united kingdom statistical profile no.18 united kingdom statistical profile no.18 january 2010 january 2010 united kingdom Statistical Profile Matt Flynn introduction to united kingdom Ireland United Kingdom France About this Statistical Profile Organizations striving to be employers-of-choice in different countries around the world need access to current information about the economic, social, political, and demographic characteristics of the countries where their employees live and work. The Country Profile Series focuses on statistics that can guide decisionmaking at the workplace: workforce highlights, economic highlights, and population highlights. This Country Profile is part of a set of resources about the United Kingdom available on the website of the Global Perspectives Institute: www.bc.edu/agingandwork. Since 1992, the United Kingdom has had a relatively long period of economic growth and stability. However, the impact of the global economy, increases in world fuel and food costs, collapse of financial institutions, and the credit crunch have led to both a rise in unemployment and fall in house prices which in turn has led to deflation. As late as Autumn 2008, the Bank of England had been reluctant to lower the base rate, fearful of a re-emergence of inflation. However, this policy was quickly reversed, and the base rate now stands at 0.5%. The cut in the base rate, along with high levels of government spending had been expected to stimulate consumer spending growth. However, the Bank of England Governor has predicted a long period of slow economic growth. In order to survive the current recession, British employers are presently cutting jobs, particularly in the dominant financial and manufacturing sectors. Despite short term pressures to reduce workforces, in the long term, employers face demographic changes which will make skilled labour more scarce. Problems of labour and skills shortages which became manifest during the period of rapid growth have persisted, particularly in the South East. Unlike many of its European counterparts, the United Kingdom has a weak youth apprenticeship and vocational training system, and labour shortages tend to be relieved by bringing “contingent” workers (e.g. the very young, working parents, and older people) into the labour market. Migration from new EU member states has also relieved labour shortages, but as the recession takes hold, migrants are returning home. That said, the United Kingdom has had more success than other European states in bringing in underrepresented groups such as older workers into the labour market. Sponsored by: agework@bc.edu 1 labor force highlights àà 50% of the total the United Kingdom population is in the labour force.1 àà Approximately 83% of the workforce is economically active. Of the 17% of the workforce that is inactive (defined as not in work, self-employment or ILO defined unemployed), about a third of these would like to work if given the opportunity.1 àà The current (August 2009) unemployment rate is 7.8%. Long-term unemployment has steadily fallen since the 1990s but has been creeping back since 2004.1 àà The United Kingdom has one of the highest rates of part-time work in Europe. According to the Labour Force Survey, 8% of those who work part-time have no other choice for work.1 àà The self-employment rate is 12.9%.1 Figure 1. Employed as Percentage of Total Population - Selected GNI Countries, 2007 42.0 Italy Figure 1 compares the rate of employment as a percent of the total population in the United Kingdom with other countries with high gross national incomes. The employment rates of the countries included in Figure 1 range from 42% in Italy to 54.7% in Canada 44.7 France United Kingdom 50.4 Germany 50.7 52.2 Japan 54.7 Canada 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Source: OECD. (2009a)2 Figure 2. Employment Rates, Ages 15-64 by Gender: United Kingdom and comparable OECD nations, 2007 Male 100% Female 80% 68.6 77.8 77.2 74.7 70.7 78.4 81.7 80.0 73.2 70.1 63.2 78.4 78.0 79.6 65.9 64.4 66.3 66.1 68.1 59.5 59.4 60% 46.6 40% 20% 0% France Italy Germany Canada United States Sweden Austria United Australia Netherlands Japan Kingdom Source: OECD. (2009b)3 2 http://www.bc.edu/agingandwork The employment rates among persons aged 15-64 years are presented in Figure 2. 78.4% of men and 66.3% of women in this age group are employed in the United Kingdom. united kingdom statistical profile no.18 january 2010 The employment rates among persons aged 15-64 years are presented in Figure 2. 