Hydrologic Characterization and Modeling of a Montane Peatland, Lake Tahoe Basin, California By Wes Christensen B.S. (University of Utah) 1997 M.S. (University of Utah) 2002 DISSERTATION Submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY in Geology in the OFFICE OF GRADUATE STUDIES of the UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA DAVIS Approved: ________________________________________ Graham Fogg, Chair ________________________________________ James McClain ________________________________________ Tim Ginn Committee in Charge 2013 i ABSTRACT Perennial wetlands in montane environments are often supported at least in part by groundwater input. Groundwater is especially important for wetlands in areas with a snow melt dominated precipitation regime and high summer evapotranspiration rates. Understanding of the groundwater hydrology that supports wetlands in montane environments is often complicated by steep topography, inadequate characterization of the subsurface material, and sparse data. This study examines the groundwater system supporting Grass Lake, the largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada Mountains, located south of Lake Tahoe, California. Field measurements are used to quantify important aspects of the hydrologic system supporting Grass Lake. Late-season groundwater flows into the peatland are estimated using surface water measurements and water budget. Groundwater contributions are approximately 2 to 10 times higher than surface water contributions after July, depending on the water year. Measurements of hydraulic gradients reveal areas of groundwater recharge and discharge. In general, there is more groundwater discharge along the southern portion of the peatland. Measurements of groundwater level relative to the peat surface indicate areas that may be more susceptible to drying and subsequent decomposition of peat. Indirect inversion of numerical models is used to estimate the value of important parameters governing groundwater flow in the peatland. Thermal and hydrologic parameters of the peat are estimated using piezometer scale (~1m) models of heat transport. Atmospheric heat exchange and inclusion of the thermal properties of a metal piezometer improve the fit between the model and the field data. Four sets of random parameters are used to generate synthetic data. The parameter estimation process is tested by attempting to recover the original parameters used to generate the data. ii Including the entropy of the temperature time series as an observation improves the recovery of the original parameter values. A watershed scale hydrogeologic model is used to evaluate the potential response of the peatland to predicted changes in climate. Watershed geology was mapped at a scale of 1:5000 and used to define hydrogeologic units in the model. Field data from 2010 and 2011 were used to calibrate the hydraulic conductivity of the various geologic units in the model. Parameter estimates from the calibration process are consistent between years for all but the most sensitive parameters. Consideration of unsaturated properties of the subsurface material is shown to improve the fit between the measured and simulated heads in the peatland. The predicted change from a snow dominated to rain dominated precipitation regime results in a significant decrease in simulated late-season pressure head and saturation over approximately half of the peatland. The decrease in saturation is most significant on the east and west ends of the peatland and around the edges. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to thank my advisor Graham Fogg for his confidence in my abilities, the freedom to pursue this project, and his insightful guidance along the way. I would like to thank my committee members Tim Ginn for teaching me the concepts behind indirect inversion and to James McClain for his insightful comments on my research. I would like to thank Michael Oskin for showing me the potential of lidar in geologic mapping and Jeff Mount for reminding of the broader context of research. I am grateful for the guidance and support provided by Magali Billen whose encouragement helped me see this project through to completion. I am grateful for all the knowledge and instruction I received at UC Davis. I would like to thank my friends, relatives, and colleagues who helped conduct field work over the years: Shana Gross, Sherry Devenberg, Ida Fischer, Caleb Kesling, Sarah Howell, and David Immeker. A special thanks to Sue Norman and Mike Hamann at the United States Forest Service for use of field equipment. I am forever grateful to my field companion, William P. Schrumplebutt, who always remained by my side at all times in the field. The loving support and encouragement of Shana Gross has helped me overcome this challenge and many more. I thank my mother, Sherry Devenberg, for her unwavering support, encouragement, and love. I thank my father, Hal Christensen, for exposing me to the mountains and water at an early age. I would also like to thank Bill Sluis for his help in constructing the field equipment, Rob McLaren for his endless patience in answering my questions regarding Grid Builder and HYDROGEOSPHERE, Mary Hill and Eileen Poeter for their help with UCODE, and Tamir Kamai for his help with thermal modeling in COMSOL. I would also like to thank all the great people in Geology and Land Air and Water who engaged in insightful discussions as well as good times. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract ......................................................................................................................... ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .............................................................................................. iv LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................ viii LIST OF FIGURES......................................................................................................... ix Chapter 1: Hydrogeologic Setting of the Grass Lake Research Natural Area .......... 1 Abstract ....................................................................................................................... 1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 2 Site Description ........................................................................................................... 5 Geology.................................................................................................................... 6 Surface Hydrology.................................................................................................... 9 Groundwater Hydrology ......................................................................................... 13 Field and Laboratory Methods ................................................................................... 15 Geology and Geomorphology................................................................................. 15 Surface Hydrology Measurements ......................................................................... 18 Groundwater and Subsurface Measurements ........................................................ 26 Specific Conductivity .............................................................................................. 29 Water budget ......................................................................................................... 30 Peat water retention experiment............................................................................. 31 Results ...................................................................................................................... 35 Surface Hydrology.................................................................................................. 35 Water budget ......................................................................................................... 39 Specific conductivity – Surface Water .................................................................... 41 Groundwater Hydrology ......................................................................................... 46 Specific conductivity – Ground Water ..................................................................... 54 Geology Results ..................................................................................................... 57 v Peat Water Retention ............................................................................................. 58 Discussion ................................................................................................................. 60 References ................................................................................................................ 63 Chapter 2: Piezometer Scale Thermal Modeling and Parameter Estimations: Implications of Model Structure and Thermal Boundary Conditions ...................... 65 Abstract ..................................................................................................................... 65 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 66 Background ............................................................................................................ 68 Motivation............................................................................................................... 69 Methods ..................................................................................................................... 70 Approach................................................................................................................ 70 Data Collection ....................................................................................................... 72 Analytical Model ..................................................................................................... 74 Numerical Model .................................................................................................... 75 Comparison of Analytical and Numerical Models.................................................... 78 Natural Convection of Piezometer Fluids................................................................ 79 Initial Conditions ..................................................................................................... 81 Atmospheric Heat Exchange .................................................................................. 82 Implementation of Atmospheric Heat Exchange ..................................................... 85 Entropy .................................................................................................................. 85 Observation Weights .............................................................................................. 87 Model Sensitivity .................................................................................................... 88 Parameter Estimation Approach ............................................................................. 89 Results ...................................................................................................................... 91 Comparison of Analytical and Numerical Models.................................................... 91 Comparison of Air Temperature and Atmospheric Heat Exchange ......................... 93 Sensitivity Analysis ................................................................................................. 97 vi Parameter Estimation of Synthetic Data ............................................................... 100 Parameter Estimation of Field Data ...................................................................... 102 Discussion ............................................................................................................... 105 References .............................................................................................................. 107 Chapter 3: Watershed Scale Modeling of the Grass Lake Research Natural Area112 Abstract ................................................................................................................... 112 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 114 Background ............................................................................................................. 115 Methods ................................................................................................................... 116 Grid Construction ................................................................................................. 117 Hydraulic Conductivity .......................................................................................... 124 Anisotropy ............................................................................................................ 127 Specific Storage ................................................................................................... 127 Unsaturated Parameters ...................................................................................... 128 Initial conditions and duration ............................................................................... 130 Boundary Conditions ............................................................................................ 131 Parameter Estimation ........................................................................................... 133 Modeling Results ..................................................................................................... 134 Parameter Estimates ............................................................................................ 134 Simulation Results ............................................................................................... 136 Response to Predicted Precipitation Changes ..................................................... 141 Discussion ............................................................................................................... 145 References .............................................................................................................. 147 vii LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1: Estimates of seasonal surface water yield (volume of water per contributing area) and percent of annual precipitation for GLRNA. ........................ 36 Table 1.2: Average seasonal and peak values for stream flow in the GLRNA watershed. ................................................................................................................... 37 Table 1.3: Seasonal average flow (m3) of water into and out of Grass Lake for the 2010 and 2011 field seasons. ..................................................................................... 40 Table 1.4: Water budget calculations for available stream flow measurements in 2010 and 2011. ............................................................................................................. 42 Table 1.5: Statistics for piezometers showing the difference between piezometers located along the north and south sides of Grass Lake........................................... 54 Table 1.6: Results of bailer tests conducted in each piezometer. ........................... 55 Table 1.7: Values of specific conductivity of groundwater recorded in Grass Lake. All units are in µS cm-1. ............................................................................................... 55 Table 1.8: Areas of geologic units mapped in the GLRNA. ...................................... 58 Table 1.9: Physical properties and water retention characteristics of four peat samples collected from the Grass Lake Research Natural Area, South Lake Tahoe, CA. ................................................................................................................................ 60 Table 2.1: Parameters used in comparison between numerical and analytical models. ........................................................................................................................ 78 Table 2.2: Parameter values influencing heat flow in numerical simulations involving atmospheric heat exchange. ...................................................................... 88 Table 2.3: Parameter values used in the sensitivity analysis and generation of synthetic data used in parameter estimation. ........................................................... 89 Table 2.4: Changes in modeled temperatures resulting from parameter perturbations used in the sensitivity analysis. ......................................................... 95 Table 2.5: Parameter estimation (PE) results for synthetic data sets................... 103 Table 3.1: Storage parameter values used in all simulations and unsaturated parameter values used in the final assessment of the Grass Lake watershed to changes in precipitation. .......................................................................................... 130 Table 3.2: Hydraulic conductivities of geologic material used in the watershed scale model of GLRNA. ............................................................................................. 138 Table 3.3: Differences between measured and simulated heads for select piezometers in the “fully saturated” and unsaturated models. ............................. 139 viii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1: Geologic map of the Grass Lake Watershed showing the location of major hydrologic features and piezometers installed for this study. ........................ 4 Figure 1.2: A reach of Freel Meadows Creek in the upper watershed, where the fine material has been eroded, leaving behind the oxide coated boulders (corestones)................................................................................................................... 8 Figure 1.3: A reach of Freel Meadows Creek in the upper watershed (north side). ...................................................................................................................................... 11 Figure 1.4: Groundwater spring and mound, east of Waterhouse Creek, near piezometer S5. ............................................................................................................. 14 Figure 1.5: Rating curve for Grass Lake Creek (outlet) for a) the 2010 field season with stage recorded by a pressure transducer and b) 2011 field seasons with stage recorded at the culvert. ............................................................................................... 22 Figure 1.6: Rating curve for First Creek for a) the 2010 field season with stage recorded by a pressure transducer and b) 2011 field seasons with stage recorded at the culvert. ............................................................................................................... 23 Figure 1.7: Rating curve for West Freel Meadows Creek for 2010 with stage recorded by a pressure transducer. .......................................................................... 24 Figure 1.8: Rating curve for Freel Meadows Creek for 2010 with stage recorded by a pressure transducer. ................................................................................................ 24 Figure 1.9: Rating curve for Waterhouse Creek for 2010 with stage recorded by a pressure transducer.................................................................................................... 25 Figure 1.10: 2010 daily average streamflow based on rating relationships for all streams into and out of Grass Lake proper............................................................... 37 Figure 1.11: 2011 manual stream flow measurements into and out of Grass Lake proper........................................................................................................................... 39 Figure 1.12: 2010 (a) and 2011 (b) specific conductivity values recorded for streams in the Grass Lake Watershed. ...................................................................... 44 Figure 1.13: Specific conductivity measurements of surface water near piezometers for 2010 (a) and 2011 (b). ....................................................................... 45 Figure 1.14: Groundwater head contours in the Grass Lake peatland. Groundwater levels measured in Fall 2010. Contours interval is 1m. .................... 47 Figure 1.15: Groundwater head contours in the Grass Lake peatland. Groundwater levels measured in Spring 2011. Contours interval is 1m. ............... 48 Figure 1.16: Emergence of groundwater associated with preferential pathways provided by rodent activity. ........................................................................................ 49 Figure 1.17: Vertical hydraulic gradients calculated from 2010 field data (a) and 2011 field data (b) for the north (N) and south (S) sides of Grass Lake. ................. 53 Figure 1.18: Specific conductivity measurements of groundwater in piezometers for 2010 (a) and 2011 (b). ............................................................................................ 56 Figure 2.1: Six day temperature record for air, saturated peat 20 cm from the piezometer (12 cm bgs), and water within the piezometer (13 cm bgs). ................. 70 ix Figure 2.2: Geometry and mesh for the numerical models. ..................................... 77 Figure 2.3: Simulation results with sand as the substrate. ...................................... 92 Figure 2.4: Simulation results with peat as the substrate. ....................................... 93 Figure 2.5: Comparison between recorded air temperature and surface water temperature resulting from considerations of atmospheric heat exchange. .......... 94 Figure 2.6: Components of the energy balance equation used to define atmospheric heat exchange in the surface water layer. ........................................... 97 Figure 2.7: Change in temperature for parameter perturbations from parameter values estimated from the literature ........................................................................ 100 Figure 2.8: Temperature time series for parameter set 1. ...................................... 104 Figure 2.9: Comparison of field observations from piezometer S4, starting parameter values, and estimated parameter values. .............................................. 105 Figure ......................................................................................................................... 120 Figure 3.2: Cross section near Waterhouse Creek (Figure 3.1, A-A’) showing hydrogeologic units with depth and vertical discretization. .................................. 121 Figure 3.4: Contour map showing depth to bedrock interpolated from 10 m below the upper contact of the Tahoe age lateral moraines and 70 m below the surface along a swath of points underlying the long axis of Grass Lake ........................... 123 Figure 3.5: Piecewise linear interpolated functions describing water retention and relative permeability used in variably saturated watershed scale models of GLRNA. ...................................................................................................................... 133 Figure 3.7: Measured and simulated heads for piezometers located in Grass Lake in 2011. ....................................................................................................................... 141 Figure 3.8: Pressure head contours at the end of the water year (October) for saturated (a and b) and unsaturated (c and d) simulations using parameter and recharge estimates from 2010 (a and c) and 2011 (b and d)................................... 143 Figure 3.9: Simulated pressure head in Grass Lake resulting from a rain dominated precipitation regime. Simulations are shown at the end of the wet season (a and b) and the end of the water year (c and d). ..................................... 144 x CHAPTER 1: HYDROGEOLOGIC SETTING OF THE GRASS LAKE RESEARCH NATURAL AREA ABSTRACT Persistently wet conditions are essential to prevent the decomposition of organic material that forms peatlands. Predicted changes in climate for the Sierra Nevada suggest a trend towards more winter precipitation falling as rain rather than snow. High summer evapotranspiration (ET) rates and low summer precipitation suggest this could lead to a reduction in late-season water availability and the subsequent degradation of peatlands. This paper uses measurements of groundwater levels, stream flow, and specific conductivity to quantify aspects of the hydrologic system that supports Grass Lake, the largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada. Due to large errors associated with stream flow measurements in these steep rocky streams, groundwater contributions could not be determined using a seasonally based water budget. However, water budgets calculated on a daily basis show that groundwater discharge is a significant component of the water balance in the fall. Analysis shows that late-season ET needs are approximately balanced by groundwater inflow for near average water years (2010). During above average water years (2011) groundwater discharge to the peatland is the dominant component of the water budget and persists into October or later. Laboratory experiments were performed to determine the water retention characteristics of peat samples. Bailer tests were performed to determine the hydraulic conductivity of the underlying sediment. 1 INTRODUCTION The largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada is Grass Lake (96 ha), located on Luther Pass, south of Lake Tahoe, California (Figure 1.1). The Forest Service designated Grass Lake and the surrounding watershed as a Research Natural Area (GLRNA) in 1987. This chapter includes field measurements, characterization, and hydrogeologic analysis of the GLNRA. Peatlands are wetlands with thick organic soils that have formed in place. The formation of these organic soils requires perennial saturation to prevent decomposition of the organic material. Peatlands provide unique habitats, covering 3% of the Earth’s surface and making up only 0.1% of the mountain landscape (Clymo, 2004; Cooper & Wolf, 2006b). In many areas of the Sierra Nevada, peatlands are the only source of perennial moisture and support ecosystems with high biodiversity. High ET rates and low summer precipitation in the Sierra Nevada Mountains suggest that most, if not all, montane peatlands in the Sierra Nevada are sustained by substantial groundwater input. Peatlands that are sustained by groundwater input are termed “fens” while peatlands sustained by surface water and direct precipitation are termed “bogs” (Benedict & Major, 1982; Cooper & Wolf, 2006b). The largest threat to peatlands is aerobic decomposition of organic material due to desaturation and exposure to oxygen. Current climate trends and predictions suggest warmer winter temperatures, resulting in a more rain-dominated precipitation regime and/or earlier snow melt (Cayan, Maurer, Dettinger, Tyree, & Hayhoe, 2008). Characterizing the hydrogeology of montane peatlands is essential in order to understand how these systems might respond to changes in the precipitation regime. In particular, a decrease in late-season groundwater flow due to earlier snow melt may result in increased decomposition of the peat. 2 The water budget and physical properties of hydrogeologic systems that support montane peatlands are not well understood. Models of montane wetlands generally assume the surrounding terrain is comprised of low permeability bedrock and designate the wetland-hillslope interface as a no-flow boundary. In some cases models include a constant subsurface flux representing groundwater input based on observed changes in meadow storage during baseflow (e.g. Loheide, 2008) or lateral inputs based on observations such as adjacent irrigation (e.g. Hammersmark, Rains, & Mount, 2008). However, the groundwater component of montane wetland systems remains poorly understood and quantified. The response of groundwater systems to changes in the precipitation regime is determined by the topography, physical characteristics of the subsurface materials (e.g., hydraulic conductivity, anisotropy, storage, porosity, and spatial distribution) and the resulting distribution of hydraulic potential. Harman and Sivapalan (2009) show that hillslope heterogeneity can significantly affect the groundwater storage-discharge relationship, and hence the availability of late season groundwater at the base of the hillslope. Near surface heterogeneity has been shown to significantly influence the storage capacity and location of recharge areas in aquifers formed by glacial moraine deposits (Beckers & Frind, 2000). As part of this research, field measurements were made approximately biweekly during the 2010 and 2011 field seasons (approximately May to October). Measurements of stream flow, temperature, and specific conductivity (SC) were made for four perennial streams entering Grass Lake and the one outlet stream. Measurements of vertical hydraulic gradient, temperature, and SC were made for 32 piezometers located along the margins of Grass Lake. Bailer tests were performed in 22 of the 32 piezometers to estimate the hydraulic conductivity of the sediments underlying the peat. Hanging water column experiments were conducted to define the water retention characteristics of the 3 peat. Newly acquired lidar data was used to help develop detailed geologic maps of the GLRNA, which defines the large scale heterogeneity of the system (on the order of 100’s of meters, Figure 1.1). These ese measurements and observations are used in later chapters to develop hydrologic models used to constrain physical parameters that control the storage and flow groundwater in the GLRNA watershed. Figure 1.1:: Geologic map of the Grass Lake Watershed showing the location of major hydrologic features and piezometers installed for this study. Geologic units were identified using imagery from lidar data and field mapping. Piezometers along the northern edge are denoted with the prefix N, while those along ng the south side are denoted with the prefix S.. Contour interval is 50 meters. 