(c) crown copyright Catalogue Reference:CAB/65/5/47 Image Reference:0001 THIS DOCUMENT I S T H E P R O P E R T Y O PH I S BRITANNIC M A J E S T V S Printed for the War Cabinet. February GOVERNMENT 1940. SECRET Copy N o . W.M. (40) 4 7 t h Conclusions. TO BE K E P T UNDER LOCK AND KEY. It is requested that special care may be taken to ensure the secrecy of this document. WAR CABINET 47 ( 4 0 ) . CONCLUSIONS of a Meeting of the War Cabinet held at 10 Downing S.W. 1, on Tuesday, February 20, 1940, at 1 1 - 3 0 A.M. Street, Present: T h e R i g h t H o n . N E V I L L E C H A M B E R L A I N , M . P . , P r i m e M i n i s t e r (in the Chair). The R i g h t Hon. Sir J O H N SIMON, K . C , M . P , Chancellor of t h e E x c h e q u e r . The Right Hon. VISCOUNT HALIFAX, S e c r e t a r y of S t a t e for F o r e i g n Affairs. The R i g h t Hon. S i r SAMUEL HOARE, Bt., M . P , L o r d P r i v y Seal. A d m i r a l of t h e Fleet t h e R i g h t H o n . LORD CHATFIELD, Minister for Co­ o r d i n a t i o n of Defence. The Right Hon. WINSTON S. C H U R C H I L L , M . P , F i r s t L o r d of t h e Admiralty. T h e R i g h t H o n . O L I V E R STANLEY, M . P , S e c r e t a r y of S t a t e for W a r . The R i g h t Hon. Sir KINGSLEY WOOD, M . P , S e c r e t a r y of S t a t e f o r A i r . The Right Hon. LORD HANKEY, Minister without Portfolio. T h e following w e r e also p r e s e n t : The R i g h t Hon. Sir JOHN ANDERSON, M . P , S e c r e t a r y of S t a t e f o r t h e H o m e D e p a r t m e n t a n d M i n i s t e r of H o m e Security. The Right Hon. ANTHONY EDEN, M.P., S e c r e t a r y of S t a t e for D o m i n i o n Affairs. The R i g h t Hon. ERNEST BROWN, M . P , Minister of Labour a n d National Service (Item 1). The Right Hon. LESLIE BURGIN, M . P , M i n i s t e r of S u p p l y (Item 1). Sir HORACE J. WILSON, Permanent Secretary to the Treasury. Secretariat. Sir EDWARD BRIDGES. Captain A. D . NICHOLL, R . N . Mr. W . D . WILKINSON. M r . G. N . F L E M M I N G . Mr. P . K . DEBENHAM. [20864] 4l WAR CABINET 47 (40). CONTENTS. Minute No. Subject. Page 1 M a n Power ... ... ... ... ... Labour statistics. Training. Recruitment of women. Schedule of reserved occupations. Experience of the Ministry of Supply. The employment of skilled, tradesmen in the army. 367 2 The Air Situation 370 3 The Naval Situation Shipping losses. 371 4 The Military Situation Western Front. Finland. 371 5 Assistance to Finland ... 6 Scandinavia ... ... ... ... ... Stoppage of traffic in Norwegian territorial waters. 7 Italy Economic relations. 8 Roumania ... ... ... ... ... Oil policy: supply of equipment and raw materials. ... ... 373 9 W a r Cabinet A r r a n g e m e n t s ... ... ... 374 ... ... ... ... ... 372 ... ... 372 372 ... ... 367 Man Power. (Previous References: W.M. (40) 17th Conclusions, Minute 1, and 40th Conclusions, Minute 1.) Labour statistics. 1. W . M . 4 7 (40) T h e W a r C a b i n e t h a d before t h e m the following p a p e r s : — (1) N o t e by t h e Chancellor of t h e Exchequer, covering a M e m o r a n d u m by t h e M i n i s t e r of L a b o u r a n d N a t i o n a l Service ( W , P . (G.) (40) 46). (2) N o t e by t h e C h a n c e l l o r of t h e E x c h e q u e r , covering a M e m o r a n d u m b y t h e W a r Office a n d t h e M i n i s t r y of S u p p l y ( W . P . (G.) (40) 49). The Chancellor of the Exchequer said t h a t these p a p e r s together c o n s t i t u t e d t h e first of t h e series of r e p o r t s w h i c h h e h a d been i n v i t e d t o p r e p a r e on the m e a s u r e s in o p e r a t i o n , a n d those proposed, to p r o m o t e a n i n c r e a s e i n m a n - p o w e r in t h e w a r industries. T h e Chancellor d r e w a t t e n t i o n t o the m a i n p o i n t s in t h e p a p e r s . I t w o u l d be seen t h a t t h e M i n i s t e r of L a b o u r h a d discussed t h e problems of s e c u r i n g t h e r e q u i r e d influx of labour i n t o t h e w a r i n d u s t r i e s w i t h r e p r e s e n t a t i v e s of employers a n d employed in t h e E n g i n e e r i n g i n d u s t r y . B o t h h a d shown a h e l p f u l a t t i t u d e , w h i c h led the M i n i s t e r to conclude t h a t t h e r e should be for the m o m e n t as little p u b l i c reference t o the q u e s t i o n as possible. Nevertheless, employers m i g h t n o t a t p r e s e n t be d o i n g a s m u c h as possible in t h e d i r e c t i o n of d i l u t i o n for f e a r of c a u s i n g