New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007 (revised March 2008) Submitted by Karen Bennett, Forest Stewardship Coordinator, UNH Cooperative Extension Coauthored by Matt Tansey, Resource Analyst, State of NH DRED, Division of Forests & Lands Project Background and Goals Since 1990 the Forest Stewardship Program has been the primary mechanism to deliver landowner assistance to forest landowners in New Hampshire. Focusing on integrated resource management and long term planning, approximately 2300 plans have been written, representing 25% of the private lands in the state. The New Hampshire Spatial Analysis Program (NH SAP) includes two broad areas of activity: • Using geo-referenced information, determine the “important forest areas” in the state and rate them as high, medium, and low. • Digitize the property locations of forest stewardship plans and develop a geo-database that can be used to track forest stewardship plans and accomplishments. The project goals include: • Spatially assess and analyze the status and distribution of existing forest stewardship plans and their proximity to important forestlands, thus enabling forest managers to better capture and articulate the impact of the Forest Stewardship Program. • Provide a tool for future strategic program delivery, while demonstrating accountability for program outcomes. • Provide the capability to maintain Forest Stewardship Program accomplishments on an on-going basis. The SAP analysis helps us look back on the location of past plans helping to assess program impact and to look to the future to help direct future work of the Forest Stewardship Program. Role of the Forest Stewardship Committee The New Hampshire Forest Stewardship Committee advises the State Forester and UNH Cooperative Extension as to program direction for private forest landowner assistance programs, including the Forest Stewardship Program. The stewardship committee endorsed the Spatial Analysis Project at its annual meeting in February 2006, provided general direction to the Spatial Analysis Project (NH SAP), and appointed a subcommittee1 to establish and rank the attributes that should be included as part of the important forest areas analysis. The SAP subcommittee determined which natural resource factors play the most important role in forest stewardship in New Hampshire. A data team2 further refined what geographic data was available and how to best use it in the analysis. Natural Resources Included in the Important Forest Areas Analysis The subcommittee determined the following attributes should be included in the development of the important forest areas (listed in order of importance as determined by the committee):3 • Unfragmented Forest • Important Forest Soils • Significant Habitat/Natural Communities • Proximity to Permanently Protected Land • Aquifers • Riparian Areas • Proximity to Public Lands New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 1 of 17 • • • • Public Wellheads Wetlands Watersheds Bedrock Geology Initially, the subcommittee didn’t include the threats (forest health, development, wildfire risk) as required in the national SAP protocol in the above ranking, instead choosing to focus the “important forest areas” as “pristine” forest areas and endeavoring to use the Forest Stewardship Program as a means to maintain these more “pristine” areas. The concern was that including threats in the analysis would cloud the identification of the important areas. Armed with these rankings, the data team sought geospatial data of the resources, combined some of them, and eventually decided to include one threat- development pressure- in the analysis. Notably aquifers and public wellheads were combined into “drinking water protection areas” and bedrock geology was reflected in important forest soils. The forest health risk assessment was changed into a “healthy forest ratings”. Though fire risk was also called for in the protocol, spatial data exists, and according to other Forest Service analyses, New Hampshire has the highest percentage of homes in the wildland urban interface; fire wasn’t included because the subcommittee felt it didn’t act as an appropriate filter for this analysis. Unfragmented Forests (Forest Block Size): Unfragmented forest was selected as the single most important resource characteristic by the NH SAP committee. New Hampshire Fish and Game has developed a data layer that quantifies blocks of forest with a series of metrics. It is based on the 2001 Land Cover Assessment provided by GRANIT4. Blocks were given a rank based on size. 50 to 100 acre blocks received 1 point, 100 to 500 acre blocks received 2 points, 500 to 1000 acre blocks received 3 points and blocks over 1000 acre received 4 points. Important Forest Soils Groups: Highly productive forest soils were the second most important resource factor according to the committee. All spatial soils data was produced by the Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) and soils types were joined to their respective Important Forest Soils Group (IA, IB, IC, IIA, IIB)5. The Important Forest Soils Group classification takes into account soil productivity for forestry but also slope and operability. IA soils represent the best hardwood sites.1B represents slightly less fertile hardwood sites and group. IC represents sandy outwash sites that favor softwood growth. After a first draft IB soils were excluded because they fell too broadly over the landscape. Group IA and IC were given 4 points in the final analysis to reflect their importance. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 2 of 17 Significant Habitat (Wildlife Habitat Data): The NH SAP committee ranked significant habitat which includes important wildlife habitat and natural communities almost as high as important forest soil groups. NH Fish and Game created a GIS analysis to rank wildlife habitat within the state for their Wildlife Action Plan.6 This analysis referenced the natural communities as designated by the NH Natural Heritage Bureau. Numerous models and techniques were used to create several 30 meter resolution grids. The wildlife habitat tier data set was selected for use in the NH SAP. Tier 1 represents the highest quality habitat in the state, tier 2 represents the highest quality habitat in the biological region (defined by TNC ecoregional subsection for terrestrial habitats) and tier 3 represents the supporting landscape. These tiers were assigned 3, 2, 1 points respectively. For more information on the New Hampshire Fish and Game Departments Wildlife Action Plan visit: http://www.wildlife.state.nh.us/Wildlife/wildlife_plan.html NH Fish and Game created a GIS analysis to rank wildlife habitat within the state for the NH Wildlife Action Plan (WAP).7 A statewide wildlife habitat landcover of 16 habitat types was created for the WAP. The habitats were then analyzed for condition using biological, landscape and human influence factors that inform habitat condition. Thresholds were set to determine the highest ranking condition for each habitat type statewide, or Tier 1 (the top 10-15% by area of each). Since the state is climatically and geologically diverse, the habitats were then ranked within each biological region, (ecoregional subsection or watershed grouping) to create Tier 2. A third tier, Supporting Landscapes, consists of large forest blocks and the upland area of high ranking watersheds, plus known occurrences of some rare wildlife and natural communities. The Wildlife Habitat Condition Rankings were selected for use in the NH SAP. Proximity to Permanently Protected Lands (Private Conservation Lands): The state conservation land data layer maintained by GRANIT tracks both public and private conservation land. It was used to identify private conservation land. This data set is the most comprehensive collection of undeveloped parcels over two acres that are protected from future development. The data is complete for the state and is updated regularly. Parcels over 50 acres were buffered by 1000 feet and the buffer received 1 point. The actual parcel received 3 points. Other conservation parcels under 50 acres received 2 points but were not buffered. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 3 of 17 Riparian Areas: This data layer supplied by NH Fish and Game includes all perennial streams, lakes and ponds and hydrologically connected wetlands. All elements are buffered 300 feet and get one point. Proximity to Public Lands (Public Conservation Land): The state conservation land data layer maintained by GRANIT was also used to delineate all fee owned public land. This includes all land held by federal, state, county and towns. Several other large parcels, such as Jericho Mountain State Park, that were not in the original data layer were added provided there was spatial data available. Parcels over 50 acres were buffered by a 1000 feet and received one point. Aquifers and Public Wellheads (Drinking Water Protection Areas): Two data layers were used to create a composite of areas that are important to drinking water protection. The well head protection areas layer, supplied by NH Department of Environmental Services, locates drinking water supply areas and puts a protective buffer around the point the size of which depends on the numbers of people served. This was combined with a high transmissivity aquifers data layer which was produced by USGS. These two layers were combined into one and all areas of interest were given one point. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 4 of 17 Wetland Areas: The National Wetlands Inventory contains the location and classification of wetlands as defined by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service. This data layer was queried to select only palustrine wetlands. No buffers were used and all areas with wetlands were given one point. Watershed Quality: The SPARROW8 (Spatially Referenced Regression of Contaminant Transport on Watershed attributes) data layer produced by USGS was used to assess watershed quality. This research indexes the quality of all stream catchments in the state based on regression models of total nitrogen and total phosphorus transport. The data is based on stream reaches which has a much finer resolution than the HUC 12 watersheds. The top 25% of stream catchments, with an index value of 1 – 1.015584, were chosen to represent the best quality watersheds across the state and assigned one point. Healthy Forests: Annually, the Forest Health Section of the NH Division of Forests and Lands flies the state in fixed wing aircraft and creates a data layer of forest damage in accordance with USDA Forest Service standards. This data has been used to produce an analysis of forest health from 1990 to 2006 for all of New Hampshire excluding the White Mountain National Forest. This particular analysis is a 30 meter grid layer. The original protocol for the SAP called for the identification of areas that have sustained forest damage. The NH SAP committee felt it was more appropriate to select areas that were less damaged and more “healthy”. To this end areas of forest that were damaged 3 times or less over since 1990 were given a value of one point in the analysis. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 5 of 17 Change in Housing Density: The greatest threat to forest land in New Hampshire is development. Data from David Theobald’s research on housing density9 was used to determine the areas in the state that are under threat from development. This is a 30 meter raster based on 2000 US Census Bureau block (SF1) datasets. A growth model was used to predict the growth in housing units on the same census block while subtracting land that was non developable (water, transportation infrastructure or protected land). The NH SAP committee felt that land under the highest threat to development was beyond the reach of the Forest Stewardship Program and land under the least threat not as needy of attention so census blocks that showed an intermediate rate of growth were selected for areas in this analysis and given one point. Masked Areas: The Forest Stewardship SAP excludes several areas that don’t qualify for inclusion in the forest stewardship program. All publicly fee owned lands (federal, state, town, county) are excluded. This diversity of properties was queried from the conservation lands data layer in GRANIT. The 2001 Land Cover Assessment10 was used to isolate areas of residential, commercial, or industrial development, transportation, and open water, which were also used in the mask. The protocol called for an additional mask to be created for areas that were in the analysis area but were non forest and non-developed. The 2001 Land Cover Assessment was used to isolate areas of row crops, hay or pasture, open wetlands, tidal wetlands, gravel pits or quarries, bedrock, sand dunes and tundra. Tundra was included in the mask but will make no difference in the analysis because all tundra land cover is on state or federal land and already masked out. Areas of land cover that were described as orchard, forested wetland and other cleared, which is land recently harvested, were associated with forestland. Weighting Rationale and Final Outcome of the Important Forest Areas Analysis After the data layers for this project were selected and discussed, the subcommittee then voted on the perceived importance of each layer (see footnote 1). The votes were tallied and could have been used to determine a weighting scheme between the layers however; it was decided to give weighting within specific data layers.11 As an example, forest block size was considered the most important factor and that as the size of the forest block increases it becomes more important and should receive a higher score. So a score of one through four was applied to each forest block. Similarly, wildlife habitat was given a score up to three to reflect the importance of different habitat quality. Other data layers like the palustrine wetlands were uniformly given a value of one point regardless of size, composition or other factors. Taking a real example from the data; if a pixel fell on the largest forest block (4 points), had the highest habitat rating (3 points), was permanently protected (3 points), and had important forest soils (4 points), it would have a score of 14 points and rise toward the top of the ranking. Conversely, if a pixel fell on a riparian buffer (1 point), in healthy forest (1 point), and occurred in a priority watershed (1 point) it would only have a score of 3 points and be near the bottom of the overall classification. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 6 of 17 After the processing was completed and the data layers were rasterized the raster calculator was used to create a final overlay. The standard for this project was to divide the final composite into values of high, medium and low using natural breaks in the data (Jenks method)12. Of the area considered in the analysis 1.7 million acres (39%) were considered to have high stewardship program potential, 1.8 million acres (41%) were considered medium, and 841 thousand acres (19%) were considered to have low program potential. Table 1. Amount of Land with High, Medium, and Low Stewardship Potential Developing the Forest Stewardship Plan Data Layer Forest stewardship plans written since the start of the program through fiscal year 2005 were digitized and a data layer of plans was created. Each landowner was assigned a unique identifying number and this data layer was referenced to an access database containing contact information and acres covered by the plans. A total of 591,111 acres of plans (14% of the NIPF acres in the state) were digitized, just over half of the plans written since the start of the program. Some of the plans not digitized couldn’t be found, were out of date, were written after the project started, or had other reasons for not being included in this data layer. This data layer and database will be