Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Fire Management Plan at Regional Scale in an Alpine Fire-Prone Area (Valle d’Aosta Region - Italy)1 Giovanni Bovio,2 Elisa Guglielmet,3 Andrea Camia4 Abstract In this contribution the methodology for the development of the fire management plan at regional scale based on the new Italian regulation on wildland fire protection (L.353/2000) is presented. In particular the main features of the recent regional fire management plan finalized for Valle d’Aosta region according to the mentioned regulation are described, with a specific focus on the criteria used to define and spatially distribute protection priorities. Located in the extreme Northwestern part of Italy, Valle d’Aosta is the smallest and the most mountainous of the Italian regions, characterized by an Alpine environment, a main central valley East-West oriented and a total area of about 3262 km2. In this region, as in general in Northern Italy, wildfires are concentrated in the winter-early spring season, in agreement with the driest period of the year. Spatial analysis techniques made with a GIS to derive land zoning from fire related variables in order to support the development of the fire management plan are reported, together with the criteria followed to define the protection priorities at regional scale. Introduction The protection of forests against wildfires can be successfully realized only with the support of a wildfire management plan. In Italy forest fire management plans at regional scale are based on the wildland fire protection national law L. 353/2000. This regulation establishes new rules to reduce burned areas, enhancing fire prevention and wildfire danger rating systems. Italian regulation on wildland fire protection and its guidelines define the main arguments that must be analyzed in regional plans. According to the prescriptions of the general policy forest fire general law, the fire management plan of Valle d’Aosta Region, one of the 20 Italian regions, was accomplished. The present contribution shows the main phases of the work realized An abbreviated version of this paper was presented at the second international symposium on fire economics, planning and policy: a global view, 19–22 April 2004, Cordoba, Spain. 2 Full Professor, Dept. Agroselviter, University of Turin, Via Leonardo da Vinci 44, 10095 Grugliasco (TO) Italy. email: giovanni.bovio@unito.it. 3 Forest Engineer, Dep. Agroselviter, University of Turin, Via Leonardo da Vinci 44, 10095 Grugliasco (TO) Italy. email: elisa.guglielmet@unito.it. 4 Doctor in Forestry, Dep. Agroselviter, University of Turin, Via Leonardo da Vinci 44, 10095 Grugliasco (TO) Italy. (Current affiliation: Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability - TP 261, I-21020 Ispra (VA) Italy. email: andrea.camia@jrc.it). 1 447 GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster— Fire management plan in Alpine region — Bovio, Guglielmet, Camia to produce this fire management plan, with particular attention to the criteria used to define and spatially distribute protection priorities. Objectives The objective of the present work is to describe a methodology for setting up wildfire management plans at regional scale. In particular the first objective is to provide the regional fire managers with an operative plan to address fire planning procedures and operative services, linking together different sectors of fire management activities. The attention is pointed out on the modalities to spatially distribute protection priorities and, in general, to define fire risk mapping process at regional scale in an Alpine area, in which wildfires season is concentrated in the winter-early spring months. For this reason we have chosen to describe the methodology followed for the wildfires management plan of Valle d’Aosta region. Study area Valle d’Aosta Region is located in the North-Western extremity of Italy, bordering on Switzerland to the North, on France to the West, on Piedmont to the South and East. It is characterized by a total surface of about 3,262 km2, 1,080 km2 of which covered by forests. The territory is mainly mountainous and the average altitude is 2,100 meters, with a range that goes from about 295 m to 4,800 m a.s.l.. Considering the administrative divisions, Valle d’Aosta Region presents only one province, divided into 74 municipalities. For its collocation and its climatic conditions, Valle d’Aosta forest fire distribution during the year is the typical one of the Regions of the Alpine range, with a fire season that extends from November to April and with few summer fires. The following figure shows the location of Valle d’Aosta Region (fig.1). Figure 1 – Location of Valle d’Aosta. 