friction w i t h t h e i r w o r k people. T h e Chancellor of t h e E x c h e q u e r s a i d t h e only comment h e w i s h e d t o m a k e on t h e s e m e m o r a n d a w a s t h a t i t w a s d i s a p p o i n t i n g t h a t t h e r e w a s no s t a t i s t i c a l m a t e r i a l a v a i l a b l e to i n d i c a t e w h a t m e a s u r e of p r o g r e s s h a d been achieved by these m e a n s i n e x p a n d i n g engineering employment. I t m u s t be r e m e m b e r e d t h a t t h e p r o g r a m m e s r e q u i r e d a n e x p a n s i o n in t h e e n g i n e e r i n g i n d u s t r i e s alone of 816,000 p e r s o n s b y J u l y - S e p t e m b e r 1 9 4 0 — t h a t is to say, from 1,300.000 p e r s o n s to 2,116,000. T h e y h a d no m e a s u r e of w h a t h a d been achieved. I t m i g h t be t h a t t h e W a r C a b i n e t w o u l d w i s h h i m to see w h a t could be done to fill t h i s g a p in t h e i r s t a t i s t i c a l knowledge. The Minister of Labour s a i d t h a t a n exact p i c t u r e of n u m b e r s employed, in t h e g r o u p s i n t o w h i c h t h e i n s u r e d p o p u l a t i o n w a s divided, w a s p r o v i d e d by t h e e x c h a n g e of books w h i c h took p l a c e every J u l y . I n o t h e r m o n t h s t h e y could only e s t i m a t e c h a n g e s i n e m p l o y m e n t by h a v i n g r e g a r d t o k n o w n changes in t h e n u m b e r of unemployed registered monthly and to the changes anticipated in t h e t o t a l i n s u r e d p o p u l a t i o n over the year. These e s t i m a t e s h a d often been belied by the event, even i n peace time. To-day t h e difficulties in t h e w a y of e s t i m a t i n g c h a n g e s i n e m p l o y m e n t w e r e very m u c h g r e a t e r . A l a r g e n u m b e r of i n s u r e d men h a d been called u p ; u n k n o w n n u m b e r s of p e r s o n s e i t h e r not p r e v i o u s l y i n s u r e d , o r w h o h a d left i n s u r e d employment, were e n t e r i n g i n s u r e d employ­ m e n t ; a n d t h e r e h a d been a n u n k n o w n a m o u n t of t r a n s f e r e n c e f r o m one i n d u s t r y to a n o t h e r w i t h i n t h e field of i n s u r e d employment. F o r these reasons, i t w a s q u i t e impossible to p r e p a r e a m o n t h l y e s t i m a t e of t h e c h a n g e s i n e m p l o y m e n t i n p a r t i c u l a r i n d u s t r i e s o n t h e b a s i s of t h e m a t e r i a l a t p r e s e n t available. A t t h e outset of t h e l a s t w a r the B o a r d of T r a d e L a b o u r Division h a d called for a r e t u r n of e m p l o y m e n t from a n u m b e r of employers. T h i s r e t u r n , k n o w n as the " Z 8 " r e t u r n , h a d been m a d e a t q u a r t e r l y i n t e r v a l s , b e g i n n i n g in 1914; i t w a s d i s c o n t i n u e d i n 1920. I t h a d covered a l l G o v e r n m e n t e s t a b l i s h m e n t s ; b u t in the case of o t h e r e s t a b l i s h m e n t s , only a s a m p l e of e m p l o y e r s , of v a r y i n g completeness in different i n d u s t r i e s , h a d m a d e r e t u r n s . T h e n a t u r e of the r e t u r n h a d been s o m e w h a t simplified i n the course of the w a r . E v e n a t t h e b e g i n n i n g of 1917, however, i t h a d called for replies t o 2 3 q u e s t i o n s g r o u p e d u n d e r 9 different h e a d i n g s . [20864] " B 2 31 The Prime Minister s a i d t h a t w h a t t h e M i n i s t e r of L a b o u r h a d said disclosed a serious deficiency i n o u r i n f o r m a t i o n . I t was essential t h a t we should h a v e e x a c t k n o w l e d g e of w h a t w a s h a p p e n i n g . W e o u g h t to k n o w by h o w m u c h t h e e n g i n e e r i n g labour h a d e x p a n d e d ; from w h i c h i n d u s t r i e s t h i s a d d i t i o n a l labour h a d been d r a w n ; a n d in w h i c h i n d u s t r i e s pools of labour, w h i c h could be d r a w n upon, remained. ,. The Lord Privy Seal s a i d t h a t t h e need for such r e t u r n s h a d become p l a i n w h e n the M i n i s t e r i a l C o m m i t t e e on E c o n o m i c P o l i c y h a d been d i s c u s s i n g L o r d S t a m p ' s M e m o r a n d u m on o u r N a t i o n a l R e s o u r c e s i n r e l a t i o n to o u r W a r Effort. A n o t h e r p o i n t on w h i c h i n f o r m a t i o n w a s sadly deficient w a s the level of labour e a r n i n g s , as opposed t o w a g e r a t e s . The Minister of Labour s a i d t