United States Department of Agriculture Pacific Southwest Research Station General Technical Report PSW-130 Proceedings of the IUFRO Technical Session on Geomorphic Hazards in Managed Forests August 5-11, 1990 Montreal, Canada - Rice. Ravmond M.. technical coordinator. 1991. Proeeedlncs of the IUFRO technical session on geomorphic hazards in managed forests: 5-1 I August 1990: Montreal, Canada. Gcn. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130, Berkeley, CA: Pacilic Saulhwest Research Slslion, F o r m Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture; 82 p. The proceedings contains I I of the 17 papers presented at the technical session on forests at the XIX World Conmss. International Union ol " Foreslry Research Organizations, August 5-11, 1990, Montreal, Cmuda, plus o m paper no1 presented orally. Two papers report research on lorrents, two are about snow, three concern landslides, and five discuss watershed management problems. -reamorehic hazards in manaeed - Relrieval Temrs: natural disasters, torrent control, watershed management, landslides, snow, avalanches, floods, erosion Technical Coordinator: RAYMOND M. RICE was, before his retirement, chief hydralogisl in the Effects of Forest Management on Hillslope Processes, Fishery Resources, and Stream Environmenls Research Work Unit, at the Slation's Redwood Scicnces Labomtary, 1700 Bnyview Drive, Arcata, CA 95521-6098. Authors assumed full responsibility for the submission ol camera-ready manuscripts. Views expressed in each paper are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the sponsoring organizations. Trade names and commercial enterprises are mentmed solely for inlamation and do not imply endorsement of the sponsoring organizations. Publisher: Pacific Southwest Research Station P.O. Box 245 Berkeley, California 94701 December 1991 Proceedings of the IUFRO Technical Session on Geomorphic Hazards in Managed Forests August 5-1 1, 1990, Montreal, Canada Raymond M. Rice, Technical Coordinator Contents Foreword ...................................................................................................................................................................................... Invited Papers ... 111 .............................................................................................................................................................................. 1 . . Severe Snow Loads on Mountain Afforestation In Japan .............................................................................................................. Ryazo Nifln, Yoslzio Ozeki, mid Slioichi Nibvnno 1 Priority Setting for Government Investment in Fosestly Conservation Schemes- An Example f1-0111New Zealand .................... 6 Colin L. O'Louglilin Voluntary Papers ....................................................................................................................................................................... 11 Effect of Tree Roots on Shallow-Seated Landslides .................................................................................................................... Ka7rttokiAbe m ~ Robert d R. Zie~ner 1L Watershed Concerns and Recent Policy Formulat~onsin Sri Lanka and Australia ...................................................................... Rohan Ekannyake 2I Sul~oundingthe Consequences of Watershed Disasters in the Periphety of the Indian TI-iangle................................................. 28 Roha~iEknnnyake High-speed High-Stress Ring Shex Tests on Granular Sods and Clayey Soils .......................................................................... Hiroshi Fukuokn mid Kyoji Snssa Morphological Study on the Prediction of the Site of Surface Slides ............................. Hiromasa Hiurct 33 .................................................... 42 . . . Experimental Study ou Impact Load on a Dam Due to Debris Flow ........................................................................................ hvno Miyoslii 48 Sediment Dynamics of a High Gradient Stream in the Oi River Basin of Japan ...................... .............................................. . Hideji Maita 56 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991. Contents Snow-Cover Condition in Japan and Damage of the Sugi (C~yptomeriaJnponica D. Don) ...................... . . . .......................... 65 Taira Hidenki Study on Shearing Force and Impact Force of a Volcanic Mud Flow on Mt . Sakurajimn ................... Yoshinobu Taniguclzi . . . ............................... Research of Wind Erosion lnlensity in the Region of Subotica-Horgos Sands ......................................................................... Velizm Velasevic and Lj~honzirLefic 72 79 USDA Forest Service Gm . Tech. Rep . PSW.GTR.130 . 1991. Foreword The Technical Session of the Subject Group on Natusal Disasters was held on the afternoon of August 7, 1990 as part of the XIX World Congress of the lnlernational Union of Forestry Research Organizations in Montreal, Canada. About 35 scie~ilists representing 10 nations were in attendance. Seventeen papers were presented, addressing the topics of all four Working Pxties in the Group. Two papers reported research on torrents, three were about snow, five concerned landslides, and seven discussed watershed management problems. Four of the invited papers can be found in Volume 1 of the Proceedings of Division I , and two are in this volume. The remainder of this volume includes nine of the contributed papers presented at the technical session plus one that was not orally presented. 11 is hoped that this volume, together with others supported by the Subject Group in recent years, will foster increased understanding of natural disasters in forested environments. Raymond M. R~ce,Leader I W R O Subject Group S1.04 Proceedings Technical Coord~nator USDA Forest Service Gcn. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991. Severe Snow Loads on Mountain Afforestation in Japan1 Ryuzo Nitta, Yoshio Ozeki, and Shoichi Niwano2 Abstract: A s i m p l e d e v i c e f o r e s t i m a t i n g snow s e t t l i n g f o r c e on t r e e b r a n c h e s was u s e d t o d e t e r m i n e t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f snow s e t t l i n g force a t various heights i n a snowy m o u n t a i n o u s r e g i o n i n J a p a n . A t r a p e z o i d a l d i s t r i b u t i o n o f snow s e t t l i n g f o r c e was f o u n d t o e x i s t a t a l l s i t e s I t i s t h o u g h t t h a t a z o n i n g scheme tested. b a s e d on t h e damaging p o t e n t i a l o f snow on young man-made f o r e s t s would become p o s s i b l e , with t h e a c q u i s i t i o n of One o f t h e l a r g e s t p r o b l e m s i n J a p a n e s e f o r e s t r y l i e s i n t h e low s u r v i v a l r a t e o f young man-made f o r e s t s i n t h e heavy snow areas. It i s r a r e t o see a beautiful c o n i f e r p l a n t a t i o n where snow r e a c h e s o v e r 4 m i n d e p t h b e c a u s e o f m e c h a n i c a l damage c a u s e d b y l a r g e snow p r e s s u r e . Both on f l a t l o c a t i o n s a n d g e n t l e s l o p e s , snow s e t t l e m e n t c a u s e s branch and stem d e f o r m a t i o n which o f t e n b r i n g s f a t a l breakage. To d e c r e a s e s u c h u n s u c c e s s f u l p l a n t i n g s much b a s i c d a t a f o r f o r e s t z o n i n g a r e indispensable. Out of s u c h n e c e s s i t y t h e a u t h o r s h a v e d e v i s e d a n d s e t new snow p o l e s i n mountains t o o b t a i n tree-deforming f a c t o r s s u c h as maximal snow d e p t h a n d snow s e t t l i n g f o r c e w i t h o u t b a t t e r i e s o r power S u p p l y . The d a t a from t h e new snow p o l e s e x p l a i n t o u s how s e v e r e l y snow l o a d s work on young t r e e s . CrvDtomeria D . Don. ( J a p a n e s e c e d a r ) F i g . 1 . The t y p e s o f snow damage t o C r y p t o m e r i a [ I w a t s u b o a n d N i t t a 19871 S t r a i g h t stems h a v e a r e shown i n F i g . 2 . much h i g h e r m a r k e t v a l u e t h a n c r o o k e d stems. Therefore i n f i e l d survey, t h e aurhors c l a s s i f y every cryptomeria t r e e t o The Japan Sea 7DOm A F i g . l--The s i t e s s u r v e y e d . C i r c l e : Snow s e t t l e m e n t r e c o r d e r T r i a n g l e : P l o t of Cryptomeria DAMAGES TO CRYPTOMERIA I N SNOW REGIONS The F o r e s t r y a n d F o r e s t P r o d u c t s Research I n s t i t u t e h a s a long e s t a b l i s h e d snow e x p e r i m e n t s t a t i o n a t Tokamachi C i t y i n N i i g a t a P r e f e c t u r e , C e n t r a l Honshu. The Tokamachi S t a t i o n i s e n c i r c l e d b y t h e snowy Naeba M o u n t a i n s i n which t h e a u t h o r s h a v e s u r v e y e d many c o n i f e r p l a n t a t i o n s o f l p r e s e n t e d a t t h e S u b j e c t Group 5 1 . 0 4 T e c h n i c a l S e s s i o n on Geomorphic H a z a r d s i n Managed F o r e s t s , X I X World F o r e s t r y C o n g r e s s , I n t e r n a t i o n a l Union o f F o r e s t r y R e s e a r c h O r g a n i z a t i o n s , August 5-11, 1990, M o n t r e a l , Canada. 2 ~ o r e s t r ya n d F o r e s t P r o d u c t s R e s e a r c h I n s t i t u t e , Tsqkuba N o h r i n , I b a r a k i , J a p a n . USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 F i g . 2--Damage t o C r y p t o m e r i a c a u s e d by snow l o a d s . Table 1 C l a s s d i s t r i b u t i o n of Cryptomeria a t p l o t s of v a r i o u s a l t i t u d e s . Altitude m a.s.1. Height Age Share y r A+B(pct) of B m Max. snow Altitude depth m m a.s.1. *Mean of unsusceptible t r e e height (meter) t h e following four types: A : Middle a n d u p p e r s t e m s i s s t r a i g h t . Normal v a l u e . B : Middle a n d u p p e r s t e m s a r e c r o o k e d , o r t h e y h a v e t r a c e s o f r e c o v e r y from stem t o p breakage. Lower v a l u e . C : T i l t e d and crooked stem w i t h lower t r e e height. NO v a l u e . D : Stem w i t h b r e a k a g e o r l a r g e b e n d i n g , t o t a l l y s u p p r e s s e d o r dead i n n e a r future. NO v a l u e . Unless t h e proportion of t r e e s i n c l a s s e s A a n d B r e a c h e s 50 p e r c e n t i n a s u r v e y e d p l o t ( 2 0 m b y 20 m) when t h e t r e e h e i g h t r e a c h e s t w i c e t h e mean o f maximal snow d e p t h , t h e p l a n t i n g would e n d i n f a i l u r e [ S h i d e i 19541. F i g . 3--Snow damage t o a C r y p t o m e r i a s t a n d . b u t a l s o o f t h e lower b r a n c h e s . If the b e n t a n g l e s o f t h e b r a n c h e s from t h e h o r i z o n t a l d i r e c t i o n show g r e a t v a r i e t y a c c o r d i n g t o above-ground h e i g h t , t h e a n g l e s would i n d i c a t e t h e d i f f e r e n c e o f snow s e t t l i n g power o f t h e l a y e r s which c a t c h and deform t h e b r a n c h e s . To o b t a i n more i n f o r m a t i o n on snow l a y e r s e t t l i n g , 20-cm l o n g g a l v a n i z e d i r o n w i r e s o f r e g u l a t i o n q u a l i t y were f i x e d h o r i z o n t a l l y t o a 5-m t a l l p o l e a t e v e r y 20-cm h e i g h t i n c r e m e n t . L a t e e a c h f a l l , t h e s e p o l e s w i t h h o r i z o n t a l w i r e s were s e t a n d , a f t e r t h e snow m e l t e d , t h e a n g l e s t h a t t h e w i r e s h a d b e e n b e n t down by snow s e t t l i n g were measured ( F i g . 4 ) . T a b l e 1 shows t h e r e s u l t o f p l o t s u r v e y s o f C r y p t o m e r i a s t a n d s on f l a t s i t e s a t s e v e r a l a l t i t u d e s . The t r e e s a t t h e 1250 m l e v e l would r e c e i v e much more snow damage i n t h e f u t u r e b e c a u s e t h e i r crowns c o u l d n o t p r o j e c t o v e r t h e snow s u r f a c e f o r t h e n e x t f i v e - y e a r p e r i o d , t h o u g h t h e y show a l a r g e r s h a r e of A + B a t t h e age of 15. I n s h o r t , a l l o f t h e man-made f o r e s t s s u r v e y e d would b r i n g no wood m a r k e t v a l u e in the future. INDICATIONS OF SNOW SETTLEMENT Lower b r a n c h e s a r e o f t e n b e n t down due t o p a r t i a l d e s t r u c t i o n o f t h e i r b a s e s by heavy snow p a c k i n g a n d s e t t l i n g ( F i g . 3 ) . The h e i g h t a b o v e g r o u n d o f t h e h i g h e s t b e n t b r a n c h e s i n d i c a t e s t h e maximal snow d e p t h . T h i s d e f o r m a t i o n i s b e i n g r e p r o d u c e d by a n i n e x p e n s i v e r e c o r d e r f o r maximal snow d e p t h i n Japan. The r e c o r d e r c o n s i s t s o f a p o l e w i t h h o r i z o n t a l " b r a n c h e s " made o f s o f t m e t a l f i x e d a t e v e r y 1 0 cm h e i g h t i n c r e m e n t [ T a k a h a s h i K . 19681 . Long t e r m snow s e t t l i n g c a u s e s t h e bending n o t o n l y of t h e h i g h e s t branches, F i g . 4--Snow s e t t l i n g recorder. USDA Forest ServiceGcn. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Table 2 ~eason Average t e m p e r a t u r e d u r i n g snow s e a s o n a t Tokamachi E x p t . S t n . Dec Jan Feb Mar AD r Mean The w i r e was c a l i b r a t e d b y l o a d i n g i n t h e basement o f Tokamachi S t a t i o n where room t e m p e r a t u r e s t a y s a t a r o u n d O°C d u r i n g t h e whole w i n t e r (Tab. 2 ) . P o i n t l o a d s w e r e a p p l i e d a t t h e f r e e e n d s o f 20-cm l o n g c a n t i l e v e r s f o r 150 d a y s c o n t i n u o u s l y d u r i n g w i n t e r , and a f t e r t h a t t h e b e n t down a n g l e s were measured ( F i g . 5 ) . The c a l i b r a t i o n c u r v e i n r e l a t i o n t o wire d i a m e t e r , a n g l e a n d p o i n t l o a d , shown i n F i g . 6 , p r o v i d e s u s a good i n d i c a t i o n o f d i s t r i b u t i o n o f snow s e t t l i n g f o r c e a l o n g t h e v e r t i c a l p r o f i l e o f t h e snowpack. The d a t a o f t h o s e a n g l e s i n w i n t e r 1982/83 i n d i c a t e a f e a t u r e common t o t h e f i v e p r o f i l e s , t h a t is, a trapezoidal d i s t r i b u t i o n o f t h e a n g l e s ( F i g . 7) . The w i r e s p l a n t e d a t between +60 c m above g r o u n d a n d -40 cm from t h e h i g h e s t snow s u r f a c e o f t h e s e a s o n were b e n t a t a l a r g e b u t almost c o n s t a n t a n g l e i n each c a s e . F i g u r e 8 i n d i c a t e s t h a t maximum snow d e p t h a t t h e 1360 m a l t i t u d e s i t e i s a b o u t 1 m d e e p e r t h a n t h a t a t 500 m a l t i t u d e a n d 0 5 4 POINT L O A D (kg) I 2 3 6 F i g . 6--The c a l i b r a t i o n c u r v e i n r e l a t i o n t o w i r e d i a m e t e r , bent-down a n g l e and p o i n t l o a d ( a p p l i e d a t t h e f r e e e n d o f 20-cm l o n g c a n t i l e v e r s ) . t h a t t h e a n g l e i n t h e middle l a y e r s of t h e former i s about 5 degrees g r e a t e r t h a n t h a t of t h e l a t t e r . By p i c k i n g s i t e s where t h e a v e r a g e b e n t a n g l e i n t h e m i d d l e l a y e r s e x c e e d e d 60 d e g r e e s , a n d s i t e s where t h e maximum snow h e i g h t e x c e e d s 4 m, T a b l e 3 i s o b t a i n e d . I t i s c l e a r from t h i s t a b l e t h a t e x t r e m e l y severe conditions p r e v a i l a t a l t i t u d e s over 700 m . C o n s i d e r i n g T a b l e s 1 a n d 3, it i s p o s s i b l e t o a p p l y a zoning i n t h i s region, a c c o r d i n g t o which a l t i t u d e s o f 700 m a n d o v e r a r e u n s u i t e d t o economical f o r e s t planning. Although l i t t l e d a t a i s a v a i l a b l e a t t h e p r e s e n t , a z o n i n g scheme b a s e d on damaging p o t e n t i a l s h o u l d become p o s s i b l e i n t h e f u t u r e b y c o l l e c t i n g l a r g e amounts of d a t a on damaging p o t e n t i a l i n d e x w i t h Table 3 Fig. 5--Calibration of t h e wires b y loading. S e v e r i t y of f o r e s t r y environment b a s e d on max. snow d e p t h a n d b e n t angle. Winter 1982/83 83/84 84/85 A 200 500 700 900 1100 136Q A A+B A+B A+B A+B A ava A+B A+B A+B A+B A A : Angle more than 60 d e g r e e s Diameter o f w i r e : 3 . 2 mm B : Max. snow depth more than 4 m ava: Snow p o l e l o s t by a v a l a n c h e s . USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 3m TOKAMACHI KOSHlCHlGAWA YAHABUSHIYAMA MYOHO KOMATSUBARA 1 Fig. 7--Distribution of the wire angle along the vertical profile. Data for winter 1982/83 at five altitudes. Wire diameter: 3.2 mm x : S-side of snow pole - - : N-side of snow pole 500m a d . (Koshichigawa) 1360m a.s.1. (Komatsubara) 351 86 X X x * L li X X * X Y I X X x X * X I * X f 60 90deg. 30 U-w.J-4 10 60 90 deg. Fig. 8--Distribution of the wire angle along the vertical snow profile. Four season data at the sites on 1360 m and 500 m a.s.1. Wire diameters: x x : 4.0 mm 0-0: 3 . 2 mm USDA Forest ServiceGen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 t h e s i m p l i f i e d method s t a t e d a b o v e . I n such b e l i e f , d a t a i s p r e s e n t l y being a c q u i r e d i n s e v e r a l r e g i o n s i n Japan [ T a k a s h i n o a n d Wakabayashi 1975; N i t t a e t a l . 1982 a n d 1 9 8 4 1 . REFERENCES I w a t s u b o , G . a n d N i t t a , R . 1987. Snow. I n [ S h i d e i , T. e d i t e d : F o r e s t P r o t e c t i o n . 48,Asakura S h o t e n , T o k y o . ] N i t t a , R . , O z e k i , Y . a n d Niwano, S . 1982. Development o f s i m p l e snow s e t t l i n g r e c o r d e r . T r a n s , J p n . S o c . Snow a n d I c e . 147. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 N i t t a , R . , O z e k i , Y . a n d Niwano, S . 1984. Height i n d i c a t o r of branches s u s c e p t i b l e t o s e t t l i n g snow. P r o c . 9 5 t h J p n . F o r . S o c . 313-314. S h i d e i , T . 1 9 5 4 . On t h e snow damages o f f o r e s t t r e e s b y snow p r e s s u r e . R e s . B u l l e t i n Government F o r e s t Exp. S t n . 73. 1-89. T a k a h a s h i . K . 1 9 6 8 . On t h e snow s c a l e f o r m e a s u r i n g maximum snow d e p t h . Seppyo 30. 1 1 1 - 1 1 4 . T a k a s h i n o , K . a n d Wakabayashi, R . 1 9 7 5 . Wire ( b r a n c h model) d e f o r m a t i o n by snow s e t t l i n g . T r a n s , J p n . S o c . Snow a n d I c e . 105. ( A l l papers w r i t t e n i n Japanese) Priority Setting for Government Investment in Forestry Conservation Schemes-An Example from New Zealand1 Colin L. 0'Loughlin2 Abstract: In New Zealand responsibility for funding flood protection and erosion prevention and control projects rests largely with local regional authorities. However, in 1988 Central Government decided to provide direct funding for a major forestry conservation scheme in the erosion-susceptible East Coast region. Government's investment decision was influenced by a number of factors, the most important being the extent and severity of erosion in the East Coast region and its negative impact on the region's social and economic development. A large part of New Zealand's wealth depends on pastoral farming. Pastoral land occupies 7.5 million hectares or 28 percent of the country's land surface, much of it steep hill country, and supports about 67 million sheep, 8 million dairy and beef cattle and 1 million deer and goats (New Zealand Department of Statistics 1989). Most of the pastoral land was carved out of indigenous forest between 1840 and 1970. It has been publically acknowledged since the beginning of the present century that high soil erosion rates cause pastoralism to be an unsuitable land use over large tracts of New Zealand's steeplands. Over the last 15 years several studies (Trustrum 1983, New Zealand Ministry of Works and Development 1980) have shown that pastoralism on erosion-susceptible hill country is not a sustainable land use. Pastoral farming continues to be a major land use on some of New Zealand's most unstable hill country which, to some, may seem to be an enigma considering New Zealand's international reputation for its technically advanced approaches to conservation and protection of soil and water values. Over the last 5 decades a number of soil conservation schemes have been initiated to stabilise soil on eroding pastoral land. It is not the intention of this paper to unravel the reasons why unsuitable pastoral land use practices are widespread in New Zealand but rather the paper will endeavour to examine the way in which conservation schemes on eroding land are initiated and funded and how priorities are set. The role of Central Government will be examined. To this end the paper will concentrate on a forestry conservation scheme known as the East Coast Forestry Project located in the North Eastem part of New Zealand. In New Zealand, forestry conservation schemes generally involve the blanket planting of eroding land with fast growing exotics, usually Pinus radiata but other species of conifers, or Populus are also often used. Open plantings of poplars are a commonly used soil stabilisation technique in poorly-drained gullies and other localised areas of instability. POLICIES TO ENCOURAGE EROSION AND FLOOD CONTROL There exist a number of Government policies that aim to provide protection against or control of erosion and flooding in New Zealand. (i) Land use Controls There exists legislation known as "the Soil Conservation and Rivers Control Amendment Act 1959" which was again amended in 1988, which provides catchment authorities with the power to control land use to prevent erosion. For instance catchment authorities can require land owners to plant trees on eroding land. However, this legislation is rarely used to enforce tree planting. 119th IUFRO World Congress August 5-11 1990, Montreal, Canada. 2~ssistantSecretary (Research), Ministry of Forestry, Wellington, New Zealand. USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Catchment Grants The Government contributes to flood protection and erosion control schemes through grants for specific works administered by regional catchment authorities. Nationwide catchment grants have averaged about $90 million per year over the last 20 years. It is planned to replace grants for specific works with a block subsidy system in the near future. District Planning Schemes These schemes can be used under the Town and Country Planning Acts (1954 and 1977) to designate areas of land for particular ultimate land uses (for example forestry). District planning schemes have not been effective in changing land use. bodies. New legislation is presently being introduced under the general title "Resource Management Law Reform". Essentially the new legislation will consolidate a large number of existing pieces of legislation covered by a variety of Acts and replace them with a single Resource Management Act. Some of the policies outlined above will probably disappear with the introduction of the new Act which aims to provide Regional Governments (Councils) with greatly increased responsibility for managing natural resources and funding conservation schemes. Central Government is already playing a much reduced role in funding land use proiects and conservation/erosion control/floodcontrol schemes compared to the recent past. EAST COAST FORESTRY PROJECT Disaster Relief The Government has in the past contributed substantial amounts of money to disaster relief from flooding and siltation. For instance between 1968 and 1981 there were 7 major floods which cost the Government $2.9 billion or $223 million per year. Some of this money has been used for tree planting to stabilise soils and for retiring land from grazing. established ,' f' 1 Priority area for new East Coast forestry scheme 'L-. Other Subsidies and Grants In the past the Government provided for encouragement of farm scale forestry and agriculture conservation schemes through a variety of grants and subsidies. However, the present Government has introduced a market-led development strategy for New Zealand which has involved the removal of agricultural and forestry grants and subsidies. This has discouraged private afforestation and other conservation measures by private land holders. Since 1984 the New Zealand Government has reshaped and reformed local (Regional) Government. The end result has been the amalgamation of more than 600 separate public agencies into 94 new district and regional USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Wairoa HAWKE BAY Figure 1: Map showing East Coast region and general area of the East Coast forestry scheme A major economic appraisal of land use and development options for about 6,500 kilometres2 of severely eroding pastoral steeplands of the Raukumara Peninsula led to the initiation of a large scale forestry conservation scheme in 1969. The ori inal aim was to plant approximately 1,000 kilometres of fast growing exotics, mainly radiata pine, at a rate of about 3 2,500 hectares per year. By 1987 when the scheme was halted, 36,100 hectares of dual purpose protection/production forest had been established at a total cost of $229 million. In addition to afforestation a large number of on-farm conservation schemes covering 28,200 hectares of sensitive terrain, had been implemented by 1987. Government contributed 64 percent of the total cost of $14.3 million for these schemes. The on site benefits of afforestation include substantially reduced earthflow movement rates, cessation of gullying processes and a marked reduction in shallow landsliding (Pearce et1987). To date the downstream benefits have not been quantified although in several upper catchment tributaries there are strong indications that a reduction in sediment supply from afforested slopes to stream channels is resulting in stream channel degradation. Other benefits resulting from the East Coast forestry project are the commercial retums from the production of logs after the forest is 25 years old. Recent projections by the Ministry of ~ o r e s b ysuggest ~ both existing plantings and future plantings are commercially viable in most areas except the areas to the far north and west of the East Coast region. The project also provided social benefits as it helped to prevent mral depopulation and unemployment in this rather isolated and economically depressed region. EFFECTS OF CYCLONE BOLA AND SUBSEQUENT GOVERNMENT DECISIONS When a subtropical cyclone, Cyclone Bola, moved across northern New Zealand between 6 and 9 March 1988 the torrential rainfall that fell on the East Coast region caused severe landsliding, erosion, flooding and siltation. Pastoral land was particularly damaged. Some pasture slopes lost 70 percent or more of their grass cover to shallow landslides. However, on hillslopes protected by mature native forest and older pine forests, landslides were less frequent. Damage to farms, forests, horticulture, roads, bridges and houses exceeded $120 million. The Central Government contributed approximately $80 million to the East Coast region as disaster relief to help defray the cost of damages resulting from Cyclone Bola. %npublished data, Ministry of Forestry, Wellington, New Zealand. 8 The impacts of Cyclone Bola extended into the socio-economic area. The East Coast is presently one of the most depressed regions in New Zealand. The region is charactensed by a declining total population, falling property prices, a high economic and social dependency on agriculture and forestry which account for 23 percent of the total employment, and a high Maori population which comprises 37 percent of total East Coast population (New Zealand Officials Committee Report 1988). The severe impacts of the cyclone on the agriculture/forestry industries and the inability of the region to cope with the damage from a financial point of view were important factors in subsequent Government decision making. The results of the storm reinforced the fact that the East Coast was New Zealand's most susceptible region to widespread erosion and flooding damage and that erosion and flooding negatively influences the regional economy more than in other parts of New Zealand. The cyclone also highlighted the need for better land use on much of the unstable hill country in the region. The severe damages caused by the cyclone (the largest of five severe storms to influence the East Coast in 20 years) was a major factor in the setting up of a Government Officials Committee to examine the original East Coast Project and an earlier review of this project. Among other things, the Committee was required to make recommendations to the Government on the future of the project and the Government's involvement in it. In its recommendations the Committee was split between those who recommended no Central Government funding should be provided for restarting the East Coast forestry project and those who strongly recommended that Central Government should intervene and provide additional funding for conservation plantings. GOVERNMENT DECISIONS In 1988 Government agreed to provide $8 million to directly subsidise a new East Coast Forestry Conservation Scheme on the East Coast pastoral forelands. The funding was to be spread over a 5 year period; 1989 to 1994; and was aimed at establishing about 3,000 hectares of protection forests per year. The scheme was to be targetted at erosion control on unstable pastoral hill country upstream of Gisborne City, Poverty Bay flats and Tologa Bay where the greatest assets at risk are located. The Government also agreed that the funding would be USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 provided as a subsidy covering two thuds of the cost of establishment and that the remaining one thud of the costs should be met by the region through the East Cape Catchment Board. The Government also insisted that all protection forests would come under covenants which precluded logging for at least 25 years after planting and then only with the permission of the local catchment authority. The main factors influencing Central Government to invest in such a scheme included: Survey (1977) concluded that forest planting of poorer grade land within a farm unit generally has little or no impact on stock numbers. However, in the case of a few farm units more than 50 percent of the farm area needed afforestation. Naturally, farmers were reluctant to yield up large parts of their farms for forestry and substantially reduce stock numbers. A perception that tree plantations would not yield any return to the land holder in the foreseeable future but rather, would result in additional silvicultural and fencing costs. . The real extent of severe erosion which is much greater than elsewhere in the country and has substantial negative impacts on the region's social and economic development. The low profitability of many pastoral farms and low farm incomes which prevents landholders from being attracted by the long term benefits resulting from conservation forestry. . The need to cany out erosion control quickly and comprehensively to reduce future costs of erosion and flood damage, both to the region and to the Central Government. . The lack of money and resources within the region for carrying out a comprehensive erosion control scheme. If unstable farmland is not relinquished for conservation forestry at the rate required by the East Coast Forestry Project, then the local regional authorities (the East Cape Catchment Board) may have to enforce afforestation in the priority areas requiring protection. The five year scheme aims at afforesting 15,000 hectares. However, this represents only 20 percent of the total area of severely eroding pastoral hill country in the East Coast region. There is clearly a need for a long term land use rationalisation scheme which will lead to the close integration of exotic and native forests, pastoral farming, horticulture and viticulture. Carefully located forests on the steeper unstable slopes and along riparian areas would provide improved protection to fertile valley bottoms and river plans where horticulture and other types of intensive farming are concentrated. Government Officials and East Cape Catchment Board staff agree that such a scheme would substantially increase farm productivity and reduce the costs of sustaining farming and horticulture on the better classes of land by reducing recurrent storm damage. In addition, recent Ministry of Forestry analyses of the economic viability of exotic forestry on the East Coast indicate that radiata pine forestry on the pastoral forelands has potential internal rates of return exceeding 7 percent4 . Under the existing economic environment in New Zealand and the Government's intentions to devolve all responsibility for resource management to regional authorities, it is most unlikely that other regions in New Zealand will qualify for Central Government funding for major forestry conservation schemes in the future. PROGRESS TO DATE Despite the generous subsidies available for establishing conservation forests on unstable East Coast hill country, the East Cape Catchment Board who administer the Scheme, have found it difficult to obtain agreement from landowners to provide land for planting. After two planting seasons only about 4,500 hectares have been afforested. Farmers' reluctance to provide erosion prone pastoral land for afforestation stems from several factors: . Concern that afforestation of sizeable portions of farmland will result in a decline in the stock carrying capacity of farms. The Department of Lands and USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 4~npublisheddata, Ministry of Forestry, Wellington, New Zealand. REFERENCES Department of Land and Survey (New Zealand) 1977. King Country land use study. Wellington, New Zealand. Department of Statistics (New Zeaiand) 1989. New Zealand Official Yearbook 1988-89. 93rd Annual Edition. 884p. Ministry of Works and Development (New Zealand) 1980. Proceedings of a workshop on the influence of soil slip erosion on hill country pastoral productivity. Aokautere Science Centre Internal Report 21. Officials Committee Report on East Coast Project Review (1988). A report to the Cabinet Development and Marketing Committee (unpublished), July 1988. 38p. Pearce, A.J., O'Loughlin, C.L., Jackson, R.J., Zhang, X.B. 1987. Reforestation: on site effects on hydrology and erosion, eastern Raukumara Range, New Zealand. International Association of Hydrological Sciences Publication 167. 489-497. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Effect of Tree oots on Shallow-Seate Kazutoki Abe and Robert R. Ziemer2 Abstract: Forest vegetation, especially t r e e r o o t s , h e l p s s t a b i l i z e h i l l s l o p e s by reinforcing s o i l shear strength. To e v a l u a t e t h e e f f e c t o f t r e e r o o t s on s l o p e s t a b i l i t y , i n f o r m a t i o n a b o u t t h e amount o f r o o t s a n d t h e i r s t r e n g t h s h o u l d b e known. A simulation model for the root d i s t r i b u t i o n o f G r v w t o m e r i a i a w o n i c a was p r o p o s e d where t h e number o f r o o t s i n e a c h 0.5-cm d i a m e t e r c l a s s c a n b e c a l c u l a t e d a t a r b i t r a r y d e p t h s . The p u l l - o u t s t r e n g t h o f r o o t s was u s e d t o a n a l y z e t h e s t a b i l i t y o f f o u r d i f f e r e n t t y p e s of f o r e s t e d s l o p e s . Root r e i n f o r c e m e n t i s i m p o r t a n t on s l o p e s where r o o t s c a n e x t e n d i n t o j o i n t s and f r a c t u r e s i n bedrock o r i n t o a weathered t r a n s i t i o n a l l a y e r between t h e s o i l a n d bedrock. Root r e i n f o r c e m e n t of s o i l increases quickly a f t e r afforestation f o r a b o u t t h e f i r s t 20 y e a r s , t h e n r e m a i n s &out c o n s t a n t t h e r e a f t e r . S e d i m e n t d i s a s t e r s by d e b r i s f l o w s , mud flows, and l a n d s l i d e s o c c u r almost e v e r y year during t h e r a i n y J u l y t o October Typhoon s e a s o n i n J a p a n . I n J u l y 1982, a h e a v y r a i n f a l l o f 488 nun i n a d a y , w i t h a maximum i n t e n s i t y o f 1 2 7 . 