4 SITE DESCRIPTION Grass Lake is located at Luther Pass on highway 89 just south of South Lake Tahoe, California (UTM: 10N 764000 4298000). Geologic mapping conducted as part of this study revealed that Luther Pass was formed in part by a spur from the glacier that originated near Carson Pass. The glacier pushed westward from Hope Valley into the Lake Tahoe Basin approximately 145 ka, leaving behind moraine material that forms the outlet and sides of Grass Lake. Subsequent glaciation during the Tioga glacial period (19 ka) left behind glacial deposits that form the east end of the Grass Lake valley. Watershed elevations range from 2345 meters above sea level (7694 ft) in the peatland to 2922 meters (9587 ft) along an unnamed ridge north of Freel Meadows (Figure 1.1). The total watershed area is approximately 998 ha (2466 acres). The Grass Lake peatland has been described as transitional between a sphagnum bog and a fen (Burke, 1987). Three distinct peat bodies occur within the GLRNA and cover approximately 101 ha (250 acres). The largest peat body is Grass Lake with an area of approximately 96 ha (237 acres). The second largest is Freel Meadows, located northeast of Grass Lake at an elevation of 2815 meter (9236 ft). Freel Meadows covers approximately 4 ha (10 acres). The smallest documented peat body in the GLRNA is located at the headwaters of First Creek, at an elevation of 2740 meters and covers approximately 1.4 ha (3.4 acres). Precipitation estimates for 2010 and 2011 were acquired from the PRISM Climate Group (2013) website. The annual precipitation at GLRNA for the 2010 water year (October 1, 2009 to September 30, 2010) was 1.043 meters (41.05 inches). The annual precipitation for the 2011 water year was 1.660 meters (65.34 inches). These values represent 99.5% and 158.4% of the 1900 to 2011 estimated average annual precipitation (1.047 meters, 41.24 inches). Approximately 90% (0.938 meters, 36.91 inches) of the 2010 precipitation fell between October 1, 2009 and May 1, 2010, and 5 approximately 88% (1.457 meters, 57.36 inches) of the 2011 precipitation fell between October 1, 2010 and May 1, 2011, presumably as snow. Geology The bedrock in GLRNA is dominated by Cretaceous granodiorite (Figure 1.1). According to Armin et al. (1983), the Bryan Meadows granodiorite makes up most of the northern portion of the watershed and a portion of the hillslopes in the southeast corner of the GLRNA. The Echo Lake granodiorite is exposed along the south side of the GLRNA and forms both Waterhouse Peak and Powderhouse Peak. Much of the contact between these two units is obscured by thin glacial deposits that were not mapped by earlier workers, but are apparent with the new lidar dataset. The similarity between the older Bryan Meadows granodiorite and the younger Echo Lake granodiorite, combined with the veneer of glacial and colluvial material, makes the location of the contact difficult to identify. The hydraulic properties of the Bryan Meadows and Echo Lake granodiorites are assumed to be fairly similar for the purposes of this study and the location of the contact was inferred from the existing geologic map. Tertiary volcanic deposits unconformably overlie the Cretaceous granodiorite and are exposed over a limited area in the northern portion of GLRNA near Freel Meadows. The GLRNA experienced at least two major periods of glaciation. The penultimate glacial retreat (Tahoe age) occurred approximately 145 ka (Rood, Burbank, & Finkel, 2011). A portion of the Tahoe age glacier that originated from the Carson Pass area and occupied Hope Valley pushed west over what is now Luther Pass and Grass Lake and into the Lake Tahoe Basin. Tahoe age glacial deposits consist of a prominent recessional moraine at the west end of Grass Lake and poorly preserved lateral moraines along the north and south margins of the lake. The Last Glacial Maximum retreat (Tioga age) occurred approximately 19 ka (Rood et al., 2011). A short spur (approximately 550 meters, 1800 feet) of the glacier in Hope Valley entered what is now 6 the east end of Grass Lake, leaving a set of well preserved Tioga age terminal moraines. Deposits from two Tioga age cirque glaciers are found along the south side of Grass Lake and overlie the older Tahoe lateral moraine. Weathered, unglaciated plutonic rocks dominate the north side of the watershed at elevations above approximately 2600 meters (8530 ft). Rounded boulders with significant oxide deposits on some surfaces form low tors surrounded by hillslopes of loose sandy soil. Similar material was likely removed from the Luther Pass area during the Tahoe glaciation, exposing a steep hillslope of freshly exposed angular corestones and bedrock surrounded by zones of material that had been preferentially weathered by meteoric water percolating into the subsurface. Where larger streams have eroded into this unglaciated material, the bottom of the drainage consists almost entirely of large (up to 4 m) rounded corestones (Figure 1.2). The adjacent hillsides consist of similarly rounded boulders surrounded by steep, sandy soils. Small alluvial fans occur at the mouths of the four perennial streams and one intermittent stream that enter Grass Lake. These alluvial fans are composed of coarse sand and gravel with some interbedded peat. First Creek and Freel Meadows Creek are incised up to 0.6 meters (2 feet) below the upper surface of the fan, with the deepest incision occurring just upstream of the center of the fan. Waterhouse Creek is incised up to approximately 2 meters (6 feet) near the center of the fan. Fresh deposits of sand overlying peat were found at the mouths of First Creek and Freel Meadows Creek after the 2011 peak flows. West Freel Meadows Creek disperses into a broad riparian area with several poorly defined anastomosing streams after exiting the culvert, suggesting a depositional regime. 7 Figure 1.2: A reach of Freel Meadows Creek in the upper watershed, where the fine material has been eroded, leaving behind the oxide coated boulders (corestones). Access to the audibly flowing water is limited to small passages under the boulders. Grass Lake proper is dominated by slightly humified to unhumified peat consisting of organic material from both bryophytes and herbaceous plants. The southern slopes of the watershed are dominated by red fir and the northern slopes are dominated by Jeffrey pine. Aspen groves are found on alluvial fans and along the slopes of the Tioga glacial deposits in the southern portion of the watershed. Lodgepole pine occurs along the forest-meadow ecotone and in small (<100 m2) stands within the meadow. A more complete description of the vegetation communities can be found in Burke (1987) and Berg (1991). 8 Surface Hydrology Observations of surface water flow in the Grass Lake watershed were limited to the surface of the peatlands, streams, impervious rock surfaces, and to within approximately 1 meter of rapidly melting snow. There are three perennial streams along the north side of the lake (Figure 1.1): First Creek, West Freel Meadows Creek, and Freel Meadows Creek. Waterhouse Creek is the only perennial stream along the south side. The outlet of Grass Lake is referred to as Grass Lake Creek. The sources of all perennial streams are located in the unglaciated, weathered bedrock of the upper watershed. The source of First Creek is a small, unnamed peatland located at an elevation of 2740 m (8990 ft). The source of West Freel Meadows Creek is a small swale at an elevation of 2780 m (9120 ft), approximately 40 m (130 ft) lower than Freel Meadows (2820 m, 9250 ft) and 85 m (280 feet) lower than the intervening ridge (2865 m, 9400 ft). The source of Freel Meadows Creek is Freel Meadows. The source of Waterhouse Creek is not well defined. In early July, 2010, the pass (2740 m, 8990 ft) between Waterhouse Peak and Powderhouse Peak was saturated, resulting in surface flow north into Grass Lake and south into Big Meadow. The surface water that was flowing from the pass into Big Meadow disappears into the subsurface approximately 100 m (330 ft) south of the pass. In late fall the pass was dry and the source of Waterhouse Creek was observed as low as 2650 meters (8690 ft) in 2009. There are four sizeable (>400 m in length) intermittent streams along the south side, three of which originate in the cirques formed by Tioga age glaciation (Figure 1.1). The fourth originates near the upper contact of the Tahoe age moraine located along the southwest edge of the watershed. There are three sizeable intermittent streams located in the volcanic material approximately 400 m (1300 feet) east of Freel Meadows. These streams flow into Freel Meadows Creek below the peatland during spring runoff. These 9 channels were observed to dry up by late-July in 2010 and 2011. Two smaller intermittent streams, approximately 100 meters in length, are located on each side of Grass lake, associated with springs near the upper contact of the Tahoe lateral moraines (Figure 1.1). One intermittent stream flows out of the cirque below Powderhouse Peak, but disappears into the Tioga age glacial deposits at elevations above 2450 m (8040 ft), depending on flow. Six distinct hydromorphologic zones were identified in the perennial streams in the GLRNA. In the upper watershed on the north side of Grass Lake, the channels are occasionally surrounded by “stringer meadows” (Ratliff, 1985) up to 30 m (100 ft) wide and easily identified in aerial photographs (Figure 1.3). The channel bottoms in these areas are dominated by coarse sand, gravel, and cobbles, while the channel sides and surrounding meadow are defined by small boulders and interstitial soil. These boulders have a faint, but notable reddish-orange mineral oxide coating. The channel banks are deeply undercut in some areas and often heavily vegetated. The reaches between these stringer meadows are dominated by plunge-pool sequences, with the plunges defined by a framework of small boulders and gravel bottomed pools. In steeper sections of Freel Meadows Creek the finer particles have been removed, leaving behind the rounded oxide coated boulders (Figure 1.2). These boulders are interpreted as corestones formed by preferential weathering along fractures (Twidale & Vidal Romani, 2005) and exposed as the weathered material (“grus”) was removed by erosion in response to the steepening of the valley walls and lowering of base level resulting from glaciation. The streams can be heard beneath the boulders throughout the summer, but access to the water is limited to tight passages underneath the boulders. A small riparian buffer is present along these boulder strewn reaches. 10 Figure 1.3: A reach of Freel Meadows Creek in the upper watershed (north side). Note the wide riparian area, small rounded boulders with oxide coating, and heavily vegetated, undercut banks. The stream reaches located in the glaciated bedrock above the Tahoe moraines are dominated by large, subangular boulders up to 3 meters in diameter. A well defined channel is not observable and access to the underlying stream is limited to passages underneath the boulders. These reaches are on the order of 20 meters wide and lack significant riparian vegetation due to the lack of adequate substrate. Finer material is limited to the edges of the boulder strewn gullies where it sloughs off the hillslope. The subangular boulders are interpreted as corestones, similar to those found in the upper 11 watershed, but located closer to the base of the weathering mantle (Migon & LidmarBergstrom, 2001; Twidale & Vidal Romani, 2005). The stream reaches located in the glacial moraine material on both sides of the lake are surrounded by heavy riparian vegetation dominated by alder and willow, with some aspen. The channel is not well defined and typically spreads into numerous fingers of plunge-pool sequences formed between boulders and woody debris, becoming more diffuse near the contact with the alluvial fans. Intermittent springs were noted in 2010 and 2011 at the top of the glacial deposits, up to 145 m (475 ft) along contour from First Creek and Freel Meadows Creek. These springs have temperatures near the mean annual air temperature and SC higher than the nearby streams, indicating significant subsurface flow and greater water-rock interaction (Pilgrim, Huff, & Steele, 1979). On the north side of Grass Lake, stream reaches enter the alluvial material just before being directed into culverts that pass beneath Highway 89. First Creek and Freel Meadows Creek are incised up to 1 m (3 ft) for approximately 150 m (490 ft) after leaving the culvert, at which point the streams enter Grass Lake and the channel becomes poorly defined. West Freel Meadows Creek typically exceeds channel capacity just after leaving the culvert and occupies multiple shallow channels as it flows through an aspen stand and heavy riparian vegetation. In 2011, during spring runoff, the West Freel Meadows stream avulsed above the culvert, and approximately 50% of the flow occupied a new section of channel for 20 meters before flowing under the highway. Upon entering the alluvial fan, Waterhouse Creek is separated into a main channel and diffuse flow through a broad riparian area to the east. The channel is incised up to 2 m (7 ft) for approximately 150 m (490 ft) after entering the alluvial deposits. All perennial streams discussed above, except Waterhouse Creek, were observed to originate within small basins in the unglaciated, weathered bedrock of the 12 upper watershed. First Creek and Freel Meadows Creek originate in peatlands, which are expected to have a significant groundwater component considering the steep topography and sustained late-season flow. West Freel Meadows Creek originates from a spring. Observations in the spring and fall suggest the location of the origin for West Freel Meadows Creek varies by approximately 100 m (330 ft) horizontally and 15 m (50 ft) vertically. Flows from all sources are notably higher in the spring and reduce to a minor trickle by the end of the fall. Groundwater Hydrology High ET rates and limited summer precipitation led Cooper and Wolf (2006a) to conclude that peatlands in the Sierra Nevada Mountains require some groundwater input in order to maintain perennial saturation. Groundwater was observed flowing from natural seeps in the peatland at over 20 distinct locations along the southwest edge of Grass Lake during the fall of 2009 and 2010. This area was under approximately 4cm of water during the fall of 2011, making the seeps undetectable. Shallow soil probes suggest that some of these seeps are associated with large woody debris buried in the peat, providing preferential flow paths for the ground water and areas of concentrated discharge. A groundwater spring is located just east of the Waterhouse Creek fan (Figure 1.4a). This spring forms a small mound up to 1 meter above grade on the downhill side. This spring was observed flowing in October 2009-2011 and is one of the first places to melt out in the spring despite its location on the south side of the lake where it is partially shaded by the hillslope and large conifers (Figure 1.4b). This suggests a perennial source of groundwater with enough thermal energy to melt the accumulating snow. 13 Figure 1.4: 4: Groundwater spring and mound, east of Waterhouse Creek, near piezometer S5. a) Photo taken June 10, 2010. The mound is surrounded by willows and rises up to 1m above the e surrounding hillslope. b) Photo taken January 14, 2011. Lack of snow at the spring location suggests adequate groundwater flow to melt snow. 14 Two groundwater springs surface within the Tahoe age lateral moraines (Figure 1.1). The largest spring on the north side of the lake surfaces approximately 100 meters uphill of the Freel Meadows Creek alluvial fan and 100m east of Freel Meadows Creek. The spring emerges at the top of the Tahoe age moraine, just below a hillslope comprised of large rounded boulders interpreted to be exposed corestones. By late fall flow was not measurable (<0.1 cfs) and the stream disappeared before reaching Freel Meadows Creek. A small outcrop of rock (~3000m2) occurs between Freel Meadows Creek and the spring. This outcrop is interpreted to be bedrock exposed through the thin Tahoe age moraine deposits and may be responsible for diverting some water from the stream to the spring. The spring on the south side of the lake reaches the surface amidst subangular boulders (~2m diameter) in the Tahoe age glacial deposits, approximately 100 meters uphill of the peat. Surface flow on the hillslope was not detected after mid-summer. During the spring of 2011 two seeps were observed issuing from road cuts approximately 70 meters east and 50 meters west of First Creek. These seeps emerged from sandy material in the Tahoe moraine and stopped flowing by lateJune. FIELD AND LABORATORY METHODS Geology and Geomorphology Airborne lidar data provided by Tahoe Regional Planning Agency was used to help map the surface geology of GLRNA at a scale of 1:5000 (Figure 1.1). The vertical accuracy of the data was estimated to be 3.5cm RMSE (TRPA, 2012). The high spatial resolution of the lidar dataset facilitated the identification of features previously obscured by trees and the complex, boulder strewn topography. Combination of the lidar data and field mapping was essential for accurately mapping and identifying geologic features that are often obscured by the steep, boulder strewn topography and large trees. 15 The contact between the peat and other deposits is not well represented in the lidar or the field. An extendible tile probe was used to determine the depth of the peat within 2 m (6 ft) of each piezometer as well as 10 additional locations between piezometers. Shallow soil probes revealed occasional layers of alternating peat and sand, presumably derived from glacial outwash or hillslope erosion, in the upper 1 m (3 ft) of soil. The horizontal extent of the sand layers parallel to the hillslope is highly variable, while perpendicular to the hillslope there was a clear trend of decreasing sand content towards the lake. The NRCS (1999) classifies an organic soil (Histosol) as one in which more than 40 cm of the upper 80 cm of soil is composed of organic material. As such, the contact between the peat and the adjacent material was mapped where more than 40 cm of peat occurred in the upper 80 cm of the soil profile and extrapolated between probe sites based on interpretations of vegetation and topography. The contact between the peat and the hillslope is thought to be accurate to within 5 meters. During this study, peat depth was probed to a maximum of 5 m (16 ft) due to probe instability or resistance at greater depths. Soil cores collected in the western portion of the peatland as part of an earlier study show approximately 10 meter deep peat (Clark, 2010). Electrical resistivity imaging suggests the peat is underlain by approximately 60 to 70 meters of glacial outwash (Clark, 2010). The break in slope apparent in the lidar hillshade maps was used to infer the upper extent of the alluvial material. Significant subsurface channels of sand (<1 meter wide) were encountered along the distal edge of the alluvial fans, near the contact with the peat. These subsurface channels were not fully investigated, although their importance to the local hydrology may be important. Glacial deposits were divided into two groups based on the level of preservation of their expected geomorphic form and the presence or absence of volcanic material. The distinction between the subdued and rounded ridges of the older moraines 16 (interpreted as Tahoe age) and the younger, sharper moraines (interpreted as Tioga age) is readily apparent in the hillshade maps generated using the lidar data (Figure 1.1). The areas identified as Tahoe age moraines tend to have rounded granodiorite boulders (<2m) partially covered by dense crustose lichens. These deposits also contain up to 5% volcanic material, with clasts up to 20 centimeters in diameter. The presence of volcanic material, assumed to have been transported from Hope Valley, was used to identify Tahoe age deposits along the south side of the lake where contacts were not always clearly represented in the lidar data. The presence of volcanic clasts along the north side of the watershed could not be used to definitively map the top of the Tahoe age deposits due to the occurrence of volcanic parent material at higher elevations. However, the combination of a subtle break in slope and the relative abundance of volcanic material provided a reasonable approximation for the purposes of this study. Tioga age moraines were identified by their sharp crests in the lidar hillshades. The Tioga age cirque deposits in the southern half of the watershed contain abundant angular boulders (<3m) with significantly less lichen cover and lack volcanic material. The transition between the granodiorite hillslopes influenced by glaciation in the lower watershed and the deeply weathered granodiorites in the upper watershed is apparent in both the lidar data and the field. Along the north side, hillslopes transition from a steep mix of bedrock and colluvium to weathered saprolite at an elevation of approximately 2600 meters (8500 ft) on the west end and 2800 meters (9200 ft) on the east end. While there is no direct evidence of glaciation between these elevations and the lateral moraines below, it is assumed these steep hillslopes are a direct result of glaciation. The presence of steeper hillslopes along the north side of the valley is assumed to be a result of more effective evacuation of debris from the south facing hillslopes than the north facing hillslopes, either by meltwater (e.g. Halford & Kuniansky, 17 2002), higher glacial velocities along the outside of the bend (e.g. Valat, Jouany, & Riviere, 1991), or higher weathering rates associated with more extreme variations in temperature. Surface Hydrology Measurements Stream flow measurements were made using a combination of methods depending on the conditions of the particular stream channel. Channel sections suitable for cross-sectional discharge measurements were difficult to locate due to the steep, rocky nature of the channels. Sections with greater than 1.5 m (5 ft) of relatively uniform flow, adequate depth (>6 cm, 0.2 ft), and fairly consistent channel profile were considered marginally adequate. Such sections were identified for Grass Lake Creek, First Creek, West Freel Meadows Creek, and Waterhouse Creek. For these streams, point velocities were measured using a Marsh-McBirney FLO-MATE 2000 electromagnetic current meter. Fixed-point averaging over a period of 60 seconds was used for each velocity measurement. Velocity measurements were taken along vertical profiles at 20%, 40%, and 80% of the total depth for depths greater than 9 cm (0.3 ft). For depths less than 9 cm but greater than 6 cm (0.2 ft) the velocity was measured at 40% of the total depth. Velocities for water depths less than 6 centimeters could not be measured using the available equipment. The horizontal spacing of these measurements was dictated by the width of the channel and varied from 15 cm (0.50 ft) for Grass Lake Creek at the outlet, to 7.6 centimeters (0.25 ft) for West Freel Meadows Creek. Total discharge was calculated by summing the product of the velocity measurement and the associated area for each subsection of the profile. Shallow water depth and limited culvert height required some discharge estimates to be made using the float method. For this method, a section of flow with the most uniform flow and constant channel profile was used. A float was placed in the thalwag at the upstream end of the section and the time to travel a given distance was 18 measured. The distances ranged from 1.2 to 3.0 meters (4 to 10 ft), resulting in short travel times and hence questionable accuracy. Velocity measurements were repeated a minimum of five times and the mean was used to calculate the average surface velocity. The average surface velocity is multiplied by a coefficient to account for the difference between the average water velocity and the surface velocity. When possible, estimates using the float method were combined with cross sectional discharge measurements in order to calculate the velocity coefficient. For natural channels in this area, the coefficient ranged from 0.4 to 0.8. The mean of 0.6 (n=6) was used for all natural channels. Cross sectional discharge measurements for Grass Lake Creek were made approximately 55 m (180 ft) below the existing culvert. Each profile was spaced 15 cm (0.5 ft) across the width of the channel. The flow through each vertical sub-section was typically less than 15% of the total flow, however during peak flows the subsection containing the thalwag accounted for 32% of the total flow. Cross sectional discharge measurements for First Creek were made approximately 10 meters below the culvert. The float method was used in the same section when stream depth was too low to use the flow meter. Cross sectional discharge measurements for West Freel Meadows Creek were made approximately 10 meters above the culvert. The float method was used just inside the culvert to compare methods, when stream depths were too low to use the flow meter, and after the channel avulsion in the spring of 2011. Cross sectional discharge measurements in Waterhouse Creek were made approximately 40 meters downstream of the head of the alluvial fan. The float method was used in the same section to compare methods and when stream depth was too shallow to use the flow meter. Freel Meadows Creek passes under Highway 89 through two culverts. The majority of flow traveled through the eastern culvert (left hand culvert) during the period 19 of this study. The western culvert (right hand culvert) accommodated up to 15% of the flow during peak flows. The only section of Freel Meadows Creek with reasonably uniform flow was found just inside the culvert openings. As such, discharge estimates for Freel Meadows Creek were made using the float method and measurements of cross-section area in the appropriate portion of the culvert. Flow within the culvert was fairly uniform during high flows and the entire length of the culvert (approximately 18 m, 60 ft) was used to determine the average velocity. Estimates of the Manning coefficient, along with the slope of the culvert, allow calculations of discharge from width and depth measurements alone. Freel Meadows Creek and West Freel Meadows Creek both had culverts or sections of culverts that were conducive to estimating a Manning’s coefficient (fairly uniform flow and constant slope). The average velocity of water flowing over a uniform surface can be calculated using the Manning formula: V= k 2 / 3 1/ 2 Rh S n (1) where V is the average velocity, k is a conversion factor (k=1 m1/3 s-1 for SI units, k=1.4859 ft1/3 s-1 for US customary units), n is the Manning coefficient, Rh is the hydraulic radius defined as the ratio of cross-sectional (A) area to wetted perimeter (P), and S is the slope of the water surface, which is assumed to be equal to the slope of the culvert. Using the relationship Q=V*A, where Q is the volumetric discharge rate, V is the average velocity, and A is the cross-sectional area, the Manning coefficient can be estimated as: k A5 / 3 1 / 2 n= S Q P (2) 20 The Manning coefficients for the Freel Meadows Creek were calculated as 0.023 (σ=0.003, n=8) for the east culvert and 0.016 ± (σ=0.002, n=4) for the west culvert. These values of the Manning coefficient are consistent with those reported the surfaces material of the culverts: corrugated metal and asphalt, respectively. These values were used to calculate discharge using equation (2) when velocity measurements were not taken. The Manning coefficient for West Freel Meadows Creek culvert was calculated to be 0.023 ± 0.003 using independent estimates of discharge using the FLO-MATE in 2010 and concurrent measurements of water depth and width in the culvert. Peak flows during the spring of 2011 caused West Freel Meadows Creek to avulse, bypassing the only section suitable for cross sectional discharge measurements. All 2011 discharge measurements for West Freel Meadows Creek are based on measurements of the wetted width and depth in the culvert, the culvert slope, and the Manning coefficient calculated using 2010 data. In 2010, Levelogger Gold M5 pressure transducers were placed inside a perforated PVC tube and secured to a piece of rebar in a still section of each stream. Hourly stage was recorded and the average daily stage was calculated. In 2011 manual measurements of stage, width, and/or depth were made periodically. These measurements and the corresponding flow estimates were used to generate the rating curves shown Figures 1.5-1.9. Stream flow measurements are assumed to be accurate to within ± 30% due to the dynamic nature of the stream channels (First Creek, West Freel Meadows Creek, and Waterhouse Creek), irregular culvert cross sectional areas (Freel Meadows), heavy vegetation (Grass Lake Creek), and the limited length of suitable sections. 21 a) Grass Lake Creek (outlet) Rating Curve 2010 Field season 18 y = 10.854x 2.7739 R2 = 0.9992 16 14 flow (cfs) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 2.5 3 stage (ft) b) Grass Lake Creek (outlet) Rating Curve 2011 Field season 90 y = 3.0869x 3.703 R2 = 0.9908 80 70 flow (cfs) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 stage (ft) Figure 1.5: Rating curve for Grass Lake Creek (outlet) for a) the 2010 field season with stage recorded by a pressure transducer and b) 2011 field seasons with stage recorded at the culvert. 