h a t he believed t h a t t h e M i n i s t e r of S u p p l y h a d the necessary p o w e r s t o collect t h i s i n f o r m a t i o n , a n d i t m i g h t be desirable for t h e M i n i s t r y of L a b o u r to act a s the a g e n t s of t h e M i n i s t e r of S u p p l y i n t h i s m a t t e r . H i s a d v i s e r s took t h e view, however, t h a t t h e s t a t i s t i c s w o u l d only be of value if they w e r e compiled on a n o c c u p a t i o n a l basis, so t h a t they w o u l d be able to locate, for e x a m p l e , t h e skilled fitters employed in w o r k s not e n g a g e d in e n g i n e e r i n g p r o d u c t i o n u p a n d down t h e c o u n t r y . On the o t h e r h a n d , he believed t h a t , a p a r t from e n a b l i n g M i n i s t e r s t o a n s w e r P a r l i a m e n t a r y Questions, t h e Z 8 r e t u r n in t h e l a s t w a r h a d not p r o v e d of m u c h value. I n a n y event, a s i m p l e r r e t u r n t h a n Z 8 w o u l d be more s u i t a b l e . The Chancellor of the Exchequer agreed t h a t only a simple r e t u r n , w h i c h w o u l d give c o m p a r a b l e r e s u l t s from m o n t h to m o n t h , w o u l d be r e q u i r e d ; b u t t h e scope of the r e t u r n w a s a p r a c t i c a l q u e s t i o n w h i c h would be b e t t e r discussed a t a m e e t i n g called for that purpose. Training. I n a g e n e r a l discussion on t r a i n i n g of labour for skilled e m p l o y m e n t i n t h e e n g i n e e r i n g i n d u s t r i e s , t h e following w e r e t h e p r i n c i p a l p o i n t s m a d e :— (a) Raising semi-skilled men to the ranks of fully skilled. A t t e n t i o n w a s d r a w n to t h e i m p o r t a n c e of p r o v i d i n g t r a i n i n g for t h i s p u r p o s e , a n d for r a i s i n g t h e fully skilled t o even h i g h e r levels, a s c o n s t i t u t i n g t h e most economical m e a n s for p r o v i d i n g t h e m e n r e q u i r e d a n d as p r o v i d i n g a flow of p r o m o t i o n w h i c h w o u l d m a k e for smooth w o r k i n g . The Minister of Labour e x p l a i n e d t h a t t h i s f o r m of t r a i n i n g would r e q u i r e different i n s t r u c t o r s a n d different m a c h i n e r y from t h a t available i n the G o v e r n m e n t t r a i n i n g centres a n d t h a t i t could only be u n d e r t a k e n i n s i d e t h e w o r k s themselves. H e h a d a l r e a d y d r a w n t h e a t t e n t i o n of t h e T r a d e s U n i o n s a n d t h e E m p l o y e r s to t h e m a t t e r , a n d w a s g o i n g t o discuss i t w i t h the E m p l o y e r s ' F e d e r a t i o n i n t h e coming week. T h e r e w a s g e n e r a l a g r e e m e n t w i t h t h e view t h a t t h i s f o r m of t r a i n i n g w a s p r i m a r i l y a m a t t e r for t h e employers, b u t t h a t i t also r e q u i r e d t o be e n c o u r a g e d a n d o r g a n i z e d , a n d t h a t t h e r e w a s t h e r e f o r e scope for G o v e r n m e n t a c t i o n i n t h e m a t t e r . (b) Provision of training in Government centres for persons already in employment. The Minister of Labour said t h a t t h e g r e a t bulk of those w h o could be b r o u g h t i n t o these centres by p r e s e n t m e t h o d s h a d a l r e a d y been secured, b u t t h a t t h e r e w e r e p l e n t y of m e n employed in n o n - e s s e n t i a l t r a d e s w h o could be t r a i n e d for w o r k of n a t i o n a l i m p o r t a n c e . T h i s , however, w o u l d i m m e d i a t e l y r a i s e difficulties of t h e scale of allowances t o be paid- t o them. 369 W . M . 47 (40) 222 & c , a n d h i s D e p a r t m e n t w a s e n g a g e d on c o n s i d e r i n g possible w a y s of overcoming these difficulties. T h e r e w a s g e n e r a l a g r e e m e n t w i t h t h e view t h a t i t w a s essential to make progress w i t h this matter. (c) The use of the facilities available in Technical Schools, Approved Schools and Universities. The Minister of Labour s a i d t h a t t h i s w a s being discussed w i t h t h e B o a r d of E d u c a t i o n . The Lord, Privy Seal s t r e s s e d t h e i m p o r t a n c e of m a k i n g t h e g r e a t e s t possible use of U n i v e r s i t i e s i n t h i s connection. The Secretary of State for War s a i d t h a t h i s D e p a r t m e n t also w a s m a k i n g p l a n s to use T e c h n i c a l School facilities for t h e t r a i n i n g of skilled m e n r e q u i r e d by t