5 mm p e r h o u r , c a u s e d 4300 d e b r i s f l o w s i n N a g a s a k i p r e f e c t u r e , Kyushu I s l a n d . This storm d e s t r o y e d 2200 h o u s e s a n d k i l l e d 299 people. D u r i n g J u l y 1983, i n t e n s i v e r a i n f a l l i n i t i a t e d many d e b r i s f l o w s a n d 199 people were killed in Shimane p r e f e c t u r e , a l o n g J a p a n S e a on w e s t e r n Honshu I s l a n d . l p r e s e n t e d a t t h e S u b j e c t Group S1.04 T e c h n i c a l S e s s i o n on Geomorphic H a z a r d s i n Manaqed F o r e s t s , X I X World C o n q r e s s , I n c e r n a r l o n a l Union o f F o r e s c r y R e s e a r c h O r s a n l z a c l o n s , Aususc 5-11, 1990, Clonereal, 2 ~ e s e a r c hS c i e n t i s t , F o r e s t r y a n d F o r e s t Products Research I n s t i t u t e , Tsukuba, I b a r a k i , 305 J a p a n ; and P r i n c i p a l Research Hydrologist, P a c i f i c Southwest Research Station, Forest Service, United S t a t e s ~ e ~ a r t m e notf A g r i c u l t u r e , A r c a t a , C A . U.S.A. 95521 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 The c a u s e o f s o much d e s t r u c t i o n a n d d e a t h might be unprecedented i n t e n s i v e rainfall. In addition, expansion of c i t i e s , r e s o r t s , and roads o n t o h i l l s l o p e s a n d m o u n t a i n areas h a s b e e n a l s o t h o u g h t t o be a primary c a u s e . In response, n a t i o n a l and l o c a l governments have adopted a p r o g r a m o f a g g r e s s i v e l y c o n s t r u c t i n g many e r o s i o n c o n t r o l works a t g r e a t e x p e n s e . B u t , e v e n s o , it i s i m p o s s i b l e f o r s u c h c o n s t r u c t i o n t o p r o t e c t a l l mountain h i l l s l o p e s from d e b r i s f l o w s . An important cause of increased f r e q u e n c y o f d e b r i s f l o w s i s t h e removal o f f o r e s t s t o accommodate u r b a n i z a t i o n a n d r o a d c o n s t r u c t i o n i n mountainous a r e a s . I n monsoon a r e a s , l i k e J a p a n , w h e r e s t e e p m o u n t a i n s a r e c o v e r e d w i t h f o r e s t s , mass wasting i s t h e p r e v a i l i n g type of erosion. T h e r e i s a f r a g i l e b a l a n c e o f s t a b i l i t y on s u c h s t e e p h i l l s l o p e s where t h e f o r e s t cover i n t e r a c t s with s o i l moisture, s o i l strength, geological condition, h i s t o r i c a l r a i n f a l l , and o t h e r f a c t o r s t o s t a b i l i z e t h e r e g o l i t h on a s l o p e . From a v i e w p o i n t o f s o i l m e c h a n i c s , on many h i l l s l o p e s t h e f a c t o r of s a f e t y o f a s l o p e (FS) a p p r o a c h e s 1 . 0 during a r a i n f a l l event t h a t occurs o n c e e v e r y s e v e r a l y e a r s . Under c o n d i t i o n s of s u c h d e l i c a t e b a l a n c e , removal of t h e t r e e s b y l o g g i n g may r e s u l t i n a r e d u c t i o n i n s o i l strength s u f f i c i e n t t o cause landslides. The i n f l u e n c e o f f o r e s t s o n s l o p e s t a b i l i t y h a s been one of t h e most i m p o r t a n t s u b j e c t s of s t u d y - - e s p e c i a l l y , t h e r o l e o f t r e e r o o t s on r e i n f o r c i n g s o i l s h e a r s t r e n g t h . To e v a l u a t e t h e m e c h a n i c a l e f f e c t of r o o t s i n s t r e n g t h e n i n g s o i l , however, t h e q u a n t i t y and d i s t r i b u t i o n o f r o o t s i n s u b s u r f a c e s o i l l a y e r s must b e quantified. I n t h i s p a p e r , a s i m u l a t i o n model f o r t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n and s t a b i l i z i n g e f f e c t of r o o t s i s i n v e s t i g a t e d using an i n f i n i t e s l o p e s t a b i l i t y a n a l y s i s model. ROOT A can DISTRIBUTION s t a b i l i t y a n a l y s i s of f o r e s t slopes b e made b y a d d i n g t h e s o i l s h e a r s t r e n g t h a n d a r e i n f o r c i n g component p r o v i d e d by t h e s t r e n g t h of r o o t s (Endo a n d T s u r u t a 1969; Gray a n d Ohashi 1 9 8 3 ) . T h i s r e i n f o r c i n g s t r e n g t h i s g e n e r a l l y shown by e q u a t i o n [ I ] (Waldron 1977; Wu 1 9 7 6 ) . C r = xtri ( s i n 8 + cos 8 * tan a ), [I] where C r : R e i n f o r c i n g s t r e n g t h p r o v i d e d by r o o t s t r i : Root t e n s i l e s t r e s s g e n e r a t e d i n root i a t the landslide shear plane 8 : Slope g r a d i e n t a : Angle o f i n t e r n a l f r i c t i o n o f the soil. The t e n s i l e s t r e s s f o r v a r i o u s s p e c i e s h a s been r e p o r t e d t o be a f u n c t i o n o f r o o t diameter (Ziemer and Swanston 1977; B u r r o u g h s a n d Thomas 1977; O ' L o u g h l i n a n d Ziemer 1982; Abe a n d Iwamoto 1 9 8 6 ) . Thus, t o model t h e i n f l u e n c e o f t r e e s on s l o p e s t a b i l i t y , t h e number a n d d i a m e t e r o f r o o t s a t s p e c i f i c d e p t h s must b e o b t a i n e d . 3 . The d i a m e t e r a t b o t h e n d s a n d t h e l e n g t h o f c u t r o o t s l a r g e r t h a n 0 . 5 mm i n d i a m e t e r were m e a s u r e d i n e a c h 10cm-thick l a y e r . 4 . The number, volume, a n d t o t a l l e n g t h of r o o t s were t h e n c a l c u l a t e d f o r e a c h layer. o f t h e Root Dlstrlhutlon Root volume i n 10-cm-thick l a y e r s (V(z)) About 8 5 t o 90 p e r c e n t o f t h e t o t a l r o o t volume o f a t r e e w a s f o u n d i n t h e upper h a l f of t h e r o o t i n g d e p t h . Root volume d e c r e a s e s e x p o n e n t i a l l y w i t h d e p t h . To i n v e s t i g a t e t h e p a t t e r n o f r o o t V(z), the distribution by depth, a c c u m u l a t e d r o o t volume r a t i o , F ( z ) , was c a l c u l a t e d ( e q . [21) . Zmax To d e v e l o p t h e r o o t m o d e l a n d t o understand t h e influence of d i f f e r e n t environmental conditions on root d i s t r i b u t i o n , r o o t s of about 16 t r e e s of iaoonica, t h e most p o p u l a r s p e c i e s p l a n t e d i n J a p a n , were sampled i n five different fields. The s a m p l i n g was done a s f o l l o w s : The s t u d y t r e e was c u t down a n d i t s entire root s y s t e m was carefully excavated. A l l r o o t s were c u t a l o n g p l a n e s a t 10cm d e p t h i n t e r v a l s below t h e g r o u n d a n d p a r a l l e l t o t h e surface ( f i g . 1). 5 % Vr = C V(Z) z=o where, V r : e n t i r e r o o t volume o f one t r e e C V ( z ) : a c c u m u l a t e d r o o t volume from t h e ground s u r f a c e t o t h e depth "z" Zmax: maximum d e p t h o f r o o t g r o w t h . The r e l a t i o n s h i p between F ( z ) a n d d e p t h " 2 " c o u l d b e a -u -u r o x i m a t e d b v t h e u r o b a b i l i t v function of t h e weidull-d<stribution (ficr. 21. The s o l i d l i n e i n f i s u r e 2 i s t h e - Weibull p r o b a b i l i t y function, f ( z ) , c a l c u l a t e d from e q u a t i o n I31 (Makabe 1 9 6 6 ) . T h e r e a r e t h r e e p a r a m e t e r s t h a t must b e e s t i m a t e d : a, y, a n d m. "y" i s a l o c a t i o n parameter t h a t determines a beginning p o i n t of t h e c u r v e . In t h e root d i s t r i b u t i o n c a s e , "y" i s 0 , b e c a u s e t h e g r o u n d s u r f a c e (z=0) i s t h e i n i t i a l p o i n t . "m" i s a s h a p e It c a n b e r e a d o f f t h e Weibullparameter. g r a p h a s a g r a d i e n t of t h e l i n e , a n d a l s o c a l c u l a t e d by e q u a t i o n [ 4 1 w i t h "ZmaXu a n d "Xo" Fig. 1.Method of sampling for root A l l r o o t s were c u t distribution. a l o n g p l a n e s a t 10-cm i n t e r v a l s below t h e ground s u r f a c e and diameters of b o t h ends and t h e l e n g t h s o f c u t r o o t s were m e a s u r e d Zmax i s i n e a c h 10-cm t h i c k l a y e r . a maximum r o o t p e n e t r a t i n g d e p t h . p o i n t where d i a m e t e r i s m e a s u r e d . XO i s an i n t e r s e c t i n g p o i n t o f F n ( z ) = O a n d the solid line (fig. 2). From o u r d a t a , it a p p e a r e d t h a t i f Zmax i s d e e p e r , t h e g r a d i e n t o f "m" may b e s t e e p e r . ( f i g . 2 ) . A r e g r e s s i o n between Zmax a n d XO r e s u l t e d i n e q u a t i o n [51. XO = 0.3522*Zmax - 10.799 [51 USDAForest ServiceGen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 S u b s t i t u t i n g e q u a t i o n [51 i n t o e q u a t i o n [ 4 ] , "m" c a n be e s t i m a t e d b y e q u a t i o n [ 6 ] . Site Minakami "a" is a s c a l e parameter and can d e f i n e d as a d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e o f Zmax e q u a t i o n (71 . Tap zone 7.91 i-1.47 Middle zone Bottom 4.91 i-*'ll 5.95 i-l' Z< be by A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e r o o t volume i n e a c h 10-cm-thick l a y e r V(z) i s o b t a i n e d by e q u a t i o n [81 . 0 . 5 cm i n d i a m e t e r z+10 V(z) = { f ( z ) dzl * Vr Z [el Root Number I n g e n e r a l , t h e most r o o t s a r e f o u n d 20 The number o f r o o t s t h e n gradually decreases with depth. Sixty t o 85 p e r c e n t o f t h e r o o t s a r e s m a l l e r t h a n t o 50 c m d e e p . To c o m p a r e r o o t d i s t r i b u t i o n b e t w e e n each f i e l d site, t h e t o t a l rooting depth was d i v i d e d i n t o t h r e e z o n e s : t o p , m i d d l e , and bottom. I n t h e t o p zone, t h e r e a r e many l a t e r a l r o o t s t h a t v a r y w i d e l y i n diameter. I n t h e b o t t o m z o n e , most r o o t s grow v e r t i c a l l y a n d t h e r e a r e few r o o t s g r e a t e r t h a n 1 . 0 cm i n d i a m e t e r . In the m i d d l e zone, many r o o t s d e v e l o p v e r t i c a l l y a n d d i a g o n a l l y , b u t t h e r e a r e few l a t e r a l roots. Even t h o u g h t h e d e p t h z o n e s d o n o t c o i n c i d e with s o i l horizons and t h e t h i c k n e s s o f t h e zones v a r i e s between s i t e s , e a c h r e s p e c t i v e d e p t h zone h a s similar root distributions. Root d i s t r i b u t i o n was e s t i m a t e d a s t h e r o o t number r a t i o , o b t a i n e d by r e g r e s s i o n b e t w e e n t h e p r o p o r t i o n o f t h e number o f r o o t s i n e a c h 0.5-cm d i a m e t e r c l a s s , Y ( i ) , and t h e diameter c l a s s , i ( t a b l e 1 ) . Mean volume of c l a s s (Vm ( i ) ) a root in each diameter T h e r e was n o d i f f e r e n c e i n t h e mean volume o f a r o o t i n e a c h d i a m e t e r c l a s s , Vrn(i), among t h e t h r e e d e p t h z o n e s . Consequently, r e g r e s s i o n s were c a l c u l a t e d f o r each f i e l d site ( t a b l e 2 ) . Maximum r o o t d e p t h (Zmax) F i g . 2 . R e l a t i o n s h i p between d e p t h ( z ) and accumulated r o o t volume ratio (F(z)) in t h e Weibull graph. W e i b u l l c o e f f i c i e n t "mu i s t h e g r a d i e n t of a r e g r e s s i o n l i n e , o b t a i n e d b y " b / a , "a" , a n d "b". : T r e e 1 i n Minakami, 0 : T r e e 3 i n Minakami, : T r e e 5 i n Komatubara, 9 i n Misugi, +:Tree 10 i n Ksukuba. +:Tree USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 It i s important t o note t h e depth of r o o t p e n e t r a t i o n when e s t i m a t i n g t h e e f f e c t of r o o t s i n s t a b i l i z i n g slopes. The more roots t h a t penetrate a potential shear plane, t h e g r e a t e r i s t h e chance t h a t vegetation w i l l increase slope s t a b i l i t y . Some o f t h e f a c t o r s r e s t r i c t i n g Zmax a r e e x i s t e n c e of bedrock, s o i l p o r o s i t y , s o i l moisture, s o i l structure, s o i l consistency, and s o i l f e r t i l i t y . Morimoto ( 1 9 8 2 ) a n d Ikemoto and T a k e s h i t a (1987) r e p o r t e d t h a t Zmax c o u l d b e e s t i m a t e d a s t h e d e p t h where the soil hardness, using a cone p e n e t r o m e t e r , i s 27 mm, o r t h e N v a l u e (number Of f a l l s p e r 10-cm p e n e t r a t i o n ) i n t h e s o u n d i n g t e s t i s 5 . However, much more d a t a on t h i s s u b j e c t i s n e e d e d . T a b l e 2--Mean root four f i e l d sites volume, Vm(i), of the having d i f f e r e n t environmental c o n d i t i o n s . The model was composed a s f o l l o w s : Site Coefficient of Sample determination number Mean root volume Minakami 7 . 6 2 i2'" 0.96 51 Komatsubara 7.84 0.94 24 j,2.32 (1) (2) I n p u t DBH, H, C a l c u l a t e whole r o o t w e i g h t , W r , i n g. W r c a n b e c a l c u l a t e d by a n a l l o m e t r i c f o r m u l a , e q u a t i o n 191 (Karizumi 1 9 7 7 ) . log W r Tsukuba 7.81 i2.l4 0.97 and Z m a x . = 0.8216*10~(~~~~*~)-0.3 [91 085 53 YODEL (3) Figure 3 i s a flow c h a r t of t h e r o o t d i s t r i b u t i o n s i m u l a t i o n model. The i n p u t f a c t o r s a r e f i e l d measurements of h e i g h t ( H ) , d i a m e t e r ( D B H ) , a n d Zmax of t h e o b j e c t tree. The model o u t p u t i s t h e number o f r o o t s i n e a c h 10-cm l a y e r a n d e a c h r o o t diameter c l a s s . Y t ( i ) , Y m ( i ) , Y b ( i ) , and V m ( i ) a r e u s e d i n t h e model a s v a r i a b l e s , s o t h e y must b e m e a s u r e d f o r e a c h r e g i o n C a l c u l a t e whole r o o t volume, cm3 . in 1101 V r = Wr/Gs (4) Vr, C a l c u l a t e r o o t volume i n e a c h 10-cm layer, V(z). V ( z ) c a n b e c a l c u l a t e d by e q u a t i o n 181, where f ( z ) i s o b t a i n e d from e q u a t i o n 131 by s u b s t i t u t i n g Zma, i n t o equations APPLIED PRINCIPLES M)OB Aiiometric formula Whole root volume (Vr) Weibull distribution probability function k 10-cm-thick layer in each diameter class and each to-cm-thick layer root diameter class in each diameter class Temporary volume of roots in each 10-cm.thick layer diameter class and each to-cm-thick layer (N(i.2)) F i g . 3 . Flow c h a r t o f t h e r o o t d i s t r i b u t i o n s i m u l a t i o n model. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 [61 a n d 171. (5) S e t u p t h e t e m p o r a r y r o o t number i n e a c h d i a m e t e r c l a s s a n d e a c h 10-cmthick s o i l layer, f?(i,z). The maximum r o o t d i a m e t e r ( i m a x ) s h o u l d be determined, and f i ( i , z ) i n each d i a m e t e r c l a s s (0.5-cm i n t e r v a l s i n t h i s p a p e r ) u p t o imaxi n e a c h zone i s s e t u p i n p r o p o r t i o n t o t h e r o o t number A l l r a t i o s Y t ( i ) , Y m ( i ) , and Y b ( i ) . 10-cm l a y e r s t h a t b e l o n g t o o n e z o n e h a v e t h e same i n i t i a l v a l u e o f fi ( i ,z ) . (6) C a l c u l a t e temporary 10-cm l a y e r , v ( z ) . r o o t volume in (7) C a l c u l a t e t h e r a t i o between V ( z ) a n d V(z), k . (8) D e t e r m i n e t h e number o f r o o t s i n each r o o t d i a m e t e r c l a s s and each 10-cm l a y e r , N ( i , z ) . Even f i n e r o o t s h a v e a s t r o n g i n f l u e n c e i n p r e v e n t i n g l a n d s l i d e s (Burroughs and Thomas 1977; Abe a n d Iwamoto 1 9 8 6 ) . Thus, t h e model must b e a b l e t o e s t i m a t e t h e number o f s u c h f i n e r o o t s . Also, t h e l a n d s l i d e shear plane has a tendency t o o c c u r n e a r t h e l i m i t o f r o o t i n g d e p t h where t h e r e a r e few r o o t s on t h e s h e a r p l a n e (Abe a n d o t h e r s 1 9 8 5 ) . T h i s model can e s t i m a t e t h e number o f r o o t s i n e a c h d i a m e t e r class i n t h e deeper l a y e r s . Furthermore, it i s important t h a t r o o t d i s t r i b u t i o n under d i f f e r e n t c o n d i t i o n s can b e expressed by one model. ROOT BTRENGTE The c o n t r i b u t i o n o f r o o t s t o i n c r e a s i n g s o i l s h e a r s t r e n g t h h a s been mainly e s t i m a t e d by f o u r kinds of experiments: t e n s i l e t e s t , pull-out t e s t , ' shear t e s t , and l a b o r a t o r y s h e a r t e s t . - r e s i s t a n c e when a r o o t i s p u l l e d o u t o f t h e Tsukamoto ( 1 9 8 7 ) a n d Abe soil (fig. 4 ) . a n d Iwamoto (1986) r e p o r t e d p u l l - o u t s t r e n g t h c o u l d b e p r e d i c t e d by r o o t d i a m e t e r a n d was i n d e p e n d e n t o f s l o p e c o n d i t i o n s and r o o t t y p e , such a s l a t e r a l , t a p , o r s i n k e r r o o t . P u l l - o u t s t r e n g t h was composed of t a n g e n t i a l f r i c t i o n between s o i l a n d r o o t s , a n d was i n f l u e n c e d b y r o o t bending, branching, r o o t h a i r s , and t h e t e n s i l e s t r e n g t h a t breakages. D a t a from in-situ s h e a r t e s t s (Endo a n d T s u r u t a 1969; Ziemer 1981; O ' L o u g h l i n a n d o t h e r s 1 9 8 2 ; Abe a n d Iwamoto 1 9 8 7 ) a r e important for evaluating the a p p r o p r i a t e n e s s of t h e o r e t i c a l concepts. B u t , it i s d i f f i c u l t t o p e r f o r m s u c h t e s t s on s t e e p r o c k y h i l l s l o p e s . Laboratory shear t e s t s have been p e r f o r m e d t o r e v e a l t h e mechanism o f t h e r o o t r e i n f o r c i n g e f f e c t (Waldron 1977; Wu 1976; Waldron a n d D a k e s s i a n 1981; Gray a n d We Ohashi 1983; Shewbridge 1985). conducted direct s h e a r tests u s i n g sand t h a t contained r o o t s and modified t h e r e i n f o r c e m e n t model p r o p o s e d b y Waldron ( 1 9 7 7 ) a n d Wu (1976) : AS= [ { ( l c ~ ~ b ~ e '/*-I) - ' ~ ~ )*E*arl ( c o s 8 t a n @ t s i n 8) + E * I * ~ ~ * B [I41 where, E : ar: 8: Young modulus c r o s s s e c t i o n a l a r e a of t h e roots one h a l f o f a s h e a r d i s p l a c e m e n t modulus o f s e c t i o n root angle a t t h e origin : i n t e r n a l f r i c t i o n a n g l e of sand. B: I: From o b s e r v a t i o n s o f s h a l l o w l a n d s l i d e s i t e s , t h e r e were o n l y a few f i n e r o o t s on t h e b o t t o m s h e a r p l a n e s (Abe a n d o t h e r s 1 9 8 5 ) . And, f o r f a l l e n trees, most o f t h e r o o t s were b r o k e n n e a r t h e i r t i p s where t h e Recorder Many t e n s i l e s t r e n g t h t e s t s o f r o o t s A segment o f a r o o t have been performed. specimen i s u s u a l l y loaded i n t e n s i o n and t h e maximum v a l u e a t f a i l u r e i s m e a s u r e d ( O ' L o u g h l i n 1 9 7 4 ; B u r r o u g h s a n d Thomas 1977; Ziemer a n d Swanston 1977; Nakane a n d From o t h e r s 1 9 8 3 ; Abe a n d o t h e r s 1 9 8 6 ) . t h e s e t e s t s , t h e t e n s i l e s t r e n g t h of l i v e r o o t s and i t s d e c l i n e a f t e r t h e r o o t s d i e h a v e b e e n m e a s u r e d f o r many o f the important t r e e species. The p u l l - o u t t e s t m e a s u r e s t h e maximum USDA Forest Sewice Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 F i g . 4 . Diagram o f t h e r o o t p u l l - o u t t e s t d i a m e t e r was l e s s t h a n 1 t o 2 cm. This s u g g e s t s t h a t most r o o t s were p u l l e d o u t . B u r r o u g h s a n d Thomas ( 1 9 7 7 ) r e p o r t e d t h a t t h e w i d t h o f t h e s h e a r zone r a n g e d from 7 t o 25 cm a n d t h e m a j o r i t y o f t r e e r o o t s h a d failed i n tension. Studies of slope f a i l u r e i n s o i l over g l a c i a l till i n Alaska i n d i c a t e d t h a t t h e expected width of t h e s o i l s h e a r z o n e r a n g e d f r o m 7 . 5 t o 30 c m , a n d t h a t t h e e x p e c t e d mode o f r o o t f a i l u r e i s i n t e n s i o n (Wu, 1 9 7 6 ) . We assume t h a t t h e r o o t s c r o s s i n g a s h e a r zone g e n e r a t e t e n s i l e strength, a r e elongated i n tension, and break a t t h e t i p s , n o t i n t h e s h e a r zone. Thus, t h e mode o f r o o t f a i l u r e i s s i m i l a r t o t h a t during a pull-out t e s t . Abe a n d Iwamoto ( 1 9 8 6 ) c o n d u c t e d t e s t s on CrvDtomeria iaDonica a n d measured b o t h t h e pull-out resistance and t h e t e n s i l e s t r e n g t h a t t h e p o i n t of breakage ( f i g . 4 ) . The r e s u l t s w e r e q u i t e d i f f e r e n t . The pull-out resistance includes t h e t e n s i l e s t r e n g t h a t breakage, p l u s t h e t a n g e n t i a l f r i c t i o n between r o o t s and s o i l a n d t h e m e c h a n i c a l s t r e n g t h c a u s e d by p u l l i n g b e n t p a r t s of t h e r o o t through t h e s o i l . C o n s e q u e n t l y , it i s n o t a p p r o p r i a t e t o u s e t h e maximum t e n s i l e s t r e n g t h t o r e p r e s e n t root reinforcing strength. Although t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p between p u l l - o u t r e s i s t a n c e and t h e t h e o r e t i c a l reinforced soil we strength is not f u l l y understood, p o s t u l a t e t h a t both a r e about e q u a l . S t a b i l i t y of a f o r e s t e d s l o p e w a s simulated using t h e pull-out resistance (PO), o b t a i n e d by a r e g r e s s i o n a n a l y s i s ( e q . [151) of t h e r o o t d i a m e t e r ( D ) a t p u l l points (fig. 4 ) . SLOPE STABILITY ANALYSIS Geology, s o i l mechanics, and s o i l m o i s t u r e a f f e c t s l o p e s t a b i l i t y and a l s o affect t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n of t r e e r o o t s , especially t a p roots. Tsukamoto ( 1 9 8 7 ) c l a s s i f i e d slopes i n t o four types. i s t h i n a n d u n d e r l a i n by b e d r o c k w i t h few c r a c k s a n d j o i n t s . The r o o t s cannot p e n e t r a t e t h e bedrock and a r e densely d i s t r i b u t e d i n t h e regolith. Tap r o o t s a r e n o t important. S o i l water cannot permeate t h e bedrock, and p o r e water p r e s s u r e i s e a s i l y g e n e r a t e d on t h e b e d r o c k surface. Thus, t h i s t y p e o f s l o p e i s r a t h e r u n s t a b l e a n d m o s t l y f o u n d on d i p p i n g slopes i n t e r t i a r y parent materials. p r e s s u r e i s seldom g e n e r a t e d because of high permeability. Accordingly, t h i s t y p e of s l o p e i s q u i t e s t a b l e and i s found i n a r e a s with mesozoic and p a l e o z o i c p a r e n t material. C type--Regolith i s t h i n and t h e r e is a t r a n s i t i o n a l (weathered) l a y e r between t h e r e g o l i t h and bedrock. Root g r o w t h may b e a f f e c t e d by s o i l d e n s i t y and h a r d n e s s o f this transitional layer. S o i l moisture does not e a s i l y permeate t h e t r a n s i t i o n a l l a y e r , because o f i t s h i g h d e n s i t y , and pore water p r e s s u r e i s e a s i l y generated. R o o t s a r e most e f f e c t i v e on t h i s t y p e o f As root strength declines a f t e r slope. logging, many d e b r i s f l o w s w o u l d b e e x p e c t e d . T h i s t y p e i s f r e q u e n t l y found i n g r a n i t e mountains. type--Regolith i s t h i c k and r o o t s can grow w i t h o u t r e s t r i c t i o n b y s o i l l a y e r s . T h i s t y p e of s l o p e i s u s u a l l y found a t t h e base of h i l l s l o p e s and have a g e n t l e a n g l e . D e b r i s f l o w s n e v e r o c c u r on t h i s t y p e o f slope. D The s t a b i l i t y o f t h e s e f o u r t y p e s o f slope was investigated by assuming r e a s o n a b l e v a l u e s o f i m p o r t a n t s o i l and slope characteristics (table 3 ) . The A-type s l o p e h a s 8 0 cm o f r e g o l i t h t h i c k n e s s u n d e r l a i n by bedrock without c r a c k s a n d t h e r o o t s c a n n o t p e n e t r a t e more t h a n 80 c m d e e p . The B-type s l o p e a l s o h a s 80 c m o f r e g o l i t h , b u t b e d r o c k i s f r a c t u r e d a n d r o o t s c a n i n v a d e t h e c r a c k s up t o 1 0 0 cm d e e p . The C - t y p e s l o p e a l s o h a s 80 c m o f r e g o l i t h , p l u s a 40-cm-thick t r a n s i t i o n a l l a y e r underlain by bedrock. The D-type s l o p e h a s 150 c m o f r e g o l i t h a n d a 40-cm-thick t r a n s i t i o n a l l a y e r u n d e r l a i n by b e d r o c k . The s t a b i l i t y c a l c u l a t i o n s assumed t h a t t h e g r o u n d w a t e r r e a c h e d t h e ground s u r f a c e . Forests of w t o m e r h i a ~ o n i c aa g e d 1 0 , 20, 30, a n d 40 y e a r s were assumed t o b e g r o w i n g on e a c h s l o p e . The Table 3--Characteristics --- -- --S l o p e A type--Regolith B type--Regolith i s t h i n and u n d e r l a i n by b e d r o c k h a v i n g many j o i n t s a n d c r a c k s . Roots a r e a b l e t o p e n e t r a t e i n t o bedrock and c o n t r i b u t e t o s t a b i l i t y . Pore water of t h e four slopes Slope angle (O) T h i c k n e s s of r e g o l i t h (cm) T r a n s i t i o n a l zone (cm) Cohesion of s o i l ( t o n / m 2 ) I n t e r n a l a n g l e of s o i l ( o ) Cohesicnofbedrock(ton/m2) I n t e r n a l a n g l e of b e d r o c k ( O ) Ground w a t e r t a b l e d e p t h (cm) D e n s i t y of s o i l ( g / c c ) D e n s i t y of b e d r o c k ( g / c c ) zmax (cm) A B 32 80 0 0.2 30 20 40 0 1.3 2.5 80 32 80 0 0.2 30 20 40 0 1.3 2.5 100 type------C 32 80 40 0.2 30 20 40 0 1.3 2.5 100 D 15 150 40 0.2 30 20 40 0 1.3 2.5 170 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 s i z e of t r e e s i n each f o r e s t was o b t a i n e d from y i e l d t a b l e s . Root d i s t r i b u t i o n s (number of r o o t s i n each 10-cm-thick s o i l l a y e r f o r each 0.5-cm d i a m e t e r c l a s s ) were The s i m u l a t e d u s i n g t h e model ( f i g . 3 ) . r e i n f o r c i n g s t r e n g t h (AS) i n e a c h 10-cmt h i c k l a y e r was c a l c u l a t e d u s i n g e q u a t i o n [161. where, AS reinforcing strength a t depth z cm N ( 2 , i ): number of r o o t s of d i a m e t e r i cm a t d e p t h z cm P O ( i ) : p u l l - o u t s t r e n g t h of a r o o t with d i a m e t e r i cm. (2) : The s i m u l a t i o n r e s u l t s o f t h e f o u r s l o p e t y p e s a r e shown i n f i g u r e 5 . Soil shear strength, Ss, shows an a b r u p t i n c r e a s e a t t h e boundary between s o i l and bedrock of t h e A-type and B-type s l o p e s , b u t on t h e C-type slope t h a t has a transitional soil layer, soil shear SO IL-STRENGTH lk f / m a I strength gradually increases. Shear s t r e s s , P s , exceeds t h e s o i l s h e a r s t r e n g t h a t a d e p t h of 40 t o 80 cm on t y p e A, B, and C slopes. This i n d i c a t e s a p o t e n t i a l shear zone a t t h e s e d e p t h s l e a d i n g t o t h e possibility of a landslide. The r e i n f o r c i n g s t r e n g t h by r o o t s (AS) was c a l c u l a t e d by e q u a t i o n [I61 and added t o Ss (fig. 5). On t h e A-type s l o p e , t h e growth of t a p r o o t s i s r e s t r i c t e d by t h e bedrock s o t h e r e i s no r e i n f o r c i n g e f f e c t a t t h e boundary (potential shear zone). AS i s i n c r e a s e d by t h e growing f o r e s t o n l y t o a d e p t h of 70 cm. I n o t h e r words, a l t h o u g h t h e number of r o o t s i s i n c r e a s e d a s t h e f o r e s t becomes o l d e r , r o o t reinforcement of t h e s o i l never develops a t t h e boundary and P s w i l l exceed S s a t t h i s d e p t h when t h e ground w a t e r surface r i s e s . This c o n d i t i o n can l e a d t o a d e b r i s flow. On t h e B-type s l o p e , however, r o o t s p e n e t r a t e t h e c r a c k s i n t h e bedrock, and r o o t reinforcement develops a t t h e s o i l bedrock boundary. When t h e f o r e s t i s o l d e r SO I L-STRENGTH (k f/n' 1 134 103 134 105 :Soil shear strength -- -- -- - :Promoting sliding ~ t r e nth a:Rooted o:Rooted -:Rooted +:Rooted oil of a fore~taged soi 1 of a forest aged soil of a forest aged soi l of a forest aged i' 0 20 30 40 F i g . 5 . S i m u l a t e d r o o t e d s o i l s h e a r s t r e n g t h of f o r e s t s having f o u r d i f f e r e n t ages on A, B, C, and D t y p e of s l o p e s USDA Forest Service Gem Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 t h a n 20 y e a r s , AS becomes s t r o n g e r t h a n Ss, and P s never exceeds s h e a r s t r e n g t h of t h e r o o t e d s o i l , S r ( f i g . 5 ) . But, f o r t h e 10-year-old f o r e s t , AS i s n o t s t r o n g enough t o p r e v e n t a d e b r i s flow on t h e slope. The C-type s l o p e i s s i m i l a r t o t h e Btype. Roots i n v a d e and r e i n f o r c e t h e t r a n s i t i o n a l zone, and t h e p r o b a b i l i t y of l a n d s l i d e s d e c r e a s e s a s t h e f o r e s t becomes older. The D-type s l o p e i s always s t a b l e w i t h o r without a f o r e s t . The f a c t o r of safety (FS) a t t h e p o t e n t i a l s h e a r zone i n c r e a s e s f o r t y p e B and C s l o p e s a s t h e a g e of a f o r e s t i n c r e a s e s , up t o an age of 20 t o 2 5 y e a r s , a f t e r which it remains about c o n s t a n t a t about 2.0 ( f i g . 6 ) . For t h e s e s l o p e t y p e s , t h e FS of 10-year-old f o r e s t s i s under 1 . 0 , indicating a high probability of landslides. The FS v a l u e s were c a l c u l a t e d f o r a c o n d i t i o n where t h e ground w a t e r r e a c h e s t h e ground s u r f a c e . For A-type s l o p e s , FS does n o t change with i n c r e a s i n g f o r e s t age because r o o t s cannot r e i n f o r c e t h e s o i l and bedrock i n t e r f a c e . Type-D s l o p e s remain s t a b l e a t a l l ages of f o r e s t . DISCUSSION A s f o r e s t s grow, r o o t systems d e v e l o p t o provide s t r u c t u r a l support t o t h e t r e e s and t o a b s o r b water and n u t r i e n t s . Roots a r e important i n s t a b i l i z i n g h i l l s l o p e s . To quantify the amount of root reinforcement A S , it i s necessary t o u n d e r s t a n d t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p between r o o t g r o w t h , s l o p e s t r u c t u r e , a n d d e p t h of sliding surface. In t h i s paper, root r e i n f o r c e m e n t was modelled f o r f o u r t y p e s of s l o p e s . P r e v i o u s r e s e a r c h h a s shown t h a t t h e r e a r e h i g h s l o p e f a i l u r e r a t e s on g r a n i t e , s h a t t e r e d p a l e o z o i c and mesozoic, and t e r t i a r y s l o p e s a s s o c i a t e d w i t h young I t i s expected f o r e s t s (Tsukamoto 1 9 8 7 ) . t h a t t h e r e a r e d i f f e r e n c e s i n AS r e l a t e d t o differences i n geologically related s l o p e s t r u c t u r e . Thus, it i s important t o identify those factors t h a t r e s t r i c t the growth of r o o t s and t o q u a n t i f y t h e number and s i z e of r o o t s t h a t can p e n e t r a t e i n t o j o i n t s of bedrock o r t r a n s i t i o n a l s o i l l a y e r s and r e i n f o r c e t h e p o t e n t i a l s h e a r zone. Logging can c a u s e a l a r g e d e c r e a s e i n A s t h e r o o t s decay, a f t e r a 40-yearAS. o l d f o r e s t h a s been c u t , the shear r e s i s t a n c e of r o o t e d s o i l i n t h e p o t e n t i a l s h e a r zone w i l l d e c r e a s e t o one t h i r d of t h a t i n t h e uncut f o r e s t ( f i g . 5 ) , and t h e p r o b a b i l i t y of s l o p e f a i l u r e w i l l i n c r e a s e . Kitamura and Namba (1981) n o t e d t h a t t h e r e s i s t a n c e of t r e e stumps t o u p r o o t i n g d e c r e a s e s r a p i d l y a s t h e r o o t systems decay following timber h a r v e s t . They concluded, when c o n s i d e r i n g t h e combined e f f e c t of r o o t decay of t h e c u t t r e e s and r o o t growth of t h e p l a n t e d t r e e s , t h a t t h e f o r e s t s o i l would r e a c h a minimum s t r e n g t h between 5 and 10 y e a r s a f t e r c u t t i n g and r e p l a n t i n g . Ziemer and Swanston (1977) measured t h e changes i n s t r e n g t h of r o o t s remaining i n t h e s o i l a f t e r l o g g i n g and noted t h a t even the largest roots lost appreciable strenath . I n g e n e r a l , t h e i n f l u e n c e of f o r e s t l o g g i n g on d e b r i s f l o w s a r e g r e a t e s t i n g r a n i t i c and t e r t i a r y s l o p e s ( C - t y p e ) P a l e o z o i c and mesozoic s l o p e s ( 8 - t y p e ) g e n e r a l l y do n o t h a v e an increased i n c i d e n c e of d e b r i s flow a f t e r f o r e s t removal. Tsukamoto (1987) e x p l a i n e d t h a t t h e reason f o r t h i s i s t h a t t h e high p e r m e a b i l i t y of t h e f r a c t u r e d bedrock prevents the build-up of lateral groundwater flow a l o n g t h e bedrock. Ohta ( 1 9 8 6 ) s u g g e s t e d t h a t r o u g h n e s s of t h e b e d r o c k a l s o makes t h i s t y p e of s l o p e stable. . Forest age o:A type of slope o:B type of slope A:C type of slope +:D type of slope F i g . 6. Change i n t h e f a c t o r of s a f e t y a s the forest ages. AS t e n d s t o i n c r e a s e a s t h e f o r e s t becomes o l d e r , up t o an a g e of about 20 years, a f t e r which AS r e m a i n s a b o u t constant. The c o n t r i b u t i o n of a s i n g l e t r e e t o AS c o n t i n u e s t o i n c r e a s e a s t h e t r e e becomes o l d e r . However, t h e number of t r e e s i n t h e f o r e s t decreases with f o r e s t a g e ( t a b l e 4 ) and t h e n e t e f f e c t i s a c o n s t a n t AS a f t e r about 20 y e a r s . Fortyy e a r - o l d s t a n d s of Uygwtomerla laxmica . . USDA Forest Service Gem Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 CrvDtomeria iaDonjca ---------- Tree aqe (yr)---------- T a b l e 4--Sizes (cm) Height (m) DBH Number (ha-l) 2 Area (m ) of 5.0 5.4 3430 2.9 13.8 12.1 2265 4.4 20.0 15.8 1345 7.4 24.3 18.1 1030 9.7 have a h i g h density--one tree per 3.1 x 3.1 m. F o r t h i s s t a n d d e n s i t y , it i s a c c e p t a b l e t o e s t i m a t e AS on a u n i t a r e a basis. However, f o r old-growth and s c a t t e r e d t r e e s , it may n o t b e p r o p e r t o e s t i m a t e t h e r e i n f o r c e d s t r e n g t h by u n i t a r e a , because t a p r o o t s t e n d t o concentrate below t h e w i d e l y - s p a c e d t r e e t r u n k s . Most r o o t s i n t h e p o t e n t i a l s h e a r z o n e In t h i s a r e l e s s than 1 . 0 cm i n diameter. paper, only t h e e f f e c t of roots within t h e s h e a r z o n e were c o n s i d e r e d . However, s o i l r e i n f o r c e m e n t by l a t e r a l r o o t s s h o u l d a l s o b e c o n s i d e r e d . B u r r o u g h s a n d Thomas ( 1 9 7 7 ) r e p o r t e d t h a t z o n e s o f weakness d e v e l o p e d between stumps t h a t c o u l d l e a d t o t h e i n i t i a t i o n of slope f a i l u r e . CONCLUSIONS U s i n g a model o f t r e e r o o t d i s t r i b u t i o n and t h e pull-out strength of roots t o e s t i m a t e t h e e f f e c t o f r o o t s upon s l o p e s t a b i l i t y , we c o n c l u d e t h a t : (1) Root r e i n f o r c e m e n t c o u l d b e e x p e c t e d on s l o p e s where r o o t s grow i n t o j o i n t s o f bedrock o r weathered t r a n s i t i o n a l layers. DS i n a p o t e n t i a l s h e a r zone on such s l o p e s had t w i c e t h e s h e a r s t r e n g t h of s o i l without r o o t s . ( 2 ) Most r o o t s d i r e c t l y a f f e c t i n g s l o p e s t a b i l i t y a r e a b o u t 1 . 