Land Management Decision Model: Planning the Future of Fire-Dependent Ecosystems1 O. L. Daniels and R. W. Mutch2 LAND MANAGER INVOLVEMENT IN FIRE MANAGEMENT Those responsible for managing vegetation and people's use and occupancy of complex fire-related ecosystems face specific and special challenges. The vegetation is dynamic and can be physically manipulated to produce different outputs. Economic values are high. Social and political factors are often entrenched and unrelated to ecologic realities. A multitude of physical and biological science specialties contribute knowledge on which decisions are based. Considering all these factors, the best of modern management techniques are needed. Because fire management-the blending of traditional fire control activities with fire ecology principles and land management planning requirements--has an important role to play in attaining this goal, we need to thoroughly understand the manager's involvement. There are few current examples available to aid in this process. The Lolo National Forest planning effort is one such model. DeBruin (1976) asserted that "fire management is change: it is a change in concept, a change in policy, and a change in action:" His concluding thought to the conferees was that "the goal of this entire effort is to manage change, to enjoy change, because we believe from the changes we are making will come a better land." What are some of the present-day problems in implementing the changing direction? Philpot (1976) cited these reasons why only a small percentage of existing knowledge is being effectively applied by land managers: 1. Lack of personal commitment or acceptance of fire's role in land management. 2. Lack of expertise and technical knowledge. Abstract: Integrating diverse biological, physical, social, and economic factors in determining land allocation decisions and scheduling future resource activities is the challenge facing land managers today. Criteria were established to resolve key issues and concerns in the selection of an action program on the Lolo National Forest. The early integration of fire information into this planning process is a significant change in direction for the Forest Service. The end result is the actual scheduling of fire suppression, fuel management, and prescribed fire programs to achieve resource management objectives. 3. The fire ecology knowledge is not in usable form. 4. Lack of administrative understanding and strong leadership. 5. Absence of fire ecology considerations in the basic land management planning process. The crux of the problem rests largely in the lack of personal commitment. Philpot advocated an expanded role for fire management professionals, coupled with training in fire ecology for all land managers. Kilgore (1976) also included commitment among five broad goals necessary to effective longrange fire management programs: 1. Better understanding of fire as a process. 2. Better understanding of fire as a tool. 3. Greater commitment by managers to use on the land the best of what we already know. 4. A well-trained cadre of prescribed-burners. 5. Greater public understanding of and involvement in developing and approving our management practices. A wealth of technical information on Mediterranean ecosystems has been presented at the Palo Alto (1977) and San Diego symposia. Unfortunately, however, a substantial gulf often exists between knowledge and the practical application of that knowledge to solve land management problems. We have reviewed some of the reasons that contribute to this application timelag. The remainder of this paper will outline several steps that we have found useful in applying the latest fire ecology information to the management of firedependent ecosystems in western Montana. 1 Presented at the Symposium on Dynamics and Management of Mediterranean-type Ecosystems, June 22-26, 1981, San Diego, California. 2 Forest Supervisor and Fire Staff Officer, respectively, Lolo National Forest, Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Missoula, Mont. 528 THE RIGHT INFORMATION AT THE RIGHT RESOLUTION Land management planning efforts often fail to prescribe comprehensive fire management actions (presuppression, suppression, and prescribed fire) that support resource objectives. Examples of the resulting problems include the loss of range forage and wildlife habitat due to the encroachment of other species, suppression damage from heavy equipment, suppression costs exceeding values protected, loss of plant and animal diversity, unnatural fuel accumulations, fire rehabilitation programs that disregard the natural regeneration capacity of native species and society's failure to recognize the true severity of the urban/wildland fire situation. One remedy to these problems is to assist land managers in better integrating fire considerations into land management planning and resource management decisions through "front-end analysis." This remedy hypothesizes that a skill and knowledge deficiency is the primary reason why resource management decisions are not appropriately supported by a spectrum of fire management actions. Some might debate that environmental and motivational deficiencies are also contributing causes. But there is evidence to suggest that the training hypothesis is worth testing. What ecosystem-related knowledge is necessary to permit managers to more closely simulate the "model" condition? The manager needs to know something about the area's natural history, the impacts of human activities, ecosystem changes over time that influence land management decisions (fire effects), and today's fire situation (fuel and fire behavior interpretations). Fire management actions will support resource management objectives when land managers have such knowledge of fire relationships and the skill to use this knowledge during the planning process. The result of this "front-end" analysis will be the