448 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Session Poster— Fire management plan in Alpine region — Bovio, Guglielmet, Camia Methodology Statistics on forest fires For the redaction of a wildfire management plan a preliminary issue is to give an historical summary of the wildfire situation of the study area. A database of wildfires and the basic cartography are required to make landscape analysis and statistical elaboration. The period considered in the study area is made of 17 years, from 1986 to 2002. The data were obtained from the Forest Service of Valle d’Aosta. In the following table a summery of the historical wildfire data is given (table 1). Table 1– Main statistical variables for the considered historical series (1986 – 2002) # Fires Total burned area Forest burned area Non forest burned area Average burned area by fire Total 366 2,785 ha 1,666 ha 1,119 ha - Annual average 22 164 ha 98 ha 66 ha 7.6 ha 449 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster— Fire management plan in Alpine region — Bovio, Guglielmet, Camia Fire Risk Zoning Fire risk zoning is meant as the definition for wildfire protection purposes of homogeneous areas having similar fire risk level. In the present study the basic geographical unit to which information on fire events has to be referred is the municipality. For each municipality many parameters were calculated and analysed to define risk classes and their spatial distribution. A set of variables related in particular to fire frequency and fire characteristics has been selected to describe the pirological situation of each municipality. These variables together are able to define a “fire history profile” of each municipality. The variables considered for each municipality are the following: - Number of forest fires per unit area (10 km2) per year. This feature expresses a measure of the average concentration of wildfires in the territory. - Number of “large fires” per unit area (10 km2) per year. This expression of concentration is limited to events that for their size have been considered exceptional for the whole regional territory. The surface threshold for discriminating “large fires” was derived from statistical analysis that considers the frequency distribution of area burned by forest fires. For Valle d’Aosta Region “large fires” correspond to fires with a surface burned of almost 8 hectares. They are the 10 percent of the total fires occurred in the Region during the historical period considered, corresponding to a surface of about the 80 percent of the total burned area in the same period. - Number of “small fires” occurred per unit (10 km2) area per year. This variable expresses the mean concentration of fires whose area burned is less than 0.5 hectares. This extent threshold of “small fires” is defined by Valle d’Aosta Forest Service and is used to define the potential susceptibility to fires of the Region considered. - Number of years with least one event during the period considered in percentage. This variable estimates the time continuity of the phenomenon. - Mean area burned by a single event. This variable synthesizes average fires dimension for each municipality, but it is influenced by the extreme values of the distribution, which is typically strongly asymmetric. - Median area burned by a single event. This is the value of burned area that divides the area burned sorted values of into two equal parts. Below and above this value 50 percent of occurrences of fires in a municipality are found. Median area burned by a single fire represents the area burned by the so-called “typical fire”. - Maximum area burned by a single event. It is the area burned by the largest fire occurred during the historical period for each municipality. From the analysis of the previous variables, history profiles of the municipalities were calculated. Then, through hierarchical cluster analysis applied with Ward method (Ward 1963), it was possible to define 5 municipality groups for Valle d’Aosta Region. Each group defines a risk class, which is synthetically described by the centroid value of the profile variables, i.e. the mean value computed for each variable of all the municipalities that belong to a risk class. In the following table (table 2) the centroids of the 5 risk classes of the 74 Valle d’Aosta municipalities derived from classification applied are showed. 450 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Session Poster— Fire management plan in Alpine region — Bovio, Guglielmet, Camia Table 2 - Centroids of fire risk classes Number of municipalities Number of fires per year per 10 km2 Number of fires > 8 ha (large fires) per year per 10 km2 Number of "small fires" per year per10 km2 Years with fires (pct) Mean area burned by one fire (ha) Median area burned by one fire (ha) Maximum area burned by one fire (ha) Number of fires per year Number of fires > 8 ha per year Number of "small fires" per year Burned area per year (ha) 1 12 0.0 0.00 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.6 0 Municipality fire risk classes 2 3 4 5 44 10 3 5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.11 0.4 2.1 1.1 2.7 15.4 37.6 41.2 54.1 6.1 3.4 31.4 7.7 4.9 1.1 3.7 2.2 12.4 23.0 266.3 60.4 0.2 0.7 0.6 1.3 0.02 0.05 0.16 0.20 1.0 4.7 3.9 4.0 0.9 2.5 18.4 8.5 The fire risk zoning allows to define and characterized homogenous areas and to put municipalities in ordinal scale in order to distribute protection resources at Regional scale. In the following figure municipalities classified into the fire risk classes are represented (fig.2). Figure 2 - Map of fire risk classes in Valle d’Aosta Region. 