0 cm o r l e s s i n diameter. ( 3 ) A f t e r a f f o r e s t a t i o n , DS would i n c r e a s e q u i c k l y f o r a b o u t 20 y e a r s , t h e n r e m a i n nearly constant. REFERENCES Abe, K.; Iwamoto, M.; Yoshino, S.; I s h i g a k i , I . ; Tarumi, H . 1985. Treeroot distribution on a landslide s u r f a c e . T r a n . 9 6 t h . Ann. Mtg. J p n . F o r . S o c . : 639-642. Abe, K . ; Iwamoto, M . 1 9 8 6 . An e v a l u a t i o n o f t r e e - r o o t e f f e c t on s l o p e s t a b i l i t y by t r e e - r o o t s t r e n g t h . J . Jpn. F o r . Soc. 68: 505-510. Iwamoto, M . ; Sammori, T. 1 9 8 6 . Abe, K . ; S t r e n q t h o f b i n d i n q s o i l by t r e e r o o t . Jpn. For. T r a n s ; 3 8 t h . Ann. M t g . S O C . : 217-220. an to USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Abe, K . ; Iwamoto, M. 1 9 8 7 . S o i l m e c h a n i c a l r o l e of t r e e roots i n preventing landslides. Proc. 5th International Conference a n d F i e l d Workshop o n L a n d s l i d e s ; 1 9 8 7 ; C h r i s t c h u r c h , N Z ; 19. B u r r o u g h s , E . J . J r . ; Thomas, B . R . 1 9 7 7 . Declining r o o t s t r e n g t h i n Douglas-fir a f t e r f e l l i n g as a factor i n slope stability. R e s e a r c h P a p e r INT-190. Ogden, UT: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 27 p . Endo, T . ; T s u r u t a , T . 1 9 6 9 . The e f f e c t o f t h e t r e e ' s r o o t upon t h e s h e a r s t r e n g t h o f s o i l . 68 Ann. R e p . H o k k a i d o B r . , F o r . E x p e r i m e n t S t a t i o n : 167-182. Gray, D . H . ; O h a s h i , H . 1 9 8 3 . Mechanics o f J. fiber reinforcements in sand. G e o t e c h . D i v . ASCE lOE(GT3): 335-353. Ikemoto, W . ; T a k e s h i t a , K . 1987. E f f e c t o f t r e e r o o t on s l o p e s s t a b i l i t y . T r a n s . of Sabo R e s e a r c h P r e s e n t a t i o n Meeting: 262-265. 1 9 7 7 . R o o t b i o m a s s . JIBPO Karizumi, N . S y n t h e s i s ( S h i d e i , T . ; K i r a , T., e d . ) . U n i v e r s i t y o f Tokyo P r e s s , Tokyo. 1 6 : 45-52. K i t a m u r a , Y . ; Namba, S . 1 9 8 1 . The f u n c t i o n o f t r e e r o o t s upon l a n d s l i d e p r e v e n t i o n Dresumed t h r o u s h t h e u D r o o t i n a t e s t . B u l l . o f F o r . a n d F o r . ~ L o d .~ e ; . I n s t . 313: 175-208. Makabe, H. 1966. Usage of Weibull probability graph. Nippon Kikaku Kyoukai. 8 1 p . Morimoto, Y . 1 9 8 2 . Syamen Ryokka Kashima S y u p p a n k a i , Tokyo: 94-120. N a k a n e , K.; Nakagawa, K . ; T a k a h a s h i , F . 1 9 8 3 . Change i n t e n s i l e s t r e n g t h o f J a p a n e s e r e d p i n e r o o t s a f t e r d e a t h by f i r e . J . J p n . F o r . S o c . 65: 155-165. O h t a , T. 1 9 8 6 . F o r e s t e f f e c t on p r e v e n t i o n o f sediment d i s a s t e r . Report of F o r e s t Management R e s e a r c h M e e t i n g . 298: 171C L " . O ' L o u g h l i n , C . L. 1 9 7 4 . A s t u d y o f t r e e root s t r e n g t h d e t e r i o r a t i o n following clearfelling. Canadian J. of F o r . R e s e a r c h 4 (1): 107-113. O ' L o u g h l i n , C . L . ; Rowe, L . K . ; P e a r c e , A . J . 1982. E x c e p t i o n a l storm i n f l u e n c e s on s l o p e e r o s i o n a n d s e d i m e n t y i e l d s i n small forest catchments, north Westland, New Zealand. Proc. of N a t i o n a l Symposium o f F o r . H y d r o l o g y , Melbourne, A u s t r a l i a . O'Loughlin, C . L . ; Ziemer, R . R . 1982. Importance of root strength and deterioration rates upon edaphic stability of steepland forests. P r o c e e d i n g s o f IUFRO Workshop P . 1 . 0 7 - 0 0 Ecology of S u b a l p i n e Ecosystems a s a Key t o Management. 1 9 8 2 A u g u s t 2-3, C o r v a l l i s , O R . C o r v a l l i s , O R : Oregon S t a t e U n i v e r s i t y ; 70-78. S h e w b r i d g e , S . 1 9 8 5 . The i n f l u e n c e o f reinforcement properties on the s t r e n g t h and deformation c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of a reinforced sand. B e r k e l e y , CA: U n i v e r s i t y o f C a l i f o r n i a ; Dissertation 1987. E v a l u a t i o n of t h e Tsukamoto, Y . effect of tree roots on slope s t a b i l i t y . B u l l . o f t h e Experiment F o r e s t s . Tokyo U n i v . o f A g r i c . a n d T e c h n o l . N O . 2 3 : 65-124. Waldron, L . J . 1 9 7 7 . The s h e a r r e s i s t a n c e of root-permeated homogeneous and s t r a t i f i e d s o i l . S o i l Science Soc. o f America J. 4 1 : 843-849. Waldron, L . J . ; D a k e s s i a n , S . 1 9 8 1 . S o i l reinforcement by r o o t : c a l c u l a t i o n of i n c r e a s e d s o i l s h e a r r e s i s t a n c e from root p r o p e r t i e s . S o i l Science 136(6): 427-435, T. H. 1976. Investigations of l a n d s l i d e s on P r i n c e o f Wales I s l a n d , A l a s k a . G e o t e c h . Eng. Rep. 5 , Columbus, OH: D e p t . C i v . Eng., Ohio S t a t e Univ. 94 p . Z i e m e r , R . R . 1981. Roots and t h e s t a b i l i t y o f f o r e s t e d s l o p e s . I n : D a v i e s , T . R. H.; P e a r c e , A. J . , e d s . E r o s i o n and S e d i m e n t T r a n s p o r t i n P a c i f i c Rim S t e e p l a n d s ; 1981 January; C h r i s t c h u r c h , N Z . IAHS/AISH P u b l . No.132 W a l l i n g f o r d , UK: International Association of H y d r o l o g i c a l S c i e n c e s ; 343-361. Z i e m e r , R . R . ; S w a n s t o n , D . N . 1 9 7 7 . Root s t r e n g t h changes a f t e r logging i n s o u t h e a s t A l a s k a . R e s e a r c h N o t e PNW3 0 6 . P o r t l a n d , OR: U . S . D e p a r t m e n t o f Agriculture, Forest Service. 10 p . Wu, USDA Forest ServiceGen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Watershed Concerns and Recent Policy Formulations in Sri Lanka and Australia1 Rohan Ekanayake2 Abstract: Addressing the problems associated with watersheds in both c o u n t r i e s i s t h e aim o f t h i s p a p e r a s well as assessing the respective watershed p o l i c i e s . A t t e n t i o n h a s been drawn t o s p e c i f i c economic, e n v i r o n m e n t a l and s o c i o c u l t u r a l c o n s i d e r a t i o n s i n t h e r e c e n t p a s t . An i n t e r e s t i n g f e a t u r e o f t h e most r e c e n t p o l i c y developments i s t h e tendency t o follow a balanced approach t o w a t e r r e s o u r c e development i n e i t h e r s i t u a t i o n . I n A u s t r a l i a , it i s e n v i s a g e d t o f o l l o w a co-ordinated and s u s t a i n a b l e u s e a n d management o f l a n d w a t e r , a n d v e g e t a t i o n r e s o u r c e s on a water catchment b a s i s . I n S r i Lanka however, a f t e r a p r o l o n g e d l u l l i n p o l i c y approaches it i s o n l y beginning t o p r e p a r e t h e framework t o w a r d s a b e a r a b l e e. While accommodating a similar p o p u l a t i o n t o A u s t r a l i a , S r i Lanka i n i t s t i n y 270 m i l e s s t r e t c h , h a s i t s p e o p l e c l u s t e r e d on t h e m o i s t s o u t h w e s t e r n t h i r d o f t h e i s l a n d known a s t h e 'wet z o n e ' . I n A u s t r a l i a , where t h e m a i n c o n c e n t r a t i o n i s i n t h e e a s t e r n p a r t of t h e continent, t h e r e i s h e a v y r e l i a n c e on c a t c h m e n t s o f Great Dividing Range and the the a s s o c i a t e d run-off f o r a g r i c u l t u r e and h y d r o e l e c t r i c i t y . I n S r i Lanka, t h e catchments f o r n e a r l y a l l i t s major r i v e r s r e s t i n the central highlands where most o f i t s h y d r o e l e c t r i c i t y i s P r e s e n t e d a t t h e S u b j e c t Group S 1 . 0 4 T e c h n i c a l S e s s i o n on Geomorphic H a z a r d s o n Managed F o r e s t s , X I X World C o n g r e s s I n t e r n a t i o n a l Union o f F o r e s t r y R e s e a r c h Organisations, August 5-11, 1990, M o n t r e a l , Canada. R e s e a r c h Economist, Water R e s o u r c e s D i v i s i o n , Department I n d u s t r i e s and Energy, and Research School of Social Australian National University, a n d Land of Primary formerly Sciences, Canberra. USDA Forest ServiceGen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 generated and water diverted for downstream purposes. Compared t o Australia, Sri Lanka receives a r e l a t i v e l y h i g h e r r a i n f a l l mainly from t h e monsoonal r a i n s . WATERSHED MANAGEMENT S r i Lanka Irrigation structures i n the dry z o n e o f S r i Lanka h a s a h i s t o r y o f 2000 its first water years, and thus, management p r a c t i c e s c a n b e r e l a t e d t o t h a t t i m e . However, i n modern S r i Lanka, s o i l e r o s i o n a n d w a t e r s h e d p r o b l e m s were f i r s t r e c o g n i s e d and a d d r e s s e d i n t h e l e g i s l a t u r e i n t h e e a r l y 1 9 4 0 ' s . But policy formulation did not take place t i l l r e c e n t t i m e s b e f o r e a major r i v e r b a s i n d e v e l o p m e n t programme was i n i t i a t e d s u r r o u n d i n g t h e Mahaweli r i v e r . L a r g e l y , t o w a r d s t h e s u s t e n a n c e o f t h i s programme, it was inevitable some p o l i c y be introduced t o manage the natural resources surrounding i t s catchments. T h i s m a t e r i a l i z e d o n l y i n t h e l a t e 1989 when a n i n t e r i m r e p o r t o n w a t e r s h e d m a n a g e m e n t was c o n s i d e r e d b y p o l i c y makers i n S r i Lanka. The r e l e v a n t l e g i s l a t i o n were f i r s t i n t r o d u c e d i n A u s t r a l i a i n 1915, a n d i t s maiden water resource assessment programme b e g a n i n 1 9 6 3 . A u s t r a l i a ' s main w a t e r management programme i n v o l v e s t h e Murray-Darling r i v e r b a s i n t h a t s p r e a d s o v e r f o u r of i t s m a j o r s t a t e s . More r e c e n t l y , a B i l l was t a b l e d i n t h e New S o u t h W a l e s L e g i s l a t u r e t o i m p l e m e n t t o t a l c a t c h m e n t management o f t h e S t a t e ' s n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e s , namely, t h e c o - o r d i n a t e d and s u s t a i n a b l e u s e and management o f l a n d , w a t e r , a n d v e g e t a t i o n r e s o u r c e s on a c a t c h m e n t b a s i s . Such p o l i c y developments followed t h e r e c e n t F e d e r a l concerns o v e r a balanced approach t o natural resources management in Australia. CONCERNS FOCUS While d e f o r e s t a t i o n i n t h e c a t c h m e n t v e g e t a t i o n i s common i n b o t h c o u n t r i e s and excessive pressure on water resources, is t h e r e genuine concern i n S r i Lanka a n d i n A u s t r a l i a t o a m e l i o r a t e t h e s i t u a t i o n a n d a c h i e v e a b a l a n c e ? The e x t e n t of t r e e c l e a r i n g i n A u s t r a l i a i n t h e main c a t c h m e n t ( G r e a t D i v i d i n g Range) of t h e Murray-Darling Basin a l o n g t h e e a s t e r n c o a s t i s shown i n t h e map. S r i its l a s t Lanka, having c a r r i e d out p a r t i a l f o r e s t i n v e n t o r y i n 1956, f a c e s similar excessive deforestation i n the main c a t c h m e n t o f t h e Mahaweli a n d i t i s estimated t h a t i t s f o r e s t cover has d w i n d l e d f r o m 56 p e r c e n t i n 1 9 5 6 t o a mere 1 5 p e r c e n t i n t h e p r e s e n t t i m e s . In t h i s paper, an assessment of watershed p o l i c i e s of both c o u n t r i e s been c a r r i e d o u t drawing a t t e n t i o n s p e c i f i c economic, environmental sociocultural considerations in recent past. ienl ot Tree Clearing in Australia Since European Setllernent the has to and the INSTITUTIONS a n d p o l i c y Government p o l i c y i n t e r v e n t i o n i s two-pronged i n w a t e r s h e d c o n c e r n s . D i r e c t and i n d i r e c t . D i r e c t p o l i c i e s a r e o f t e n regulating measures that affect a watershed. I n d i r e c t p o l i c i e s c o n v e r g e on t h e integrated land-uses in an o v e r a l l w a t e r s h e d r e g i o n . U s u a l l y t h e s e measures do n o t f a l l w i t h i n t h e scope of a p a r t i c u l a r p o l i c y c o n s i d e r a t i o n . I t would be f a i r t o say t h a t i n e f f e c t , i n d i r e c t p o l i c y once a p p l i e d h a s i n d i r e c t e f f e c t s on t h e w a t e r s h e d . T h e s e i n d i r e c t e f f e c t s a r e t h e n moulded i n t o e x p l i c i t p o l i c y i n t h e next application. Indirect Policy I ( a t y p i c a l t h e o r e t i c a l e x p l a n a t i o n of an e f f e c t on a w a t e r s h e d ) I i n t r o d u c t i o n ......p r i c e s u b s i d y f o r a g r i c u l t u r a l production / i n t e n s i v e a n d ...... e f f e c t s from t h e e x t e n s i v e land v e s e t a t i o n cover reduction use / i n c r e a s e d s o i l ......i n c r e a s e d s e d i m e n t a t i o n erosion - I n b o t h s i t u a t i o n s , environmental f l o w management a n d f l o o d m i t i g a t i o n remain u n r e s o l v e d p o l i c y i s s u e s mainly because o f l a c k of i n f o r m a t i o n and t h e a s s o c i a t e d s o c i a l and economic f a c t o r s . I t i s i n t h e same i n t e r e s t t h a t it h a s become a p p a r e n t t h o s e i s s u e s b e a d d r e s s e d i n a c o h e r e n t p o l i c y frame f o r b r o a d i n t e r - t e m p o r a l r e a s o n s . The s u s t a i n a b l e f r a m e s t i l l r e m a i n s t h e same- t h e T r i n i t y o f S o i l , T r e e s a n d Water ( d i a g r a m 1). Trees and Soil Conservolion A .led,.,,b / r e s e r v o i r ...... power c u t s , o i l i m p o r t s water l e v e l s t o fuel extra turbines I diminishing o v e r a l l...economic, r e s o u r c e and environmental e f f e c t s on s o c i e t y The p o l i t i c a l economy w i t h i n which p o l i c i e s a r e formed, r e s h a p e d a n d a p p l i e d is a r t i c u l a t e d uniquely according t o t h e s p e c i f i c s p a t i a l c o n d i t i o n i n S r i Lanka and A u s t r a l i a . I n S r i Lanka, i t i s more c e n t r a l l y c o n t r o l l e d and r e g i o n a l l y a p p l i e d . I n A u s t r a l i a however, i t i s more r e g i o n a l l y c o n t r o l l e d and r e g i o n a l l y a p p l i e d . For instance, the role of the Central Government i n i n s t i t u t i o n a l m a t t e r s i n S r i Lanka i s a u t h o r i t a t i v e i n n a t u r e , w h e r e a s i n Australia t h e r o l e of t h e Federal Government i n w a t e r a f f a i r s i s more oriented towards a pro-active participation. USDA Forest SelviceGen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 I n managed a n d unmanaged w a t e r a n d watershed a f f a i r s , S r i Lanka's c e n t r a l l y is dominated and directed policy e s s e n t i a l l y a l i n e f u n c t i o n a l system ( n o t n e c e s s a r i l y though t h e y a r e e f f i c i e n t ) . In Australia, several regional (States) governments have different policy approaches, i n s t i t u t i o n a l s t r u c t u r e s i n p l a c e , and l e g a l frameworks i n w a t e r s h e d s e t t i n g s ( n o t n e c e s s a r i l y though t h e y a r e inefficient) . Consider the two-nation's main w a t e r s h e d r e g i o n s . The f o c u s i s on t h e more n a t u r a l l y i m p o r t a n t a s w e l l a s s o c i a l l y desired productive regions ( i . e . Basins) . These Basins serve as their r e s p e c t i v e economic a n d e c o l o g i c a l n e r v e s where most s o c i a l t r a n s f o r m a t i o n s o c c u r , v a l u a b l e c u r r e n c y e x c h a n g e e a r n e d , more importantly food produced, t h e people p r o d u c t i v e l y employed and s c a r c e and b e a r a b l e w a t e r managed. The r e c e n t phenomenon i s n o t s o much an o p t i m i s t i c and problem s o l v i n g water f r o n t t o both countries, but c o n s i s t of overwhelming problem s o l v i n g h o r i z o n s . It is i n f a c t inheritance in both s i t u a t i o n s . The g r e a t e s t t a s k s t h a t b o t h c o u n t r i e s have a s p i r e d a r e t h e c h a l l e n g e s faced with the a c c e n t u a t e d e n v i r o n m e n t a l c o n s e q u e n c e s from t h e c o n t i n u e d r e s o u r c e d e g r a d a t i o n . c r o s s roads a r e t h e f a v o u r i t e concepts f o r p o l i c y manipulation i n flood mitigation, energy sustenance, water q u a l i t y maintenance, t o t a l approach t o b a l a n c e d r e s o u r c e u s e and of c o u r s e sustainability. At D e s p i t e t h e optimism, t h i s b r i n g s u s t o a t h i r d s e t of p o l i c y a p p l i c a t i o n . N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s Management S t r a t e g y (NRMS) f o r o v e r a l l r e s o u r c e p l a n n i n g a n d management f o r a B a s i n w i d e s y s t e m . The i n i t i a t i v e s a r e (following t h e maps); S r i Lanka- Mahaweli A c c e l e r a t e d Program A u s t r a l i a - Murray-Darling B a s i n N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s Management S t r a t e g y a n d Program. S o i l conservation A c t follows a f t e r p r i v a t e member B i l l i n t h e L e g i s l a t u r e i n 1940. u A considerable through t o 1960's. lull in Absence of i n t e g r a t e d watershed a n a l y s i s . Lack o f i n d e p t h catchment hydrology. the Basin s t u d y on D e f f i c i e n c y i n r e s o u r c e s and h i g h l e v e l of resource degradation with p l a n t a t i o n a g r i c u l t u r e and p r i v a t e f e l l i n g i n t h e main c a t c h m e n t . A l l Basins: R i v e r s 103, t o t a l catchment a r e a 5 9 , 2 1 7 s q km a n d number o f s t r e a m g a u g i n g s t a t i o n s ( R i v e r Gauging S t a t i o n s ) ; 6 8 . The Mahaweli B a s i n c a t c h m e n t 1 0 , 4 4 3 s q km a n d 1 8 RGS, number o f r u n - o f f s t a t i o n s : on a d a i l y b a s i s - n i l , monthly7. R e c e n t on w a t e r s h e d d e v e l o p m e n t s : of catchments Land Development O r d i n a n c e 1 9 3 5 . USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 wide detailed S r i Lanka: Optimum c o n s e r v a t i o n i s i n pursuance. 1950's F i r s t I n t e r i m R e p o r t on Land 1 9 8 5 . Second I n t e r i m R e p o r t on Land 1989 1 Basin developments: The Murray-Darling Basin \ In the Mahaweli Accelerated Program total run-off in the project at lowest points of diversion is 10,000 cu m or 25 percent of the total run-off. A Forestry Master Plan (1986) to circumvent the acute deforestation has been introduced 1/7th of Australia's surface catchment falls within the purview of Murray-Darling Basin. 20 major Dividing Range. rivers off the Great 40,000 years history of the Basin associated Aboriginal Culture. The length of the River is 3780 km 30 to 40 percent of Australia's total natural resource based production occurs in the Basin. Australia: 7000 wetlands within the Murray waters. First Legislation in 1915 on MurrayDarling Basin Agreement between New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia.and River Murray Waters Amendment Act 1987. Murray yields 12,000 gigalitres and the Darling carries 12 percent of the runoff over 50 percent of the Basin area. Catchment management management follows. CONSTRAINTS and water Federal level New directions of Water Management 1987 and Instream Uses of Water. Recently, NSW State Legislation on Total Catchment Management, 1989 (see community participation as per media publicity) . Basin wide: 135 RGS and 10 within the MurrayDarling Basin. River Murray Waters Act 1987. Conflicts in the institutional arrangements create external diseconomies and in turn have created duplication and overlapping of institutions in both situations. These impediments have caused disincentives to achieve efficiency and there is a large resource value depletion in both watersheds. This is largely reflected in undercharging for water and lack of appreciation of the resource has been aggravated by the absence of a rent which is the key to secure the resource for intergenerational purposes. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 The way t h e p o l i t i c s interpret p r i o r i t i e s , i g n o r a n c e , postponement o f a c t i o n s and u n d i s c l o s e d d e f i n e d regimes particularly in the sustainability issues have caused t h e g r e a t e s t i n e q u i t y i n watershed concerns i n t h e s e s i t u a t i o n s . In Australia, inter-governmental quangos s u c h a s t h e R i v e r Murray Agreement p r e s e n t bona f i d e commitment by t h e S t a t e s t o co-ordinated, comprehensive r e g i o n a l approach t o i n t e r s t a t e water and r e s o u r c e issues. is l e g a l opinion t h a t a There r a t i o n a l scheme f o r b a l a n c i n g c o n f l i c t i n g i n t e r e s t s w i t h i n t h e Murray-Darling Basin and f o r a d m i n i s t e r i n g t h e system i s u n l i k e l y t o s p r i n g up, a l o n e a n d u n a i d e d , a s a v o l u n t a r y p r o d u c t of S t a t e c o n s e n t . I n S r i Lanka, t h e i n f a n t s t a g e o f i t s handling of n a t u r a l resources and i n i t i a t i v e s , and t h e slow p r o g r e s s and c a u t i o u s a p p r o a c h v i n d i c a t e t h e whole o b j e c t i v e o f w a t e r s h e d p r o t e c t i o n f o r good e c o n o m i c a n d e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e a s o n s . The e x p e c t a t i o n t h a t f o r e i g n h e l p would a l w a y s b e f o r t h c o m i n g t o s a l v a g e t h i n g s t h a t have g o n e wrong f o r d e c a d e s d u e t o p o l i t i c a l mishandling of important i s s u e s i s i n i t s e l f a summation o f t h e i d e o l o g y b e h i n d t h e scene. I n A u s t r a l i a , a major problem t h a t the Murray-Darling Basin watershed p l a n n i n g c o n f r o n t s i s t h e v o l u n t a r y nonp a r t i c i p a t i o n of t h e Queensland s t a t e i n t h e S t r a t e g y t o manage t o t a l w a t e r , vegetation and environmental flows. In t e r m s o f key t r i b u t a r i e s , t h e S t a t e ' s p a r t of t h e catchment i s c r i t i c a l t o a c h i e v e a b e a r a b l e l e v e l of water flows i n t h e d o w n s t r e a m . They a r e a l s o t h e u n d e r l y i n g c a u s e s f o r most o f t h e f l o o d i n g i n t h e a d j o i n i n g S t a t e o f NSW (during the preparation of t h i s manuscript t h e i r has been a positive development t o conglomerate Queensland t o t h e River Murray W a t e r s A g r e e m e n t ) . and s u s t a i n e d p r o d u c t i v e r e s o u r c e f o r t h e respective regions. Intergenerational issue is another i m p o r t a n t p o l i c y d e b a t e t h a t looms g i v i n g p e r t i n e n t a t t e n t i o n t o i n t e r temporal e q u i t y v a l u e of t o t a l r e s o u r c e s i n a watershed. A t t h i s point i n t i m e t h e best c o u l d b e a c h i e v e d i s t o l e a r n from t h e past mistakes and accommodate comprehensive s e t s of o b j e c t i v e s n o t o n l y t o circumvent p r e v i o u s impediments b u t t o guard against reoccurrence of degradations a n d d e n u d a t i o n s . Because s i n g l e i s s u e o r i e n t e d s o l u t i o n s i n a watershed region d o e s n o t c a r r y t h a t much o f w e i g h t i n p o l i c y j u s t i f i c a t i o n anymore. However, t h e d e t e r m i n i n g f o r c e i s n o t t h e way t h a t p o l i c y i s f o r w a r d e d i n a package, but the trade-offs desired p o l i t i c a l l y and implemented c o n c e r n i n g whether e q u i t y o r e f f i c i e n c y i s t h e c r i t e r i o n o f t h e d a y . I t i s paramount because n e i t h e r w i l l be achieved i f both c r i t e r i a a r e pursued. A conceptual model of watershed policy I Level of p o l i c y s u b s t i t u t i o n = l e v e l of program/NRMS p o l i c y I Take NRMS f o r i n s t a n c e a s a f u n c t i o n o f T o t a l Catchment I Management [NRMS f (TCM) I I TCM f ( s o i l , vegetation, watershed) I Therefore, t h e s i g n i f i c a n c e f o r water policy CONCLUSION I N a t u r a l r e s o u r c e management i s t a k e n up by a b r o a d l y modelled t o t a l catchment c o n c e p t which h a s i m p o r t a n t p a r a m e t e r s a n d i m p l i c a t i o n s . However, it i s a b r a n d new p h e n o m e n a . Only t i m e c a n d e t e r m i n e t h e significance of t h e strategy a s well a s the accelerated initiatives. T o t a l c a t c h m e n t management h a s s c o p e f o r flood mitigation, s o i l conservation and sedimentation problems i n e i t h e r s i t u a t i o n . The c o n c e p t i s i n harmony w i t h an o v e r a l l supply of vegetation resources USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 a s t h e i n s t i t u t i o n f o r watershed concerns note: NRMS= N a t u r a l R e s o u r c e s Management S t r a t e g y TCM= T o t a l Catchment Management REFERENCES COMMUNITY REPRESENTATIVES CATCHMENT MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE for the Lower Murray-Darling Region Australia Murray-Darling Basin by MurrayDarling Basin Ministerial Council. 1990. Natural Resources Management Strategy Towards a Sustainable Future; ii. CATCHMENT MANAGEMENT ACT, 1989 Clark, S.D.; 1983. Intergovernmental Quangos: The River Murray Commission. Australian Journal of Public Administration XLII (1): 155171. The N S W Government is erlablirhing Calchment Managcmenl Cammillecr, under the Catchment Management A c l 1989. to implement Tola1 Catchmen! Manrgcmenl ( T C M ) objcctiver. T C M k a community-based approach 10 natural resource management. I1 is the co-ordinated and ~ustainableurc and management of land. water, veaclalion. fauna and other natural resources. Its aim is in balvncc r&ouicc use and canrcivation To allow various and d i k i n g Wcslern N S W land use management lssucs to be adequately and effectively addressed i t is proposed to divide the Wcstcrn R c ~ i o ninto two reeionr: Commonwealth of Australia; 19897. River Murrav Waters Amendment Act. No. 154 of 1987. Australia; Commonwealth Government Printer. The boundary between these regions follows the Sydney-Broken Hill Railway line until Menindee Lakes. The Menindee Lake System. Broken Hill and the enlirc Lake Viclaria catchment lies within the Lower M u r r a y - D a r l i n ~Region. Thc eartcrn boundary of ihc Lowcr Murray-Darling region iollows ihc catchmen1 boundary wilh the Lachlan and Murrumbidgce, being the boundary t o the Lachlan and Muriumbidgee T C M regions. The southern and western boundaries follow the Murray RivcrjVictorian border and South Australian border rerncclivelv. Pcrsun, who ace landhuldcir, laodu&% or who ham an intercst i n environmenval m a l i e n in the Lawer Murray-Darling are invited to apply l o be represenlalives o i i h c region on the T C M Cornmillee. Members o i lhe exisling W W e r n Calchment Management Cammiltcc will becamo members o i (he Cammiltee within which they reside and do not nced to reapply. Applicanu rhould Dossesr the followine oualities: coirm t m w : io su.!din~b e dc.cl~pmcn1. k n s ~ l c a g c .lntererl ~r ckpcrien:e n nalur2l rcrodrce m m l g e m m l . 3 b d 1) 10 rcprejcn! commun t y ,cur. moucdgc o i mt.ri rcromcc I r r x r .n the catcnmcm and hou thcsc tisuer 3ifc:t 1 k pc.ap.c. r n d r x r 8 ::lpml.r, 75 P I I ~ ~ ~ C W L U 1b.ni n~ ~ n thc d %bll.t, l o uork wc.. Day, Diana G.; 1988. River Mismanagement: Policy, Practice or Nature?; Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies Working Paper 1988/1; Australian National University; 142. Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka; 1985. First Interim Report of the Land Commission; Sessional Paper No.1- 1986. Department of Government Printing Sri Lanka. -. .... Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka; 1989. Second Interim Report of the Land Commission- 1985. Department of Government Printing Sri Lanka. F--r.-. Further iniormation is available from M r . Brenda" Diacono, T C M Comdinatoi: (Ohill RR 0 2 5 5 ~ ..,.. Wrillcn applications providing details in terms o f the above ualitics should bc with M r . Diacono (c/- N S W Soil Conservation %,,vice. 32 Sulphidc Slrccl, Brakcn H i l l 2880) by 11 August. 1990. ~ Department of Primary Industries and Energy; 1988. Instream Use of Australia's Water Resources; Australian Water Resources Council Water Management Series No.11. Australian Government Printing Press; 1-13. 1. Western 2. Lower Murray-Darling THE NEW SOUTH WALES GOVERNMENT q Putting people first by managing better Bo de Silva, Chandrananda R.K. 1982. Sri Lanka Country Paper. In: Water and Soil Miscellaneous Publication No. 45; Catchment management for optimum use of land and water resources: Documents from an ESCAP seminar; 1982 Wellington; 191-202. Extent of Tree Clearing in Australia Since European Settlement by Ive and Cock. 1989. Rural Land Degradation in Australia: The Australian Conservation Farmer; 1 (3) . ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I thank my friend S. Gunatunqa, Sri Lanka; for sending research material. This paper was supported by the Scientist Assistance Program of Canada. 26 Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council; 1990. Natural Resources Management Strategy Murray-Darling Basin: Towards a Sustainable Future; August, 1990. USDA Forest ServiceGen.Tech. Rep.PSW-GTR-130.1991 Murray-Darling Basin Ministerial Council; 1987. Murray-Darling Basin Environmental Resources Study; july 1987; State Pollution Control Commission, Sydney. 27-113; 251-281. NEDECO; 1979. Mahaweli Ganga Development Program Implementation Strategy; Netherlands Engineering Consultants; The Hague September 1979; Volume 1 Main Report; 17-21. New South Wales Government. Community Representatives Catchment Management Committee. The LAND. 1990 July 26. 2 (col.1) . New South Wales. New South Wales (NSW) State Parliament; 1989. Catchment Management Bill. First Print. Soil Conservation Service of New South wales; 1990. Total Catchment Management: A State Policy Including State Soils Policy, State Trees Policy. USDA Forest SewiceGen. Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Sri Lanka Mahaweli Basin and Accelerated Program b.y IIM1.1986.; 19. Sri Lanka Mahaweli Basin and Mahaweli River Catchment appeared in a paper presented by Rohan Ekanayake; Economics of Multiple Use of Production Forests in Sri Lanka. 1986. 30th Annual Conference of the Australian Agricultural Economics Society; February 3-5, 1986; 20. The Global Water Runoff Data Project. 1989. World Climatic Programme Research, Workshop on the Global Runoff Data Set and Grid Estimation, WCRP - 22 and WMO/TD - No. 302, 1988 November 10-15; Klobenz, FRG; 6-12. Trinity of Soil, Trees and Water based on a diagram in a publication of the NSW Soil Conservation Service. Surrounding the Consequences of Watershed Disasters in the Periphery of the Indian Triangle1 Rohan Ekanayake2 A b s t r a c t : The w a t e r s h e d o f t h e ' I n d i a n T r i a n g l e ' i s f o r m e d b y t h e f l o w o f two mighty r i v e r s which emanate from t h e H i m a l a y a . The G a n g e s a n d B r a h m a p u t r a embrace t h e l a n d s and t h e p e o p l e s o f Nepal*, I n d i a * and Bangladesh* b e f o r e e m p t y i n g i n t o t h e Bay o f B e n g a l . A r e c e n t monsoon submerged two t h i r d s o f t h e lowl y i n g B a n g l a d e s h r e n d e r i n g 25 m i l l i o n p e o p l e h o m e l e s s . Can t h e f u t u r e o f t h e s e p e o p l e b e s e c u r e d by l o w e r i n g t h e w a t e r l e v e l s downstream? A r e t h e r e a l t e r n a t i v e s t r u c t u r a l p r o p o s i t i o n s and a r e t h e y economically and p o l i t i c a l l y f e a s i b l e ? What e f f e c t w i l l t h e e x c e s s i v e r e m o v a l o f n a t u r a l b a r r i e r s t o r a i n i n t h e upper c a t c h m e n t s h a v e on p o l i c y ? A major i s s u e addressed i n t h i s paper is t h e s u s t a i n a b l e development and e c o l o g i c a l s t a b i l i t y i n t h e s e watershed r e g i o n s . A m a j o r i t y o f t h e e n v i r o n m e n t a l problems i n t h e r e g i o n ' s watersheds i n t h e p a s t have o c c u r r e d m a i n l y d u e t o u n d e s i r a b l e human i n t e r f e r e n c e i n regional environmental flows and v e g e t a t i o n r e s o u r c e s . P l a u s i b l e solutions t o on-going and future e n v i r o n m e n t a l c r i s i s w i l l l a r g e l y depend o n how b r o a d t h e r e g i o n a l c o n s e n s u s i s surrounding t h e c o n f l i c t i n g water .resource i s s u e s . D e p e n d i n g o n how t h e d o m i n a n t r u r a l s o c i a l base a d j u s t t o important dynamics of t h e problem, t h e paper concludes t h a t s u s t a i n a b i l i t y w i l l be an issue vulnerable t o political interDretation. P r e s e n t e d a t t h e S u b j e c t Group 5 1 . 0 4 T e c h n i c a l S e s s i o n on Geomorphic H a z a r d s on XIX World C o n g r e s s Managed F o r e s t s , I n t e r n a t i o n a l Union o f F o r e s t r y R e s e a r c h Organisations, August 5-11, 1990, M o n t r e a l , Canada. R e s e a r c h E c o n o m i s t w o r k i n g i n t h e Water B r a n c h o f t h e Land R e s o u r c e s D i v i s i o n i n t h e Department of Primary I n d u s t r i e s and Energy a n d f o r m e r l y Research School o f Social Sciences, Australian National University, Canberra. L i k e most w a t e r s h e d r e g i o n s i n t h e world, t h e watershed r e g i o n o f t h e ' I n d i a n t r i a n g l e ' i s on i t s h i s t o r y ' s r a p i d g r o w t h t r a c k . A s u d d e n p r o g r e s s o f e v e n t s on s e v e r a l i n t e r r e l a t e d f r o n t s - t h e economic, t h e e c o l o g i c a l and t h e p o l i t i c a l has combined t o s p u r s i g n i f i c a n t c h a n g e s b o t h i n t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p s between p e o p l e s , policy-makers and governments and i n t h e way these forces interact in the management-use and conservation-of the w a t e r and v e g e t a t i o n r e s o u r c e s a s a whole. THE PEOPLE The s i g n i f i c a n c e ( p e r c e n t ) o f r u r a l population t o t h e r e l e v a n t South Asian n a t i o n s i s shown from t h e U n i t e d N a t i o n s Population Studies (1989). Year Nation 1955 1965 1975 1985 India 82.4 81.2 78.5 74.5 B'desh 95.3 93.8 90.9 88.1 Nepal 97.3 96.5 95.2 92.3 The c o m p o s i t i o n o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n i n t h e t r i a n g l e i s n o t d i f f e r e n t from t h e r e s p e c t i v e n a t i o n a l a g g r e g a t e s a n d t h u s it is based s i g n i f i c a n t l y i n t h e r u r a l a r e a s . A g r i c u l t u r e i s predominant and a l a r g e d e p e n d e n c e on n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e s i s common i n t h e r e g i o n . The i m p o r t a n c e o f w a t e r r e s o u r c e t o t h e people i n t h e watershed i s immense f o r t h e i r l i v e l i h o o d a n d s o d o e s t h e f o r e s t r y r e s o u r c e (Ekanayake 1 9 9 0 ) . THE PROBLEM It i s a r e g u l a r f e a t u r e i n Bangladesh l i f e t o experience floods every year and it i s not s u r p r i s i n g t o expect flooding w i t h a l m o s t e v e r y monsoon f o l l o w e d u p by a d r o u g h t . A r e c e n t monsoon s u b m e r g e d two thirds of the low-lying areas of B a n g l a d e s h r e n d e r i n g 25 m i l l i o n p e o p l e homeless. D e s t r u c t i o n s t o crops and e c o n o m i c l o s s e s a r e i n s u r m o u n t a b l e . The S e p t e m b e r 1988 f l o o d s i n u n d a t e d 2 m i l l i c n h a o f f a r m l a n d (FEER 1 9 8 9 ) . USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Like t h e r i v e r dispute involving t h e E u p h r a t e s - T i g r i s a n d S h a t t a 1 Arab i n t h e Mediterranean, t h e long-running d i s p u t e between I n d i a , B a n g l a d e s h and Nepal on t h e c o n t r o l of waterways of Ganges a n d Brahmaputra h a s l e d t o a sequence o f u n c o n t r o l l e d f l o o d s and droughts i n t h e region of t h e t r i a n g l e . O c c u r r e n c e of heavy f l o o d s 3 i n t h e t r i a n g l e i n t h e p a s t have been; Decade 1950 1960 1970 1980 AS s am - 2 2 4 3 3 3 4 (India) Bangladesh It is claimed that increasing p o p u l a t i o n h a v e a d d e d i m p e t u s on t h e w a t e r s h e d d i s a s t e r s b y way o f e x t r a d i m e n s i o n s of human a n d economlc c o s t s . p o p u l a t i o n . But l a r g e p a r t s of c u l t i v a t e d l a n d u s u a l l y e x p e r i e n c e t h e problem of i n s u f f i c i e n t r a i n f a l l f o r crop growth e i t h e r i n terms of p r e c i p i t a t i o n o r i t s d i s t r i b u t i o n t o match w i t h c r o p w a t e r requirements. N a t i o n a l Commission on Agriculture estimates India's u t i l i s a t i o n o f a n n u a l p r e c i p i t a t i o n would improve i n t h e e a r l y p a r t of t h e n e x t c e n t u r y from i t s c u r r e n t l e v e l of 2 5 p e r c e n t . 