development of presuppression, suppression, and fire use criteria and actions that actively further management direction. A recent fire ecology reference document (Davis and others 1980) provided necessary information that managers needed to specify appropriate direction for resource decisions; and the format of this reference document should be of interest to others. The habitat type groups used in this reference are helpful descriptors that can be used to connect fire/ecosystem relationships to the planning process and to implement fire management prescriptions. The habitat type groups are recognizable parts of ecosystems that are ecologically distinct in terms of topographic features, soils, vegetation, fuels, and fire behavior potential. The groups can be classified and mapped; thus, they can serve as a ready index for many kinds of information. Not only does the ecosystem stratification account for the important intra-unit attributes, but also portrays interactions among units. The patterning of habitat type groups in space (each with inherent biological, physical, and climatic features) guides a logical process in formulating management decisions. PLANNING PROCESS ON THE LOLO NATIONAL FOREST: THE DECISION MODEL The planning process used to allocate land to different resource purposes and schedule resource management activities on the Lolo National Forest complied with requirements of the National Forest Management Act of 1976. The Forest Plan (1980) established integrated land management direction and time frames for implementation; direction for implementing, monitoring, and evaluating projects, activities, programs, and budgets; and criteria for amending and revising the plan. One novel aspect of this new planning process is that 52 public issues and management concerns identified on the Lolo National Forest provided the focus for all subsequent planning. (Former land management planning methods relied on almost encyclopedic amounts of inventory data and information, whether it was needed or not.) A public issue is a resource management subject or question of widespread public interest identified through public participation. A management concern is a problem requiring resolution or a condition constraining management practices as identified by the interdisciplinary team. Public issues and management concerns were resolved through one or more of the following processes: quantitative analysis using a mathematical model; forest policies; forest management standards and guidelines; and prescriptions establishing specific management practices for management areas. This issue-driven and systematic planning process insures that fire-related information is integrated with other data at the very onset of planning. These steps are being followed on the Lolo National Forest to integrate fire considerations into the Forest-wide management plan: 1. Identify the issues and management concerns. The fire management issues and management concern: on the Lolo National Forest revolved around basic questions about how much fire can be used to achieve resource objectives within air quality standards, how compatible fire use and suppression programs are with the role of fire in various ecosystems, and how cost effective the fire suppression program is upon implementation. 2. Develop planning criteria (e.g., for data base, analysis of management situation, alternative formulation, estimating effects of alternatives, evaluation and selection of alternatives). 3. Develop, Process, and interpret fire data base. Assess implications of historical fire cycles; evaluate fire behavior potential recognizing several levels of resolution (experience and judgment, National Fire Danger Rating models, nomographs, photo series, on-the-ground fuel inventories); determine fire management implications and opportunities. 529 4. Integrate fire information into the land stratification framework (e.g., ecological land units, habitat types, major ecosystems, etc.). An example of this step is presented in a paper titled "Fire Ecology of the Lolo National Forest Habitat Types" by Davis, Clayton, and Fischer (1980). This integration is used in the analysis of the management situation. 5. Formulate land management alternatives and develop fire management direction. 6. Evaluate fire and economic effects of alternatives. 7. Select a management alternative and its fire management direction. The guidance is in the form of broad direction for various resource activities including wildlife, timber, esthetics, and wilderness. 8. Prepare operational fire management plans. This is really the bottom line to the whole planning process: action programs on the ground that support land management objectives. 9. Feedback. Monitor and continually refine the process. 10. Amendment and revision. The "front-end" integration of fire information into the planning process is a significant change in direction for the Forest Service. On the Lolo National Forest we are making a positive effort to manage the change, to enjoy the change, and to assure more thoughtful management decisions because of the change. We certainly don't have all the answers on how to most effectively implement change. But we do have the commitment, the climate, and the interdisciplinary concept to learn as we go. In addition to manager commitment, technical ecosystem data, and a systematic planning process, two additional components are essential in implementing changes in resource management programs. Those two components involve building a receptive organization and developing public understanding. DEVELOPING AN ORGANIZATION Once a resource manager is committed to the total fire management job, a responsive organization must be built. The organization needs to provide the expertise and manpower to do the suppression, land management planning, inventory, and fire management activities; and supply the necessary information concerning