Penn Institute for Economic Research
Department of Economics
University of Pennsylvania
3718 Locust Walk
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6297
pier@econ.upenn.edu
http://www.econ.upenn.edu/pier
PIER Working Paper 01-033
“Progressing Through Progresa: An Impact Assessment of a School Subsidy
Experiment”
by
Jere Behrman, Pilali Segupta and Petra Todd
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=286295
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Figure 1a: Percentage Enrolled by Age, All Children
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
60
+
+
+
controls
treatments
40
percent enrolled
100
October 1997
+
+
6
8
10
12
14
+
+
16
age
100
October 1998
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
+
+
+
60
+
controls
treatments
+
+
+
40
percent enrolled
+
+
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
+
+
+
+
60
+
+
controls
treatments
+
40
percent enrolled
100
November 1999
6
8
10
12
age
14
+
+
16
Figure 1b: Percentage Enrolled by Age, Girls Only
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
+
60
+
+
controls
treatments
+
40
percent enrolled
100
October 1997
+
+
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
60
+
+
+
+
+
controls
treatments
40
percent enrolled
100
October 1998
+
+
6
8
10
12
14
+
16
age
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
+
+
60
+
+
+
+
controls
treatments
+
40
percent enrolled
100
November 1999
6
8
10
12
age
14
+
+
16
Figure 1c: Percentage Enrolled by Age, Boys Only
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
60
+
+
+
controls
treatments
+
+
40
percent enrolled
100
October 1997
6
8
10
12
14
+
16
age
100
October 1998
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
+
+
+
60
+
+
controls
treatments
+
+
40
percent enrolled
+
+
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
80
+
+
60
+
+
+
+
+
controls
treatments
40
percent enrolled
100
November 1999
6
8
10
12
age
14
+
+
16
Figure 2a: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Age, All Children
10
+
+
5
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
8
10
-5
0
est. impact
15
October 1998
6
12
14
16
age
10
+
+
+
+
5
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-5
0
est. impact
15
November 1999
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
10
+
+
+
0
5
+
+
+
+
+
6
8
+
+
+
-5
est. impact
15
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
10
12
age
14
16
Figure 2b: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Age, Girls Only
15
October 1998
10
+
+
+
5
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-5
0
est. impact
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
10
+
+
+
+
5
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-5
0
est. impact
15
November 1999
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
15
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+
10
+
5
+
0
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-5
est. impact
+
6
8
10
12
age
14
16
Figure 2c: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Age, Boys Only
October 1998
10
5
+
+
+
+
8
10
+
+
-5
+
+
+
+
0
est. impact
15
+
6
12
14
16
age
10
+
5
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-5
0
est. impact
15
November 1999
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
10
5
+
+
+
+
0
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-5
est. impact
15
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
6
8
10
12
age
14
16
Figure 3: Comparison of Schooling Gap for Girls and Boys, Control Group
(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
10
12
14
3.0
8
10
12
Male-Female Difference
Male-Female Difference
12
age
14
16
16
14
16
0.2
0.0
average schooling gap
0.2
10
14
0.4
age
0.0
8
2.0
6
age
-0.2
6
1.0
16
0.4
8
boys
girls
0.0
average schooling gap
3.0
1.0
2.0
boys
girls
6
average schooling gap
November, 1999
0.0
average schooling gap
October, 1998
6
8
10
12
age
Figure 4a: Average Treatment-Control Schooling Gap
(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.2
0.0
0.2
October 1998
+
-0.4
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.2
0.0
0.2
November 1999
+
+
+
-0.4
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.2
0.0
0.2
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
-0.4
+
6
8
10
12
age
14
16
Figure 4b: Average Treatment-Control Schooling Gap, Girls Only
(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
October 1998
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
0.2
November 1999
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.2
0.0
0.2
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
-0.4
+
6
8
10
12
age
14
16
Figure 4c: Average Treatment-Control Schooling Gap, Boys Only
(Gap=Potential Grade Level-Actual Schooling Grade Level)
0.0
0.2
October 1998
+
+
+
-0.2
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.4
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
0.0
0.2
November 1999
+
+
+
+
+
-0.2
+
+
+
+
-0.4
+
+
6
8
10
12
14
16
age
0.0
0.2
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-0.2
+
+
-0.4
+
6
8
10
12
age
14
16
Figure 5a: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Prob of Enrollment, All Children
30
October 1998
20
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
+
+
10
0
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
8
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
10
12
14
age
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
+
0
10
20
30
November 1999
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
8
+
+
+
+
+
+
10
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
12
14
age
20
30
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
+
+
10
+
0
+
+
+
+
8
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
10
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
12
age
+
+
14
+
+
Figure 5b: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Prob of Enrollment, Girls
30
October 1998
+
+
0
10
20
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-10
+
8
10
12
14
age
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-10
0
10
20
30
November 1999
8
10
12
14
age
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
0
-10
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
10
20
30
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
8
10
12
age
14
Figure 5c: Average Treatment Impacts on Percentage Enrolled by Prob of Enrollment, Boys
30
October 1998
20
+
+
10
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-10
0
+
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
8
10
12
14
age
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
+
10
20
30
November 1999
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-10
0
+
+
+
8
10
12
14
age
20
30
1999-1997 Difference-in-Difference Estimate
bottom quartile
2nd quartile
3rd quartile
top quartile
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
0
10
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
-10
+
8
10
12
age
14
Figure 6: Simulated Education Distribution at Age 14
30
37.6
26.1
20
percent
40
50
With Treatment
17.8
10
11.2
0
4.5
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.6
0
1
2
3
4
2
5
6
7
8
9
10
education level
30
26.2
25.8
20
23.4
10
15
5
0
percent
40
50
Without Treatment
0.1
0
0.1
0.5
0
1
2
3
2.3
1.7
4
5
6
education level
7
8
9
10
Table 1
Monthly Transfers for School Attendance under the PROGRESA Program
School
Level
Grade
Monthly Payment in Pesos
Payment/Payment for
Previous Grade (%)
Females
Males
Females
Males
3
70
70
----Primary
4
80
80
114
114
5
105
105
131
131
6
135
135
129
129
1
210
200
156
148
Secondary
2
235
210
112
105
3
255
225
109
107
(a) Source: Schultz (1999a, Table 1). Corresponds to first term of the 1998-99 school year.
Females/
Males (%)
100
100
100
100
105
112
113
age
Table 2
Percentages Working for Pay and Average Monthly Earnings
for Control Group Children by Age and Sex
Fraction working for pay
Percentage of children
Average Monthly
who attend school among
Earnings in Pesos for
those who work for pay
Children who Work for
Pay (# of observations in
parentheses)
Females
Males
Females
Males
Females
Males
6
0
0
*
*
*
*
7
0
0
*
*
*
*
8
1.15
1.61
100
100
9
1.00
2.72
100
90
10
1.09
1.58
80
83
11
1.69
4.26
67
72
12
3.66
9.43
62
62
13
4.50
14.63
14
23
14
7.96
23.91
5
22
15
15.61
41.26
5
15
16
13.22
48.65
3
11
130
(3)
20
(1)
340
(2)
700
(2)
511
(10)
566
(15)
631
(27)
596
(25)
526
(25)
1120
(1)
416
(3)
565
(4)
398
(12)
628
(28)
535
(43)
591
(78)
677
(128)
671
(112)
Table 3a
Program Impacts on Proportion Enrolled (All Children)
(T-statistics in parentheses)
Variable (all are indicator variables)
Oct. 1997
Oct. 1998
0.89
0.92
age 6
(80.60)
(83.19)
0.94
0.97
age 7
(85.16)
(90.87)
0.94
0.96
age 8
(84.71)
(91.37)
0.95
0.96
age 9
(80.19)
(87.42)
0.94
0.96
age 10
(84.14)
(86.40)
0.92
0.93
age 11
(80.72)
(84.56)
0.83
0.81
age 12
(71.26)
(74.63)
0.69
0.74
age 13
(55.40)
(65.17)
0.57
0.55
age 14
(42.89)
(45.40)
0.39
0.43
age 15
(26.52)
(33.46)
0.31
0.29
age 16
(16.91)
(20.52)
0.26
*
age 17
(8.06)
0.07
*
age 18
(0.81)
0.02
0.00
treatment*age 6
(1.09)
(0.16)
0.00
0.00
treatment*age 7
(0.19)
(0.27)
0.01
0.01
treatment*age 8
(0.64)
(0.55)
0.00
0.02
treatment*age 9
(0.18)
(1.42)
0.00
0.0
treatment*age 10
(0.27)
(0.35)
0.01
0.03
treatment*age 11
(0.59)
(2.08)
-0.01
0.09
treatment*age 12
(-0.52)
(6.27)
0.03
0.07
treatment*age 13
(1.66)
(4.60)
-0.01
0.16
treatment*age 14
(-0.78)
(10.68)
0.04
0.05
treatment*age 15
(2.21)
(2.94)
0.02
0.06
treatment*age 16
(0.98)
(3.10)
-0.01
treatment*age 17
*
(-0.12)
0.04
treatment*age 18
*
(0.36)
0.5652
<0.0001
p-value from chi-square test that impacts
are 0 for all ages
p-value from chi-square test that impacts
are 0 for ages 12 and older
0.3456
<0.0001
Nov. 1999
0.96
(80.30)
0.97
(89.92)
0.98
(95.45)
0.98
(91.09)
0.96
(92.84)
0.95
(84.95)
0.86
(82.51)
0.74
(67.66)
0.63
(57.25)
0.44
(36.85)
0.32
(25.47)
0.23
(16.83)
0.16
(10.39)
0.00
(0.32)
0.01
(0.73)
0.01
(0.62)
0.00
(0.03)
0.02
(1.52)
0.02
(1.37)
0.06
(4.48)
0.10
(7.54)
0.09
(6.67)
0.09
(6.10)
0.07
(4.40)
0.04
(2.17)
0.01
(0.35)
<0.0001
<0.0001
Table 3b
Program Impacts on Proportion Enrolled (Girls)
(T-statistics in parentheses)
Variable (all are indicator variables)
Oct. 1997
Oct. 1998
0.89
0.92
age 6
(57.95)
(58.05)
0.94
0.97
age 7
(58.21)
(64.49)
0.94
0.96
age 8
(60.12)
(61.81)
0.95
0.96
age 9
(56.99)
(61.80)
0.93
0.96
age 10
(58.19)
(60.28)
0.92
0.94
age 11
(56.96)
(59.54)
0.81
0.76
age 12
(47.19)
(49.61)
0.65
0.69
age 13
(36.60)
(41.76)
0.52
0.52
age 14
(26.62)
(29.57)
0.34
0.36
age 15
(16.23)
(18.89)
0.23
0.27
age 16
(8.25)
(12.74)
0.26
*
age 17
(5.54)
0
*
age 18
(0.00)
0.01
0.00
treatment*age 6
(0.35)
(0.17)
0.01
-0.01
treatment*age 7
(0.62)
(-0.34)
0.01
0.01
treatment*age 8
(0.41)
(0.43)
0.02
0.02
treatment*age 9
(0.75)
(0.75)
0.02
0.01
treatment*age 10
(1.16)
(0.33)
0.00
0.02
treatment*age 11
(0.03)
(0.83)
-0.04
0.11
treatment*age 12
(-1.73)
(5.79)
0.02
0.08
treatment*age 13
(1.04)
(3.52)
-0.03
0.14
treatment*age 14
(-1.29)
(6.43)
0.02
0.06
treatment*age 15
(0.93)
(2.24)
0.05
0.08
treatment*age 16
(1.61)
(2.92)
-0.06
treatment*age 17
*
(-1.01)
0.12
treatment*age 18
*
(0.73)
0.37
<0.0001
p-value from chi-square test that impacts
are 0 for all ages
p-value from chi-square test that impacts
are 0 for ages 12 and older
0.21
<0.0001
Nov. 1999
0.96
(57.22)
0.96
(62.91)
0.98
(67.05)
0.99
(65.68)
0.97
(66.38)
0.95
(59.26)
0.83
(56.78)
0.71
(46.69)
0.60
(37.17)
0.42
(24.36)
0.28
(14.57)
0.24
(11.76)
0.13
(5.84)
0.00
(0.14)
0.01
(0.69)
0.01
(0.54)
-0.01
(-0.40)
0.00
(0.13)
0.01
(0.62)
0.07
(3.88)
0.11
(5.66)
0.12
(5.99)
0.11
(4.94)
0.09
(3.84)
0.03
(1.06)
0.04
(1.32)
<0.0001
<0.0001
Table 3c
Program Impacts on Proportion Enrolled (Boys)
(T-statistics in parentheses)
Variable (all are indicator variables)
Oct. 1997
Oct. 1998
0.90
0.91
age 6
(56.33)
(59.90)
0.94
0.96
age 7
(62.43)
(64.32)
0.95
0.97
age 8
(60.08)
(67.56)
0.96
0.96
age 9
(56.72)
(62.12)
0.95
0.95
age 10
(61.13)
(62.22)
0.92
0.93
age 11
(57.52)
(60.33)
0.85
0.85
age 12
(53.74)
(56.26)
0.73
0.79
age 13
(41.96)
(50.64)
0.61
0.56
age 14
(33.99)
(34.75)
0.42
0.50
age 15
(21.25)
(28.44)
0.38
0.31
age 16
(15.42)
(16.28)
0.27
*
age 17
(5.89)
0.14
*
age 18
(1.15)
0.02
0.00
treatment*age 6
(1.16)
(0.05)
-0.01
0.01
treatment*age 7
(-0.36)
(0.74)
0.01
0.01
treatment*age 8
(0.36)
(0.38)
-0.01
0.02
treatment*age 9
(-0.50)
(1.25)
-0.02
0.00
treatment*age 10
(-0.76)
(0.16)
0.02
0.04
treatment*age 11
(0.82)
(2.10)
0.02
0.06
treatment*age 12
(0.94)
(3.05)
0.02
0.06
treatment*age 13
(1.09)
(2.87)
-0.00
0.18
treatment*age 14
(-0.26)
(8.66)
0.05
0.03
treatment*age 15
(2.01)
(1.43)
0.00
0.03
treatment*age 16
(0.03)
(1.46)
0.04
treatment*age 17
*
(0.61)
-0.04
treatment*age 18
*
(-0.26)
0.3023
<0.0001
p-value from chi-square test that impacts
are 0 for all ages
p-value from chi-square test that impacts
are 0 for ages 12 and older
0.5464
<0.0001
Nov. 1999
0.95
(56.39)
0.97
(64.30)
0.98
(68.00)
0.98
(63.04)
0.95
(64.98)
0.95
(60.92)
0.88
(59.97)
0.76
(49.06)
0.66
(43.67)
0.46
(27.72)
0.36
(21.19)
0.23
(12.05)
0.18
(8.76)
0.01
(0.32)
0.01
(0.34)
0.01
(0.34)
0.01
(0.46)
0.04
(2.00)
0.03
(1.31)
0.04
(2.36)
0.10
(5.00)
0.07
(3.55)
0.08
(3.69)
0.05
(2.32)
0.05
(1.97)
-0.02
(-0.75)
<0.0001
<0.0001
--
--
Table 4(a)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.14
0.06
0.03
P(2 | G)
0.86
0.68
0.40
P(1 | G)
...