14.4 Bangladesh has an a r e a of m i l l i o n ha l y i n g i n t h e d e l t a of t h e r e g i o n ' s t h r e e g r e a t r i v e r s ; t h e Ganges, t h e B r a h m a p u t r a a n d t h e Meghna o f which 9.1 million ha (64 percent) are c u l t i v a t e d . A b o u t 80 p e r c e n t o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n a r e engaged i n a g r i c u l t u r e (Map i n d i c a t i n g Bangladesh and surrounding c o u n t r i e s with p r i n c i p a l r i v e r s ) . population4 ( t o t h e c l o s e s t million) 1955 1967 1977 1987 I n c r e a s e '77-'87 (pet) India 386 504 B'desh Nepal 9 11 626 781 25 83 103 24 13 18 38 Consumer P r i c e s Index ( C P I ) 1980=100 Averaga 1964 1972 1980 1987 India 31.5 51.8 100.0 184.4 Bangladesh 12.6 24.9 100.0 212.7 Nepal 33.0 51.3 100.0 204.3 The e x t r a b u r d e n o f CPI i n c r e a s e on t h e economy a s a r e s u l t o f p o p u l a t i o n i n c r e a s e f o r t h e n a t i o n s i s e v i d e n t from t h e a b o v e d a t a a s w e l l a s t h e r u r a l dimension of t h e problem. Agriculture accounts f o r nearly half o f t h e n a t i o n a l income o f I n d i a a n d i t s u p p o r t s a b o u t 70 p e r c e n t of t h e c o u n t r y ' s I n f o r m a t i o n on f l o o d o c c u r r e n c e i n t h e r e g i o n i s from C e n t r e f o r S c i e n c e and Environment of I n d i a . P o p u l a t i o n a n d economic i n d i c a t o r s a r e from I n t e r n a t i o n a l F i n a n c i a l S t a t i s t i c s (1988). USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 The mean annual rainfall in B a n g l a d e s h v a r i e s from a b o u t 1 , 3 0 0 mm i n t h e w e s t e r n p a r t t o a l m o s t 5,000 mm i n t h e northeast of the country and is characterised by wide seasonal f l u c t u a t i o n s w i t h a b o u t 90 p e r c e n t of t h e r a i n f a l l o c c u r r i n g i n t h e f i v e month p e r i o d of t h e monsoon (May t o S e p t e m b e r ) . I n s p i t e o f a n o v e r a l l abundance of r a i n f a l l , s e r i o u s d r o u g h t s do o c c u r . N e p a l h a s a n a r e a o f 1 4 1 , 0 0 0 s q km l i e s p a r a l l e l t o t h e main Himalaya r a n g e o f m o u n t a i n s . About two t h i r d s o f l a n d a r e a i s t a k e n up by h i g h m o u n t a i n s and t h e l o w e r s l o p e s , t h e r e m a i n i n g one t h i r d , a narrow s t r i p t o t h e s o u t h c a l l e d t h e T e r a i , i s t h e b o r d e r - l i n e of t h e IndoG a n g e t i c p l a i n s . About 10 p e r c e n t o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n l i v e s i n t h e Himalaya r e g i o n , 50 p e r c e n t i n t h e h i l l s o f t h e l o w e r s l o p e s and t h e remainder i n t h e T e r a i . THEORY AND EMPIRICS The t r i a n g l e r e g i o n l i k e many r e g i o n s i n d e v e l o p i n g e c o n o m i e s r e l y h e a v i l y on w a t e r r e s o u r c e development t o f o s t e r economic g r o w t h . The n a t i o n s i n t h e r e g i o n a l s o have t h e p o t e n t i a l t o develop hydro power t o e a s e b u r d e n o f h i g h i m p o r t b i l l s on f u e l . I n a d d i t i o n , f l o o d m i t i g a t i o n i s c r u c i a l f o r enhancing t h e p r o d u c t i v i t y of low-lying l a n d s . Even w i t h modern mechanisms o f w a t e r r e s o u r c e management, it h a s n o t been a b l e t o c o n t r o l f l o o d s i n t h e low l y i n g a r e a s o f t h e t r i a n g l e . None o f t h e c o u n t r i e s i n t h e r e g i o n have r e a l i s e d even h a l f of t h e i r h y d r o power p o t e n t i a l . So f a r , t h e e f f o r t s t o s e c u r e w i d e r e c o n o m i c b e n e f i t s f o r t h e r e g i o n by p r o v i d i n g f o r d r o u g h t s i n Ganges d e l t a have f a i l e d . S i m i l a r l y , f i n d i n g a s o l u t i o n t o a n n u a l f l o o d i n g h a s been an e q u a l l y i n t r a c t a b l e impasse. While r e s e r v o i r s i n Nepal would r e l i e v e f l o o d i n g i n t h e Ganges, most o f i n u n d a t i o n i s c a u s e d by t h e BrahmaputraMeghna w a t e r w a y , which c a r r i e s t w i c e t h e G a n g e s ' s volume o f w a t e r (Asiaweek M a p ) . I n d i a n s t r o n g view i s t h a t t h e p r o p o s e d Ganges-Brahmaputra link c a n a l would greatly contain flooding i n the delta. T h i s i s c o n t r a s t e d b y B a n g l a d e s h on t h e l a c k of a p p r e c i a b l e e f f e c t of lowering w a t e r l e v e l s downstream. To s u s t a i n p r o d u c t i o n , w a t e r a n d l a n d u s e p o l i c i e s must b e i n t e g r a t e d . T h i s i s theory. In p r a c t i c e , t h e countries i n t h e r e g i o n l a c k o v e r a l l water r e s o u r c e and vegetation management strategies. Deforestation i n t h e catchments and e x c e s s i v e removal o f n a t u r a l b a r r i e r s t o r a i n i n t h e r e g i o n ' s h i g h l a n d s have f u r t h e r disturbed t h e ecological balance. it is shown by In summary, environmental science t h a t d e f o r e s t a t i o n i n highlands reduces t h e absorptive c a p a c i t y o f i t s w a t e r s h e d s . When t h i s i s r e l a t e d t o t h e c u r r e n t t o p i c , monsoonal r a i n s run i n h i b i t e d o f f t h e denuded slopes, causing erosion i n t h e f e r t i l e s o i l . The s e d i m e n t a t i o n i n d o w n s t r e a m s c a u s e s f l o o d s . The t a r n i s h e d g r o u n d w a t e r retention levels calibrate droughts f u r t h e r i n g t h e imbalance i n a g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c t i o n ( s e e I v e s and M e s s e r l i 1989. 'The Himalayan dilemma: reconciling development and c o n s e r v a t i o n ' for a H i m a 1a y a n contrasting but subtle E n v i r o n m e n t a l D e g r a d a t i o n Theory) . POLICY Water h a s become a d i p l o m a t i c i s s u e i n t h e r e g i o n . B a n g l a d e s h b e i n g a lowlying s t a t e is a t a disadvantage i n n e g o t i a t i o n s r e c e i v i n g n e a r l y 90 p e r c e n t o f w a t e r from a c r o s s t h e b o r d e r . Nepal h a s a n enormous c a p a c i t y t o d e v e l o p i t s h y d r o energy having harnessed only 0.5 percent of i t s p o t e n t i a l s o f a r . Being a upstream s t a t e is t o i t s advantage i n water negotiations. India, according t o Far E a s t e r n Economic Review, b y w i t h h o l d i n g hydrological and climatological information can e f f e c t i v e l y i n f l u e n c e s t r u c t u r a l undertakings i n t h e t r i a n g l e r e g i o n . Some o f t h e most e l e m e n t a r y d a t a on h y d r o l o g y a n d power g e n e r a t i n g c a p a c i t y o f North I n d i a remain c l a s s i f i e d a s military secrets (ibid) . C o n s t r u c t i n s s t o r a s e dams i n t h e Indian t e r r i t o r y - w i t h exclusive benefits t o B a n g l a d e s h ' s downstream i s n o t f a v o u r e d by t h e cost bearing side. However, considering t h e northern Indian s i t u a t i o n , where t h e w o r l d ' s h i g h e s t m o u n t a i n s meet some o f t h e w o r l d ' s f l a t t e s t p l a i n s a n d t h e r a i n f a l l i s c o n c e n t r a t e d i n 90 s h o r t d a y s , it a p p e a r s t h a t t h e u n r i v a l l e d t r u s t f o r w a t e r r e s o u r c e management i s c o n t a i n e d i n upland s t o r a g e . ~ ~ USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Some a r g u e s u c h p o l i c y a s p u r e l y issue centred and brand them as ' m a k e s h i f t s ' . The c o n f l i c t b e t w e e n e n e r g y a n d i r r i g a t i o n p r i o r i t i e s becomes m o s t a c u t e d u r i n g t h e d r y s e a s o n when t h e r e i s more demand f o r w a t e r a t f a r m - l e v e l w h i l e t u r b i n e s need t o maintain s p i l l l e v e l s f o r e n e r g y g e n e r a t i o n . . T h e q u e s t i o n i s , who c a n s u g g e s t e q u i t y by d i s p l a c i n g h i g h l a n d p e o p l e i n c a t e r i n g t o e n e r g y needs of t h e city-dwellers? w i l l in Lack of political implementing far-reaching forestry o r i e n t e d f l o o d c o n t r o l measures i n t h e t r i a n g l e r e g i o n have been t h e c a s u a l t y of opting t o more locally beneficial a c t i v i t y . Ignoring t h e best possible patht h e l e s s p a i n f u l n a t u r a l ways, a n d w i t h o u t any glimpse a t s e i s m i c b r e a c h i n g and e x c e s s i v e m e l t i n g o f snow, t h e more l o c a l i s e d s u g g e s t i o n s are c a r v e d i n s m a l l t o medium s c a l e i n t e r v e n t i o n t o p r e v e n t s a t u r a t i o n of water-flows. v A c c o r d i n g t o Myres ( 1 9 8 9 ) , i n t h e cause of sustainable development e n v i r o n m e n t a l r e s o u r c e b a s e makes a c r i t i c a l contribution a s the ultimate support of much economic a c t i v i t y . E x p a n d i n g on t h a t , o t h e r s h a v e a d d e d t h a t sustainability concept has major implications for intergenerational r e s p o n s i b i l i t y . T h i s means, i n s t i t u t i o n a l arrangements should t a k e i n t o account of socially unjustified environmental degradation associated with intragenerational activity. Economic j u s t i f i c a t i o n o f s u s t a i n e d w a t e r p r o v i s i o n t o a n y s i t u a t i o n must t a k e i n t o account of c l i m a t i c v a r i a b i l i t y . T h i s has important implications f o r both dry land water preservation a s well a s m o n s o o n a l - f l u s h s i t u a t i o n s . The e v i d e n c e from t e m p e r a t e r e g i o n a l w a t e r management i n i t i a t i v e s a s w e l l a s sub-temperate and monsoon r e g i o n s a r e i m p o r t a n t i n t h i s respect. A s mentioned i n F r e d e r i c k and Gleick 1988, it is crucial to identify shortcomings i n t h e c a p a c i t y of t h e w a t e r r e s o u r c e r e g i o n t o a d a p t t o l a r g e changes i n water-flows i n t h e a b s e n c e o f new i n f r a s t r u c t u r e o r i n s t i t u t i o n a l changes o r t e c h n o l o g i c a l developments. USDAForest Service Gen.Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 This i n v e s t i g a t i v e approach with l i t t l e economic o r s o c i a l s t r a i n w i l l b e proven u s e f u l t o t h e r e g i o n given f u t u r e changes i n water-flow p a t t e r n s . THE OUTCOME Given t h e e q u i t y q u e s t i o n s and s e n s i t i v e d e c i s i o n making h o r i z o n s i n t h e r e g i o n ' s p o l i t y , t h e r e i s no g u a r a n t e e t o suggest t h a t s u s t a i n a b l e guide-lines w i l l be e a s i l y c o n s t i t u t e d here. In t h e v a s t majority of t h e s e s o c i e t i e s , subsistence i s t h e main f o r c e t h a t d r i v e s l i v i n g beings f u r t h e r . Likewise, the policy makers are overwhelmed by domestic p r i o r i t i e s and a r e u n a b l e t o s u g g e s t any b e t t e r s u s t e n a n c e . F o r example, even u n d e r a r e a s o n a b l e e d u c a t i o n system, a m a j o r i t y o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n would b e u n i n t e r e s t e d i n e n v i r o n m e n t a l problems a s economics b i t e h a r d . S r i Lanka, with i t s very high educational attainment l e v e l s , i s unable t o respond t o any environmental c r i s i s and t h i s is widely e v i d e n t i n i t s handling of h i g h occurrence i n p e s t i c i d e contaminated deaths. T h e r e f o r e , even a t t h e p e r i l of a r e g i o n ' s long-term economic v i a b i l i t y , p o l i c y may n o t i n t e r v e n e f o r r e m e d i a l action not merely because of t h e i r educational background and s p e c i f i c e x p e r i e n c e . Most e n v i r o n m e n t a l c r i s i s , a r e r e g i o n a l l y based and need t o be handled a t regional levels. The a p p r o a c h i s t o f i n d t r a d e o f f s t o o f f s e t g a i n s and l o s s e s u n t i l no one i s worse o f f ( o r b e t t e r o f f ) . U n t i l such t i m e t h a t t h e p o l i c y makers a r e non-ignorant, then a p o s s i b i l i t y e x i s t s f o r cooperation. However, e v e n a t r e g i o n a l l e v e l s , s u b regional b i a s engulfs t h e issue t a b l e s . A t t h o s e l e v e l s , d e c i s i o n s b a s e d on h o u s e h o l d s e n s i t i v i t i e s have p r i o r i t y over t h e i n t e r g e n e r a t i o n a l i s s u e s . The p a i n o f t h o s e d e c i s i o n s t h o u g h i s p a s s e d on t o t h e s o c i e t y o r possibly t o t h e next generation f o r a b s o r p t i o n . T h i s i s a resemblance of t h e c u r r e n t i s s u e surrounding i t s ecology a n d f u t u r e economic w e l l - b e i n g . CONCLUSION The future of a harmonious relationship t h a t t h e peoples of t h i s r e g i o n a s p i r e , w i l l l a r g e l y h i n g e on t h e decision-makers' a b i l i t y t o grapple with r e a l i s s u e s a f f e c t i n g t h e waters and forests of the region and their productivity. However, there i s no guarantee t h a t they w i l l be s e n s i t i v e t o g e n e r a t i o n a l i s s u e s o r wider b e n e f i t s o u t s i d e t h e i r h o r i z o n s . N e i t h e r , t h e y can be e n t r u s t e d with t h e f u l l e s t confidence t o h a n d l e d y n a m i c i s s u e s t h a t we a r e d i s c u s s i n g i n a way c o m p a t i b l e w i t h n a t u r a l l i m i t a t i o n s . A t t h e end of t h e day, t h e most r e s p e c t e d n o t i o n s w e d e b a t e f o r p o l i c y may show v u l n e r a b i l i t y t o t h e expediency and i n t e r p r e t a t i o n of t h e politician. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT T h i s p a p e r was s u p p o r t e d by t h e S c i e n t i s t A s s i s t a n c e Program o f Canada. REFERENCES Asiaweek map on R e g i o n a l - f l o w s T e r r a i n s and Locat i o n s Asiaweek; Number 4 1988 Defence p l a n s a f t e r t h e d e l u g e ; 34-35. Bangladesh and Surrounding C o u n t r i e s , with P r i n c i p a l Rivers; Australian National University E a s t e r , Wil1iam.K.; Dixon, John A . ; a n d H u f s c h m i d t , Maynard M . 1989 e d . W a t e r s h e d R e s o u r c e Management: An I n t e g r a t e d Framework w i t h S t u d i e s from A s i a a n d t h e P a c i f i c . S t u d i e s i n Water P o l i c y a n d Management, No. 1 0 . B o u l d e r : Westview P r e s s ; 3-15 Ekanayake, Rohan. 1 9 9 0 . Women a n d a c c e s s t o s o u r c e s of household energy: v a l u e o f l a b o u r and r e s o u r c e s c a r c i t i e s i n p e a s a n t economies of S o u t h A s i a . C o n t r i b u t e d P a p e r t o t h e 3 4 t h Annual Conference of A u s t r a l i a n A g r i c u l t u r a l Economics S o c i e t y , 1990 F e b r u a r y 1216; B r i s b a n e A u s t r a l i a F a r E a s t e r n Economic Review 2 F e b r u a r y 1 9 8 9 . The Wasted W a t e r s , Himalayan B l u n d e r a n d R e s o u r c e a n d R i g h t s ; 1622. F r e d e r i c k , Kenneth D . ; G l e i c k , P e t e r H . 1 9 8 8 . Water R e s o u r c e a n d C l i m a t e Change. I n : R o s e n b e r g , Norman J . ; E a s t e r l i n g , William E.; Crosson, P i e r r e R . ; Darmstadter, J o e l . e d P r o c e e d i n g s o f a Workshop on Greenhouse Warming: Abatement a n d A d a p t a t i o n h e l d i n Washington, D . C . 1988 J u n e 14-15; 133-143 M a c N e i l l , J i m . 1 9 8 9 . The G r e e n i n g of International Relations. I n t e r n a t i o n a l J o u r n a l l ( 1 ) W i n t e r : 135 Myers, Norman ; 1 9 8 9 . The E n v i r o n m e n t a l B a s i s o f S u s t a i n a b l e Development. I n : Schramm, G u n t e r a n d Jeremy W.Warford e d . P u b l i s h e d f o r t h e World Bank, The John Hopkins U n i v e r s i t y P r e s s , B a l t i m o r e : 57-68. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 High-speed High-Stress Ring Shear Tests on Granular Soils and Clayey Soils1 Hiroshi Fukuoka and Kyoji Sassa2 Abstract: The purposes of this study is to obtain exact knowledge of the influences on friction angle during shear by shearing speeds. Ring shear tests on sandy and clayey materials have been carried out with a newly developed High-speed High-Stress Ring Shear Apparatus t o examine if there are some changes in the frictional behaviors of these materials at high shearing speeds of O.OIcm/sec-100cm/sec and high normal stress of 0-3.8k$/cm2. Samples used for tests were glass beads, tennis court sands in the university campus, the Toyoura standard sands (uniform beach sands) and bentonite clays. All tested samples were dry. Although result on the glass beads showed that the friction angle during shear was independent of shear speed under the normal stress up to 3.8kgf/cm2, 2 5 degrees of change in friction angle were observed on the tennis court sands, the Toyoura standard sands and the bentonite clays. In the tests on the Toyoura standard sands and the bentonite clays, friction angle increased as the shear speed increased. On the contrary, friction angle during shear of the tennis court sands decreased a t a shearing speed of lOOcm/sec. Change in grain size distribution implies that heavy crushing or grinding of particles occurred during shear. The grain size distribution become wider during shear by grain crushing in samples except glass beads. It could result in the increase of density and accordingly increase of the friction angle. Crushing or grinding of grains during shear can change the shape of grains. The Toyoura standard sands have round shape, because they are beach sands, it may become angular by crushing during shear. On the contrary, the tennis court sands have angular shape because they are taken from mountain slopes, it may become round by grinding during shear. Round grains have a small friction angle. It may be interpreted that the tennis court sands had a smaller friction angle during shear because of the change of angular grains to round grains by grindings. Hence, it can be said that the friction angle is affected by crushing or grinding of grains during shear, which appears in a higher normal stress and a greater shear speed (shear distance). N To measure the friction angle during shear, it is most appropriate to use ring shear apparatus because landslide motion usually causes long distance shearing of about several meters t o some hundred meters. Bishop, 1961, developed a ring shear apparatus and carried out ring shear tests on samples of several kinds of clays in order t o examine residual strength of clays which is a steady strength appearing after the peak strength. In reactivation of old landslides, the mobilized shear strength is not the peak strength in the virginal shear of the soil, but the residual strength which is a small steady state strength appearing after the peak strength. Bishop's ring shear apparatus had a sample box of which diameter was about 15cm (outside) and lOcm (inside). The maximum normal stress is 2.5k$/cm2. The shear speed in his experiment was 1.3~lO-~crn/sec and the maximum shear displacement was 132cm. But it is not enough for research of the motion of landslide, it needs a faster shear speed up t o some meters per a second, and longer shear displacement up t o some meters. Sassa, 1984, developed a Low-Stress High-speed Ring Shear Apparatus in 1984 for the research of motion of debris flow. The diameter of the sample box is 30cm (inside)48cm (outside). The maximum normal stress is 0.4kgf/cm2. The shear speed is 0.001 to 150cm/sec. In order t o know whether the shear friction during shear depends on shear speed or not, Sassa carried out ring shear tests on glass beads, the Toyoura standard sands. The results of ring shear test on glass beads of 2.0mm diameter are shown in Figure 1. Measured data on normal stress versus shear resistance which has a stress dimension are plotted. The tests were carried out under the normal stress up to 0.3kgf/cm2. The normal stress was continuously increased under the constant shear speed. Such tests were repeated of same sample on different shear speeds of 0.001, 0.1, 1, 90cm/sec. Almost all data are on a straight line inclined 19" and there are little scatters among the data. So, this To know the frictional characteristics of soils during high speed shearing is very important for the research on motion of landslides. lPaper presented at the XIX World Congress of the International Union 01Forestry Research Organizations, 5-11 August, 1990, MontrCal, Canada. 2Post Graduate Student and Associate Profesor, respectively, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Uji, Kyoto, Japan USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Normal Stress 2 (kqflcrn ) Figure 1-Result of low-stress high-speed ring shear tests on dry glass beads of 2.0mm diameter. Void ratio e=0.65- 0.67 (Kaibori, 1986). F 3 i? 1 E - ;; $ 0 2 (kgflcm ) Figure 2-Result of low-stress high-speed ring shear tests on Toyoura standard sands. Void ratio e=0.88-0.91 (Kaibori, 1986). Normal Stress result means that the shear friction of the glass beads is independent of shear speed in the range of shear speed and the normal stress as mentioned above. Results of ring shear tests on Toyoura standard sands are shown in Figure 2. Procedure of the tests are almost same with the tests on the glass beads. Shear tests are carried out under the normal stress up to 0.15kgf/cm2. Shear speeds of these tests are 0.01, 0.1, 1 and 90 cm/sec. The friction angle of all shear speed is 33.5". Hungr and Morgenstern, 1984, developed a high velocity ring shear apparatus in 1984. The diameter of the sample box was 15cm (outside) and l l c m (inside). The maximum normal stress is about 2kgf/cm2 and the maximum shear speed is 2m/sec. In use of the apparatus, they carried out ring shear tests on polystyrene beads and the Ottawa quartz sands of various grain sizes under two shear speeds of 0.025cm/sec and 98cm/sec. Results of the tests showed that the friction angle was almost independent of shear speed. Sassa, 1988, developed a High-Stress High-speed Ring Shear Apparatus in 1988 for the research of landslide. It attained high normal stress up to 3.8kgf/cm2 and it corresponds t o the depth of about 19w23m of landslide mass, hence research on the motion of real landslides has become possible. The diameter of the sample box is 33cm (outside) and 2lcm (inside). The maximum shear speed is i50cm/Sec. With the apparatus, Vibert, Sassa and Fukuoka, 1989, carried out the ring shear tests on torrent deposit of the Denjo river and soils of the Jizukiyama landslide in order to examine whether the shear friction depends on shear speed or not. Result of the tests on dry torrent deposits of the Denjo river showed that the friction angle during shear under the shear speed u p t o lOcm/sec is 35.0" but the friction angle at 100cm/sec under the normal stress up t o 1.2kgf/cm2 is 36.5" (Figure 3). Result of the tests on unsaturated (degree of saturation was 20%) Jizukiyama landslide soil showed that the friction angle during shear was 32.8" a t O.Olcm/sec, 35.0" at O.lcm/sec, and 38.5" at lcm/sec and lOcm/sec (Figure 4). The magnitude of the variation is about 6",larger than the result on the sample of the Denjo river. The friction angle during shear of both sample tended to increase as the shear 80 1 2 N o r m a l Stress 0 kgf l3cm2 Figure 3-Result of high-stress high-speed ring shear tests on dry torrent deposit of the Denjo river. Void ratio e=0.50-0.57 (Vibert et al., 1989). , I 1 2 N o r m a l Stress 0 3 kgf/cm2 I 4 Figure 4-Result of high-stress high-speed ring shear tests on unsaturated Jizukiyama soil. De ree of saturation S, = 20%. Void ratio e=0.50~0.57f ~ i b e r et t al., 1989). speed increased. Examination of both sheared samples after the tests showed that so much fine ground grains were found on the shear plane. It seemed that this grinding of soil particles relates t o the variation of friction angle during shear, and the magnitude of the variation relates t o the grain size. So using the High-speed High-stress Ring Shear Apparatus, we have done ring shear tests of various samples at various shear speed to examine what causes the variation of friction angle. SAMPLES AND APPARATUS Samples for tests Samples of different material and different grain size were chosen. Tested samples are glass beads of 0.2mm diameter, tennis court sands, Toyoura standard sands (uni- USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 beach sands) and the bentonite clay. Because pore pressure of the sample is not measured during shear test, effective stress can not be measured. So when dry or not-saturated sample were used, no excess pore water pressure would be generated and total stress would be equal to effective stress. So all of the samples tested by the apparatus were dry. Counter Weight Glass Beads Glass beads are of 0.2mm uniform diameter. The specific gravity of the glass beads is 2.50. Tennis Court Sands Tennis court sands are taken iron1 the tennis court in the university campus. They are taken from mountain slope and consist of angular grains. The specific gravity is 2.60. They are dried before the tests. Toyoura Standard Sands Toyoura standard sands is Japanese uniform beach sands sold by a Japanese company and used as a standard sands for calibration of test apparatus for soils by Japanese soil mechanics researchers. It is a uniform, clean fine quartz sands with round grains. The grain size is 0.05 0.5mm. The specific gravity is 2.49. - Bentonite Clays Bentonite clays used in the tests is a dry clay powder sold in Japan and usually used for civil engineering works. It is well ground and with grain size smaller thau 0.3mm. The specific gravity is 2.58. Permeability of the clays is always very small and it takes so much time lor dissipation of excess pore water pressure, so the sample used for shear test was completely dry to prevent generation of pore water pressure. Structure of the Apparatus Figure 5 is the schematic diagram of High-speed HighStress Ring Shear Apparatus. The sample box is shaped circular channel. The diameter of the sample box is 33cm (outside) and 21cm (inside). It is made of transparent acrylic resin, retained by metal fran~eand the outside of the sample can be observed during test. Section of the sample boxis 6cm wide and about 6-8cm high. The width of the section is constant. The loading plate can move vertically, so only the height of the sample can change. The sample box is separated horizontally a t about midheight (Figure 6). The lower one is rotated by servo-control motor for shear. Several non-skid needle assemblies are fixed on the base and the ceiling (loading plate) of the sample box and they prevent the sample from slipping on either side. So, rotation of the lower sample box causes shear of sample. After the shear test, horizontal shear plane is usually formed between the upper and the lower part of the sample box. There is a rubber edges at the inside and outside gaps between the upper and the lower part of the sample box and they are bound on the upper part of the sample box t o seal the gap, and preventing leak of sample from the sample box. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Figure 5-Schematic diagram oi the High-speed High-Stress Ring S h e a Apparatus. A: servo-control motor lor shear, B: servo-control motor for gap control, C: servo-control air regulator, D: load cell for normal stress, E: load cell for shear stress, F: dial gauge for volume change, G: shear displacement detector, H: dial gauge for gap. The electric servo-control motor (marked as A in the Figure 5) can rotate the lower part of the sample box at constant speed, so it enables constant shear s eed shear test. Available shear speed is from 0.001cm$ec t o 150 cm/sec with use of four different gears in the gear box (also in A in the Figure 5). The normal stress to the sample is given by an air compressor. The compressed air is put into six air pistons through an servo-control air regulator. The air pistons push down the loading plate (ceiling of the sample box) and the normal stress is loaded on the sample uniformly. The maximum normal stress is 3.8kgf/cm2. The gap distance between the upper and the lower part of the sample box should be constant throughout the test procedures, because too much narrowing of gap distance or contact of the upper and the lower part of the sample box may increase the measured value of the normal stress. While, too much widening of gap distance may lead to leak of sample from the sample box during shear test. So, the apparatus has a servo-control motor for gap control (marked as B in Figure 5) and a electric distance meter for gap distance measurement on the order of 1/1000 mm. With them, gap distance is kept constant during a test as the same value at which shearing of the sample starts. LOAD stainless steel L frarne A Figure 7-The Apparatus. High-speed High-Stress Ring Shear sample box load cell Figure 6-Section of sample box of the High-speed High-Stress Ring Shear Apparatus. Monitoring System Normal load on the sample is measured with a load cell set beneath the axis (marked as D in Figure 5). The compressed air which produces the normal load on the sample push up the air pistons and axis, then normal load is measured as tension force. Shear resistance of the sample is measured with a load cell (marked as E on Figure 5). The upper part of the sample box and the upper unit (including air pistons) are fixed and restricted not to rotate with the lower part of the sample box, (marked E in Figure 5) with load cell for shear resistance. So, shear resistance is measured as tension force. As the shear resistance is supposed to originate uniformly on the shear plane, the shear resistance is easily calculated from the equation of shear torque. Above mentioned two load cells are electrically connected to dynamic strain meters with cables, and tension forces are measured with them. Vertical displacement of the sample is measured with the dial gauge (marked as F on Figure 5). As the sample box cannot deform sideways, the measured vertical displacement multiplied by the area of loading plate is variation of volume of the sample. Shear displacement is measured with rotary encoder which contact with the lower part of the sample box which rotates during test. The shear speed is calculated from the rate of rotation and it is displayed at each result of the tests shown below as the shear speed at the center of the sample. All these measured parameters (normal load, shear resistance, sample height and shear displacement) are output as electric voltage through the amplifier unit. All values are recorded on the sheet of a pen-recorder and also put Figure 8-Calculation of shear resistance and shear torque of the High-Stress High-speed Ring Shear Apparatus. Figure 9-Screen copy of real-time monitoring system of the apparatus, assisted by personal computer. Displaying normal stress and shear resistance relation. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 into personal computer through A/D converter board in it, then the data are saved on magnetic floppy disk and the normal stress (u)-shear resistance (r,) relation are plotted on the computer display at real time. Figure 9 is the screen copy of the computer display of the real-time monitorinn system plotting stress conditions (normal stress and shea;reiistance). Pore Dressure is not measured because it is difficult to measure pore pressure at the shear plane. Only total stress on the sample can be measured. Thereiore, tests were carried out under dry conditions. Calculation Normal stress a (kgf/cm2) is calculated from: Here, W: Normal load acting on the sample through loading plate measured by the load cell, TI: diameter of the sam le box (inside), r2: diameter of the sample box (outside! yt: total unit weight of the sample, h,,: sample height above shear plane (about 3-4cm). yt. hWpis at most 0.008kgf/cm2. The normal stress loaded on the sample during the ring shear tests are between 0.5-3.8kgf/cm2, so this term is almost negligible. So, this term was not calculated during Shear resistance r from the equation of rotational ple, which was dry powder, also completed consolidation quickly. Ring shear test After the sample is consolidated, normal stress is decreased t o 0.5kgf/cm2. Then slowest gear is connected to the servecontrol motor, corresponding signal voltage for O.Olcm/sec is set on servo-control unit, and then servocontrol motor starts. Confirming that the sample reaches residual condition, increase normal stress gradually up t o 3.8kgf/cm2 at constant rate and decrease to 0.5kgf/cm2 again, then stop the servo-control motor. During shear test, stress path (relation between normal stress and shear resistance) is drawn continuously on computer display at real time. Ring shear tests a t shear speed of 0.1, 1, 10, 100 cm/sec follow after the test at O.Olcm/sec step by step. At each test, appropriate gear is selected and test is executed in same way except test at 100cm/sec. As it takes about some minutes t o complete one cycle of a test, during which servo-control air regulator increases and decrease the normal stress, at the test of 100cm/sec sample sometimes leaks outside through the gap between the upper and the lower part of the sample box. I t is difficult t o keep running for long time at 100cm/sec. Then the test a t 100cm/sec is done in different way, that for about only three or ten seconds the sample box is rotated for the discrete normal stresses of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5kgf/cm2. After shear test on each sample is completed, the upper unit, the upper part of the sample box and also the sample above the shear plane is removed and shearing plane of the sample is closely examined. RESULT OF TESTS Glass beads Here, R: distance from the axis t o the load cell for shear resistance, F: shear load measured a t load cell which retains the upper part of the sample box from rotation. PROCEDURE OF TESTS Dry glass beads were tested under the normal stress up t o 3.8kgf/cm2. Figure 10 is the result of uniform dry glass beads of 0.2mm diameter. Ring shear test was executed at constant shear speed of O.Olcm/sec as the normal stress was increased gradually. Then, another test a t faster shear speed (0.1, 1, 10, 100cm/sec, step by step) followed it in Sample Preparation The soils for the sample was compacted inside the sample box up t o about 6cm high with steel bar. Compaction is carefully executed t o make homogeneous sample. Then set the upper unit including loading plate and air pistons, connect electric cables of measuring device to amplifiers and strain meters and connect air tubes of air pistons t o the air regulator. The air compressor start,s t o run and supply pressure to air regulator. Consolidation Before shear test begins, sample is consolidated with normal stress of 3.8kgf/cm2. Progress of consolidation is monitored by the dial gauge for measurement of sample height on pen-recorder. All soils for sample except bentonite were sandy soil and dry, consolidation completed quickly within about several seconds. Bentonite clay sam- USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 2m .c (0 , 0 1 2 Normal stress 3 ( k g f / c m2 Figure 10-Result of high-stress high-speed ring shear tests on the 0.2mm glass beads. Void ratio during shear test: e=0.87-0.88. 