22 a) First Creek Rating Curve 2010 Field season 6 1.2873 y = 4.4014x 2 R = 0.9717 5 flow (cfs) 4 3 2 1 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 stage (ft) b) First Creek Rating Curve 2011 Field season 14 1.6958 y = 3.2696x 2 R = 0.9855 12 flow (cfs) 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 stage (ft) Figure 1.6: Rating curve for First Creek for a) the 2010 field season with stage recorded by a pressure transducer and b) 2011 field seasons with stage recorded at the culvert. 23 West Freel Meadows Creek Rating Curve 2010 Field season 3.50 5.1176 y = 1.7907x 2 R = 0.9571 3.00 flow (cfs) 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.0000 0.2000 0.4000 0.6000 0.8000 1.0000 1.2000 stage (ft) Figure 1.7: Rating curve for West Freel Meadows Creek for 2010 with stage recorded by a pressure transducer. Flows for 2011 were estimated from width and depth measurements in the culvert and the Manning equation calculated from 2010 data. Freel Meadows Creek Rating Curve 2010 Field season 25 2.0537 y = 14.382x 2 R = 0.9383 flow (cfs) 20 15 10 5 0 0.0000 0.2000 0.4000 0.6000 0.8000 1.0000 1.2000 stage (ft) Figure 1.8: Rating curve for Freel Meadows Creek for 2010 with stage recorded by a pressure transducer. Flows for 2011 were estimated from width and depth measurements in the culvert and the Manning equation calculated from 2010 data. 24 Waterhouse Creek Rating Curve 2010 Field season 1 0.9 3.6198 y = 2273.3x 2 R = 0.9056 0.8 flow (cfs) 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.0000 0.0200 0.0400 0.0600 0.0800 0.1000 0.1200 0.1400 stage (ft) Figure 1.9: Rating curve for Waterhouse Creek for 2010 with stage recorded by a pressure transducer. Stream flow records for the 2010 field season cover the period from May 1, 2010 to September 20, 2010. Stream flow records for the 2011 field season cover the period from May 13, 2011 to October 23, 2011. The stream flow averaged over each of these periods is referred to as the “average seasonal stream flow” for the remainder of this study and is estimated as: N Q= ∑ (Q i =1 i + Qi −1 )(t i − t i −1 ) 2t T (3) where N is the total number of stream flow measurements made for the stream in question, Qi is the ith stream flow measurement made at time ti, and tT is the total time period (142 days in 2010 and 163 days in 2011). Minimum estimates of the average seasonal stream flow were made by assuming there was no flow prior to the first measurement (Q1+Q0=0). Maximum estimates of the average seasonal 25 stream flow were made by extrapolating from the first measured value to a value of zero flow at the start of the season. Groundwater and Subsurface Measurements A total of 33 piezometers were installed in the Grass Lake watershed (Figure 1.1): 15 along the southern edge of Grass Lake, 15 along the northern edge of Grass Lake, 2 in the small basin east of Grass Lake proper, and 1 in Freel Meadows. The piezometers were constructed of 1¼-inch nominal schedule 40 stainless steel pipe to withstand the heavy snow loads and extreme temperatures. Water temperature, water depth, and specific conductivity (SC) were measured at each piezometer, both inside (groundwater) and outside (surface water). Temperature loggers and pressure transducers were installed in selected piezometers to monitor short-term (hourly) changes in head and temperature. These data are used to constrain parameters governing heat and fluid flow through the peat (Chapter 2). The upslope geology, vegetation characteristics, and the proximity to other piezometers were used to determine the locations of the piezometers. Eighteen piezometers were placed near the interface of the Tahoe age lateral moraines and the peat. Seven of these 18 were also located down slope of the large terminal moraine associated with the Tioga age cirque along the south side of Grass Lake. Nine piezometers were placed near the interface of the alluvial material and the peat. Four piezometers were placed near the Tioga age terminal moraine that forms the east side of the Grass Lake watershed, including two in the small basin east of Grass Lake proper. The final piezometer was placed in Freel Meadows, just upstream of an eroding headcut in the lower half of the peatland. Peat depth was measured near each piezometer using an extendable probe. The depth of peat was defined as the depth at which the soil probe encountered coarse, resistant geologic material. The piezometers were installed where peat thickness was 26 approximately 1 to 3 m (3 to 10 feet) thick. The 15cm (6 inch) screened interval of each piezometer was placed at a depth of 1.3 to 2.8 meters (4.3 to 9.2 feet) below ground surface and located in the sand/gravel layers that underlie the peat. Piezometers on the alluvial fans were installed such that the screened intervals were in sand layers below significant (>0.25m) peat deposits. Piezometers N2 and N3 were installed in the West Freel Meadows alluvial fan to investigate groundwater-surface water interactions at the interface between the stream and the peatland. Piezometer N2 is screened in sand at a depth of 2.97 meters bgs (9.75 feet). Piezometer N3 is located approximately 5 feet north and screened in sand at a depth of 1.45 m bgs (4.75 ft). The material between the two screened intervals is composed of interbedded peat and coarse alluvial material. The elevation of the rim of each piezometer was determined using a total station. The Department of Transportation established numerous survey points during a recent project designed to improve road drainage. These survey points had elevations reported to 0.01 ft (3mm). Three or more control points were measured at the start and end of each survey. The estimated accuracy of each piezometer’s elevation was evaluated using the standard deviation of the difference between the reported elevations and the surveyed elevations. The standard deviation for most surveys is ±5cm (2 in, n>=6). The standard deviation for the surveys that included S5, S7, S12, U1, and U2 is ±15cm (6 in, n>=6). The elevations of the piezometer rims minus the depth to groundwater inside the piezometers were used to construct a hand-drawn contour map of groundwater head. The elevation of streams was used to approximate the elevation of the water table surface in the alluvial fans. Manual measurements of the depth to groundwater from the rim of each piezometer were used to construct contour maps of groundwater head for the fall of 2010 and the spring of 2011, representing relatively dry conditions and relatively wet 27 conditions, respectively. Groundwater levels used to make the fall 2010 map were measured on September 14 or September 15. Groundwater levels used to make the spring of 2011 maps were measured on May 28 along the north side and June 26 along the south side, due to persistent snow. When surface water was present, measurements of the depth from the rim to water outside each piezometer were made. These measurements were recorded with a precision of ±1/16th inch (1mm). The high precision of these measurements allows accurate calculations of the vertical hydraulic gradients (VHG) that exist between the bottom of the peat and the surface water at each piezometer. Accurate VHG could not be calculated for many of the northern piezometers due to the lack of surface water in 2010. Positive VHGs indicate a hydraulic potential driving groundwater flow upward through the peat. Bailer tests were conducted to estimate the hydraulic conductivity of the underlying sediment at 22 of the 32 piezometers. The ambient groundwater level was measured before starting each test. A Solinst Gold Levellogger set to record every 0.5 second was suspended approximately 2 meters below the rim of the piezometer. A 4 foot long section (1.2m) of sealed ¾ inch PVC pipe was pushed into each piezometer. This usually resulted in significant overflow. Excess water was siphoned off to bring the groundwater level back to within 1/8th inch (2mm) of the ambient level. The water level was monitored occasionally for 5 to 10 minutes to ensure the system had re-established equilibrium. After a sufficient equilibration time, the PVC pipe was quickly removed and the water level was allowed to recover. The volume of water displaced was calculated from the length of the submerged PVC pipe. The data were fit using the Bower-Rice method (e.g. Halford & Kuniansky, 2002). Solinst Gold Levelloggers ® (model M5) were installed near the bottom of 20 piezometers. Ten additional Levelloggers were installed in other piezometers to monitor temperature and pressure fluctuations associated with the recession of the snowmelt 28 signal in the hillslope aquifers. The Gold Levelloggers record pressure with a stated accuracy of 2.5 mm (resolution < 0.1 mm) and temperature with a stated accuracy of ±0.05°C (resolution 0.03°C). The TidBit v2 tempera ture sensor records temperature with a stated accuracy of ±0.2°C (resolution of 0.02°C). Atmospheric pressure and air temperature were recorded using Solinst Barologgers at two locations along the north edge of Grass Lake. The pressure from each Levellogger was corrected for fluctuations in atmospheric pressure using the Barologger data. Twenty Onset TidBit v2 data loggers were placed at various depths inside and outside of ten piezometers. Data was logged at hourly or shorter intervals. These data are define boundary conditions in the models of heat transport used to constrain the hydraulic conductivity of the peat (Chapter 2). Specific Conductivity Specific conductivity (SC) is a measure of the ability of a fluid to conduct electricity and is directly related to the concentration of dissolved ions in solution. Measurements of SC and temperature were made using an Oakton multi-parameter PCTestr 35 at each piezometer during field visits. A 6-foot (1.8m) hose was used to siphon water from the piezometer. The instrument and sampling vessel were rinsed three times or until the temperature reading stabilized before a final reading was made. Surface water was measured using the same technique when present. The instrument was calibrated at the beginning, middle, and end of each field season using an 84 µS cm-1 solution. The instrument was within ±3.0 µS cm-1 and 1.0°C at the time of each calibration. The reported accuracy of the instrument is ±2.0µS/cm (resolution 0.1 µS/cm) for SC and 0.5°C (resolution 0.1°C) for temp erature. Hydrograph separation based on the assumption of a conservative tracer with a known and constant concentration for each component has been used to estimate the contribution of old and new water to the total flow. Pilgrim et al. (1979) showed that the 29 SC of water increases with time as the water is exposed to weathering geologic material and/or accumulated ions. The change in SC with time is specific to the material through which the water flows and depends on the concentration of accumulated ions and/or the rate of weathering. Neglecting the increase in SC with exposure time is likely to result in overestimates of the contributions of old water to the total flow. The SC of one spring, two seeps, and three streams identified on the north side of Grass Lake were used to constrain estimates of subsurface water input into the streams during peak snowmelt. During peak flow the SC of the stream water is determined by the relative contributions of direct surface runoff from snowmelt, shallow subsurface flow (“interflow”), and deeper groundwater flow. The fraction of total flow coming from the groundwater in a two component mixing model is given by: fg = SCT − SC s SC g − SC s (4) where the subscript T refers to total flow, the subscript s refers to the component of flow coming from snowmelt or surface water, and the subscript g refers to the component of flow coming from groundwater. The relatively constant SC values recorded for a perennial spring near Freel Meadows are used to infer the equilibrium SC value for subsurface flow. Shallow seeps issuing from road cuts near First Creek during the spring of 2011 have intermediate values of SC and are expected to be typical of shallow subsurface flow. The SC values of the streams during baseflow provide the lowest reasonable estimate of SC for the subsurface component. Water budget The contribution of groundwater can be estimated using a simple water budget give by ܩ = ܵ௨௧ + ܶܧ− ܵ − ܵ௦௪ (5) 30 where G is the net volume (or flux) of groundwater entering Grass Lake, Sin is the volume (or flux) of surface water inflow, Sout is the volume (or flux) of surface water outflow, Ssnow is the volume (or flux) of water resulting from direct snow melt, and ET is the volume (or flux) of water leaving due to ET. The water budget is evaluated on a seasonal volume basis, as well as a daily flux basis. Maximum and minimum estimates of the ET rate are determined from the literature and included in the water budget analysis. For easier comparison to stream flow values, ET rates are converted from units of mm day-1 to the equivalent average daily cubic feet per second (cfs). For the daily flux estimates, the average rate of spring snow-melt is estimated and applied to dates before June 21, 2011. Snow melt ceased around June 7, 2010 and stream flow records did not being until June 17, 2010. As such, no snow melt contributions are added to the 2010 water budget calculations. Peat water retention experiment Four peat samples were collected from Grass Lake to measure the water retention characteristics. The transition between the low density living peat (acrotelm) and the higher density non-living peat (catotelm) is better defined in low lying hollows than in the elevated hummocks. To avoid complications associated with defining this boundary and potential complications with hydrophobicity in dried woody and herbaceous peat (e.g. Valat et al., 1991), samples were taken from fully saturated hollows. Two samples separated by approximately 30 meters were collected at each location. The first peat sample (PC1) was collected approximately 40 meters south of the toe of the Freel Meadows Creek alluvial fan. The second sample (PC2) was collected approximately 30 meters northeast of PC1, perpendicular to the long axis of the Freel Meadows Creek fan. The third sample (PC3) was collected near the outlet of Grass Lake, approximately 20m from the northeast boundary of Grass Lake. The fourth sample (PC4) was collected 30m southwest of PC3. 31 Soil tins with a diameter of 9.6 cm and a height of 6.4 cm were used to collect the samples. Surface vegetation was clipped to expose the peat surface and prevent interference with the sampling. The soil tin was gently pressed into the peat (~0.5 cm) with a twisting motion. A serrated knife was used to cut around the edge of the soil tin to a depth of ~2 cm. The soil tin was pushed deeper into the peat along the cut. The procedure was repeated until the bottom of the soil tin was level with the peat surface. In order to gain access to the bottom of the soil, a cuboid of peat approximately 10 x 30 x 10 cm was cut along one side of the soil tin. With the sample still secure inside the soil tin, the knife was used to cut the base of sample from the main peat body. The water level in the sampling pits rose to approximately 6cm below the surface of the peat within two minutes, suggesting the samples were near saturation, but may not have been fully saturated. Excess material was carefully cut from the top of the soil tin (bottom of the sample) and the samples were weighed. The soil tin lids were secured with electrical tape. The samples were stored at approximately 3ºC until the hanging water column experiments were performed. Pyrex Buchner funnels with a diameter of 9.5 cm and reported pore size of 4.5 to 5 µm were saturated with a hydraulic gradient imposed across the porous plate for 12 hours to ensure no air was trapped in the porous plate. The bottoms of the funnels were connected to water-filled, air-free tubing with a 3-way valve in the middle of the line. The 3-way valve was connected to a water reservoir and a constant head apparatus. The top of the reservoir was positioned approximately 1cm above the porous plate to maintain saturation. The peat samples were transferred into the Buchner funnels with little disturbance. The slight difference between the soil tin diameter (9.6 cm) and the funnel diameter (9.5 cm) required minor compression of the peat. The peat was positioned firmly against the ceramic plate on the bottom of the funnel and left to equilibrate under the imposed constant head conditions for 12 hours. The constant head 32 apparatus was then moved up to the middle of the sample and allowed to equilibrate for 12 hours. Finally, the constant head apparatus was moved up to top of the sample and allowed to equilibrate for 12 hours. This progressive saturation of the sample from the bottom to the top was intended to minimize the amount of air trapped in the pores. The samples were disconnected from the reservoir, connected to a constant head apparatus positioned at the interface between the peat and the ceramic plate, and the excess water pooled in the depressions was decanted from the samples. Water discharged from the constant head apparatus was collected in graduated cylinders and recorded periodically. The graduated cylinder and peat samples were covered to minimize evaporation. The constant head apparatus was moved down in progressively larger increments ranging from 3 cm to 50 cm. The suction is defined by the difference in elevation between the center of the sample and the constant head apparatus. The final constant head level was 1.79 m below the bottom of the sample, resulting in an average suction of approximately 17.2 kPa, depending on the thickness of the sample. The final volumetric water content (Vf) was determined by subtracting the weight of the dried sample from the weight of the sample recorded at the end of the hanging water column experiment. The samples were removed from the funnels, weighed, and spread in oven pans to allow water to escape. The samples were dried at 103ºC for 15 hours and then reweighed. The final volumetric water content of the peat samples was calculated gravimetrically as: θf = (W f − Wd ) ρwVT = Vf VT (6) where Wf is the weight of the sample after equilibration at the final suction step, Wd is the dry weight of the sample, ρw is the density of water (1000.0 kg m-3), Vf is the volume of water remaining in the sample after the last suction step, and VT is the total volume at 33 saturation. The total volume of each sample was calculated using the area of a cylinder with the height measured once the sample was fully saturated in the funnel. The bulk densities and water content are reported on a saturated volumetric basis and changes in the volume of the samples were not considered. The volume of water at saturation (Vs) is calculated by adding the final water content (Vf) to the water released from the sample during the experiment (Vr): N Vr = ∑ Vi i =1 (7) Vs = V f + Vr (8) where Vi is the volume of water released during suction step i and N is the total number of suction steps. The saturated water content (θs) is the ratio of (Vs) to total volume (VT). Similarly, the volume of water contained in the sample for a given value of suction (Vcn) is calculated by subtracting the volume of water released in all subsequent suction steps (Vn) from the volume of water at saturation (Vs), where (Vn) is given by: n Vn = ∑ Vi i =1 (9) where n is the suction step of interest. The water content at suction step n is given by: θψ = n V f + Vr − Vn VT = Vcn VT (10) The degree of saturation (Sw) is the ratio of (θψn)/(θs), and equal to 1 when n=0 and the sample is at full saturation. The pressure intervals and resulting degree of saturation 34 data are used in the numerical models to define the pressure-saturation relationships for unsaturated subsurface flow through the peat (Chapter 2). Bulk density (ρb) was calculated as the ratio of dry weight (Wd) to total saturated volume (VT) of each sample. To calculate solid density (ρs), each sample was portioned into three roughly equal subsamples, lightly ground with a mortar and pestle, and weighed. Each subsample was added to a known volume of water and vigorously stirred. The difference between the initial volume of water and the final volume of the peat-water mixture was taken as the volume of the solids (Vs). The solid density was calculated as the ratio of the weight of the solids to the volume of the solids as determined by the displacement of the water. The total porosity (θT) of the peat was calculated from the bulk density (ρb) and solid density (ρs) as: θT = 1 − ρb ρs (11) RESULTS Surface Hydrology The dominant source of surface water entering Grass Lake is Freel Meadows Creek. First Creek is the second most abundant source of surface water, followed by West Freel Meadows and Waterhouse Creeks. These results are consistent with expectations based on the relative contributing area of each subwatershed (Table 1.1). Surface water yield calculations from each watershed ranged from 6% to 23% of the annual precipitation in 2010 and 10 to 43% of the annual precipitation in 2011. Estimates of average seasonal stream flow (ASSF) and peak flow for 2010 (May 1 to September 20) and 2011 (May 13 to October 23) are shown in Table 1.2. The ASSF values for 2011 are 1.9 (First Creek) to 2.7 times (West Freel Meadows Creek, Freel Meadows Creek, Waterhouse Creek) higher the 2010 values. The ASSF out of Grass 35 Lake in 2011 was 2.2 times higher than the 2010 value. In 2010 stream flow for the four streams entering Grass Lake proper fell below 1.0 cfs between late June (Waterhouse Creek) and late July (Freel Meadows Creek). In 2011 stream flow for the four streams entering Grass Lake fell below 1.0 cfs between late July (West Freel Meadows Creek and Waterhouse Creek) and mid-August (Freel Meadows Creek). Despite the similarity in late-season stream flow into Grass Lake between the two years, late-season stream flow out of Grass Lake dropped to 0.6 cfs by September 10 in 2010 and maintained flows as high as 8.0 cfs into October in 2011. Contrib. area (ha) Table 1.1: Estimates of seasonal surface water yield (volume of water per contributing area) and percent of annual precipitation for GLRNA. 2010 2011 Seasonal Percent Seasonal Percent of surface annual surface annual water yield precip. (1.04 water yield precip. (m3/m2) m) (m3/m2) (1.66 m) Watershed min max min max min max min max First Creek 108 0.07 0.23 6% 22% 0.21 0.51 13% 31% W. Freel Meadows Ck 65 0.08 0.15 8% 14% 0.24 0.45 15% 27% Freel Meadows Ck 210 0.13 0.24 13% 23% 0.39 0.72 23% 43% Waterhouse Creek 66 0.04 0.13 3% 13% 0.17 0.39 10% 23% Grass Lake 8% 16% 0.22 0.41 13% 24% Creek 998 0.09 0.16 The average daily stream flow for each stream in the GLRNA was estimated from the rating curves and pressure transducer data in 2010 (Figure 1.10). Peak discharge for Grass Lake Creek, First Creek, and Waterhouse Creek were not captured due to complications with the field equipment. Peak flows for Grass Lake Creek occurred sometime between May 7 and June 13 in 2010. Stream flow data collected on May 20 indicates that peak flow in Grass Lake Creek was at least 23.0 cfs (±30%). The data suggests that peak discharge in First Creek occurred on or before June 7th but is not well 36 Table 1.2: Average seasonal and peak values for stream flow in the GLRNA watershed. An assumed measurement error of ±30% has been included in the minimum and maximum estimates of average seasonal values. * indicates best estimate and date of peak stream flow due to missing data. 2010 2011 Seasonal Seasonal Average Average (cfs) Peak (cfs) (cfs) Peak (cfs) Source min max flow date min max flow date First Creek 0.2 0.7 4.7* 7-Jun* 0.6 1.4 11.4 26-Jun W. Freel Meadows Ck 0.1 0.3 3.3 7-Jun 0.4 0.7 4.8 26-Jun Freel Meadows 1.5 14.8 8-Jun 2.0 3.8 33.1 26-Jun Ck 0.8 Waterhouse Creek 0.1 0.2 1.2* 17-Jun* 0.3 0.6 4.0* 7-Jul* Grass Lake 4.7 23.0* 20-May* 5.5 10.2 70.6 29-Jun Creek 2.5 30 2010 Daily Stream Flow Estimates Stream discharge (cfs) 25 First Creek West Freel Meadows 20 Freel Meadows Creek Waterhouse Creek 15 Grass Lake Creek 10 5 0 4/30/2010 5/31/2010 7/1/2010 8/1/2010 Date 9/1/2010 10/2/2010 Figure 1.10: 2010 daily average streamflow based on rating relationships for all streams into and out of Grass Lake proper. 37 represented in the data. The highest stream flow recorded for First Creek was 4.7 cfs on June 7th. Peak discharge in Freel Meadows Creek (14.8 cfs) and West Freel Meadows Creek (3.3 cfs) occurred on June 7 and June 8, 2010, respectively. Four storms in the summer of 2010 produced slight increases in stage at Grass Lake Creek, and to a lesser extent Freel Meadows Creek. These storms occurred on June 26, July 7-8, July 24-26, and August 7-9, 2010 with total accumulations of 0.6mm (0.02 inches), 4.6mm (0.18 inches), 2.3mm (0.9 inches), and 14.2mm (0.56 inches), respectively. The change in discharge resulting from the first three storms was not significant given the measurement accuracy of ± 30%. However, the last storm in 2010 produced a notable increase in discharge (0.6 cfs) at Freel Meadows Creek on August 8th. A similar increase in outflow (0.5cfs) was observed in Grass Lake Creek two days later on August 10th. The distance from Freel Meadows Creek to the outlet is approximately 2000 m. Assuming the storm water travels an average distance of 2000 m over two days, the average velocity of the water would be 12 mm s-1. This estimated velocity is consistent with surface flow over a gentle slope with heavy vegetation. The results of manual steam measurements made in 2011 are shown in Figure 1.11. The highest values of discharge for Freel Meadows Creek (33.1 cfs), First Creek (11.4 cfs), and West Freel Meadows Creek (4.8 cfs) were recorded on June 26, 2011. The highest value of discharge for Grass Lake Creek (70.6 cfs) was recorded three days later on June 29, 011. The highest value of discharge for Waterhouse Creek (4.0 cfs) was recorded on July 7, 2011. The apparent delay in peak stream flow for Waterhouse Creek may be explained by the predominantly northern aspect of the Waterhouse Creek watershed. There were no significant storms recorded in the data in 2011. 38 100 2011 Stream Flow Measurements 90 First Creek 80 Stream discharge (cfs) W Freel Meadows 70 Freel Meadows Ck 60 Waterhouse Creek Grass Lake Creek 50 40 30 20 10 0 4/30/2011 5/31/2011 7/1/2011 8/1/2011 Date 9/1/2011 10/2/2011 Figure 1.11: 2011 manual stream flow measurements into and out of Grass Lake proper. Water budget Seasonal stream flow out of Grass Lake contains a significant amount of water from the snow accumulated on the surface of the peat, in addition to the water from inflowing streams. It is assumed here that all of the winter precipitation (October 1 through May 1) accumulated on the peat surface contributes to the average seasonal stream flow in Grass Lake Creek. Using the area of peat mapped in the field (96 ha, 237 acres), the contribution of flow from the accumulation of winter precipitation was approximately 0.9x106 m3 in 2010 and 1.4x106 m3 in 2011. Snow melt on the surface of Grass Lake is estimated to have begun in mid-April both years. The peat was mostly snow-free by June 7, 2010 and June 21, 2011. The contribution of snowmelt to the outflow at Grass Lake Creek averaged over this period is 6.8 cfs in 2010 and 8.4 cfs in 2011. 39 The rate of water outflow due to ET is another important component of the surface water budget. The ET rate at Pope Marsh, located approximately 10 miles north-northwest of Grass Lake, was estimated to be 4.2 mm day-1 (Green, 1998). This value is comparable to the value of 4.0 mm day-1 reported by Kelliher et al. (1993) for canopy-scale ET rates of dry conifer forests. ET rates ranging from 5.0 to 6.5 mm day-1 have been estimated for riparian meadow sites in the Sierra (Loheide & Gorelick, 2005). Comer et al. (2000) reported values of latent heat flux from seven peatlands in Canada and the northern United States ranging from 69 to 142 W m-2 for fens and 105 to 199 W m-2 for bogs. These values of latent heat flux are equivalent to ET rates of 2.6 to 5.4 mm day-1 for fens and 4.0 to 7.6 mm day-1 for bogs. The average rate of ET for the peatlands mentioned above is 5.0 mm day-1. A seasonally based surface water budget shows no measurable difference between the total seasonal stream flow into and out of Grass Lake in 2010 or 2011 (Table 1.3). This is attributed to the large errors (30%) associated with measuring stream flow in these steep, dynamic mountain streams and the uncertainty in the range of ET flux. Groundwater contributions cannot be estimated using a seasonally based water budget. Table 1.3: Seasonal average flow (m3) of water into and out of Grass Lake for the 2010 and 2011 field seasons. Seasonal water budget 2010 2011 Source min max min max Stream flow (Sin) 423425 946394 1307446 2614892 IN direct snowmelt (Ssnow) 900480 900480 1398720 1398720 (m3) TOTAL IN 1323905 1846874 2706166 4013612 stream flow (Sout) 878737 1631940 2184664 4057233 OUT Evapotranspiration (ET) 369200 1079200 423800 1238800 (m3) TOTAL OUT 1247937 2711140 2608464 5296033 OUTFLOW-INFLOW (Gin) -75969 864266 -97702 1282421 40 A water budget conducted on the basis of available stream flow measurements and estimates of daily average ET is shown in Table 1.4. The maximum groundwater contribution is estimated using the maximum values for Sout and ET along with the minimum values for Sin. Based on the available storm flow and peak flow data discussed above, the direct snow melt on the surface of Grass Lake is expected to move through the system quickly (2-3 days). As such, snow melt contributions to outflow are not considered in the water budget after June 7 in 2010 and June 21 in 2011 and errors in the contribution of direct snow melt are expected to be minimal. Maximum and minimum estimates of groundwater flux into Grass Lake include consideration of 30% error in all stream flow measurements and ± 1.0 cfs (over 24 hours) in ET. The results of the water budget based on measured stream flow values and estimated rates of ET show a positive groundwater contribution after August 13, 2010. The magnitude of groundwater inflow is estimated to be 0.8 to 2.6 cfs after August 13, 2010 and exceeds total stream inflow (0.4 cfs) by September 10, 2010. Groundwater contributions are not detectable before August 13, 2010 due to errors in estimated flow rates. The groundwater contribution in 2011 is estimated to be between 0.8 and 9.3 cfs after July 26, 2011. Groundwater inflow exceeds total stream inflow (2.1 cfs) by August 16, 2011 and remains above 4.4 cfs through at least the end of October 2011. Specific conductivity – Surface Water Waterhouse Creek had the lowest SC in both 2010 and 2011, with values consistently less than 17.0 µS cm-1 (Figure 1.12). West Freel Meadows Creek, Freel Meadows Creek, and First Creek had similar values of SC during both years. In the spring of 2010 the SC values dropped from approximately 34 (σ=4, n=12) to 20 (σ=2, n=9) µS cm-1 between late April and mid-June. Similarly, in 2011 the SC values dropped from approximately 33 (σ=6, n=8) to 18 (σ=1, n=11) µS cm-1 between mid-May and midJuly. The SC of snow samples was 5.2 µS cm-1 (σ=2, n=9). The declining trend in SC 41 during the spring and early summer can be explained by low conductivity snow melt mixing with higher conductivity subsurface flow in the streams. The SC values for these three streams climbed from approximately 20 to 33 (σ=13, n=14) µS cm-1 between midJune and the end of the 2010 field season. In 2011 the SC for these streams climbed from 18 to 31 (σ=3, n=5) µS cm-1 between mid-July and the end of the season. Table 1.4: Water budget calculations for available stream flow measurements in 2010 and 2011. Calculations of Gmax and Gmin include consideration of ±30% error in stream flow measurements and ± 1.0 cfs uncertainty in the estimate of ET. Sout Ssnow Gmax Gmin Gave Date ET (cfs) Sin (cfs) (cfs) (cfs) (cfs) (cfs) (cfs) 6/17/2010 17.1 2.0 18.4 0.0 12.4 -10.9 0.8 6/25/2010 14.2 2.0 12.8 0.0 12.6 -5.7 3.4 6/29/2010 12.2 2.0 10.0 0.0 11.9 -3.4 4.3 7/27/2010 3.0 2.0 3.5 0.0 4.5 -1.5 4.3 8/13/2010 1.