(c) crown copyright Catalogue Reference:CAB/129/149 Image Reference:0014 DOCUMENT IS THE PROPERTY OF HER BRITANNIC MAJESTY*S GOVERNMENT 63 C(70) 54 COPY NO 28 A p r i l 1970 CABINET SITUATION IN THE SHIPBUILDING INDUSTRY Memorandum by the P a y m a s t e r G e n e r a l In v i e w of the c u r r e n t public i n t e r e s t in the shipbuilding i n d u s t r y , my c o l l e a g u e s w i l l v/ish to have m y a s s e s s m e n t of the p r e s e n t p o s i t i o n . BACKGROUND 2. F o l l o w i n g the report of the Geddes C o m m i t t e e published in' March 1966, the Shipbuilding Industry Act w a s p a s s e d in June 1967, set up the Shipbuilding Industry Board (SIB) w h i c h under the Act a s amended w a s authorised to m a k e i. g r a n t s of up t o £ 2 0 m i l l i o n ii. l o a n s (or equity i n v e s t m e n t s ) of u p to £ 3 2 f m i l l i o n This The M i n i s t e r w a s a l s o a u t h o r i s e d , subject to SIB r e c o m m e n d a t i o n , t o guarantee bank l o a n s for United Kingdom s h i p o r d e r s placed w i t h United Kingdom yards up to a total of £ 4 0 0 m i l l i o n . Anneir A s h o w s the expenditure and c o m m i t m e n t s of SIB grants and l o a n s . 3, During 1966-67 the w o r l d new o r d e r s r o s e f r o m 18 to 22 m i l l i o n g r o s s tons a s c o m p a r e d w i t h an a v e r a g e of 10 m i l l i o n g r o s s tons in the f i r s t half of the 1 9 6 0 s , but the B r i t i s h industry w a s being p r i c e d out of the market and obtained only a s m a l l proportion of new world o r d e r s ­ 2 . 2 p e r cent in 1966 and 5 p e r cent In 1967. Orders in 1967 included however f i v e giant t a n k e r s and two container s h i p s , the e a r l i e s t of w h i c h will not be d e l i v e r e d until l a t e r this y e a r . 4. In 1968-69 the industry w a s able to build up its order book and obtained, in tonnage t e r m s , 9 . 8 p e r cent of new w o r l d o r d e r s in 1968 and 7 per cent in 1969. The B r i t i s h o r d e r book at the end of 1969 amounted to £600 m i l l i o n of m e r c h a n t ships and £ 2 0 0 m i l l i o n of h o m e and o v e r s e a s orders f o r naval v e s s e l s . 1 5. B e c a u s e , e v e n when order books a r e l o w , a v e s s e l i s not usually­ completed and d e l i v e r e d f o r two y e a r s , the output amounted to only one m i l l i o n g r o s s tons in 1968 and 0. 8 m i l l i o n g r o s s tons in 1969. Output is e x p e c t e d to r i s e to 1, 5 m i l l i o n g r o s s tons in 1970 and h i g h e r s t i l l in 1971, reflecting the influx of o r d e r s in 1 9 6 8 - 6 9 . PRESENT FINANCIAL DIFFICULTIES 6. The poor f i n a n c i a l r e s u l t s now appearing f r o m the shipbuilding companies i s m a i n l y attributable to the following f a c t o r s ; i. P r o d u c t i v i t y h a s g r o w n l e s s q u i c k l y than h o p e d , i i . Ships a r e built on fixed p r i c e c o n t r a c t s and the industry h a s t h e r e f o r e been p l a c e d in great difficulty by the c o n s i d e r a b l e i n c r e a s e s in w a g e s and the c o s t of m a t e r i a l s and components for w h i c h it often cannot obtain fixed p r i c e s at the t i m e t e n d e r s for s h i p s a r e taken. i i i . It i s now the usual accounting p r a c t i c e to make p r o v i s i o n f o r any future l o s s e s e x p e c t e d on e x i s t i n g c o n t r a c t s . INDIVIDUAL COMPANIES 7* Annex B s u m m a r i s e s the o r d e r book, e m p l o y m e n t and turnover of the m a i n shipbuilding c o m p a n i e s , 8, Annex C s h o w s the l a t e s t e s t i m a t e of the financial p o s i t i o n of t h e s e companies in three c a t e g o r i e s ? ­ a. T h o s e which are in known difficulty and c l e a r l y have no r e s e r v e s to m e e t the p r o b l e m . b . Two s m a l l b u i l d e r s who have s p e c i a l i s e d and a r e e a r n i n g good profits. c. Companies caught with long o r d e r books and s o m e l o s s e s in p r o s p e c t and w h o s e a b i l i t y to ride out the p r o b l e m is not c e r t a i n . POSITION ABROAD 9. Long order books and r i s i n g c o s t s have produced s i m i l a r difficulties abroad, and one of the two m a j o r Dutch c o m p a n i e s ( V e r o l m e ) h a s had to be rescued by the N e t h e r l a n d s G o v e r n m e n t , In s o m e c o u n t r i e s the impact i s l e s s b e c a u s e the "home m a r k e t " i s r e s e r v e d to the national shipbuilding industry. F o r e x a m p l e , the