4 the same procedure. So continuous normal stressshear resistance relation was gained at each test. Plotted points in the figures of normal stress v.s. shear resistance in this paper are picked up from the recorded data at the normal stresses of every 0.5kgf/cma between 0.5 and 3.5kgf/cm2. The friction angle scattered little, mean friction angle is 23.0°, being independent of shear speed of O.Olcm/sec to lOcm/sec. Test at 100cm/sec was carried out, but some sample leaked out of the sample box and the test was terminated. From the examination of sample after shear test, no grinding or crushing of the glass beads occurred. Tennis court sands Results of high stress ring shear test on dry tennis court sands are shown on Figure 11. It displays the relation between normal stress and shear resistance. The friction angle at the shear speed slower than lOcm/sec is 35.1°, hut it decreases to 31.9' at 100cm/sec. After the test, removing the upper unit and the upper part of the sample box and cross section of the sample was closely examined. So much fine ground grains were observed on and near the shearing plane (Figure 13 (a) and (b) ). Variation of grain size distribution between before and after the shear test are shown in Figure 12. Curve of after the test is that of 1 3 2 Normal Stress 4 2 (kgffcm ) Figure 11-Result of high-stress high-speed ring shear tests on the dry tennis court sands in the university campus. Void ratio during shear test: e=0.51~0.68. Figure 13 (a) The campus soils after test. (b) Well ground soil particles of the shear zone on the fingers. the sample taken from fine ground grains around the shear plane. It shows dearly that shearing causes grinding of grains. Toyoura Standard Sands - ,L 0 e, Grain Size lmml Figure 12-Grain size distribution of the tennis court sands. - 0 : before the test, 0 - 0 : after the test Figure 14 is the test results of the dry Toyoura standard sands at shear speed of 0.01-100 cm/sec. The test was done from the slowest speed of O.Olcm/sec to the highest speed of 100cm/sec step by step. The friction angle during shear increased from 31.7" to 33.8" under the respective shear speed. Thereafter, tests were continued at slower speeds; lcm/sec, O.lcm/sec, O.Olcm/sec step by step. These tests at reducing shear speeds were carried in USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 1, I order t o examine whether shear friction depends only on the shear speed or not. Results of the tests were shown on Figure 15. Change of the sample height which means change of the sample volume and friction coeficient which is tan$, (tangent of friction angle) versus shear speed is plotted. Plots with number of 1-5 are the same data of Figure 14. Plots with number of 6-8 are the results of successive tests following Figure 14. Sample height increased until1 the test of No. 3 and then continued t o decrease during tests of No. 4-7. Increasing process was maybe dilatancy of the sample. The decreasing process seemed t o be owing t o crushing of the sample. I t is proved by the comparison of grain size distribution between before and aiter the test, shown in Figure 16. Smaller grains finer than 0.05mnm which was not included in the sample before a, 14 Grain S i z e lmm) Figure 16. Grain size distribution of the Toyoura standard sands. 0 - 0 : before the test, 0 - 0 : after the test the ring shear test appear in the distribution curve of the sample after the test. Although Figure 16 is not comparison of the sample of shear plane, but of total sample, it is obvious that grain crushing occurred in the sample. Friction coefficient tends to increase during the tests of No. 1-5 and almost keep constant (or slightly decreased) during the tests of No. 6-8. Bentonite Clay Figure 14-Result of high-stress high-speed ring shear tests on the dry Toyoura standard sands. Void ratio during shear test: e=0.65~0.83. Shear Speed (cmlsec) Figure 15-Shear speed v.s. sample height and frictiond coefficient relationship for the dry Toyoura standard sands. USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Test result of ring shear tests on the bentonite clays is shown in Figure 17. It showed the greatest difference of friction angle with the change of shear speed. The friction an le was 28.6" a t the first test with shear speed of O.Olcm/sec. And then it varied as 34.1" at O.lcm/sec, and 34.8" at 1 and lOcm/sec. In this test, test a t the speed of O.Olcm/sec was executed again after the test at lOcm/sec. But the friction angle remained almost same with that at lOcm/sec speed. Figure 18 shows the entire process of shear test at shear speed of O.lcm/sec. The normal stress increased up to 3.5kgf/cm2 and decreased again. Shear resistance also changed in proportion with the normal stress. The most important is the behavior of the friction coefficient, namely tangent of friction angle (tan$,). It increased with increase of normal stress (during the shear displacement of 0-20cm) Normal S t r e s s (kgf/cm2) Figure 17-Result of high-stress high-speed ring shear tests on the dry bentonite. Void ratio during shear test: e=1.74-2.04. 2 zE I !.......... f ~ r i .ri T i -.A?- c t ~ o n ' a ..l Coefflceient 0 ! Sample Heigl UJ 1 0 10 20 Shear 30 40 50 Displacement (cn) Figure 18-Variation of frictional coefficient, sample height, shear resistance during a cycle of test. (shear velocity:0.lcm/sec) Figure 19-Grain size distribution of the dry bentonite. 0 - : before the test, 0- 0 : after the test and also while the normal stress kept constant peak (shear displacement of 2 0 ~ 3 0 c m While the normal stress is de. remained constant (shear creasing, the friction coe cient diplacement of 3 0 ~ 4 5 c m ) . The sample height decreased during shear and didn't recover the initial height at the end of the test. Figure 19 is the comparison of grain size distribution of bentonite sample between before and after the test. This is from the sample of shear zone. It still clearly exhibited the effects of grain crushing through shearing. k Influence of Grain-crushing on the Friction Angle during Shear The results shown above by the High-speed High-Stress Ring Shear Apparatus suggest that friction coefficient may be affected by crushing (grinding) of grains a t increasing Figure 20-Bentonite sample after ring shear tests, showing polished and striated slip surface (upper portion of the sample is removed). process of normal stress. And high speed shearing may have worked for a rapid crushing. We observed heavily crushed grains in shear zones after the tests of each sample except the glass beads. Glass beads are enough strong not t o be crushed under the normal stress of the apparatus and the friction angle does not change with shear speed. Here, we suppose two factors influencing the variation of friction angle during shear caused by grain crushing. One is the variation of grain size distribution and another is the variation of grain shape, i.e. round or angular. As for the variation of grain size distribution, crushing of grains during shear, especially in the material of uniform grains makes a lot of finer grains and the sample becomes wider in grain size distribution. It should increase the density of the sample and the interlocking between grain particles. Increase of density of soils usually causes increase of internal friction angle. This seems t o be the reason why the friction angle increased in the test of Toyoura standard sands and bentonite clays. However, in the test on the tennis court sands, the friction angle at a high speed shearing decreased in spite of occurring of grain crushing. What can be the cause of this is not clear at present, but one possibility is the shape of grains. The initial shape of Toyourasands which were from beach was round, so crushing can make them angular. So the variation of grain shape in the Toyoura standard sands didn't act for decreasing of the friction angle and so the factor of variation of density had t o be dominant. We could not observe the initial and sheared grain shape of bentonite clays by eyes, then the influence of the variation of grain shape on the friction angle of bentonite clays was unknown. On the contrary, the tennis court sands were mountain sands, the initial shape was rather angular, so crushing USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 could increase the roundness of grains. Because sample of round grains usually have smaller friction angle than that of angular grains, crushing of grains during shear can reduce the friction angle. It can be one interpretation. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank Professor Michiyasu Shima, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, for his supervision and cooperation to our research. We acknowledge Dr. Christophe Vibert from &ole des Mines, Paris for his cooperation t o the high-speed ring shear tests. REFERENCES Bishop, A. W.; Green, G. E.; Garga, V. K.; Andresen, A,; Browns, J. D. 1961. A new ring shear apparatus and its application t o the measurement of residual strength. G6otechnique 21(4): 273-328. Hungr, 0.; Morgenstern, N. R. 1984. High velocity ring shear tests on sand. G6otechnique 34(3): 415-421. Kaibori, M. 1986. Study on the movement of the slope failure materials. Doctor thesis for the Faculty of Agriculture, Kyoto University.; 99 p. Sassa, K. Computer simulation of landslide motion. 1990. In: Proceedings, XIX World Congress of the International Union of Forestry Research Organizations, volume 1; 351-362. Sassa, K. and others. 1984. Development of ring shear type debris flow apparatus: Report of Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research by Japanese Ministry of Education, Science and Culture (No.57860028). 30p. Sassa, K. 1988. (Special Lecture) Geotechnical Model for the Motion of Landslides. In: Proceedings, 5th international symposium on landslides, volume 1; 1988 July 10-15; 37-55. also In: Bonnard C., editor. Landslides. Rotterdam: A.A. Balkema Co., Inc.; 37-55. Vibert C.; Sassa, K.; Fukuoka, H. 1989. Friction characteristics of granular soils subjected to high speed shearing. In: Proceedings of the Japan-China symposium on landslides and debris flows, volume 1; 1989 October 3 and 5; Niigata and Tokyo: The Japan Landslide Soc. and The Japan Sac. of Erosion Control Engineering.; 295-299. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSWIGTR-130. 1991 Morphological Study on the Prediction of the Site of Surface Sli Hiromasa Hiura2 Abstract: The annual continual occurrence of surface slides in the basin was estimated by modifying the estimation formula of Yoshimatsu. The Weibull Distribution Function revealed to be usefull for presenting the state and the transition of surface slides in the basin. Three parameters of the Weibull Function are recognized to be the linear function of the area ratio a/A. The mapping of the hazardous zones could be successfully done using the stream line distribution map and the relief map. Sediment yield produced by frequent surface slides on the mountain slopes of granitic rocks become as dangerous as those produced by gigantic landslides or large scale slope failures, because of the high frequency of occerrence in a basin in spite of the dimension. It is recognized that surface slides will occur on the mountain slopes of every geology. As for the investigations on surface slides, almost all papers in Japan deal with surface slides which occur on the mountain of granitic rocks which are often severely weathered and distribute widely in the soutb-western district of Japan and disasters due to this geology occur frequently on the occasion of heavy rain which will he brought about by the typhoon or the frontal storm. where, "R" is the amount of precipitation of one continual rain which has led to the disaster occurrence of surface slides, "r" is the invalid limited precipitation being of no effect on the occurrence of surface slides, Rr is the relief ratio and K is the coefficient. In Table 1, values concerning the above formula by Yoshimatsu are indicated;area of the basin, total area of surface slides in the basin, area ratio and relief ratio and Figure 1 shows the relation between the area ratio and the amounts of continual precipitation both for measured and calculated are shown, and both values show good conformity. Table l--States of the occurrence of surface slides due to heavy rain(by Yoshimatsu(2)) (i)R.Kamanashi basin ................................................. Precipi- Area of Total area tation(mm)basin of slides Area ratio Relief ratio ................................................ (ii)R.Tenryuu basin ................................................. ESTIMATION FORMULA OF SURFACE SLIDES In order to express the condition of the occurrence of surface slides in a basin, usually the parameter a/A; the ratio of the total area of surface slides to the area of a basin (the terminology "area ratio" is used hereafter)is used. In most of the studies concerning the occurrence of surface slides, efforts were made to express the area ratio as the function of the precipitation and formulas by Uchiogi(1) and Yoshimatsu(2) are the presentative ones. Here, the formula below by Yoshimatsu is taken to be discussed. a/A = K x Rr x (~-r)l.5 ------ (1 ) ~ X I Xl!orld Congress of IUFRO, August 5-1 1 , 1990 Montral, Canada Precipi- Area of Total area tation(mm) basin of slides Area ratio Relief ratio Area ratio Relief rxtio ................................................. (iii)R.Kizu basin ------------- ~ Precipi- Area of Total area of sli.des tation(mrn) basin 2~ssociateProfessor of Forestry, Kohchi Univ. Nangoku City, Kohchi Prefecture (before October 1990; Research Associate of ICyoto Prefectural Univ. ) USDA ForestSelviceGen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130.1991 (iv)R.Arita basin Precipi- Area of Total area of slides tation(mm) basin Area ratio Relief ratio The values of the relief ratio could be considered to have constant value when we think of it for a fixed basin. The value of the coefficient K can be the presentative constant of a basin and when the value of K is bigger, sediment yield due to surface slides or other mass movements seem rather vivid in the basin than others. lo 0-0 Measured represents that the more the the amount of precipitation augments, the bigger the value of the area ratio becomes. In other words, the temporal increase of the number of surface slides in a fixed basin can not be estimated. As for the value of the invalid precipitation; r of these formula are determined by the data in order to reduce the formula and subsequently the precipitation of one continual rain which would lead to the occurrence of surface slides is not necessarily bigger than the derived "r" value. So, in the following part, in order to predict the amount of surface slides which will occur repeatedly in the same basin, derived value of "r" are not used, and treating "ru as a variable, determined it to suit the real state of the temporal increase of surface slides. TRANSITION OF THE AREA RATIO IN A BASIN Before discussing about the transitionsin of the value of area ratio, it is necessary to know the upper limited value of the area ratio. Figure 2 shows the relation between the total area of surface s1ides;a and the area of the basin;A. The oblique line in the Figure is the line when a/A = 1.0 and in this case, all part of the mountain of a basin is bare due to surface slides, consequently, the total area of surface slides should be plotted beneath the oblique line. When the area of two basin are decided arbitrary and if there are no surface slides, the initial states are plotted on the abscissa as shown and these two points in Figure 2 by 0 and move directly upwards as the total area of the surface slides increases. Even when the values of "a" are same for two different basins, the values of a/A differ to each other because of the value of the area of the basin are not the same. In this condition, the larger the area of the basin becomes, the less the value of a/A becomes. Subsequently, in the case of discussing exactly about the area ratio, the value of the area of basins should be made uniform. But, to discuss about it here is not the aim of this paper, the author only point out the importance of this subdect. e, One continual rain (mm) 1 V Figure I--Relation between the area ratio and precipitation of one continual rain As a result, this formula represents only the state of the occurrence of surface slide and only USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 + 1 A: Area of The basin - Figure 2--Relation between the total area of surface slides and the area of the basin Figure 3 and 4 show the relation between the total area of surface slides and the area of the basin by the author and Yoshimatsu respectively. As shown in both figures, common envelope curves are drawn and in this case, the value of the area ratio is 1.5 and this value can be the upper limited value of the area ratio. This value coincides with that of the R.Kamanashi basin which is given by Yoshimatsu, though the conditions of the occurrence of surface slides seems extremely ruined condition. Year and the maximum precipitation of a year during 1971 and 1976 are as follows; .................................................. Year 1971 Precp.(mm)l66.3 0 Figure 3--Relation between the total area of surface slides and the area of the basin by Riura A Area ratio 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 203.0 133.1 144.0 157.5 240.0 L 1966. 1971 1976 Year Figure 5--The yearly fluctuation of the area ratio of R.Kiau basin These values do not exceed the invalid precipitation 325mm which is presented by Yoshimatsu. Thus, it is clear that the formula can not be used for the estimation of the yearly increment of the area ratio. So, as mentioned above, taking the invalid precipitation as a variable, and dividing precipitation into two groups;R>200mm and R<200mm and assuming the value of the area ratio to be a/A =0.0012 and 0.0006 correspondingly to the precipitation respectively. The results of the estimation of the invalid precipitation are indicated in Table 2 as well as the maximum precipitation, the difference of both precipitations;the valid precpitation;(R-r) and the area ratio. As the mean value of the area of the basin is approximately ten km from Table 1 , then annually fifty slides when R>200mm and twenty-five slides when R<2OOmm will occur accoding to the estimation of this paragraph and these values seem reasonable. t!"') Figure &--Relation between the total area of surface slides and the area of the basin by Yoshimatsu Table 2--Maximum continual precipitation;R, area ratio;a/A, invalid precipitation;r and valid precipitation;(R-r) for Tuchiyabara district(R.Kizu basin) Year Maximum conti- Invalid nual precip. precip. Valid precip Area ratio Transition of the number of surface slides Figure 5 shows the yearly fluctuation of surface slides of the Tsuchiyabara district(R.Kizu). As seen in Figure 5, the values of the area ratio tends to increase and converge to a final value. The values of the area ratio in 1971 and 1976 are indicated below; USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 PRESENTATION OF THE STATE OF SURFACE SLIDES IN USE OF THE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION It was recognized above that the state of the occurrence of surface slides in a basin at an arbitrary state can be expressed by the area ratio which is the function of the precipitation. On the other hand, the Weibull Distribution Function which the author has employed has successfully presented the state of the yearly fluctuation of surface slides(3). Here, by combining both method, the hazard mapping of surface slides is presented. Sumiyoshi district 0 0 \ R.Inubuse basin Firstly, the foregoing results are summarized and then the method for mapping is presented. It is natural that the value of area ratio of a basin differs to each other according to the difference of the state and history of the occurrence of surface slides in a basin. The Weibull Distribution Function is one of the statistic density functions and originally adopted for the treatment of the experimental data and because of its easiness and conformity, it has come to be used frequently. The formula of this function is expressed below; district (R.Kizu basin) Figure 6--The location map of the survey areas Three parameters included are the location parameter: y , the scale parameter:a and the shape parameter:m respectively. Thus, the state of the distribution of surface slides of a basin at an arbitrary time can be expressed by these three parameters. The author has already recognized that when the number of surface slides increase yearly in a basin, a and m increase, but y decreases, and confirmed that the values of three parameters fluctuate in accordance with the transition of the slide numbers. Table ?--Yearly fluctuation of Weibull parameters (i)Tsuchiyabara district ................................................ Year Total number Area of slides ratio 1966 1971 1976 1109 1768 1936 0.0282 0.0450 0.0492 a Parameter Y m 0.994 -0.353 1.011 1.573 1.802 1.155-0.441 1.240 -0.528 ................................................ (ii)Minamiyamashiro district Area ratio and Weibull parameters Table 3 indicates the number of slides, the area ratio a/A and values of three parameters of five survey basins(Figure 6). These basisns have different situations concerning the occurrences of surface s1ides;for exemp1e:numerous slides have just occurred, the number of slides is increasing or decreasing and so on. Figure 7 shows the relation between Weibull parameters and area ratio The scale parameter a and the shape parameter m increase with the increase of a/A, and location parameter Y decreases inversely. So, the conditions of the occurrences of surface slides could be presented by a set of Weibull parameter values at an arbitrary value of a/A and in that case, the scale parameter is the most effective one. Following formulas to calculate Weibull parameters using the value of the area ratio were derived using data in Table 3. a = 37.5091 (a/~)-0.1272 ---------(3) m = 18.2635(a/~)+0.4645 ---------(4) y = -10.5580(a/A)-0.0614 --------- (5) . USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 ................................................ Year Total number Area of slides ratio a Parameter Y m ................................................ ................................................ (iii)Sumiyoshi district ................................................ Year Total number Area of slides ratio I966 1967 937 0.0196 1296 0.0403 1971 623 0.0130 a Parameter Y m 0.685 1.587 0.801 -0.316 1.215-0.544 0.448 0.771 -0.216 ................................................ (iv)Misumi district (v)R.Inubuse basin Year Total number Area of slides ratio a Parameter m Y ................................................ 1964 1972 1321 4054 0.0049 0.0151 0.067 0.000 0.116 0.934 -0.291 0.626 SIMULATION OF THE FUTURE SLIDE DISTRIBUTION AND MAPPING Of five districts investigated hitherto, in the case of Tsuchiyabara district(R.Kizu basin), the number of surface slides continues to increase So, the author tried to simulate the plane distribution of slides and to draw them on the map The simulation was done according to the flow chart shown in Figure 8 and following procedures; . . 1) As a basis, the distribution map of surface slides existing in 1971 was used and the area ratio was a/A = 0.0450(Table 3). 2) Establish maximum precipitation of each year and calculate annual value of area ratio. 3) In five years from 1971 to 1976, the increment of surface slides is a/A = 0.0042. 4) Substituting a/A = 0.0450 into formulas;(3), (4)and (5), the values of parameters were calculated as follows: a = 1.718, m = 1.363 and Y = -0.581. 5) Calculate by the equation (2), the ratio of each mesh(75mx75m) containing zero to nine slides, and multiplying them by the total number of meshes of the basin(1678 for Tsuchiyabara district), the real number of each mesh is estimated. Table 4 indicates the values of real and estimated number of meshes. 5) Draw the distribution map indicating hazardous mesh suffering from the occurrence of surface slides by the number of slides in 1976. Table 4--The estimated and real number of each mesh containing slides in 1976 (Tsuchiyabara district:R.Kizu basin) Number of slides Real in each mesh Number Ratio Area ratio Figure 7--Relation between the Weibull parameter and the area ratio Fix the value of area ratio 1 Estimation of Weibull parameters I Calculate the ratio of I each mesh in use of Weibull Distribution Function 1 I Decide the number of each mesh containing Estimated Number Ratio ................................................ 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 719 416 286 156 55 28 10 5 2 1 42.8 24.8 17.0 9.3 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 682 530 280 120 45 15 5 1 0 0 40.6 31.6 16.7 7.2 2.6 0.9 0.3 ................................................ Total number of slides:1936 Total number of meshe: 1678 Morphlogical analysis 46 0.1 0.0 0.0 1742 1678 I Draw the distribution map indicating hazardous mesh suffering from surface slides bs the number of slides Figure 8--Flow chart to map the hazardous zone of surface slides Before drawing the map, subsequent morphlogical analysis was done. In general, a knick point in the longitudinal profile of a stream is recognized as the place USDA Forest SewiceGen.Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 where mass movement occurs vividly and many slides also occur at this point. The knick point is located at the uppermost point of a river where a stream line disappear on the topographical map. A point of abrupt change of the inclination seen in the longitudinal profile of a slope can be the point of the occurrence of surface slides and this point can be distinguishes as where the relief of a mesh suddenly diminishes, in other words, the inclnation of the slope turns from steep to gentle when going upstream or going upwards on the slope on the relief map. In the first meaning, the stream line distribution map and in the second meaning, the relief map were used. Distribution map of the future slides The mesh on which the knick point is found and the mesh whose relief indicates the steep inclination are not always the same. So, both when two conditions are overlapped and when either condition is satisfied, the increase of number of slides in the mesh is decided, the former preferentially. As the total number of the meshes is limited, the meshes which are to be increased were selected carefully considering the topographical conditions surrounding them. Figure 9 shows the numerical map of simulated plane distribution of slides. The circled numerals in Figure 9 are those who make good guesses. There are 600 meshes among 1687 meshes, of which the place of the occurrences of slides were guessed and the ratio of the guess is about 35.8pct. Of meshes containg zero slide, there are 350 meshes among 682 meshes could be guessed and in this case, the ratio is 51.3pct. Consequently, the simulation could be considered to be done successfully, considering the complexity of the process of the mass movement on the mountain slopes. As for the total number of the surface slides, the real number exceeds the estimated value by 194 This is due to the difference of the number of meshes containing more than three slides in them. The estimated number of meshes containing one slide in them is fairly large. The ratio of the estimated value to the real value is 1.3, so this value could be considered as the safty factor and to prepare for the dangerousness of the disaster using hazard map, this value never seem to indicate the excess value. . ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The author greatfully acknowledge the contribution given by M. Ken Ashida, Master of Agriculture of Kyoto Prefectural University, for his contribution to discussion and drawing figures. REFERENCES (1) UCHIOGI Tamao 1971. Landslide due to One Continual Rainfall. Journal of Japan Soc. of Erosion Control Eng.: No.79, 21-34 (2) YOSHIMATSU Hiroyuki 1977. The Estimation of Expression on Landslides. Journal of Japan Soc. of Erosion Control Eng.: No.102, 1-9 (..3 ). HIURA Hiromasa 1988. Hazard M a ~ ~ i nin e Use of Surface ~1ide'Transition~ohk1.-1988 International Symposion "INTERPRAEVENT 1988 - GRAZ"; 297-313 Figure 9-Simulated slides distribution map of surface USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Experimental Study on Impact Load on a Dam Due to Debris Flow1 lwao Miyoshi2 ABSTRACT When a dam is struck by mud or debris flow, it is put under a great impact load and sometimes is destroyed. To prevent such destruction, it is important to perform basic research about the impact load on a dam due to debris flow. Thus, we have made an experimental study and tried to establish a method to estimate such a impact load on the dam. The experiment was performed with glass beads of 5mm in diameter as bulk solid, in an open channel which is 7m in length, and 15cm in both width and depth. In these experiments, the load on the dam was measured by a dam-type load measuring device, and simultaneously the behavior of the debris flow was observed by a high In speed video (200 frames per second). the high velocity area, the load consisted of the dynamic pressure on the flow, and most agree at each point in time with the one assessed from the flow's momentum variation. However there is no method to estimate debris flow's momentum variation on an obstructed object. Consequently, a model is proposed to estimate quantitatively the deformation of the flow and the load on the dam. The results from the computer simulation of this model agree well with the experimental results. INTRODUCTION Debris flow is one of the most disastrous phenomena in mountain.area. This is a flow of the mixture of soil, cobble, boulder, and water, that run down with great energy. The debris flow has given 1. 2. Paper presented at the XIX World Congress of the International Union of Forestry Research Organizations, Montreal, Canada, August 5-11, 1990. Department of Forestry, Kyoto University, Japan. huge damage to our life. To prevent this kind of disaster, we have made great efforts, and have built a great number of dams, as one of these efforts. Dams have a certain effect on the control of sediment transportation, and usually the energy of the debris flow is attenuated or completely dissipated by the time it reaches a dam or by a dam itself. Recently in Japan, where steep mountains are close to cities, the debris flow is stopped by a dam directly. However, when such a flow strikes a dam, it generates a great impact load, sometimes destroying the dam. In such a case, the debris flow increases its energy by taking up the sediment and water on the dam and the situation becomes more dangerous. To prevent such accident, it is important to establish a method to estimate the impact load on a dam, when the debris flow strike it. The impact load of debris flow can be roughly categorized in two groups by means of the generating mechanism (Mizuyama,1979). One is the load generated when boulders or floodwood in the flow hit the dams (solid impact load), and the other one is the load when the hydraulic bore of the debris as a fluid hits the dam (fluid impact load). The former tends to cause partial break of the concrete dam and the latter tends to cause large scale destruction of the dam. Therefore, from the stand point of disaster prevention, it is rather important to be able to estimate the fluid impact load. In Japan, the dynamic fluid load of the debris flow that decides the design strength of the concrete dam is accounted for from the dynamic pressure of debris flow as the steady jet flow as seen in follow equation. 2 F = Dqv = DAv (1) where F is the load, D is the bulk densi- USDA Forest ServiceGen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130. 1991 ty of the fluid, q is the discharge, v is the velocity, and A is the cross sectional area of the fluid. The dynamic pressure of the steady jet flow is the pressure on the wall during the steady jet flow changes its direction on the wall. Several previous works on the impact load on fluid theory can be seen. But if the behavior of the debris flows different from that of regular jet flow, then reconsideration is required. Hirao et a1.