Nevada Spatial Analysis Project Nevada Division of Forestry August 2007 Table of Contents Executive Summary.......................................................................................................................... 5 Stewardship Analysis Project (SAP) Introduction, Purpose, and Background.................................. 7 SAP Implementation.................................................................................................................... 7 Stewardship Potential Suitability Analysis......................................................................................... 8 Data Layer Development and Geoprocessing............................................................................. 8 1. Private Forestland .............................................................................................................. 9 2. Forest Patches.................................................................................................................... 9 3. Riparian River Areas............................................................................................................ 9 4. Wetlands . ........................................................................................................................... 9 5. Slope .................................................................................................................................. 9 6. Proximity to Public Lands.................................................................................................. 10 7. Priority Watersheds........................................................................................................... 10 8. Public Water Supply ......................................................................................................... 10 9. Threatened and Endangered Species............................................................................... 10 10. Soil................................................................................................................................... 10 11. Wildfire Risk..................................................................................................................... 10 12. Forest Health (Insects and Diseases) ............................................................................ 11 13. Development Level......................................................................................................... 11 14. Cheatgrass...................................................................................................................... 11 Analysis Masks . ....................................................................................................................... 11 Weighting................................................................................................................................... 11 Overlay Analysis........................................................................................................................ 11 Analysis Calculations and Results............................................................................................ 12 Appendices...................................................................................................................................... 13 Appendix A: Final Maps............................................................................................................. 16 Appendix B: Graph of Cells and Values.................................................................................... 24 Executive Summary Nevada Division of Forestry (NDF) conducted an assessment of private forestland in Nevada in 2007. This state-wide assessment was accomplished using geographic information system (GIS) analytic techniques and involved developing three spatial layers—Forest Resource Richness, Forest Resource Threat, and Critical Private Forestland. Results of the analysis will be used to direct future technical assistance and educational activities and may be used to demonstrate the value of forests and forestry to the regional economy, environmental health, and quality of life. This analysis provides insight where future stewardship education and technical assistance opportunities may be most beneficial. It also captures where past activity (i.e. Forest Stewardship management plans) has occurred. The project began in June 2007 and ended in August 2007 with approval by the Forest Stewardship Steering Committee. During the analysis process, the GIS Specialist from the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection and NDF staff met to assess whether the process was heading in the correct direction. During these discussions, several modifications were made to data set structure and its relation to the overall project. “Stewardship potential” in Nevada is non-industrial private forest (NIPF) that defines acreage prioritized for educational and technical assistance. The final results for critical forest stewardship potential on critical private lands indicate slightly more than 9 million acres of stewardship potential in Nevada, with approximately 750,000 acres holding high potential. About 2.4 million acres are low potential. Slightly more than 8 million acres of land with stewardship potential are on currently non-forested land. Certain areas of Nevada forests are undergoing rapid change primarily due to population growth and associated subdivision development. In addition, it is increasingly difficult to promote sound forest management as NIPF landowners are steadily increasing in number and their individual ownership parcel size are becoming smaller as forest tracts are subdivided into multiple smaller parcels with a greater number of owners. This challenge is exacerbated by weak funding, shifting priorities, and greater demands for accountability. Key stakeholders, forest resources, and threats to the resource vary across the state. Because of this variation, information designed to portray the region must be developed with an understanding of the differing pressures within the region. NDF does not have a source of information that adequately shows the pattern and distribution of critical forestland. This Assessment provides this understanding and a strong foundation for better forest management