New Jersey Forest Stewardship Program Spatial Analysis Project 2007 Map Products And Data Layers Descriptions 01/07 NJ Forest Stewardship Program (FSP) Spatial Analysis Project (SAP) Methodology Project Summary: The National Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project (SAP) determines stewardship potential on private non-developed lands. A raster based GIS approach was applied to the various data layers at a one half-acre cell size. The individual data sets were then rated by the Stewardship Committee on relative program importance. A statistical weighting system was than applied to develop the threat factors and stewardship potential for individual units. A final data output was produced by separating the data at three natural breaks for high, medium, and low stewardship potential. Data Layers Resource Factors: Private Forest Lands Forest Patch Size Riparian Corridors Public Water Supply Priority Watersheds Threatened and Endangered Species Wetlands Proximity to Publicly Owned Lands Protected and Public Lands Slope Resource Threats: Development Risk Forest Health Risk Land Mask: Those areas not eligible for inclusion in the Forest Stewardship Program (FSP) were aggregated into a single mask layer and excluded from the analysis. These include all developed land, streams, water bodies, and permanently protected land parcels. Layer Creation: The 12 data layers selected for this analysis were converted to a raster grid format using a common point of origin at a standard one half acre cell size. Each individual layer was rated as to its importance relative to the Stewardship Program by committee members. These values were than weighted and the cells of each layer coded appropriately. The analysis overlays the 12 layers and then sums the values of each cell of every column producing an output layer. This Stewardship Potential output layer can have a possible value ranging from zero to one. A cell column with no hits in any layer would have a value of zero, while a cell column with hits in all layers would produce a value of one. Forest Stewardship Data Layers The output values of the Stewardship Potential layer generated in the analysis ranged from a low of .068 to a high of .856. Meaning that no single column of cells was a hit or miss in all 12 layers. The resulting data range was than separated into three natural breaks by the Jenks method. This classification translated to low, medium, and high ranges facilitates the evaluation process and graphical display of the data set. Possible Data Values Wildfire Hazard: - (data rank = .079) The Wildfire Hazard layer was created using both the NJDEP land use / land cover vegetative data and USGS 10meter digital elevation models (DEM). The lulc data at a minimum unit size of 2.5 acres, classified with a modified Anderson et al. classification was aggregated into six hazard categories. Based on fire fuel models produced by the vegetative associations they range from low, moderate, high, very high, to extreme. These classified units were than adjusted for the influence of slope and aspect with the DEM models. These hazard classes form the basis for prioritizing hazard mitigation projects, the development of Community Wildfire Protection Plans, and the administration of regulated defensible space issues by the NJ Pinelands Commission. For this analysis the categories of high and extreme risk were included in the Wildfire Hazard layer. This targets properties essential for reducing the potential of wildfire risk to private forested lands through stewardship and forest management activities. Forest Patch: - (data rank = .098) The Forest Patch layer was generated using the NJDEP land use / land cover vegetative data. All forested and early successional polygons were dissolved to produce a single forest cover layer. Forested patches of 25 acres and greater were selected for inclusion in the analysis layer. This value was selected so as not to exclude the many small property owners common in our fragmented forests. The average FSP acreage in NJ is approximately 106 acres, selecting 25 acres should help prioritize small properties for inclusion into the FSP reducing the amount of forest patch fragmentation. Public Land Proximity: - (data rank = .088) This data layer is the product of the union of two separate data sources. The first is a one-half mile (2,640 feet) buffer of all permanently preserved open space. Preserved open space is considered to be state lands (Div. Parks and Forestry, Natural Lands Trust, Fish & Wildlife Management Areas), federal property (National Recreation Areas and military installations), and county or municipal lands (parks). The second source incorporates data from the Garden State Greenways Project. A joint effort between the NJ Dept. of Environmental Protection’s Green Acres Program, the NJ Conservation Foundation, and Rutgers Center for Remote Sensing and Spatial Analysis (CRSSA). This project identifies hub areas of undeveloped land such as parks and forests and linear undeveloped connectors between these hubs. These connectors or undeveloped corridors have been incorporated to supplement buffered preserved land and encourage forest stewardship between preserved open space parcels. Threatened and Endangered Species: - (data rank = .068) This Data layer was produced utilizing the NJ Division of Fish and Wildlife’s, Endangered and Nongame Species Program data, NJ Natural Heritage Database and, the Natural Lands Trust (NLT) data layers for T&E species. Areas where polygon attributes indicated that one or more Code 5 species (Federally Endangered) was present or where NLT exceptional habitat existed was selected for inclusion. This data layer prioritizes properties that have T&E species present or good potential habitat for inclusion in the FSP. By prioritizing these properties, T&E habitat and the local populations can be maintained or enhanced through forest stewardship activities. Developmental Land Use Change: - (data rank = .075) This data layer identifies areas of development pressure. Land use / land cover data was used to track the change in acreage from private forest to developed land for each HUC 11 unit over the previous ten year period. Areas experiencing the highest levels of change per unit (up to 9.9 percent) were selected as priority areas for stewardship potential. Many of the remaining unselected HUC units are in areas which have existing protocols and/or regulations in place to preserve land or restrict development. These include the NJ Pinelands Preservation Act, the NJ Highlands Act, and Coastal Area Facility Review Act (CAFRA) zones, There fore, selecting these HUC 11 units as priority for the Stewardship Program will entice woodland owners to enroll in the FSP and maintain a nondeveloped land use such as forest. Forest Health: - (data rank = .088) This layer prioritizes areas that have a documented history of being at risk to forest pests and disease