(1970) made an experimental study on impulsive force on the bank due to hydraulic bore. In their experiment, the pressure on the wall, which was fixed in the channel in right angle, was measured, when it was hit by hydraulic bore of a few kind o f fluid running down the channel. They reported that the measured load on the wall was 1.0-4.5 times lager than the load that calculated from the dynamic pressure of the flow as the steady jet flow. But the mechanism of load generation was not referred in this report. Miyamoto and Daido(1983) also studied on the impact load of muddebris bore on the bank. In this work, the load was discussed theoretically and some experiments had be made. But some simplifications in their theory make it hard to apply to actual phenomena directly. Some more previous works on similar themes can be seen, but those are not enough to estimate the impact load of the debris flow yet. In this paper, both the load and the behavior of the head part of debris flow is made clear on the basis of results of experiments ..and the load is discussed with the deformation of the flow head. EXPERIMENT A diagram of experimental apparatus is shown in Fig.1. The flow channel was made of steel and transparent acrylic board so that the side view of the flow can be observed. The size of the channel is 7m in length, 150mm in both width and depth. The channel bed was roughened by gluing glass beads (5mm in diameter) onto it. The channel's angle of inclination was 16 degree. Bulk solid were spherical glass beads with a diameter of 5mm and a specific gravity of 2.53. A t the upper end of the channel, main and sub water supply device were attached, and at the bottom, dam-type load measuring instrument was set. The front face of the dam was at a right angle to the channel direction and the size of loading board is 120mm height and 150mm width. The load on the dam-type measuring instrument was measured by a dynamic skrain meter and recorded by a oscillograph. As the same time, the side view of the flow on the dam was recorded by a high speed video recorder (200 frames per second). The glass beads were put on the channel bed on the upper side of the dam making a movable bed 4m in length with 50mm depth. The glassbeads were saturated entirely by water from the sub water supply device, and then, the pre-determinded volume of water from the main water supply device was released all at once, and this forced the glassbeads from Main water supply device Sub water supply device High speed video Movable bed Dam type load measuring instrument Fig. 1 Diagram of experimental apparatus 1991 USDA Forest ServiceGen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130. the movable bed to move downstream as a debris flow. The velocity of the debris flow could be controlled by the volume of water in the main water supply device. The debris flow was checked by the dam at the bottom of the channel; the load on the dam was measured and the behavior of the flow was recorded from the channel side by the high speed video recorder. The record of both the load and the behavior of the flow were to be analyzed on the same axis of time. For this purpose, a pilotlamp was turn on in the site of the video recorder, and simultaneously in common circuit, a signal was sent to the oscilograph. The flow's velocities were in the range of 0.4m/s to 2 4 s . In all cases, distinct hydraulic bores could be observed and the flow could be considered as a steady flow at the dam point. The load on the dam measured in the experiment was recorded by the oscirograph. The measured loads can be classified in three types by the variation in time as shown in Fig.2. The load in type A has a clear peak in a very short time (from 0.01 to 0.07second) after impact; t,he load in type B also become maximum in very short time, but doesn't have a clear peak; the load in type C increases rather slowly. The relations hi^ between the Time Time Fig.2 velocities and the measured maximum loads are shown in Fig.3. The measured maximum loads increased with the velocities and each type of the load has its velocity range. The morphology of the flow on the dam, when maximum load generated, varied with the velocity or/and type of the load. Fig.4 shows the side views of the each type's typical flow, when the maximum load was recorded. In the case of type C , when the maximum load generated, the dam was filled with debris. In this case, the load is relatively small and can be explained as the static load of debris. On the other hand, in the case of type A and B , in spite of rather larger maximum load, the static load is much smaller than that of type C. This means that, in the case of type A and B , the maximum load mainly consists of dynamic load. Consequently, it is important to estimate this dynamic load so as to estimate the impact load on the dam. In general, the dynamic load of debris flow has been discussed in comparison with the dynamic load of the steady jet flow in the same profile. Fig.5 shows the relationships between the velocities and the maximum measured load per cross section of the bore. The broken line "P" in Fig.5 is the dynamic pressure of the steady jet flow, calcu- Time Type of load Type A B I: O : Type I 0 50 1DO 150 velocity Fig.3 200 250 (cm/s) Relation between velocity and measured load Fig.4 Flow morphology when maximum load generated 1991 USDA ForestSelviceGen.Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130. lated in the relationship of eq.(2). 2 P = DV (2) The bulk density was determined to be 3 1.4gf/cm from results of preliminary experiments. This figure shows that the maximum load is larger than the one due to the dynamic pressure of steady jet flow at each velocity. Fig.6 and Table 1 shows the variation of the form of flow's head part and the measured load. After impact, the debris flow change its direction along the damfront surface just like the behavior of the jet flow. From 0.05 to 0.06 second after impact, the head part jumps up above the dam, and makes overflow. The maximum load measured at this point. Then the debris begins to stop and makes sedimentation from the corner between the channel bed and the dam face, and static part grows to the final sedimentation. The sedimentation makes the impact angle larger between the flow and the dam face and the load on the dam becomes smaller. Fig.7 shows the relationship between the velocity and timelag (the difference of time between the moment at which flow's head touch the dam face and at which the load become maximum). The timelag seems to be in inverse proportion to the velocity. In other words, the length of the head part of the flow, that reach the dam until maximum load arises, is constant (about lOcm in this experiment), in spite of the difference in velocity. This means that the shape o f the flow's head has an important role in the mechanism of load generation and that this part's properties should be adopted in estimating the impact load. I I Movable bed / f / / I ,, Channel bed Fig.6 1'0 c m / / Morphological variation of debris flow's head at intervals of 0.01 second Table 1 time Tine Load bet) (Kpf) Variation of impact load with -u - 1agXVelocity = lOcm a, "I e A A %A@ / x d ffl Z 0 50 100 150 Velocity Fig.5 a: Type A e: Type B A: Type C - 0 200 250 ( cm/s) Relation between velocity and maximum load per cross secsion area of flow USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 50 100 150 Velocity Fig.? 200 (cm/s ) Relation between velocity and time lag 250 A DISCUSSION OF THE LOAD ON THE BASIS MOMENTUM VARIATION OF THE FLOW HEAD OF In this chapter, the mechanism of load generation will be discussed in the relation with the variation of the load and the deforming process of the flow head. If the flow is in a fully steady state before the impact point, the debris flow' head, that include enough part concerning the generation of the impact load, can be treated as a series of momentum points. On the assumption that the flow depth of this part is equal in each section, the discussion can be made in two dimension. Then, this part is expressed as a plane with some mass on X-Y two dimensional axis, as shown in Fig.8, and the surEace line is described as a function h(x,t). At the time t , this fluid part exists in O<x<xe, and the center of gravity on X axis xg is in the relation of where, B is the width of channel. As a consequence, the load on the dam is regulated by the function h(x,t) that express the surface line of the flow head. These way of analysis was applied in results of the experiment. In this analysis, the head part of the flow, that include enough part concerning the generation of the impact load, is considered to be cut off and be independent from the following flow, as shown by the broken Fig.S(a) shows the line in Fig.S(a). morphology of the flow head at each 0.01 second interval after impact on the dam, that was observed in the experiment by the high speed video. The variation of the flow' gravity center is calculated from this morphological variation and the average loads that should be generated on the dam during each 0.01 second are The center of gravity given by this equation varies with the deformation of the flow head, and is defined as a function of time xg(t). Then, the acceleration of the gravity center is also defined as a function of time ag(t) as dt' It is the dam that gives the force which makes this acceleration, thus the load on the dam is described as follow. Fig.g(a) Behavior of the system of X material points in flow's head at interval of 0.01 second w -3 0 : Observed 0 : Calculated a a 0 A Time Fig.8 Model of flow head as a of material points system (sec Fig.S(b) Relation between measured and calculated load USDA Forest SelviceGen. Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 calculated from this and the bulk density. It is determined that the bulk density used in the calculation is to be 3 1.4g/cm The comparison between the measured and the calculated load is shown in Fig.S(b). The two loads are in good agreement until the maximum point, and this means that the impact load of the debris flow is regulated by the deformation of the debris flow head. After the maximum point, the measured load becomes lager than the calculated one. This difference may be caused by the static load due to sediment of the debris. a series of this behavior, the fluid goes up to y direction along y axis. when the fluid shifts its position, each part of the flow changes its flow depth from H to Hd. Hd at each time is decided by R which is the ratio of Hd and H (R=Hd/H). R is also a function of the distance from the flow front. These functions of the distance from the flow front can be transformed to the functions of the time by means of velocity. Therefore the load on the dam and the morphology of the flow head at each time can be obtained by completing these functions of time as Ht(t), Dt(t), Rt(t). The load can be described as a function of time as FLOW MODELING AND COMPUTER SIMULATION 2 Ft(t)=Dt(t)llt(t)Bv t . The impact load of the debris flow is regulated by the deformation of the debris flow head, as described in previous chapter. Therefore, the best method to roughly calculate the impact load is by estimating the deformation process of the flow head quantitatively using the initial conditions (flow velocity, flow depth, bulk density). Although h(x,t) may have complex form affected by many factors, here a simple model is proposed that is analogous to the behavior of a jet flow checked by a perpendicular wall. In this model, some functions are prepared. The original flow depth is to be described as a function of the distance from the flow front H(x). The bulk density in each part of the flow is also to be described as a function of the distance from the flow front too, to take up the effect of the density distribution in x direction. As shown in Fig.10, the debris flow flows from x direction to y axis which represent the dam face with keeping initial velocity. The flow come to y axis and shift its position on the surface of original flow at each time in order from the front and, as a result of (cml k, Bv d 7 -(Dt(t)Ht(t) . dt 2 Rt(t)) - Calculated Fig.ll(a) Comparison between observed and calculated morphology of debris flow head. (Each line indicates 0,0.1,0.3,0.5,0.7 second after impact ) - Calculated ----.Observed 0.05 Time Hd Fig. 1 0 0.1 ( sec) x Flow deformation model USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 (6) Fig.ll(b) Simulated result of impact load on high velocity(l.70m/s). -Calculated After some transformations are made on this equation, the maximum load can be expressed by giving each value of composing functions D t , Ht, Rt and their time differential functions (Dm, Hm, Rm, D'm, H'm and R'm respectively) at that time. K=lt HmR'm 2~ t - RmH'm v .---_. Observed D'm t - aomv Where K is a coefficient that mean ratio between the maximum load and load by dynamic pressure of a steady flow in same profile. the the jet Now this modeling is applied to the experiment. The composing functions are decided as follow. H(x), the function that represents the flow depth, is to be described in a simple form that suits the morphology of the flow head in each experimental run, as follow where, H10 is the flow depth at lOcm from the front; a and b are the parameters that are decided in each run for better suitabilities, which have the range of 0.5-0.7 and 0.6-0.7 respectably. This function is applied to about 20cm length in the flow front. D(x), the function that represents the bulk density in each part of the flow, is decided on the basis of the preliminary experiment, as a empirical equation. Fig.l2(a) C o m ~ a r i s o nbetween observed andcalcuiated morphology of debris flow head. (Each line indicates 0,0.1,0.3,0.5,0.7 second after impact. ) Calculated Observed Time (sec) Fig.lZ(b) Simulated result of impact load on low velocity. R(x) is the function that represents the deforming property of the flow, and also considered to express the ratio between the velocity components rise along the dam face and these which turn back to upstream after impact. This function is also decided so as to suit the experimental result. Fig.11 is the comparison between the observed and the calculated morphology of the flow's head and the load on the dam. The velocity of this flow is 170cm/s a 1 the flow depth at lOcm from the front is 4.8cm and parameter a and b in equation ( 9 ) are 0.5 and 0.6 respectively. The function R(x) used in this calculation is In this function, the x is given in unit. This function of the distance cm is 0 1 2 3 Load by dynamic pressure of steady jet flow 4 5 (Kgf) Fig.13 Relation between load by dynamic pressure of steady jet flow and measured load. 1991 USDA Forest ServiceGen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130. transformed to function of the time the velocity (170cm/s) as with Both the deforming process of the flow and the load on the dam are well simulated. Fig.12 is the simulated result of another experimental run, by same R(x). The velocity of this flow is 108cm/s, and the flow depth at lOcm from the front is 6.3cm, and the parameters of the flow depth function a , b are 0.7 and 0.7. The calculated results can be said to agree well with the observed one in spite that function R(x) is decided to suit for other experimental run. The difference of the load between the calculated and the observed after the maximum point is most likely caused by the effect of overflow above the dam, which is ignored in this model. The estimation of the maximum load is one of the most important problem in the practical aspect. The maximum load can be estimated with the model and the functions above. With these functions and the condition that the maximum load arises when vt=lOcm in this experiment (see Fig.7), eq.(9) is transformed to (13 Since Hm is in the range of 4.1-6.3 and parameter a is 0.5-0.7, b is 0.6-0.7 as the results of the experiments, K should be in the range of 1.47-2.70. Fig.13 is the relationship between the load by the dynamic pressure of steady jet flow and the maximum measured load. The calculated value of K expresses the entire tendency of the experimental results. CONCLUSION The impact load on the dam when debris flow strikes it was measured and the behavior of the flow was observed in 1991 USDA ForestServiceGen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130. the experiment. In the low velocity area, the measured load could be explained as the static load by the sediment of debris. On the other hand, in the high velocity area, the measured load was rather great and corresponded to the momentum variation ~f the debris flow head. Then a model was proposed that estimate the characteristic momentum variation of the debris flow. Both the load on the dam and the deformation process of the flow could be well simulated by means of this model. The measured maximum load was 1.47-2.70 times larger than the load by the dynamic pressure of the steady jet flow in same profile of each debris flow. In this way, the impact load on the dam due to debris flow has been made clear and, although more investigation will be required to apply this model to practical situations, the impact load can be estimated at least on an experimental level. REFERENCES Hirao,K. et a1 1970. An Experimental Study on Impulsive Force due to Hydraulic Bore. Journal of Japan Society of Erosion Control Engineering No.76 : pp.11-16. Miyamoto,K. and Daido,A. 1983. Study on the Impact load of Mud-Debris Bore on the Bank. Memoirs of the Research Institute of Science and Encineerinc. - . Ritumeikan Univ. No.42. : pp.61-79. Miyoshi,I. and Suzuki,M. 1990. Experimental Study on Impact Load on a Dam Journal of the Due to ~ e b r i sFlow: Japan Society of Erosion Control Engineering No.169. : pp.11-19. Mizuyama,T. 1979. Estimation of impact force on dam due to debris flow and its problems. Journal of the Japan Society of Erosion Control Engineering No.112 : pp.40-43. Sediment Dynamics of a High Gradient Stream in the Oi River Basin of Japan1 Hideji Maita2 Abstract: This paper discusses the effects of the valley width for discontinuities of sediment transport in natural stream channels. The results may be summarized as follows: 1)ln torrential rivers. deposition or erosion depend mostly on the sediment supply. not on the magnitude of the flow discharge. 2lWide valley floors of streams are depositional spaces where the excess sediment from the upper stream area is temporarily deposited. In the erosional process that follows, the sediment runs off down stream in a way that can be explained by an exponenti a1 process. STUDY AREA Topoqraphy and Geoloqy The Higashigochi river basin, with a drainage area of about 28 km2, is a small tributary of the Oi river system emptying into the Pacific side of Honshu Island. A 2406 meter peak, located at the north corner of the basin is the highest point, Numerous researches in the area of sediment control work in mountainous areas have been carried out. However, our Understanding of the effect of discontinuities in the history of sediment transport is still insufficient. In order to gain a fuller Understanding, it is first necessary to examine the morphology of streams in their natural state without sediment control structures. With this in mind we selected the Higashigochi basin of a small tributary of the Oi river as our study area. During 1982 the basin was subjected to a period of intense rainfall of more than 900mm This released abundant sediment, about 150,000m3 in the observed reach. As a result the morphology of the stream changed. Taking this opportunity, we were able to study and come to a greater understanding of the dynamics of sediment transport. This paper analyzes a series of changes in the mor~holos~ of a high gradient gravel-bed stream that resulted from nine floods. 'presented at the Subject Group 51.04 Technical Session on Geomorphic Hazards in Managed Forests, XIX World Congress, International Union of Forestry Research Organizations, August 5-1 1,1990, Montreal, Canada. '~ssistant Professor of the Institute of Agricultural and Forest Engineering. University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan Figure I--The study area. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 while the elevation of the confluence with the main river, about 770 meters, is the lowest point in the study area. This gives a relief of about 1640 meters over a linear distance of 7.5 km. Reflecting this high relief, slopes are in general very steep with an average of about 38' (Fig. I). The bedrock is mainly composed of shale and sandstone from the Cretaceous period. The rock is generally fractured because the basin is situated in the high, uplifting zone of the Japanese Southern Alps. As a result of these topographical and geological conditions, the ratio of landslide scars to the area of the basin is 2.9 percent and this figure reaches 7.6 percent in the upper basin. Stream C h m U i ! ! 2 2 Observed reach The observed reach extended about 1 km, where the stream, coming through the V-shaped narrow valley first meets a wide floor of about 40 to 130 meters. Then the stream again enters a narrow valley section at the end of the observed reach (Fig. 4). The gradient of the stream bed in the observed reach ranges from 1/8 to 1/15. Because no modification of the channel of the reach by sediment control structures had been undertaken, we were able to examine the morphology of the channel in its natural state. METHOD In this research we regarded the actual stream channel itself as the place for the field experiments. As a result, various measurements The longitudinal profile of the Higashigochi river is shown in Figure 2. This figure shows that the stream is steep and the profile can be divided into three parts in terms of it5 gradient. The lower part, with a gradient of about 1/30, the middle part with a sradient of about 1/20 and the upper section the sradient of which is more than 1/10. The observed reach was located in the upper section. As to the planar shape of the stream, the meander and the variation of channel width is remarkable. - According to the climatic records at the Sannosawa station (Fig. I ) , the average rainfall between the months of April and November from 1970 to 1981 was about 2,500 mm. Consequently, the mean annual precipitation may reach about 3,000 mm, but it is very variable. 5 0 Climate Figure 2--The longitudinal profile of the Higashigochi river. The mean annual temperature is 9.E°C, with the highest temperature occurring in August and the lowest in January. Temperature records of daily maxima and minima suggest that freeze/thaw processes are normally active from the latter half of November to the first half of April (Fig. 3). Veqetation Vegetation is predominantly deciduous below the 1,500-1.800 meter zone and conifers dominate at higher elevations. Below the 1.500-1,800 meter zone, Japanese cedar (Chryptomeria japonica D. Don), Japanese cypress (Chamaecyparis obutusa S. et Z.) and Japanese larch (Larix leptolepis Gordon) have been planted. F MONTH Figure 3--The climate of the study area. USDA ForestServiceGen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130.1991 10 DISTANCE FRON THE CONFLUENCE(km) were carried out in the study area. In order to record a sequence of changes in the channel morphology of the observed reach, whenever a river bed fluctuation occurred over the period 1979 to 1985, the leveling of 22 cross sections of the observed reach at intervals of about 50 meters was carried out(Fig. 4). Plane surveying was mostly carried out at the same time. The vertical and horizontal distribution of the grain size of the stream bed was investigated after the river bed fluctuations in September 1980 and September 1982. In order to measure the volume of the deposits on the bedrock of the observed reach, seismic prospecting was carried out after the river bed fluctuation in August 1981. Rainfall was measured by several rain gauges placed around the basin (Fig. I ) and the flood discharge was calculated by a storage function run-off model below (Maita et al. 19841. 0.I4,,-O. 4 Pz0.6, K = 8 . 6 ~ ~ ' ~ * .TI=2.5A Sl=KQP . Here. SI is the hypothetical storage depth of rainwater over a basin considering the time lag TI between rainfall excess re and flood discharge Q, and A is the area of a basin. SHAPE CHANGES OF THE STREAM CHANNEL Threshold Rainfall Nine river bed fluctuations were confirmed in the observed reach from 1979 to 1985. Table I shows the largest values recorded for the continuous rainfall and hourly rainfall measured at several precipitation stations. It also shows the maximum calculated peak discharge at the end of the observed reach for each of the rainfall events and when a river bed fluctuation occurred. Table I--The magnitude of rainfall and discharge for each flood . flood name continuous rai nfal 1 (mm) max. hourly rainfal l (mm/h) peak discharge (m3/s) Figure 4--The observed reach after the 8209 flood and the location of the cross sections USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 8506 Q SCALE From the f i g u r e s in Table 1, i t seems t h a t a continuous r a i n f a l l level of about 200 mm o r a maximum hourly r a i n f a l l of about 30 mm is t h e threshold r a i n f a l l f o r a r i v e r bed f l u c t u a t i o n in the Higashigochi r i v e r basin. Such f i9ureS occurred about once every 1.3 t o 1.5 years. Chanses of Channel Shape Figure 5 shows t h e lowest longitudinal Stream bed p r o f i l e in t h e observed reach. The p r o f i l e , formed by t h e 8208 flood ( t h e flood in August 19821, is divided into two s t a g e s . One. shown a s 82081 in Figure 5, i s t h e bed p r o f i l e of the depositional peak. The o t h e r , shown a s 8208I1 , i s t h e p r o f i l e a f t e r t h e recession flow of t h e 8208 flood p a r t i a l l y eroded t h e buried bed. Because of t h e c l a r i t y of t h e p r o f i l e changes, each p r o f i l e is compared t o t h e p r o f i l e a f t e r t h e 8009 flood ( t h e flood in September 19801. Other floods were named in t h i s manner. Figure 5--The changes in t h e lowest lon9i tudinal stream bed p r o f i l e i n t h e observed reach. n E BED PROFILE OF THE D E P O S l T l O N A L P E O K IN E w = 0 C 4 =rim -1 W DISTANCE FROM THE CONFLUENCE(km) Figure &-The changes i n t h e longitudinal bed p r o f i l e of t h e 3.3 km of stream between a check dam and t h e observed reach before and a f t e r t h e 8208 flood. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Figure 6 shows the longitudinal stream bed P r o f i l e of t h e approximately 3 . 3 km of stream between a check dam and the observed reach before and a f t e r t h e 8208 flood. As shown in Figure 4 and 5, t h e l a r g e deposition of t h e 8208 flood was caused by a continuous r a i n f a l l of 933 mm and an hourly r a i n f a l l of 69.5 mm ( a recurrence i n t e r v a l of more than 30 y e a r s ) , which Typhoon no. 10 produced between August 1 and 3, 1982 (Fig. 7 ) . This event r a i s e d t h e stream bed from 3 meters t o 8 meters. Subsequently, rapid erosion ensured t h a t the bed p r o f i l e regained its former shape very rapidly. As shown i n Figure 6, t h e check dam had no influence on t h e deposition in the observed reach caused by t h e 8208 flood. Besides i t was noted t h a t t h e r e was almost no d r i f t wood debris in the observed reach in s p i t e of such a l a r s e flood. Figure 8 shows the changes in the cross s e c t i o n a l channel p r o f i l e s i n t h e observed reach. The black shaded p a r t s of t h e diagram represent deposition. Erosion i s shown by the unshaded area between t h e l i n e s describing t h e cross section. The l a r g e deposition almost f l a t t e n e d t h e bed in t h e observed reach. After the flood, incision of t h e stream hed meant t h a t these p r o f i l e s nearly recovered t h e i r former shape. The recovery was more rapid in t h e narrow p a r t of t h e valley than in t h e wide p a r t . Figure 9 shows t h e changes in t h e planar shape of t h e stream bed in t h e observed reach. The l a r g e deposition not only caused l a r g e changes in t h e planar shape but a l s o t h e location of t h e thalwegs. The erosional process of t h e stream bed meant t h a t t h e shape of t h e bed returned t o its former shape and t h e thalwegs returned t o t h e i r former positions. Thus, l a r g e depositions have a marked e f f e c t on the stream bed but t h e s e changes a r e not permanent and t h e erosional process causes t h e channel shape t o r e v e r t to i t s former one. toy Figure 8--Some examples of the changes in the cross sectional profiles in the observed reach. Figure 9--The changes in the planar shape of the stream bed in the observed reach. The black shaded parts of the diagrams represent the low water flows. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 other hand, erosion caused the grain size to become larger as the smaller sediment was removed from the stream bed. WANT ITAT IVE CHANGES OF RIVER BED FLUCTUATION Changes - Figure 7--The observed hyetograph in the study area and the calculated hydrograph at the end of the observed reach in the 8208 flood. 7+ LINE(LEFT BANK) O ,,"ean range of the Volume of Deposit Figure I 1 shows the changes of the volume of the deposits on the bedrock in the observed reach. This was found by using the volume of the river bed fluctuation and cross sectional bedrock Profiles measured by seismic prospectins in October 1981. The volume of the river bed fluctuation can be obtained by the following steps. First, as shown in Fisure 12, the volume of the river bed fluctuation of the segment is calculated by the equation below. unit: cm ,:grain diameter locm Fisure 10--The structure of the deposit formed by the 8208 flood at 7t line. Here, V is the volume of the river bed fluctuation of the segment, L is the distance between two adjacent cross sections, El 1 ,E12,..etc, and Dl 1 ,D12,..etc, are the areas surrounded by the two cross sectional profiles before and after a flood at the Al cross section. EIl,E12,..etc, represents the area eroded and is negative, DIl,D12,..etc, represents the deposited area and is positive. E21,E22,..etc, and 021,D22,..etc, represent the same variables measured at the A2 cross section. The volume of the river bed fluctuation of the observed reach can be obtained by taking the sum of the volumes of each segment. Thus, the overall volume may be positive or negative in sign. As can be seen from Figure 1 1 , the volume of the depo3its was decreased gradually to about 120,000 m by the process of erosion between 1980 and 1981. But the 8208 flood jn 1982 deposited sediment of more than 150,000 m and the total volume 05 sediment on the bedrock increased to 270,000 m . Af5er that, it decreased rapidly to about 130,000 m . As the changes between 1982 and 1985 show, the erosional process continued in the observed reach after the 8208 flood despite the fact that there were some large rainfalls in this period. This means that there was little sediment in the upper basin of the observed reach because unstable debris had been mostly swept from the stream beds and the slopes of the upper basin by the heavy rainfall associated with the 8208 flood. Structure of Deposits Formed by the 8208 Flood ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION Fisure 10 shows the structure of the deposit formed by the 8208 flood at 7+ line shown in Fisure 4. Although the deposition was formed by one flood there are several parts with laminar structures. As Iseya et a1.(1990) described, it is thought that this structure was formed when a shallow and high velocity flow transported heterogeneous sediment, raising the bed at a high rate. Because of the large deposition, the grain size of the stream bed became smaller. On the Figure 13 shows the relation between the absolute value of the river bed fluctuation in the observed reach and the peak flow discharge. This peak flow discharge was adopted as an index of the magnitude of discharge. As the graph shows, the volume of the river bed fluctuation is not always large in comparison with the increase of flow discharge and it seems probable that the ordering of the floods is an important factor. To attempt to unravel this complicated USDA ForestServiceGen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130.1991 I\*' W u ( - 51 er 4 e betore a flood A n 3 f: 101 k( ma/: r u w n. ( X u, IOS mS 201 - Uu C E V1 0 Y n. PC w n n w w > e PC Figure 12--The schematic diagram to obtain the volume of the river bed fluctuation. IOC relationship, the idea of the specific volume of the river bed fluctuation was introduced. The specific volume was obtained by dividing the volume of the river bed fluctuation by the peak discharse adopted as an index of the flood discharse. k m 0 0 w w == * > 2 -1 0 1 0 ORDER OF F L O O D O C C U R R E N C E Figure 11--The changes of the volume of the deposits on the bedrock in the observed reach. Figure 14 shows the specific volume of the river bed fluctuation in the observed reach arranged in the order in which the floods occurred. As this graph shows, a regularity is The specific volume decreases apparent. exponentially in the erosional process following the large deposition of the 8208 flood. As shown in Figure 15, this regularity of the erosional process in the observed reach can be expressed by the following exponential equation. Here S is the specific volume of the river bed fluctuation per unit distance, t is the occurrent order expressed as 1 2 etc, during the erosional process. In the case of the series of events in the observed reach a is 3.3 and 8, Figure 13--The relation between the absolute value of the river bed fluctuation in the observed reach and the peak flow discharge. Figure 16 shows the different ways in which the specific volume decreases during the erosional process, depending on the width of the valley . This difference can be expressed in terms of the parameters of the exponential equation above. In the wider parts of the valley in the observed reach (average width 72 meters), n is 3.3 and 3, is 0.8. In the narrower parts in the observed reach (average width 50 meters), n is5.0and p is 1.4. Thus, as thevalley becomes wider p decreases. It is believed that ,3 can be used as an index to shown how the valley floor width influences the volume of the river bed fluctuation. USDA Forest ServiceGen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 (8209X6305X8308X830SX8506) t : ORDER OF FLOOD OCCURRENCE ORDER OF F L O O D OCCURRENCE Fiqure i6--The different ways in which the specific volume decreases during the erosional process, depending on the width of the valley. Figure 14--The specific volume of the river bed fluctuation in the observed reach arranged in the order in which the floods occurred. CONCLUSION The magnitudes of the flow discharge and the river bed fluctuation did not exhibit a one to one correspondence. We were able to find a regularity in the quantitative changes by arranging the river bed fluctuations in the order of the occurrence of the floods. This implies that the history of sediment transport plays an important role. That is to say, when little unstable debris remains in the upper reaches and slopes of the basin, a trend towards the erosion of the river bed continues even if a larger flood occurs. Thus, in torrential streams in headwater regions, deposition or erosion depend mostly on the sediment supply, not on the magnitude of the flow discharge. t : ORDER OF FLOOD OCCURRENCE Figure 15--The exponential relation between the specific volume in the observed reach and the order of the flood occurrence during the erosional process. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 The valley floor width is closely related to the dynamics of sediment transport. In the erosional process, the specific volume of the river bed fluctuation decreases rapidly in narrow valley floors, but only decreases slowly in wide floors. On the other hand, in the depositional Process, the wider the valley floors are, the more sediment from the upper reach they can retain. Therefore, the wide valley floors of a stream are depositional spaces where the excess sediment from the upper stream area is temporari IY deposited. In the erosional process that follows, sediment runs off down stream in a way that can be explained by an exponential process. In other words, wide valley floors represent spaces that retard sediment transport. I thank Michio Kaijo, Motoyuki Sunasaka, Teruo Otsubo, Toru Endo, Akira Takinami, Masanori Wade and Kunihiro Segawa, Agricultural and Forestry Research Center, University of Tsukuba, for their assistance to the field work. REFERENCES Iseya, Fujiko; lkeda Hiroshi; Maita Hideji. 