Japanese h a v e a h o m e shipbuilding p r o g r a m m e of 2 - 3 m i l l i o n g r o s s tons a y e a r and support this c o n s t r u c t i o n p r o g r a m m e in their own yards b y credit on t e r m s m o r e favourable than the internationally a g r e e d m i n i m u m export c r e d i t rate for s h i p s . The European E c o n o m i c Community (EEC) a l l o w s shipbuilding s u b s i d i e s of up 2 to 10 per c e n t ; Italy g i v e s m o r e , while F r a n c e not only s u b s i d i s e s at the agreed EEC rate but a l s o o p e r a t e s a s c h e m e by which s h i p b u i l d e r s a r e able to i n s u r e against the effect of c o s t e s c a l a t i o n . A l a r g e number of other c o u n t r i e s r e s t r i c t ship p u r c h a s e s abroad and give l a r g e s u b s i d i e s (for e x a m p l e USA, Canada, A u s t r a l i a , South A f r i c a , G r e e c e and Spain, as w e l l a s m a n y C o m m u n i s t c o u n t r i e s ) . Sweden h a s supported h e r shipbuilding industry by w a y of l i m i t e d c r e d i t s , and the f a c t that h e r m a i n yards have b e e n c o n s t r u c t e d o r r e - e q u i p p e d in r e c e n t y e a r s to s p e c i a l i s e in tankers and l a r g e bulk c a r r i e r s h a s put them in a r e l a t i v e l y favourable position, although profits have been v e r y low. PROSPECTS 10. It i s p o s s i b l e that the p r e s e n t s e r i e s of bad f i n a n c i a l s t a t e m e n t s represent the bottom cf a trough, although confidence could be further sapped when the poor Swan Hunter r e s u l t s a r e published shortly-. Favourable f a c t o r s include the benefits of s p e c i a l i s a t i o n and r e - e q u i p m e n t gradually a p p e a r i n g , the working through of older o r d e r s which made insufficient p r o v i s i o n f o r receixt c o s t i n c r e a s e s ; and the p o s s i b l e profits on other o r d e r s which have yet to be brought in to the a c c o u n t s . But t h e s e factors could be offset if there are further i n c r e a s e s in labour or other c o s t s , if productivity f a i l s t o i m p r o v e or if the r e d u n d a n c i e s n e c e s s a r y in certain a r e a s ( e . g . Upper Clyde and Birkenhead) a r e not c a r r i e d through quickly. SHIP REPAIRING INDUSTRY 11. Ship r e p a i r i n g w a s not c o v e r e d by the Geddes R e p o r t or the Shipbuilding Industry A c t . There h a s b e e n a g e n e r a l w o r l d d e c l i n e in demand for ship r e p a i r i n g and the United Kingdom, p a r t l y for g e o g r a p h i c a l r e a s o n s , i s not w e l l placed to m a i n t a i n its share of the m a r k e t . (The announcement l a s t w e e k that the P a l m e r s yard at He bourn, owned by V i c k e r s , would c l o s e i s attributable to this g e n e r a l p r o b l e m ) . Repair yards are often under s e p a r a t e o w n e r s h i p and e v e n w h e n dwned by shipbuilders a r e u s u a l l y s e p a r a t e l y m a n a g e d . T h e y have traditionally been c a s u a l e m p l o y e r s in the port a r e a s , but the p o s i t i o n i s changing. To avoid giving £ a l l - b a c k pay when there is no w o r k , s o m e r e p a i r e r s a r e said to be taking b u s i n e s s at below c o s t . The Shipbuilding and Ship Repairing C o u n c i l , c o n s i s t i n g of the SIB and r e p r e s e n t a t i v e s of m a n a g e m e n t and unions in t h e s e i n d u s t r i e s , is at p r e s e n t c o n s i d e r i n g the p r o b l e m s and p r o s p e c t s of s h i p r e p a i r i n g . ACTION BEING TAKEN 12. The Shipbuilding Industry B i l l which i s to have its Second Reading on 30 A p r i l , w i l l r a i s e the l i m i t on g u a r a n t e e s f o r the financing of United Kingdom o r d e r s to £ 6 0 0 million,, B e c a u s e the SIB a r e s t a t u t o r i l y concerned with the a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of the guarantee s c h e m e , and b e c a u s e it would be awkward at this time t o announce its d i s s o l u t i o n at the end of 1970, the Minister of T e c h n o l o g y p r o p o s e s to u s e h i s p o w e r s under the Shipbuilding Industry A c t , 1957, to prolong the SIB*s life by one y e a r . 