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.4 0.8 2.6 9/10/2010 0.6 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.5 0.9 2.2 6/13/2011 19.1 2.0 18.6 8.4 6.5 -18.1 -5.8 6/20/2011 37.4 2.0 37.8 8.4 16.8 -30.4 -6.8 6/26/2011 46.8 2.0 51.9 0.0 27.5 -33.6 -3.0 6/29/2011 70.6 2.0 40.9 0.0 66.2 -2.8 31.7 7/7/2011 43.7 2.0 32.5 0.0 37.0 -10.7 13.2 7/26/2011 10.1 2.0 5.6 0.0 12.3 0.8 6.5 8/16/2011 8.7 2.0 2.1 0.0 12.8 4.4 8.6 9/3/2011 7.4 2.0 1.1 0.0 12.0 4.9 8.4 10/15/2011 8.0 2.0 0.8 0.0 12.9 5.6 9.3 10/23/2011 7.2 2.0 0.8 0.0 11.8 5.0 8.4 The SC values of the springs and seeps originating in the Tahoe age moraines along the north side of Grass Lake were higher than the SC values recorded for the streams. The average SC value of the spring east of Freel Meadows Creek was 78 (σ=2, n=11) µS cm-1 2010. The same spring had SC values of 69 (σ=1.5, n=5) µS cm-1 in early July, 2011. In 2011 two seeps manifested in road cuts located near First Creek along highway 89. The average SC value for these seeps was 52 (σ=6, n=19) µS cm-1 between late April and late June, after which they dried up. Melting snow banks with SC values of 8.5 µS cm-1 were identified approximately 20 meters upslope of each seep, 42 suggesting an increase of approximately 2.18 µS cm-1 per meter of subsurface flow through the forest soils. A two component mixing model was used to estimate the contributions of subsurface flow to peak stream flow. The value for the groundwater component may vary between the values of stream baseflow (33 µS cm-1) and the values of the perennial spring (78 µS cm-1). The maximum contribution of groundwater to peak flows is estimated by using the SC value of baseflow to represent (SCg) in equation (3). The maximum contribution of groundwater to peak flow ranges from 40 to 60%. The minimum contribution of groundwater to peak flows is estimated by using the SC values of the perennial springs. The minimum estimate of groundwater contributions to peak flows ranges from 18% to 20%. Grass Lake Creek had higher SC values than the other streams. In 2010 SC values of Grass Lake Creek dropped from a high of 235 to a low of 28 µS cm-1 between late March and mid June, and climbed to 40.0 µS cm-1 by mid September. In 2011 SC values of Grass Lake Creek dropped from approximately 125 to a low of 23 µS cm-1 between late April and early July and climbed to 49 µS cm-1 by late October. The SC of surface water near each piezometer was measured during field visits. The SC of surface water near each piezometer was significantly higher on the north side of Grass Lake than that on the south side (Figure 1.13). The higher values of SC on the north side maybe attributable to salts used for highway deicing that are carried over the pass by vehicles or by increased weathering rates associated with southern exposure. Values on both the north and south side of Grass Lake were lower in 2011 than they were in 2010, which is likely due to the higher snowpack in 2011. 43 a) Stream Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) 250.0 1st Creek WFM Creek FM Creek WH Creek GL outlet FMC seep 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 3/30/2010 4/30/2010 5/31/2010 7/1/2010 8/1/2010 9/1/2010 10/2/2010 Date b) Stream Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) 250.0 1st Creek WFM Creek FM Creek WH Creek GL Creek FMC seep 1st Creek roadcut (E) 1st Creek roadcut (W) 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 3/30/2011 4/30/2011 5/31/2011 7/1/2011 8/1/2011 9/1/2011 10/2/2011 Date Figure 1.12: 2010 (a) and 2011 (b) specific conductivity values recorded for streams in the Grass Lake Watershed. 44 a) 600.0 400.0 200.0 0.0 4/1/2010 6/1/2010 N1 N5 N9 N13 N2 N6 N10 N14 8/1/2010 Date N3 N7 N11 N15 10/1/2010 Surface water Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) Surface water Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) 800.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 4/1/2010 6/1/2010 S1 S5 S9 S13 N4 N8 N12 U1 8/1/2010 Date S2 S6 S10 S14 S3 S7 S11 S15 10/1/2010 S4 S8 S12 U2 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 4/1/2011 N1 N5 N9 6/1/2011 N2 N6 N10 8/1/2011 Date N3 N7 N11 10/1/2011 N4 N8 N12 Surface Water Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) 45 Surface Water Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) b) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 4/1/2011 6/1/2011 S1 S5 S9 S13 S2 S6 S10 S14 8/1/2011 Date S3 S7 S11 S15 10/1/2011 S4 S8 S12 Figure 1.13: Specific conductivity measurements of surface water near piezometers for 2010 (a) and 2011 (b). Note the difference in scale between the north and south (right and left, respectively). Groundwater Hydrology Groundwater levels were recorded in 32 piezometers around the Grass Lake field site. Contour maps of groundwater levels for fall 2010 and spring 2011, representing the driest and wettest periods of the study, were drawn by visual interpolation and consideration of surface water elevations in the unconfined hillslope aquifers (Figures 1.14 and 1.15). Groundwater levels were on average 0.32 m (σ=0.21 m) higher in the spring of 2011 than the fall of 2010. The largest recorded groundwater level difference occurred in piezometer N7, which increased by 0.86 m. Piezometer S12 showed a decrease of 0.06 m between fall of 2010 and spring of 2011. This unexpected drop in water level may be explained by changes in permeability and/or changes in groundwater flow paths. Groundwater seepage associated with recent rodent activity was observed approximately 50 meters north (down slope) of piezometer S12 (Figure 1.16). The head data and contour maps of piezometric head (Figures 1.14 and 1.15) show deflections where streams enter Grass Lake and where bedrock outcrops are located immediately above the piezometers. Inflowing streams deflect head contours into the lake, creating a groundwater mound. These deflections are more pronounced along the north side of Grass Lake. This may be explained by higher stream flows associated with the larger subwatersheds. The deflections associated with Waterhouse Creek appear to be offset slightly to the east, suggesting preferential flow towards S5. This is consistent with field observations of persistent saturation along the east side of the Waterhouse Creek fan and drier conditions to the west. Bedrock outcrops on the hillslopes near the margin of Grass Lake appear to deflect head contours away from the lake, creating a “shadowing” effect (piezometers N1 and N9). This may be explained by hillslope groundwater being diverted around the edges of the impermeable bedrock, 46 Figure 1.14: Groundwater head contours in the Grass Lake peatland. Groundwater levels measured in Fall 2010. Contours interval is 1m. 47 Figure 1.15: Groundwater head contours in the Grass Lake peatland. Groundwater levels measured in Spring 2011. Contours interval is 1m. 48 Figure 1.16: Emergence of groundwater associated with preferential pathways provided by rodent activity. Four of these seeps noted along the south side of Grass Lake between S12 and S8. The piezometer in the picture is 1.7 meters (68 inches) long. creating a low pressure zone below the outcrop. No other significant deflections of the head contours are apparent in the data. The highest horizontal hydraulic gradients (HHGs) occur near the interface of the hillslope and the peatland. The head contour maps suggest maximum HHGs on the order of 5% near piezometers S1, S2, and S3. Water level data near piezometers S5, S12, and S11 suggest HHGs around 3% along the hillslope. Similar HHGs were inferred along other hillslopes. The HHG along the length of Grass Lake is on the order of 0.25%. The dominant driving force for groundwater flow is from the hillslopes into the peatland. 49 Trends in vertical hydraulic gradients (VHGs) for each piezometer are shown in Figure 1.17. Positive VHGs indicate upward flow of groundwater through the peat (groundwater discharge), whereas negative VHGs indicated downward flow (groundwater recharge). The VHGs were typically higher along the southern edge of Grass Lake than the northern edge and higher in 2011 than in 2010. The persistence of positive VHGs along the interface between the hillslope materials and the peat suggests substantial groundwater discharge from the hillslope aquifer to the peatland. The HHGs are small compared to the VHGs, indicating the horizontal hydraulic conductivity in the peat is higher than the vertical hydraulic conductivity. The highest VHGs recorded in 2010 were approximately 20% for piezometers S5 and S9 (i.e. the groundwater level in the piezometer was 20 cm per meter of submerged piezometer higher than the elevation of the surface water). Positive VHGs were maintained until late-September 2010 in piezometers S1, S5, S8, S9, and S12. This indicates late-season groundwater discharge through the peat near these piezometers. All measurements of VHG were negative (downward flow) in piezometer S6, indicating groundwater recharge at that location. The convex contours of the broad hillslope above S6 could lead to divergent groundwater flow and lower groundwater head at S6. The highest VHGs recorded in 2010 along the northern edge were approximately 8% for N1, N8, and N14. Most of the northern piezometers had no surface water present and/or maintained a nearly neutral VHG during the 2010 field season. The highest vertical gradients recorded in 2011 were approximately 30% in S9, S15, and N5. Piezometers S5, S7, S11, N7, and N14 had VHGs of approximately 20% in the spring. Piezometer S7 maintained a VHG of over 15% until mid-October or later. All the southern piezometers had positive vertical gradients in the early summer of 2011, except S13 which is located on the Waterhouse Creek alluvial fan. The VHG in piezometers S6 and S12 went from positive to negative near the end of July, indicating a 50 change from groundwater discharge to groundwater recharge in these locations. This contrasts with the 2010 observations which indicate groundwater discharge at S12 until late-September. All other piezometers along the southern edge had positive gradients until mid-October or later. These persistently high VHGs indicate substantial pressure available to drive late-season groundwater flow up through the peat. The VHG in piezometer N7 went from positive to negative in late July, with a slight but notable increase by mid-October. This increase may be due to decreased ET needs in the fall, allowing groundwater levels to be replenished. The VHG in N9 went from positive in mid-May 2011 to negative by late-July 2011, indicating a change from groundwater discharge to groundwater recharge in that area. The West Freel Meadows Creek alluvial fan is a site dominated by groundwater recharge. Piezometer N2, located in the West Freel Meadows Creek alluvial fan, had a negative VHG throughout the 2010 field season. The VHG in the nearby piezometer N3 went from slightly positive in mid-May to negative by late-July. This indicates discharge from the shallow groundwater system (1.45m bgs) to the surface during the spring and early summer, switching to groundwater recharge by mid-summer. The SC of water from small seeps scattered throughout the aspen grove is indistinguishable from that of stream water, suggesting a shallow groundwater system connected to the stream. The nearby deeper piezometer N2 remained negative and fairly constant for the duration of 2011, indicating groundwater recharge. The VHG between the screened interval of N2 and N3 was -5.3% on July 26, 2011 and dropped to -15.4% by September 3, 2011. The consistently negative VHG between the screened intervals of piezometers N2 and N3 indicates downward flow from the shallow aquifer into the deeper groundwater system (2.97 m bgs). The presence of surface water at most piezometers into October allowed calculation of late season gradients.Unsaturated conditions lead to increased rates of 51 peat decomposition by aerobic microbes and may result in significant ecosystem changes. The water level in many piezometers did not fall below the level of the peat in 2010, indicating persistent groundwater discharge and persistently saturated conditions at these locations (N1, S1, S3, S4, S5, S7, S8, S9, S11, S12, U1). However, the average groundwater level was 0.123 m below the surface of the peat in mid-September 2010, indicating significant dewatering of the peat. For the piezometers that did experience unsaturated conditions, the average rate of decrease in groundwater head was 2.77 mm day-1 (σ=1.9) in 2010. For comparison, the water level in the center of Grass Lake dropped 0.130 m between July 7 and September 20, 2010, a rate of 1.73 mm day-1. In 2010, the late-season groundwater levels were lower along the north side (average -0.21m) than along the south side (average 0.03m) (Table 1.5). The lowest groundwater levels along the north side were recorded in piezometers N7 (-0.64m) and N15 (-0.55m). Along the south side the lowest groundwater levels were recorded in piezometers S13 (-0.28m) and S6 (-0.11m). The earliest unsaturated conditions were observed in piezometer N9 and N5, which dropped below the level of the peat in early May and early July, 2010, respectively. This suggests that the surrounding area may be more susceptible to aerobic decomposition in dry years. In the remainder of the piezometers, the groundwater level dropped below the peat surface between mid-July to mid-August. In 2011, the average late-season groundwater levels did not drop below the peat on either the north side (average 0.0 m) or south side (average 0.19m). The lowest water levels in 2011 along the north side were recorded in N13 (-0.30m) and N9 (-0.18m). The lowest water levels in 2011 along the south side were recorded in S13 (0.23m) and S11 (-0.20m). 52 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 -0.100 -0.200 4/1/2010 6/1/2010 8/1/2010 10/1/2010 12/1/2010 N1 N6 N11 N2 N7 N12 Date N3 N8 N13 N4 N9 N14 Vertical hydraulic gradient (m/m) Vertical hydraulic gradient (m/m) a) N5 N10 N15 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 -0.100 -0.200 4/1/2010 6/1/2010 8/1/2010 10/1/2010 12/1/2010 Date S1 S6 S11 S2 S7 S12 S3 S8 S13 S4 S9 S14 S5 S10 S15 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 -0.100 -0.200 4/1/2011 6/1/2011 8/1/2011 10/1/2011 12/1/2011 N1 N6 N11 N2 N7 N12 Date N3 N8 N13 N4 N9 N14 N5 N10 N15 Vertical hydraulic gradient (m/m) 53 Vertical hydraulic gradient (m/m) b) 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 -0.100 -0.200 4/1/2011 6/1/2011 8/1/2011 10/1/2011 12/1/2011 S1 S6 S11 S2 S7 S12 Date S3 S8 S13 S4 S9 S14 S5 S10 S15 Figure 1.17: Vertical hydraulic gradients calculated from 2010 field data (a) and 2011 field data (b) for the north (N) and south (S) sides of Grass Lake. Table 1.5: Statistics for piezometers showing the difference between piezometers located along the north and south sides of Grass Lake. 2010 2011 Ave max min max min piez piez Sept piez piez (m) (m) (m) (m) (m) North 0.27 U1 -0.64 N7 -0.21 0.6 N13 -0.3 N7 South 0.57 S5 -0.28 S13 0.03 0.7 S5 -0.23 S13 Ave Sept (m) 0 0.19 The drawdown curves generated during the bailer tests were fit using the BowerRice model to estimate hydraulic conductivity (Table 1.6). These values represent estimates of hydraulic conductivity of the coarse sediment directly beneath the peat. The fit was deemed “good” for 16 of the 25 of the tests, “moderate” for 5 of the tests, and “poor” for the remaining 4 tests. The average value of saturated hydraulic conductivity estimated from the bailer tests is 4.7x10-5 m s-1 (σ=8.8x10-5). The geometric mean of the hydraulic conductivity estimates is 1.1x10-5 m s-1. The minimum value of hydraulic conductivity (4.9x10-8 m s-1) occurred in piezometer S11 and the maximum value occurred in piezometer S4 (3.3x10-4 m s-1). Specific conductivity – Ground Water Specific conductivity (SC) measurements indicate a distinct difference between groundwater along the north side of Grass Lake (road side) and the south side of Grass Lake during both years (Figure 1.18, Table 1.7). The higher values of SC along the north side may be attributable to salt from the adjacent highway or increased weathering rates due to the southern exposure. The lower values of SC were recorded in the spring and are likely due to the influence of low SC snowmelt (5.2 µS cm-1) and/or stream water (16.5 µS cm-1). The high value of SC recorded in U2 during the fall of 2010 may be due to the increased concentration of dissolved ions resulting from ET from stagnant water. The lower SC values of groundwater in 2011 compared to 2010 are believed to be a 54 result of a larger contribution of low SC snowmelt associated with the larger, persistent snowpack. Table 1.6: Results of bailer tests conducted in each piezometer. Data was fit using the Bower-Rice model. Piez K (m/s) date fit Piez K (m/s) date fit N1 1.7E-04 8/3/2010 good S1 2.6E-06 8/18/2010 good N2a 2.4E-06 7/30/2010 moderate S3a 3.0E-06 8/18/2010 good N2b 7.8E-06 8/2/2010 poor S3b 1.1E-05 8/18/2010 poor N3 3.0E-07 7/30/2010 good S4 3.3E-04 8/18/2010 moderate N4a 9.2E-06 7/29/2010 good S5 2.7E-05 8/4/2010 moderate N4b 8.8E-06 7/29/2010 good S6 2.2E-05 8/18/2010 good N5 1.7E-05 7/29/2010 good S7 5.6E-06 8/18/2010 good N7 2.3E-05 7/30/2010 good S8 1.2E-05 8/4/2010 poor N8 2.9E-06 7/30/2010 good S9 1.4E-05 8/4/2010 good N9 2.4E-04 7/29/2010 poor S10 2.4E-06 8/4/2010 good N10 1.1E-05 7/30/2010 good S11 4.9E-08 8/4/2010 good N12 2.0E-04 8/3/2010 good S12 1.3E-05 8/4/2010 moderate N13 3.4E-05 8/3/2010 moderate Table 1.7: Values of specific conductivity of groundwater recorded in Grass Lake. All units are in µS cm-1. 2010 2011 -1 [µS cm ] mean max piez min piez mean max piez min piez north 159.7 524 N8 45.9 N3 113.6 275 N7 27 U1 south 42.9 97.6 U2 23 S2 38.6 116.3 S14 6.7 U2 55 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 4/1/2010 6/1/2010 N1 N5 N9 N13 N2 N6 N10 N14 8/1/2010 Date N3 N7 N11 N15 10/1/2010 Groundwater Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) Groundwater Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) a) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 4/1/2010 6/1/2010 S1 S5 S9 S13 N4 N8 N12 U1 8/1/2010 Date S2 S6 S10 S14 10/1/2010 S3 S7 S11 S15 S4 S8 S12 U2 b) 500 400 300 200 100 0 4/1/2011 6/1/2011 N1 N5 N9 N13 N2 N6 N10 N14 8/1/2011 Date N3 N7 N11 N15 10/1/2011 N4 N8 N12 Groundwater Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) Groundwater Specific Conductivity (uS cm-1) 56 120 600 100 80 60 40 20 0 4/1/2011 S1 S5 S9 S13 6/1/2011 S2 S6 S10 S14 8/1/2011 Date S3 S7 S11 S15 10/1/2011 S4 S8 S12 Figure 1.18: Specific conductivity measurements of groundwater in piezometers for 2010 (a) and 2011 (b). Note the difference in scale of the y-axis. Geology Results Lidar data was used to help identify geologic contacts that were otherwise obscured by the boulder strewn hillslopes and large trees. The dominant geologic unit was the Bryan Meadows Granodiorite (Table 1.8). Tahoe age glacial deposits make up the dominant hillslope material immediately upslope from the peatland. These deposits contain a significant amount (>5%) of volcanic clasts up to 15 centimeters in diameter. The Tahoe moraines along the south side of Grass Lake occur below approximately 2650 meters (8694 ft), while Tahoe moraines along the north side of Grass Lake occur below approximately 2430 meters (7970 ft). Tioga age glacial deposits are distinguished by their sharp crests and form the terminal moraines near the east end of Grass Lake and down slope of the cirques located in the southern portion of the watershed. The majority of peat (95%) occurs in the lower portion of the watershed where groundwater from the hillslopes is discharged. Two other peat deposits are located in the GLRNA, forming the headwaters of Freel Meadows Creek and First Creek. The Echo Lake Granodiorite is limited to the southwest portion of the watershed. The undivided andesitic volcanic rocks are limited to the northern portion of the watershed, near Freel Meadows. Alluvial fan deposits occur at the mouths of all perennial streams, as well as the intermittent stream east of Waterhouse Creek. Open water was delineated using the lidar imagery and covers less than 2 ha (5 acres). Shallow soil probes were used to identify the interface between the peat and underlying coarse sediment. Peat depths increase at a rate of approximately 10% (0.1 m/m) from the shore for the first 10 to 30 meters in most locations, beyond which the peat depth increased rapidly. Resistant layers and/or probe instability in the deep, soft, and/or floating peat limited soil probe data to less than 5 meters below ground surface. Coarse sand and gravel deposits ranging from 0.1 to over 0.5 meter (0.3 to 1.6 feet) thick were encountered below the peat. Probing was limited to approximately the upper 57 1 meter (3 ft) on alluvial fans and revealed the presence of alternating peat and coarse sandy deposits along the edges. The fans are dominated by coarse sand, gravel, and cobbles. On the edges of the alluvial fans, peat thickness was more variable and contained interbedded layers of coarse sediment and peat on the order of 1.0 and 0.1 meter (0.3 to 3.0 ft) thick, respectively. Table 1.8: Areas of geologic units mapped in the GLRNA. Area Area Geologic Unit (ha) (acres) Water 1.8 4.5 Peat 101.1 249.8 Alluvium 20.1 49.6 Tioga 89.5 221.1 Tahoe 149.7 369.8 Undivided Andesitic Volcanic 24.0 59.2 Bryan Meadows Granodiorite 558.2 1379.3 Echo Lake Granodiorite 53.8 133.1 Total map area 998.1 2466.4 Percent of GLRNA 0% 10% 2% 9% 15% 2% 56% 5% 100% Peat Water Retention The peat samples were dominated by moss and vascular plant material that had experienced various levels of decomposition and some sediment. Sample PC1 contained notable sand and gravel (~10% volume), but was dominated by slightly decomposed to undecomposed vascular plant material. Sample PC2 contained moderately decomposed moss with some slightly decomposed vascular plant material near the top of the sample (<5% volume). Sample PC3 contained roughly equal parts vascular plant material and moss, both slightly decomposed. Sample PC4 contained undecomposed to slightly decomposed moss with minor amounts of undecomposed vascular plant material (<5%). The results of the water retention experiment are shown in Table 1.9. Samples PC1, PC2, and PC3 have similar saturated water content and water retention characteristics. Sample PC3 shows slightly less water retention than PC1 and PC2, but 58 the difference is not discernible when measurement errors are taken into account. Sample PC4 shows significantly less water retention than the other samples at suctions above approximately 0.17m. Samples PC3 and PC4 have lower bulk densities (0.16 and 0.12 g cm-3, respectively) than PC1 and PC2 (0.25 and 0.21 g cm-3, respectively). Sample PC4 has significantly lower saturated water content (76%) than the other samples (83%). The average saturated water content for all four samples is 81.5%. These results are consistent with the work of Boelter (1964). The average solid density of the nine subsamples is 1.15 g cm-3 (σ=0.35). The solid density for subsamples of PC1 had higher solid density (1.58 g cm-3) and a higher standard deviation (σ=0.31) than other samples. The higher solid density is attributed to the presence of approximately 10% sand and gravel by volume in the sample, and the higher standard deviation is attributed to unequal partitioning of the soil constituents during sample separation in the lab. Subsamples from PC4 had the lowest solid density (0.88 g cm-3) and lowest standard deviation (±0.09). Subsamples from PC2 and PC3 had intermediate solid densities and standard deviations of 0.97 (±0.11) and 0.98 (±0.17) g cm-3, respectively. The results of the peat retention experiments show that the water retention curves from a montane peatland that experiences heavy winter snowpack are consistent with earlier studies of peat from significantly different climatic regimes (Boelter, 1964; Dasberg & Neuman, 1977; Silins & Rothwell, 1998). The water retention in PC4 shows approximately 10% lower water retention than similar samples (“undecomposed mosses”) studied by Boelter (1964). This may be due to compression from the heavy snowpack, a higher level decomposition, or higher vascular plant content. All other samples fall within the range of samples reported as “partially decomposed mosses” and “herbaceous peat”. 59 Table 1.9: Physical properties and water retention characteristics of four peat samples collected from the Grass Lake Research Natural Area, South Lake Tahoe, CA. Thickness is the saturated thickness of the peat sample at the beginning of the experiment. Bulk densities (Db) were measured on a saturated volume basis. ρs is the density of the solids. θ(field) and θ(sat) are the field and saturated water content, respectively. θ(ψ) is the volumetric water content at suction ψ. PC1 PC2 PC3 PC4 thickness thickness thickness thickness (cm) 6.3 (cm) 7.1 (cm) 6.9 (cm) 8.0 Db (g/cc) 0.25 Db (g/cc) 0.21 Db (g/cc) 0.16 Db (g/cc) 0.12 ρs (g/cc) 1.58 ρs (g/cc) 0.99 ρs (g/cc) 1.14 ρs (g/cc) 0.88 θ(field) 0.77 θ(field) 0.82 θ(field) 0.78 θ(field) 0.73 θ(sat) 0.84 θ(sat) 0.83 θ(sat) 0.83 θ(sat) 0.76 ψ (m) θ (ψ) ψ (m) θ (ψ) ψ (m) θ (ψ) ψ (m) θ (ψ) 0.00 0.84 0.00 0.83 0.00 0.83 0.00 0.76 0.03 0.81 0.03 0.79 0.03 0.79 0.03 0.71 0.06 0.76 0.06 0.77 0.06 0.78 0.06 0.68 0.09 0.74 0.09 0.72 0.09 0.75 0.09 0.65 0.12 0.71 0.12 0.70 0.12 0.73 0.12 0.62 0.17 0.69 0.17 0.69 0.17 0.70 0.17 0.57 0.22 0.68 0.22 0.67 0.22 0.68 0.22 0.55 0.27 0.65 0.27 0.65 0.27 0.65 0.27 0.51 0.32 0.63 0.32 0.63 0.32 0.63 0.32 0.49 0.42 0.60 0.42 0.61 0.42 0.60 0.42 0.46 0.52 0.58 0.52 0.59 0.52 0.57 0.52 0.44 0.82 0.52 0.82 0.54 0.82 0.52 0.82 0.39 1.32 0.47 1.32 0.49 1.32 0.46 1.32 0.35 1.82 0.43 1.82 0.45 1.82 0.42 1.82 0.33 DISCUSSION Surface water outflows from the peatland exceed surface water inflows by midAugust in 2010 and late-July by 2011. Persistently positive VHGs in many of the piezometers suggest groundwater discharge from the coarse sediment beneath the peat for much of the season. Estimates of late-season groundwater flow into Grass Lake during the 2010 field season are similar to the expected ET requirements of the peatland. The rate of ET taken from applicable studies ranges from 2.6 to 7.6 mm day-1 (1.0 to 3.0 cfs over 24 hours) with an average value of 5.0 mm day-1 (2.0 cfs over 24 hours). The estimated average values of groundwater flow into the peatland range from 3.8 to 6.6 mm day-1 (1.5 to 2.6 cfs over 24 hours) after August 18, 2010. This suggests 60 that during years with a near average snowpack, late-season groundwater inflows may be adequate to meet the ET needs of the peatland. Groundwater flow into the peatland after August 16, 2011 was over 8.4 cfs and was the dominant component contributing to the water budget of the peatland. The contribution of water from the dewatering of the peat and lowering of the lake level may also contribute to stream outflow. This contribution can be estimated using the average rate of water table drop between mid-July and late-September, 2010 (2.77 mm day -1). Appling the average rate over the 75 day period results in a calculated water level approximately 0.208 m below the peat surface. This is significantly deeper than the average water level depth recorded in mid-September (0.123 meters) and hence represents a maximum estimate. Based on the water retention experiments, a suction pressure of 0.235 meters would result in a reduction of volumetric water content of approximately 18%. Assuming a constant rate of water table drop applied over the entire peat body with an average porosity of 81.5%, the dewatering of peat over a 75 day period could yield 33,100 m3 of water and account for a flow of approximately 0.5 mm day-1 (0.2 cfs over 24 hours). This suggests that dewatering of the peat alone is not capable of supplying the amount of water necessary to satisfy the late-season water budget calculations or the expected ET needs of approximately 3.0 to 5.0 mm day-1 (1.2 to 2.0 cfs over 24 hours). Based on the results of the water retention experiments, peat dominated by undecomposed moss is expected to release more water than peat dominated by herbaceous plant material or partially decomposed moss when the water table is lowered more than 0.17m. A decrease in the water table of this magnitude in an area where the peat is dominated by moss would result in a reduction of volumetric water content of approximately 19%. In contrast, the same decrease in the water table for a peat dominated by partially decomposed moss and/or herbaceous material would result 61 in a reduction of water content of only 14%. As such, areas with peat dominated by undecomposed and/or living moss are expected to experience a wider range of volumetric water content due to fluctuations in the water table than areas with peat dominated by partially decomposed moss and/or herbaceous plants. The significant differences in water retention characteristics may have important implications for plant communities, the distribution and movement of water within peatlands, and the response of the peat surface elevation to changing hydrologic conditions. The greater loss in volumetric water content may result in exposure to oxygen, leading to the decomposition of the organic material. This in turn is expected to result in higher water retention. The expected increase in water retention resulting from the partial decomposition of the moss may help to slow subsequent decomposition. 