1990. Fluvial deposits in a torrential gravel-bed stream by extreme sediment supply: sediment structure and depositional mechanism. The 3rd International Workshop on Gravel-Bed Rivers, Florence,ltaly, September 25-29.1990. Maita, Hideji; Otsuho,Teruo; Kaijo, Michio. 1984. Hydraulic geometry in a natural torrent. Transactions, the 95th Meeting of the Japanese Forestry Society: 641-643 (in Japanese). USDAForest ServiceGen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Snow-Cover Condition in Japan and Damage of the Sugi (Cryptomeria Japonica D. Don)' Hideaki Taira2 Abstract: Japan is one of the most snowiest regions in the world. Particularly the mountainous area of Honshu (the main island), along the Japan Sea has heavy snow in winter. In some places, snow piles up more than four meters and the ground is coverd with snow about one hundred and forty days a year. The sugi tree is widely planted in snowy regions, and snow-pressure damages, such as basal bending, occure in juvenile stands, and after that crown snow-damage, such as stem breakage, happen in younger stands about 10-30 years-old. Basal bending is formed by the difference in recovery rate between the upper part and the lower part of the stem during growing season. Root damage occurs when the stem is prostrated, and the compression wood is formed in the process of the reelection of the fallen stem. Crown snow-damage happens during the condition of comparative warm air temparatures ranged from three degrees below zero to three degrees above zero. The strength of the stem against crown snow-damage depends on the diameter of the tree, tree taper,constunt rr for the root, and the modulus of elasticity. Pulling up the fallen stem, and controlling the tree density are important in preventing these snow damage. Introduction: It is said that Japan is the snowiest region in the world. The Japan sea area of Honshu has a lot of snow every year. Though the snow protects plants from severe coldness in winter and is an important source of water, it also is the cause of damages such as basal bending and stem breakage. The sugi is an important spicese for reforestation in Japan and the total area of sugi reforestation exceeds 4.15 million ha., making it about 48 percent of the total artifical forest in Japan. The sugi is widely planted. in snowy regions, but suffer many kinds of snow damages every year. Basal bending, stem breakage,stem bending and uprooting are recognized problems in the sugi reforestation, and these snow damages are classified in to two types; one is snow-pressure damage which occurs in younger aged USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 trees until1 they are about ten-years-old and the other is crown snow-damages which occur in trees over ten years old. But the types of snow damage depends on the snow-cover condition. The author will talk about the relationship between the snow-cover condition in Japan and the type of snow damage, the mechanism of main snow damage and its control. THE SNOW COVER CONDITION IN JAPAN AND SNOW DAMAGE The mean annual maximun snow depth of Japan is shown in Fig-1. A high percentage of snowy areas are distributed along the Japan Sea, and in some areas, snow depth exceedes four meters.ln contrast there is only about 10-50 centimeters in the area along the Pacific Ocean, and the mountainous area of Shikoku and Kyushu island, and most areas of Shikoku, Kyushu and the southern part of the main island have less than 10 centimeters. The Pacific Ocean Fig.-1. Distribution map of annual maxmun snow depth crn C 0.. 0 LO 80 120 160 Basal bending 200 c rn Fig.- 2. The relation between annual maxmun snow depth and basal bending Quality of snow also varies. There is dry snow in Hokkaido, and the northern and mountainous areas of Honshu, but in the area along the Japan Sea there is wet snow which sticks easily on trees. Snow pails up on the tree crown, and causes stem breakage, which is called crown snow-damage. Also in the Pacific Ocean area of Honshu, crown snow-damage occurs when tropical low pressure passes by the Pacific Ocean and brings wet snow in early spring. The relationship between basal bending and the mean annual snow depth are shown in Fig-2. Basal bending is about 20 centimeters in the areas where snow depth is below 1 meter. As the snow depth reaches 2 meters, basal bending increase over 60 centimeters, and at depths over 2.5 meters, basal bending increase to 178 centimeters. Basal bending increases as the snow depth increases. Fig: 3 Basal bending of cryptomeria Fig.- 4. Crown snow-damage of cryptomeria USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Less snowy region (less than 1.0 m ) ---._ ___ --..- - - - - _ _- - - - - - _ _ _ . Tree height less than 1.5 n Stem is Pressed on the ground Less damage ------_____ ---__ .... Tree height 4-5 m Tree is unburied by snow m Tree height 2-3 Leaning stem Damage of roots begin - - - - _ _- _- - - _ _ _ Tree height more than 10. height 6-7 Crown snov-damage occur Turn over, stem breakage, crack of stem occur under much snow rree - - - .-_ - -_ _ _ -_- - _ _ _ Heavy snowy region (more than 2.5 m ) . -*1- - - - - - - _ _- - - _ _ * Stem is Pressed on the ground Damage of roots begin. Roots come out under the stem Fig.- 5. Tree is buried by snow Turn over,stem breakag, crack of stem occur. Under Part of stem is transformed into root Stem is stabilized by developed roots, s o the tree is unburied Variation of snow damage of cryptomeria by relation between snow depth and tree height The extent of tree damage varies according to the snow depth and tree height(Fig-5). In areas with snow depths of less than 1.0 meters, only trees less than 2.0-2.5 meters in height are prostrated in winter. Root damage is not serious and stem breakage which becomes fatal seldom occurs. As the tree reaches more than 2.0-2.5 meters in height, the stem does not prostrate with average snow fall depth. However, in heavy snow the p o & ~ b ~ l ~ t yof stem breakage and cracklng at the bottom of the stem Increases and many trees fall and pull out their roots. Snow damage on trees varies from the pulling out of roots to stem breakage (als ocalled crown snow-damage). Crown snow-damage occurs in trees more than 10 meters in height because the stem becomes stiff (and hence, resistant to bending ) and the roots are large enough to resist stem prostration. In regions of heavy snow, the young stem repeatedly prostrates and the uprooting of the trees is common. The new roots develop under the part of stem still touching the ground, and the tree then develops resistance against futher prostration. The effects of snow damage during the growing stages rangs USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130.1991 from pulling out stem of roots to the cracking of thethe basal stem and brakage. In areas with depths of over 2.5 meters of snow, the ratio of dieing trees due to snow damage increases drastically, and it is difficult to forest the sugi in this area. THE MECHANISUM OF MAIN SNOW DAMAGE Snow Pressure Damage The stem of the sugi leans with the initial snow fall and is buried by subsequent snow falls. The snow-covered stem is pressed down by the weight of the accumulated snow and subsequent sedimentation of snow, and is subjected to elastic strain, elastic after-strain and permanent deformation. In younger trees ( one to two years ) where stems are soft and thin, the stress is mainly put on the stem and the stem does not lean from the base when the snow press it down on the ground. But,for trees more than three-years-old (height : 67 1.5-2.0 nmeters), the stem leans from the base because of the increase in its bending stiffness. In early spring after the release of snow pressure,the stem begins its straightening process with rapid, simple elastic recovery, then elastic after-strain follows. The -stem completes its recovery through elastic after-strain until the end of April or early May at which time the stem resumes its recovery with growth and the formation of compression wood. For one-and two-year old trees, stem straigthening is completed by the middle of June or early July ; after that, some of the trees increase in weight with tree growth, and this also contributes to the basal bend formation (Fig-6). Since straightening of the stem with growth is great in one-, two-and three-year-old trees, there is less basal bending on these trees. On the other hand, since straightening of the leaning stem decreases with age, there is greater basal bending in older trees. The recovery rate observed at each stem positions varies in relationship to the stem's distance from the base. The nearer the stem is to the base, the slower the recovery rate. This difference in recovery rate at various stem positions causes basal bending (Fig-7). The basal bending of the sugi increases every year. During the early stages of growth, snow depth has no effect on the basal bending of the sugi, but, when the tree attains a height of more than 1.5 meters, increase in snow depth greatly affects stem prostration resulting in greater basal bending. In addition to the two factors mentioned, the slope of the site also affects basal bending. if the snow depth and the height of tree are the same, the stem prostration is affected by the slope. As the slope steepens, the stem prostration increases resulting basal bending. amount of degree of amount of in greater When the stem is prostrated by snow, the roots suffer damage at the upper part by stretch, at the lower part by pressure, and at the left and right sides by twist. The left and right twisting of the roots, however, does not badly injure them so that they can develop well on both side of the slope. Roots on the down slope side are only slightly damaged due to an increase on the compression force. But roots on the upper slope side are the ones that are severely damaged. They are pulled out,resulting in poor root development. Therefore, mature bent trees have deformed roots and large side roots (Fig-8). In areas with snow depths of less than 1.0 meters, most of the trees more than 2.5 meters in height are not easily prostrated and the amount of stem prostration is small. Hcnce, the damage on roots is not so severe and the roots develop normally. In areas of heavy snow, beside root damage and deformation, the lower part of the stem is transformed into roots. When this stem touches the ground due to the weight of snow, roots start to develop from it and the part touching the ground is transformed into a main root. Roots on both the side and the lower part of the slope are not easily damaged and hence, can develop well. The transformation of the lower part of the stem into a main root increases the resistance of tree against prostration by snow. Morever, the tree is not readily buried in the snow because the transformed main roots effectively prevent stem prostration. Horizmlal deuiafion(cm) Fig.- 6. Process of straightening of t h e prostrated s t e m o f a typical 2-year-old t r e e Fig.- 7. Relationship between t h e d e v i a t i o n from former position ( f ) and r a t e s of straightening o f prostrate s t e m s ((rlf) x 100) a t each position during a growing season USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Fig: 8 Deformation of roots After basal bending is stabilized, surface roots on the down slope develop and the diameter of the lower stem increases towards the down slope. Therefore, the curve of the lower part of the stem is apparently corrected. Crown Snow-Damage Snow damage after basal bending has stabilized is called crown snow- damage. It is the phenomena in which the stems are broken by an accelerating snow load on the tree crown. This is roughly classfied into breakage of the stem, breakage of the tip of the stem, and uprooting. Uprooting is the predominant damage among trees less than twenty-years-old, and is sometimes difficult to distinguish from snow pressure damage. Breakage of stem is common in twenty-to thirty-years old stands, and this stand is most sensitive to snow crown damage. In stands More than thirty-years-old, the breakage of the tip of the stem is common, but it is not serious. Also trees with larger stems are more resistant to crown snow-damage than those with smaller stems. But it is difficult to evaluate tree strength against snow crown damage by the shape factor of stem. It is only a comparative standard and it dose not become an absolute one. As mentioned before, crown snow-damages is the phenomena in which the stem is broken by an unendurable snow load, so crown snow-damages can look as if the broken stem is a failure of the tapered column receiving an eccentric compressive load of snow, i .e. the buckeling load (PC,) of stem can be estimated by the following equation. USDAForestServiceGen.Tech.Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 PC, = u 2 * r S 2 -E*I./L2 r ,' : satisties following the equation tan r/r=-I /81a-u r 2 *L2-IoIL 6 : ratio of taper the stem 8:I - S E :Mudulus in elasticity L : Height of gravity of a snow-laded crown I,: Second moment of cross cection base at the stem It is understood from the equation that the strengthen against snow crown damage is determined by the diameter of the stem, the taper of the stem, the height of gravity of a snowload, modulus in elasticity in bending, the u-index whose value was obtained from the regression coefficient between the turning angle of the tree stem and the turning moment at the stem base. The estimated breaking load is 200-500 kilogram of trees about 20 centimeters at diameter breast height and is agreed with the experimental load which is gotten from broken trees receiving vertical loads as shown Fig-11 . CONTROL METHODS OF MAIN SNOW DAMAGE Many methods of controlling snow damage have been adapted in the past.0f these control methods, the author will mentioned the most useful ones in this paper. Snow Pressure Damage As the cause of basal bending of young trees is stem prostration by snow, pulling up the fallen stem is the most effective method of . .. ~ i11. ~ ~ . i of~ snow-loaded ~ ~ ~trcc . and vertical loading test procedure for resistance of tree stem (Hakntani and othcrs.l981). Legend: G : lhc ccntcr of grrvily of r m o w l a d m crown. a : h o r i z m l r l dirptjlccment of the cenlcr oigrav. ily o i the snow.iadcn crown lrom the rlem axis. P: snow lord. 8: lurning rndc ~t the stem bate. L: hcighl of the cenlcr o i gravity 01 the mowladen crown lrom lhc ground. 6 : delicction at the height L. D.: dismeler 11 the r i m bare, A : dirmclcr nl the hcighl L. control. In regions of heavy snow, slant planting which deforms the roots is adaptable because the deformed roots is unsusceptible to stem prostration. Fertizetion increases tree growth, but basal bending also increases at the same time. The degree of basal bending is different largely among the cultivares, so planting of small bend cullivares is an effective way to reduce basal bending. But, it is hard to lean with initial snow, so cultivares with a small degree of basal bending were less frequent in stems leaning under snow, but many stem breakage were observed in heavy snow regions (with snow depths over 1.5 meters). Crown Snow-Damage One of the most effective methods for controlling crown snow-damage is to decreas the height/diameter ratio by control 1 ing stand density. The most desirable stand density is 800 -1200/per hectare at planting, and repeated thinnings are requied when the competition occurs in the stand as the tree grow. Also, as modulus in elasticity in bending is different in the cultivarer, it is important to choose cultivar with large modulus in elasticity in bending for forest owners in the area of much crown snow-damage. LITERATURE CITED Fujimori, T. ; Matsuda, and Kiyono, Y. 1987. Stand structure and snow damage in relation to stand age -Sugi plantations in Fukui prefecture in the 1981 heavy-snowfall-. Journal of Japan forest society ~.fiR(3): ...., 96-106 .Kato, A.; Taira, H. and Nakatani, H. 1986. Differences of snow damage and resistive performance of tree stem in three Sugi - - - - - 70 cul tivars. B G letin ~ of the Toyama prefectual forest experiment station 11: 7-17. Kato, A. ; Nakatani, H. ; Taira, H. and Aiura, H. 1988. Estimation snow-load required to cause stem failure in Boka-sugi stand. Journal of the Toyama forestry and forest products research center 1: 1-6. Katsuta, M. and Matsuda, K. 1984. Differences in the damage from snow crowning among Cryptomeria japonica cultivars (1). Rinboku no ikusyu ( Forest tree breeding ) 131: 12-17. Kitamura, M. 1981. Uber die Schneeshaden des SugiBestandes in Schneereichen Gebiet Japans. Beitrage zur Wildbacherosions Lawinenforschung (4). FBVA. Wine: 257-262. Maeda, T.; Miyakawa, K. and Tanimoto, T. 1985. Vegitation and regeneration of beech forest in Gomisawa (Niigata Prefecture).- Performance of Sugi planted in beech forest zone and a proposaI for natural regeneration in the zone -. Bulletin of the government forest experiment station 333: 123-171. Nakatani, H. ; Kato, A. ; Taira, H. ; Iijima, Y. and Sawada, M. 1984. Deflection and resistance performance of tree stems subjected to snowload in sugi stands, Journal of the Japan wood research society 30(11): 886-893. Nitta, R. 1983. The variety of heavy-snowfall conditions causing disastrous forest damage during the winter of 1980181, Trans. 94th meeting of Japan forest society: 727-728. Shidei, T. 1954. Studies on the damages on forest tree by snow pressures. Bulletin of the government forest experiment stastion 73 : . -- 1-68. Taira, H. 1982. The influence of differences in the degreeof initial snow throw effected by early winter snow on basal bending in young sugi( Cryptomeria japonica D. Don ). J. Jap. For. soc. 64: 453-460. -. 1984. The process of bend forming and USDA ForestService Gen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130.1991 reerecting of the lower part in the stem due to the snow pressure and the tree weight increase in Tateyama sugi ( Cryptomeria japoni ca D.Don). Bei trage zur Wi ldbacherosions -und Lawinen-forschung(5) .FBVA. WI EN: 139-147. ----. 1985. Basal-bend formation in young sugi ( Cryptomeria japonica D.Don ). J. Jap. For. soc. 67:. 11-19. -. 1986. Eeffects of inclined planting, fertilization and tying up the stem with rope on characters in young sugi ( Cryptomeria japonica D,Don ).J. Jpn. For. soc. 68:333-337. -----. 1987. The study of mechanism of Sugi . basal bending and its control methods, Bulletin of the Toyama prefectual forest USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep.PSW-GTR-130. 1991 experiment station. 12: 80. 1988. The role of snow in coniferous stem bend formation Beilrage zur Wildbacherosions -und Lawenenforschung(7). FBVA. WIEN. 275-283. Takahashi, K. and Nitta. R. 1984. Wind' s role in snow damage distribution at two man-made forests, Trans. 95th meeting of Japan forestsciety: 309-310. Tsukahara, H. ; Ohtani, H. and Suto. S. 1975. The bending of root sides of the forest trees planted by Cryptomeria seed1 ings on the steep stands in the heavy snowrr region. Jurnal of Yamagata agriculture and forestry sociaty. 32: 21-30. ----. Study on Shearing - Force and Impact Force of a Volcanic Mud Flow on Mt. Sakurajimai Yoshinobu Taniguchi2 Abstract: Two k i n d s o f s h e a r i n g stress m e t e r s ( t y p e A a n d t y p e B ) were s e t on t h e c h a n n e l b o t t o m i n t h e Arimura R i v e r a n d t h e Mochiki R i v e r on M t . S a k u r a j i m a . V o l c a n i c mud f l o w s t a k e p l a c e t h e r e a b o u t 100 t i m e s a year. The r e s u l t s o f t h e s u r v e y s demonstrated t h a t t h e a c t u a l s h e a r i n g f o r c e o f a v o l c a n i c mud f l o w on M t . S a k u r a j i m a was from 0 . 4 6 t o 2 . 5 0 k g f / c m 2 . The a c t u a l impact f o r c e c a u s e d by c o l l i s i o n s of b i g s t o n e s , which were c o n t a i n e d i n a mud f l o w , w i t h t h e c h a n n e l b o t t o m was c a l c u l a t e d t h e o r e t i c a l l y a t a b o u t 1 5 times g r e a t e r t h a n t h e d e a d l o a d s o f t h e s t o n e s . The c o l l i s i o n o f s t o n e s i n a mud f l o w c a u s e d g r e a t a b r a s i o n of c o n c r e t e , A g r e a t number o f v o l c a n i c mud f l o w s t a k e p l a c e e v e r y y e a r on M t . S a k u r a j i m a i n s p i t e o f l i t t l e r a i n f a l l . They o f t e n damage b o t h dams a n d c h a n n e l s , a n d a l s o t h r e a t e n t h e i n h a b i t a n t s of S a k u r a j i m a . I n t h i s s t u d y , t h e magnitude of t h e a c t u a l s h e a r i n g f o r c e o f a v o l c a n i c mud f l o w was r e s e a r c h e d i n o r d e r t o make c l e a r t h e mechanism o f t h e d e s t r u c t i o n a n d t h e a b r a s i o n o f a dam o r a c o n c r e t e c h a n n e l i n t o r r e n t s o f M t . S a k u r a j i m a . The d a t a were a n a l y z e d by t h e t h e o r i e s o f h y d r a u l i c s a n d t h e c o l l i s i o n o f a n e l a s t i c b o d y . The cause of d e s t r u c t i o n and t h e a b r a s i o n of a dam o r a c o n c r e t e c h a n n e l b y mud f l o w s c o u l d b e c l a r i f i e d t o some e x t e n t from t h e r e s u l t s of these surveys. SEDIMENT YIELD ON M T . SAKURAJIMA M t . S a k u r a j i m a , which l i e s i n t h e s o u t h e r n p a r t o f Japan ( F i g . l ) , i s one of t h e most a c t i v e v o l c a n o e s i n J a p a n . I t i s - l p r e s e n t e d a t t h e S u b j e c t Group S 1 . 0 4 T e c h n i c a l S e s s i o n on Geomorphic H a z a r d s i n Managed F o r e s t s , X I X World F o r e s t r y C o n g r e s s , I n t e r n a t i o n a l Union o f F o r e s t r y R e s e a r c h O r g a n i z a t i o n s , August 5-11, 1990, M o n t r e a l , Canada. 2 ~ o s h i n o b uT a n i g u c h i : (1985) 58-2811. P r o f e s s o r of A g r i c u l t u r e and F o r e s t S c i e n c e . F a c u l t y of A g r i c u l t u r e , Miyazaki U n i v e r s i t y , M i y a z a k i 889-21, J a p a n TOKYO Fig. 1 Map o f J a p a n l o c a t e d i n Kagoshima Bay a n d h a s a n a r e a o f 80 km2 a n d c i r c u m f e r e n c e o f 52 k i l o m e t e r s . T h e r e a r e t h r e e c r a t e r s on M t . S a k u r a j i m a : K i t a d a k e C r a t e r (1117 m e t e r s a b o v e s e a l e v e l ) , Nakahake C r a t e r (1060 m e t e r s ) , a n d Minamidake C r a t e r (1040 meters). Minamidake C r a t e r i s c u r r e n t l y e r u p t i n g v i g o r o u s l y . T a b l e 1 shows t h e v o l c a n i c a c t i v i t i e s of M t . Sakurajima f o r t h e p a s t 20 y e a r s (Osumi P u b l i c Works O f f i c e , 1 9 8 6 ) . L a t e l y t h e b a r i n g of mountain s l o p e s h a s b e e n making c o n s p i c u o u s p r o g r e s s on M t . Sakurajima i n l i n e with t h e vigorous v o l c a n i c a c t i v i t i e s . The b a r i n g o f t h e s l o p e s h a s been caused by b o t h t h e e f f e c t o f f a l l from t h e e r u p t i o n s a n d t h e a c t i o n o f s u l p h u r g a s from smoke e m i s s i o n s o f t h e Minamidake C r a t e r . The r e c e d i n g o f v e g e t a t i o n on t h e s l o p e s i n t h e u p p e r r e a c h e s o f e a c h t o r r e n t h a s c o n t i n u e d on M t . Sakurajima, and t h e b a r i n g of t h e g downwards y e a r b y y e a r . A number o f g u l l i e s h a v e formed on t h e s l o p e s . T h e s e s l o p e s h a v e b e e n s u f f e r i n g from r a p i d e r o s i o n , and t h e y have been producing a g r e a t amount of s e d i m e n t f o r t h e l a s t 20 y e a r s . F i g . 2 shows a p i c t u r e o f t h e s l o p e s around t h e Kitadake C r a t e r . There i s no v e g e t a t i o n i n t h i s a r e a , a n d many r i l l s a n d s m a l l g u l l i e s h a v e a l r e a d y formed on t h e s l o p e . Some o f t h e g e o m o r p h o l o g i c a l f a c t o r s i n r e f e r e n c e t o mud f l o w s were a n a l y z e d b y USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 Table 1 Volcanic a c t i v i t i e s of M t . Sakurajima YSaZ erupt- number o f o c c u r a n c e s smoke . . earthquakes 0 1940 1960 1980 year F i g . 3 Expansion of gullies 1940 1 1980 year F i g . 4 I n c r e a s e of t o t a l length of g u l l i e s u s i n g b o t h a s e r i e s of s e r i a l photographs from 1947 t o 1984 a n d t h e r e p o r t on t h e s e d i m e n t y i e l d on t h e s l o p e s o f M t . S a k u r a j i m a (Osumi P u b l i c Works O f f i c e , 1 9 8 8 ) . T h e s e r e s u l t s a r e shown i n F i g s . 3-6. F i g . 3 shows t h e e x p a n s i o n o f t h e t o t a l a r e a of t h e s e g u l l i e s i n t h e 38 y e a r s from 1947 t o 1 9 8 4 . The i n c r e a s e i n t h e i r t o t a l a r e a i n t h e 26 y e a r s from 1947 t o 1972 i s l e s s t h a n t h a t i n t h e p e r i o d s i n c e 1974. V o l c a n i c a c t i v i t y became v e r y v i g o r o u s a f t e r 1 9 7 4 . T h i s f a c t shows t h a t t h e r e s h o u l d b e a r e l a t i o n s h i p between t h e number of mud f l o w s a n d t h e v o l c a n i c a c t i v i t y s i n c e 1 9 7 4 . The same t e n d e n c y a l s o e x i s t s i n t h e length of g u l l i e s (Fig. 4 ) . This proves t h a t t h e g u l l i e s have been c o n s i d e r a b l y extended, and t h e y have a l s o e x p a n d e d i n w i d t h by t h e f a i l u r e o f O+ 1940 1980 year F i g . 5 Change o f g u l l y width 1940 1960 Fig. 6 Increase i n number o f gullies s i d e w a l l s o v e r t h e l a s t 10 y e a r s ( F i g . 5 ) . An a v e r a g e r a t e of t h e e x p a n s i o n o f t h e g u l l i e s i n t h e 20 y e a r s from 1947 was Only 0.13 m/yr. On t h e o t h e r hand, i t i n c r e a s e d t o 0 . 7 6 m/yr i n t h e 8 y e a r s from 1966. The l a t t e r is 5.9 times g r e a t e r t h a n t h e f o r m e r . However, it h a s d e c r e a s e d s i n c e 1980, b e c a u s e f r e s h g u l l i e s began t o form on t h e s l o p e s . F i g . 4 shows t h e g r e a t e x t e n s i o n of g u l l i e s . The number o f g u l l i e s i n c r e a s e d c o n s p i c u o u s l y i n t h e 20 y e a r s from 1947 t o 1966 ( F i g . 6 ) . T h i s means t h a t t h e f o r m a t i o n o f g u l l i e s h a d a l r e a d y e n d e d d u r i n g t h e s e y e a r s . Most o f t h e s e d i m e n t y i e l d on M t . S a k u r a j i m a i s c a u s e d by t h e e x t e n s i o n and t h e expansion o f g u l l i e s . The v o l u m e t r i c r a t e o f t h e s e d i m e n t y i e l d by t h e e x t e n s i o n of g u l l i e s i s 4 1 p e r c e n t o f t h e whole, a n d t h e e x p a n s i o n o f them i s 59 p e r c e n t . SURVEYING METHOD Fig. 2 G u l l i e s on t h e s l o p e of M t . Sakurajima USDA Forest Service Gem Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 1y"@ A s u r v e y of t h e s h e a r i n g f o r c e of a v o l c a n i c mud f l o w a c t i n g on a c h a n n e l { MOVABLE PLATE SENSOR PLATE b e n d i n g moment forms between p l a t e B a n d t h e w a l l o f c o n c r e t e t o which p l a t e B i s attached (Fig. 8 ) . This space i s i n e v i t a b l y f i l l e d u p b y s o i l a n d s a n d which a r e c o n t a i n e d i n a mud f l o w whenever one r u n s down on p l a t e A . On a c c o u n t o f t h i s , p l a t e B of t h i s meter cannot avoid i n c r e a s i n g i n d e f l e c t i o n , whenever a b e n d i n g moment a c t s on t h e p l a t e . Of c o u r s e , t h i s h a p p e n s on c o n d i t i o n t h a t t h e deflection is within t h e proportional l i m i t o f t h e s t r e n g t h o f t h e m a t e r i a l o f which t h e p l a t e i s made. SURVEYING RESULTS Fig. 7 S h e a r i n g stress m e t e r ( t y p e A ) DIRECTION OF ~ i g .8 Shearing stress meter ( t y p e B ) b o t t o m h a s b e e n g o i n g on i n t h e Mochiki R i v e r s i n c e 1987 u s i n g t h e two k i n d s o f s h e a r i n g s t r e s s m e t e r s shown i n F i g . 7 ( t y p e A) a n d F i g . 8 ( t y p e B ) . No d a t a h a v e b e e n o b t a i n e d from t h e t y p e A s u r v e y up t o t h e p r e s e n t , b u t some d a t a h a v e b e e n g o t t e n I n t h e t y p e B, p l a t e A i s from t h e t y p e B . t r a i l e d downstream b y t h e s h e a r i n g f o r c e a c t i n g on i t s s u r f a c e , a n d p l a t e B i s b e n t by t h e s h e a r i n g f o r c e . A s a r e s u l t , a b e n d i n g moment i s g e n e r a t e d i n p l a t e B . T h e r e s h o u l d , however, b e a b a l a n c e between t h e s h e a r i n g f o r c e a n d t h e b e n d i n g moment. A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e s h e a r i n g f o r c e a c t i n g on p l a t e A ( t h e channel bottom) can be e a s i l y measured by t h e m a g n i t u d e o f i t s d e f l e c t i o n b a s e d on t h e t h e o r y o f t h e d e f l e c t i o n o f a c a n t i l e v e r . The c h a n g e i n s h e a r i n g f o r c e c a n n o t b e m e a s u r e d e v e r y t i m e by t h i s method, b u t t h e maximum s h e a r i n g f o r c e c a n b e e a s i l y measured u s i n g t h i s m e t e r . When a d e a d l o a d o f 5 6 . 8 k i l o g r a m s was a p p l i e d t o t h i s s h e a r i n g stress m e t e r ( t y p e B) f o r t h e c a l i b r a t i o n o f o b s e r v e d v a l u e s , t h e a v e r a g e d e f l e c t i o n o f p l a t e B was 8 millimeters. T h i s m e t e r i s l i m i t e d by t h e f a c t t h a t p l a t e B c a n n o t r e c o v e r from i t s d e f l e c t i o n , b e c a u s e a s p a c e c a u s e d by t h e T a b l e 2 shows t h e v o l u m e t r i c c o n c e n t r a t i o n o f t h e mud f l o w s a m p l e s c o l l e c t e d by t h e a u t h o r i n t h e Arimura R i v e r on J u l y 1 8 , 1987 i n o r d e r t o i n v e s t i g a t e t h e change o f composition o f a mud f l o w ( T a n i g u c h i a n d T a k a h a s h i , 1 9 8 9 ) . The o b s e r v e d v a l u e s o f t h e s h e a r i n g f o r c e s o f s e v e r a l mud f l o w s a r e shown i n t a b l e 3 . Some v e l o c i t i e s o f t h e mud f l o w , a n d t h e d i a m e t e r s o f t h e s t o n e s i n it a r e shown i n t a b l e 4 . They were measured on a v i d e o t a p e r e c o r d e d b y Osumi P u b l i c Works O f f i c e on September 24, 1 9 8 8 . One h u g e s t o n e i n t h e mud f l o w i s shown i n F i g . 9. T h e s e p i c t u r e s were t a k e n from t h a t v i d e o . F i g . 10 i s a p i c t u r e o f t h e measurement o f t h e d e f l e c t i o n o f p l a t e B i n t h e Arimura R i v e r a f t e r t h e o c c u r r e n c e o f t h e mud f l o w on O c t o b e r 6, 1 9 8 8 . No g r e a t number o f huge s t o n e s g a t h e r e d t o g e t h e r a t t h e f r o n t o f t h a t mud f l o w was o b s e r v e d . Table 2 Grain s i z e d i s t r i b u t i o n and c o n c e n t r a t i o n o f mud f l o w on J u l y 1 8 , 1987 C o l l e c t i o n Time LC m i n . 1 5 min. 30 min, grain diameter distribution rate - - - - - - - - ( P C ~ ------) o v e r 2000 $ 840 500 250 37 u n d e r 37 concentration (pct) density (g/cm3) 1.0 3.5 5.8 22.2 1.0 3.1 6.9 22.4 2.9 12.9 32.5 32.0 34.3 7.7 2.2 0.2 15.6 1.11 1.25 1.27 USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech.Rep.PSW-GTR-130.1991 Table 3 Observed s h e a r i n g f o r c e s of mud flows d a t e observed shearing force 2.13 0.462 1.402 2.502 Table 4 StMe river Arimura Arimura Arimura Mochiki S t o n e s ' d i a m e t e r s i n t h e mud f l o w on S e p t e m b e r 2 4 , 1988 a n d their velocities. diameter (cm) veloc1t.v m/sec F i g . 10 Measurement of s h e a r i n g f o r c e o f a mud f l o w DISCUSSION The t y p e B s h e a r i n g s t r e s s m e t e r i s s t r u c t u r a l l y a k i n d of c a n t i l e v e r . According t o t h e t h e o r y of c a n t i l e v e r deflection, t h e r e should be a l i n e a r i t y between t h e s h e a r i n g s t r e s s (2) a n d t h e of t h e p l a t e : maximum d e f l e c t i o n 6 6 2 (1) If i t i s s u p p o s e d t h a t t h e m a g n i t u d e o f t h e s h e a r i n g s t r e s s ( Z o ) a l r e a d y known a c t s on t h e s h e a r p l a n e ( p l a t e A ) , a n d t h a t t h e d e f l e c t i o n o f p l a t e B i s 60, t h e r e s h o u l d b e t h e f o l l o w i n g r e l a t i o n between 2, 20 a n d 6 , 60, u s i n g e x p r e s s i o n (1): z /TO = 6 /60 (2) The s h e a r i n g s t r e s s m e t e r was t e s t e d b y a dead l o a d of 56.8 k i l o g r a m s . A s a r e s u l t o f t h a t , t h e mean v a l u e o f t h e d e f l e c t i o n s (60) was 8 m i l l i m e t e r s i n t h e l o a d t e s t . When t h e above v a l u e o f 8 m i l l i m e t e r s i s s u b s t i t u t e d i n t o e q u a t i o n (21, t h e following is obtained: T = 0.357 6 (3) - Some d a t a (& 6 . 0 c e n t i m e t e r s , 1 . 3 c e n t i m e t e r s and 4.0 c e n t i m e t e r s i n t h e Arimura R i v e r mud f l o w which t o o k p l a c e on S e p t e m b e r 24, 1988, O c t o b e r 6, 1988, a n d February 17,1989, and 7 . 0 c e n t i m e t e r s i n t h e Mochiki R i v e r mud f l o w on F e b r u a r y 1 7 , 1989) were o b t a i n e d . When t h e s e v a l u e s were s u b s t i t u t e d i n t o e q u a t i o n ( 3 ) , t h e r e s u l t s o f c o m p u t a t i o n s were shown i n t a b l e 3 above. Fig. 9 Huge s t o n e i n t h e mud f l o w on September 2 4 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 I t i s , however, d o u b t f u l w h e t h e r a l i n e a r i t y between.these s h e a r i n g f o r c e s and d e f l e c t i o n s of t h e p l a t e might s t r i c t l y e x i s t i n t h i s case, because t h e s e observed d e f l e c t i o n s a r e conspicuously l a r g e . However, s e e i n g t h a t t h e s e d e f l e c t i o n s began t o occur i n t h e t e s t when t h e a c t i n g l o a d had gone o v e r 57 kilograms, it was evident t h a t a shearing force a t l e a s t g r e a t e r t h a n 0 . 2 9 kgf/cm2 a c t e d on t h e shear plane. The s h e a r i n g f o r c e of a mud flow a c t i n g on a channel bottom can be e x p r e s s e d a s f o l l o w s , t a k i n g t h e flow model of a mud flow shown i n F i g . 11 i n t o c o n s i d e r a t i o n : 2 = po g ~ s i n 8 (4) where po i s t h e d e n s i t y of a mud flow; H i s i t s water h e i g h t ; and 8 i s t h e a n g l e of t h e channel s l o p e . When t h e a c t u a l l y observed v a l u e s of a d e n s i t y of 1 . 2 7 g/cm3 and a water h e i g h t of 1 . 0 meters i n t h e mud flow of t h e Arimura River on J u l y 18, 1987 a r e s u b s t i t u t e d i n t o equation ( 4 ) , t h e shearing Fig.11 Flow model of a mud flow s t r e s s ( 2 ) becomes about 9 gf/cm2. The computed v a l u e from e q u a t i o n ( 4 ) cannot prove t h a t a l a r g e s h e a r i n g s t r e s s a s g r e a t 2 . 5 kgf/cm2 should occur even i f a s 0.5 t h e r e i s a v e r y l a r g e s c a l e of a mud f l o w . Judging from t h a t , it can be i n f e r r e d t h a t such a l a r g e s h e a r i n g s t r e s s must be caused by t h e f r i c t i o n between s t o n e s and t h e channel bottom, because t h e s e s t o n e s a r e dragged a l o n g t h e channel bottom a t a r a t h e r h i g h speed. - Using t h e a c t u a l s h e a r i n g f o r c e a c t i n g on t h e channel bottom, t h e s i z e of a s t o n e c o n t a i n e d i n t h e mud flow which took p l a c e i n t h e Arimura R i v e r on September 24, 1988 c o u l d be e s t i m a t e d . When it was supposed t h a t t h e d e n s i t y of a s t o n e was 2 . 