h e A r m y , a n d asked for t h i s to be b o r n e in m i n d i n connection w i t h any f u r t h e r p r o p o s a l s w h i c h m i g h t be p u t f o r w a r d . (d) Training generally. The Minister of Labour s a i d t h a t , as a r e s u l t of recent discussions, t h e T r a d e s U n i o n s h a d a d o p t e d a better a t t i t u d e in t h e m a t t e r a n d t h a t it w o u l d n o w be f a r easier to secure progress. Recruitment of women. A t t e n t i o n w a s d r a w n to t h e s t a t e m e n t , i n p a r a g r a p h 6 of t h e M e m o r a n d u m by t h e M i n i s t e r of L a b o u r a t t a c h e d t o W . P . (G.) (40) 46, t o t h e effect t h a t it seemed t h a t t h e r e w a s " for t h e m o m e n t n o g r e a t d e m a n d for women i n e n g i n e e r i n g , except in o c c u p a t i o n s for w h i c h they a r e o r d i n a r i l y e m p l o y e d . " The Minister of Labour s a i d t h a t t h i s m e a n t t h a t firms were, i n f a c t , able to find t h e women t h e y needed w i t h o u t a n y a s s i s t a n c e from t h e G o v e r n m e n t . T a c t f u l m a n a g e r s were s e c u r i n g the employ­ m e n t of very l a r g e n u m b e r s of women, b u t i t w a s better n o t t o a d v e r t i s e t h e f a c t too widely. Some delay h a d been caused by t h e fact t h a t w a g e r a t e s for women h a d n o t yet been settled. Schedule of Reserved Occupations. The Prime Minister asked w h e t h e r t h e r e w a s a risk t h a t , a s m o r e m e n w e r e t a k e n for the A r m e d Forces, the s u p p l y of semi­ skilled men or of m e n available for t r a i n i n g would be depleted. The Minister of Labour s a i d t h a t t h i s r i s k existed. The Schedule, however, covered the lesser skilled men a s well as t h e h i g h l y skilled men. T h e p r e s e n t a r r a n g e m e n t s were flexible, a n d p e r m i t t e d of a d j u s t m e n t s being m a d e by a d m i n i s t r a t i v e a c t i o n as r e q u i r e d , t h r o u g h t h e m a c h i n e r y of the M a n - P o w e r Committee. H e t h o u g h t t h a t t h e b a l a n c e w a s b e i n g held evenly between the needs of i n d u s t r y a n d of t h e A r m e d Forces. Experience of the Ministry of Supply. The Minister of Supply expressed the same opinion. The Minister, continuing, said t h a t there was general shortage of skilled e n g i n e e r i n g l a b o u r in t h e sense t h a t probably every b i g m u n i t i o n f a c t o r y could u s e its m a c h i n e r y more fully a n d secure i n c r e a s e d p r o d u c t i o n if m o r e m e n w e r e available. F o r example, a s h o r t a g e of 2,000 m e n h a d been r e p o r t e d a t B a r r o w , a n d of 400 m e n a t W o o l w i c h , w h i l e a t C o v e n t r y i t w a s difficult to get men to w o r k on the n i g h t shift, w h e n t h e r e w a s d a y w o r k available for everybody a n d w h e n t h e n i g h t p a y w a s a t t h e r a t e of t i m e a n d one-fifth i n s t e a d of t i m e a n d o n e - t h i r d . T h e problem, a s he s a w it, w a s first t o a s c e r t a i n t h e l a b o u r available, a n d t h e n to g e t i t i n t o t h e i n d u s t r y w h e r e i t w a s w a n t e d . T h i s h a d to be t a c k l e d locally, a n d it w a s for t h i s p u r p o s e t h a t P r o d u c t i o n Officers w e r e b e i n g a p p o i n t e d for t h e v a r i o u s a r e a s , t h e i r t a s k being, in effect, t h a t of s e c u r i n g the a d o p ­ t i o n of m e a s u r e s of d i l u t i o n . T w o P r o d u c t i o n Officers h a d a l r e a d y been a p p o i n t e d i n t h e m a c h i n e tool i n d u s t r y , a n d as a r e s u l t twelve firms w h i c h h a d n o t pi'eviously been w o r k i n g a full n i g h t s h i f t w e r e [ 2 0 8 6 4 ] B 3 doing so. T h e g e n e r a l o p i n i o n of t h e M i n i s t r y ' s p r o d u c t i o n staff w a s t h a t t h e r e w e r e n o i n s u p e r a b l e obstacles to d i l u t i o n , b u t t h a t i t would be very difficult to q u i c k e n t h e p a c e of t h e progress. T h e progressive s h o r t a g e of r a w m a t e r i a l s for p r o d u c i n g civilian r e q u i r e m e n t s would, he hoped, e n c o u r a g e men to t r a n s f e r t o t h e w o r k of w a r p r o d u c t i o n . The employment of skilled tradesmen in the army. The Secretary of State for War said t h a t h e h a d n o t h i n g to a d d to h i s M e m o r a n d u m ( A p p e n d i x " A " to W . P . (G.) (40) 49), w h i c h he h a d p r e p a r e d only in o r d e r to show t h e efforts w h i c h were being m a d e by t h e A r m y to remove a n y cause for criticism i n the m a t t e r of i t s employment of skilled t r a d e s m e n . T h e W a r C a b i n e t :— (1) Took note of the two M e m o r a n d a on M a n P o w e r by the Chancellor of t h e E x c h e q u e r ( W . P . (G.) (40) 46 a n d 49). (2) A g r e e d t h a t p e r i o d i c r e t u r n s of e m p l o y m e n t should be obtained, showing, if possible :— (a) how f a s t t h e labour r e q u i r e m e n t s of t h e i n d u s t r i e s affected by the Service p r o g r a m m e s were being­ met; (b) from w h a t i n d u s t r i e s t h i s labour w a s being d r a w n ; (c) in w h a t i n d u s t r i e s pools of labour still r e m a i n e d on w h i c h f u r t h e r d r a f t s m i g h t be m a d e . (3) I n v i t e d t h e Chancellor of t h e E x c h e q u e r , i n consultation w i t h t h e M i n i s t e r of L a b o u r a n d N a t i o n a l Service, the M i n i s t e r of S u p p l y , a n d other M i n i s t e r s concerned, to devise suitable a r r a n g e m e n t s for a c h i e v i n g these objects. (4) I n v i t e d t h e Chancellor of t h e E x c h e q u e r , in consultation w i t h t h e D e p a r t m e n t s concerned, t o i n v e s t i g a t e t h e possibilities of a f u r t h e r development of facilities for t r a i n i n g t h e skilled labour r e q u i r e d for w a r purposes, a n d t o r e p o r t to the W a r C a b i n e t on the measures a l r e a d y a d o p t e d for t h i s p u r p o s e , a n d on a n y f u r t h e r m e a s u r e s proposed. T h e A i r Situation. (Previous Eeferenee: W.M. (40) 46th Conclusions, Minute 1.) 2. The Secretary of State for A ir s a i d t h a t t h e w e a t h e r d u r i n g t h e p r e v i o u s 24 h o u r s h a d been most u n f a v o u r a b l e for a i r o p e r a t i o n s . On t h e previous evening, however, t w o W h i t l e y a i r c r a f t h a d flown to H e l i g o l a n d , one of w h i c h h a d r e p o r t e d t h r e e u n l i t vessels, t h o u g h t to be destroyers, a b o u t 60 miles n o r t h of Terschelling. T h e o t h e r W h i t l e y , w h i c h h a d experienced cons i d e r a b l e A . A . fire, h a d located four heavy s h i p s in a position half a mile t o t h e n o r t h - w e s t of H e l i g o l a n d . Twelve vessels h a d also been s i g h t e d 60 miles n o r t h - w e s t of Terschelling, w i t h a n u m b e r of other vessels i n t h e v i c i n i t y w h i c h were s h o w i n g l i g h t s . Ice e x t e n d e d from B o r k u m t o a p o i n t a few miles west of H e l i g o l a n d a n d thence n o r t h ­ e a s t w a r d s . T h i s r e p o r t h a d not come t h r o u g h u n t i l 10 - 30 P . M . I t i n d i c a t e d very difficult c o n d i t i o n s ; and, a s by t h a t t i m e w e a t h e r c o n d i t i o n s i n t h i s c o u n t r y h a d considerably d e t e r i o r a t e d , i t h a d been decided n o t to send o u t f u r t h e r a i r c r a f t . Some enemy a i r a c t i v i t y h a d been r e p o r t e d over t h e N o r t h Sea in the Shetland-Bergen area. The Naval Situation. (Previous Reference: W.M. (40) 46th Conclusions, Minute 2.) 3. The First Lord of the Admiralty said that H.M. submarine Salmon a t 8-10 t h a t m o r n i n g h a d r e p o r t e d G e r m a n c a p i t a l ships s t e e r i n g south from H e l i g o l a n d . The Secretary of State for Air o u t a bomber force to a t t a c k t h e discussion a t t h a t m o m e n t between Chief, Bomber C o m m a n d , a n d the said t h a t the q u e s t i o n of s e n d i n g G e r m a n b a t t l e fleet w a s u n d e r t h e A i r Officer C o m m a n d i n g - i n A i r Staff. C o n t i n u i n g , the First Lord of the Admiralty said t h a t the o u t w a r d - b o u n d N o r w e g i a n convoy, w h i c h h a d been d i v e r t e d t o K i r k w a l l on t h e 18th F e b r u a r y , w o u l d proceed later i n t h e day. S u i t a b l e w a r s h i p cover h a d been p r o v i d e d . O n e s h i p a n d f o u r t r a w l e r s h a d r e p o r t e d being a t t a c k e d by a i r c r a f t off the S c o t t i s h coast on the p r e v i o u s day, b u t these r e p o r t s h a d n o t been confirmed. Shipping losses. T h e following s h i p p i n g losses h a d been r e p o r t e d d u r i n g t h e previous twenty-four hours : — S.S. Odysseus, G r e e k (4,577 tons), s u n k w i t h o u t w a r n i n g off C a p e F i n i s t e r r e . C r e w saved. S.S. Banderas, S p a n i s h (2,140 tons), s u n k off C a p e V i l l a n o , following a n explosion on t h e 1 8 t h F e b r u a r y . Seven saved, 22 m i s s i n g . T h e week h a s seen serious s h i p p i n g losses. F i v e B r i t i s h vessels, t o t a l l i n g 40,000 tons, a n d 15 n e u t r a l vessels, t o t a l l i n g 50,000 tons, h a d been sunk. T h i s c o m p a r e d w i t h p e a k weekly losses i n A p r i l 1917 a v e r a g i n g 200,000 tons. A n intensive sweep a g a i n s t U - b o a t s w a s b e i n g c a r r i e d out by s u b m a r i n e - h u n t i n g u n i t s i n t h e M o r a y F i r t h a r e a a n d e a s t of t h e Orkneys. T h e d a m a g e d t a n k e r Imperial Transport, escorted by a destroyer, w a s in tow w e s t of t h e H e b r i d e s . T h e B r i t i s h s h i p Hartismere (5,498 tons), disabled since t h e 15th F e b r u a r y , h a d been t a k e n in t o w by t h e a r m e d m e r c h a n t c r u i s e r H . M . S . Jervis Bay in the S o u t h e r n A t l a n t i c . She would be escorted t o F r e e t o w n by a n u m b e r of F r e n c h w a r s h i p s a n d submarines. A m i n e h a d been e x p l o d e d by a coil t o w i n g ship n e a r t h e S u n k L i g h t Vessel on t h e p r e v i o u s d a y . T h e W a r C a b i n e t took note of t h i s s t a t e m e n t . The Military Situation. 4. The Secretly of State for War s a i d t h a t t h e r e w a s n o t h i n g t o r e p o r t from t h e W e s t e r n F r o n t . (Previous Reference: W.M. (40) 46th Conclusions, Minute 3.) Western Front. Finland. I n the K a r e l i a n I s t h m u s t h e R u s s i a n offensive a p p e a r e d to be T h e F i n n i s h forces h a d w i t h d r a w n from c e r t a i n slackening. p o s i t i o n s on t h e e a s t e r n side of t h e I s t h m u s w i t h o u t R u s s i a n i n t e r ­ ference. N o r t h of L a k e L a d o g a , t h e d e f e a t of t h e 1 8 t h Soviet D i v i s i o n h a d been completed, a n d considerable q u a n t i t i e s of m a t e r i a l s h a d fallen i n t o F i n n i s h h a n d s . A n o t h e r Soviet division h a d been d e f e a t e d on the S a l l a F r o n t . Assistance to Finland. (Pi-evious Reference: W.M. (40) 45th Conclusions, Minute 1.) 5. The Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs gave t h e W a r C a b i n e t c e r t a i n f u r t h e r i n f o r m a t i o n on t h i s question. The discussion w h i c h took place is recorded i n t h e S e c r e t a r y ' s S t a n d a r d F i l e of W a r C a b i n e t Conclusions. Scandinavia. 6. I n connection w i t h t h e discussion on the p r e c e d i n g M i n u t e , the First Lord of the Admiralty s a i d t h a t it w a s n o use t a k i n g Stoppage of seriously the n e u t r a l i t y of so-called n e u t r a l P o w e r s w h i c h w e r e traffic in a c t i n g u n d e r duress. V e r y m a n y N o r w e g i a n s h i p s h a d been sunk, Norwegian a n d t h e lives of m a n y N o r w e g i a n sailors h a d been lost. G e r m a n y territorial h a d , however, e n t i r e l y i g n o r e d t h e N o r w e g i a n G o v e r n m e n t s p r o ­ waters. tests. T h e action of t h e N o r w e g i a n G o v e r n m e n t in e s c o r t i n g (Previous t h r o u g h t h e i r t e r r i t o r i a l w a t e r s a s h i p c o n t a i n i n g 300 B r i t i s h Reference: W.M. (40) 46th p r i s o n e r s w a s n o t t h e act of a free agent. Conclusions, The Secretary of State for Air t h o u g h t t h a t t h e r e p l y m a d e by Minute 9.) t h e N o r w e g i a n Government, as r e p o r t e d in t h e P r e s s , w a s s i g n i ­ ficant, namely, t h a t they r e g a r d e d the Altmark as a w a r s h i p a n d t h a t t h e y s a w n o t h i n g w r o n g in a w a r s h i p w i t h p r i s o n e r s p a s s i n g t h r o u g h t e r r i t o r i a l w a t e r s . I f t h a t w a s t h e i r a t t i t u d e , i t w a s one w h i c h w e could not tolerate, a n d w e should say so openly. The Prime Minister e n t i r e l y a g r e e d w i t h t h i s view. The N o r w e g i a n G o v e r n m e n t a p p a r e n t l y t h o u g h t t h a t , if a n y p a r t i c u l a r a c t i o n w a s n o t expressly f o r b i d d e n by i n t e r n a t i o n a l law, i t w a s l a w f u l . T h i s , a g a i n , w a s a p o i n t of view w h i c h w e could n o t accept. The Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs s a i d t h a t h e d i d n o t d i s s e n t f r o m the view e x p r e s s e d by h i s colleagues, b u t he t h o u g h t t h a t i t w a s i m p o r t a n t n o t t o i g n o r e t h e fact t h a t , while U n i t e d S t a t e s o p i n i o n h a d accepted the a c t i o n w h i c h w e h a d t a k e n so f a r vis-a-vis n e u t r a l s , t h a t o p i n i o n w a s very reserved in r e g a r d t o a n y future action which we m i g h t take. H e had asked our Ambassadors a t W a s h i n g t o n a n d R o m e t o t e l e g r a p h t h e i r j u d g m e n t of o p i n i o n i n t h e c o u n t r i e s to w h i c h they were accredited. T h e W a r C a b i n e t took note of t h i s s t a t e m e n t . 7. The Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs said t h a t h e h a d i n s t r u c t e d H i s M a j e s t y ' s A m b a s s a d o r i n R o m e to i n f o r m C o u n t C i a n o of the a n s w e r w h i c h it w a s i n t e n d e d to give t o t h a t d a y ' s P a r l i a m e n t a r y Question, a s k i n g w h e t h e r G e r m a n sea-borne (Previous e x p o r t s of coal to I t a l y w e r e liable to e x a m i n a t i o n . H e h a d a d d e d , Reference: for t h e A m b a s s a d o r ' s p r i v a t e i n f o r m a t i o n , t h a t t h e d a t e w h i c h w e W.M. (40) 46th h a d i n m i n d for t h e s t o p p a g e of t h e G e r m a n coal e x p o r t s w a s t h e Conclusions, 1st M a r c h , unless t h e A m b a s s a d o r felt t h a t convincing r e a s o n s Minute 6.) e x i s t e d for g i v i n g t h e I t a l i a n G o v e r n m e n t longer notice ( F o r e i g n Office t e l e g r a m No. 97 to Rome). S i r P e r c y L o r a i n e h a d r e p l i e d t h a t , in h i s opinion, t h e 1st M a r c h w a s a reasonable d a t e . H e r e g a r d e d t h e consequences for I t a l y , b o t h economic a n d p o l i t i c a l , as exceedingly g r a v e . A s r e g a r d s the economic consequences, S i r P e r c y L o r a i n e s u b m i t t e d t h a t i t w o u l d be v e r y u n d e s i r a b l e for British coal e x p o r t s to I t a l y t o be s t o p p e d (owing to t h a t c o u n t r y ' s i n a b i l i t y to p r o v i d e the necessary f o r e i g n exchange) a t t h e same d a t e a s t h e s t o p p a g e of G e r m a n sea­ borne coal. M e a n s o u g h t t o be f o u n d of c o n t i n u i n g our coal e x p o r t s to I t a l y for, say, a m o n t h a f t e r t h e s t o p p a g e of G e r m a n coal e x p o r t s to I t a l y . Italy. Economic relations. 373 W . M . 47 (40) A s r e g a r d s the p o l i t i c a l consequences, Sir P e r c y s a i d t h a t he could n o t now v e n t u r e t o p r o p h e s y w h e t h e r t h e consequences w o u l d be a c h a n g e of a t t i t u d e , i n a n a n t i - B r i t i s h direction, o n t h e p a r t of t h e I t a l i a n regime, or a m u t i n y a g a i n s t t h a t r e g i m e (Rome t e l e g r a m s Nos. 136 a n d 137). The First Lord of the Admiralty drew attention to Rome t e l e g r a m No. 139, r e p o r t i n g a conversation between t h e B r i t i s h M i l i t a r y A t t a c h e a n d S i g n o r C a p r o n i r e g a r d i n g the l a t t e r ' s a i r c r a f t c o n t r a c t w i t h us. S i g n o r C a p r o n i h a d said t h a t the D u c e h a d completely c h a n g e d h i s a t t i t u d e t o w a r d s t h i s c o n t r a c t between t h e 2nd F e b r u a r y a n d t h e 8 t h F e b r u a r y . O n the 2nd F e b r u a r y S i g n o r M u s s o l i n i h a d r e a d t h e c o n t r a c t , a n d h a d expressed w a r m s a t i s f a c ­ t i o n ; b u t on t h e 8 t h F e b r u a r y he h a d refused to allow t h e a i r c r a f t to be sold to H i s M a j e s t y ' s G o v e r n m e n t . Signor Caproni h a d a t t r i b u t e d the D u c e ' s c h a n g e of a t t i t u d e to G e r m a n t h r e a t s . The Secretary of State for Air said t h a t a n A i r Force officer w h o h a d j u s t r e t u r n e d from R o m e , w h o m he h a d j u s t seen, expected some modification of S i g n o r M u s s o l i n i ' s a t t i t u d e . Interested p a r t i e s in I t a l y m i g h t be e x p e c t e d to b r i n g g r e a t pressure to bear o n t h e D u c e to allow some of t h e B r i t i s h c o n t r a c t s t o go t h r o u g h . T h i s officer h a d r e p o r t e d a r u m o u r t o the effect t h a t the G e r m a n A m b a s s a d o r in R o m e h a d been t o see S i g n o r Mussolini w i t h a copy of o u r £ 2 0 million p r o g r a m m e of e x p e n d i t u r e in h i s h a n d . T h e W a r C a b i n e t took note of t h e above s t a t e m e n t s . 