78.4% of men and 66.3% of women in this age group are employed in the United Kingdom. Figure 3. Employment Rates in the United Kingdom, within age group, 2008 100% 80.7 80% 82.1 82.0 66.5 58.2 60% 43.1 40% 20% 0% 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 Source: OECD. (2009b)3 Figure 4. Employment Rates in the United Kingdom Compared to Selected Regional Countries, within age group, 2007 100% Most people who are currently working are between 25 and 54 years old, however, there are clear differences between the oldest and youngest age groups. Most people aged 55 to 64 years are working in Sweden (70.1%), the fewest in Italy (33.8%). Most people aged 15 to 24 years are working in the United Kingdom (55.9%), the fewest in Italy (24.7%). Italy France Germany Sweden Austria United Kingdom 80% 60% 40% 20% 15-24 25-54 55-64 Source: OECD. (2009b)3 agework@bc.edu 3 Figure 5a.Current & Projected Economically Active Population Estimates and Projections in the United Kingdom, within age group, 2007 and 2020 100% 84.2 84.9 84.2 85.3 80% 60% 74.9 56.1 84.6 85.2 85.6 85.7 85.7 86.9 82.6 2007 2020 86.2 78.2 73.7 72.8 53.1 44.7 48.2 40% 20% 6.6 0% 8.0 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+ Source:ILO. (2009)4 Figure 5b. Current & projected % of Total Population Economically Active in the United Kingdom, 2007 and 2020 32.0 3.2 2007 Male Under 20 21.5 20-44 2.8 25.7 2020 Male 2.5 30.2 2020 Female 2.3 2007 Female 0 17.1 23.3 24.2 10 45+ 19.4 20 30 40 50 60 Source:ILO. (2009)4 Figure 6. Long term unemployed as % of workforce, 2008 3.5 3.0 Men Women 2.5 2.0 1.5 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 0.5 2008 1.0 Source:ILO. (2009)4 4 http://www.bc.edu/agingandwork Long term unemployment has steadily fallen as the 19801990’s industrial transition from manufacturing to service related industries has matured. High levels of long-term unemployment amongst blue collar male workers have particularly fallen over the long term. However, the cooling of the UK economy of late has resulted in a rise in both short and long term unemployment. united kingdom statistical profile no.18 january 2010 The UK has a higher rate of parttime working than most other EU member states, outpacing the Scandinavian countries, but still behind Germany and the Netherlands. In the UK, employees with children aged eight or younger (or disabled children 18 or younger) or with eldercare responsibilities have the right to request part-time or flexible work arrangements, with the employer having a right to refuse for business related reasons. Figure 7. Part-time working in the UK and across Europe, 2007 80% 75.0 Male Female 70% 60% 50% 40% 45.8 44.1 42.3 40.0 36.2 31.2 30.2 30% 23.6 20% 13.5 12.5 10% 11.8 7.7 6.6 5.7 Poland France 13.9 10.9 9.4 1.3 2.1 0% Bulgaria EU27 Denmark Sweden United Norway Germany Netherlands Kingdom Source:Eurostat. (2008)5 Figure 8. Gender pay gap in the UK and across Europe, 2007 Gender pay gap is defined as the difference between average gross hourly earnings of male paid employees and of female paid employees as a percentage of average gross hourly earnings of male paid employees Despite equal pay laws, the gender pay gap in the UK remains one of the highest in Europe. 24 25% 21 20% 10% 16 15 15% 9 22 11 5% 0% Ireland France EU27 Sweden United Germany Cyprus Kingdom Source:Eurostat. (2008)7 agework@bc.edu 5 economic highlights àà Gross Domestic Product per capita in the United Kingdom is $48,000. The UK GDP growth has outpaced Western Europe’s since the 1990’s. However, the recession has hit Britain particularly hard.3 àà GDP in the second quarter of 2009 shrank by 0.7%.2 Figure 9. GDP Growth 120 100 United Kingdom EU15 G7 Countries 60 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 q1 2007 q2 2007 q3 2007 q4 2008 q1 2008 q2 2008 q3 2008 q4 2009 q1 80 Source: OECD. (2009b)3 Figure 10.Total External Debt as Percentage of GDP, selected Regional Countries, 1992-2008 120% United Kingdom France Italy Germany 100% 80% 60% 40% 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 20% Source: OECD. (2009a)2 Austria 6 http://www.bc.edu/agingandwork The UK has seen higher levels of growth in GDP and productivity than most of Western Europe, which has in turn led to low levels of unemployment for most of the 21st century (although now rising). This has led to increases in labour market participation of under-represented groups such as older workers. More recently, the UK has been hit harder by the recession than its EU and G7 counterparts, which may lead to employers shedding their contingent workforces. united kingdom statistical profile no.18 Figure 11a.Labour productivity per hour labour 115 january 2010 105 United Kingdom EU15 G7 Countries Japan 95 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 85 1996 United States 1995 Labour productivity in the UK has historically been low compared to the US and Japan, in large part due to low skill levels and limited capital investment made by employers. Source: OECD. (2009b)3 Figure 11b. Unit labour cost Unit labour costs (ULC) measure the average cost of labour per unit of output and are calculated as the ratio of total labour costs to real output, indexed to 2000=100. Despite the