7 g/cm3 and i t s f r i c t i o n a l c o e f f i c i e n t was 0 . 7 , t h e s i z e of a s t o n e c o r r e s p o n d i n g t o t h e above s h e a r i n g f o r c e of 2 . 1 3 kgf/cm2 was c a l c u l a t e d a t about 60 c e n t i m e t e r s i n l e n g t h f o r one s i d e of a cube, o r about 80 c e n t i m e t e r s i n t h e d i a m e t e r of a s p h e r e . Many s t o n e s c o r r e s p o n d i n g t o such s i z e s were observed on t h e v i d e o . Judging from t h a t , it can be seen t h a t t h e c a l c u l a t e d v a l u e of t h e s i z e of a s t o n e i s p r o p e r compared w i t h t h e a c t u a l s i z e s . However, t h e maximum s i z e of a s t o n e i n t h e Arimura R i v e r mud flow on September 24 was 3.8 m e t e r s . T h i s proves t h a t t h e concept of s h e a r i n g f o r c e i n t h e c a s e i n which a mud flow i s r e g a r d e d a s o n l y a f l u i d l i k e water cannot be used f o r t h e s o l u t i o n of an a c t u a l problem l i k e t h e a b r a s i o n of a c o n c r e t e channel bottom. When a mud flow accompanied by many s t o n e s flows on a channel bottom, i t s a b r a s i o n i s v e r y conspicuous, because t h e s t o n e s a r e dragged a l o n g t h e channel bottom. A g r e a t f r i c t i o n between t h e s u r f a c e of t h e channel bottom and s t o n e s i s generated. The h y d r a u l i c d r a g f o r c e of a s t o n e ( a p e r f e c t cube o r s p h e r e ) i n f l u i d can be expressed a s follows: F = (1/2) CoPo V2A (5) where F i s t h e d r a g f o r c e ; CD i s t h e c o e f f i c i e n t of t h e d r a g f o r c e ; V i s t h e r e l a t i v e v e l o c i t y between f l u i d and a s t o n e ; and A i s t h e a r e a of t h e a p p l i c a t i o n of t h e d r a g f o r c e . The v a l u e Co became about 8 from t h e r e s u l t s of t h e computations on t h e mud flow which t o o k p l a c e on J u l y 16, 1987 i n t h e Arimura River. Supposing t h a t CD was 8, t h e d e n s i t y of a mud flow was 1.27 g/cm3 ( t h e v a l u e i n t a b l e 2 ) , t h e s t o n e ' s d i a m e t e r was 3.8 m e t e r s ( t h e maximum d i a m e t e r i n t h e mud flow on September 24, 1988 i n t h e Arimura R i v e r ) , and t h e r e l a t i v e v e l o c i t y was 5 . 1 m/sec., t h e d r a g f o r c e of t h e mud flow c o u l d be e s t i m a t e d a t 50 t o n s by e q u a t i o n ( 5 ) . On t h e o t h e r hand, t h e f r i c t i o n a l r e s i s t a n c e of a s t o n e on t h e channel bottom i s estimated a t 40 50 t o n s , u s i n g t h e v a l u e 0 . 7 6 a s t h e c o e f f i c i e n t of i t s f r i c t i o n . Judging from t h e above r e s u l t , it can be seen t h a t a mud flow w i t h a water h e i g h t of about 1 meter and a r e l a t i v e v e l o c i t y of about 5 m/sec can e a s i l y c a r r y a huge s t o n e a s l a r g e a s 3 meters i n d i a m e t e r . The g r e a t f r i c t i o n i s caused by many s t o n e s dragged a l o n g a channel bottom by a mud f l o w . There i s a n o t h e r r e p o r t t h a t t h e t e m p e r a t u r e r o s e about 0 . 5 1.5012 i n t h e Mochiki River when a mud flow r a n down i n t h e channel (Hirano, 1 9 8 9 ) . T h i s shows t h a t t h e f r i c t i o n a l h e a t s t a t e d above might have a r e l a t i o n t o t h e f r i c t i o n which was g e n e r a t e d between t h e c o n c r e t e channel bottom and t h e s t o n e s . - - A mud flow a l s o has t h e same It c h a r a c t e r i s t i c a s a d e b r i s flow. g r e a t l y v i b r a t e s t h e e a r t h around t h e s t r e a m when it flows a t a high speed. The v i b r a t i o n i s caused by t h e c o l l i s i o n of s t o n e s w i t h t h e c o n c r e t e channel bottom o r s i d e w a l l s of t h e s t r e a m . There a r e some r e p o r t s t h a t t h e v i b r a t i o n s caused by c o l l i s i o n s between huge s t o n e s and t h e c h a n n e l bottom have a c c e l e r a t e d s l o p e f a i l u r e s a l o n g t o r r e n t s . This c o l l i s i o n i s a l s o a n o t h e r important f a c t o r i n t h e d e s t r u c t i v e damage of dams o r c o n c r e t e channels i n t o r r e n t s . The v i b r a t i o n caused USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 by t h e c o l l i s i o n of a huge s t o n e i n a mudd e b r i s flow was surveyed on t h e s l o p e s of M t . Yake i n o r d e r t o e s t i m a t e t h e occurrence of a s l o p e f a i l u r e when t h e flow r a n down i n a t o r r e n t . An a c c e l e r a t i o n of 0 . 1 g a l was observed a t a p o i n t 15 meters from t h e c e n t r e of t h e t o r r e n t i n c r o s s s e c t i o n (Matsumoto P u b l i c Sabo Works O f f i c e , 1975) . There might have been a g r e a t v i b r a t i o n n e a r t h e c e n t r e . This problem s h o u l d be t a k e n i n t o c o n s i d e r a t i o n t o p r e v e n t dams o r c h a n n e l s from being damaged i n t o r r e n t s . The r e l a t i o n s h i p between t h e s t r e n g t h of t h e c o n c r e t e of a channel and t h e a b r a s i o n caused by t h e c o l l i s i o n of s t o n e s c o n t a i n e d i n a mud flow i s u n c l e a r even now. The impact f o r c e caused by t h e c o l l i s i o n of an e l a s t i c body with c o n c r e t e can be e x p r e s s e d a s f o l l o w s (Okubo, 1 9 6 3 ) : ( a 2 / 2 E ) A l = Wo(S + h) (6) where a i s t h e impact s t r e s s p e r u n i t a r e a ; E i s t h e c o e f f i c i e n t of t h e modulus of c o n c r e t e ; A i s t h e a r e a of t h e a p p l i c a t i o n of a f o r c e ; L i s t h e l e n g t h of a body; Wo i s a dead l o a d S i s t h e f a l l i n g h e i g h t of a body from a l e v e l ; and h i s t h e compressed t h i c k n e s s of c o n c r e t e . By s o l v i n g e q u a t i o n ( 6 ) , a i s obtained: a = (2EWo (S + h) / A 1 ) ' I 2 (7) On t h e o t h e r hand, a can a l s o be e x p r e s s e d a s follows: a= E(X/~) (8) By s u b s t i t u t i n g e q u a t i o n ( 8 ) i n t o e q u a t i o n ( 6 ) , a can be s o l v e d : dl+ a = (Wo/A) (1 + 2SEA/Wol (9) When it i s supposed t h a t ho i s t h e t h i c k n e s s corresponding t o a dead load ( W o ) , ho can be e x p r e s s e d a s f o l l o w s : ha = W ~ L / A E (10) When e q u a t i o n (10) i s s u b s t i t u t e d i n t o e q u a t i o n ( 9 ) , a can be s o l v e d : a = (w0/n)(1 + q x (11) The s t r a i n ( h ) caused by t h e impact fol of a s t o n e which i s c o n t a i n e d i n a mud can be s o l v e d , u s i n g e q u a t i o n s ( 8 ) and (10) : . \ , I h= Xo(l + (12) The dead l o a d c o r r e s p o n d i n g t o t h e above s t r a i n can be e s t i m a t e d , u s i n g e q u a t i o n s (8) and (12) : ~~ (13) w/w0 = 1 + When it i s supposed t h a t Do i s t h e a c t u a l s t o n e ' s diameter, t h e converted diameter (D), d e f i n e d h e r e a s t h e d i a m e t e r of an imaginary s t o n e which i s assumed t o be e q u a l t o t h e impact f o r c e caused by an a c t u a l stone with t h e diameter (Do) s t a t e d USDA Forest Service Gen.Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 above, can be c a l c u l a t e d a s f o l l o w s , u s i n g e q u a t i o n (13) and b o t h e x p r e s s i o n s of W = ~ p , ~ ~ /W 6=, 7tpS~o3/6: D / D o = (1 + (14) where D i s t h e c o n v e r t e d d i a m e t e r d e f i n e d above; p, i s t h e d e n s i t y of a s t o n e . When it i s supposed t h a t S i s 10 c e n t i m e t e r s , ha i s 1 m i l l i m e t e r , and s t o n e ' s d i a m e t e r i s 3 . 8 m e t e r s ( t h e maximum d i a m e t e r i n t h e Arimura R i v e r mud flow on September 24, 1 9 8 8 ) , t h e d i a m e t e r ( D ) of an imaginary s t o n e ( t h e c o n v e r t e d d i a m e t e r corresponding t o t h e impact f o r c e caused by an a c t u a l s t o n e w i t h a d i a m e t e r of 3 . 8 meters i s e s t i m a t e d t o be about 9 . 4 m e t e r s . T h i s means t h a t t h e impact f o r c e has t h e same e f f e c t a s a huge s t o n e loaded on t h e I t shows t h a t channel channel bottom. works s h o u l d be designed s a f e l y enough t o p r e v e n t a c o n c r e t e channel from d e s t r u c t i o n , because a channel may be a t t a c k e d by a v e r y h i g h impact f o r c e . I f it i s supposed t h a t b o t h a r e a s of t h e a p p l i c a t i o n of f o r c e s , t h e dead l o a d ( W O ) and t h e impact l o a d (W), a r e e q u a l , Wo and W can be e x p r e s s e d a s f o l l o w : Wv = A a O (15) w = Aa (16) When e x p r e s s i o n s (15) and (16) a r e s u b s t i t u t e d i n t o equation ( 1 3 ) , t h e following e q u a t i o n can be o b t a i n e d : a/ao = 1 + (17) Do i n e q u a t i o n (17) i s t h e s t r e s s by t h e dead l o a d d e r i v e d from an a c t u a l impact s t r e s s ( a ) . The s t r e s s ((r) must be w i t h i n t h e a l l o w a b l e s t r e n g t h of t h e c o n c r e t e . It i s g e n e r a l l y s a i d t h a t t h e l i m i t of t h e s t r e n g t h of c o n c r e t e i s about 250 kgf/cm2. Accordingly, t h e maximum (a) must be about I f t h e same v a l u e s a s t h e 250 kgf/cm2. above (hv = 1 m i l l i m e t e r and S = 10 c e n t i m e t e r s ) a r e used h e r e , Go can be d e r i v e d from e q u a t i o n ( 1 7 ) : 250/00 = 15 .: av = 1 6 .kgf/cm2 When t h e a r e a of t h e a p p l i c a t i o n of a f o r c e i s about 10 cm2, t h e whole f o r c e becomes 167 kilograms, and a s t o n e ' s d i a m e t e r corresponding t o t h i s a l l o w a b l e f o r c e i s c a l c u l a t e d a t 50 c e n t i m e t e r s . However, t h e a c t u a l compressed t h i c k n e s s of t h e c o n c r e t e of a channel must be l e s s t h a n t h e 1 m i l l i m e t e r assumed above. Then t h e v a l u e of oo becomes s m a l l e r t h a n 1 6 . 7 kgf /cm2. Accordingly, t h e a l l o w a b l e d i a m e t e r of a s t o n e i n a mud flow t o p r e v e n t t h e d e s t r u c t i o n of a c o n c r e t e channel must be l e s s t h a n 50 c e n t i m e t e r s . The a b o v e i s a d i s c u s s i o n from t h e p o i n t o f view o f t h e c o m p r e s s i v e s t r e n g t h of concrete. Shearing force i s a l s o a very important f a c t o r i n t h e destruction of a It i s generally said concrete channel. t h a t t h e shearing s t r e n g t h of concrete i s 1/4 1/7 of i t s compressive s t r e n g t h (Okada a n d Muguruma, 1989) . A c c o r d i n g l y , t h e a l l o w a b l e s i z e of a s t o n e should be e v e n s m a l l e r t h a n 50 c e n t i m e t e r s i n diameter. I t can be f o r e s e e n t h a t t h e destructive action against a concrete c h a n n e l w i l l i n c r e a s e e v e n more b y d i n t o f t h e s h e a r i n g f o r c e caused by t h e f r i c t i o n of s t o n e s w i t h a channel bottom, i n a d d i t i o n t o t h e c o m p r e s s i v e f o r c e by t h e i m p a c t . The Osumi P u b l i c Works O f f i c e began t o c a r r y o u t a s u r v e y of t h e a b r a s i o n o f t h e c h a n n e l c o n c r e t e i n t h e Mochiki R i v e r i n 1 9 8 8 . T h a t c o n c r e t e c h a n n e l was c o n s t r u c t e d t o t h e s t r e n g t h o f 160 k g f / c m 2 . The m i x i n g p r o p o r t i o n o f t h a t c o n c r e t e i s shown i n t h e f o l l o w i n g . - slump w a t e r aggregate f i n e coarse a d d i t i v e cement allowable shearing strength of t h e concrete ( 1 5 . 7 kgf/cm2) s t a t e d a b o v e . CONCLUSION The r e s u l t s o f s u r v e y s i n t h e Arimura R i v e r a n d t h e Mochiki R i v e r showed t h a t t h e a c t u a l s h e a r i n g f o r c e o f a mud f l o w on t h e s u r f a c e o f a c h a n n e l b o t t o m was a b o u t 0 . 5 2 . 5 kgf/cm2. According t o t h e t h e o r e t i c a l c a l c u l a t i o n s , t h e f r i c t i o n a l f o r c e which s h o u l d b e c a u s e d by a s t o n e o f a b o u t 80 c e n t i m e t e r s i n diameter corresponded t o t h e f o r c e o f 2 . 1 3 kgf/cm2 i n t h e Arimura R i v e r mud f l o w on S e p t e m b e r 24, 1 9 8 8 . Such s i z e s o f s t o n e s c o u l d b e o b s e r v e d on t h e v i d e o . The i m p a c t f o r c e c a u s e d by huge s t o n e s i n a mud f l o w was d e r i v e d from t h e t h e o r y o f t h e c o l l i s i o n o f a n e l a s t i c body, a n d i t p r o v e d t h a t t h e i m p a c t . f o r c e o f a s t o n e was s e v e r a l times g r e a t e r t h a n t h e dead l o a d c a u s e d by t h a t s t o n e . When a s h e a r i n g s t r e s s o f a b o u t 2 . 5 kgf/cm2 a c t e d on a c o n c r e t e channel with a compressive s t r e n g t h o f 110 kgf/cm2, t h e a b r a s i o n o f t h a t c o n c r e t e was 2 . 5 c e n t i m e t e r s i n d e p t h . - REFERENCES A mud f l o w t o o k p l a c e on O c t o b e r 6, 1988, a week a f t e r t h e c h a n n e l works h a d b e e n c o m p l e t e d , a n d it a b r a d e d t h e c o n c r e t e i n t h e s u r v e y s e c t i o n . T h a t mud f l o w c o u l d n o t b e r e c o r d e d on v i d e o t a p e , b e c a u s e i t t o o k p l a c e a t n i g h t . The a b r a s i o n o f t h e c o n c r e t e w a s 2 . 5 c e n t i m e t e r s i n d e p t h . The r e s u l t o f t h e s t r e n g t h t e s t of t h e c o n c r e t e r e p o r t e d t h a t t h e s t r e n g t h on t h e 7 t h d a y a f t e r t h e m i x i n g o f t h a t c o n c r e t e was 110 kgf /cm2. Taking i n t o c o n s i d e r a t i o n t h e f a c t t h a t t h e s h e a r i n g s t r e n g t h of c o n c r e t e i s about 1/7 of t h e compressive, t h e a l l o w a b l e c o m p r e s s i v e s t r e n g t h o f 1 1 0 / kgf/cm2 corresponds t o an allowable shearing The s h e a r i n g s t r e n g t h of 1 5 . 7 kgf/cm2. f o r c e o f t h e mud f l o w which t o o k p l a c e on t h e Mochiki R i v e r on F e b r u a r y 1 7 , 1989, was A s t h e mud f l o w on O c t o b e r 6, 2 . 5 kgf/cm2. 1988, c o u l d n o t b e r e c o r d e d on v i d e o t a p e , i t s s c a l e was unknown, b u t t h e marks o f t h e water h e i g h t i n t h e channel a f t e r t h i s flow n e a r l y e q u a l t o t h e marks o f t h e mud f l o w on F e b r u a r y 1 7 , 1989, i n t h e same r i v e r . A s b o t h s c a l e s were a l m o s t e q u a l , t h e v a l u e o f 2 . 5 kgf/cm2 was s u b s t i t u t e d f o r i t s shearing force. It r e s u l t e d i n t h e calculated value (the allowable shearing s t r e n g t h o f t h e m a t e r i a l , 1 5 . 7 kgf/cm2) being l a r g e r t h a n t h e observed ones. However, i n t h e c a s e i n which s u c h s h e a r i n g f o r c e a c t s a c t u a l l y on a c h a n n e l b o t t o m a s a repeated force, t h e shearing force of 2.5 kgf/cm2 i s n o t s m a l l a s compared w i t h t h e 1989. Report o f r e s e a r c h Hirano, M . p r o j e c t , G r a n t i n Aid f o r S c i e n t i f i c R e s e a r c h ; 25 p . ( i n J a p a n e s e ) . Matsumoto Sabo P u b l i c Works O f f i c e . 1975. P u b l i c a t i o n o f s u r v e y s o f M t . Yake 7 . M i n i s t r y o f C o n s t r u c t i o n : 37 p . ( i n Japanese). Okada, K . , a n d H . Muguruma. 1989. E n g i n e e r i n g handbook o f c o n c r e t e . Tokyo: Heibon-sha Co., 404 p . ( i n Japanese). 1963. S t r e n g t h of m a t e r i a l . Okubo, H . Tokyo: Shokoku-sha C o . ; 40-41 ( i n Japanese). Osumi P u b l i c Works O f f i c e . 1982. Report o f t h e r e s e a r c h work on s e d i m e n t y i e l d from t h e Kurokami R i v e r . M i n i s t r y of Construction; 13 p. ( i n Japanese). Osumi P u b l i c Works O f f i c e . 1 9 8 6 . Sabo i n volcano Sakurajima. M i n i s t r y of Construction; 8 p . ( i n Japanese) . Osumi P u b l i c Works O f f i c e . 1988. Sabo i n volcano Sakurajima. Ministry of Construction; 5 p . ( i n Japanese) . Taniguchi, Y . , and M. Takahashi. 1985. E x p e r i m e n t a l s t u d y on s e d i m e n t y i e l d a n d f l u i d i z a t i o n o f s o i l mass i n a n a r e a o f a c t i v e v o l c a n o . P r s c e e d i n g of I n t e r n a t i o n a l symposium on E r o s i o n , D e b r i s Flow a n d D i s a s t e r P r e v e n t i o n - T s u k u b a 1 9 8 5 : 133-138. 1989. Taniguchi, Y . , and M. Takahashi. P r e d i c t i o n f o r t h e e s c a p e from t h e s t r i k e o f a v o l c a n i c mud f l o w i n a t o r r e n t and t h e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c of i t s movement. J o u r n a l o f t h e J a p a n S o c i e t y o f E r o s i o n C o n t r o l 4 4 ( 4 ) :26 p . ( i n Japanese) . USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Research of Wind Erosion Intensity in the Region of Subotica-Horgos Sands1 Velizar Velasevic and Ljubornir Letic2 3 Abstract: Wind i s a n i m p o r t a n t e r o s i o n a l p r o c e s s i n t h e a r e a s of steppe-savanna c l i m a t e i n Europe a s t y p i f i e d b y t h e Vojvodina p l a i n i n Yugoslavia. Cultivated a n d f o r e s t e d p l o t s on t h e S u b o t i c a - H o r g o s S a n d s were u s e d t o s t u d y a e o l i a n e r o s i o n p r o c e s s e s . Wind e r o s i o n on t h e c u l t i v a t e d p l o t was 3-29 t i m e s g r e a t e r t h a n t h a t o c c u r r i n g on a p l o t p l a n t e d t o f o r e s t t r e e s . That e r o s i o n r e s u l t s i n important A practical l o s s e s o f humus a n d n u t r i e n t s . e q u a t i o n e s t i m a t i n g wind e r o s i o n from wind D e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e s i n t h e zone o f s t e p p e - s a v a n n a c l i m a t e i n Europe a r e r e p r e s e n t e d i n t h e l a r g e p l a i n of V o j v o d i n a , which i s a c o r n f i e l d a n d a r e g i o n of p a r t i c u l a r importance t o Y u g o s l a v i a . The u s e o f c o n t e m p o r a r y a g r i c u l t u r a l engineering, t h e inappropriate organization of t h e t e r r i t o r y , destruction o f p r o t e c t i v e g r e e n cover, and o t h e r unfavorable e f f e c t s l e a d t o t h e i n i t i a t i o n and development of d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e s of d i f f e r e n t i n t e n s i t i e s . This aspect of s o i l d e s t r u c t i o n a f f e c t s , f i r s t of a l l , a g r i c u l t u r e , w a t e r r e s o u r c e s management, t r a f f i c , i n f r a s t r u c t u r e , environment, e t c . The r e g i o n o f V o j v o d i n a i s c h a r a c t e r i z e d b y h e t e r o g e n e o u s s o i l t y p e s , r a n g i n g from s a n d s , b l a c k s o i l , chernozem, a n d s m o n i t z a t o g l e y e d s o i l which, i n g i v e n c l i m a t e c o n d i t i o n s , a r e d i f f e r e n t l y t h r e a t e n e d by t h e p r o c e s s o f wind e r o s i o n . In t h i s paper w e s h a l l p o i n t o u t t h e r e s e a r c h on wind e r o s i o n ( s t a r t e d i n 1980) on t h e s o i l s o f l i g h t mechanical composition ( p o t e n t i a l l y t h e most t h r e a t e n e d s o i l s ) , on t h e Subotica-Horgos Sands. The S u b o t i c a - H o r g o s S a n d s a r e s i t u a t e d i n t h e North-Northwest p a r t o f V o j v o d i n a p l a i n between t h e Danube a n d T i s a r i v e r s . The a v e r a g e l e n g t h o f t h e Sands i s 48 km a n d t h e a v e r a g e d i a m e t e r i s 5-11 km. The S a n d s c o v e r a n a r e a a b o u t o f 240 km2. The V o j v o d i n a p l a i n i s a well-known o r c h a r d - g r a p e v i n e c o u n t r y , w i t h more t h a n 33 p e r c e n t u n d e r v i n e y a r d s a n d o r c h a r d s , a b o u t 20 p e r c e n t f o r e s t s a n d woodlands, a n d It is o v e r 34 p e r c e n t u n d e r g r a s s l a n d . c h a r a c t e r i z e d by m i l d l y u n d u l a t i n g dune r e l i e f of northwest-southeast direction, a s w e l l a s by a h i g h l e v e l of underground w a t e r s , 2 - 8 m . A s t h e s e Sands a r e i n t h e zone of a r i d c l i m a t e , a t t h e boundary o f s t e p p e - s a v a n n a a n d s l i g h t woodland c h a r a c t e r , under t h e i n f l u e n c e o f p e d o g e n e t i c f a c t o r s , t h e r e can b e d i s t i n g u i s h e d d i f f e r e n t t y p e s of sand: g r e y - y e l l o w , brown, b l a c k , b l a c k loamy, a n d s a l i n e sands with d i f f e r e n t production capacities. METHOD OF RESEARCH A c o m p a r a t i v e method o f s t a t i o n a r y o b s e r v a t i o n b y wind-gage s t a t i o n s h a s b e e n a p p l i e d on s p e c i a l l y s e l e c t e d e r o s i o n p l o t s , o f which o n e , u s e d f o r a g r i c u l t u r a l production, has n o t been p r o t e c t e d ("U"), w h i l e t h e o t h e r ("P") h a s been p r o t e c t e d w i t h f o r e s t p l a n t i n g s , f i g u r e 1. l p r e s e n t e d a t t h e S u b j e c t Group 5 1 . 0 4 T e c h n i c a l S e s s i o n on Geomorphic H a z a r d s i n Managed F o r e s t s , X I X World F o r e s t r y C o n g r e s s , I n t e r n a t i o n a l Union o f F o r e s t r y R e s e a r c h O r g a n i z a t i o n s , August 5-11, 1990, M o n t r e a l , Canada. 2 ~ a c u l t yo f F o r e s t r y , U n i v e r s i t y o f Beograd, Beograd, Y u g o s l a v i a . 3 ~ b s t r a c ts u p p l i e d by S e s s i o n Chairman. USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 F i g u r e 1 - - ~ x p e r i m e n t a l wind-gage s t a t i o n records deflation processes. T a b l e 1. Average monthly a n d a n n u a l d e p o s i t i o n q u a n t i t i e s (En kg m - l ) En ( k g m-l) Loc."U' Loc.'P" ( k g m-l) R e l a t i o n U/P Jan Feb Mar Apr May 0.272 0.017 16 0.765 0.026 29 0.504 0.028 18 0.693 0.047 15 0.306 0.053 6 June 0.350 0.038 9 Months July 0.507 0.040 13 Loc. "U" and l o c . "Pu Rug Sep Oct Nov Dec En 0.106 0.039 0.136 0.025 5 0.116 0.019 6 0.040 0.014 0.062 0.010 6 3.857 0.356 11 3 3 T a b l e 2 . Average monthly v e l o c i t i e s (m s a t 0 .O5 m above ground f r e q u e n c i e s ( p c t ) a n d s t o r m winds ( 1 2 . 3 m s - l ) NW a n d N d i r e c t i o n s . Parameters V e l o c i t y (m s - l ) Frequency ( p c t ) F o r c e IK) Jan Feb Mar Apr May 8.10 4.32 23.42 4.65 3.08 8.49 8.13 9.01 7.21 16.85 3.00 6.24 4.90 6.23 32.51 2.82 7.89 7.13 5.76 0.77 3.51 - 11.88 2.48 Months June July Auy Sep Oct Nov Dec Average - Experimental s t a t i o n s record: q u a n t i t y o f a e o l i a n d e p o s i t i o n , wind f r e q u e n c y a n d v e l o c i t y , a i r and s o i l temperatures, a i r and s o i l humidity, e t c . F i e l d d a t a a r e a n a l y z e d i n o r d e r t o q u a l i f y and q u a n t i f y t h e deflation process, a s well a s t o define t h e c o n d i t i o n s of c l i m a t e and r e s i d u a l s o i l i n which t h e y o c c u r . RESULTS OF RESEARCH The a n a l y s i s o f t h e d a t a o b t a i n e d a t e x p e r i m e n t a l s t a t i o n s "U" a n d "P" h a s proved s i g n i f i c a n t d i f f e r e n c e s i n t h e d i s t r i b u t i o n and i n t e n s i t y of d e f l a t o r y p r o c e s s e s , as w e l l a s i n t h e p a r a m e t e r s o f c l i m a t e a n d r e s i d u a l s o i l which a f f e c t them. The d a t a on t h e a n n u a l i n t e n s i t y o f wind e r o s i o n , w i t h 2.127-5.490 t km-l p e r y e a r , emphasize t h a t u n p r o t e c t e d a r e a s ( l o c . "U") o f t h e r e s e a r c h e d r e g i o n a r e t h r e a t e n e d by e r o s i o n , whereas t h e p r o t e c t e d a r e a s ( l o c . "P") a r e s u b j e c t e d t o d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e s o f a b o u t 11 t i m e s l o w e r i n t e n s i t y , r a n g i n g from 0 . 2 4 7 t o 0 . 4 4 4 t km-l p e r y e a r , a v e r a g e 0.356 t km-l p e r y e a r ( t a b l e 1 ) . According t o t h e d a t a i n t a b l e 1, maximum v a l u e s o f wind e r o s i o n i n t e n s i t y occur i n t h e first half of t h e y e a r between J a n u a r y and J u l y , amounting t o a b o u t 80 p e r c e n t t o t a l a n n u a l q u a n t i t y o f a e o l i a n d e p o s i t i o n , whereas t h e remaining 12 p e r c e n t a r e d e p o s i t e d between August a n d December. Therefore i n t h e unprotected a r e a s of t h e Subotica-Horgos Sands, d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e s o s c i l l a t e w i t h i n c a t e g o r i e s I1 a n d 111, s t a r t i n g from medium i n t e n s i t y e r o s i o n ( 2 . 0 - 5 . 0 t km-l p e r y e a r ) t o i n t e n s i v e e r o s i o n ( 5 . 0 - 7 . 0 t km-l p e r y e a r ) . In t h e protected areas of t h e Sands, d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e s a r e reduced t o t h e l e v e l o f normal e r o s i o n ( c a t e g o r y I o f e r o s i o n p r o c e s s e s ) w i t h t h e i n t e n s i t y lower t h a n 0 . 5 t km-l p e r y e a r . The d e g r e e o f h a z a r d ( c o m p a r i s o n o f p r o t e c t e d and u n p r o t e c t e d a r e a s of t h e Sands) i s i n c l u d e d i n t h e e x p r e s s i o n B = I e e P / I e e S , a n d r a n g e s between 11 f o r a n n u a l a n d 1 7 1 f o r d i u r n a l i n t e n s i t i e s o f wind erosion. This points out t h e s i g n i f i c a n t d i f f e r e n c e s i n t h e d e g r e e of h a z a r d o f t h e compared l a n d s , which i s c o n d i t i o n e d b y t h e b u f f e r i n g e f f e c t o f p r o t e c t i v e p l a n t i n g s on the deflatory processes i n t h e protected erosion p l o t s . The e s t a b l i s h m e n t o f " e r o s i o n a c t i v e " winds h a s been performed by t h e c r i t e r i o n o f c r i t i c a l ( i n i t i a l ) v e l o c i t i e s (Vs>Vkr) . Accordingly, t h e i n i t i a l v e l o c i t y necessary t o move t h e m i x t u r e of D . Tavankut s a n d s Ds = 0 . 1 8 mm, i s a b o u t 3 . 0 m s - l a t t h e h e i g h t of 0 . 0 5 m above g r o u n d . T h i s d e n o t e s s t o r m y winds ( > 1 2 . 3 m s - l ) a s e r o s i o n a c t i v e winds. I n t h e researched region of t h e P a n n o n i a n P l a i n , b y t h e " M o d i f i e d Method o f Instrumental Analysis", t h e following dominant winds h a v e b e e n d i s t i n g u i s h e d : NW ( 1 4 ) and N (16) with t h e degree of dominance r a n g i n g u p t o 10 t i m e s . Average m o n t h l y v e l o c i t i e s ( a t 0 . 0 5 m) a n d wind frequencies a r e presented i n Table 2 . Stormy winds i n t h e S u b o t i c a - H o r g o s S a n d s o c c u r 48.96 p e r c e n t i n t h e p e r i o d USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 Table 3 . Average monthly a i r temperatures ( S C ) , p r e c i p i t a t i o n (mm), r e l a t i v e a i r humidity ( p c t ) , and t o t a l s o i l moisture, l o c . "U" and "P" Climatic Factors Loc. Jan Feb Air Temp. OC nu,, - 0 . 8 7 "P" - 1 . 5 2 -0.54 -0.49 Precip. (llm) "Uv 2 8 . 7 8 21.48 VP* NVP** 3.91 0.41 3.07 -0.04 9.98 9.64 16.64 16.64 3.25 2.91 40.20 47.36 41.62 49.26 499.60 519.04 Relative "U" 8 1 . 4 5 7 8 . 2 4 6 8 . 9 2 6 4 . 1 9 6 5 . 4 0 6 6 . 7 7 6 7 . 4 9 6 7 . 8 9 7 1 . 8 8 7 2 . 7 6 7 7 . 5 9 8 3 . 0 1 Humidity "P" 8 8 . 6 6 8 1 . 0 6 7 2 . 5 7 6 8 . 3 1 6 7 . 3 2 7 0 . 4 4 6 9 . 3 4 7 2 . 2 7 7 5 . 7 0 7 7 . 7 3 8 2 . 9 6 8 6 . 5 4 of Air (pct) Total Soil "U" 3 . 8 2 6.52 2.68 3.36 3.32 2.30 2.42 2.56 2.68 3.96 4.96 7.04 Moisture "P" 1 5 . 7 8 2 1 . 0 2 1 2 . 6 0 9.56 6.70 6.42 5.70 4.96 7.56 10.88 11.42 1 7 . 8 0 (PCt) 72.13 75.91 67.27 70.56 77.00 81.25 3.80 10.87 2.80 6.80 4.80 14.90 ** Apr May June Montlls July Aug Annual * Mar Sep Oct 6.07 10.01 15.58 1 7 . 6 3 20.16 1 9 . 8 1 16.64 1 0 . 8 8 5.86 10.70 15.00 18.04 19.53 1 8 . 9 1 16.02 10.58 35.42 32.16 54.92 "P" 3 1 . 3 6 2 2 . 8 8 3 7 . 4 8 3 4 . 3 8 5 7 . 4 4 90.30 35.22 88.76 39.66 30.74 25.70 43.18 46.24 39.84 44.26 Nov Dec 286.52 213.08 292.18 226.86 VP denotes Vegetational Period NVP denotes Non-Vegetational Period between 10 a.m. and 3 p.m. A s p e r t h e i r d u r a t i o n , c a t e g o r y I1 winds (60 - 360 min.) occur most f r e q u e n t l y i n March and October. I n a d d i t i o n , it has been observed t h a t e r o s i o n a l l y a c t i v e a i r c u r r e n t s of NW d i r e c t i o n ( 1 4 ) a r e more f a v o r a b l e (warmer and d r i e r a i r ) t o t h e development of d e f l a t i o n , t h a n t h e winds of N ( 1 6 ) direction. The degree of nonuniformness of a i r c u r r e n t s e x p r e s s e d t h r o u g h t h e f a c t o r s of f o r c e (K) and frequency ( p e r c e n t ) ranges These v a l u e s f o r NW between 1 . 0 and 9 . 6 . ( 1 4 ) and N (16) winds o s c i l l a t e much l e s s , a v e r a g i n g 3 . 3 3 and 3 . 8 6 ( t a b l e 2 ) which i s v e r y s i g n i f i c a n t f o r t h e e v a l u a t i o n of t h e a g g r e s s i v e n e s s of a i r c u r r e n t s . The a n a l y s i s of d a t a ( t a b l e 3 ) of t h e hydrometric regime of t h e r e s e a r c h e d erosion p l o t s points t o the significantly more humid regime on t h e p r o t e c t e d e r o s i o n p l o t , which d e c r e a s e s t h e development of deflatory processes. The a n a l y s i s of a e o l i a n d e p o s i t ( E n ) and r e s i d u a l s o i l ( O Z ) r e s u l t e d i n s e v e r a l i n d i c a t o r s of c o n d i t i o n s i n which d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e s o c c u r . The f o l l o w i n g a r e t h e most important ones : P a r t i c l e - s i z e composition of t h e r e s e a r c h e d sands i n d i c a t e s a v e r y " e r o d i b l e s o i l " . The c o n t e n t of e r o d i b l e p a r t i c l e s s m a l l e r t h a n 1 mm ( t o t h e depth of 0.05 m ) amounts t o more t h a n 9 9 p e r c e n t , and t h e c o n d i t i o n of e r o d i b i l i t y i s 40 p e r c e n t of these particles. Sand m o i s t u r e (rough d i s p e r s i o n ) i s a v e r y s i g n i f i c a n t f a c t o r i n t h e group of s o i l p h y s i c a l p r o p e r t i e s which c o n d i t i o n t h e "pseudo cohesion" reducing t h e USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130. 1991 development of t h e d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s . The c o n t e n t of t o t a l sand m o i s t u r e ( t o t h e d e p t h of 0.05 m ) on t h e u n p r o t e c t e d a r e a ranges between 2 . 3 p e r c e n t and 7.0 p e r c e n t , and on t h e p r o t e c t e d a r e a it i s 4 . 9 p e r c e n t t o 21 p e r c e n t ( t a b l e 3 ) . The r e l a t i o n of m o i s t u r e ( W Z ) and a p p a r e n t cohesion ( c ) i s d e f i n e d by t h e f u n c t i o n : and it h a s been e s t a b l i s h e d f o r Wz = 1 - 21 p e r c e n t , with t h e corresponding v a l u e s of cohesion of up t o c = 6 . 7 9 kN x m-*. On t h i s o c c a s i o n it has been observed t h a t d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e s occur a t t h e s o i l m o i s t u r e below 7 p e r c e n t , which corresponds t o cohesion below c = 3.0 k N x m-2. The a n a l y s i s of t h e r e l a t i o n of chemical c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e a e o l i a n d e p o s i t i o n ( E n ) and t h e r e s i d u a l s o i l ( O Z ) p o i n t s t o t h e very s i g n i f i c a n t i n d i c a t i o n of s o i l f e r t i l i z a t i o n l o s s a f f e c t e d by I t i s denoted by t h e d e f l a t i o n processes. "deflation c o e f f i c i e n t " presented i n t a b l e 4. Table 4 . The degree of t h e damaging e f f e c t of d e f l a t i o n p r o c e s s e x p r e s s e d a s d e f l a t i o n c o e f f i c i e n t mu=En x oZ-l Number Nutrients 1 Humu~ 2 3 4 5 CaC03 Total N i t ~ o g e n Readily Available P Readily Available K mu = En x 0,-l 5.7 - 16.2 1.1 1.3 3.2 14.0 15.5 20.3 6.4 14.3 - 81 By the research of correlation between aggressive factors of climate, resistances of soil particles, and the quantity of aeolian deposition in the conditions of the Pannonian Plain, the basic equation of wind erosion has been developed: where: - Quantity of aeolian deposition in kg m-l; A and B - coefficients of regression; - base of natural logarithms; e - air flow in seconds through Qv the observed cross section in m3s-1; - duration of each aggressive T wind in s. En The formula is practical, as it is incomparably easier (with the aid of analytical evaluations and graphs of input parameters) to evaluate the erosion process, which otherwise calls for a rather complicated procedure of measurements. more than 90 percent particles smaller than 1 mm) and they can be classified as category I11 wind erosion hazard (Chepil and Woodruff 1954) - soils not resistant to wind erosion, or as (III), category of intensive erosion (Letic, Lj. 1989) with 5.0 - 7.0 t km-1 per year of deflation. - Deflation processes occur in the periods winter - spring (Jan - Apr) and summer (June - July) and they are caused by aggressive winds NW (14) and N (16), velocity above 3.0 m s-l (at 0 .O5 m above ground) . - The researched soils are subject to the accelerated nutrient loss resulting in fertility loss. - These researches have a practical value, as they widen and supplement the knowledge of the measures of struggle against the phenomena of deflation, i.e. the establishment of shelterbelt plantings (and other measures) in this part of the Pannonian Plain. REFERENCES CONCLUSIONS By the analysis of data presented in the paper, it can be concluded as follows: - In steppe-savanna conditions of the Pannonian Plain deflation processes represent a significant factor of soil destruction. They are factors which have adverse effects on the quality of the environment and, in general, on human activities in the region. - Light soils (sands) of the SuboticaHorgos Sands are very erodible (containing Chepil, W.S. and N.P. Woodruff. 1954. Estimations of wind erodibility of field surfaces. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation 9:257-265, 285. Letic, Lj. 1989. Istrazivanje intenziteta eoloske erozije na Suboticko-horgoskoj pescari, Disertacija, Beograd. Svehlik, R. 1975. Vetrna eroze pudy na jinovychodni Morave, Sv. 20, C.S.R. ve ZH. Praha. Velasevic, V. 1978. Zastita i unapredjenje suma Suboticko-horgoske pescare, Studija, Subotica. U S D A Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-130.1991 The Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, is responsible for Federal leadenhip in forestry. It carries out this role through four main activities: Protection and management of resources on 191 million acres oTNational Forest System lands Cooperation with State and local governments, forest industries, and private landowners to help protect and manage non-Federal forest and associated range and watershed lands Participation with other agencies in human resource and communily assistance progmms to improve living conditions in rural areas Research on all aspects of forestry, rangeland management, and forest resources utilization. The Pacific Southwest Research Station Represents the research branch o i the Forest Service in California, Hawaii, American Samoa and the western Pacific. Persons of any race, color, national origin, sex, age, religion, or with any handicapping conditions are welcon~eto use and enjoy all racilities, programs, and services of the US. Department of Ag~iculture.Discrimination in any form is strictly against agency policy, and should be reported to the Secretary of Agriculture, WashingLon, DC 20250. O n - August 5-11,1990, Montreal, Canada Proceedings of the IUFRO Technical Session on Geomorphic Hazards in Managed Forests