0.25
0.37
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.21
No. obs
221
824
115
P(G)
0.19
0.71
0.10
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.13
0.08
0.03
P(2 | G)
0.85
0.57
0.39
P(1 | G)
...
0.33
0.41
P(Drop | G)
0.02
0.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.16
No. obs
129
499
87.0
P(G)
0.18
0.70
0.12
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.00
-.02
-.01
P(2 | G)
0.01
0.11
0.01
P(1 | G)
...
-.08
-.05
P(Drop | G)
-.02
-.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.05
No. obs
350
1323
202
p-value
0.18
0.00
0.79
--
--
Table 4(b)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.28
0.11
0.05
...
P(3 | G)
0.71
0.66
0.21
0.60
P(2 | G)
...
0.23
0.62
0.40
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.10
...
P(Drop | G)
0.01
0.00
0.03
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
128
775
252
10.0
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.17
0.10
0.05
1.00
P(3 | G)
0.83
0.59
0.22
...
P(2 | G)
...
0.30
0.58
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.14
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
70.0
468
165
1.00
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
0.11
0.01
-.00
-1.0
-.12
0.07
-.01
0.60
...
-.07
0.04
0.40
...
...
-.04
...
0.01
-.00
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
198
1243
417
11.0
0.16
0.03
0.71
0.00
NE
0.12
0.20
0.37
0.17
...
0.14
65.0
NE
0.09
0.19
0.25
0.15
...
0.32
53.0
NE
0.03
0.01
0.12
0.02
...
-.18
118
0.19
--
--
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
Table 4(c)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
0.19
0.06
0.03
...
0.81
0.70
0.24
0.26
...
0.23
0.54
0.23
...
...
0.19
0.46
...
...
...
0.05
...
0.00
0.00
...
...
...
...
...
110
618
435
65.0
0.09
0.48
0.34
0.05
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
0.13
0.07
0.03
...
0.88
0.62
0.16
0.28
...
0.30
0.60
0.17
...
...
0.21
0.37
...
...
...
0.15
...
0.00
0.01
0.02
...
...
...
...
64.0
328
257
46.0
0.09
0.45
0.35
0.06
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
0.07
-.01
0.00
...
-.07
0.08
0.08
-.02
...
-.07
-.06
0.06
...
...
-.02
0.09
...
...
...
-.11
...
0.00
-.01
-.02
...
...
...
...
174
946
692
111
0.26
0.08
0.07
0.22
Drop
...
0.77
0.08
0.15
...
...
...
13.0
0.03
Drop
...
0.43
0.43
...
...
0.14
...
7.00
0.05
Drop
...
0.34
-.35
0.15
...
-.14
...
20.0
0.09
NE
...
0.12
0.14
0.21
0.17
...
0.36
42.0
.
NE
...
0.06
0.31
0.03
0.11
...
0.49
35.0
.
NE
...
0.06
-.17
0.19
0.05
...
-.13
77.0
0.05
--
--
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
Table 4(d)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.26
0.06
0.02
...
...
0.74
0.72
0.19
0.15
...
...
0.22
0.60
0.24
0.47
...
...
0.19
0.44
0.20
...
...
...
0.14
0.20
...
...
...
...
0.13
...
0.01
0.01
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
72.0
524
372
177
15.0
0.06
0.43
0.31
0.15
0.01
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.17
0.06
0.01
...
...
0.83
0.64
0.17
0.10
...
...
0.30
0.59
0.17
0.12
...
...
0.21
0.51
0.18
...
...
...
0.20
0.47
...
...
...
...
0.12
...
0.00
0.02
0.02
0.12
...
...
...
...
...
48.0
266
223
92.0
17.0
0.07
0.40
0.33
0.14
0.03
5
0.10
-.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
120
0.21
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
4
3
2
-.01
0.01
...
0.08
0.02
0.05
-.08
0.01
0.06
...
-.03
-.07
...
...
-.05
...
...
...
0.00
-.01
0.01
...
...
...
790
595
269
0.08
0.50
0.36
1
...
...
0.35
0.02
-.27
0.02
-.12
...
32.0
0.14
Drop
0.05
0.53
0.21
0.16
...
...
0.05
...
19.0
0.02
Drop
...
0.25
0.50
0.13
...
...
0.13
...
8.00
0.01
Drop
0.05
0.28
-.29
0.03
...
...
-.07
...
27.0
0.49
NE
...
...
0.26
0.15
0.15
0.07
...
0.37
27.0
0.02
NE
...
...
0.22
0.11
0.22
0.06
...
0.39
18.0
0.03
NE
...
...
0.04
0.04
-.07
0.02
...
-.02
45.0
0.97
--
--
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
6
0.31
0.67
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
90.0
0.07
Table 4(e)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
0.04
0.01
...
...
0.75
0.20
0.15
...
0.20
0.62
0.18
0.15
...
0.16
0.44
0.20
...
...
0.20
0.45
...
...
...
0.18
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.02
...
...
...
...
438
392
172
55.0
0.36
0.33
0.14
0.05
1
...
...
...
0.50
0.25
0.25
...
...
...
4.00
0.00
Drop
0.09
0.23
0.23
0.14
0.14
0.09
...
0.09
...
22.0
0.02
NE
...
...
...
0.11
0.18
0.18
0.04
...
0.50
28.0
0.02
6
0.32
0.64
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
...
50.0
0.07
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
0.10
0.02
...
...
0.68
0.15
0.08
...
0.19
0.62
0.19
0.09
...
0.20
0.49
0.11
...
...
0.20
0.51
...
...
...
0.19
...
...
...
...
0.03
0.01
0.05
0.11
...
...
...
...
280
230
102
47.0
0.37
0.31
0.14
0.06
1
...
...
...
0.67
...
0.33
...
...
...
3.00
0.00
Drop
0.06
0.18
0.35
0.12
0.12
...
...
0.18
...
17.0
0.02
NE
...
...
...
0.04
0.17
0.09
...
...
0.70
23.0
0.03
6
-.01
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
-.02
...
140
0.82
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
-.06
-.00
...
...
0.07
0.04
0.07
...
0.01
0.00
-.01
0.06
...
-.04
-.05
0.09
...
...
0.00
-.06
...
...
...
-.01
...
...
...
...
-.01
0.00
-.02
-.09
...
...
...
...
718
622
274
102
0.00
0.51
0.44
0.22
1
...
...
...
-.17
0.25
-.08
...
...
...
7.00
0.65
Drop
0.03
0.05
-.13
0.02
0.02
0.09
...
-.09
...
39.0
0.82
NE
...
...
...
0.06
0.00
0.09
0.04
...
-.20
51.0
0.55
--
--
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
7
0.24
0.72
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
...
50.0
0.04
Table 4(f)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.05
0.01
...
...
...
0.66
0.21
0.13
...
...
0.15
0.65
0.19
0.13
...
...
0.12
0.47
0.17
0.15
...
...
0.18
0.48
0.30
...
...
...
0.18
0.30
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.01
0.03
0.04
...
...
...
...
...
...
369
370
198
77.0
20.0
0.32
0.32
0.17
0.07
0.02
1
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
...
...
1.00
0.00
Drop
0.09
0.26
0.04
0.04
0.11
...
0.04
...
0.41
...
46.0
0.04
NE
...
...
...
...
0.05
0.05
0.33
...
...
0.57
21.0
0.02
7
0.17
0.62
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.21
...
29.0
0.04
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.04
0.00
...
...
...
0.54
0.15
0.07
...
...
0.19
0.63
0.18
0.09
...
...
0.19
0.51
0.20
...
...
...
0.18
0.50
0.33
...
...
...
0.17
0.33
...
...
...
...
0.11
...
...
...
...
...
0.23
0.03
0.06
0.04
0.22
...
...
...
...
...
246
216
124
46.0
9.00
0.35
0.30
0.17
0.06
0.01
1
...
...
...
...
0.33
0.33
0.33
...
...
...
3.00
0.00
Drop
...
0.14
0.14
0.09
0.05
...
...
...
0.59
...
22.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
...
...
...
0.87
15.0
0.02
7
0.07
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.17
...
79.0
0.06
6
0.01
0.12
-.04
...
...
...
...
...
-.09
...
615
0.01
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
0.01
...
...
...
0.06
0.06
...
...
0.02
0.01
0.04
...
-.07
-.03
-.03
0.15
...
-.00
-.02
-.03
...
...
0.01
-.03
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
-.02
-.03
-.00
-.22
...
...
...
...
586
322
123
29.0
0.04
0.32
0.96
0.17
1
...
...
...
...
-.33
0.67
-.33
...
...
...
4.00
0.51
Drop
0.09
0.12
-.09
-.05
0.06
...
0.04
...
-.18
...
68.0
0.25
NE
...
...
...
...
0.05
-.09
0.33
...
...
-.30
36.0
0.06
--
--
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
8
0.25
0.75
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
36.0
0.03
8
0.26
0.74
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
34.0
0.05
8
-.01
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
70.0
0.89
7
0.06
0.62
0.24
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
234
0.22
Table 4(g)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.12
0.06
...
...
...
0.58
0.16
0.10
...
...
0.11
0.58
0.17
0.15
...
...
0.16
0.51
0.15
...
...
...
0.17
0.44
0.20
...
...
...
0.18
0.40
...
...
...
...
0.13
...
...
...
...
...
0.19
0.03
0.03
0.09
0.27
...
...
...
...
...
312
179
86.0
34.0
15.0
0.29
0.17
0.08
0.03
0.01
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
...
...
1.00
0.00
Drop
0.01
0.09
0.25
0.04
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.01
...
0.57
...
150
0.14
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
...
0.09
...
...
0.78
23.0
0.02
7
0.06
0.65
0.16
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
...
139
0.21
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
0.11
0.07
...
...
0.46
0.14
0.11
...
0.17
0.50
0.10
0.04
...
0.18
0.39
0.15
...
...
0.33
0.35
...
...
...
0.19
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.26
0.12
0.07
0.27
...
...
...
...
190
121
61.0
26.0
0.28
0.18
0.09
0.04
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
1.00
0.00
Drop
...
0.03
0.12
0.01
0.01
0.03
0.04
...
...
0.75
...
69.0
0.10
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
0.05
0.05
0.05
...
0.75
20.0
0.03
7
0.00
-.03
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.06
...
373
0.10
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
0.01
...
...
...
0.01
-.00
...
...
0.11
0.02
-.01
...
-.06
0.09
0.08
0.11
...
-.02
0.12
-.01
...
...
-.15
0.10
...
...
...
-.02
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.07
-.08
-.03
-.18
...
...
...
...
502
300
147
60.0
0.02
0.07
0.15
0.29
2
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
0.30
0.30
...
0.30
...
10.0
0.01
2
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
0.10
-.17
...
-.03
...
25.0
0.71
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
-1.0
...
2.00
0.16
Drop
0.01
0.06
0.13
0.03
-.00
-.01
-.04
0.01
...
-.18
...
219
0.08
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
-.05
0.04
-.05
...
0.03
43.0
0.63
--
--
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
9
0.35
0.59
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.06
...
34.0
0.04
9
0.29
0.59
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
...
17.0
0.03
9
0.06
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.06
...
51.0
0.73
8
0.06
0.77
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
146
0.15
8
0.05
0.69
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.05
...
95.0
0.17
8
0.01
0.08
-.06
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.03
...
241
0.33
Table 4(h)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
0.02
...
...
...
...
0.16
0.08
...
...
...
0.54
0.14
0.10
...
...
0.14
0.47
0.07
0.06
...
...
0.11
0.60
0.19
0.25
...
...
0.12
0.42
0.20
...
...
...
0.17
0.40
...
...
...
...
0.05
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.20
0.12
0.17
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
213
168
84.0
36.0
20.0
0.22
0.17
0.09
0.04
0.02
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.05
...
...
...
0.56
0.08
0.07
...
...
0.08
0.27
0.07
0.13
...
...
0.11
0.51
0.22
0.18
...
...
0.21
0.41
0.36
...
...
...
...
0.27
...
...
...
...
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.24
0.49
0.14
0.25
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
102
92.0
57.0
32.0
11.0
0.18
0.16
0.10
0.06
0.02
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
0.02
...
...
...