62 REFERENCES Armin, R.A., John, D.A, & Dohrenwend, J.C. (Cartographer). (1983). Geologic map of the Freel Peak 15-minute quadrangle, California and Nevada. Beckers, J., & Frind, E. O. (2000). Simulating groundwater flow and runoff for the Oro Moraine aquifer system. Part I. Model formulation and conceptual analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 229(3–4), 265-280. Benedict, N.B., & Major, J. (1982). A physiographic classification of subalpine meadows of the Sierra Nevada, California. Madrono, 29, 1-12. Berg, K.S. (1991). Establishment record for Grass Lake Research Natural Area within Eldorado National Forest, managed in Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit, in El Dorado County, California. Unpublished report on file: Pacific Southwest Research Station, Albany, California. Boelter, D. H. (1964). Water Storage Characteristics of Several Peats in situ. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J., 28(3), 433-435. doi: 10.2136/sssaj1964.03615995002800030039x Burke, M.T. (1987). Biological survey of Grass Lake candidate Research Natural Area. Davis, California: University Arboretum, University of California. Cayan, Daniel, Maurer, Edwin, Dettinger, Michael, Tyree, Mary, & Hayhoe, Katharine. (2008). Climate change scenarios for the California region. Climatic Change, 87(0), 21-42. doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9377-6 Clark, D. (2010). [Personal communication regarding unpublished research at Grass Lake Research Natural Area]. Clymo, R. S. (2004). Hydraulic conductivity of peat at Ellergower Moss, Scotland. Hydrological Processes, 18(2), 261-274. doi: 10.1002/hyp.1374 Comer, N.T., Lafleur, P.M., Roulet, N.T., Letts, M.G., Skarupa, M., & Verseghy, D.L. (2000). A test of the Canadian land surface scheme (class) for a variety of wetland types. Atmosphere-Ocean, 38(1), 161-179. Cooper, D.J., & Wolf, E.C. (2006a). Fens of the Sierra Nevada, California (pp. 47). Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado: Department of Forest, Rangeland and Watershed Stewardship. Cooper, D.J., & Wolf, E.C. (2006b). The influence of groundwater pumping on wetlands in Crane Flat, Yosemite National Park, California Report to Yosemite National Park, Yosemite, CA (pp. 52). Dasberg, S., & Neuman, S. P. (1977). Peat hydrology in the Hula Basin, Israel: I. Properties of peat. Journal of Hydrology, 32(3-4), 219-239. Green, C.T. (1998). Integrated studies of hydrogeology and ecology of Pope Marsh, Lake Tahoe. (Master of Science), University of California, Davis. Halford, K.J., & Kuniansky, E.L. (2002). Documentation of spreadsheets for the analysis of aquifer-test and slug-test data. U.S. Geological Survey, Open-File Report 02197, 51. Hammersmark, Christopher Trevor, Rains, Mark Cable , & Mount, Jeffrey F. . (2008). Quantifying the hydrological effects of stream restoration in a montane meadow, northern California, USA. River Research and Applications, 24(6), 735-753. Harman, Ciaran, & Sivapalan, Murugesu. (2009). Effects of hydraulic conductivity variability on hillslope-scale shallow subsurface flow response and storagedischarge relations. Water Resour. Res., 45, 1-15. doi: 10.1029/2008wr007228 Hill, Barry R. (1990). Groundwater discharge to a headwater valley, northwestern Nevada, U.S.A. Journal of Hydrology, 113(1-4), 265-283. Kelliher, F. M., Leuning, R., & Schulze, E. D. (1993). Evaporation and canopy characteristics of coniferous forests and grasslands. Oecologia, 95(2), 153-163. doi: 10.1007/BF00323485 63 Loheide, Steven P. II. (2008). A method for estimating subdaily evapotranspiration of shallow groundwater using diurnal water table fluctuations. Ecohydrology, 1(1), 59-66. Loheide, Steven P. II, & Gorelick, Steven M. (2005). A local-scale, high-resolution evapotranspiration mapping algorithm (ETMA) with hydroecological applications at riparian meadow restoration sites. Remote Sensing of Emvirionment, 98, 182200. Migon, Piotr, & Lidmar-Bergstrom, Karna. (2001). Weathering mantles and their significance for geomorphological evolution of central and northern Europe since the Mesozoic. Earth-Science Reviews, 56(1–4), 285-324. NRCS. (1999). Soil Taxonomy: a basic system of soil classification for making and interpreting soil surveys. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office. Pilgrim, David H., Huff, Dale D., & Steele, Timothy D. (1979). Use of Specific Conductance and Contact Time Relations for Separating Flow Components in Storm Runoff. Water Resour. Res., 15(2), 329-339. PRISM. (2013). PRISM Climate Group. Retrieved January 20, 2013, from http://prism.oregonstate.edu Ratliff, R.D. (1985). Meadows in the Sierra Nevada of California: state of knowledge. Berkeley, CA: Pacific Southwest Forest and Range Experiment Station. Rood, Dylan H., Burbank, Douglas W., & Finkel, Robert C. (2011). Chronology of glaciations in the Sierra Nevada, California, from 10Be surface exposure dating. Quaternary Science Reviews, 30(5–6), 646-661. Silins, U., & Rothwell, Richard L. (1998). Forest Peatland Drainage and Subsidence Affect Soil Water Retention and Transport Properties in an Alberta Peatland. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J., 62, 1048-1056. TRPA. (2012). Lake Tahoe Basin LiDAR. Retrieved 8/15, 2012, from http://dx.doi.org/10.5069/G9PN93H2 Twidale, C.R., & Vidal Romani, J.R. (2005). Landforms and Geology of Granite Terrains. London, UK: Taylor & Francis Group. Valat, Beatrice, Jouany, Claire, & Riviere, Louis M. (1991). Characterization of the Wetting Properties of Air-Dried Peats and Composts. Soil Science, 152(2), 100107. 64 CHAPTER 2: PIEZOMETER SCALE THERMAL MODELING AND PARAMETER ESTIMATIONS: IMPLICATIONS OF MODEL STRUCTURE AND THERMAL BOUNDARY CONDITIONS ABSTRACT Accurate measurements of subsurface temperatures can be used to constrain groundwater flux, as well as hydraulic conductivity when simultaneous measurements of hydraulic gradient are available. It is shown using analytical and numerical models that significant differences in subsurface temperatures (1°C) can be expected when the thermal properties of the piezometer material differ significantly from those of the surrounding substrate. To demonstrate this, indirect inversion schemes using synthetic data are used to estimate the original parameters used to generate the data. The parameter estimation runs with numerical models that specifically model the thermal effects of the metal piezometer perform significantly better than those that neglect the influence of the piezometer. In the parameter estimation runs that model the effects of the piezometer, the inclusion of signal entropy as an observation improves the accuracy of the parameter estimates. The parameter estimation scheme is applied to field data collected in Grass Lake, a montane peatland located near South Lake Tahoe, CA. 65 INTRODUCTION Propagation of heat flux and surface temperature variations into the subsurface is controlled by both conductive and convective heat transport. Heat transport by conduction is described by Fourier’s Law and depends only on the effective thermal properties of the materials present and the temperature gradient. Convection is the transfer of heat by the movement of fluids. Convection of heat by fluids can cause subsurface temperatures to deviate significantly from those expected in a purely conductive regime. The deviation depends on the temperature of the fluids, the fluid flux, and the direction of fluid flow. The relative role of conduction and convection in a one-dimensional homogeneous system can be described using the Péclet number. However, the Péclet number is not applicable to two-dimensional heterogeneous systems. In areas of infiltration, surface temperature fluctuations can be carried deeper into the subsurface than they would be by conduction alone. In areas of groundwater discharge, surface temperature fluctuations are attenuated quickly with depth and the temperature signal is influenced by the temperature of the upwelling groundwater. These trends have led to the use of vertically distributed temperature measurements to constrain estimates of vertical groundwater flow (Becker, Georgian, Ambrose, Siniscalchi, & Fredrick, 2004; Bravo, Jiang, & Hunt, 2002; Stallman, 1965). A review of heat as a groundwater tracer can found in Anderson (2005). Surface temperature perturbations attenuate with depth as heat energy is stored in the subsurface material. The temperature signal associated with diurnal changes in surface temperature are typically limited to the upper 1.5 meters, while larger seasonal changes can be detected at depths of up to 15 meters (Anderson, 2005). The appropriate sampling depth for temperature depends on the magnitude and duration of surface energy inputs, the thermal conductivity of the substrate, and the groundwater 66 flux. For example, Silliman et al. (1995) used temperature measurements in the upper 0.15 meter to constrain downward groundwater flow in a losing stream with diurnal surface water temperature variations on the order of 5ºC. Similarly, Becker et al. (2004) used temperature measurements in the upper 0.1 meter of a streambed to estimate groundwater discharge to sections of a gaining stream with similar temperature fluctuations. Bravo et al. (2002) used temperature measurements in the upper 5.5 feet (1.67 meters) to constrain annual groundwater flow to a wetland with annual air temperature variations on the order of 30ºC. Constantz et al (2001) suggest that a depth of approximately 0.15 meter is optimal for detecting temperature disturbances associated with recharge events on the order of 20 mm/hr (0.79 in/hr) in ephemeral streams of the American southwest. The installation of monitoring equipment with thermal properties that differ significantly from those of the surrounding substrate has the potential to disrupt the heat flow regime in the vicinity of the instruments, especially at the shallow depths affected by diurnal temperature fluctuations. Alexander and MacQuarrie (2005) used laboratory tests, field experiments, and numerical models to investigate the influence of different piezometer materials on subsurface temperatures. The piezometers in their study were constructed of PVC, which has low thermal conductivity (κ=0.2 W m-1 K-1) and low volumetric heat capacity (Cv=1950 kJ m-3 K-1), and or stainless steel, which has high thermal conductivity (κ=16.0 W m-1 K-1) and high volumetric heat capacity (Cv=3935 kJ m-3 K-1). All of their tests involved piezometer installations in saturated sand or gravel with a moderately high bulk thermal conductivity (2.2 W m-1 K-1) and moderate volumetric heat capacity (Cv=2120 kJ m-1 K-1). They concluded that the installation of piezometers, regardless of the material, did not significantly affect subsurface temperatures. In this investigation of the groundwater system supporting a montane peatland, durable stainless steel piezometers were installed due to the heavy winter snow pack 67 and harsh weather conditions. The high organic content of peat results in a significantly lower bulk thermal conductivity, with values as low as 0.2 W m-1 K-1 (Farouki, 1986; Kettridge & Baird, 2007). Installation of stainless steel piezometers in peat results in a much higher contrast in thermal conductivity than that explored by Alexander and MacQuarrie (2005). This study uses synthetic data generated from a heterogeneous numerical model that explicitly models the effects of a metal piezometer. Four sets of randomly generated parameters are used to explore the ability of the parameter estimation scheme to recover the original parameter values. The implementation of an ordinary differential equation describing heat flux and heat storage in the surface water layer is compared to a specified temperature boundary condition along the top boundary. The parameter estimation scheme is applied to field data collected in a piezometer located along the edge of Grass Lake, the largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada Mountains of California. Consideration of the thermal properties of the piezometer and the heat flux boundary condition was motivated by the need to investigate the discrepancy between the model results and field data. Background Peatlands are wetlands with thick organic soils that have formed in place. Peatlands provide unique habitats, covering 3% of the Earth’s surface and making up only 0.1% of the mountain landscape (Clymo, 2004; Cooper & Wolf, 2006b). In many areas of the Sierra Nevada Mountains peatlands are the only source of perennial moisture and support ecosystems with high biodiversity. The largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada is Grass Lake (~82 ha), located on Luther Pass, south of Lake Tahoe, California. High evapotranspiration rates and low summer precipitation in the Sierra Nevada Mountains suggest that most, if not all, montane peatlands in the Sierra Nevada 68 are sustained by substantial groundwater input. Peatlands that are sustained by groundwater input are termed “fens” (Benedict & Major, 1982; Cooper & Wolf, 2006b). Models of topographically driven groundwater flow through homogeneous media, in which the water table is represented as a subdued replica of surface topography, indicate significant vertical discharge in areas located at the base of hillslopes (Toth, 1963). In models of heterogeneous systems, a discontinuous lens of higher permeability substrate overlain by low permeability substrate results in the focusing of significant vertical discharge towards the down gradient end of the high permeability lens (Freeze & Witherspoon, 1967). Lowry et al. (2009) presented evidence that suggests groundwater springs in the Allequash Wetland, a peatland in Northern Wisconsin, are associated with the thinning of the sand/gravel aquifer. The thinning is associated with the steepening of the peat-aquifer contact and increased peat thickness with distance from the peatland margin. Flow models from their study show dominantly vertical flow through the relatively impermeable peat layers near this transition. At Grass Lake the peat is typically underlain by coarse sand and gravel deposits. The thickness of the peat increases with increasing distance from the edge of the peat. We assume that the topography and geometry of the peat underlying sediment results in dominantly vertical flow through the less permeable peat. This assumption is thought to produce negligible errors in temperature based estimates of flow when horizontal heat and fluid flows are <10% of the vertical (Lu & Ge, 1996). Motivation Diurnal fluctuations in air temperature at Grass Lake during the 2010 and 2011 field seasons ranged from 10 to 20 degrees Celsius, with a maximum temperature of 35°C and a minimum temperature of -5°C during the s tudy period. Figure 2.1 shows a 6-day period of recorded air temperature, temperature inside the piezometer at 13 cm below the peat surface (bgs), and temperature in the peat 20 cm away from the 69 piezometer and 12 cm bgs. The maximum air temperature (~30°C) occurred within a couple hours of noon, depending on the day. The maximum temperature in the piezometer (~16°C) and the peat (~19°C) occurred ap proximately 9 hours later (21:00). The minimum air temperature (~3°C) was recorded aro und dawn (6:00) and the minimum temperature inside the piezometer (~11°C) w as recorded within an hour of the minimum air temperature. However, the minimum temperature recorded in the surrounding peat (~14°C) occurred approximately 4 h ours later (10:00). The difference in maximum and minimum temperatures, and the difference in timing between the minimum temperature in the piezometer and peat, prompted consideration of the influence of the piezometer material on heat transport and the resulting temperature record. Recorded Temperatures at Piezometer S4 30 Temperature (C) 25 20 15 10 5 air peat, 12 cm bgs piezometer, 13 cm bgs 0 -5 7/16/2010 7/17/2010 7/18/2010 7/19/2010 7/20/2010 7/21/2010 7/22/2010 Date Figure 2.1: Six day temperature record for air, saturated peat 20 cm from the piezometer (12 cm bgs), and water within the piezometer (13 cm bgs). METHODS Approach An analytical model of subsurface heat transport with homogeneous thermal properties is compared to a numerical model with heterogeneous thermal properties 70 representing various piezometer materials installed in various substrates. Piezometers of various lengths were installed within Grass Lake. The length of the piezometers and measured depth to sand were used to define the model domains. Temperature data was extracted from the models at depths corresponding to the average depth of pressure transducers and temperature loggers installed in the field. Impacts of including the heterogeneity associated with the metal piezometer material (numerical model) are evaluated by comparing the results of the heterogeneous numerical model to those of the numerical and analytical models with homogeneous properties. The homogeneous numerical model (without the metal piezometer) produces the same results (±<0.01°C) as the analytical model. The analytical solution uses a specified temperature boundary condition along the upper surface, usually approximated by air temperature. A boundary condition that includes consideration of atmospheric and ground heat fluxes is more applicable to real world situations. Numerical simulation results using the specified temperature boundary condition equal to air temperature are compared to numerical simulation results using the atmospheric heat flux boundary condition. Natural convection due to uneven heating of water inside the piezometer is addressed through consideration of the Nusselt number, which is the ratio of heat transferred by natural convection to the heat transferred by conduction alone (see Numerical Model section below). Indirect inversion of the numerical models using UCODE ((Poeter, Hill, Banta, Mehl, & Christensen, 2005) is used to estimate the values of important thermal and hydrologic parameters. Synthetic observations are generated using random parameter values in the heterogeneous model. The parameter estimation process is tested by attempting to recover the original parameter values used to generate the synthetic data. The results of the parameter estimation process using the heterogeneous model is compared to the results using a homogeneous numerical. The effect of adding the 71 entropy of the temperature time series as an observation in the parameter recovery process is explored. The parameter estimation process is applied to data collected in Grass Lake. Data Collection Peat depth was measured near each piezometer using an extendable probe up to a depth of 5 meters. Peat depths increase at a rate of approximately 10% (0.1 m/m) from the shore for the first 10 to 30 meters in most locations, beyond which the depth to the coarse sediment increased rapidly. Resistant layers and/or probe instability in the deep, soft peat prevented deeper exploration. Coarse sand and gravel deposits were easily identified based on the feel of the probe moving through the material and confirmed by inspection of the sediment removed during piezometer installation. Coarse sediment deposits from 0.1 to 0.5 meter thick were measured below the peat. On the alluvial fans, peat thickness was more variable and often contained interbedded layers of coarse sediment and peat on the order of 0.1 and 1.0 meter (0.3 to 3.0 ft) thick, respectively. Piezometers constructed of 1.25-inch nominal schedule 40 pipe were installed along the edge of Grass Lake. The position chosen for each piezometer was based on the presence of surface water features (streams, springs, seeps, pools),the upslope geology, vegetation density, and peat depth. The piezometers were installed approximately 1 to 3 meters (3 to 10 feet) shoreward of where the depth to the sand/gravel deposits, and hence peat thickness, began increasing rapidly. The 6” (~15cm) screened interval of each piezometer was placed at a depth of 4.2 to 9.2 feet (1.3 to 2.8 meters), located in the sand and gravel layers that underlie the peat. Water temperature was measured both inside and outside (surface water) at each piezometer during field visits. 72 Piezometers were instrumented with Solinst Gold Levelloggers near the bottom of the piezometer and Onset TidBit v2 data loggers at various depths. The Gold Levelloggers record pressure with a stated accuracy of 2.5 mm (resolution < 0.1 mm) and temperature with a stated accuracy of ±0.05°C ( resolution 0.03°C). The TidBit v2 temperature sensor records temperature with a stated accuracy of ±0.2°C (resolution of 0.02°C). Atmospheric pressure and air temperature were recorded using Solinst Barologgers at two locations along the north edge of Grass Lake. The pressure from each Levellogger was corrected for fluctuations in atmospheric pressure using the Barologger data. Temperature and head were logged at hourly or shorter intervals. Data from piezometer S4 is used in the parameter estimation procedure discussed below. The uneven peat surface resulted in measurement uncertainties in the depth of the surface water present. The surface water depth was measured from the interface between the low density, living portion of the peat (acrotelm) and the higher density, nonliving portion of the peat (catotelm). The maximum depth of surface water within one meter of each piezometer was measured. A correction factor is considered in the parameter estimation procedure to address the difference between the measured water depth and the effective water depth influencing heat exchange with the atmosphere (see Numerical Model section below). The depths of the instruments were measured from the piezometer rim and estimated to accurate to within 2cm, less than the diameter of the instrument. The distance to the phreatic surface inside and outside of the piezometer was measured to +/- 1.6mm (0.0625-inch), allowing calculation of the vertical hydraulic gradient to better than 0.1%. 73 Analytical Model Heat transport influenced by fluid flow is described by coupling the governing equations for heat diffusion and fluid flow. The one-dimensional (1D) heat transport equation can be written as (Domenico & Schwartz, 1998): ∂Ti ∂ 2 T nρ c ∂T = α 2i − w w v z i (1) ∂t ∂z ρ ' c' ∂z where Ti is the temperature, vz is the steady-state average linear velocity of the water, n is the porosity, ρ’ is the bulk density of the saturated substrate, c’ is the specific heat capacity of the saturated substrate, and α is the thermal diffusivity of the saturated material, calculated as the ratio of the effective bulk thermal conductivity (κe) and the bulk volumetric heat capacity of the saturated material (C’=ρ’c’). The bulk volumetric heat capacity of the saturated material is calculated as: C ' = nCw + (1 − n)Cs (2) where Cs is the volumetric heat capacity of the solids (ρscs) and Cw is the volumetric heat capacity of water (ρwcw). Given the following initial and boundary conditions: Ti ( z,0) = 0, Ti (0, t ) = ∆Ti , (3) Ti ( z → ∞, t ) = 0, the analytical solution to equation (1) given (3) is: Ti ( z, t ) = ∆Ti 2 z − βt z + βt βz + exp erfc erfc α 2 αt 2 αt 74 (4) where ∆Ti is the magnitude of temperature perturbation at the boundary, erfc is the complimentary error function, and β=( ρwcw/ρ΄c΄)nvz. Equation (4) describes the propagation of a single temperature perturbation (∆Tw) into the subsurface. By the principle of superposition, and given an initial homogeneous temperature To equal to the temperature at z=∞, the temperature resulting from a series of temperature perturbations can be written as: T ( z , τ ) = To + ∑ Ti ( z, ti ) (5) where τ is the time since the beginning of the simulation and ti is the time elapsed since temperature perturbation i. The sum indicates the cumulative effects of all prior temperature perturbations (Ti). The analytical model described above has been used to estimate groundwater recharge (Silliman et al., 1995) and discharge (Becker et al., 2004) in streams. This formulation assumes a homogeneous medium, steady-state fluid flow, and a uniform initial temperature equal to the temperature at z=∞. The specified temperature along the upper boundary is allowed to vary with time. Numerical models that include material heterogeneity, transient fluid flow, and specified flux boundary conditions are more computationally expensive, but may be more applicable to real world field applications. The simulated temperatures and parameter estimation using the analytical model above are compared to those from numerical models that explicitly model the effects of the pipe and account for atmospheric heat fluxes. Numerical Model Numerical models that include heterogeneity and transient boundary conditions were constructed using the COMSOL numerical modeling package. The model domain 75 was designed to explore the effects of a metal pipe with high thermal conductivity (16 W m-1 K-1) installed in organic soils with low bulk thermal conductivity (0.5 W m-1 K-1). A two-dimensional axisymmetric model was constructed with the center of the piezometer located at the origin. The model domain (Figure 2.2) represents four different materials: 1) saturated substrate, 2) a 1¼-inch nominal, schedule 40 stainless steel pipe, 3) the water column inside the pipe, and 4) the underlying sediment. The bulk thermal and hydrogeologic parameters of each material were taken from the available literature and are listed in Table 2.1. The model domain is 1.5 m in the vertical direction with a radius of 1.0 m, representing a 4.7 m3 volume. The center of the pipe is located at r=0, the inner radius of the pipe is 17.5 mm, the outer radius is 21.0 mm, and the thickness of the metal is 3.5 mm. The domain is discretized using 9099 triangular mesh elements. The 4801 nodes are spaced 5mm along the edge of the domain (r=0) and the top of the peat surface (z=0). Node spacing is allowed to increase to approximately 10cm along the other edges of the domain. The constant vertical flux required for the solution of the analytical model was implemented in the numerical model by assigning constant specified head boundary conditions along the top and bottom of the domain. The head along the upper boundary (hu)is specified as zero and the head along the bottom boundary (hb) is specified as 0.15 meters. This imposes a steady-state vertical hydraulic gradient of 10%, a typical value observed in the spring and summer at Grass Lake (Chapter 1). Although the hydraulic conductivity of the peat (Kh) and sand are likely different, they are assigned the same hydraulic conductivity in these simulations in order to compare results with the same vertical flux. The assumption of steady-state fluid flow is relaxed in the simulations using field data. The sides of the domain (r=0 and r=1.0) are no flow boundaries. 76 Figure 2.2: Geometry and mesh for the numerical models. 