decisions. The users of the Assessment include NDF and USDA Forest Service (USFS) regional and national programs. The Assessment results in GIS layers and maps showing forest resource richness and threat on a State-wide basis, with enough detail that sub-county assessments are meaningful. The merging of resource richness and resource threat show the distribution of critical (or priority) forestland. The results of the analysis provide a new way to describe the region’s distinctiveness; they can be used to inform policymakers, stakeholders and concerned groups, empower the region to communicate its distinctiveness, and better quantify its management challenges. Knowing where the forest resources are, where they are most vulnerable, and where they are most valuable will be indispensable as NDF positions itself as the lead stakeholder of forestry issues in the state. The Assessment can help meet the challenge of diminishing funds and increasing customer base by facilitating strategic outreach. Because the capacity to promote forest management to landowners is limited, it is more effective to focus energy in places where it will provide the highest return. In addition, as Nevada develops its strategy for market competitiveness, it will need to know where the opportunities lie to sustain its most valuable and lucrative assets. The state-wide Assessment will be invaluable for NDF as it strives to sustain healthy, productive forests, and protect the economic viability of its private forests. The Assessment analyzes where best to focus forest management resources, and therefore is a perfect complement to the Nevada Wildfire Risk Assessment, whose output will help focus fire suppression, prevention, and mitigation resources. These two data sets together will empower the state to market its identity more comprehensively. The resulting output will be useful and relevant at many spatial scales, from regional down to sub-county. As a result, the model outputs will help Nevada address critical resource management issues within the state, be it with state and county policy makers or as a tool for agency foresters. A GIS modeling methodology has already been developed to identify resource richness and resource threat on NIPF as part of the Spatial Analysis Project (SAP) of the Forest Stewardship Program. The USFS developed the SAP model primarily to address the efficacy of Forest Stewardship Plans and to promote strategic program delivery. NDF recognizes additional benefits beyond meeting the standard goals of the project. Spatial analysis can assist states in managing their private forest programs and can help as an analytical tool when addressing forest policy issues. A national objective was to have a country-wide analysis completed state by state. Participating states are being asked to use a given set of twelve data layer themes and to follow an establish set of procedures and standards for displaying results. States have the freedom to add additional GIS data layers needed to describe local conditions, and to weight each data layer to best reflect its level of importance. Nevada used two additional layers: Cheatgrass (weeds) and Soils. The standard data layer themes include Riparian Corridors, Forest Patches, Public Water Supply Areas, Priority Watersheds, Threatened & Endangered Species, Proximity to Public Forestlands, Wetlands, Topographic, Wildfire Risk, Insect and Disease Risks, and Change in Household. The Nevada Division of Forestry worked with the Forest Stewardship Committee in establishing weighting factors for each data layer. These data layers and weighting factors focus on NIPF issues. The analysis provides a priority value for each 30 meter by 30 meter piece of non-industrial private forest land across the state. These cells were then grouped into high, medium, or low categories. Nevada’s weighting strategy included differences from the National model, and differences with other states that have completed their SAP analysis. Stewardship Analysis Project (SAP) Introduction, Purpose and Background USDA Forest Service and State Forestry agencies have a long standing partnership that began in the late 1940s promoting the protection and improvement of private forestland. Current efforts are defined in the Cooperative Forestry Assistance Act of 1978; the Forest Stewardship Program (FSP) of 1990 is the primary tool for assisting non-industrial forest landowners. The focus of this Spatial Analysis project is to assist the Forest Service and State Forestry agencies in administering and monitoring the FSP. Nevada Division of Forestry (NDF) fully supports a national spatial analysis effort. The FSP has been very successful as a national program promoting sustainable forest management. Comparing today’s national and state strategies for assisting non-industrial private forest (NIPF) landowners with those of 1990 when FSP was first introduced clearly demonstrates the evolution of the program. Multi-resource management planning is now an accepted standard. It is by far the exception that timber production is the primary goal when considering forest planning. Efforts such as spatial analysis strengthen the FSP and other assistance efforts, and benefit landowners, states, and the nation. NIPF landowners are defined as private individuals, group association, corporation, Indian tribe or other private legal entity. NIPF lands may have existing forest cover or may be suitable for growing trees. Forestland was identified using the National Land Cover Database (NLCD). The USDA Forest Service Northeast Area, in partnership with four state forestry agencies, developed a GIS process for mapping lands eligible for the FSP, prioritizing them, and overlaying these lands with existing forest stewardship plans. After these four states completed their spatial analysis project in 2003-04, the Forest Service offered incentive grants to several Western states in order to complete spatial analysis projects. In 2005 and 2006, Nevada received grants to initiate the analysis on a statewide basis. benefit most from educational and technical assistance. Through a series of work sessions, 14 overall data sets were selected and individually evaluated for their specific application to the Nevada SAP. At several milestones in the analysis process, the GIS specialist from the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection and the NDF staff met to assess whether the process was heading in the correct direction. During these discussions, several modifications were made to data set structure and its relation to the overall project. Each of these modifications are covered in individual data set summaries. SAP Implementation The SAP will provide Nevada with the ability to track and display FSP activities over a statewide landscape now and in the future. Through continual GIS analysis, resource data dealing with multiple issues can be mapped and planned. The Nevada FSP will benefit from knowing more about the actual location of stewardship plans across the landscape and identifying potential opportunities where individual landowner planning can address key larger scale resource needs. SAP will also assist regional and national FSP managers to address program effectiveness and public funds accountability. The FSP Spatial Analysis Project (SAP) is providing a consistent methodology across the country to evaluate and prioritize natural resource issues and, at the same time, offer states the ability to customize collection and analysis of pertinent spatial data. The analysis will provide insight into: • important forest lands (rich in natural resources, vulnerable to threat, or both), • existing stewardship tracts (properties under management plans), and • areas of opportunity to focus future FSP efforts (stewardship potential). Nevada’s SAP will also address the following questions, as they relate to the FSP. • Where are the state’s NIPF lands? • Where are the management plans? • Where are the state’s priority NIPFs (those lands of highest potential to benefit from active forest management)? • What percentage of existing NIPF management plans are on the state’s priority forest lands? The initial scoping of the SAP process was coordinated through the Forest Stewardship Committee. For the purpose of this exercise, Forest Stewardship potential was defined as NIPF acreage that would • Are there opportunities to implement forestry education or technical assistance to increase forest management activities in high priority areas? With additional GIS data layers, spatial analysis can also be used to: • assess program effectiveness in serving stateidentified critical resource management needs; • relate factors such as completed cost/share practices, landowner activities, and monitoring data to help determine program strategies and effectiveness; • establish future practices that can improve effectiveness in addressing priority needs based on landscape scale resource issues; • determine the economic, environmental and social importance of NIPFs; and • provide additional information and clarity when addressing a broad range of forest policy issues. Three primary directions will evolve out of Nevada’s SAP: • Develop a historic management plan database and associated geo-referenced map of existing forest stewardship plans. •Assess how the state can use the results of these analyses to guide future landowner assistance activities in conjunction with other NIPF programs. • Recommend modifications to the future spatial analysis efforts to evolve with the current FSP. Stewardship Potential Suitability Analysis The statewide stewardship suitability analysis is comprised of fourteen data layers and an analysis mask. The layers used are Input Layers Private forestland Forest patches Riparian river areas Wetlands Slope Proximity to public lands Priority watersheds Public water supply Threatened and Endangered Species Wildfire risk Forest health (insects and diseases) Change in Household Cheatgrass Soil Analysis Masks Private lands Data Layer Development and Geoprocessing The 14 data layers used for this analysis are described in this section. Twelve of these layers were mandated by the Federal SAP requirements. Two additional layers were added within the SAP flexibility scope to localize the process for Nevada. The Forest Stewardship Committe ranked the 14 layers based on relative importance for delivering stewardship education and technical assistance. Data sources are from Nevada Division of Environmental Protection (NDEP), U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Nevada Natural Heritage Program, Bureau of Land Management (BLM), Landfire National Data, U.S. Forest Service, and the National Resource Conservation Service (NRCS) were identified to meet the project requirements. All data sets (raster and vector) were compiled and stored in a geodatabase file format. ESRI’s ArcGIS 9.2 software was used to manage, create, and manipulate data. All data sets were checked for attribute completeness and correct projection parameters. The projection used UTM Zone 11, with NAD 83 as the datum. All vector data sets were converted to a raster format using the POLYGONRASTER tool. The POLYGONRASTER tool default cell size or a selected increment divided by 30 was used to get the best representation of the data. This was a two step process due to vector-to-raster conversion issues. All rasters that were not a 30 m cell size were resampled to a 30 m cell size. Layers were resampled so that data was given a value of 1 and no data was given a value of 0. The exception was the layer for Forest Patch Size (Nevada Landuse, 2000). All values except 41, 42 and 43 along with no data were classified as 0. Values 41, 42 and 43 were classified as 1. All data was added together using the WEIGHTED SUM tool. The weights or ranking came from the Forest Stewardship Committee. The original value for the rankings were in a decimal format. The WEIGHTED SUM tool can not use decimal values as the input. The weights were adjusted to an integer value so the values would add up to 100. 2. Forest Patches The forest patches layer was derived from the private forestland layer. This is a raster data set. The private lands were then extracted for the statewide output using the EXTRACTION BY MASK tool. The mask was created by taking BLM landownership data and selecting the private land holdings. This vector coverage was manipulated with the DISSOLVE command on the boundaries to create larger polygons. This data set was converted to a raster data set. Final input raster included a value of 1 for forest patches and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 3 percent. The resulting extracted raster data was copied to create an integer grid instead of a floating point grid. This helped in the classification of the data in addition to displaying the data on a map. A brief summary of each layer is described below. The description includes where the data set originated and what the final weighted value was for each layer. 1. Private Forestland The forest cover used in this project was extracted from the National Land Cover Dataset (NLCD). The 1992 NLCD was derived from early to mid-1990s Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper satellite data and is a 21-class land cover classification scheme applied consistently over the United States. The spatial resolution of the data is 30 m. NLCD is provided on a state-wide basis. NLCD was updated in 2000 and was used for this project. This is a raster data set. The forest cover layer was derived by combining three NLCD classes: Deciduous Forest Evergreen Forest Mixed Forest The final input raster included a value of 1 for private forestland and a 0 for no data, with a weighted value of 10 percent. 3. Riparian River Areas All perennial streams and major rivers in the 1:100,000 scale Digital Line Graph (DLG) were buffered by 300 feet on each side. The resulting perennial streams and rivers were converted to a raster data set with a value of 1 for riparian corridors. The final input raster included a value of 1 for riparian areas and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 10 percent. 4. Wetlands The data for the wetlands layer came from the National Wetland Inventory (NWI) data maintained by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and is based on the 1:250,000 scale data in the National Wetlands Inventory. This is a vector data set that was converted to a raster data set. The final input raster included a value of 1 for wetlands and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 7 percent. 5. Slope The statewide 30 ­meter digital elevation model (DEM) was used to develop a topographic slope layer. The forest stewardship potential on critical private forestlands mask was used to select only slope values for the areas that fell within private forest lands. This data originally existed as a raster data set. layer to the general public directly or through other agencies or entities was not authorized by the NDEP. The final input raster included a value of 1 for all lands and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 4 percent. The final input raster included a value of 1 for the data and a 0 for no-data, with a weighted overlay value of 7 percent. 6. Proximity to Public Lands The proximity to public lands layer was created by combining a ½ mile buffer of public lands based on BLM Landownership data. This is a vector data set and was converted to a raster format. 9. Threatened and Endangered Species Data for the threatened and endangered species layer was obtained from Nevada’s Natural Heritage Program. The information provided by Nevada’s Natural Heritage Program is intended for distribution or use only within the requesting department, agency, or business. A generalized composite summary was created of all the data from Nevada’s Natural Heritage Program for threatened and endangered species. It cannot be reversed engineered to identify individual species locations. The final input grid included a grid value of 1 for all lands in proximity to forested public lands and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 4 percent. 7. Priority Watersheds The priority watersheds were taken from the 1:2,000,000 USGS Hydrologic Unit Data Set. All Hydrologic Units were included in the analysis because of the small amount of private land. This is a vector data set that was converted to a raster data set. Final input raster included a value of 1 for priority watersheds and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 11 percent. 8. Public Water Supply The public water supply layer included community surface water intake locations from the Bureau of Safe Drinking Water, NDEP. This data was the result of a query of the SDWIS data base in 2006 for a Drinking Water Protection Area. The wells and intakes had a 6000 ft buffer drawn around the well or intake. This data set is a vector data set that was converted to a raster format. The buffer size was selected on the advice of the Bureau of Water Pollution Control to minimize any affects on a well or intake. Release of this 10 The final input raster included a value of 1 for threatened and endangered species and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 8 percent. 10. Soil The soil data set is from NRCS. The data is a generalized state soil map. This data set was downloaded from the NRCS website as a vector format and converted to a raster data set. The final input raster included a value of 1 for soils and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 1 percent. 11. Wildfire Risk The wildfire risk layer used the fire regime condition classes from the National Landfire Program. LANDFIRE fire regime condition classes (FRCC) delineate a standardized, interagency index to measure the departure of current conditions from reference conditions. FRCC is defined as a relative measure describing the degree of departure from the reference fire regime. This departure results in changes to one (or more) of the following ecological components: vegetation characteristics (species composition, structural stages, stand age, canopy closure, and mosaic pattern); fuel composition; fire frequency, severity, and pattern; and other associated disturbances (such as insect and disease mortality, grazing, and drought). This data came in a raster format. The final input raster included a value of 1 for all areas defined with wildfire risk and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 12 percent. 