0.03
0.03
...
...
-.02
0.06
0.03
...
0.06
0.20
0.00
-.07
...
0.00
0.09
-.02
...
...
-.09
0.01
...
...
...
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.09
-.29
-.02
-.08
...
...
...
...
315
260
141
68.0
0.08
0.00
0.62
0.14
2
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.40
...
...
...
5.00
0.01
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
0.67
...
...
...
3.00
0.01
3
...
...
...
...
0.07
-.16
0.13
-.04
...
...
0.01
...
31.0
0.84
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
-.13
0.20
-.27
...
...
...
8.00
0.66
Drop
0.01
0.05
0.04
0.20
0.01
0.02
...
0.00
...
...
0.67
...
228
0.24
Drop
...
0.01
0.05
0.05
0.04
0.01
0.01
...
...
...
0.84
...
153
0.27
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
.
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.11
0.04
...
...
...
0.86
28.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
...
...
...
...
0.90
10.0
0.02
Drop
0.01
0.04
-.01
0.15
-.03
0.02
-.01
0.00
...
...
-.17
...
381
0.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.04
...
...
...
-.04
38.0
0.83
--
--
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
10
...
0.53
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.47
...
15.0
0.02
10
0.27
0.36
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.36
...
11.0
0.02
10
-.27
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
...
26.0
0.10
9
0.03
0.28
0.24
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.46
...
109
0.13
9
0.06
0.23
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.46
...
69.0
0.13
9
-.03
0.04
-.01
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.01
...
178
0.73
Table 4(i)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
...
...
...
...
0.04
...
...
...
0.22
0.08
...
...
0.43
0.07
0.08
...
0.13
0.40
0.08
0.25
...
0.11
0.58
0.25
...
...
0.15
0.06
...
...
...
0.13
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.34
0.12
0.31
...
...
...
...
113
83.0
26.0
16.0
0.13
0.10
0.03
0.02
8
...
0.13
0.68
0.18
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
130
0.15
8
...
0.08
0.71
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.05
...
78.0
0.15
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
0.33
...
...
...
0.33
...
6.00
0.01
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
...
...
...
0.18
0.09
...
...
...
0.38
0.08
0.04
...
...
0.06
0.25
0.12
...
...
...
0.08
0.38
0.08
...
...
...
0.08
0.23
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.35
0.51
0.38
0.69
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
65.0
53.0
26.0
13.0
2.00
0.12
0.10
0.05
0.02
0.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
1.00
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
...
...
...
...
0.03
...
...
...
0.04
-.01
...
...
0.05
-.00
0.04
...
0.07
0.15
-.04
0.25
...
0.03
0.19
0.17
...
...
0.08
-.17
...
...
...
0.13
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.19
-.17
-.27
-.38
...
...
...
...
178
136
52.0
29.0
0.05
0.29
0.20
0.05
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
0.33
-.50
...
...
-.17
...
8.00
0.22
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-1.0
...
1.00
1.00
8
...
0.05
-.03
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.04
...
208
0.32
Drop
...
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.08
0.01
0.00
...
0.00
...
...
0.83
...
343
0.40
Drop
...
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.06
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.85
...
204
0.38
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
.
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
...
...
...
...
0.97
38.0
0.04
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.05
...
...
0.05
...
0.90
20.0
0.04
Drop
...
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.02
-.01
0.00
...
0.00
...
...
-.02
...
547
0.75
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.02
...
...
-.05
...
0.07
58.0
0.33
Table 5
P-values from Pearson Chi-Squared Tests of Equality of
Schooling Transition Matrices
age 6
age 7
age 8
age 9
age 10
age 11
age 12
0.0007
0.0071
0.0051
0.3027
0.2541
0.0055
0.3604
0.7606
0.0421
0.2022
0.4437
0.0004
0.0462
0.0972
0.3812
Non-eligible Treatment
and Non-eligible Control
Transition Matrices are
Equal
(i.e. No spillover effects)
0.2833
0.3682
0.2069
Eligible Control Matrix for
Girls Equal to and Eligible
Control Matrix for Boys
(i.e. No gender difference
in educational progression
patterns)
0.1842
0.1766
0.3455
Hypothesis Tested
Eligible Treatment and
Eligible Control Transition
Matrices are Equal
(i.e. Treatment has no
impact)
For Girls, Eligible
Treatment and Eligible
Control Transition
Matrices are Equal
(i.e. Treatment has no
impact for Girls)
For Boys, Eligible
Treatment and Eligible
Control Transition
Matrices are Equal
(i.e. Treatment has no
impact for Boys)
0.0105
age 13
<
0.0001
age 14
0.0671
0.0803
0.1763
0.0877
0.1371
0.3040
0.0942
0.1793
0.0073
0.4285
0.3064
0.3008
0.6452
0.6576
0.5269
0.9515
0.7161
0.3643
0.2835
0.1949
0.1278
0.5170
--
--
Table 6
Simulated Education Distribution at Age 14
for Treatment and Control Children
After Exposure to Treatment for 8 years, Age 6-14
grade
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
_
treatment %
0.01
0.00
0.06
0.23
0.59
1.98
11.2
17.8
26.1
37.6
4.47
control %
0.05
0.00
0.10
0.47
1.74
4.97
26.2
15.0
23.4
25.8
2.28
treatment cdf
0.01
0.01
0.07
0.30
0.89
2.87
14.1
31.9
58.0
95.5
100
control cdf
0.05
0.05
0.16
0.62
2.36
7.33
33.5
48.5
71.9
97.7
100
--
--
Table A.1(a)
Average Schooling Gap (= potential grade level - actual grade level)
by age and treatment status
Oct. 97
Oct. 98
Nov. 99
Change from
97 to 99
age
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
6
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.18
0.25
0.21
0.27
0.24
0.07
0.06
8
0.44
0.40
0.43
0.39
0.46
0.42
0.02
0.03
9
0.66
0.62
0.61
0.54
0.59
0.59
-.07
-.03
10
0.84
0.79
0.89
0.69
0.89
0.80
0.06
0.02
11
0.99
1.00
0.93
0.89
1.03
0.89
0.04
-.11
12
1.29
1.27
1.09
1.07
1.11
1.10
-.18
-.17
13
1.70
1.57
1.46
1.38
1.46
1.36
-.23
-.21
14
2.13
2.01
1.83
1.69
1.90
1.69
-.23
-.31
15
2.62
2.62
2.31
2.27
2.54
2.23
-.08
-.39
16
3.30
3.29
2.99
2.82
3.04
3.08
0.00
( 0.00)
-.03
( 0.02)
-.04
( 0.02)
0.00
( 0.03)
-.09
( 0.04)
-.14
( 0.05)
-.01
( 0.06)
-.11
( 0.07)
-.20
( 0.08)
-.31
( 0.10)
0.05
( 0.11)
0.00
0.20
0.00
( 0.00)
-.04
( 0.02)
-.04
( 0.02)
-.07
( 0.03)
-.20
( 0.04)
-.05
( 0.05)
-.02
( 0.05)
-.07
( 0.07)
-.14
( 0.07)
-.04
( 0.09)
-.17
( 0.11)
0.00
7
0.00
( 0.00)
-.02
( 0.02)
-.05
( 0.02)
-.03
( 0.03)
-.05
( 0.04)
0.01
( 0.05)
-.03
( 0.06)
-.13
( 0.07)
-.12
( 0.08)
0.00
( 0.09)
-.01
( 0.11)
-.26
-.20
0.00
( 0.00)
-.02
( 0.02)
0.01
( 0.03)
0.04
( 0.05)
-.04
( 0.06)
-.15
( 0.07)
0.02
( 0.08)
0.02
( 0.09)
-.08
( 0.11)
-.31
( 0.13)
0.06
( 0.16)
--
--
Table A.1(b)
Average Schooling Gap (= potential grade level - actual grade level)
for female children, by age and treatment status
Oct. 97
Oct. 98
Nov. 99
Change from
97 to 99
age
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
6
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.19
0.22
0.21
0.27
0.25
0.09
0.06
8
0.42
0.36
0.40
0.35
0.41
0.40
-.00
0.04
9
0.58
0.59
0.58
0.52
0.60
0.54
0.02
-.04
10
0.79
0.73
0.81
0.66
0.81
0.75
0.02
0.02
11
0.94
0.93
0.82
0.83
0.94
0.78
-.00
-.15
12
1.13
1.17
1.05
0.97
0.96
1.07
-.17
-.09
13
1.61
1.54
1.40
1.37
1.37
1.32
-.24
-.22
14
2.09
1.94
1.75
1.74
1.83
1.73
-.26
-.21
15
2.47
2.60
2.35
2.27
2.33
2.17
-.14
-.43
16
3.22
3.30
2.80
2.75
2.99
3.11
0.00
( 0.00)
-.02
( 0.03)
-.01
( 0.04)
-.06
( 0.05)
-.06
( 0.06)
-.16
( 0.07)
0.11
( 0.07)
-.06
( 0.09)
-.10
( 0.11)
-.16
( 0.13)
0.12
( 0.16)
0.00
0.18
0.00
( 0.00)
-.01
( 0.02)
-.05
( 0.03)
-.06
( 0.05)
-.15
( 0.06)
0.01
( 0.07)
-.08
( 0.07)
-.04
( 0.09)
-.01
( 0.10)
-.09
( 0.13)
-.05
( 0.15)
0.00
7
0.00
( 0.00)
0.00
( 0.02)
-.06
( 0.03)
0.01
( 0.04)
-.06
( 0.06)
-.01
( 0.06)
0.04
( 0.08)
-.08
( 0.09)
-.14
( 0.11)
0.13
( 0.12)
0.08
( 0.16)
-.23
-.19
0.00
( 0.00)
-.02
( 0.04)
0.05
( 0.05)
-.06
( 0.07)
0.00
( 0.08)
-.15
( 0.10)
0.08
( 0.11)
0.02
( 0.13)
0.05
( 0.16)
-.28
( 0.18)
0.04
( 0.22)
--
--
Table A.1(c)
Average Schooling Gap (= potential grade level - actual grade level)
for male children, by age and treatment status
Oct. 97
Oct. 98
Nov. 99
Change from
97 to 99
age
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
con
trt
diff
6
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.18
0.29
0.22
0.28
0.23
0.06
0.05
8
0.47
0.43
0.47
0.42
0.50
0.44
0.03
0.01
9
0.74
0.66
0.65
0.56
0.57
0.63
-.17
-.03
10
0.88
0.84
0.97
0.72
0.97
0.85
0.10
0.02
11
1.05
1.06
1.05
0.94
1.12
1.00
0.08
-.06
12
1.44
1.36
1.13
1.17
1.26
1.13
-.18
-.23
13
1.78
1.60
1.51
1.40
1.56
1.40
-.22
-.20
14
2.16
2.06
1.91
1.64
1.96
1.66
-.21
-.40
15
2.75
2.63
2.26
2.26
2.73
2.28
-.02
-.36
16
3.38
3.28
3.18
2.88
3.07
3.06
0.00
( 0.00)
-.04
( 0.03)
-.06
( 0.04)
0.06
( 0.05)
-.12
( 0.06)
-.13
( 0.07)
-.13
( 0.08)
-.16
( 0.10)
-.30
( 0.11)
-.46
( 0.14)
-.01
( 0.15)
0.00
0.21
0.00
( 0.00)
-.07
( 0.03)
-.04
( 0.03)
-.08
( 0.05)
-.25
( 0.06)
-.11
( 0.07)
0.04
( 0.08)
-.11
( 0.09)
-.27
( 0.10)
-.00
( 0.12)
-.30
( 0.15)
0.00
7
0.00
( 0.00)
-.03
( 0.02)
-.04
( 0.03)
-.08
( 0.05)
-.04
( 0.05)
0.02
( 0.07)
-.08
( 0.08)
-.18
( 0.09)
-.10
( 0.11)
-.12
( 0.12)
-.10
( 0.17)
-.31
-.22
0.00
( 0.00)
-.01
( 0.03)
-.02
( 0.05)
0.14
( 0.07)
-.08
( 0.08)
-.14
( 0.10)
-.05
( 0.12)
0.02
( 0.14)
-.19
( 0.15)
-.34
( 0.19)
0.09
( 0.23)
--
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
P(3 | G)
-.02
-.04
P(2 | G)
-.01
0.11
P(1 | G)
...
-.06
P(Drop | G)
0.03
-.02
P(NE | NE)
...
...
No. obs
129
499
p-value
0.44
0.05
NE
0.03
0.12
-.11
...
-.03
87.0
0.57
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.14
0.10
0.02
P(2 | G)
0.86
0.51
0.33
P(1 | G)
...
0.36
0.47
P(Drop | G)
...
0.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.18
No. obs
56.0
245
45.0
P(G)
0.16
0.71
0.13
Table A.2(a)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.12
0.07
0.05
P(2 | G)
0.85
0.62
0.45
P(1 | G)
...
0.30
0.36
P(Drop | G)
0.03
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.14
No. obs
73.0
254
42.0
P(G)
0.20
0.69
0.11
--
--
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
-.05
0.03
0.01
0.05
0.12
-.00
...
-.16
0.01
...
...
-.03
...
0.00
0.02
...
...
...
70.0
467
165
0.60
0.00
0.91
Drop
1.00
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
1.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.19
0.09
0.04
...
P(3 | G)
0.81
0.53
0.22
...
P(2 | G)
...
0.37
0.57
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.15
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
36.0
255
91.0
...
P(G)
0.09
0.62
0.22
0.00
Table A.2(b)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.15
0.12
0.05
1.00
P(3 | G)
0.85
0.66
0.22
...
P(2 | G)
...
0.22
0.58
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.12
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.03
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
34.0
212
74.0
1.00
P(G)
0.10
0.61
0.21
0.00
-2-
NE
-.10
-.04
0.08
0.10
...