77 Table 2.1: Parameters used in comparison between numerical and analytical models. (Domenico & Schwartz, 1998; Farouki, 1986; Ivanov, 1981) Thermal Heat Density of Hydraulic Conductivity, Capacity of bulk saturated Solids Material Porosity Conductivity Material (W m-1 C-1) (J kg-1 C-1) (kg m-3) (%) (m s-1) sand 2.2 800 2650 30 5.0E-06 peat 0.5 1900 400 80 5.0E-06 metal 16.0 490 8030 0 1.0E-20 PVC 0.2 1500 1300 0 1.0E-20 water 0.6 4174 1000 100 1.0E-20 The thermal boundary conditions required for the analytical solution are implemented in the numerical model by assigning a specified temperature boundary condition along the top and bottom of the domain. The analytical solution assumes a constant temperature equal to the initial temperature at z=∞. This is approximated by assigning a specified temperature, equal to the initial temperature, along the lower boundary (z=-1.5m). A sinusoidal function of temperature ranging from 25ºC to 5ºC with a period of 24 hours is used to represent diurnal fluctuations in temperature along the upper boundary. This assumes thermal equilibrium between the air and the surfaces of the piezometer and peat, a requirement for comparison with the analytical solution. The assumption of thermal equilibrium between the air and the peat surface is relaxed in the parameter estimation runs, where energy exchange with the atmosphere and heat storage in the surface water is considered. Comparison of Analytical and Numerical Models The solution to the analytical model is called simulation “A.” The numerical model (versions B,C, and D) are compared with the results of the analytical model, referred to as simulation “A”. Simulation “B” mimics the analytical solution by assigning the same thermal and hydrologic properties of the substrate to the pipe and enclosed water, effectively creating a homogeneous domain. The upper portion of the pipe (z>0) is retained in the homogeneous numerical simulations. For numerical simulations that 78 include a pipe, convective heat transport is eliminated in the pipe and enclosed water. The effects of explicitly modeling the thermal properties of a PVC, and of a metal piezometer, along with the enclosed water, are addressed in simulations “C” and “D”, respectively. Equivalent boundary and initial conditions were used for all simulations (A, B, C, and D). The same mesh was used for simulations B, C, and D. Natural Convection of Piezometer Fluids Heat flow due to natural convection inside the piezometer is approximated by consideration of the Nusselt number (NuL). The Nusselt number is the ratio of convective heat transfer to conductive heat transfer: N uL = qL α∆E (6) where q is the heat flux, α is the thermal diffusivity, and ∆E is the difference in energy density over the characteristic length (L). The difference in energy density is the product of the volumetric heat capacity (C=ρc) and the change in temperature (∆T). Using the definition for the thermal diffusivity of water (α=κ/cp ), equation (6) can be rewritten as: q = N uLκ ∆T L (7) Exploiting the similarity between equation (7) and Fourier’s Law used to describe heat conduction in the numerical models, heat transport by natural convection inside the piezometer is modeled using an effective thermal conductivity (κpw) equal to: κ eff = N uLκ w (8) where κw is the thermal conductivity of water. 79 Correlation equations are often used to describe the Nusselt number for systems in which the geometry influences heat flow (Churchill & Chu, 1975). For natural convection, the Nusselt number is often expressed as a function of the Rayleigh number and the Prandtl number. The Rayleigh number is a dimensionless number that expresses the ratio of buoyancy forces to viscous forces (Churchill & Chu, 1975): Ra = L3 gβ w ∆T (9) ν wα w where g is the acceleration due to gravity, βw is the thermal expansion coefficient of water, and νw is the dynamic viscosity of water. The Prandtl number is a dimensionless number that expresses the ratio of momentum diffusion through viscosity to thermal diffusion (Churchill & Chu, 1975): Pr = νw αw (10) The correlation equation for flow around a vertical pipe can be calculated as (Churchill & Chu, 1975): N uL = 0.68 + 0.670Ra L 1/ 4 [1 + (0.492 / Pr ) ] 9 / 16 4 / 9 (11) The correlation equation (11) is valid when the curvature of the pipe does not interfere with flow, specifically when D/L>35(Pr/RaL)1/4 where D is the diameter of the pipe and L is the length of the interface between the pipe surface and the fluid. This condition is not satisfied for the piezometers and temperature ranges in this study. However, in the absence of any applicable correlation equations in the literature, and assuming the curvature effects would tend to inhibit flow, equation (11) is assumed to 80 provide a reasonable maximum estimate of the ratio between conductive and convective heat transport due natural convection. The Rayleigh number was calculated to be 2.4x108 for the approximate temperature range recorded in the field (3 to 20 °C ) and a characteristic length equal to the approximate length of pipe above ground (0.1 m). This reasonably high value suggests heat transport due to natural convection may be important. The Prandtl number is approximately 7.0 for water under ambient conditions. Equation (11) gives a value of approximately 61 for the Nusselt number. This suggests the maximum heat transfer due to natural convection is on the order of 61 times higher than the thermal conductivity of still water. Increased thermal transport by natural convection inside the piezometer is approximated by considering an effective bulk thermal conductivity of the enclosed water (κpw) ranging from 0.58 to 36.0 W m-1 °C -1. Initial Conditions The initial temperature of the entire domain for all models used to explore the influence of the piezometer material is 5.0 ºC. The initial head is defined as a linear function of depth, with head along the top of the model equal to zero and head along the bottom equal to 0.15 meters. The simulation period used to explore the effects of the piezometer materials represents 6 days. In the numerical models used for the parameter estimation, the initial temperature profile was calculated assuming a semi-infinite solid with a uniform initial temperature equal to the temperature at depth (T∞) with constant surface heating (Ts). The solution to this problem is given by Carslaw and Jaeger (1959): −z T (z, t ) = T∞ + (Ts − T∞ ) * erfc 2 α pt (12) 81 where erfc is the complimentary error function. The temperature recorded by the lowest sensor at the start of the field season was taken as the temperature at depth (T∞). The position and average daily temperature of the sensor in the peat was used for z1 and T(z=z1,t=0) in equation (12), respectively. Equation (12) is solved for t0, the time since surface heating began, during each parameter estimation iteration and used to calculate T(z,0) for all depths. Atmospheric Heat Exchange Heat flux from various atmospheric components plays an important part in driving shallow subsurface temperatures. According to Brookfield (2009), neglecting atmospheric thermal components in simulations can result in simulated temperature differences of up to 10°C in the shallow subsurface (<10cm depth), with the relative importance of the components varying depending on site conditions. We consider long wave and short wave radiation fluxes, latent heat flux, and sensible heat flux to determine the thermal boundary condition along the upper boundary of the models based on the literature and data discussed below. Researchers from the Tahoe Environmental Research Center have been collecting incoming shortwave and longwave radiation data at Lake Tahoe since 1998. Data from the summers of 2010 and 2011 show daily incoming shortwave radiation with an average maximum value of approximately1050 W m-2 between 12:00 and 15:00, and an average minimum value of approximately zero from 22:00 to 6:00. The energy flux across a surface due to shortwave radiation is described by: Q net = (1 − rs ) K ↓ K (13) where rs is the albedo or reflection coefficient and K↓ is the incoming shortwave radiation. Shortwave radiation input is assumed to be negligible along the vertical surface of the 82 piezometer due to the vertical orientation and high reflectivity of the material. The albedo for meadows ranges from 0.03 for meadows inundated with water to 0.17 for meadows dominated by vascular plants (Chen et al., 2011; Gao & Merrick, 1996; Kellner, 2001; Peltoniemi et al., 2010). Data from the summers of 2010 and 2011 show incoming longwave radiation typically varied between 250 and 350 W m-2, with values typically above 300 W m-2 and a diurnal amplitude of approximately 60 W m-2. Outgoing longwave radiation can be approximated using the relationship: QLout = σTg 4 (14) where σ is the Steffan-Boltzman constant [W m-2 K-4] and Tg is the temperature of the ground [K] (Fassnacht, Snelgrove, & Soulis, 2001). Net longwave radiation (QLnet) is the difference between the incoming and outgoing longwave radiation. The latent heat flux is the heat removed from the system due to the conversion of liquid water to water vapor during evaporation and transpiration (“evapotranspiration”). The prevalence of clear skies and relatively low humidity in the Lake Tahoe region suggest that the latent heat flux is an important component of the energy balance. Priestly and Taylor (1972) show that the heat flux due to evapotranspiration in the absence of advective effects (i.e. wind) can be approximated using a modified form of the Penman equation: Qr = δ (NR − G ) , for NR >0 (δ + γ ) Qa = K crop Qr (15) (16) 83 where Qr is the reference latent heat flux, δ is the slope of the vapor pressure vs. air temperature curve [kPa C-1], γ is the psychrometric constant [kPa C-1], NR is the net radiation [W m-2], and G is the ground heat flux. The actual latent heat flux is given by Qa and Kcrop is defined as the ratio of actual latent heat flux to the latent heat flux from a reference crop. The reference crop is typically a well watered lawn with ample moisture. Kellner (2001) found that the mean value of Kcrop ranged from 0.61 to 0.77 for a sphagnum peatland in Sweden. The value δ was calculated using the relationship presented by Hidalgo et al. (2005): es = 0.6108e (17.27Ta / (Ta + 237.3)) (17) δ = 4099es / (Ta + 237.3)2 (18) where es is the saturation vapor pressure and Ta is the air temperature. The psychrometric constant appearing in equation (15) is defined as: γ = ca Pa /(0.622 ∗ λw ) (19) where ca is the heat capacity of air [J kg-1 K-1], Pa is the atmospheric pressure [kPa]. Sensible heat is the amount of heat energy exchanged between a surface and the air due to differences in temperature only. The sensible heat flux was calculated using the CLASS scheme described by Verseghy (1991): Qh = ρ a ca va C D (Ta − Ts ) (20) where ρa is the density of air (1.2 kg m-3), va is the wind speed (1.8 m s-1 estimated), CD is the drag coefficient (0.002), Ta is the air temperature, and Ts is the surface temperature. In this formulation a positive Qh indicates heat flow from the air into the 84 model domain. The thermal boundary condition along the surface of the piezometer is defined as the sensible heat flux. Implementation of Atmospheric Heat Exchange Atmospheric heat exchange was implemented by solving the following ordinary differential equation (ODE) describing heat flux and thermal storage in a shallow surface water layer: dT = (QKnet + QLnet − Qa + Qh + G ) ( ρ wCwd sw ) dt (21) where dsw is the depth of surface water. The ground heat flux (G) is calculated as the sum of the nodal heat flux along the peat surface divided by the length of the peat surface. A positive value for G indicates heat flow from the ground (numerical domain) into the surface water boundary layer. Equation (21) is solved for T for each time step and the resulting temperature is applied as a Dirichlet boundary condition along the upper boundary. Field measurements of the depth of surface water vary significantly due to the uneven nature of the peat surface. It is assumed the effective surface water depth is ½ the maximum water depth measured within 1m of the piezometer. However, the effects of this assumption are explored by calculating an effective depth (dsw) based on the maximum depth recorded in the field (dm) using a multiplication factor (fsw) such that : d sw = f swd m (22) Entropy Nonlinear regression of complex models with multiple parameters are often illposed in the sense that multiple non-unique parameter sets may exist that produce local minima in the objective function (Poeter et al., 2005). Initial parameter estimation 85 attempts using only hourly temperature data failed to recover the original parameter values and produced a poor fit to the synthetic observations. This failure was attributed to the presence of local minima in the objective function. Inspection of the temperature time series of the synthetic observations and that resulting from the parameter estimation process revealed significant differences in the complexity of the signal. Entropy, in the context of Information Theory, is used to quantify the amount of information contained in a signal. The entropy of a signal is defined as: H ( X ) = − ∑ pi ( x ) log pi ( x ) (23) where p(x) is the probability mass function of X. The entropy of a system increases as the number of potential states increases. Conversely, repetition of states leads to a reduction in entropy. A system with only one potential state (x’) and probability density p(x)=δ(x-x’), where δ is the Dirac delta function, will have zero entropy. When the base of the logarithm is 10, the units of H(X) are “dits.” Following Shannon’s (1948) interpretation of entropy as a measure of information contained in a signal, a model that fails to reproduce the entropy of a signal fails to accurately simulate the information contained in the forcing data and/or the conveyance of information through the system. Following this line of reasoning, the entropy of each temperature time series is treated as an observation in the sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation runs. The probability density function used to calculate the entropy for each signal is defined as: pi ( x ) = ni N (24) 86 where ni is the number of hourly temperatures (rounded to the nearest 0.1°C) equal to Ti and N is the total number of unique hourly temperature values contained in the overall signal. Observation Weights The weights assigned to observations need to produce weighted residuals that all have the same units and reflect the errors associated with the observations (Hill & Tiedeman, 2007). In these simulations, the weight is calculated as: wi = 1 σi2 (25) where σi is the standard deviation of the observation. The instrument resolution of 0.2°C was used as the standard deviation for all hourly temperature measurements. The standard deviation of daily mean temperatures was also assumed to be 0.2°C. The standard deviation of the entropy was estimated to be 0.02 dits based on the reproducibility of entropy calculations from simulations with the same parameters. This represents a change in pi of 1/72 or 1.4%. A weight multiplier is used to adjust the contribution of each group of observations to the overall objective function. The observations in this study are grouped into: hourly temperature, daily mean temperature, and entropy. A weight multiplier of 1.0 was assigned to the hourly temperature measurements and a weighting factor of 24 is assigned to the daily mean temperature group. This achieves similar overall contributions to the objective function for the 720 hourly temperature measurements and the 30 daily mean temperature measurements. Weighted residuals from the sensitivity analysis suggest a weight multiplier of 24.0 applied to the group of entropy observations (n=3) would result in a contribution to the objective function similar to that for the other groups of observations. 87 Model Sensitivity The process model described above, with atmospheric heat flux components, contains eight unknown parameters: αp, Kcrop, Kh, rs, κpw, fsw, Ts, and T∞. Reasonable parameter values were determined from the available literature (Table 2.2) and used to generate a synthetic temperature time series representing observations. The response of the model to a change (perturbation) in each parameter value (Table 2.3) is evaluated. These perturbations produce a significant change in the model output and/or represent the maximum range of parameter values expected. The perturbation amounts used to determine sensitivities in each parameter estimation run are 1/5th the perturbations used in the original sensitivity analysis. For convenience, the log transformed values of Kh and αp are reported. Table 2.2: Parameter values influencing heat flow in numerical simulations involving atmospheric heat exchange. Values are based on data reported in the cited literature. Parameter High Low Sources Campbell and Williamson (1997); Kellner (2001); Priestley and Taylor (1972); Kcrop 1.10 0.60 Thompson, Campbell, and Spronken-Smith (1999) Ivanov (1981); Letts, Roulet, Comer, Skarupa, log(Kh) -3.66 -8.00 and Verseghy (2000); Lowry et al. (2009); (log[ms-1]) Price (2003) Farouki (1986); Kettridge and Baird (2007); log(αp) -6.76 -7.88 Letts et al. (2000); Peters-Lidard, Blackburn, (log[Wm-1K-1]) Liang, and Wood (1998) Chen et al. (2011); Gao and Merrick (1996); rs 0.17 0.03 Kellner (2001); Peltoniemi et al. (2010) κpw 36.0 0.58 Welty, Wicks, Wilson, and Rorrer (2008) (Wm-1K-1) Field observation assuming the effective fsw 1.10 0.10 surface water depth ranges from 110% to 10% of the maximum measured depth (dm) Average daily air temperature recorded in the Ts 15.0 7.0 field T∞ 5.0 3.0 Temperature recorded in bottom of piezometer 88 Table 2.3: Parameter values used in the sensitivity analysis and generation of synthetic data used in parameter estimation. Perturbation amounts used in the parameter estimation procedure were 1/5th of the values listed here. Initial Perturbation Perturbed Parameter Value Amount Value Set 1 Set 2 Set 3 Set 4 Kcrop 0.80 0.2 0.96 0.79 0.92 0.66 0.75 log(Kh) -5.00 -0.2 -4.00 5.72 5.04 7.45 4.57 log(αp) -7.06 -0.1 -6.35 7.13 6.90 6.60 6.80 rs 0.13 0.5 0.20 0.09 0.19 0.15 0.14 fsw 0.50 1.5 1.25 0.45 1.08 0.81 0.76 Κpw 14.00 1.5 35.00 9.38 18.87 23.47 49.05 Ts 10.00 0.5 15.00 7.90 11.74 10.64 7.72 T∞ 3.0 0.5 4.00 3.38 4.25 3.48 3.71 Parameter Estimation Approach The inverse modeling package UCODE facilitates parameter estimation for a given process model or set of models. The estimation process uses a modified GaussNewton method for nonlinear regression to minimize the sum of squared weighted residuals (SSWR) between the output from the process model with a given set of parameters and the values of the observations the model is intended to simulate (Poeter et al., 2005). Sensitivities for simulations in this study were derived by perturbing the parameter values, running the process model, and comparing the resulting SSWR to that of the results of the model with the unperturbed parameter values. To test the ability of the parameter estimation approach, we used the numerical model with a metal piezometer and heat flux boundary condition to generate four sets synthetic data representing 10 days of hourly temperature observations. The parameter values were taken from a uniform distribution with upper and lower limits defined by the literature values (Table 2.3). The synthetic observations were extracted from the model domain at three sampling locations: shallow peat (r1=100mm, z1=150mm), shallow piezometer (r2=0mm, z2=150mm), and mid-piezometer (r3=0mm, z3=500mm). The daily 89 mean temperatures and hourly temperatures at each sampling location were used as observations for PE1. The signal entropy was added as additional observations to PE2. Indirect inversion with UCODE is used to estimate the parameter values that best reproduce the synthetic observations generated using four sets of parameters. Parameter estimates using the homogeneous numerical model with air temperature defining the upper boundary condition (PE1A and PE2A) are compared to those estimated using the heterogeneous numerical model that include a metal piezometer and atmospheric heat exchange (PE1B and PE2B). The homogeneous numerical model has been shown to closely approximate the analytical solution. The three most sensitive parameters (Kcrop, log(Kh), and log(αp)) determined from the sensitivity analysis (below) are used in the PE1B and PE2B parameter estimation. Atmospheric heat exchange is not considered in PE1A and PE2A. As such, only log(Kh), and log(αp) are estimated. The approach used in PE2B is applied to field data collected at piezometer S4 (Chapter 1). Instrument uncertainty and environmental noise in the temperature signal were considered in the indirect inversions using the synthetic data as observations. Uncertainty in air temperature was addressed by adding uniformly distributed noise between ±2.5°C to the air temperature data. This s hift in air temperature was used to generate the synthetic data but not used in the parameter estimation iterations. Instrument uncertainty was addressed by shifting the synthetically generated temperature records for each location by a random number taken from a uniform distribution between ±0.1°C. 90 RESULTS Comparison of Analytical and Numerical Models Results for the analytical and numerical simulations with sand as the substrate are presented in Figure 2.3. The close match between the analytical model (As), homogeneous (Bs), PVC piezometer (Cs), and metal piezometer (Ds) numerical models support the conclusion of Alexander and MacQuarrie (2005). That is, the piezometer material does not significantly affect the temperature in the subsurface when the substrate has a sufficiently high thermal conductivity, such as sand. The difference between all numerical models and the analytical solution is always less than 0.2ºC. The discrepancy is greater at shallow depths and more pronounced in the simulations that include a PVC pipe, which results in the highest contrast of thermal properties. Results for the simulations with peat as the substrate are presented in Figure 2.4. Simulations with the explicitly modeled metal piezometer in peat (Dp) show a significant deviation from the analytical solution, while the other simulations (Bp and Cp) match the analytical solution relatively well. The high thermal conductivity of the metal piezometer in the low thermal conductivity peat results in the extrema being shifted approximately 3 hours earlier at a depth of 10cm, and approximately 6 hours earlier at a depth of 20cm. The diurnal temperature fluctuations in simulation Dp are approximately 4.9 ºC at a depth of 10cm, while those in the other simulations are 3.2ºC. The maximum daily temperature at a depth of 10 cm after 6 days is approximately 1.4ºC higher in simulation Dp than the other simulations, while the minimum temperature is 0.2ºC lower. The diurnal fluctuation at 20cm is less than 0.5ºC in simulations Ap, Bp, and Cp, but increases to approximately 0.9ºC for simulation Dp. The close fit between simulations Ap, Bp, and Cp suggests that the low thermal conductivity of the PVC has a negligible impact on subsurface temperatures. 91 Figure 2.3: Simulation results with sand as the substrate. The analytical solution (As) closely matches the numerical solutions (Bs, Cs, and Ds), regardless of the piezometer material or lack thereof. 92 Figure 2.4: Simulation results with peat as the substrate. The analytical solution (Ap) closely matches the numerical simulation with homogeneous thermal properties (Bp) and the numerical solution that explicitly models the effects of the PVC pipe (Cp). However, the analytical solution does not match the numerical solution that explicitly models the effects of the metal pipe (Dp). Comparison of Air Temperature and Atmospheric Heat Exchange Surface temperatures calculated in models with the atmospheric heat flux contributions are higher than the recorded air temperature. The daily extrema in surface water temperatures for simulations using the “initial parameter” values (Table 2.4), a maximum surface water depth of 0.1 meter, and field data for a 10 day period are approximately 5 to 6°C higher than the correspondin g measured extrema in daily air temperatures (Figure 2.5). The maximum temperatures simulated in the surface water boundary layer occur approximately 2.5 hours after the maximum air temperatures 93 recorded in the field, while the minimum temperatures occur within 30 minutes of each other. Figure 2.5: Comparison between recorded air temperature and surface water temperature resulting from considerations of atmospheric heat exchange. Heat flux into the surface water layer is positive when heat is being added to the boundary layer, either from the atmosphere or the ground, and negative when heat is removed from the surface water. The dominant component of heat flux described by equation (21) is the net shortwave radiation (red pentagrams, Figure 2.6), providing a daily maximum input of up to 900 W m-2, with a daily mean of 254 W m-2. The latent heat flux (blue crosses) has the second highest magnitude and is of opposite sign, 94 Table 2.4: Changes in modeled temperatures resulting from parameter perturbations used in the sensitivity analysis. CSS is the composite scaled sensitivity calculated by UCODE and H is entropy of the signal. The minimum, maximum, and average changes in temperature (∆T) are calculated using days 2 through 10, with values using all 10 days in parenthesis. shallow peat pert val CSS ∆H (dits) 0.2 0.96 0.42 -0.13 -5.00 -0.2 -4.00 0.90 -0.43 log(αp) -7.06 -0.1 -6.35 1.00 0.17 rs 0.13 0.5 0.20 0.03 -0.02 fsw 0.50 1.5 1.25 0.02 -0.03 κpw 14.00 1.5 35.00 0.01 0.01 Ts 10.00 0.5 15.00 0.02 0.03 T∞ 3.00 0.5 4.00 0.07 0.02 param initial value pert Kcrop 0.80 log(Kh) 95 ave ∆T -2.2 (-2.0) -5.0 (-5.4) 2.0 (2.0) -0.3 (-0.3) -0.7 (-0.6) 0.2 (0.2) 0.1 (0.2) 0.5 (0.5) max ∆T -0.7 (0.0) -1.9 (-0.1) 5.8 (6.4) -0.1 (0.0) -0.1 (0.2) 0.3 (0.3 ) 0.7 (0.8) 0.6 (0.6) shallow piezometer min ∆T -3.3 (-3.3) -7.5 (-7.5) -1.0 (-1.0) -0.5 (-0.5) -1.2 (-1.2) 0.0 (-0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.4 (0.0) ∆H (dits) -0.14 -0.23 0.11 -0.01 -0.10 0.06 -0.02 0.01 ave ∆T -2.4 (-2.2) -4.1 ( -4.4) 1.7 (1.6) -0.4 (-0.3) -0.7 (-0.6) 0.4 (0.4) 0.1 (0.2) 0.5 (0.5) max ∆T -0.8 (0.0) -1.8 (-0.7) 4.4 (4.6) -0.1 (0.0) 0.2 (0.4) 1.7 (1.8) 0.6 (0.8) 0.6 (0.6) mid-piezometer min ∆T -3.5 (-3.5) -6.2 (-6.2) -0.6 (-0.8) -0.5 (-0.5) -1.7 (-1.7) -0.4 (-0.4) 0.0 (0.0) 0.4 (0.1) ∆H (dits) -0.13 -0.75 0.21 -0.02 -0.03 0.04 0.01 -0.08 ave ∆T -0.3 (-0.3) -1.3 (-1.4) 2.6 (2.4) 0.0 (0.0) -0.1 (-0.1) 0.4 (0.3) 0.0 (0.0) 1.2 (1.2) max ∆T 0.0 (0.0) -0.1 (0.0) 3.4 (3.4) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.5 (0.5) 0.0 (0.0) 1.4 (1.5) min ∆T -0.8 (-0.8) -3.1 (-3.1) 0.7 (0.0) -0.1 (-0.1) -0.2 (-0.2) 0.2 (0.0) -0.0 (-0.0) 1.1 (1.1) removing a maximum of approximately 530 W m-2. The daily mean heat flux out of the surface water layer (129 W m-2) is comparable to values reported by Comer et al. (2000) for 8 wetlands throughout Canada and the northern United States (69 to 142 W m-2 for fens and 105 to 199 W m-2 for bogs). The maximum sensible heat flux during the day ranges from 32 to 91 W m-2. The minimum sensible heat flux drops to as low as -165 W m-2 and occurs at approximately 9:00pm, when the warm surface water is losing heat to the cooler air. The daily mean sensible heat flux is -11 W m-2. The minimum ground heat flux (green diamonds) during the day is -147 W m-2, when the warm water is losing heat to the subsurface. The maximum ground heat flux during the night is 57 W m-2, when the warm peat is losing heat to the surface water. The daily mean ground heat flux is 17 W m-2. The net long-wave radiation (black boxes) is always negative and ranges from -170 W m-2 during the night to -4 W m-2 during the day, with a daily mean of -104 W m-2. The net heat flux out of the boundary layer (pink stars) is the highest (-270 W m-2) during the evening, when heat loss due to long wave radiation, sensible heat flux, and ground heat flux are the highest. The net heat flux into the boundary layer is the highest (197 W m-2) during mid-day. The daily mean heat flux out of the surface water layer is 50 W m-2. 96 Figure 2.6: Components of the energy balance equation used to define atmospheric heat exchange in the surface water layer. Positive values indicate heat flow into the surface water boundary layer described by Equation (21). Sensitivity Analysis The temperature time series resulting from simulations using the initial parameter set and perturbed values are listed in Table 2.3 are shown Figure 2.7. Results for parameter perturbations that produced a maximum change in the absolute value of temperature less than 1.0°C are not shown for clari ty. Differences in entropy, minimum, maximum, and average temperature are shown in Table 2.4. Heat associated with initial conditions affects the average, minimum, and maximum temperatures within the first 24 hours of the simulation. As such, the average, minimum, and maximum differences in temperature are calculated using the last 9 days of the simulation, with calculations using all 10 days reported in parenthesis. 