maintained and improved. Future work will include recovering and digitizing relevant older plans, digitizing and adding plans written after FY 2005, and developing a protocol for digitizing new plans and capturing landowner information to a centralized geo-referenced database. The forest stewardship plan data layer was combined with the important forest areas analysis to create a set of maps that follow. These maps are: Map 1: Potential for Forest Stewardship Benefits Map 2: Potential for Forest Stewardship Benefits and Existing Stewardship Plans Map 3: Forest Stewardship Potential on Private Lands and Existing Stewardship Plans Map 4: Resource Richness Map 5: Resource Threats Map 6: Forest Stewardship Potential on Non-Forested – Non-Developed Lands & Existing Stewardship Plans Map 7: Regional Map – Sullivan County Table 2 shows that, 32% of the lands with high stewardship potential are covered by plans. These maps will be used to direct future programming, for example highlighting lands with high potential for the stewardship program, enabling us to do education and outreach to landowners in these areas. Table 2. Plans According to Stewardship Potential New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 7 of 17 New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 8 of 17 New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 9 of 17 New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 10 of 17 New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 11 of 17 New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 12 of 17 New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 13 of 17 New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 14 of 17 For More Information: Karen P. Bennett, Extension Professor & Specialist, Forest Resources UNH Cooperative Extension, 212 Nesmith Hall, 131 Main St., Durham, NH 03824 (603)862-4861, karen.bennett@unh.edu Matthew B. Tansey, Forest Resource Analyst State of NH DRED, Division of Forests & Lands, PO Box 1865, Concord, NH 03302 (603)271-2214, mtansey@state.nh.us Acknowledgements: Chuck Hersey, Sullivan County Extension Forester, and Sam Stoddard, Coos County Extension Forester provided leadership and direction for the forest stewardship plan digitizing aspect of this project. Other foresters contributing significantly to the success of this project include: Tim Fleury, Jon Nute, Northam Parr, Steve Roberge, and Wendy Scribner. Deb Stevens, Administrative Assistant, Rockingham County Extension also contributed. 1 SAP subcommittee included: Karen Bennett, Ann Davis (landowner), Chuck Hersey (UNH Cooperative Extension), Roger Monthey (Forest Service), Wendy Scribner (UNH Cooperative Extension), Jim Spielman (NRCS), Matt Tansey (NH Division of Forests and Lands) 2 Data layer team: Karen Bennett, Chuck Hersey, and Sam Stoddard, (UNH Cooperative Extension), Tom Luther and Roger Monthey (Forest Service), Matt Tansey (NH Division of Forests and Lands) 3 Resource factors chosen by the subcommittee to be included in the important forest areas analysis as ranked by importance. The lower the number, the higher the ranking Unfragmented Forest- 11 Important Forest Soils- 25 Significant Habitat/Natural Communities- 27 Proximity to Permanently Protected - 33 Aquifers- 37 Riparian- 42 Proximity to Public Lands- 46 Public Wellheads- 52 Wetlands- 56 Watersheds- 61 Bedrock Geology - 73 4 The New Hampshire Geographically Referenced Analysis and Information Transfer System (NH GRANIT) http://www.granit.sr.unh.edu/ is a cooperative project to create, maintain, and make available a statewide geographic data base serving the information needs of state, regional, and local decision-makers. A collaborative effort between the University of New Hampshire and the NH Office of Energy and Planning, the core GRANIT System is housed at the UNH Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space in Durham. It includes a geographic database, hardware and software to build, manage, and access the database, and a staff of experts knowledgeable in geographic information systems, image processing, and computer analysis. In addition to database development and maintenance, the GRANIT staff offers a range of application development, training, and related technical services to GIS users in the state and the region. The GRANIT approach to a statewide GIS depends upon the cooperative efforts of a host of agencies, collaborating on various elements of database design and construction as well as application development. The collaboration occurs formally through the NH GIS Advisory Committee, and informally through daily interactions between the growing body of GIS users in the state and the region. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 15 of 17 5 Important Forest Soils Important Forest Soil Group IA Soils belonging to this group consist of the deeper, loamy textured, moderately well, and well-drained soils. Generally, these soils are more fertile and have the most favorable moisture relationships. Forest successional trends on these soils are toward stands of shade tolerant hardwoods, usually beech and sugar maple. Hardwood competition is severe on these soils. Softwood regeneration is usually dependent upon persistent hardwood control efforts. On this soil type sugar maple is favored by selection cutting methods; white ash and yellow birch are favored by group and strip cutting; white ash is favored by shelterwood cutting; and white birch is favored by clearcutting. Important Forest Soil Group IB Soils assigned to Group IB are generally sandy or loamy over sandy textures and slightly less fertile than soils in Group IA. Soil moisture is adequate for good tree growth, but may not be quite as abundant as in Group IA soils. Forest successional trends on these soils are toward shade tolerant hardwoods, predominantly beech. Hardwood competition is moderate to severe on these soils. Successful softwood regeneration is dependent upon hardwood control. On Group IB soils white birch is favored by clearcutting, yellow birch is favored by group and strip cutting; hemlock and red spruce are favored by selection cutting; and white pine is favored by shelterwood cutting. Important Forest Soil Group IC The soils of this group are outwash sands and gravels. Soil drainage is excessively drained to moderately well-drained. Soil moisture is adequate for good softwood growth, but is limited for hardwoods. Forest successional trends on these coarse-textured, somewhat droughty and less fertile soils are toward stands of shade tolerant softwoods, especially red spruce and balsam fir. Balsam fir is a persistent component of stands on this soil type, but is shorter lived than red spruce. Hardwood competition is moderate to slight on these soils. Due to less hardwood competition, these soils are ideally suited for softwood production. With modest levels of management, white pine can be maintained and reproduced on these soils. Because these soils are highly responsive to softwood production, they are ideally suited for forest management. On these soils white pine is favored by group and strip cutting, or shelterwood cutting; red spruce and balsam fir are favored by selection cutting or shelterwood cutting; and hemlock is favored by selection cutting. 6 Information about habitat condition was analyzed to develop a statewide and regional ranking and identify the highest quality habitat relative to all polygons of a given habitat type in the state. Tiers were determined by assigning threshold values to each habitat type. The Tier 1 rating was given to areas that contain the highest quality in the state. Tier 2 areas contain the highest quality in the biological region (defined by the TNC Ecoregional Subsection for terrestrial habitats or the Watershed Group for wetland and aquatic habitats), Tier 3 includes other significant factors such as the entire watershed of high quality stream and lakes, large forest blocks of statewide significance, or specific animal, plant and natural community occurrences identified by NHFG as critically imperiled or by NHNHB as highest importance. Each habitat polygon has attributes showing the condition scores so that local communities can set their own condition thresholds for habitats of local importance. Results will be re evaluated to monitor the effectiveness of conservation actions and respond appropriately to new information or changing conditions. 7 For more information on the New Hampshire Wildlife Action Plan: http://www.wildlife.state.nh.us/Wildlife/wildlife_plan.htm Emily Brunkhurst, Emily.P.Brunkhurst@wildlife.nh.gov contributed to this description. 8 For more information on the SPARROW model for New England see Moore et al. Estimation of Total Nitrogen and Phosphorus in New England Streams Using Spatially Referenced Regression Models SPARROW Surface Water-Quality Modeling Nutrients in Watersheds of the Conterminous United States Methods and Selected Results: Smith, R.A., G.E. Schwarz, and R.B. Alexander, 1997, Regional interpretation of water-quality monitoring data, Water Resources Research, v. 33, no. 12, pp. 2781-2798 http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/sparrow/wrr97/results.html 9 Theobald, D.M. 2005. Landscape patterns of exurban growth in the USA from 1980 to 2020. Ecology and Society 10(1): 32. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 16 of 17 10 Numerical designation of land types in the 2001 Land Cover Assessment in GRANIT: residential, commercial, or industrial development (110), transportation (140) and open water (500) row crops (211) hay or pasture (212) open wetlands (620) tidal wetlands (630) gravel pits or quarries (710) bedrock (720) sand dunes (730) tundra (800) orchard (221) forested wetland (610) other cleared (790) 11 Points assigned to natural resources Forest block size 50- 100 acres 100- 500 acres 500- 1000 acres over 1000 acres Important forest soils Significant Wildlife Habitat Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Proximity to private conservation lands Over 50 acres plus buffer Under 50 acre no buffer Protected land Riparian areas Proximity to public lands Drinking water protection areas Wetlands Watershed quality 1 2 3 4 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 12 Classes are based on natural groupings inherent in the data. ArcMap identifies break points by picking the class breaks that best group similar values and maximize the differences between classes. The features are divided into classes whose boundaries are set where there are relatively big jumps in the data values. New Hampshire’s Forest Stewardship Spatial Analysis Project September 2007, revised March 2008 Page 17 of 17