introduction of the Minimum Wage in 2000 and new employment law concerning annual leave, flexible working, anti-discrimination and working hours, labour unit costs have increased at a slow pace similar to that of the USA. Japan Germany Austria G7 Sweden Korea Finland Euro area OECD - Total Belgium France Netherlands United States European Union United Kingdom Canada Luxembourg OECD - Europe Denmark Spain Slovak Republic Australia Czech Republic Italy Cyprus Slovenia New Zealand Norway Ireland Lithuania Hungary Bulgaria Estonia Latvia Romania 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Source: OECD. (2009b)3 agework@bc.edu 7 Figure 11c.Job vacancies Luxembourg Spain Slovenia Job vacancies is defined as the number of job vacancies / (number of occupied posts + number of job vacancies) Bulgaria Slovakia Hungary Greece Sweden Latvia Poland Malta Romania Finland EU27 EU15 Lithuania United Kingdom Estonia Czech Republic Germany Cyprus 0 3 2 1 4 5 6 Source:Eurostat. (2008)7 Figure 11d. Hard to fill vacancies Applicants lacking required skills 45 Applicants lacking required attitude 30 25 Lack of work experience 16 Lack of qualifications 37 Too little interest in the job 36 Low number of applicants Competition from other employers 18 21 Poor terms and conditions 15 Shift-work 9 Remote location 8 Poor career progression Seasonal work 0% 3 10% 20% 30% 40% Source:IES10 8 http://www.bc.edu/agingandwork 50% Because of economic growth and long periods of low unemployment, employers have faced high labour and skills shortages, especially in London and the South East. This has led to government and employer organisations developing programmes for encouraging labour market participation of under-represented groups: working parents, older workers, people with disabilities, for example. According to a large survey of employers, there are three reasons why vacancies are difficult to fill: either the job specifications are unattractive; the labour pool is too small; or recruitment drives are not attracting the people with the right skills. united kingdom statistical profile no.18 january 2010 demographic highlights àà The United Kingdom population currently stands at 61.4 million.11 àà The United Kingdom is 92% White European.12 àà Total fertility rate indicates the number of children to be born to a woman during her reproductive span of her life. The total fertility rate for women in the United Kingdom was 1.41 in 2009.13 àà In 2009, 16.2% of the United Kingdom’s population was age 65 or older, compared to 16.4% in France and 20.3% in Germany.13 Figure 12. Median Age, by Gender, Regional Comparisons, 2009 Germany 42.6 41.1 Male 41.8 39.6 39.1 France Italy Netherlands United Kingdom 45.2 43.2 40.9 44.8 41.2 41.3 Female 0 Austria 38.0 10 20 30 40 50 Source: CIA13 Figure 13. Life Expectancy at Birth, Regional Comparisons, 2009 Male Austria France Italy Netherlands United Kingdom 82.4 82.6 84.3 83.3 82.1 81.6 Female 0 Germany 76.3 76.6 77.8 77.3 76.8 76.5 20 40 60 80 100 Source: CIA13 agework@bc.edu 9 àà In the United Kingdom, 14.1% of the male population and 18.2% of the female population is 65 or older.14 In comparison, • In Germany, 18.9% of the male population and 23.1% of the female population is 65 or older. • In France, 13.9% of the male population and 18.7% of the female population is 65 or older. Figure 14a. Population Distribution of United Kingdom, 2009 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Male 10 8 6 4 2 0 Female 0 2 4 6 8 10 8 10 % of Population Source: U. S. Census Bureau14 Figure 14b. Population Distribution of Germany, 2009 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Male 10 8 6 4 2 0 Female 0 2 4 6 % of Population Source: U. S. Census Bureau14 10 http://www.bc.edu/agingandwork Figure 14c. Population Distribution of France, 2009 100+ 95-99 90-94 85-89 80+ 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 Male january 2010 10 8 6 4 2 0 Female 0 2 4 6 8 10 % of Population Source: U. S. Census Bureau14 Figure 15. Country of birth profile of UK workforce 35,000 30,000 EU8 EU14 25,000 N0n UK UK 20,000 15,000 10,000 2008 2007 2006 2005 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 0 1997 5,000 2004 united kingdom statistical profile no.18 Note: EU14 defined as Ireland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Belgium, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Austria, Spain, Portugal, Greece. EU8 defined as Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Hungary, Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia Source: UK Labour Force Survey 20081 agework@bc.edu 11 references 1 UK Labour Force Survey (2008). Retrieved November 3, 2009, from: http://nesstar.esds.ac.uk/webview/index.jsp?v=2&mode=documentation&submode=abstract&study=http%3A%2F%2Fnesstar.esds.ac.uk%3A80 %2Fobj%2FfStudy%2F6199&top=yes 2 OECD. (2009a). Country statistical profiles. Retrieved