-.05
53.0
0.58
NE
0.14
0.21
0.21
0.10
...
0.34
29.0
0.07
NE
0.04
0.17
0.29
0.21
...
0.29
24.0
0.07
--
--
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
4
-.14
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
64.0
0.09
Drop
...
0.33
-.67
...
...
0.33
...
6.00
0.19
NE
...
0.11
0.04
-.06
0.11
...
-.20
35.0
0.33
NE
...
...
0.29
0.06
0.06
...
0.59
17.0
.
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
P(5 | G)
0.20
0.06
0.02
...
...
P(4 | G)
0.80
0.61
0.15
0.24
0.33
P(3 | G)
...
0.33
0.57
0.24
0.67
P(2 | G)
...
...
0.25
0.38
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
...
0.14
...
P(Drop | G)
...
...
0.01
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
...
No. obs
30.0
153
138
21.0
3.00
P(G)
0.08
0.42
0.38
0.06
0.05
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
3
2
1
0.02
0.01
...
0.03
0.02
0.08
-.05
0.07
-.12
...
-.10
-.02
...
...
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.04
...
...
...
328
257
46.0
0.52
0.33
0.72
NE
...
0.11
0.33
...
0.17
...
0.39
18.0
.
Table A.2(c)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
P(5 | G)
0.06
0.08
0.03
...
...
P(4 | G)
0.94
0.63
0.17
0.32
0.67
P(3 | G)
...
0.28
0.63
0.12
...
P(2 | G)
...
...
0.15
0.36
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
...
0.16
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.33
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
...
No. obs
34.0
175
119
25.0
3.00
P(G)
0.09
0.47
0.32
0.07
0.05
-3-
--
--
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
5
0.03
-.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
48.0
0.79
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
4
3
2
0.02
-.01
...
0.04
0.02
-.02
-.06
0.05
-.09
...
-.08
-.02
...
...
0.11
...
...
...
0.01
0.01
0.01
...
...
...
266
223
92.0
0.51
0.49
0.64
1
...
...
0.17
-.23
0.04
-.15
0.17
...
17.0
0.54
Drop
...
-.13
0.27
-.33
...
...
0.20
...
8.00
0.45
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.15
0.06
0.02
...
...
...
0.85
0.61
0.16
0.10
...
0.33
...
0.33
0.56
0.21
0.08
0.33
...
...
0.25
0.52
0.23
0.33
...
...
...
0.16
0.46
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
...
...
...
0.01
0.02
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
20.0
127
102
58.0
13.0
3.00
0.06
0.39
0.31
0.18
0.04
0.01
Table A.2(d)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.18
0.07
0.01
...
...
...
0.82
0.65
0.18
0.09
...
0.20
...
0.27
0.61
0.12
0.25
0.60
...
...
0.17
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.26
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.25
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
28.0
139
121
34.0
4.00
5.00
0.08
0.41
0.35
0.10
0.01
0.01
-4-
NE
...
...
0.33
-.08
0.08
-.17
...
-.17
18.0
0.32
NE
...
...
...
0.17
0.17
0.17
...
0.50
6.00
0.02
NE
...
...
0.33
0.08
0.25
...
...
0.33
12.0
0.03
--
--
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
6
-.19
0.27
...
...
...
...
...
-.08
...
50.0
0.09
5
0.02
0.06
-.07
...
...
...
...
-.01
...
280
0.44
1
...
...
...
0.50
...
-.50
...
...
...
3.00
0.39
Drop
0.14
-.06
0.13
0.04
-.20
...
...
-.06
...
17.0
0.66
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
4
3
2
-.01
...
...
0.07
-.01
...
0.01
0.13
0.01
-.07
-.02
-.11
...
-.01
0.24
...
...
-.19
...
...
...
0.00
-.08
0.06
...
...
...
230
102
47.0
0.41
0.22
0.26
Drop
...
0.20
0.30
0.10
0.20
...
...
0.20
...
10.0
0.03
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.09
0.02
...
...
...
0.65
0.12
0.08
...
...
0.23
0.62
0.13
0.08
...
...
0.23
0.50
0.16
0.50
...
...
0.20
0.40
...
...
...
...
0.28
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
0.01
0.08
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
135
125
60.0
25.0
2.00
0.34
0.32
0.15
0.06
0.01
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
6
0.42
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
24.0
0.06
Drop
0.14
0.14
0.43
0.14
...
...
...
0.14
...
7.00
0.02
Table A.2(e)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.23
0.11
0.01
...
...
...
0.77
0.71
0.19
0.07
...
...
...
0.16
0.63
0.26
0.09
...
...
...
0.16
0.48
0.05
1.00
...
...
...
0.19
0.64
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
0.01
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
26.0
145
105
42.0
22.0
1.00
0.07
0.40
0.29
0.12
0.06
0.00
-5-
NE
...
...
...
-.09
-.02
-.01
...
...
0.11
23.0
0.75
NE
...
...
...
0.09
0.18
0.09
...
...
0.64
11.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.08
...
...
0.75
12.0
0.03
--
--
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
7
-.03
0.13
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.10
...
29.0
0.75
7
0.19
0.56
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
16.0
0.05
7
0.15
0.69
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
...
13.0
0.04
1
...
...
...
...
-.50
-.50
1.00
...
...
...
3.00
0.22
2
...
...
...
...
0.30
-.15
-.20
...
0.05
...
9.00
0.67
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
5
4
3
-.01
...
...
0.07
0.00
...
-.06
0.04
0.08
-.01
0.00
-.06
...
-.06
0.09
...
...
-.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.01
-.00
...
...
...
216
124
46.0
0.48
0.92
0.75
6
0.03
-.15
-.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
...
246
0.02
1
...
...
...
...
0.50
0.50
...
...
...
...
2.00
0.01
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
...
1.00
0.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.03
0.01
...
...
...
0.63
0.11
0.07
...
...
0.20
0.66
0.16
0.05
...
...
0.19
0.51
0.23
...
...
...
0.20
0.45
0.20
...
...
...
0.23
0.40
...
...
...
...
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
0.03
0.06
0.05
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
112
101
69.0
22.0
5.00
0.32
0.29
0.20
0.06
0.01
Table A.2(f)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.05
...
...
...
...
0.47
0.18
0.07
...
...
0.18
0.60
0.20
0.13
...
...
0.18
0.51
0.17
...
...
...
0.15
0.54
0.50
...
...
...
0.13
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.30
0.03
0.07
0.04
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
134
115
55.0
24.0
4.00
0.37
0.32
0.15
0.07
0.01
-6-
Drop
...
0.12
-.25
-.17
0.10
...
...
...
0.20
...
22.0
0.18
Drop
...
0.08
0.25
0.17
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
12.0
0.03
Drop
...
0.20
...
...
0.10
...
...
...
0.70
...
10.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
...
-.33
...
...
...
0.33
15.0
0.06
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
...
0.67
6.00
0.02
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
9.00
0.02
--
--
8
0.29
-.29
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
34.0
0.05
7
-.08
-.08
0.04
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.11
...
139
0.05
6
...
-.06
0.05
-.06
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
190
0.28
2
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
-.50
0.33
...
-.08
...
10.0
0.22
NE
...
...
...
...
...
-.20
0.10
-.10
-.10
...
0.30
20.0
0.23
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
...
0.10
0.10
...
0.60
10.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
...
...
...
0.90
10.0
0.03
Drop
...
0.05
-.05
-.04
-.04
-.01
-.05
...
...
0.13
...
69.0
0.44
Drop
...
...
0.14
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.07
...
...
0.68
...
28.0
0.08
Drop
...
0.05
0.10
...
...
0.02
0.02
...
...
0.80
...
41.0
0.13
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-1.0
...
1.00
1.00
8
0.12
0.88
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
17.0
0.05
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
1.00
0.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
0.68
0.14
0.09
...
...
...
0.14
0.44
0.12
0.11
...
...
...
0.20
0.49
0.09
0.06
...
...
...
0.21
0.34
0.22
...
...
...
...
0.40
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
0.17 0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.23
0.09
0.06
0.22 0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
73.0
96.0
67.0
35.0
18.0
6.00
0.21
0.27
0.19
0.10
0.05 0.02
8
0.41
0.59
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
17.0
0.05
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
5
4
3
...
...
...
-.05
...
...
0.05
0.00
...
0.01
0.03
-.06
-.06
0.12
-.22
...
-.17
0.04
...
...
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.02
0.15
...
...
...
121
61.0
26.0
0.52
0.72
0.57
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Table A.2(g)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.61
0.07
0.04
...
...
...
0.18
0.49
0.17
0.12
...
...
...
0.14
0.50
0.12
...
...
...
...
0.15
0.46
...
...
...
...
...
0.23 0.38 0.25
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.30
0.15
0.08 0.38 0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
66.0
94.0
54.0
26.0
8.00 4.00
0.21
0.29
0.17
0.08 0.03 0.01
--
--
p-value
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
9
0.58
-.39
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.18
...
17.0
0.02
0.04
9
0.09
0.73
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.18
...
11.0
0.04
9
0.67
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
6.00
0.02
8
-.03
0.15
-.05
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.07
...
95.0
0.01
0.29
8
0.07
0.61
0.23
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
...
44.0
0.16
8
0.04
0.76
0.18
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
51.0
0.17
7
...
-.00
-.11
0.07
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
...
102
0.00
0.54
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
-.06
...
...
...
-.10
-.04
...
...
0.01
-.04
-.07
...
0.10
0.02
0.05
0.29
...
-.03
0.15
-.21
...
...
...
-.36
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
0.08
-.13
0.14
...
...
...
...
92.0
57.0
32.0
11.0
0.27
0.02
0.15
0.89
0.73
0.43
1.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.33
...
-.67
...
...
...
3.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.08
...
...
...
...
0.62
0.12
0.08
...
...
...
0.04
0.27
0.08
0.15
...
...
...
0.06
0.50
0.20
...
...
...
...
0.22
0.35
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.67
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.21
0.47
0.11
0.30
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
47.0
49.0
36.0
20.0
4.00
3.00
0.17
0.18
0.13
0.07
0.01
0.01
Table A.2(h)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.02
...
...
...
...
0.51
0.02
0.05
...
...
...
0.11
0.28
0.05
0.08
...
...
...
0.16
0.52
0.25
0.29
...
...
...
0.19
0.50
0.29
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
0.51
0.19
0.17
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
55.0
43.0
21.0
12.0
7.00
...
0.19
0.15
0.07
0.04
0.02
0.00
-2-
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
0.06
Drop
...
0.02
-.06
-.03
-.07
-.02
-.01
...
...
...
0.16
...
153
Drop
...
...
0.08
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.02
...
...
...
0.74
...
62.0
0.22
Drop
...
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.01
...
0.01
...
...
...
0.90
...
91.0
0.31
0.11
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.33
...
...
...
...
0.33
10.0
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
...
...
0.67
3.00
0.01
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
7.00
0.02
--
--
9
0.03
0.29
0.18
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
34.0
0.12
10
0.20
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.60
...
5.00
0.02
10
0.13
0.30
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.43
...
11.0
0.32
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
9
0.06
-.12
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.07
...
69.0
0.31
9
0.09
0.17
0.31
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.43
...
35.0
0.14
10
0.33
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
6.00
0.02
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
8
...
0.04
0.10
-.11
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.03
...
78.0
0.53
Girl-Boy Differences
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
...
...
...
...
-.03
...
...
...
-.05
-.15
...
...
-.13
0.04
-.06
...
-.04
0.01
-.01
...
...
-.04
-.08
-.13
...
...
0.05
-.05
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.24
0.15
0.09
0.18
...
...
...
...
65.0
53.0
26.0
13.0
0.34
0.39
0.92
0.67
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
0.50
...
2.00
1.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Boys
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.03
...
...
...
...
0.67
0.21
0.15
...
...
...
0.21
0.44
0.06
0.06
...
...
...
0.08
0.24
0.12
...
...
...
...
0.09
0.41 0.13
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.26
0.45
0.35 0.63
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
48.0
39.0
33.0
17.0
8.00
...
0.17
0.14
0.12
0.06 0.03 0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
1.00
1.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Table A.2(i)
Eligible Control Transition Matrix for Girls
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.77
0.15
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
0.31
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
0.25 0.11
...
...
...
...
...
0.05 0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.11 0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
0.50
0.60 0.44 0.80 0.50 1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
30.0
26.0
20.0
9.00 5.00 2.00 1.00
0.12
0.10
0.08 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00
-3-
Drop
...
0.02
0.03
-.05
0.03
-.01
...
...
...
...
...
-.04
...
204
0.07
Drop
...
0.01
...
0.05
0.05
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.88
...
88.0
0.31
Drop
...
0.03
0.03
...
0.08
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.84
...
116
0.46
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.08
...
...
-.08
...
0.15
20.0
0.55
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
...
0.08
...
0.85
13.0
0.05
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
7.00
0.03
--
--
-4-
--
--
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.03
-.03
-.03
P(2 | G)
-.00
0.05
-.09
P(1 | G)
...
-.03
0.08
P(Drop | G)
-.03
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.04
No. obs
179
648
97.0
p-value
0.21
0.27
0.63
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.12
0.07
0.05
P(2 | G)
0.85
0.62
0.45
P(1 | G)
...
0.30
0.36
P(Drop | G)
0.03
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.14
No. obs
73.0
254
42.0
P(G)
0.20
0.69
0.11
Table A.3(a)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.15
0.04
0.02
P(2 | G)
0.85
0.67
0.36
P(1 | G)
...
0.27
0.44
P(Drop | G)
...
0.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.18
No. obs
106
394
55.0
P(G)
0.19
0.71
0.10
--
--
NE
0.13
0.22
0.31
0.16
...