451 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster— Fire management plan in Alpine region — Bovio, Guglielmet, Camia Aims zoning Results obtained from zoning process are used to define different planning objectives that are established according to criteria, such as acceptable fire impact and its distribution within the homogeneous areas previously defined. Through a more detailed analysis, within each municipality the areas where fire protection activities have a priority importance were defined. To define these areas and to give them a protection priority level, spatial analysis with Geographical Information System (GIS) techniques were made. GIS can provide useful tools for wildfires management, through their capability of handling in an integrated environment multi-source and multi-resolution spatial data (Burrough and McDonnel, 1998). The following spatial data layer were integrated using ARC-GIS 8.3 by ESRI: - Elevation: derived from Digital Elevation Model (DEM). - Aspect: derived from Digital Elevation Model (DEM). - Forest types: a value based on the inflammability of the species was given to each forest type. - “Large fires” location: the perimeter of all forest fires with a burned area greater than 8 hectares was digitalized. Through GIS analysis the different layers were overlayed and merged deriving 5 different protection priority levels in the study area. The following figure shows the spatial distribution of the protection priorities at regional scale (fig.3). Figure 3 - Map of protection priorities. 452 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Session Poster— Fire management plan in Alpine region — Bovio, Guglielmet, Camia The protection priority classification of the regional territory has to be used together with the fire risk classification. The fire risk classes define the priority rank of the municipalities. Then the protection activities will be planned starting from the municipalities with the higher risk and then considering, for each municipality, the protection priority levels. Interventions zoning This part of the fire management plan has the objective to describe prevention and extinction activities that have to be realized and distribute them in the regional territory. In the present work these activities are not presented in detail, but only the main categories of interventions foreseen are briefly described. The interventions zoning concerns the following activities: - Meteorological Fire Danger Rating. At the moment in Valle d’Aosta Region the Canadian Fire Weather Index (Van Wagner 1987) is operationally used. For the computation of FWI daily meteorological data are used. Within the fire management plan the index was calibrated with the method described by Van Wagner (1987) applied on a monthly basis. The daily fire danger classes are meant to be linked to the real time operational activities. - Direct Prevention activities. This category of interventions includes different activities: - Preventive Silviculture - Firebreaks - Prescribed fire - Forest and operative viability - Watering - Helicopters - Indirect Prevention activities. The main actions of this category are educational activities, turned in particular to students. The main purpose is to reduce fire ignition causes and to give suggestions concerning the correct behaviour to adopt in case of wildfire. - Extinction activities. - Restoration. - Decision support Systems and Control Center - Firefighters Training. Discussion and Conclusions Planning activities are fundamental to reduce forest fires and the consequent burned area. The methodology followed to set up the fire management plan of, a typical Alpine fire-prone area located in Italy (Valle d’Aosta Region), is presented. Planning choices suitable at a regional scale are outlined, describing variables to be selected and the way to join them in order to define homogeneous areas where a protection 453 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster.— Fire management plan in Alpine region — Bovio, Guglielmet, Camia level and priorities can be defined. The main steps and criteria followed for the zoning process are presented and the results obtained from the zoning task are showed. These have been used in the fire management plan to define different planning objectives. Fire management planning at regional scale is a complex process in which different items and purposes have to be integrated and considered with a global perspective. Taking into account Italian fire management requirements, the research has shown that the most appropriate approach for regional fire management planning has at first to consider the area interested by the plan as a whole and then to proceed with the analyses at a more refined detail. Acknowledgments This research was funded by the Regione Valle d'Aosta, Assessorato Agricoltura, Risorse Naturali e Protezione Civile, Dipartimento Risorse naturali, Corpo Forestale, Protezione Civile e Antincendi, Direzione Foreste. References Bovio, Giovanni 1990. La pianificazione antincendi per la difesa del patrimonio boschivo. Accademia Italiana di Scienze Forestali 38: 431-458. Bovio, Giovanni 2001. La Pianificazione antincendi boschivi alla luce della Legge 353/2000. L’Italia Forestale e Montana 6/2001: 441-454. Bovio, Giovanni; Camia, Andrea 1994. Fire danger zoning using multivariate analysis. In: Domingos Xavier Viegas, Proceedings of 2nd International Conference on Forest Fire Research, 1994 November 21-24, Coimbra, Portugal, 733-745. Burrough, P.A.; McDonnell, R. A. 1998. Principles of Geographical Information Systems. Spatial Information Systems and Geostatistics. Oxford University Press, pp. 333. Canadian Forestry Service, 1987. Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System. Users’ Guide. Canadian Forestry Service Fire Danger Group. Three-ring binder (unnumbered publication). Van Wagner, C.E. 1987. Development and structure of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System. Canadian Forestry Service, Technical Report 35, pp 37. Ward, J.H.1963. Hierarchical grouping to optimize an objective function. Journal of the American Statistical Association 58 (301): 236-244. 454 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx.