CLIMATE CHANGE What Can We Do? Connie Millar USDA Forest Service Sierra Nevada Research Center Albany, California cmillar@fs.fed.us PLANNING GUIDELINES USFS: NF Planning just starting to address climate issues Wenatchee, Coleville & Okanagan, PNW USFS: National & Regional Direction silent Science: Don’t wait for “answers” from us Ecological Restoration: A Framework for Restoring and Maintaining the National Forests and Grasslands USDA Forest Service Prepared by the Restoration Framework Team August 18, 2005 1 mention 2 mentions Issue not addressed Confronting Climate Change Vegetation Management Options Mitigation Mgmt Options Adaptation Conservation The Five R’s: Reduce, Resist, Resile, Respond, TRiage What Can Be Done About Climate Change? The 5 R’s: Reduce R1: Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions Forestry Sector – Huge Potential (Help or Hinder) EXECUTIVE ORDER S-3-05 by the Governor of the State of California Sets California GHG Targets: By 2010 Reduce to 2000 Emission Levels By 2020 Reduce to 1990 Emission Levels By 2050 Reduce to 80% below 1990 Levels Sequester Greenhouse Gases (GHG) Goals: • Keep all capable sites fully occupied with long-lived trees • Maintain site occupancy as long as possible • Keep trees healthy, alive, and fast-growing • Once harvested, delay return of CO2 from wood to atmosphere Winrock Internatonal 2005 Sequestering CO2 in the Forest/Plantation #1 Choice: Afforestation “Afforestation provides the biggest terrestrial sequestration opportunity in the West…” Winrock International 2005 Sequestering CO2 in the Forest/Plantation Additional Management Practices Reverse conversion of forest to non-forest lands Aggressively replant after harvest or disturbance Maintain vigorous growing stock; thin stands to improve growth & reduce competition Plant with broadly adapted, fast-growing species and widely adapted genotypes Use mixed species, genotypes, and age classes to fully utilize the site and minimize insect & pathogen outbreaks Minimize erosion (soil/litter disturbance, multiple entries) Restore and maintain old-growth forests Widen riparian zones Sequestering CO2 Post-Harvest Biomass Fuel and Electricity Generation Lakeview Biomass Project, OR Convenor: Hal Salwasser, OSU, 2005 Burney Mtn & Mt Lassen Power Plants, CA Barnett & Mason 2005 Sequestering CO2 Post-Harvest Separation of CO2 and Geologic Sequestration The West is rich in appropriate geologic formations Benson 2005 Reduce Unnecessary GHG Emissions Additional Management Practices * Use BMP to reduce risk of fire, insect & disease mortality * Thin or chip to reduce wildfire risk * Avoid sale of wood for firewood * Salvage-harvest wood after fire and mortality events to reduce decomposition * Limit entries to minimize soil disturbance & erosion Maintain ‘House in Order’ USFS-PSW ENERGY INITIATIVE Joint Region 5 and PSW Research Station Weingardt and Sedell Earth Day (4/22/06) Memo FOCUS AREAS FLEET: Improve R5/PSW fleet energy efficiency ENERGY OFFSET: Purchase renewable energy and renewable energy certificates FACILITIES: Reduce energy use and increase energy efficiency of facilities WATER: Decrease water use and water waste FOCUS AREAS, cont EDUCATION & OUTREACH: Promote public awareness and develop educational materials BASELINES: Evaluate baseline usages against which to monitor progress (or regress?) CARBON: Assess, offset, and mitigate net carbon in all activities (from business to forest management) COSTS: Evaluate cost effectiveness and feasibility of implementing http://www.fs.fed.us/psw/energy/ What Can Be Done About Climate Change? The 5 R’s: Reduce Resist R2: Create Resistance to Change Isolate, protect, and prepare investments for direct & indirect effects of climate Mgmt Examples: Thinning; Mixed Spp Pltns; Fire Breaks; Age-Class Adjustments; Type Conversions Increasing over time: • Wildfire • Invasions by exotic species • Insect & disease • Site conversions Especially: High Risk, High Value Situations BC: lodgepole pine & mountain pine beetle BC Forest Service Logan 2004 What Can Be Done About Climate Change? The 5 R’s: Reduce Resist Resil(ience) R3: Resile After Disturbance Create resiliency (maintain or return to former conditions) to ongoing changes and after ‘catastrophic’ effects of climate Mono Lk Court Decision, 1994: 6391’ lk elevation What Can Be Done About Climate Change? The 5 R’s: Reduce Resist Resilience Respond R4: Respond to Climate Influences Options for Management: * Follow Climate Change Use knowledge from climate projections to plan vegetation options Where do species’ niche spaces move? * Anticipate and Plan for Associated Risks Fire, Insect & Disease, Invasive Species *Increase Redundancy Plantations, stands, species, genotypes *Expand Genetic Diversity Guidelines Seed Zones, Transfer Guidelines, Seed Mixes *Establish Neo-Native Locations Plantations, stands, species, where species existed in the past under similar conditions to future Monterey Pine *Promote Porous Landscapes Large mgmt unit sizes, low fragmentation, high mgmt decision flexibility, continuous riparian zones, appropriate fire presence What Can Be Done About Climate Change? The 5 R’s: Reduce Resist Resilience Respond tRiage R5: Conduct TRIAGE Evaluate * Sensitive & vulnerable vs resistant & resilient Ecotones & high elevations Fire-sensitive systems Species margins Riparian and waterdependent situations Single species/ age classes Mitigate Adapt Conserve Reduce Greenhouse Gases Sequester, Reduce Emissions, House in Order Create Resistance to Effects of Climate Increase Resilience to Climate Change Allow ecosystems to Respond to Climate Change Conduct TRiage