0.19
32.0
0.05
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.10
-.02
-.01
-1.0
P(3 | G)
-.11
0.02
-.02
1.00
P(2 | G)
...
0.00
0.05
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
-.04
...
P(Drop | G)
0.01
-.01
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
107
609
202
3.00
p-value
0.38
0.61
0.89
0.08
NE
0.08
0.05
0.02
-.05
...
-.10
56.0
0.71
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
NE
P(4 | G)
0.15
0.12
0.05
1.00
0.04
P(3 | G)
0.85
0.66
0.22
...
0.17
P(2 | G)
...
0.22
0.58
...
0.29
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.12
...
0.21
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.03
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
0.29
No. obs
34.0
212
74.0
1.00
24.0
P(G)
0.10
0.61
0.21
0.00
0.07
Table A.3(b)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.25
0.10
0.05
...
P(3 | G)
0.74
0.68
0.20
1.00
P(2 | G)
...
0.22
0.63
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.09
...
P(Drop | G)
0.01
0.00
0.04
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
73.0
397
128
2.00
P(G)
0.12
0.63
0.20
0.00
-2-
--
--
NE
...
0.11
0.33
...
0.17
...
0.39
18.0
.
NE
...
-.01
-.18
0.15
-.02
...
0.06
38.0
0.39
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
P(5 | G)
0.06
0.08
0.03
...
...
P(4 | G)
0.94
0.63
0.17
0.32
0.67
P(3 | G)
...
0.28
0.63
0.12
...
P(2 | G)
...
...
0.15
0.36
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
...
0.16
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.02
0.04
0.33
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
...
No. obs
34.0
175
119
25.0
3.00
P(G)
0.09
0.47
0.32
0.07
0.05
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.11
-.02
-.01
...
...
-.11
0.11
0.10
-.11
-.04
...
-.08
-.12
0.17
0.13
...
...
0.05
0.10
0.25
...
...
...
-.12
...
...
0.00
-.02
-.04
-.33
...
...
...
...
...
87.0
479
302
49.0
11.0
0.13
0.11
0.06
0.26
0.28
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
NE
...
0.10
0.15
0.15
0.15
...
0.45
20.0
.
Table A.3(c)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
P(5 | G)
0.17
0.06
0.02
...
...
P(4 | G)
0.83
0.74
0.27
0.21
0.63
P(3 | G)
...
0.20
0.51
0.29
0.13
P(2 | G)
...
...
0.20
0.46
0.25
P(1 | G)
...
...
...
0.04
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
...
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
...
No. obs
53.0
304
183
24.0
8.00
P(G)
0.09
0.51
0.31
0.04
0.03
-3-
--
--
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.04
-.02
0.00
...
...
-.04
0.09
...
0.05
...
...
-.07
-.03
0.14
0.19
...
...
0.05
-.04
0.33
...
...
...
-.15
-.50
...
...
...
...
0.22
...
0.00
-.02
-.00
-.25
...
...
...
...
...
60.0
418
308
104
13.0
0.70
0.24
0.51
0.21
0.06
Drop
0.14
0.23
-.31
0.14
...
...
-.20
...
12.0
0.41
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.18
0.07
0.01
...
...
...
0.82
0.65
0.18
0.09
...
0.20
...
0.27
0.61
0.12
0.25
0.60
...
...
0.17
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.26
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.25
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
28.0
139
121
34.0
4.00
5.00
0.08
0.41
0.35
0.10
0.01
0.01
Table A.3(d)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.22
0.05
0.01
...
...
0.14
0.78
0.75
0.18
0.14
...
0.43
...
0.19
0.58
0.26
0.44
0.29
...
...
0.22
0.46
0.33
0.14
...
...
...
0.11
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.22
...
...
0.01
0.01
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
32.0
279
187
70.0
9.00
7.00
0.05
0.47
0.31
0.12
0.02
0.01
-4-
NE
...
...
-.15
0.10
-.06
0.13
...
-.02
28.0
0.60
NE
...
...
0.33
0.08
0.25
...
...
0.33
12.0
0.03
NE
...
...
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.13
...
0.31
16.0
0.03
--
--
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
Drop
0.04
0.04
-.16
-.14
0.09
0.09
...
0.04
...
18.0
0.77
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
6
0.05
-.10
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
...
72.0
0.47
Drop
0.14
0.14
0.43
0.14
...
...
...
0.14
...
7.00
0.02
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.23
0.11
0.01
...
...
...
0.77
0.71
0.19
0.07
...
...
...
0.16
0.63
0.26
0.09
...
...
...
0.16
0.48
0.05
1.00
...
...
...
0.19
0.64
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
0.01
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
26.0
145
105
42.0
22.0
1.00
0.07
0.40
0.29
0.12
0.06
0.00
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
-.09
0.01
...
...
...
0.06
0.02
0.04
...
...
0.03
-.02
-.10
0.08
...
...
-.01
0.01
0.12
...
...
...
0.03
-.14
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.00
0.01
0.03
-.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
357
290
116
40.0
3.00
0.01
0.95
0.57
0.27
1.00
Drop
0.18
0.18
0.27
...
0.09
0.09
...
0.18
...
11.0
0.02
Table A.3(e)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.28
0.02
0.02
...
...
...
0.67
0.77
0.21
0.11
...
...
...
0.19
0.61
0.16
0.17
...
...
...
0.15
0.49
0.17
1.00
...
...
...
0.22
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
0.02
0.02
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
46.0
212
185
74.0
18.0
2.00
0.08
0.38
0.33
0.13
0.03
0.00
-5-
NE
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.03
...
...
-.19
21.0
0.63
NE
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.08
...
...
0.75
12.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
0.33
0.11
...
...
0.56
9.00
0.02
--
--
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
7
0.15
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.15
...
33.0
0.15
7
0.15
0.69
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
...
13.0
0.04
7
0.30
0.70
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
20.0
0.03
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
-.02
0.02
...
...
...
0.17
0.01
0.06
...
...
-.02
0.06
-.07
0.02
...
...
-.07
-.06
-.02
0.14
...
...
0.09
-.05
-.07
...
...
...
0.05
-.11
...
...
...
...
0.29
...
...
...
...
...
-.14
-.02
-.03
0.01
-.25
...
...
...
...
...
342
294
144
65.0
11.0
0.01
0.21
0.38
0.98
0.45
1
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
-1.0
...
...
...
2.00
0.16
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.05
...
...
...
...
...
0.47
0.18
0.07
...
...
...
0.18
0.60
0.20
0.13
...
...
...
0.18
0.51
0.17
...
...
...
...
0.15
0.54
0.50
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.30
0.03
0.07
0.04
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
134
115
55.0
24.0
4.00
1.00
0.37
0.32
0.15
0.07
0.01
0.00
Table A.3(f)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.03
0.02
...
...
...
...
0.64
0.20
0.13
...
...
...
0.16
0.66
0.13
0.15
...
...
...
0.11
0.45
0.15
0.14
...
...
...
0.24
0.49
0.43
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.14
1.00
...
...
...
...
0.29
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.16
0.02
0.04
0.05
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
208
179
89.0
41.0
7.00
1.00
0.36
0.31
0.15
0.07
0.01
0.00
-6-
Drop
0.09
0.10
...
0.09
0.07
...
0.04
...
-.40
...
33.0
0.38
Drop
...
0.20
...
...
0.10
...
...
...
0.70
...
10.0
0.03
Drop
0.09
0.30
...
0.09
0.17
...
0.04
...
0.30
...
23.0
0.04
NE
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.08
0.17
...
...
-.33
21.0
0.30
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
9.00
0.02
NE
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.08
0.17
...
...
0.67
12.0
0.02
--
--
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
8
-.08
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
32.0
0.65
8
0.41
0.59
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
17.0
0.05
8
0.33
0.67
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
15.0
0.03
7
0.03
-.03
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.09
...
171
0.17
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.02
...
...
...
0.05
0.03
-.02
...
...
-.06
0.05
0.01
0.20
...
...
0.04
0.10
0.20
...
...
...
-.06
-.08
-.25
...
...
...
-.15 0.25
...
...
...
...
-.50
...
...
...
...
...
-.06
-.13
-.03
-.18 0.50
...
...
...
...
...
252
130
67.0
18.0
8.00
0.18
0.06
0.93
0.36 0.17
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.61
0.07
0.04
...
...
...
0.18
0.49
0.17
0.12
...
...
...
0.14
0.50
0.12
...
...
...
...
0.15
0.46
...
...
...
...
...
0.23 0.38 0.25
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.30
0.15
0.08 0.38 0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
66.0
94.0
54.0
26.0
8.00 4.00
0.21
0.29
0.17
0.08 0.03 0.01
Table A.3(g)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.05
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.58
0.14
0.05
...
...
...
0.27
0.54
0.20
0.10
...
...
...
0.08
0.55
0.12
0.20
...
...
...
0.18
0.56
0.20
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.30
...
...
...
...
...
0.10 0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
0.23
0.01
0.05
0.20 0.75
...
...
...
...
...
...
105
158
76.0
41.0
10.0
4.00
0.20
0.30
0.15
0.08
0.02 0.01
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
...
...
1.00
1.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
...
...
1.00
0.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
0.07
...
...
0.87
15.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
-.10
0.07
...
...
-.03
25.0
0.42
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
...
...
...
0.90
10.0
0.03
Drop
0.01
0.02
0.17
0.02
0.01
-.00
-.01
...
...
-.21
...
135
0.34
Drop
...
0.05
0.10
...
...
0.02
0.02
...
...
0.80
...
41.0
0.13
Drop
0.01
0.06
0.27
0.02
0.01
0.02
0.01
...
...
0.60
...
94.0
0.18
--
--
p-value
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
9
-.27
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
21.0
0.02
0.50
9
0.67
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
6.00
0.02
9
0.40
0.53
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
15.0
0.03
8
-.01
0.04
-.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.00
...
114
0.00
0.95
8
0.04
0.76
0.18
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
51.0
0.17
8
0.03
0.81
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
63.0
0.14
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.02
...
...
...
0.03
0.12
-.02
...
...
0.01
0.19
0.03
-.08
...
...
-.04
0.11
...
-.14
...
...
-.04
0.06
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.29
...
...
...
...
-.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.06
-.29
-.07
-.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
164
115
62.0
28.0
14.0
0.00
0.29
0.02
0.86
0.01
0.87
0.47
0.67
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.02
...
...
...
...
0.51
0.02
0.05
...
...
...
0.11
0.28
0.05
0.08
...
...
...
0.16
0.52
0.25
0.29
...
...
...
0.19
0.50
0.29
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
0.51
0.19
0.17
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
55.0
43.0
21.0
12.0
7.00
...
0.19
0.15
0.07
0.04
0.02
0.00
Table A.3(h)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.04
...
...
...
...
0.54
0.14
0.02
...
...
...
0.12
0.47
0.07
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.63
0.25
0.14
...
...
...
0.15
0.56
0.29
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.43
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.19
0.22
0.12
0.06
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
109
72.0
41.0
16.0
7.00
...
0.23
0.15
0.09
0.03
0.02
0.00
-2-
.
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
...
...
...
...
0.91
11.0
0.02
0.01
0.41
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
...
...
...
...
-.09
18.0
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
7.00
0.02
Drop
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.18
-.01
0.01
-.01
...
...
...
-.20
...
223
Drop
...
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.01
...
0.01
...
...
...
0.90
...
91.0
0.31
Drop
0.01
0.03
0.04
0.21
...
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.70
...
132
0.28
--
--
9
0.09
0.17
0.31
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.43
...
35.0
0.14
10
0.33
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
6.00
0.02
10
-.33
0.07
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.26
...
13.0
0.21
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
9
-.04
0.01
-.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
...
84.0
0.58
9
0.04
0.18
0.22
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.55
...
49.0
0.13
10
...
0.57
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.43
...
7.00
0.02
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Treatment-Control Differences, Girls Only
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
0.05
...
...
...
...
-.13
0.10
0.09
...
...
...
0.10
-.03
-.01
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.16
0.14
0.22
...
...
...
0.08
0.17
0.33
...
...
...
...
0.14
-.20 1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
-.29
-.32
-.44
-.36
-.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
80.0
69.0
52.0
13.0
14.0
3.00
0.64
0.05
0.16
0.44
0.15 0.22
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-1.0
...
1.00
1.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
0.77
0.15
...
...
...
...
0.10
0.31
0.10
...
...
...
...
0.04
0.25 0.11
...
...
...
...
0.05 0.33
...
...
...
...
...
0.11 0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
0.50
0.60 0.44 0.80 0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
30.0
26.0
20.0
9.00 5.00 2.00
0.12
0.10
0.08 0.04 0.02 0.01
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
1.00
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Table A.3(i)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Girls Only
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
0.05
...
...
...
...
...
0.64
0.26
0.09
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.28
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
0.21
0.41 0.25 0.22
...
...
...
...
0.13 0.50 0.33
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.04
0.21
0.28
...
0.44
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
50.0
43.0
32.0
4.00 9.00 1.00
...
0.13
0.11
0.08 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00
-3-
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
.
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
30.0
1.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
7.00
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
23.0
0.06
Drop
...
-.01
-.01
0.02
-.00
-.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
...
293
0.32
Drop
...
0.03
0.03
...
0.08
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.84
...
116
0.46
Drop
...
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.07
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.86
...
177
0.46
--
--
-4-
--
--
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
-.02
-.02
0.01
P(2 | G)
0.02
0.17
0.10
P(1 | G)
...
-.13
-.17
P(Drop | G)
...
-.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.06
No. obs
171
675
105
p-value
0.70
0.00
0.38
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.14
0.10
0.02
P(2 | G)
0.86
0.51
0.33
P(1 | G)
...
0.36
0.47
P(Drop | G)
...
0.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.18
No. obs
56.0
245
45.0
P(G)
0.16
0.71
0.13
Table A.4(a)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.12
0.08
0.03
P(2 | G)
0.88
0.69
0.43
P(1 | G)
...
0.23
0.30
P(Drop | G)
...
0.00
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.23
No. obs
115
430
60.0
P(G)
0.19
0.71
0.10
--
--
NE
0.12
0.18
0.42
0.18
...
0.09
33.0
0.06
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.13
0.02
0.00
...
P(3 | G)
-.13
0.10
-.00
0.50
P(2 | G)
...
-.13
0.03
0.50
P(1 | G)
...
...
-.04
...
P(Drop | G)
...
-.00
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
91.0
633
215
8.00
p-value
0.17
0.01
0.92
1.00
NE
-.02
-.03
0.22
0.08
...
-.25
62.0
0.10
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
NE
P(4 | G)
0.19
0.09
0.04
...
0.14
P(3 | G)
0.81
0.53
0.22
...
0.21
P(2 | G)
...
0.37
0.57
...
0.21
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.15
...
0.10
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.01
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
0.34
No. obs
36.0
255
91.0
...
29.0
P(G)
0.09
0.62
0.22
0.00
0.07
Table A.4(b)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.33
0.11
0.05
...
P(3 | G)
0.67
0.64
0.22
0.50
P(2 | G)
...
0.25
0.60
0.50
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.11
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.01
0.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
55.0
378
124
8.00
P(G)
0.09
0.63
0.21
0.01
-2-
--
--
NE
...
...
0.29
0.06
0.06
...
0.59
17.0
.
NE
...
0.14
-.16
0.21
0.12
...
-.32
39.0
0.05
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
P(5 | G)
0.20
0.06
0.02
...
...
P(4 | G)
0.80
0.61
0.15
0.24
0.33
P(3 | G)
...
0.33
0.57
0.24
0.67
P(2 | G)
...
...
0.25
0.38
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
...
0.14
...
P(Drop | G)
...
...
0.01
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
...
No. obs
30.0
153
138
21.0
3.00
P(G)
0.08
0.42
0.38
0.06
0.05
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.01
0.01
0.01
...
...
-.01
0.05
0.07
0.05
0.67
...
-.07
-.00
-.04
-.67
...
...
-.07
0.08
...
...
...
...
-.09
...
...
0.00
-.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
87.0
467
389
62.0
8.00
0.91
0.46
0.27
0.57
0.04
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
NE
...
0.14
0.14
0.27
0.18
...
0.27
22.0
.
Table A.4(c)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
P(5 | G)
0.21
0.07
0.04
...
...
P(4 | G)
0.79
0.66
0.22
0.29
1.00
P(3 | G)
...
0.27
0.56
0.20
...
P(2 | G)
...
...
0.18
0.46
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
...
0.05
...
P(Drop | G)
...
0.00
0.00
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
...
No. obs
57.0
314
251
41.0
5.00
P(G)
0.08
0.46
0.36
0.06
0.03
-3-
--
--
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.15
0.01
0.01
...
...
-.15
0.07
0.03
0.06
...
...
-.09
0.07
0.02
0.42
...
...
-.11
-.09
-.23
...
...
...
0.00
0.04
...
...
...
...
-.15
...
0.00
-.00
0.01
-.08
...
...
...
...
...
60.0
372
287
165
19.0
0.21
0.31
0.22
0.79
0.18
Drop
...
0.25
-.17
-.17
...
...
0.08
...
15.0
0.75
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.15
0.06
0.02
...
...
...
0.85
0.61
0.16
0.10
...
0.33
...
0.33
0.56
0.21
0.08
0.33
...
...
0.25
0.52
0.23
0.33
...
...
...
0.16
0.46
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
...
...
...
0.01
0.02
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
20.0
127
102
58.0
13.0
3.00
0.06
0.39
0.31
0.18
0.04
0.01
Table A.4(d)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.30
0.07
0.03
...
...
...
0.70
0.69
0.19
0.16
...
0.58
...
0.24
0.63
0.22
0.50
0.17
...
...
0.15
0.43
...
0.17
...
...
...
0.16
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
0.01
0.03
...
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
40.0
245
185
107
6.00
12.0
0.07
0.40
0.31
0.18
0.01
0.02
-4-
NE
...
...
0.36
-.08
-.08
-.17
...
-.05
17.0
0.35
NE
...
...
...
0.17
0.17
0.17
...
0.50
6.00
0.02
NE
...
...
0.36
0.09
0.09
...
...
0.45
11.0
0.02
--
--
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
Drop
...
0.07
-.12
0.17
-.02
0.09
...
-.20
...
21.0
0.50
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
6
-.08
0.16
...
...
...
...
...
-.08
...
68.0
0.10
Drop
...
0.20
0.30
0.10
0.20
...
...
0.20
...
10.0
0.03
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.42
0.09
0.02
...
...
...
0.50
0.65
0.12
0.08
...
...
...
0.23
0.62
0.13
0.08
...
...
...
0.23
0.50
0.16
0.50
...
...
...
0.20
0.40
...
...
...
...
...
0.28
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.03
0.01
0.08
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
24.0
135
125
60.0
25.0
2.00
0.06
0.34
0.32
0.15
0.06
0.01
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
-.04
-.01
...
...
...
0.08
0.06
0.10
...
...
-.02
0.02
0.06
0.06
...
...
-.07
-.09
0.06
-.50
...
...
-.02
0.03
0.50
...
...
...
-.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.02
-.00
-.05
-.05
...
...
...
...
...
...
361
331
158
62.0
4.00
0.16
0.30
0.19
0.72
0.37
Drop
...
0.27
0.18
0.27
0.18
0.09
...
...
...
11.0
0.02
Table A.4(e)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.34
0.05
0.01
...
...
...
0.66
0.73
0.18
0.18
...
...
...
0.21
0.64
0.19
0.14
...
...
...
0.17
0.41
0.22
...
...
...
...
0.18
0.43
0.50
...
...
...
...
0.19
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.00
0.03
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
44.0
226
206
98.0
37.0
2.00
0.07
0.35
0.32
0.15
0.06
0.00
-5-
NE
...
...
...
0.07
-.08
0.12
0.05
...
-.16
30.0
0.72
NE
...
...
...
0.09
0.18
0.09
...
...
0.64
11.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
0.16
0.11
0.21
0.05
...
0.47
19.0
0.03
--
--
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
7
0.01
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.18
...
46.0
0.21
7
0.19
0.56
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
16.0
0.05
7
0.20
0.73
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
30.0
0.05
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.04
-.00
...
...
...
0.05
0.11
0.06
...
...
-.06
-.01
0.07
0.07
...
...
-.07
-.01
-.03
0.15
...
...
-.07
0.02
0.03
...
...
...
-.03
-.02
...
...
...
...
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
-.03
-.02
-.04
-.02
-.20
...
...
...
...
...
273
292
178
58.0
18.0
0.21
0.09
0.22
0.92
0.49
1
...
...
...
...
-.50
-.50
...
...
...
...
2.00
1.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.03
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.63
0.11
0.07
...
...
...
0.20
0.66
0.16
0.05
...
...
...
0.19
0.51
0.23
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.45
0.20
0.50
...
...
...
0.23
0.40
0.50
...
...
...
...
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
0.03
0.06
0.05
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
112
101
69.0
22.0
5.00
2.00
0.32
0.29
0.20
0.06
0.01
0.01
Table A.4(f)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.07
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.68
0.21
0.13
...
...
...
0.14
0.65
0.23
0.11
...
...
...
0.12
0.50
0.19
0.15
...
...
...
0.13
0.47
0.23
...
...
...
...
0.19
0.38
...
...
...
...
...
0.23
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
0.01
0.02
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
161
191
109
36.0
13.0
...
0.28
0.33
0.19
0.06
0.02
0.00
-6-
Drop
0.09
0.13
-.16
-.17
0.04
...
0.04
...
0.02
...
35.0
0.22
Drop
...
0.08
0.25
0.17
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
12.0
0.03
Drop
0.09
0.22
0.09
...
0.04
...
0.04
...
0.52
...
23.0
0.04
NE
...
...
...
...
...
-.33
0.56
...
...
-.22
15.0
0.04
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
...
0.67
6.00
0.02
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.56
...
...
0.44
9.00
0.02
--
--
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
8
0.07
-.07
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
38.0
0.54
8
0.12
0.88
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
17.0
0.05
8
0.19
0.81
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
21.0
0.04
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
7
-.03
-.03
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.03
...
202
0.41
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.01
...
...
...
...
-.04
-.02
...
...
...
0.17
0.02
-.00
...
...
-.06
0.11
0.14
0.07
...
...
-.06
0.12
-.10
...
...
...
-.22
0.17
0.27
...
...
...
0.04
-.05
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
-.09
-.04
-.03
-.18
-.24
...
...
...
...
...
250
170
80.0
42.0
17.0
0.06
0.52
0.13
0.32
0.40
Drop
...
0.13
0.21
0.07
0.02
0.02
...
0.02
...
0.54
...
56.0
0.10
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
0.13
...
...
0.63
8.00
0.01
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.05
...
0.03
-.10
...
0.03
18.0
0.83
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
...
0.10
0.10
...
0.60
10.0
0.03
Drop
...
0.13
0.07
0.04
-.02
-.02
-.07
0.02
...
-.14
...
84.0
0.19
Drop
...
...
0.14
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.07
...
...
0.68
...
28.0
0.08
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-1.0
...
1.00
1.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.68
0.14
0.09
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.44
0.12
0.11
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.49
0.09
0.06
...
...
...
...
0.21
0.34
0.22
...
...
...
...
...
0.40
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17 0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.23
0.09
0.06
0.22 0.33 1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
73.0
96.0
67.0
35.0
18.0
6.00 1.00
0.21
0.27
0.19
0.10
0.05 0.02 0.00
Table A.4(g)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 12 -> Age 13
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.07
0.01
...
...
...
...
0.65
0.10
0.07
...
...
...
0.22
0.61
0.14
0.11
...
...
...
0.14
0.60
0.22
0.13
...
...
...
0.15
0.47
0.13
...
...
...
...
0.18
0.50
0.27
...
...
...
...
0.21
0.45
...
...
...
...
...
0.18
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.05
0.14
0.05
0.02
0.04
0.09
...
...
...
...
...
...
129
154
103
45.0
24.0
11.0
0.23
0.28
0.19
0.08
0.04
0.02
--
--
p-value
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
9
0.22
-.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.13
...
30.0
0.02
0.25
9
0.09
0.73
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.18
...
11.0
0.04
9
0.32
0.63
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.05
...
19.0
0.04
8
0.02
0.13
-.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.07
...
127
0.01
0.20
8
0.07
0.61
0.23
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
...
44.0
0.16
8
0.08
0.75
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
83.0
0.17
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
0.03
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.03
...
...
...
-.08
0.01
0.08
...
...
0.12
0.20
-.01
-.05
...
...
0.04
0.06
-.05
0.31
...
...
-.13
-.05
-.35
...
...
...
0.20
-.12
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.13
-.29
0.01
-.05
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
151
145
79.0
40.0
17.0
0.00
0.20
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.51
0.34
0.48
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.08
...
...
...
...
0.62
0.12
0.08
...
...
...
0.04
0.27
0.08
0.15
...
...
...
0.06
0.50
0.20
...
...
...
...
0.22
0.35
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.67
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.21
0.47
0.11
0.30
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
47.0
49.0
36.0
20.0
4.00
3.00
0.17
0.18
0.13
0.07
0.01
0.01
Table A.4(h)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
0.18
0.11
...
...
...
...
0.54
0.14
0.16
...
...
...
0.16
0.47
0.07
0.10
...
...
...
0.10
0.56
0.15
0.31
...
...
...
0.09
0.30
0.15
0.20
...
...
...
0.20
0.38
0.20
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
0.40
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
0.18
0.12
0.25
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
104
96.0
43.0
20.0
13.0
5.00
0.21
0.19
0.09
0.04
0.03
0.01
-2-
0.66
2
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
-.13
0.20
-.27
...
...
...
8.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
...
...
0.67
3.00
0.01
0.04
0.59
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.22
0.06
...
...
...
0.16
20.0
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
0.06
...
...
...
0.82
17.0
0.03
Drop
0.01
0.07
-.04
0.11
-.06
0.03
-.02
0.01
...
...
-.12
...
158
Drop
...
...
0.08
0.06
0.08
0.02
0.02
...
...
...
0.74
...
62.0
0.22
Drop
0.01
0.07
0.04
0.18
0.02
0.04
...
0.01
...
...
0.63
...
96.0
0.19
--
--
9
0.03
0.29
0.18
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
34.0
0.12
10
0.20
0.20
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.60
...
5.00
0.02
10
-.20
0.30
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.10
...
13.0
0.30
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
p-value
9
-.01
0.06
0.07
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.12
...
94.0
0.66
9
0.02
0.35
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.38
...
60.0
0.13
10
...
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
8.00
0.02
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.40
...
...
...
0.40
...
5.00
1.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Eligible Control Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
0.67
0.21
0.15
...
...
...
...
0.21
0.44
0.06
0.06
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.24
0.12
...
...
...
...
...
0.09
0.41 0.13
...
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.06
0.26
0.45
0.35 0.63
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
48.0
39.0
33.0
17.0
8.00
...
...
0.17
0.14
0.12
0.06 0.03 0.00 0.00
Treatment-Control Differences, Boys Only
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.02
...
...
...
0.03
-.01
-.07
...
...
-.05
0.09
-.00
0.03
...
...
0.01
0.15
-.07
0.29
...
...
0.01
0.18
0.02
...
...