8. The Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs s a i d t h a t he h a d n o w seen M . T i l e a , w h o h a d h a n d e d h i m t h e a n s w e r of t h e Oil policy: R o u m a n i a n G o v e r n m e n t t o o u r aide-memoire of the 30th J a n u a r y . supply of equip­ T h e R o u m a n i a n a n s w e r disclosed that the Roumanian Government ment and raw h a d now u n d e r t a k e n to f u r n i s h G e r m a n y w i t h 130,000 tons of oil a materials. m o n t h (or 1,560,000 tons a y e a r ) . These figures were inclusive of (Previous t h e oil s u p p l i e s p r o m i s e d t o G e r m a n y u n d e r t h e G e r m a n - R o u m a n i a n Reference: A g r e e m e n t of M a r c h 1939, w h i c h h a d p r o v i d e d t h a t 25 p e r cent, of W.M. (40) 46th R o u m a n i a ' s t o t a l e x p o r t s to G e r m a n y should t a k e the form of oil. Conclusions, T h e y w e r e also inclusive of t h e oil w h i c h R o u m a n i a h a d p r o m i s e d Minute 7.) t o s u p p l y to G e r m a n y in p a y m e n t for m u n i t i o n s of w a r . T h e n e w G e r m a n - R o u m a n i a n a r r a n g e m e n t p r o v i d e d t h a t a r r e a r s of m o n t h l y deliveries m i g h t be m a d e u p a f t e r w a r d s , b u t t h a t monthly deliveries could n o t be a n t i c i p a t e d . S h o u l d we, i n t h e l i g h t of t h i s i n f o r m a t i o n , lift the b a n on t h e d e s p a t c h of c o n s i g n m e n t s of e q u i p m e n t a n d r a w m a t e r i a l s t o R o u m a n i a ? T h e R o u m a n i a n view w a s t h a t they h a d done well i n l i m i t i n g e x p o r t s to G e r m a n y to t h e figures of w h i c h we h a d n o w been informed. On t h e whole, h e (the F o r e i g n Secretary) w a s inclined t o consider t h a t o u r b a n m i g h t now be removed. Roumania. The Minister without Portfolio i n f o r m e d the W a r C a b i n e t t h a t a m e e t i n g of h i s C o m m i t t e e h a d been called for t h a t a f t e r n o o n t o consider t h i s i n f o r m a t i o n . H i s provisional view w a s t h a t w e could h a r d l y avoid r e c o g n i s i n g a s a f a c t R o u m a n i a ' s n e w a r r a n g e ­ m e n t w i t h G e r m a n y , w h i c h we could n o t alter, b u t we m u s t n o t acquiesce in it. I n a c t u a l fact, G e r m a n y was n o t likely t o i m p o r t a s m u c h as 1,560,000 t o n s of oil a year from R o u m a n i a . If deliveries fell behind the schedule, G e r m a n y would c e r t a i n l y h a v e g r e a t difficulty in m a k i n g u p a r r e a r s . W e m u s t continue t o employ o p p o r t u n i s t tactics to p r e v e n t G e r m a n y from o b t a i n i n g t h e a m o u n t of oil p r o v i d e d for in t h e a g r e e m e n t . The W a r Cabinet:— Took n o t e of t h e above s t a t e m e n t s , C o m m i t t e e u n d e r t h e c h a i r m a n s h i p of P o r t f o l i o t o r e a c h a decision a s t o removal of t h e p r e s e n t t e m p o r a r y Roumania. War Cabinet Arrangements. and authorised the the Minister without t h e c o n t i n u a n c e or b a n on e x p o r t s to 9. The Prime Minister informed the W a r Cabinet t h a t a M e m o r i a l Service for t h e late L o r d T w e e d s m u i r w a s b e i n g held a t 12 noon on T h u r s d a y , t h e 22nd F e b r u a r y . I t w o u l d a c c o r d i n g l y be necessary t o h o l d t h e M e e t i n g of the W a r C a b i n e t on t h a t d a y somewhat earlier t h a n the usual time. T h e W a r C a b i n e t w e r e also i n f o r m e d of t h e a r r a n g e m e n t s m a d e for t h e p a r a d e by t h e officers a n d men of H . M . S h i p s Ajax and Exeter on F r i d a y , t h e 2 3 r d F e b r u a r y , on t h e H o r s e G u a r d s P a r a d e , w h e r e t h e y w o u l d be inspected by H i s M a j e s t y T h e K i n g , p r i o r t o t h e i r m a r c h t o t h e G u i l d h a l l . O n t h i s m o r n i n g also i t w o u l d be necessary t o h o l d t h e M e e t i n g of the W a r C a b i n e t a t a n e a r l i e r hour than usual. T h e P r i m e M i n i s t e r said t h a t a notice w o u l d be c i r c u l a t e d a s t o t h e h o u r of t h e M e e t i n g s on these t w o m o r n i n g s . Richmond Terrace, S.W. 1, February 20, 1940.