or are a declining forest type of ecological significance. It was generated utilizing NJFS Stress Risk Maps, Forest Health Monitoring data (FHM), Damage Causing Agents surveys (DCAs) and NJFS forest resource maps. In the case of oak defoliation, up to twenty years of digital DCA data was utilized to identify historical gypsy moth hot spots. While many forest types have the potential for DCA susceptibility, Eastern hemlock, southern yellow pine and Atlantic white-cedar were additionally selected for prioritization. These forest types have experienced decline and mortality due to hemlock woolly adelgid (HWA), southern pine beetle (SPB) and lack of proper forest management, respectively. Prioritization and incorporation of these forest types will encourage suppression, monitoring and restoration efforts. In the future, ash (Fraxinus spp.) will be incorporated in this group for the monitoring of Emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) to facilitate early detection / rapid response. Fresh Water Wetlands: - (data rank = .076) This data layer was generated from the NJDEP land use – land cover data set with a minimum mapping unit of 2.5 acres. The modified Cowardin classifications relating to the appropriate forested and non forested freshwater wetlands designations were reselected and dissolved to produce a single inclusive wetlands coverage. Riparian Buffers: - (data rank = .094) The riparian buffer layer was created by the union of the NJDEP state hydro coverage of water bodies and streams generated from USGS 1:24000 digital line graph files. The stream lines and freshwater water bodies were buffered by 300 feet on each side. Islands with less than five acres of area or less were removed. Public Water Supply: - (data rank = .087) This data layer was generated by utilizing a series of NJDEP public water supply data sources. Public supply well heads, reservoirs, lakes, and all surface water bodies with intake points were merged into a single data set and buffered by 5,280 feet. In order to protect and maintain water quality these areas adjacent to public water supplies will be encouraged to enter the stewardship program. Slope: - (data rank = .074) This data layer prioritizes properties with slopes values of less than 40 degrees for inclusion into the FSP. Individual lattices produced from USGS 10 meter digital elevation models (DEMs) for the twenty state watershed management areas were merged and slope values generated. Units with slopes values of less than 40 percent will receive priority for program participation there by mitigating potential erosion through stewardship activities. State Priority Watersheds: - (data rank = .099) Priority watersheds were selected by HUC 11 series units using data from the NJ Bureau of Freshwater and Biological Monitoring Program. The Category 1 (C1) Streams were selected due to their high ecological resource and recreational values. Values are related but not limited to drinking water, fisheries and aesthetics. Category 1 waters are defined by the regulations on Surface Water Quality Standards N.J.A.C. 7:9B. In addition to C1 streams, the NJDEP Wild and Scenic Rivers (WSR) coverage was added This data set targets stewardship planning activities in order to maintain the high resource value of the water management unit, encouraging the continued protection and improved water quality of these priority watersheds. Private Forest Lands: - (data rank = .074) The Private Forest Lands layer was generated using the NJDEP land use / land cover vegetative data. All appropriately classified forested units from this modified Anderson system were selected. An identity was conducted to remove all state, federal, county and municipal lands. Analysis Mask: The Analysis Mask contains those areas unavailable for inclusion into the forest stewardship program and therefore not included in the analysis. The NJDEP land use land cover data was used to identify all areas with inappropriate classifications. These included but were not limited to residential, industrial, commercial, urban areas, saline marsh, streams, natural and artificial lakes. This coverage was unioned with all federal, state, county, municipal and protected lands. The layer was than dissolved, converted to the standard half acre grid format and coded with a cell value of five for later reselection and removal from the final data set. GIS Analysis: The analysis process is relatively simple, the twelve individual data layers were each converted to a standard one half acre grid format. The cells of each layer were than coded with the appropriate data value corresponding its weighted resource value. This stack of twelve overlapping data sets is then analyzed to produce a single output grid containing the sum of values from each overlapping cell. The true data range is from zero to one, any cell which was included in the mask layer produces a value equal to or grater than five. These mask cells were then removed from the output layer. This output layer was then divided into three natural breaks by the Jenks method. These three classifications of high, medium, and low stewardship potential were individually selected out and converted to separate polygon layers. The separation of layers facilitates area calculations, distribution to regional offices, graphical display, and additional analysis efforts. Stewardship Plan Ownership Boundaries: New Jersey Forest Stewardship Plan boundary maps have been recorded in various forms with differing spatial accuracy, scales, and precision since the beginning of the program. All available stewardship property records will be incorporated in this project. Digitizing efforts are currently under way with an expected completion date of June 2007. Upon completion the NJ data base should contain in excess of over 900 plans incorporating over 100,000 acres. Forest Stewardship Potential: The NJ spatial analysis project results have provided interesting and valuable insights into future potential program benefits to our states private lands sector. As development and population pressures increase the ability to target prime resource rich candidates for program inclusion become paramount. New Jersey's available stewardship acreage displays considerable potential for future entrance into the program with over 66% of all available acreage being of moderate or high resource value. This new approach aimed at prioritizing and targeting properties by resource potential produces additional program benefits. Program managers will now have the necessary tools to assess the true impact made at the landscape level. New initiatives can be implemented and directed to produce maximum returns regarding time and dollars invested. Program accountability and importance can now be evaluated across state lines at a national scale. This new standard will help to ensure the future of the Forest Stewardship Program and the resource benefits it produces for us all