...
0.08
-.11
...
...
...
...
0.29
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.06
-.11
-.08
-.22
-.48
...
...
...
...
...
128
109
84.0
39.0
15.0
0.07
0.66
0.61
0.42
0.14
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Table A.4(i)
Eligible Treatment Transition Matrix, Boys Only
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.04
...
...
...
...
...
0.70
0.20
0.08
...
...
...
...
0.16
0.53
0.06
0.09
...
...
...
...
0.09
0.39
0.05 0.29
...
...
...
...
0.10
0.59 0.14
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.14 0.20
...
...
...
...
...
0.29 0.40
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.37
0.14 0.14 0.40
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
80.0
70.0
51.0
22.0
7.00 5.00
...
0.17
0.15
0.11
0.05 0.01 0.01 0.00
-3-
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
.
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
...
...
...
0.93
15.0
0.03
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.01
...
...
-.08
...
0.09
28.0
0.54
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
...
0.08
...
0.85
13.0
0.05
Drop
...
0.02
0.03
-.02
0.04
-.01
0.01
...
0.01
...
...
-.07
...
254
0.36
Drop
...
0.01
...
0.05
0.05
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.88
...
88.0
0.31
Drop
...
0.03
0.03
0.02
0.09
0.01
0.01
...
0.01
...
...
0.80
...
166
0.35
--
--
-4-
--
--
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
-.11
-.02
0.01
P(2 | G)
0.10
0.05
0.24
P(1 | G)
...
-.04
-.16
P(Drop | G)
0.01
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
-.10
No. obs
117
465
42.0
P(G)
0.19
0.75
0.07
p-value
0.16
0.34
0.43
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.20
0.10
0.06
P(2 | G)
0.80
0.66
0.38
P(1 | G)
...
0.24
0.31
P(Drop | G)
...
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.25
No. obs
46.0
197
16.0
P(G)
0.18
0.76
0.06
Table A.5(a)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 6 -> Age 7
Grade (G)
2
1
NE
P(3 | G)
0.08
0.08
0.08
P(2 | G)
0.90
0.71
0.62
P(1 | G)
...
0.20
0.15
P(Drop | G)
0.01
0.01
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
0.15
No. obs
71.0
268
26.0
P(G)
0.19
0.73
0.07
--
--
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
p-value
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
0.08
0.02
-.01
-.10
-.00
-.04
...
-.03
0.04
...
...
-.01
0.03
0.02
0.02
...
...
...
90.0
481
114
0.13
0.67
0.16
0.33
0.29
0.88
Drop
0.25
0.25
-.50
...
...
...
6.00
0.01
0.47
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.21
0.10
0.06
0.25
P(3 | G)
0.79
0.68
0.28
0.25
P(2 | G)
...
0.23
0.57
0.50
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.09
...
P(Drop | G)
...
...
...
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
52.0
176
53.0
4.00
P(G)
0.18
0.59
0.18
0.01
Table A.5(b)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 7 -> Age 8
Grade (G)
3
2
1
Drop
P(4 | G)
0.29
0.11
0.05
0.50
P(3 | G)
0.68
0.67
0.25
0.50
P(2 | G)
...
0.20
0.61
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
0.08
...
P(Drop | G)
0.03
0.02
0.02
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
No. obs
38.0
305
61.0
2.00
P(G)
0.09
0.73
0.15
0.00
-2-
NE
0.09
0.27
-.27
-.27
...
0.18
22.0
0.03
0.11
NE
...
0.18
0.45
0.27
...
0.09
11.0
0.04
NE
0.09
0.45
0.18
...
...
0.27
11.0
0.03
--
--
NE
...
0.14
0.43
-.19
0.14
...
-.52
10.0
.
0.35
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
0.04
0.01
0.02
...
-.09
0.05
0.12
0.10
...
-.07
-.13
-.15
...
...
-.03
-.10
...
...
...
0.05
0.06
0.01
0.02
0.10
...
...
...
...
94.0
400
166
30.0
0.13
0.57
0.24
0.04
0.24
0.23
0.20
0.54
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
p-value
Drop
...
0.50
...
...
...
-.50
...
5.00
0.01
0.17
NE
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
0.67
3.00
.
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.21
0.07
0.01
...
...
0.79
0.70
0.15
...
0.50
...
0.23
0.73
0.40
...
...
...
0.10
0.60
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
...
...
...
...
...
42.0
165
67.0
10.0
2.00
0.15
0.57
0.23
0.03
0.01
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
NE
...
0.14
0.43
0.14
0.14
...
0.14
7.00
.
Table A.5(c)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 8 -> Age 9
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
Drop
P(5 | G)
0.25
0.08
0.03
...
...
P(4 | G)
0.69
0.75
0.27
0.10
1.00
P(3 | G)
...
0.16
0.61
0.25
...
P(2 | G)
...
...
0.07
0.50
...
P(1 | G)
...
...
...
0.05
...
P(Drop | G)
0.06
0.01
0.02
0.10
...
P(NE | NE)
...
...
...
...
...
No. obs
52.0
235
99.0
20.0
3.00
P(G)
0.13
0.56
0.24
0.05
0.02
-3-
--
--
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
p-value
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
5
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
94.0
0.12
1.00
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
4
3
2
1
0.02
0.00
...
...
0.01
0.09
0.02
...
-.03
-.11
...
1.00
...
0.01
-.20
...
...
...
0.15
-1.0
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
385
203
60.0
3.00
0.51
0.27
0.08
0.00
0.62
0.47
0.36
0.08
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.28
0.09
0.01
...
...
0.72
0.74
0.24
0.07
...
...
0.17
0.61
0.25
...
...
...
0.13
0.61
...
...
...
...
0.07
1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
47.0
162
83.0
28.0
1.00
0.15
0.50
0.26
0.09
0.00
Drop
-1.0
0.75
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
5.00
0.01
0.08
Drop
1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
0.00
Table A.5(d)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 9 -> Age 10
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
Drop
0.28
0.11
0.02
...
...
...
0.72
0.75
0.33
0.09
...
0.75
...
0.14
0.51
0.25
1.00
...
...
...
0.14
0.41
...
...
...
...
...
0.22
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.03
...
0.25
...
...
...
...
...
...
47.0
223
120
32.0
2.00
4.00
0.11
0.52
0.28
0.07
0.00
0.01
-4-
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
-.25
5.00
0.01
0.58
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
1.00
0.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.25
...
0.75
4.00
0.01
--
--
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
p-value
1
...
...
...
1.00
-1.0
...
...
...
...
4.00
0.00
0.05
Drop
0.10
-.07
...
0.10
...
...
...
-.13
...
13.0
0.02
0.85
6
0.08
0.84
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
37.0
0.11
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
6
0.03
0.03
...
...
...
...
...
-.06
...
84.0
0.10
0.42
Drop
...
0.67
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
3.00
0.01
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.08
0.03
...
...
...
0.73
0.20
0.10
...
...
0.18
0.58
0.12
0.11
...
...
0.18
0.59
...
...
...
...
0.20
0.56
1.00
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
158
102
41.0
9.00
1.00
0.45
0.29
0.12
0.03
0.00
6
0.11
0.87
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
47.0
0.09
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
-.01
0.00
...
...
0.06
0.02
0.02
...
-.03
0.01
0.12
0.33
...
-.03
-.06
0.25
...
...
-.08
-.31
...
...
...
-.27
...
...
...
...
-.01
-.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
408
225
94.0
25.0
0.48
0.26
0.11
0.03
0.23
0.97
0.38
0.04
Drop
0.10
0.60
...
0.10
...
...
...
0.20
...
10.0
0.02
Table A.5(e)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 10 -> Age 11
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
1
0.07
0.03
...
...
...
0.78
0.22
0.11
...
...
0.15
0.59
0.25
0.44
...
...
0.15
0.53
0.25
1.00
...
...
0.11
0.25
...
...
...
...
0.06
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
250
123
53.0
16.0
3.00
0.50
0.24
0.11
0.03
0.01
-5-
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
2.00
0.00
1.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
1.00
0.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
1.00
0.00
--
--
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
p-value
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
7
0.10
0.05
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.14
...
70.0
0.08
0.07
7
0.21
0.63
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
24.0
0.08
7
0.30
0.67
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.02
...
46.0
0.09
6
0.02
-.01
-.02
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
...
362
0.44
0.71
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
5
4
3
2
-.01
...
...
...
0.00
0.06
...
...
0.01
-.04
-.00
...
-.00
-.09
0.11
0.14
...
0.04
-.10
-1.0
...
...
0.05
0.57
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
-.00
0.03
-.07
0.14
...
...
...
...
244
90.0
31.0
8.00
0.30
0.11
0.04
0.01
0.82
0.79
0.78
0.09
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
0.03
0.01
...
...
...
0.69
0.17
0.13
...
...
0.15
0.67
0.21
0.07
...
...
0.11
0.54
0.20
...
...
...
0.13
0.53
1.00
...
...
...
0.13
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
0.03
...
0.07
...
...
...
...
...
...
137
98.0
24.0
15.0
1.00
0.44
0.32
0.08
0.05
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Table A.5(f)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 11 -> Age 12
Grade (G)
6
5
4
3
2
1
0.05
...
...
...
...
...
0.68
0.18
0.18
...
...
...
0.13
0.68
0.17
0.06
...
...
...
0.11
0.45
0.31
0.14
...
...
...
0.17
0.44
...
...
...
...
...
0.19
0.57
...
...
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.03
0.03
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
225
146
66.0
16.0
7.00
...
0.44
0.28
0.13
0.03
0.01
0.00
-6-
Drop
...
-.19
0.10
-.11
...
0.14
...
...
0.06
...
16.0
0.02
0.59
Drop
...
0.33
0.33
0.11
...
...
...
...
0.22
...
9.00
0.03
Drop
...
0.14
0.43
...
...
0.14
...
...
0.29
...
7.00
0.01
NE
...
...
...
...
...
-.33
...
...
...
0.33
6.00
0.01
0.51
NE
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
0.33
...
...
0.33
3.00
0.01
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
0.67
3.00
0.01
--
--
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
p-value
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
9
0.03
-.02
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.00
...
51.0
0.06
0.97
9
0.24
0.64
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
...
25.0
0.07
9
0.27
0.62
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.12
...
26.0
0.05
8
0.02
-.07
-.02
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
222
0.26
0.12
8
0.08
0.72
0.19
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.01
...
95.0
0.26
8
0.10
0.65
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.08
...
127
0.25
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
0.00
...
...
...
-.05
0.03
...
...
0.07
0.05
0.04
...
0.01
-.01
0.14
-.33
...
-.06
-.22
0.14
...
...
-.01
0.71
...
...
...
0.14
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.04
-.00
0.05
-.67
...
...
...
...
193
148
45.0
10.0
0.22
0.17
0.05
0.01
0.74
0.52
0.54
0.04
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.33
...
...
...
0.33
...
5.00
0.01
0.36
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
4.00
0.01
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
3.00
0.01
Drop
-.01
0.02
-.00
-.02
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
...
182
0.21
0.72
Drop
...
0.03
0.07
0.08
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
0.81
...
99.0
0.20
Drop
0.01
0.01
0.07
0.10
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.81
...
83.0
0.23
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
0.50
...
...
...
2.00
0.00
1.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.50
0.50
...
...
...
2.00
0.00
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
2
0.01
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.05
...
...
...
...
0.51
0.05
...
...
...
...
0.14
0.47
0.10 0.33
...
...
...
0.12
0.70
...
...
...
...
...
0.05
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.17
0.31
0.15 0.67
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
71.0
59.0
20.0
3.00 2.00
...
0.20
0.16
0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00
Table A.5(h)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 13 -> Age 14
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
0.02
...
...
...
...
0.11
0.08
...
...
...
0.58
0.10
0.04
...
...
0.16
0.46
0.24
...
...
...
0.06
0.48 0.14
...
...
...
0.04 0.71
...
...
...
...
0.14 0.67
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.30
0.20
...
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
122
89.0
25.0
7.00 3.00
0.24
0.18
0.05 0.01 0.01
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
7.00
0.01
1.00
--
--
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
p-value
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
P(11 | G)
P(10 | G)
P(9 | G)
P(8 | G)
P(7 | G)
P(6 | G)
P(5 | G)
P(4 | G)
P(3 | G)
P(2 | G)
P(1 | G)
P(Drop | G)
P(NE | NE)
No. obs
P(G)
10
-.06
0.08
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.03
...
21.0
0.03
0.91
10
0.22
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.44
...
9.00
0.03
10
0.17
0.42
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.42
...
12.0
0.02
Treatment-Control Differences
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
...
...
...
...
0.04
...
...
...
-.01
-.03
...
...
0.10
-.04
...
...
0.00
0.16
0.07
...
...
-.07
0.03
-.17
...
...
-.03
0.33
...
...
...
-.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.13
-.03
-.07
...
...
...
...
...
81.0
65.0
27.0
9.00
0.10
0.08
0.03
0.01
0.76
0.64
0.81
0.68
Non-eligible Control Transition Matrix
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
7
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
...
...
...
0.11
0.08
...
...
...
0.39
0.16
...
...
...
0.07
0.24
...
...
...
...
0.12
0.50
0.17
...
...
...
0.17
0.33
...
...
...
...
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.36
0.40
0.33
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
28.0
25.0
12.0
6.00
...
0.08
0.08
0.04
0.02
0.00
8
...
0.06
-.03
-.02
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.01
...
161
0.19
0.78
8
...
0.09
0.72
0.11
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
...
54.0
0.16
9
-.03
0.10
-.03
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
-.03
...
216
0.26
0.41
9
0.06
0.31
0.17
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.46
...
96.0
0.29
9
0.03
0.41
0.13
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.43
...
120
0.24
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.33
...