the ecosystems involved. It is important to organize in a manner that will keep presuppression and suppression costs within bounds so that funds are available to implement the rest of the program. Some of the organizational steps leading to successful accomplishment include: 530 • Assembling the right team with the right frame of mind. Acquire the proper mix of generalists and specialists with a firm grasp of ecosystem dynamics. Hire missing skills if necessary. Recognize that a new concept is often implemented because of an individual's commitment, not the organization's commitment. When an individual transfers, the new concept often transfers with him; strive to replace key people with like people. • Develop a productive climate for change. Set the example of receptivity to change. Encourage an interdisciplinary approach on problems. Insist that fire personnel interact with other specialists early in the planning process. Provide for challenging training. Establish priorities and reasonable schedules to assure a high-quality, professional effort. • Seek opportunities to implement change on the ground . . . and demonstrate a capability to apply current state-of-the-art procedures. • Match fire management strategies to land management objectives. • Take calculated risks. Risk taking is a part of the job if we are doing right things. Don't shut a program down when the going gets tough. Be alert to invalid attacks and take immediate action to counter them with facts. Expect a professional and thorough planning job and critical review -and support subordinates in a risk situation. Be prepared to establish and defend a shift in funding emphasis. • Establish effective inform and involve programs. Reach public and Government agency groups. • Kilgore cautions to avoid any bandwagon approach to the use of fire: "while there is some element of risk in reasonable fire management, we will lose both credibility with, and support of, knowledgeable fire control experts as well as support of the public if we do not use the best possible professional skills and judgment in our use of fire in the forest." • Maintain an aggressive fire suppression capability. We will be able to proceed only as fast as our ability to contain fire when and where we want it. INFORM AND INVOLVE EFFORT Concurrent with planning and organizing for a comprehensive fire management program, it is necessary to develop a satisfactory public and political environment for change. All people need to understand and accept the role of fire in ecosystems. This requires a factual and objective portrayal of fire history regimes and the effects of fire on plant and animal communities. Armed with the pertinent facts, the various publics then need to have ample opportunities to comment on different fire management strategies to achieve land management objectives. Public support should be nurtured early in program development so that later "surprises" are minimized. Even the best conceived efforts are doomed to negative confrontations every time the public is surprised with unexpected fire results. But if the public well understands the role fire plays in maintaining the viability of many ecosystems, they will be in a much better position to accept such tradeoffs as reduced air quality resulting from prescribed fire. The presence of fire cycles has been well documented for western Montana in recent years. These cyclic fires played a variety of roles that included (1) seedbed preparation, (2) recycling of nutrients, (3) setting back plant succession, (4) providing conditions favorable for wildlife, (5) providing a mosaic of age classes and vegetation types, (6) reduction of numbers of trees susceptible to attack by insects and disease, and (7) reduction of fire hazard. These facets of the inform and involve job are key to effective program accomplishment: Several categories of fire management actions have been established on the Lolo National Forest in response to property values, economics, and resource objectives. The first is the wildland/ homes fire management situation where life and property values are so high that we want to achieve immediate control of fires. Many more people are building homes in wildland areas where fires are common. An interagency fire prevention and suppression program is being developed that will enable people to live more compatibly within wildland ecosystems that periodically burn. In the modified dispatch fire management situation, initial attack dispatch procedures were modified to improve the cost effectiveness of suppression actions during low fire danger periods. • Full commitment of facts and knowledge to the important issues. • The internal audiences (our own people) are as important as the external audiences. Don't forget to build understanding with the maintenance person in the motor pool and the receptionist on the front desk . . . they make numerous daily contacts, too. • We need to involve the public in the decisionmaking process, as well as informing them. But let's involve an informed public. • The inform and involve effort is everyone's job. It cannot simply be delegated to Public Information Officers. • Appreciate the importance of sincere one-onone communications with many people. • Go beyond a "key people" list of contacts. Get into the schools and service groups; reach the person-in-the-street. • Be imaginative and innovative in approaches. Make good use of audio-visual aids. Avoid the stereotyped "public meeting" atmosphere. • Remember that the name of the game is communication: a two-way exchange of information and ideas. Be a good listener. • Recognize critical audiences and approach them with an honest desire to build understanding. • Identify air quality concerns as a crucial resource management issue and approach it in a professional and competent manner. We have smokeless tobacco but not smokeless fires. Prepare the public to appreciate