3 13. My c o l l e a g u e s w i l l a l r e a d y be aware of the s p e c i a l p r o b l e m s of Upper Clyde Shipbuilders and C a m m e l l L a i r d . F o r the r e s t , l a m d i s c u s s i n g with the SIB how the r e m a i n i n g funds available to t h e m under the Shipbuilding Industry A c t can b e s t be u s e d t o s e c u r e both the i m m e d i a t e and l o n g e r t e r m i m p r o v e m e n t of the i n d u s t r y ^ p o s i t i o n with p a r t i c u l a r I shall of c o u r s e k e e p m y attention to Swan Hunter and Harland and Wolff, c o l l e a g u e s informed of the o u t c o m e , 14. Meanwhile for the l o n g e r t e r m , the M i n i s t r y of T e c h n o l o g y w i l l , in the light of the p r e s e n t d i s c u s s i o n s in the Organisation for E c o n o m i c C o - o p e r a t i o n and D e v e l o p m e n t Shipbuilding Working P a r t y about both credit and other f o r m s of G o v e r n m e n t a s s i s t a n c e to shipbuilding, study the i m p l i c a t i o n s of the c u r r e n t d e v e l o p m e n t s in the industry f o r future Government p o l i c y when the SIB c o m e s t o the end of its statutory l i f e . HL Ministry of Technology SW1 28 April 1970 4 ASSISTANCE OF Grants (Section 3 ) - THE UNDER SHIPBUILDING- SECTIONS 5, h INDUSTRY ACT, & 6 I967 £million Total available Already Paid 20 Firmly Committed 1.867 11.253 Balance 6.880 Against this balance, proposals by the SIE to give grants totalling £l.h m. to Scott Lithgov/ and £.089 m. to Vosper Ltd. are under consideration. Prom the £5.h m. remaining Cammell Laird, Harland & Wolff and Swan Hunter, have all approached the SIB seeking substantial financial support. There is also the possibility of applications from other firms in the shipbuilding and engine building industries. Loans (Section k) and Share Subscription (Section 6) Total available 32.5 ­ £million Already Paid Firmly Committed 16.055 (including £ 3 m. share subscription s UCS) 0.1450 Balance 15.995 Against this balance, we are currently considering proposals by the SIB to lend up to £ 2 . 3 m. to Scott Lithgow. UCS hope to obtain a further £ 1 m. for capital equipment but it is unlikely that this loan will be made until they have demonstrated that they are on the road to viability. The balance should be more than adequate to meet any foreseeable proposals for loan assistance by the SIB during the remainder of their life. Ministry of Technology, S.W.1. 28th April, 1 9 7 0 Shipbuilding Employment March 1970 Company 10,254 UCS Group ( 2 ) Turnover £ m. 22 Order Decembe December r £ m. Book IS69 IS69 70(D (inc.Yarrow) Yarrow Shipbuilding 2,954 - 50 (all S I B Grants paid or committed £ m. 6.1 SIB Loans etc paid or committed £ m. 7.7 - ­ naval) Cammell Laird Shipbuilders & Engineers 7,925 6,216 23 N/A 65 NIL NIL Harland & Wolff 80 2.5 8.0 Austi Austin n & Pickersgill Pickersgil l Bartra Bartram m Group Grou p 2,509 12 25 NIL NIL 6 NIL 0.25 Q NIL z NIL u Appledore 581 2.5 62 210 16.8 60 Robb Caledon 4,695 1,810 5.05 0.02 4 10 NIL 0.4 Scott Lithgow 4,347 N/A 95 NIL NIL Vickers 7,303 N/A 90(all naval) NIL NIL N/A 15 NIL NIL Swan Hunter Group 19,036 Doxford & Sunderland Ltd. * Brooke i-arine 1,127 Notes: (l) Includes ships where completion is well overdue. ( 2 ) Turnover is based on figure for year covered by last annual accounts and may not reflect current average turnover P" z 0 Category 'A' Published, pretax proflt/]oss X T Period of Accounts (10) UCS Group Harland & Wolff (3.7) Caramell Laird 1.35 l Septol967-Aug. 1968 Forecast. Government hopes that present assistance w i l l enable group to he viable after redundancy programme has been carried through 1969 No reason to believe that a collapse of the Company is imminent. Company are currently discussing possible further aid with SIB. 1968 Shipbuilding Company expects £ 1 0 m. loss. Future of Cammell Laird Group discussed in SEP(70)50. t Category B Austin & Pickers­ gill and Bartrams Group 1.8 Appledore 0.25 June 1 9 6 8 June 1969 Should continue to do well. hZ UJ Category t Q Sept.68­ Sept.69 ti H 11 11 C Swan Hunter Group Z 1.6 of which shipbuilding Robb Caledon Gp. Foreseen shipbuilding losses of £ 4 . 7 m. likely to result in group loss of £k m. in accounts due soon. 1.6 (0.238) Scott Lithgow Gp. N.A. Brooke Marine N.A. Vickers Barrow N.A. o u 1968 0.2 Doxford & Sunder­ land Group J£ March 6 8 - 6 9 Chairman this month forecast profit to March 1970 as substantially lower and provision will have to be made for losses expected in 1971 and 1972 partly due to 5 week strike still continuing. March 6 8 - 6 9 Company have reported to SIB that loss from March 1969 to Sept.1969 was £514, 0 0 0 . No information but Company still confidently pressing for its new equipment programme. Thought to be making losses. No information.