97 The increase in log(Kh) (Figure 2.7, light blue diamonds) used in the sensitivity analysis represents an order of magnitude increase in hydraulic conductivity. This perturbation of Kh produced a decline in temperature over the 10 day simulation and the largest decrease in entropy at all depths. The maximum difference in temperature ( 7.5°C) occurred in the shallow peat near the end of the simulation. This decrease in temperature is due to an increase in cold water flowing up through the peat. The decrease in entropy is associated with a damping of the surface temperature fluctuations by the upward flow of cooler groundwater, leading to a loss in the information content of the signal. The increase in log(αp) (Figure 2.7, red squares) represents an increase in thermal conductivity of the peat from an initial value of 0.3 to 1.6 W m-2, assuming a volumetric heat capacity of 3.5x106 J m-3 °C -1. This change could theoretically represent an increase in the sediment content of the peat (e.g. Farouki, 1986). The increase in thermal diffusivity results in more extreme diurnal temperature fluctuations in the shallow peat and shallow piezometer, but a continuous increase in temperature in the midpiezometer. The greatest increase in amplitude occurs in the shallow peat with temperature increases up to 6.4°C. The average dai ly temperatures are higher for all sampling locations, with the greatest overall increase occurring in the mid-piezometer. The higher diurnal fluctuations and increase in average daily temperature are due to more effective conduction of the surface temperature fluctuations into the peat. The entropy of the temperature signal increases at all sampling locations, with the greatest increase occurring in the mid-piezometer. The increase in entropy is due to the increase in the range of distinct temperature values contained in each signal. The perturbation of Kcrop represents a 20% increase in evapotranspiration. This perturbation produced the second largest decrease in entropy at all locations and a continuous decrease in temperature at the shallow sampling locations. The maximum 98 decrease in temperature (-3.6°C) occurs in the shal low piezometer. The biggest difference in minimum temperature occurs in the mid-piezometer (-0.8°C). The decrease in temperature is due to the increased latent heat flux associated with an increase in Kcrop, representing an increase in evapotranspiration. The increase in the surface water depth factor (fsw, Figure 2.7, dark blue triangles) represents a change in effective surface water depth from 0.05 to 0.125 m. This change results in a decrease in average temperature, with a greater decrease experienced at shallower depths in the model. The minimum temperature also decreases in all sampling locations, with the greatest decreases occurring at shallower depths. The decrease in temperature is due to increased heat storage in the deeper surface water layer, and hence less heat available to affect subsurface temperatures. The entropy decreases for all sampling locations, with the largest decrease occurring in the shallow piezometer. The decrease in entropy is attributed to the damping of the heat flux signal resulting from increased heat storage in the surface water layer. The effective thermal conductivity of the piezometer water (κpw) used in the sensitivity analysis is approximately equal to the maximum expected value resulting from consideration of the Nusselt number. This change produces higher average and maximum temperatures and lower minimum temperatures in the shallow piezometer. A small increase in average, minimum, and maximum temperatures occurs in the other sampling locations. The entropy increases are greatest for sampling locations in the piezometer. These temperature changes and increase in entropy is attributed to enhanced heat transport into the subsurface within the piezometer. 99 Figure 2.7: Change in temperature for parameter perturbations from parameter values estimated from the literature: thermal diffusivity (red squares), crop coefficient (green upward triangles), hydraulic conductivity (light blue diamonds), surface water depth (dark blue downward triangles), piezometer water effective bulk thermal conductivity (blue circles), initial surface temperature (pink plus signs). Parameter values and perturbation amounts are found in Table 2.3. Parameter Estimation of Synthetic Data The fit of the temperature time series from each parameter estimation run to the original data is illustrated for parameter set 1 (Figure 2.8). The resulting temperatures from PE2A produce a very poor fit to the synthetic observations. The fit is significantly improved by using the numerical model (PE1B and PE2B). These discrepancies support the use of the more complex heterogeneous models that explicitly model the thermal properties of a metal piezometer in substrate with low thermal conductivity. 100 The values of Kh estimated in PE1A, using the homogeneous model and air temperature boundary condition, differed by up to 4.3 orders of magnitude from the original values used to generate the synthetic observations. In all but parameter set 2 the estimate of Kh reached the minimum constraint of 1x10-10 m s-1. Estimates of αp were off by -0.6 to 1.0 orders of magnitude. Inclusion of the signal entropy (PE2A) did not improve the accuracy of the parameter estimates (Table 2.5). The estimates of Kh from PE1B, using the heterogeneous model and heat flux boundary condition, were not consistently improved compared to the starting values. The value of hydraulic conductivity (Kh) was estimated to within 2.26 orders of magnitude of the original value (Table 2.5). The starting values of Kh were closer to the original values than those resulting from PE1B for all but one parameter sets (set 3). The value of thermal diffusivity (αp) was recovered to within 0.45 orders of magnitude of the original value. The crop coefficient (Kcrop) was recovered to within 0.18 of the original value. All starting parameter values were closer to the original values than those estimated in PE1B, except those in set 3 and αp in set 4. However, the temperatures generated using the values estimated in PE1B are much closer to the synthetic data than those generated using the starting parameters (Figure 2.8). The recovery of Kh was improved by addition of the signal entropies to the observations (PE2B) for all but set 3. Hydraulic conductivities were estimated to within 0.94 order of magnitude of the original value (Table 2.5). This is attributed to the sensitivity of the modeled signal entropy to values of Kh (Table 2.4). Thermal diffusivity was estimated to within 0.50 order of magnitude and the crop coefficient was recovered to within 0.18 of the original value, values similar to those estimated in PE1B (Table 2.5). The estimates of Kh, αp, and Kcrop were closer to the original values for sets 3 and 4, while the starting values were closer to the original values in sets 1 and 2. The 101 temperatures generated using the parameter values estimated in PE2B are similar to those generated using values from PE1B (Figure 2.8). Parameter Estimation of Field Data Temperature data recorded in piezometer S4 is used to estimate parameter values using the same scheme as PE2B discussed above. The maximum temperature discrepancy between the field observations and the simulation with the estimated parameter values is 2.7°C and occur in the mid-piez ometer (Figure 2.9). Based on the sensitivity analysis, these discrepancies may be reduced by considering the effects of natural convection within the piezometer (through Κpw) and the depth of surface water (fsw). The estimates of Kh (6.1x10-6 m s-1) and αp (2.0x10-8 m s-1) fall within the range of values reported in the literature. The estimate of Kcrop is 0.1 lower than the value reported by Kellner (2001). However, this difference is comparable to the differences associated with recovering the original parameters used to generate the synthetic data. 102 103 Table 2.5: Parameter estimation (PE) results for synthetic data sets. Original values were taken from a uniform distribution constrained by literature values (Table 2.1). Parameter estimation runs PE1A (without entropy) and PE2A (with entropy) use the analytical model with the upper boundary condition defined by the air temperature. Parameter estimation runs PE1B (without entropy) and PE2B (with entropy) use the numerical model with the upper boundary condition defined by atmospheric heat exchange (equation 21). Parameter Paramete Origin Starting PE1A PE2A PE1B PE2B (range) r Set al Start PE1A PE2A PE1B PE2B Diff. Diff. Diff. Diff. Diff. 0.80 NA NA 0.68 0.66 -0.01 NA NA 0.10 0.12 set 1 0.79 set 2 0.92 0.80 NA NA 1.10 1.10 0.12 NA NA -0.18 -0.18 Kcrop (1.1 to 0.6) set 3 0.66 0.80 NA NA 0.56 0.55 -0.14 NA NA 0.11 0.11 set 4 0.75 0.80 NA NA 0.82 0.75 -0.05 NA NA -0.07 -0.01 Average (Kcrop) 0.78 0.80 NA NA 0.79 0.77 -0.02 NA NA -0.01 0.01 set 1 5.72 5.00 10.00 10.00 7.98 6.65 0.72 -4.28 -4.28 -2.26 -0.94 set 2 5.04 5.00 4.37 4.82 6.23 5.74 0.04 0.67 0.22 -1.19 -0.71 -log(Kh) (-3.7 to -8.0) set 3 7.45 5.00 10.00 10.00 7.37 6.73 2.45 -2.55 -2.55 0.08 0.72 set 4 4.57 5.00 7.44 10.00 5.92 4.87 -0.43 -2.87 -5.43 -1.34 -0.30 Average (-log(Kh)) 5.69 5.00 7.95 8.71 6.87 6.00 0.69 -2.26 -3.01 -1.18 -0.30 set 1 7.13 7.06 6.17 6.18 6.78 6.86 0.08 0.96 0.95 0.35 0.27 set 2 6.90 7.06 7.44 7.50 7.34 7.40 -0.16 -0.54 -0.60 -0.45 -0.50 -log(αp) (-6.8 to -7.9) set 3 6.60 7.06 5.85 5.93 6.62 6.59 -0.46 0.75 0.67 -0.02 0.00 set 4 6.80 7.06 6.48 6.42 6.71 6.68 -0.25 0.32 0.39 0.09 0.13 Average (-log(αp)) 6.86 7.06 6.49 6.51 6.86 6.88 -0.20 0.37 0.35 -0.01 -0.02 Figure 2.8: Temperature time series for parameter set 1. See text for description of the parameter estimation schemes. 104 Figure 2.9: Comparison of field observations from piezometer S4, starting parameter values, and estimated parameter values. DISCUSSION Metal piezometers with high thermal conductivity (16.0 W m-1 K-1) installed in peat with low thermal conductivity (0.5 W m-1 K-1), results in significantly higher water temperatures (3°C) recorded inside the piezometer c ompared to water temperatures recorded outside the piezometer. Numerical models that explicitly account for the thermal effects of the metal piezometer show temperature differences similar to those seen in the field (2°C). Field data shows synchron icity in maximum temperatures inside and outside the piezometer, while minimum temperatures occur earlier inside the piezometer than outside the piezometer. This discrepancy is thought to be a result of natural convection inside the piezometer. Numerical models show maximum and 105 minimum temperatures occurring earlier inside the piezometer. Numerical modeling results suggest the thermal effects of the piezometer are negligible when installed in substrate with high thermal conductivity, such as sand (2.2 W m-1 K-1). Previous studies have used air temperature to define the upper thermal boundary condition (Becker et al., 2004; Bravo et al., 2002; Stallman, 1965). However, considerations of atmospheric heat exchange produce surface temperatures that are significantly higher (5°C) than the air temperature . This difference is expected to produce significant differences in parameter estimates based on subsurface temperature measurements. Parameter estimation by indirect inversion was accomplished using the UCODE modeling software. The parameter estimation scheme was tested using synthetic data generated by the numerical model using four sets of eight parameter values derived from uniform distributions and constrained by values reported in the literature. However, only the three most sensitive were considered in the parameter estimation process. Parameter estimates, and the resulting temperature time series, were significantly closer to the original values when the effects of the piezometer and atmospheric heat exchange were considered. Incorporating the signal entropy, a measure of information contained in the signal, improved the parameter estimates. The temperatures generated using the original parameters differ from those generated using the estimated parameter values by up to 3°C. 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A Closed-form Equation for Predicting the Hydraulic Conductivity of Unsaturated Soils1. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J., 44(5), 892-898. doi: 10.2136/sssaj1980.03615995004400050002x Verseghy, D.L. (1991). A Canadian land surface scheme for GCMS. I. Soil Model. Climatology, 11, 111-133. Welty, J.R., Wicks, C.E., Wilson, R.E., & Rorrer, G.L. (2008). Fundamentals of momentum, heat, and mass transfer: John Wiley and Sons. Wetzel, Karl-Friedrich. (2003). Runoff production processes in small alpine catchments within the unconsolidated Pleistocene sediments of the Lainbach area (Upper Bavaria). Hydrological Processes, 17(12), 2463-2483. doi: 10.1002/hyp.1254 111 CHAPTER 3: WATERSHED SCALE MODELING OF THE GRASS LAKE RESEARCH NATURAL AREA ABSTRACT Groundwater may be an important component of the hydrologic system that supports montane wetlands in areas with a snow dominated precipitation regime. However, groundwater systems that support montane wetlands are often poorly understood. This study uses geologic observations to develop a three dimensional, spatially explicit hydrogeologic model of the Grass Lake Research Natural Area (GLRNA) located south of Lake Tahoe, California. The GLRNA incorporates the entire watershed that supports Grass Lake, the largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. The hydraulic conductivities of different geologic units are calibrated using head observations from an average water year (2010) and an above average water year (2011). Parameter estimates from both years are comparable for all but the least sensitive geologic units. Van Genuchten relationships used to describe the water retention and relative permeability of the variably-saturated materials increase the computation time from minutes to hours. As such, the initial model calibration neglects the effects of variably saturation. The Van Genuchten relationships are included in the final assessment of the model to explore the effects of simulating the unsaturated properties of the subsurface material. Consideration of the unsaturated properties of the subsurface material is shown to improve the model fit. The potential effects of predicted changes from a snow melt dominated precipitation regime to a rain dominated precipitation regime are addressed using the unsaturated parameters along with estimates of hydraulic conductivity from the calibration process. The change from a snow melt dominated precipitation regime to a rain dominated precipitation regime results in lower pressure heads and saturation levels in the peatland. Simulations show 112 approximately half of the peatland is expected to reach saturation levels less than 70% of total saturation by the end of the water year. 113 INTRODUCTION High evapotranspiration rates and low summer precipitation suggest that late season groundwater contributions may be required to maintain the health and proper functioning of perennial wetlands in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. However, little is known about the specifics of groundwater systems that support montane wetlands. Predicted changes in climate suggest a trend towards precipitation falling as rain rather than snow (Cayan et al., 2008). This will likely result in a shift from spring snowmelt dominated recharge to winter rain dominated recharge. In steep, rocky watersheds with limited subsurface storage capacity, this may significantly reduce the availability of lateseason water for wetland vegetation. The water table in topographically driven groundwater systems is often represented as a subdued replica of surface topography. In these systems, groundwater is recharged at high elevation and discharged at topographic lows (Toth, 1963). Watersheds with steep terrain have the potential to produce high hydraulic gradients that drive groundwater flow from the hillslopes to the lower lying valleys. The rate and duration of groundwater discharge is related to the hydraulic gradients driving flow, the hydraulic conductivity and storage properties of the subsurface material, and the timing and amount of recharge. Watersheds with relatively impermeable subsurface material will allow rapid infiltration and groundwater recharge. However, in steep terrain with high hydraulic gradients, this highly permeable subsurface material may also drain quickly, limiting late-season groundwater availability. Watersheds with low permeability subsurface material may experience little infiltration, resulting in a surface water dominated hydrologic regime with little or no groundwater component. This study explores the groundwater system of the Grass Lake Research Natural Area (GLRNA), the largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. Observations of watershed geology are used to build a 3D, spatially explicit model of groundwater flow 114 using the software modeling package HYDROGEOSPHERE (Therrien, McLaren, Sudicky, & Panday, 2008). Measurements of hydraulic heads discussed in Chapter 1 are used to calibrate the hydraulic conductivities of the geologic units in the watershed model. The sensitivity of the model to differences in the hydraulic conductivity of each unit is explored. The influence of simulating the unsaturated properties of the subsurface material is explored and shown to improve the fit between the model results and the field measurements. The calibrated model is used to explore the potential response of the groundwater system to changes in the precipitation regime. BACKGROUND Peatlands are wetlands with thick organic soils that have formed in place. Peatlands provide unique habitats, covering 3% of the Earth’s surface and making up only 0.1% of the mountain landscape (Clymo, 2004; Cooper & Wolf, 2006b). In many areas of the Sierra Nevada Mountains peatlands are the only source of perennial moisture and support ecosystems with high biodiversity. The largest peatland in the Sierra Nevada is Grass Lake (~82 ha), located on Luther Pass, south of Lake Tahoe, California. Water budget calculations and measurements of hydraulic gradients (Chapter 1) confirm that groundwater is an important component of the Grass Lake system. Peatlands that are sustained by groundwater input are termed “fens”(Cooper & Wolf, 2006b). Peatland soils are classified as Histosols, having at least 40 centimeters of organic material in the upper 80 centimeters of the soil profile (NRCS, 1999). Peat accumulates over thousands of years and requires perennially saturated soil to prevent the decomposition of the organic matter (Benedict & Major, 1982). As such, the presence of peatlands in the Sierra Nevada Mountains suggests the presence of long lived groundwater systems capable of maintaining dominantly saturated conditions, 115 despite high evapotranspiration rates and low summer precipitation (Benedict & Major, 1982). The geology in the GLRNA is dominated by granitic bedrock, overlain by glacial deposits from the Tahoe and Tioga glacial periods. The upper watershed is composed of weathered granitic saprolite (grus) and a minor amount of andesitic volcanic rocks. Steep, glacially eroded hillslopes of shallow colluvium and bedrock dominate the midelevations to the north of Grass Lake. Two small cirques occur at mid-elevations along the south side of the lake. The cirque below Powderhouse Peak (west) is larger and has more developed moraine deposits than the cirque below Waterhouse Peak (east). Tahoe-age lateral moraines form the majority of hillslope material along the edges of the valley. A Tahoe-age moraine forms the western edge and outlet of Grass Lake. A Tioga-age moraine from a glacier in Hope Valley forms the east end of the lake and isolates a small upper peatland east of Grass Lake proper. Alluvial fans are formed by the four perennial streams and one intermittent stream that empty into the lake. See Chapter 1 for a more complete description of the geologic observations and hydrologic measurements. METHODS The hydrologic modeling software HYDROGEOSPHERE (Therrien et al., 2008) was used to simulate watershed scale processes in the GLRNA. HYDROGEOSPHERE is a finite element numerical model capable of simulating fully coupled, threedimensional variably-saturated groundwater and surface water flow. The nonlinear nature of the surface flow equations combined with the steep topography causes numerical instabilities that could only be resolved with small time steps, resulting in excessively long simulation times. Reasonable computation times are necessary to efficiently estimate parameter values via indirect inversion of the numerical model. To decrease computation time, the combined effects of shallow subsurface flow and surface 116 flow were approximated using a recharge spreading layer with high hydraulic conductivity (Therrien et al., 2008). Field observations revealed that surface flow is limited to the surface of the peatland, streams, impervious rock surfaces, and within 1 meter of rapidly melting snow. Errors associated with this assumption are expected to be most significant near channels where surface flow is not accurately simulated. Grid Construction The GLRNA watershed was delineated using the Spatial Analyst extension (SA) in ArcGIS (version 9.3.1) and lidar data provided by Tahoe Regional Planning Agency (TRPA, 2012). A custom digital elevation model (DEM) with 5 meter cells was generated using the minimum elevation recorded within a 5 meter radius of each cell center. Depressions were filled, flow direction and accumulations were calculated, and the watershed boundary determined using the procedures outlined in the Hydrologic Analysis section of the ArcGIS SA help manual (Environmental Systems Research Institute, 2009). The elevations of the piezometers and a reference point on solid bedrock were determined to within ± 15cm (6 in) using a total station survey (Chapter 1). These elevations were a minimum of 1.11 meters lower than the elevations determined from the lidar data. It is assumed this discrepancy represents a systematic error associated with different datums used during data collection. To achieve consistency with the lidar data, 1.11 meters is added to the elevations determined by the total station survey. Inspection of the data suggests larger discrepancies between the total station survey and lidar data may be associated with thicker riparian vegetation, which would result in false ground returns during lidar data collection and processing. An area of thick, tall riparian vegetation was delineated around the edge of the peatland using field observations and consideration of textures present in the lidar data. Elevations used to define the model surface were interpolated between the piezometer elevations from the 117 total station survey (after datum correction) and the lidar elevations outside this riparian area. This method allows for direct comparison of groundwater elevations calculated from the field data and simulation results. The geologic contacts and watershed boundary (Figure 1.1) were simplified to accommodate efficient grid generation and solution of the equations governing fluid flow in the hydrologic models (Figure 3.1). Grid Builder (McLaren, 1995) was used to build a 2D unstructured finite-element mesh consisting of triangular prismatic elements. Maximum node spacing along the watershed boundary was limited to 50 meters (164 ft). Maximum node spacing along all geologic contacts was limited to 25 meters (82 ft). Node spacing was allowed to grow to 50 meters in the lower watershed and 100 meters in the upper watershed, with a node spacing stretch factor of 1.5 throughout the model. The geologic material overlying the bedrock is assigned properties based on the geologic mapping discussed in Chapter 1. In the upper watershed, the bedrock is overlain by saprolite (“grus”). The depth of the contact between the bedrock and the overlying grus in the upper watershed is inferred from a borehole drilled in unglaciated granitic bedrock near the top of the Heavenly Gondola (~9170 ft), approximately 10 miles north of Grass Lake. The Well Completion Report (No. 714169 filed at DWR) indicates “DG” and “pretty solid DG” in the upper 28 feet (~8.5 m) of the well. It is assumed “DG” refers to decomposed granite, also known as “grus,” a name often used to describe granitic saprolite. The depth to bedrock in the upper watershed is modeled as 10 meters. In the lower watershed surface deposits consist of glacial deposits, alluvial material, and peat. According to Clark (2010), the depth to bedrock under Grass Lake is approximately 70 to 100 meters based on electrical resistivity studies conducted as part of another study. The glacial deposits near the peatland interface are expected to influence the flow of groundwater into Grass Lake. However, there is little data available 118 to define the thickness of these deposits. The depth to bedrock under the glacial deposits is modeled using an interpolated surface extending from 10 meters below the surface along the upper contact of the glacial deposits to 70 meters below the surface along a swath of points through the center of Grass Lake. In the locations where the interpolated surface intersects the ground surface, a minimum depth of one meter is used. Elements below this surface are assigned the properties of bedrock. Elements above this surface are assigned properties based on the geologic units mapped in the field. Elements between the peat of Grass Lake proper and the bedrock are assigned properties of Tahoe deposits. Elements between the peatland to the east and the bedrock, as well as the glacial cirques on the south side of the watershed, are assigned properties of Tioga deposits. Alluvial deposits are limited to the upper two layers of elements. Three significant bedrock outcrops occur along the north side of Grass Lake and are assigned properties of bedrock (Figure 3.1). The surface DEM described above is used to define the upper surface of the model and is used as a starting point for the other two surfaces used to define the vertical discretization (Figure 3.2). The second surface is defined by subtracting the depth of peat estimated from soil probes (Figure 3.3), or 1.0 meter where peat is not present, from the surface DEM. The model contains two layers of elements between the upper surface and the second surface. The minimum element thickness is 0.5 meters in the upper watershed and the maximum element thickness is 5 meters under the deepest sections of the peatland. The third surface represents the contact between the bedrock and the various overlying geologic materials, discussed above (Figure 3.4). The model contains four layers of elements between the second and third surfaces, with layer thickness increasing by a factor of 1.2 with increasing depth. There are 11 layers between the third surface and the bottom of the model at an elevation of 2000 m above sea level. 119 Figure 3.1: Simplified geology and numerical mesh used in watershed scale models of the Grass Lake Research Natural. Cross section A-A’ is shown in Figure 3.2. 120 Figure 3.2: Cross section near Waterhouse Creek (Figure 3.1, A-A’) showing hydrogeologic units with depth and vertical discretization. Surface shading is used to highlight the slope and aspect of each cell. 121 Figure 3.3: Contour map showing the depth of peat estimated from soil probes and previous work (Clark, 2010). Depths less than 5 m are visually interpolated from soil probes. Depths greater than 5 m are inferred from limited soil cores collected by Clark. 122 Figure 3.4: Contour map showing depth to bedrock interpolated from 10 m below the upper contact of the Tahoe age lateral moraines and 70 m below the surface along a swath of points underlying the long axis of Grass Lake. 123 Hydraulic Conductivity The dominant bedrock unit in the GLRNA is the Bryan Meadows granodiorite. The hydraulic conductivity of the bedrock (Kbd) in the GLRNA is based on the results of pumping tests conducted in 2005 as part of South Tahoe Public Utilities study (Bergsohn, Fogg, Trask, Roll, & Labolle, 2007). The hydraulic conductivity of the Bryan Meadows granodiorite was estimated to be 2.8x10-7 m s-1 for a well located on Ralph Drive, approximately 14.3 kilometers (8.9 miles) due north of Grass Lake. The hydraulic conductivity for a bedrock well located at the Big Meadow trailhead, approximately 2.2 kilometers (1.4 miles) west of the outlet of Grass Lake, was estimated to be 4.6x10-8 m s-1. The Big Meadow trailhead well is thought to be screened in the Quartz Diorite of Grass Lake, which intrudes the Bryan Meadows granodiorite. The slower cooling rate of the intruding magma is expected to result in lower fracture density and hence lower permeability. The hydraulic conductivity of the bedrock associated with the Heavenly Gondola well was estimated to be between 2.5x10-6 and 1.7x10-5 m s-1. This well is located at the top of the Heavenly Gondola and is screened in the East Peak granodiorite, which is older than the Bryan Meadows granodiorite found in the Grass Lake watershed. The older East Peak granodiorite is expect to have higher hydraulic conductivity due to the accumulation of fractures and damage associated with the intrusion of younger igneous bodies and tectonic forces. The well log descriptions, mapped geology, high value of hydraulic conductivity, and heat flow measurements suggest a portion of the Heavenly Gondola well intersects a high conductivity fault or fracture zone (Bergsohn et al., 2007). As such, this likely represents a maximum value for hydraulic conductivity for the bedrock in the GLRNA. The initial value for the hydraulic conductivity of bedrock is 5.0x10-7 m s-1 and constrained to values between 1.0x10-9 and 1.0x10-4 m s-1 during parameter estimation process. 