...
...
...
0.67
...
3.00
0.00
1.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
Table A.5(i)
Non-eligible Treatment Transition Matrix
Age 14 -> Age 15
Grade (G)
8
7
6
5
4
3
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.15
0.11
...
...
...
...
0.69
0.09
0.05
...
...
...
0.09
0.49
0.13
...
...
...
...
0.08
0.40
0.07
...
...
...
...
0.05
0.53
...
...
...
...
...
0.13
0.67
0.33
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.07
0.23
0.38
0.27
0.33
0.67
...
...
...
...
...
...
107
53.0
40.0
15.0
3.00
3.00
0.21
0.11
0.08
0.03
0.01
0.01
-2-
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
.
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
2
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
.
Drop
...
-.04
0.01
-.03
0.04
0.01
0.01
0.01
...
...
...
-.01
...
257
0.31
0.32
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
6.00
0.02
Drop
...
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.10
0.01
0.01
0.01
...
...
...
0.84
...
153
0.31
Drop
...
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.06
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.85
...
104
0.31
1
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
0.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
10.0
0.01
1.00
NE
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
1.00
4.00
0.01
--
--
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
-0.09
0.13
0.09
0.46
0.26
-0.28
-0.21
-0.62
0.66
0.60
0.01
-1.31
.
0.83
0.54
0.48
0.60
1.09
0.71
0.27
13.47
0.57
13.74
0.33
0.24
0.06
-27.92
1.40
.
Std Error
0.30
0.14
0.21
0.23
0.46
0.48
0.81
1.12
0.17
0.17
0.09
1.08
.
0.28
0.27
0.26
0.36
0.32
0.25
0.15
2410.18
0.16
1947.59
0.39
0.17
0.15
3098.72
1.04
.
T-stat
-0.30
0.92
0.44
1.96
0.56
-0.59
-0.26
-0.55
3.97
3.51
0.11
-1.22
.
2.99
2.03
1.86
1.66
3.44
2.86
1.72
0.01
3.54
0.01
0.87
1.39
0.38
-0.01
1.35
.
Prob>|T|
0.7662
0.3563
0.6591
0.0506
0.5781
0.5531
0.7979
0.5812
0.0001
0.0004
0.9140
0.2224
.
0.0028
0.0423
0.0626
0.0977
0.0006
0.0043
0.0855
0.9955
0.0004
0.9944
0.3866
0.1660
0.7068
0.9928
0.1756
.
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
0.32
-0.03
0.12
-0.09
-0.60
-0.08
14.34
13.28
0.65
1.09
0.00
0.86
.
1.13
0.17
1.25
0.67
1.12
1.07
0.41
15.17
-0.11
-1.63
-0.19
-0.34
0.62
.
1.81
.
Std Error
0.38
0.17
0.29
0.30
0.47
0.60
2944.02
1335.16
0.21
0.23
0.11
1.60
.
0.34
0.33
0.35
0.49
0.36
0.30
0.20
2487.14
0.20
1.21
0.45
0.23
0.19
.
1.26
.
T-stat
0.83
-0.18
0.43
-0.30
-1.28
-0.14
0.00
0.01
3.15
4.78
0.02
0.54
.
3.35
0.53
3.60
1.37
3.08
3.55
2.07
0.01
-0.56
-1.35
-0.43
-1.46
3.28
.
1.44
.
Table B.1b
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 7
-2-
Table B.1a
--
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 6
--
Prob>|T|
0.4059
0.8554
0.6661
0.7625
0.2006
0.8883
0.9961
0.9921
0.0016
0.0000
0.9836
0.5914
.
0.0008
0.5962
0.0003
0.1714
0.0020
0.0004
0.0385
0.9951
0.5779
0.1773
0.6696
0.1443
0.0010
.
0.1491
.
--
--
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
1.07
0.02
0.94
0.67
-1.40
0.09
-1.03
11.62
0.75
0.83
0.11
-1.27
.
0.60
0.68
0.63
1.47
0.36
0.22
0.51
13.33
0.60
11.04
-0.53
-0.13
-0.09
-10.75
-0.05
-0.87
Std Error
0.43
0.20
0.45
0.44
0.67
1.10
1.09
1714.36
0.23
0.25
0.13
1.71
.
0.38
0.42
0.39
0.77
0.39
0.34
0.23
1452.18
0.23
3054.90
0.50
0.27
0.22
3924.17
1.41
0.81
T-stat
2.48
0.10
2.09
1.52
-2.08
0.08
-0.94
0.01
3.32
3.34
0.90
-0.74
.
1.56
1.61
1.59
1.92
0.92
0.63
2.20
0.01
2.57
0.00
-1.06
-0.48
-0.42
-0.00
-0.03
-1.08
Prob>|T|
0.0131
0.9215
0.0362
0.1295
0.0376
0.9376
0.3449
0.9946
0.0009
0.0008
0.3699
0.4601
.
0.1177
0.1075
0.1108
0.0554
0.3565
0.5299
0.0277
0.9927
0.0101
0.9971
0.2893
0.6307
0.6728
0.9978
0.9741
0.2814
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
0.93
-0.36
0.04
1.08
-0.12
-0.57
12.85
12.18
0.59
1.06
-0.00
-0.08
.
1.46
0.43
1.56
1.49
0.93
0.78
0.11
13.21
-0.01
12.97
0.22
0.27
0.42
-12.22
0.02
-0.32
Std Error
0.47
0.22
0.42
0.56
0.83
1.16
2265.85
1370.08
0.26
0.28
0.13
1.66
.
0.47
0.41
0.45
0.78
0.46
0.38
0.25
3206.00
0.24
1524.60
0.58
0.29
0.24
4783.43
1.52
1.19
T-stat
1.98
-1.61
0.11
1.92
-0.14
-0.49
0.01
0.01
2.26
3.74
-0.01
-0.05
.
3.12
1.05
3.44
1.92
2.03
2.09
0.46
0.00
-0.03
0.01
0.37
0.94
1.76
-0.00
0.01
-0.27
Table B.1d
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 9
-4-
Table B.1c
--
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 8
-3-
--
Prob>|T|
0.0477
0.1064
0.9148
0.0543
0.8859
0.6222
0.9955
0.9929
0.0236
0.0002
0.9881
0.9593
.
0.0018
0.2945
0.0006
0.0547
0.0423
0.0368
0.6480
0.9967
0.9785
0.9932
0.7115
0.3465
0.0782
0.9980
0.9892
0.7891
--
--
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
0.86
-0.06
0.40
0.68
11.94
-0.50
12.46
12.70
0.18
0.72
-0.03
-0.35
.
0.65
0.91
0.92
1.83
0.63
0.41
0.68
13.68
0.49
12.45
-0.52
-0.01
0.46
-11.96
0.45
-0.89
Std Error
0.41
0.19
0.35
0.43
236.19
1.09
1089.26
837.66
0.21
0.22
0.12
1.52
.
0.35
0.42
0.37
0.76
0.37
0.32
0.21
1975.94
0.21
2802.65
0.49
0.25
0.20
4428.77
1.33
1.20
T-stat
2.12
-0.32
1.16
1.58
0.05
-0.46
0.01
0.02
0.85
3.22
-0.24
-0.23
.
1.88
2.18
2.45
2.40
1.68
1.30
3.27
0.01
2.34
0.00
-1.06
-0.05
2.27
-0.00
0.34
-0.74
Prob>|T|
0.0340
0.7485
0.2460
0.1131
0.9597
0.6468
0.9909
0.9879
0.3934
0.0013
0.8122
0.8152
.
0.0605
0.0291
0.0144
0.0163
0.0928
0.1946
0.0011
0.9945
0.0193
0.9965
0.2896
0.9583
0.0231
0.9978
0.7371
0.4588
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
1.88
0.21
-0.31
0.25
12.95
-0.84
13.40
12.54
-0.09
1.09
-0.03
-0.62
.
0.69
0.11
0.33
0.09
0.74
0.03
0.31
-1.02
0.21
14.38
0.04
0.04
0.21
0.69
-3.51
12.53
Std Error
0.42
0.17
0.25
0.33
248.91
0.80
691.26
910.04
0.21
0.21
0.10
1.27
.
0.41
0.36
0.32
0.46
0.43
0.31
0.19
1.25
0.19
1759.85
0.45
0.23
0.19
2491.86
1.21
1611.67
T-stat
4.45
1.17
-1.24
0.75
0.05
-1.05
0.02
0.01
-0.43
5.25
-0.33
-0.49
.
1.70
0.30
1.02
0.19
1.73
0.09
1.62
-0.82
1.12
0.01
0.09
0.19
1.10
0.00
-2.90
0.01
Table B.1f
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 11
-6-
Table B.1e
--
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 10
-5-
--
Prob>|T|
0.0000
0.2402
0.2159
0.4562
0.9585
0.2944
0.9845
0.9890
0.6699
0.0000
0.7451
0.6260
.
0.0899
0.7673
0.3079
0.8516
0.0840
0.9269
0.1042
0.4128
0.2646
0.9935
0.9299
0.8475
0.2713
0.9998
0.0037
0.9938
--
--
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
1.03
0.54
0.18
0.28
-0.23
0.03
13.89
-0.18
0.33
0.17
-0.15
0.67
.
0.37
0.05
-0.08
0.25
0.41
0.36
0.35
12.57
-0.04
-16.67
0.08
-0.06
0.17
17.91
-2.39
-0.50
Std Error
0.31
0.12
0.18
0.20
0.44
0.60
946.96
1.15
0.14
0.14
0.08
1.00
.
0.28
0.26
0.24
0.34
0.27
0.25
0.13
1660.22
0.13
3035.10
0.29
0.15
0.14
3837.25
0.85
1.10
T-stat
3.32
4.53
0.95
1.40
-0.51
0.05
0.01
-0.15
2.29
1.24
-1.98
0.67
.
1.34
0.19
-0.34
0.74
1.52
1.41
2.66
0.01
-0.35
-0.01
0.28
-0.40
1.23
0.00
-2.79
-0.46
Prob>|T|
0.0009
0.0000
0.3429
0.1629
0.6109
0.9569
0.9883
0.8786
0.0220
0.2163
0.0472
0.5000
.
0.1799
0.8486
0.7322
0.4600
0.1276
0.1577
0.0077
0.9940
0.7292
0.9956
0.7783
0.6900
0.2204
0.9963
0.0052
0.6484
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
0.97
0.50
0.25
0.24
-0.02
0.03
-0.15
-1.01
0.22
0.09
-0.17
1.02
.
-0.30
-0.38
-0.09
-0.28
-0.14
-0.05
0.24
-1.54
0.24
17.67
0.07
-0.02
0.19
.
-4.28
-1.41
Std Error
0.28
0.11
0.17
0.18
0.43
0.49
0.92
0.98
0.13
0.12
0.07
0.87
.
0.23
0.23
0.22
0.31
0.24
0.22
0.12
1.25
0.11
3676.40
0.25
0.13
0.12
.
0.79
0.85
T-stat
3.51
4.70
1.53
1.32
-0.05
0.05
-0.17
-1.03
1.72
0.77
-2.57
1.18
.
-1.30
-1.69
-0.39
-0.93
-0.58
-0.24
2.05
-1.23
2.15
0.00
0.30
-0.17
1.55
.
-5.40
-1.67
Table B.1h
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 13
-8-
Table B.1g
--
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 12
-7-
--
Prob>|T|
0.0004
0.0000
0.1257
0.1871
0.9635
0.9577
0.8680
0.3037
0.0850
0.4387
0.0103
0.2386
.
0.1944
0.0919
0.6930
0.3525
0.5628
0.8140
0.0404
0.2189
0.0317
0.9962
0.7668
0.8668
0.1219
.
0.0000
0.0951
--
--
Variable
intercept
female
Fathers education >= 6 years
Mothers education >= 6 years
Fathers education >= 9 years
Mothers education >= 9 years
Fathers years education missing
Mothers years education missing
Father was enrolled in school
Mother was enrolled in school
Distance to Secondary School
Distance to Secondary School Squared
missing distance
indicator for state 12
indicator for state 13
indicator for state 16
indicator for state 21
indicator for state 22
indicator for state 24
indicator for state 30
missing bathroom
house has more than one room
missing number of rooms
house has running water
missing information on water
house has electricity
missing electricity
fraction of children who work in locality
missing work
Coeff
0.18
0.42
0.23
0.45
0.31
0.31
0.13
-0.80
0.15
0.34
-0.18
0.40
.
-0.07
-0.80
-0.71
-0.35
-0.60
0.04
0.38
16.71
0.25
.
0.40
0.22
0.16
.
-3.99
15.39
Std Error
0.28
0.10
0.16
0.17
0.43
0.57
0.89
0.91
0.13
0.12
0.06
0.86
.
0.24
0.23
0.22
0.31
0.23
0.22
0.11
1871.55
0.11
.
0.27
0.13
0.12
.
0.82
2354.81
T-stat
0.64
4.06
1.47
2.58
0.70
0.55
0.14
-0.89
1.14
2.72
-2.89
0.46
.
-0.28
-3.41
-3.18
-1.15
-2.57
0.19
3.34
0.01
2.25
.
1.49
1.72
1.36
.
-4.84
0.01
Estimated Coefficients from Logit*
Response Variable: D=1 if Enrolled in School, 0 if not Enrolled
Control Group Eligible Children Age 14
Table B.1i
-9-
Prob>|T|
0.5229
0.0000
0.1406
0.0099
0.4811
0.5824
0.8863
0.3752
0.2537
0.0066
0.0039
0.6471
.
0.7759
0.0007
0.0015
0.2497
0.0103
0.8505
0.0008
0.9929
0.0245
.
0.1371
0.0859
0.1752
.
0.0000
0.9948
--