 As with many visionary concepts, realising the great national benefits of a joined-up information strategy is not easily amenable to a simple cost/benefit analysis. This is also the case with the Open Data agenda that forms part of the NIF – the requirement is readily apparent but acts of faith, commitment and political support are necessary. 37 Over time, we can see that the NIF would be a coordinated collection of activities which together enable, facilitate, improve and enhance the objectives of Open Data and PSI. Benefits would accrue nationally and locally across all sectors in terms of savings, efficiency, growth, delivery, policy, joined up thinking, integrated services, social welfare, citizen and community engagement, etc. through more and better information being available. Some, but not all of these gains could be monitored and measured. 38 In terms of outcomes one would hope to see: Greater awareness and clarity of the value of information to the economy and society; Greater public trust and confidence in public information; Integrated policies and improved practices; A single authoritative source of related PSI material; Guidance that one could rely upon as being definitive so that it could be incorporated into any organisation‟s governance and delivery system; A place to share best practice; A single point/team where ambiguity on PSI matters gets sorted out; Identifiable rapid growth in information products and services. 39 Finally, creating an information parallel (the NIF) alongside the National (physical) Infrastructure will be very much less expensive than the physical. We note that Professor Dieter Helm, a distinguished Oxford economist well-known for his work on infrastructure, has estimated the cost of the Government's infrastructure plans/intentions at some £500bn within the next 10 years10 (equivalent to a little over 3% of GDP). Estimating the benefits that both of these programmes will bring over the longer term is an imprecise science but there is now a myriad of reports produced in many countries (and the EU) which predict substantial economic as well as social gains from better use of PSI. We believe that a strategic NIF is essential to achieving these gains and will be a very impressive return on investment. If you have comments on the ideas and proposals contained in this paper, please email them to secretariat@appsi.gsi.gov.uk. 10 Presentation to Reform Conference: Building Confidence in Infrastructure, 14 June 2012, and BBC programme: Built in Britain 7 October 2012 11