November 3, 2009 from : http://www.oecd.org/statsport al/0,3352,en_2825_293564_1_1_1_1_1,00.html 3 OECD. (2009b). Stat. Extracts. Retrieved November 20, 2009, from: http://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx 4 International Labour Office. (2009). LABORSTA internet. Retrieved November 3, 2009, from: http://laborsta. ilo.org/ 5 EUROSTAT. (2008). Retrieved November 3, 2009, from: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/extraction/evalight/ EVAlight.jsp?A=1&language=en&root=/theme3/une/une_ltu_a 6 EUROSTAT. (2008). Retrieved November 3, 2009, from: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=t able&init=1&language=en&pcode=tps00159&plugin=1 7 EUROSTAT. (2008). Retrieved November 3, 2009, from: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=t able&init=1&language=en&pcode=tsdsc340&plugin=0 8 Oxford Economics. (2008). Retrieved August 25, 2009, from: http://www.oxfordeconomics.com/Free/pdfs/ oxfordeconomicspressreleasejan08.pdf 9 Eurostat. (2007). Retrieved November 3, 2009, from: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/ product_details/metadata?p_product_code=JVS_A_ESMS 10 Institute for Employment Research (2003). National employers’ skills survey. Coventry: DfES. 11 ONS. (2009). Retrieved December 3, 2009, from: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/pdfdir/popnr0809.pdf 12 ONS. (2009). Regreived December 3, 2009, from: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/focuson/ethnicity/ 13 Central Intelligence Agency. (2009). The CIA world factbook. Retrieved September 20, 2009, from: https:// www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook 14 US Census Bureau. (2009). International data base. Retrieved December 2, 2009, from: http://www.census. gov/ipc/www/idb/ 12 http://www.bc.edu/agingandwork united kingdom statistical profile no.18 january 2010 Country Context Team Leaders Marcie Pitt-Catsouphes, Director, Sloan Center on Aging and Work Tay K. McNamara, Director of Research, Sloan Center on Aging and Work about the institute Established in 2007 by the Sloan Center on Aging & Work at Boston College, the Global Perspectives Institute is an international collaboration of scholars and employers committed to the expansion of the quality of employment available to the 21st century multi-generational workforce in countries around the world. The Global Perspectives Institute focuses on innovative and promising practices that might be adopted by employers and policy-makers. The Institute’s research, publications, and international forums contribute to: àà a deeper understanding of the employment experiences and career aspirations of employees of different ages who work in countries around the world; àà informed decision making by employers who want to be employers-of-choice in different countries; and àà innovative thinking about private-public partnerships that promote sustainable, highquality employment. Jungui Lee, Postdoctoral researcher, Sloan Center on Aging and Work The Sloan Center on Aging & Work at Boston College promotes quality of employment as an imperative for the 21st century multi-generational workforce. We integrate evidence from research with insights from workplace experiences to inform innovative organizational decision making. Collaborating with business leaders and scholars in a multi-disciplinary dialogue, the Center develops the next generation of knowledge and talent management. The Sloan Center on Aging & Work is grateful for the continued support of the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation. Matt Flynn is a senior lecturer at Middlesex University. His research focus is on workplace age diversity. He has carried out work for the European Union and UK government on the subject. He has written the age diversity good practice guide for the UK Trades Union Congress and Chartered Institute for Personnel and Development, and is currently conducting a study for the British Council comparing the experiences of older workers in the UK and Japan. His work can be found at www.agediversity.org agework@bc.edu 13 For additional Sloan Center publications, visit our website at www.bc.edu/agingandwork Global Statistical Profile 01 - Japan Global Statistical Profile 02 - United States Global Statistical Profile 03 - Pakistan Global Statistical Profile 04 - South Korea Global Statistical Profile 05 - China Global Statistical Profile 06 - Greece Global Statistical Profile 07 - Armenia Global Statistical Profile 08 - Italy Global Statistical Profile 09 - Singapore 14 http://www.bc.edu/agingandwork Global Statistical Profile 10 - Denmark Global Statistical Profile 11 - South Africa Global Statistical Profile 12 - India Global Statistical Profile 13 - Kenya Global Statistical Profile 14 - Australia Global Statistical Profile 15 - Germany Global Statistical Profile 16 - France Global Statistical Profile 17 - Sweden