124 The hydraulic conductivity of glacial deposits varies greatly depending on the composition of the parent material, the extent of glaciation, and the extent of weathering. Literature values for the hydraulic conductivity of glacial deposits range from as low as 1x10-9 m s-1 for moraines dominated by limestone material (Wetzel, 2003) to as high as 2x10-3 m s-1 for moraines dominated by gravel (Beckers & Frind, 2001; Mace, Rudolph, & Kachanoski, 1998). The glacial deposits in the GLRNA are expected to have high hydraulic conductivity based on the dominance of coarse sand and gravel. Silica cemented horizons and evidence of more extensive weathering are found in Tahoe age glacial deposits but not Tioga age deposits, suggesting a lower hydraulic conductivity of the older deposits (Birkland, 1964). Glaciated volcanic rocks located south of Luther Pass likely contributed to the valley fill material. The occurrence of readily weathered volcanic material is expected to reduce hydraulic conductivity. Bailer tests conducted in piezometers screened in the material below the peat gave values of hydraulic conductivity ranging from 4.9x10-8 m s-1 to 3.3x10-4 m s-1 (Chapter 1). The geometric mean (1.1x10-5 m s-1) is similar to the value reported by Loheide (2007) for coarse montane meadow sediments in the Last Chance watershed (2x10-5) and typical values for medium to coarse sand (Domenico & Schwartz, 1998). The hydraulic conductivity of the grus (Kgrus) and alluvium (Kalluv) are expected to have hydraulic conductivities similar to those of the glacial material (Ktioga and Ktahoe) based on the similarity of soil properties (NRCS, 2010). In the parameter estimation process a value of 1.0x10-5 m s-1 is used as the initial hydraulic conductivity of all units other than the bedrock and peat. The hydraulic conductivity of these units are constrained to values between 1.0x10-8 and 1.0x10-2 m s-1 during the parameter estimation process. Peat is typically divided into the upper acrotelm (living portion) and the lower catotelm (nonliving portion). The low density acrotelm typically has values of hydraulic conductivity on the order of 0.01 m s-1 (Hoag & Price, 1997; Ivanov, 1981). Literature 125 values for the hydraulic conductivity of the deeper catotelm (Kpeat) range from 1x10-8 to 4x10-4 m s-1 and depend on composition, compaction, climate, and the level of decomposition (Chason & Siegel, 1986; Drexler, Bedford, Scognamiglio, & Siegel, 1999; Ivanov, 1981; Reeve, Siegel, & Glaser, 2000; Silins & Rothwell, 1998). Based on the undecomposed nature of the peat, a value of 5x10-5 m s-1 is used as the initial hydraulic conductivity in the parameter estimation process. The hydraulic conductivity of peat is constrained to values between 1.0x10-9 and 1.0 m s-1 during the parameter estimation process. Forest soils with abundant organic material (“duff”) facilitate shallow subsurface flow and rapid redistribution of surface water. All shallow subsurface and surface flow is approximated using a recharge spreading layer (RSL) reflecting the properties of the forest soils. Preliminary simulations that excluded the RSL produce heads tens of meters higher than those observed in the field. Including the RSL allows subsurface water to discharge quickly, reducing head in discharge zones and providing a better fit to the field observations. The recharge spreading layer is divided into two zones, representing the peat surface (Krslpeat) and the rest of the watershed (Krslforest) , based on the obvious differences in material. The saturated hydraulic conductivity of mapped soils in the area (excluding exposed rock) ranges from approximately 1.4x10-4 m s-1 to 1x10-5 m s-1 (NRCS, 2010). Flow through the organic rich surface material (O horizon) is likely to experience less resistance, requiring a higher hydraulic conductivity to approximate fluid flow in the models. The initial value for the hydraulic conductivity of both recharge spreading layers is 1.0 m s-1 and constrained to values between 1.0x10-5 m s-1 and 5.0 m s-1 during the parameter estimation process. The thickness of both recharge spreading layers is held constant at 0.1 meter based on the approximate depth of the acrotelm 126 observed in the field and the depth to a restrictive layer reported in the NRCS soil survey (2010). Anisotropy The horizontal and vertical hydraulic gradients observed in the field differed by as much as two orders of magnitude. The horizontal hydraulic conductivity of stratified sedimentary deposits can be as high as two to three orders of magnitude greater than the vertical hydraulic conductivity. An anisotropy factor for the peat is defined by: ௩ ݉௧ = ܭ௧ ൗܭ௧ (1) ௩ is the horizontal hydraulic conductivity of the peat and ܭ௧ is the vertical where ܭ௧ hydraulic conductivity of the peat. Lab experiments have shown ܭ௧ to be as much as ௩ , although most samples had anisotropy two orders of magnitude higher than ܭ௧ factors closer to one order of magnitude (Beckwith, Baird, & Heathwaite, 2003). The initial value of mpeat is 10.0 and constrained to values between 0.1 and 1000.0 during the parameter estimation process. Fractured bedrock may also show significant anisotropy due to preferentially oriented fracture networks. However, the limited bedrock outcrops that occur in the GLRNA show closely spaced (typically less than 1 m), irregular fractures with limited extent. Based on the high fracture density (several per meter) and lack of preferred fracture orientation, the bedrock is modeled as an isotropic equivalent porous medium. Specific Storage The specific storage of bedrock is estimated to be between 1x10-4 to 7x10-5 m-1 based on applicable literature, with a mean value of 3.73x10-5 m-1 (Illman & Tartakovsky, 2006; Kahle, 1987; Lee & Lee, 2000). The porosity of the bedrock is assumed to be 1%. Dasberg and Neuman (1977) report a value of 0.12 m-1 for the specific storage of peat. 127 The porosity of the peat was calculated to be 83% from field samples (Chapter 1). The specific storage of the alluvium, glacial material, and grus are calculated using ܵ௦ = ߛ௪ (ߚ + ݊ߚ௪ ) (2) where γw is the specific weight of water (9.8 kN m-3), βm is the compressibility of the material (1x10-8 m2 N-1), βw is the compressibility of water (4.6x10-10 m2 N-1), and n is the porosity. The porosity for these materials is estimated as 0.25 based on typical values for sand and gravel (Domenico & Schwartz, 1998) and data reported in the NRCS soil survey (NRCS, 2010), resulting in a value for specific storage of approximately 1.0x10-4 m-1. Unsaturated Parameters A modified form of the Richard’s equation is used to describe flow and storage in the model (Therrien et al., 2008): డ ሺߠ௦ ܵ௪ ሻ డ௧ = ∇ሺ݇ ∙ ܭ ∇ℎሻ ± ܳ (3) where θs is the saturated water content, Sw is the degree of saturation defined as the ratio of the water content to saturated water content, K is the hydraulic conductivity, kr is the relative permeability of the porous medium as a function of water content, h is the head, and Q is the source/sink term. The storage term on the left-hand side of equation (3) is approximated assuming negligible compressibility under unsaturated conditions and constant compressibility for saturated to near saturated conditions, giving: డ ሺߠ௦ ܵ௪ ሻ డ௧ ≈ ܵ௪ ܵ௦ డఝ డ௧ + ߠ௦ డௌೢ డ௧ (4) 128 where Ss is the specific storage and φ is the pressure head. Water content (Sw) and relative hydraulic conductivity (Kr) as a function of pressure head (φ) can be computed using van Genuchten relationships (van Genuchten, 1980): ܵ௪ = ܵ௪ + ሺ1 − ܵ௪ ሻൣ1 + |ߙ߮|ఉ ൧ ܭ = ܵ () (5) ଶ ቂ1 − (1 − ܵ )௩ ቃ ଵ/௩ ି௩ (6) where ଵ = ݒ1−ఉ (7) and Swr is the residual water content, Se is the effective saturation given by Se=(SwSwr)/(1-Swr), φ is the pressure head, and lp is a pore-connectivity factor. Parameters α and β are generally determined by fitting equation (5) and (6) to experimental data. In this study, α and β are taken from applicable literature. Based on the similarity of materials, the Van Genuchten parameters describing variably saturated flow in coarse sand and gravel are used for all units other than the bedrock and peat (Table 3.1). The Van Genuchten parameters describing variably saturated flow in the bedrock are based on experiments conducted in fractured bedrock in Yucca Valley (Mukhopadhyay, Tsang, & Finsterle, 2009). Water retention data from peat samples discussed in Chapter 1 was fit to the Van Genuchten equations using values consistent with those reported by Silins and Rothwell (1998). Hydrogeosphere can be run in “fully saturated” mode, in which Sw and Kr take on the value of zero for cells above the water table (P>0) and values of one below the water table. Experience has shown that the nonlinear nature of the unsaturated equations (3- 5) increases computation time by up to four orders of magnitude. Computation time can be reduced in HGS by linear interpolation between tabulated values of φ, Se, and kr. 129 However, simulations of unsaturated conditions are still slow (hours) compared to simulations of fully saturated conditions (minutes). As such, a “fully saturated” model is used during the model calibration process in which hydraulic conductivity of each unit is estimated. The effects of unsaturated flow are explored using values of hydraulic conductivities from the calibrated model and tabulated relationships generated using the parameters listed in Table 3.1 (Figure 3.5). The absolute value of global mass balance errors associated with the nonlinear calculations remain less than 1.0x10-9 m s-1 for the duration of the simulation. Since the “fully saturated” model does not include information on saturation, pressure head is used to compare the results of calibrated model to those of the unsaturated model. Table 3.1: Storage parameter values used in all simulations and unsaturated parameter values used in the final assessment of the Grass Lake watershed to changes in precipitation. Van Genuchten Parameters Material α Peat Alluvium Tioga Tahoe Grus Bedrock 8.50 3.52 3.52 3.52 3.52 10.00 β Swr 30% 5% 5% 5% 5% 1% 1.50 3.18 3.18 3.18 3.18 2.70 θs (%) 83% 25% 25% 25% 25% 2% Ss (m-2) 1.5E-01 1.0E-04 1.0E-04 1.0E-04 1.0E-04 5.0E-05 Initial conditions and duration The initial head for all nodes in all models is given by a linear function increasing from 2348 meters at the furthest west edge of the peatland to 2357 meters at the furthest west edge of the peatland, representing the approximate surface water elevations at the beginning of the snow melt period. The 2010 simulation is run for 6.5 months, representing the estimated time between initial snow melt (early-March) and the last observations made in 2010 (late-September). The duration of the 2011 simulation is 130 the same, although represents calendar dates approximately 3 weeks later due to the heavy snowpack and delayed snowmelt. Boundary Conditions Areas within Grass Lake mapped as open water are initially assigned a specified head equal to the elevation recorded in the lidar data. A pressure transducer positioned in the open water recorded a water level drop of 0.13 meters from July 7 to September 20, 2010. This change is approximated by decreasing the value of the specified head boundary condition by 0.15 meters over duration of each simulation. The lowest nodes on the west end of Grass Lake are assigned a specified head boundary condition equal to their elevation to approximate surface flow out of Grass Lake. Various specified flux boundary conditions are applied to portions of the upper surface based on precipitation estimates, observed snow melt patterns, evapotranspiration estimates, and expected changes in precipitation associated with climate change (see below). All other boundaries are no-flow. During the field study approximately 90% of the annual precipitation fell between October and May, presumably as snow (PRISM, 2013). This represents a potential of 0.938 meters of water available for spring recharge in 2010. In 2011 the potential water available for spring recharge was 1.457 meters. A linearly increasing rate of recharge is applied to the upper surface of the watershed for 30 days, followed by a linearly decreasing rate of recharge for the following 30 days. The maximum rates of recharge are 3.62x10-7 and 5.76x10-7 m s-1 for 2010 and 2011, respectively. Field observations suggest the majority of snowmelt occurred along the north side of the watershed over approximately 60 days between the first week of March and the first week of May in 2010. The majority of snowmelt along the south side of the watershed occurred approximately 50 days later, between late-April and late-June. The duration of snowmelt was similar in 2011, but delayed 2-3 weeks due to the heavy snowpack and cooler 131 weather. As such, recharge along the south side begins 50 days after recharge on the north side to approximate the effects of aspect on snow melt timing. Evapotranspiration (ET) is simulated by applying a constant negative flux equal to 5.79x10-8 m s-1 (5 mm day-1) for 100 days. The peatland was snow free by June 7, 2010 and June 27, 2011. As such, the ET flux starts 90 days into the simulation, the approximate time the peat surface was snow free. A constant negative flux of 1.16x10-8 m s-1 (1 mm day-1) is applied to the surrounding watershed for the duration of the simulation to approximate ET from the surrounding forest. The potential response of the Grass Lake watershed to predictions of more rain and less snow is explored by changing the recharge rate. The monthly average precipitation for 1900-2011 is 41.24 inches (1.047 m) (PRISM, 2013). Approximately 94% of the annual precipitation falls between October and May, with average monthly totals greater than 2 inches during that period. The change from a snow melt dominated to a rain dominated precipitation regime is approximated by applying a constant recharge rate equivalent to 38.76 inches (0.984 m) distributed over 240 days. Although the total annual recharge remains approximately the same, the recharge rate is decreased by an order of magnitude (4.75x10-8 m s-1). 132 Figure 3.5: Piecewise linear interpolated functions describing water retention and relative permeability used in variably saturated watershed scale models of GLRNA. Parameter Estimation The inverse modeling package UCODE (Poeter et al., 2005) is used to estimate the set of hydraulic conductivities that produce the best fit to the observed groundwater heads in 2010 and 2011 (see Chapter 1 for discussion of measurements). The sensitivity of the model is determined by perturbing each parameter individually and comparing the resulting change in the sum of squared weighted residuals (SSWR) between the observations and the simulation results. A modified Gauss-Newton search criterion is used to estimate the parameter values expected to minimize the SSWR based on the calculated sensitivities. The model is run with the updated parameter 133 estimates, a new SSWR is calculated, and the process is repeated. Sensitivities are determined using a perturbation of 5%. Each observation (field measurement) is weighted by the inverse of the squared standard deviation of the elevation determined from the piezometer surveys (see Chapter 1). Parameters with composite scaled sensitivities (Poeter et al., 2005) within an order of magnitude of the most sensitive parameter are used in the first two parameter estimation runs. Insensitive parameters are added to the final two parameter estimation runs. Highly correlated parameters are removed from the parameter estimation runs. Parameter values are constrained using the values presented in Table 3.2. The maximum change for any parameter is limited to 20% per iteration in the first two PE runs and 10% per iteration in final two PE runs. Convergence is accepted when parameter estimates do not change by more than 10% between iterations. MODELING RESULTS Parameter Estimates The initial sensitivity analysis shows the watershed model is most sensitive to Kzpeat, Ktahoe, and mpeat. Due to the high correlation between Kpeat and mpeat, Kzpeat is held constant at the initial values for the first three runs. The first parameter estimation run (PE1) converges within six iterations for both years. The results of PE1 show in a slight decrease in the value of Ktahoe for the 2010 simulations and a slight increase for the 2011 simulations (Table 3.2). The value of mpeat increases by a factor of 3 for both years, indicating that a higher value of horizontal hydraulic conductivity results in a better fit to the data. A sensitivity analysis shows that Ktioga becomes sensitive when the new values of Ktahoe and mpeat from PE1 are used. The second parameter estimation run (PE2) includes Ktioga, Ktahoe and mpeat. PE2 converges within three iterations for both years. The value of Ktioga increases by a factor of 1.9 in the 2010 simulations and a factor of 3.5 134 in the 2011 simulations (Table 3.2). The value of Ktahoe and mpeat stay approximately the same for both years. The third parameter estimation run (PE3) includes all parameters except Kzpeat, which is excluded due to high correlation with mpeat. Parameter estimation runs do not converge for either year after 20 iterations. The final values are taken from the parameter set with the lowest sum of squared, weighted residual (Table 3.2). The value of Krsl increases by a factor of 12 in the 2010 simulations and a factor of 2 in the 2011 simulations. The value of Kalluv increases by a factor of 420 in the 2010 simulations and a factor of 13,000 in the 2011 simulations. The value of Kgrus increases by a factor of approximately 40 for both years. The value of Kbd decreases by a factor of 500, reaching the lower constraint in simulations of both years. The value of Ktioga is reduced by a factor of 0.5 for both years. The value of mpeat increases by a factor of 1.8 for the 2010 simulations and 1.3 for the 2011 simulations. The value for Ktahoe increases by a factor of 1.3 for both years. The final parameter estimation run (PE4) includes Kzpeat, which is the only parameter not yet considered in the parameter estimations runs. All other parameters are included except mpeat which is excluded due to high parameter correlation with Kzpeat. Parameter estimation runs for both years converge within eight iterations. The value of Krsl decreased by a factor of 7.8 in the 2010 simulations and increased by a factor of 2.4 in the 2011 simulations. The value of Kgrus increased by a factor of 1.4 in the 2010 simulations and decreased by a factor of 0.8 in the 2011 simulations. All other parameters change by less than a factor of 0.2 between PE3 and PE4. The largest discrepancy between the final parameter estimates from the 2010 and 2011 simulations occurs for Kalluv, the least sensitive parameter, which differs by a factor of 3.2. The 2010 and 2011 estimates for Krsl and Ktioga differ by slightly more than a factor of two. The 2010 and 2011 estimates for Ktahoe and Kgrus differ by less than a 135 factor of two. The estimates from the 2010 and 2011 simulations are approximately the same for Kzpeat, Kbd, and mpeat. The final sensitivity analysis shows Ktahoe and Kzpeat to be the most sensitive, followed by Kgrus, Ktioga, and Kalluv. The model is relatively insensitive to Krsl and Kzbd. Simulation Results The average difference between the measured heads and the simulated heads from the calibrated model is 0.67 (σ=1.13, n=247) m and 0.58 (σ=1.05, n=186) m in 2010 and 2011, respectively. The average weighted residual is 9.46 (σ=18.1, n=247) m for 2010 and 8.58 (σ=18.0, n=186) for 2011. Measured heads in piezometers near the perennial spring (S5 an S12) and near the mouths of West Freel Meadows Creek (N2, N3) and Waterhouse Creek (S8, S11, S13) are higher than the simulated heads for both years and account for the majority of the discrepancy between the field measurements and the simulation results (Figures 3.6 and 3.7, Table 3.3). Measured heads in piezometer N9, located below a bedrock outcrop, are lower than simulated heads for both years. Due to the weighting factors associated with survey accuracy, measurements made in piezometers N9, S5, S6, S8, S11, and S13 contribute to the majority of sum of squared, weighted residuals that drives the parameter estimation process. The fit of the calibrated model (PE4) is improved by consideration of the unsaturated properties of the material (Figures 3.6 and 3.7). The average difference between the measured heads and the simulated heads in the unsaturated simulations is 0.27 meters (σ=0.84, n=247) and 0.25 meters (σ=0.77, n=186) for 2010 and 2011, respectively. The average weighted residual from the unsaturated model is 3.63 (σ=19.2, n=247) m for 2010 and 4.44 (σ=18.5, n=186) m for 2011. The sum of squared, weighted residuals is reduced by approximately 9% for each year when unsaturated properties are simulated. 136 The average difference between measured and simulated heads in S5 and S12 and the associated average weighted residuals are reduced significantly for both years when unsaturated properties are considered (Table 3.3). The average difference between measured and simulated heads in N2 and N3 and the associated average weighted residuals are also reduced when unsaturated properties are considered. However, the difference between measured and simulated heads and the associated average weighted residuals in N7 and N8 increase significantly for both years when unsaturated properties are considered. The differences between measured and simulated heads in N9, S6, S8, S11, and S13 do not change significantly when unsaturated properties are considered. These changes in model fit suggest simulations that include unsaturated properties may produce a better calibrated model than simulations that neglect unsaturated properties. However, this was not pursued due to excessive simulation time. Simulations that consider the unsaturated properties of the subsurface materials produce higher pressure heads in the peatland (Figure 3.8). The most significant differences occur on the east end of Grass Lake and the upper peatland to the east of Grass Lake proper. Differences in pressure head between the “fully saturated” and unsaturated models exceed 0.4 m for 2010 and 0.8 for 2011 in Grass Lake proper, and over 1.0 m in the upper peatland. Areas of excess pressure head (P>0), expected to be associated with groundwater discharge, occur in the western and eastern portions of the peatland. An area of excess pressure also occurs near the convergence of Freel Meadows Creek and Waterhouse Creek. A small swath of negative pressure head occurs just east of this convergence and coincides with a relatively dry section frequently used by humans and wildlife to cross the peatland. A wider swath of negative pressure head occurs along the Tioga-age moraine that separates the upper peatland and Grass Lake proper. 137 Table 3.2: Hydraulic conductivities of geologic material used in the watershed scale model of GLRNA. Upper and lower bounds are based on extreme values reported in the literature. Initial values are estimates from the available literature as discussed in the text. Parameter estimates (PE) were determined by indirect inversion of the model. Hydraulic Conductivity (m s-1) Material Lower bound Upper bound Initial RSL 1.0E-5 1.0 Peat 1.0E-8 Alluvium 2010 2011 138 PE1 PE2 PE3 PE4 PE1 PE2 PE3 PE4 1.0E-4 - - 1.2E-3 9.4E-4 - - 1.7E-4 4.1E-4 1.0E-2 5.0E-5 - - - 5.0E-5 - - - 4.9E-5 5.0E-8 1.0E-2 1.0E-5 - - 4.2E-3 4.0E-3 - - 0.13 0.13 Tioga 5.0E-8 1.0E-2 1.0E-5 - 1.9E-5 1.1E-5 1.1E-5 - 3.5E-5 2.4E-5 2.4E-5 Tahoe 5.0E-8 1.0E-2 1.0E-5 8.2E-6 7.7E-6 1.4E-5 1.4E-5 1.3E-5 1.3E-5 2.3E-5 2.2E-5 Grus 5.0E-8 1.0E-2 1.0E-5 - - 4.0E-4 5.4E-4 - - 3.9E-4 3.2E-4 Bedrock 1.0E-9 1.0E-2 5.0E-7 - - 1.0E-9 1.0E-9 - - 1.0E-9 1.0E-9 mpeat 0.001 1000 100 322.3 357.8 626.3 - 439.8 518.0 650.4 - 139 Table 3.3: Differences between measured and simulated heads for select piezometers in the “fully saturated” and unsaturated models. 2010 2011 Fully Saturated Unsaturated Fully Saturated Unsaturated ave head ave head ave head ave head difference ave wt difference ave wt difference ave wt difference ave wt Piezometer (m) residual (m) residual n (m) residual (m) residual n N2 9 1.31 8.74 0.20 1.31 4 1.40 9.33 0.76 5.06 N3 12 1.51 10.09 0.35 2.33 5 1.56 10.43 0.92 6.12 N7 11 0.00 0.04 -0.72 -16.41 7 -0.09 -2.06 -0.96 -21.82 N8 8 -0.18 -4.14 -0.89 -20.11 4 -0.13 -2.80 -1.05 -23.96 N9 8 -0.91 -56.99 -0.94 -58.50 9 -0.67 -41.93 1.05 -41.43 S5 10 4.75 24.32 2.58 18.72 6 4.73 24.24 2.02 14.60 S6 11 0.47 29.40 0.39 24.62 4 0.45 28.02 0.42 26.25 S8 8 1.16 30.58 1.07 28.18 6 1.10 29.00 1.07 28.13 S11 7 1.59 41.97 1.48 39.09 4 1.51 39.87 1.36 35.86 S12 8 3.24 16.59 2.11 15.26 5 3.03 15.53 1.83 13.23 S13 8 0.90 24.41 0.89 24.08 7 0.84 22.74 0.88 23.80 Figure 3.6: Measured and simulated heads for piezometers located in Grass Lake in 2010. Piezometers that show major differences between the fully saturated simulations (blue circles) and simulations that include unsaturated properties (red plus) are labeled. 140 Figure 3.7: Measured and simulated heads for piezometers located in Grass Lake in 2011. Piezometers that show major differences between the fully saturated simulations (blue circles) and simulations that include unsaturated properties (red plus) are labeled. Response to Predicted Precipitation Changes Simulations with a rain dominated precipitation regime show lower pressure heads and unsaturated conditions throughout the peatland (Figure 3.9). The maximum pressure heads simulated in the peatland for the rain dominated regime occur at the end of the wet season (end of May). These maximum pressure heads are comparable to those occurring at the end of the water year (Oct) in the “fully saturated” snow melt dominated simulations. The maximum pressure heads and area with pressure heads greater than zero are larger in the “fully saturated” snow melt dominated simulations, 141 and larger still in the unsaturated snow melt dominated simulations. In simulations using the model calibrated to 2010 heads, most of the peatland experiences maximum pressure heads greater than -0.2 m while the upper peatland to the east experiences maximum pressure heads less than -1.0 m. In simulations using the model calibrated to 2011 heads, a large portion of the western peatland experiences maximum pressure heads less than -0.4 m and the upper peatland to the east experiences maximum pressure heads less than -2.0 m. A swath along the hillslope east of Feel Meadows Creek shows pressure heads above 5.0 meters at the end of the wet season, suggesting this may be a site of significant seasonal groundwater discharge in a rain dominated system. The pressure heads and degree of saturation decrease through the dry season (June-Oct) as ET fluxes remove water and the surrounding watershed continues to drain. In simulations using the model calibrated to 2010 heads, pressure heads less than -0.4 m occur to the west of First Creek and to the east of Freel Meadows Creek by the end of the water year. In simulations using the model calibrated to 2011 heads, this same area experiences pressure heads less than -0.7 m. This suggests a large portion of the peatland may be susceptible to desaturation under a rain dominated regime. The upper peatland experiences pressure heads as low as -1.5 m using the 2010 calibrated parameters and -2.7 m using the 2011 calibrated parameters. In all cases, the pressure head in the peatland is less than zero by the end of the water year, indicating unsaturated conditions and the potential for peat decomposition. 142 143 Figure 3.8: Pressure head contours at the end of the water year (October) for saturated (a and b) and unsaturated (c and d) simulations using parameter and recharge estimates from 2010 (a and c) and 2011 (b and d). 144 Figure 3.9: Simulated pressure head in Grass Lake resulting from a rain dominated precipitation regime. Simulations are shown at the end of the wet season (a and b) and the end of the water year (c and d). Parameter values are based on estimates from 2010 (a and c) and 2011 (b and d) model calibrations. DISCUSSION A watershed scale model that includes spatially explicit geology was calibrated to head observations made during the summer following an average water year (2010) and an above average water year (2011). Parameter estimates from both calibrations were comparable for all parameters except the hydraulic conductivity of the alluvial deposits (Kalluv). Consideration of unsaturated properties of the subsurface material reduced the discrepancy between the measured head and simulated head, as well as the average weighted residual and overall sum of squared, weighted residuals used to drive the calibration process. However, due to long computation times the unsaturated model was not calibrated. The largest discrepancies between heads measured in the field and simulation results occur at piezometers located near West Freel Meadows Creek and Waterhouse Creek. Model fit might be improved by better characterization of the geometry and hydrologic properties of the alluvial fan deposits. The calibrated models were used to explore the potential response of the peatland to the predicted change from a snow melt dominated precipitation regime to a rain dominated precipitation regime. For both sets of parameters the pressure head in the peatland is significantly reduced in the simulations of a rain dominated regime. The magnitude and spatial distribution of pressure heads are significantly different in the rain dominated system compared to the snow melt dominated system. Pressure heads at the end of the wet season (May) in the rain dominated system are lower than pressure heads at the end of the water year in the snow melt dominated system. Summer ET and watershed drainage further dry the peatland, resulting in much lower pressure heads by the end of the water year. The east and west ends of the peatland experience the lowest degree of saturation, reaching levels less than 70% by the end of the water year. The central portion of Grass Lake proper maintains high levels of saturation, which may 145 be partially attributed to the specified head boundary condition imposed on the open water. This study suggests a rain dominated precipitation regime may lead to desaturation of the Grass Lake peatland. The most significant drying is expected to occur in the eastern and western portions of the peatland, resulting in approximately half of the peatland experiencing saturation levels 70% or less of total saturation by the end of the water year. This is expected to lead to increased aerobic decomposition near the edges of the peatland (Clymo, 1984). The predicted increase in temperature is expected to further increase the rate of peat decomposition (Ise, Dunn, Wofsy, & Moorcroft, 2008). The center of the peatland maintains saturation levels above 80% of total saturation in all simulations, suggesting this area is least susceptible to aerobic decomposition and may contain the longest history of peat accumulation despite changes in the precipitation regime. 146 REFERENCES Beckers, J., & Frind, E. O. (2001). Simulating groundwater flow and runoff for the Oro Moraine aquifer system. 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