some smoke as an inevitable byproduct of prescribed fire programs. Unplanned fires started by humans and lightning are permitted to burn under approved prescriptions to fulfill wildlife and wilderness objectives. These fire management areas pose little threat of fires burning outside the boundaries and causing resource and property damage. Over 310,000 acres on the Lolo National Forest have been allocated to observation fire management areas in the current program. These fires are monitored daily to insure they remain in prescription. The use of prescribed fire is expanding to meet resource objectives: reducing the fire hazard after logging, exposing mineral soil for seedbeds, regulating insects and diseases, changing the composition of species in plant communities, improving the yield and quality of forage, improving wildlife habitat, maintaining aesthetic quality and appearance of campgrounds and historical areas, and perpetuating natural ecosystems in wilderness. Increasing public concerns over air quality require the development of smoke management strategies that minimize unwanted effects by shifting some burning programs to spring and summer months to avoid fall air stagnation problems, using more logging residues for other purposes such as firewood so that a smaller quantity of material requires burning, and improving our forecasting capability to insure adequate smoke dispersal. CURRENT FIRE MANAGY ENT PROGRAM SUMMARY Historically, fire has been a frequent visitor to ecosystems on the 2,000,000 acres of the Lolo National Forest. Data compiled for the period 1955 to 1974 indicate an average of 180 fires per year. About two-thirds of these fires are lightning-caused and one-third are man-caused. Several important facets of any fire management program must be understood by everyone. First, there are risks involved --primarily the risk of fire escaping. Also, fire management programs will cost money -- money for the inventories, planning, and fire monitoring activities. 531 Smoke in the atmosphere will be another inevitable by-product. Faced with the risk factor, costs, smoke, and possible public controversy, the question might be asked, "Why do it at all?" Because the benefits are substantial. Integrating fire considerations into the land management planning process should be cost effective in the long run, improve ecosystem productivity, help prevent conflagrations, and provide tangible results to society. A fire management program that is fully integrated into the total land management program of a National Forest has definable elements. Because this integration effort is a change from the past, there are few guidelines to follow. The people on the Lolo National Forest have developed the elements of their program as follows: 1. Develop and maintain commitment of the top management team to basic concepts. 2. Maintain aggressive fire suppression capability. 3. Develop an organization to provide expertise and manpower to carry out the program. 4. Develop and use processes of planning that integrate fire considerations into ongoing activities. 5. Daniels, Orville L. Fire management takes commitment. Proceedings of the Tall Timbers fire ecology conference and Intermountain Fire Research Council; 1974 October 8-10; Missoula, Mont.: Tallahassee, Fla.; Tall Timbers Research Sta.; 1976; 163-165. Davis, Kathleen M., Bruce D. Clayton, and William C. Fisher. Fire ecology of Lolo National Forest habitat types. Ogden, Utah: Intermountain Forest and Range Exp. Sta., Forest Serv., U.S. Dept. Agric.: 1980; Gen. Tech. Rep. INT-79. 77 p. DeBruin, Henry W. From fire control to fire management, a major policy change in the Forest Service. Proceedings of the Tall Timbers fire ecology conference and Intermountain Fire Research Council; 1974 October 8-10; Missoula, Mont.: Tallahassee, Fla.; Tall Timbers Research Sta.; 1976: 11-17. Forest Serv., U.S. Dept. Agric. Proceedings of the symposium on the environmental consequences of fire and fuel management in Mediterranean ecosystems; 1977 August 1-5; Palo Alto, Calif.: Washington, D.C.; Forest Serv., U.S. Dept. Agric.; Gen. Tech. Rep. W0-3. 498 p. Forest Serv., U.S. Dept. Agric. The proposed Lolo National Forest plan. Missoula, Mont.: 144 p. Develop fire knowledge base to the unit. 6. Develop and maintain public and political acceptance of these programs. 7. Implement the program by getting fire into the ecosystems in a way that meets objectives. The key factor in the entire program is the land manager and management team -- their commitment and drive. They need to understand the concepts, have a vision of where they are going, and have the courage to take the risks involved. Daniels (1976), expanded upon the idea of commitment in some detail: "A manager should be willing to commit his personal time to the program, otherwise it will not succeed. Fire management brings together all the elements of complex land management: public emotions, professional emotions, economics, environmental impacts, a high risk of heavy capital expenditure. All these things mean that the manager should be deeply involved in the decision making. He is the one who must balance the complexities and reach a meaningful decision. Considering the newness of the concepts, I believe it is a nondelegable responsibility." The reward in better land management and professional satisfaction makes the effort well worthwhile. 532 Literature Cited Kilgore, Bruce M. From fire control to fire management: an ecological basis for policies. Transactions of the 41st North American Wildlife and Natural Resources Conf.; Wildlife Management Institute; Washington, D.C.: 477493. Philpot, Charles W. 1976. Are land managers applying our current knowledge of fire ecology? Proceedings of the Tall Timbers fire ecology conference and Intermountain Fire Research Council; 1974 October 8-10; Missoula, Mont.: Tallahassee, Fla.: Tall Timbers Research Sta.; 1976: 430-433.