12. Forest Health (Insects and Diseases) This raster data set was obtained from the U.S. Forest Service. The final input grid included a grid value of 1 and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 13 percent. Landownership coverage Dissolve all polygons Convert all polygons to raster Weighting To produce the composite layers, each input layer was given a weight according to its relative importance. The Forest Stewardship Committee derived the weighting scheme for the individual suitability layers based on relative importance for delivering stewardship education and technical assistance. Once all data layers were assigned a percentage, the percentages were converted to weighting values; that is, 10 percent became a value of 10 and the sum of the maximum points for all 14 layers equaled 100. Several of the values were rounded to whole numbers in order to work within the parameters of the WEIGHTED SUM tool. The final weighted values for each layer are Private forestland10% Change in household 4% Forest health13% Wildfire risk 12% Soil1% Cheatgrass 6% Proximity to public lands 4% Forest patches 3% Priority watersheds 11% Riparian river areas 10% Public water supply 7% Threatened and Endangered Species 8% Slope 4% Wetlands 7% 13. Change of Household. This data set was created by joining the 2000 census data with a shapefile of Nevada’s Counties. The join was done with the county name attribute. The shapefile was converted to a raster data set using the change population from 1990 to 2000 attribute field. Final input ratser included a value of 1 for counties and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 4 percent. 14. Cheatgrass This raster data set came from Nevada’s Natural Heritage Program. This layer was used as a weed layer because of the incompleteness of a noxious weed data set. Nevada’s Natural Heritage Program is working on updating the noxious weed layer but it won’t be finished within the time frame of this project. Final input raster included a value of 1 for cheatgrass and a 0 for no data, with a weighted overlay value of 6 percent. Analysis Masks The analaysis mask was created using the following steps: Select all private lands from the BLM Overlay Analysis The GIS data representing each of the layers was converted to the ESRI raster format with a cell size of 30 m, an area representing approximately onequarter acre. For example, all the 30-m grid cells that fall within the riparian river buffers were coded as “1,” while all cells outside the riparian buffers were coded as “0” in that layer. Each grid cell was multiplied by its weighted value so that cells coded as “1” took on the weighted value while all “0” cells retained a value of 0. The final result contained cells whose values equaled the sum of the values in the same location (on the same quarter-acre) from all included layers in each composite layer. 11 The ESRI Spatial Analyst extension allowed for the specification of an analysis mask. The analysis mask described above was used to exclude areas that did not meet eligibility requirements for inclusion in the Forest Stewardship Program. Analysis Calculation and Results The data is displayed in ArcMap with several other data sets such as cities, counties, roads, streams, waterbodies and existing stewardship plans. The data is displayed using a classification scheme based on 3 intervals (low-medium-high) based on Natural Breaks (Jenks). The acreage was calculated the following way: the number of cells that had values in the low group (23 to 46) were added together (see graph, Appendix B) and that value was then multiplied by 900 (30 m by 30 m cell is 900 square meters). The result of that mathematical equation was plugged into a conversion tool that converted square meters to acres. The same process was done for the medium and high classifications. The process and results mentioned above were crosschecked by taking the total number of cells and multiplying the cells by 900 (area of a 30 m cell). That result was plugged into the same conversion tool that converted square meters to acres. The values from this mathematical operation and the one mentioned above came out to match. When the number of acres were converted to square miles, the value represented 12.8% of Nevada land that is private. The amount of forested land was calculated by extracting the state landuse/landcover layer (forest patch size) with the mask used for the analysis. The number of cells was multiplied by 900 and converted to acres. The result of this calculation gives us the amount of forested lands. The non-forested value was calculated by taking the total number of acres and subtracting the forested area. Each category (low-middle-high) of forested lands acres were calculated by taking the total acres of forested land multiplied by the percentage of total acres for the specific category. The percentage was calculated by dividing the acreage for each catagory by the total number of forested acres. The same process is done for non-forested areas. 12 The value for acres capable of stewardship plans vs. acres that have plans were calculated this way: the total stewardship plans acreage was calculated using the statistics tool in ArcGIS on the acreage field then divided by the total number of acres to get the percentage. The stewardship plan acres were calculated the following way: for every location with a valid coordinate, the cell value of the weighted layer was queried and the value was added to the stewardship shapefile; the select by attribute tool was used to query for values that are less than 46 (low), 47 to 56 (middle), and greater than 57 (high); for each category (low, middle, or high), the acreage field is added together and calculates the total of all acres. Sites that do not have coordinates were not added to the stewardship plan acres. This methodology took into account plans that were both active and cancelled. Appendices 13 14 Appendix A: Final Maps Map 1 – Classified Forest Stewardship Potential on Critical Private Lands for Nevada Map 2 - Classified Forest Stewardship Potential on Critical Private Lands and Existing Stewardship Plans for Nevada Map 3 - Classified Forest Stewardship Potential on Critical Private Forestlands and Existing Stewardship Plans for Nevada Map 4 - Resource Richness in Nevada Map 5 - Resource Threats in Nevada Map 6 - Classified Forest Stewardship Potential on Critical Non-Forestlands & Non-Developed Lands and Existing Stewardship Plans for Nevada Map 7 - Private and Public Landownership Appendix B: Graph showing values and cell count. 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24