SO441 Lesson 2: More on thunderstorms Facts about thunderstorms • Common world-wide, especially in tropical and middle latitudes • Redistribute heat and moisture – Transport from the surface to upper-levels • Most (95%) are non-severe – “Severe” criteria for USA: 1” or larger hail, 50+ kt (58+ mph) wind, OR tornado Types of thunderstorms • Four primary types of organization, listed in order from least to most organized: 1. 2. 3. 4. Airmass Squall line Multi-cell Supercell Elements required for formation • Source of moisture • Conditionally unstable atmosphere • Mechanism to “trigger” an updraft – Lifting from an advancing frontal boundary or air flow over a mountain – Convective heating at the surface (from solar radiation) – Convergence of air at the surface Airmass Thunderstorms • Occurs away from any frontal boundary – In fact, typically found in the middle of an airmass • “Trigger” mechanism: – Strong solar heating at the surface • Formation: typically late afternoon and evening – After sun heats the mT airmass for 10+ hours Airmass Thunderstorms • Last about 1 hour • Rain covers maybe a 10 to 15 km area • Are self-destructive – Rain/precipitation falls back into the updraft • Usually form in region of weak upper-level winds – i.e., little/no vertical wind shear – Remember the “tropical disturbance”? Simply a large collection of airmass thunderstorms • Are not known for most types of severe weather (hail, straight-line winds, or tornadoes) – We will see later that air mass thunderstorms are responsible for microbursts Parts of airmass thunderstorm Anvil part of the cloud Tropopause Main “cell” updraft LCL (point where condensation occurs) Airmass Thunderstorm: stages of development Airmass Thunderstorm: stages of development 1. Cumulus stage: – Cloud consists of warm, buoyant plume of rising air – Cloud consists of mostly small cloud droplets; there are only a few raindrops or ice crystals Airmass Thunderstorm: stages of development 2. Mature stage: – – As storm updraft rises to regions well below freezing, ice crystals form Graupel forms • – – • Graupel: small (a few millimeters) ice particles with consistency of a snowball Downdrafts begin to form as raindrops fall back to earth Light rain is noticed at the ground Key point in “mature” stage: Because there is no vertical wind shear, precipitation must fall back down through the main updraft. Airmass Thunderstorm: stages of development 3. Dissipation stage – Downdrafts formed by rain falling back down into the updraft – Downdrafts overwhelm the main updraft – Heavy rain falls out of the base of the thunderstorm – Dissipation occurs Dangers from air mass thunderstorms: microbursts Not easily detected because 1. the ambient thunderstorm (or even cumuliform cloud) is usually considered benign 2. The scale is typically very small (perhaps 1 or 2 km across) Two primary types of microbursts: 1. Dry microburst. Occurs when surface layer is very dry (low relative humidity). Rain evaporates and accelerates downward through the warm, dry surface layer 2. Wet microburst. Occurs when the surface layer is very moist and upper-levels are very dry. Dry downdraft entrained (mixed) from above the cloud penetrates through the cloud, evaporatively-cooling as it mixes with rainwater ** Both types of microbursts are associated with evaporating rainwater ** Danger comes from two sources: 1. Rush of cool, stable air out from the microburst center once it reaches the surface 2. Turbulence associated with the “rotor cloud” – the leading edge of the microburst Photos of microbursts More photos of microbursts Microbursts can be deadly • Eastern Airlines flight 66 – June 24, 1975, John F. Kennedy, New York – 112 fatalities (12 survivors) • Pan-Am flight 759 – July 9, 1982, New Orleans, Louisiana – 153 fatalities (0 survivors) • Delta Airlines flight 191 – August 2, 1985, Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas – 135 fatalities (29 survivors) • US Airways flight 1016 – July 2, 1994, Charlotte, North Carolina – 37 fatalities (25 survivors) Squall Line • Long line of thunderstorms – individual “cells” are so close together the heavy precipitation forms a long continuous line • Typically form along an advancing cold front – Sometimes associated with a cold front aloft • Can be hundreds of miles long • Most commonly associated with strong straightline winds – Can produce hail and/or tornadoes, too • Called “squall” because of the abrupt wind changes Squall line thunderstorms Squall line thunderstorms L A squall line approaching Memphis, TN. Note the heaviest precip is along the leading (eastern) edge of the line, with moderate – but still continuous – rainfall occurring 100+ km behind (to the west) of the “line” Structure of a squall line • Already noted the “trigger” is typically an advancing (cold) frontal boundary • The squall line will sustain itself by producing its own lift due to outflow boundaries • Again, tropopause acts as a “lid” to the thunderstorm updraft – Thus, anvil clouds also form in squall lines • Heavy rain / strong winds occur beneath the convective region – Strongest updrafts occur in the convective region • As long as instability and moisture remain present out ahead of the squall line, the squall line will continue to propagate Structure of a squall line Looking THROUGH the line … i.e., the “line” is coming out of / going into the page Squall line “gust front” Also called a “bow echo” Squall line • Self-propagating (not self-destructive like airmass thunderstorm) • Evaporatively-cooled air pushes out slightly ahead of the squall line – Acts as the “trigger” mechanism • i.e., lifts the warm air up and into the squall line – Easily noticed as a “shelf cloud” Squall line photos More photos of a squall line More photos of a squall line The threat from a squall line: derecho Definition of a derecho: “A widespread convectively induced straightline windstorm.” (AMS Glossary of Meteorology) Conditions for a calling an event a “derecho”: 1. There must be a concentrated area of reports consisting of convectively-induced wind damage or convective gusts of more than 26 ms-1 (50 kt). 2. The reports within this area must also exhibit a nonrandom pattern of occurrence. That is, the reports must show a pattern of chronological progression, either as a singular swath (progressive) or as a series of swaths (serial). 3. Within the area there must be at least three reports, separated by 64 km or more, of either F1 damage or convective gusts of 33 ms-1 (65 kt) or greater. 4. No more than 3 h can elapse between successive wind damage (gust) events. Trajectories and annual frequency of derechos in the US Multi-cell Thunderstorms • Third mode of development • What happens when storms occur in clusters rather than lines? – Call them “multi-cell” thunderstorms Multi-cell Thunderstorms • Very common in late spring/summer in plains states – Thunderstorms form late afternoon and organize into large (300-mile wide) region – Entire complex moves south/southeast during the night, producing strong winds and hail over a wide area • sometimes from Kansas/Nebraska Gulf Coast!! – 1500 km – Called a “mesoscale convective complex” Multi-cell Thunderstorms • Two points: 1. Vertical wind shear keeps downdrafts / precipitation from falling back into the updraft 2. Rain-cooled air advances (“gusts”) out ahead of first thunderstorm, forming a “gust front” • Cool air of the gust front acts as the lifting mechanism (i.e., the “trigger”) for new thunderstorm development Environment of multi-cell thunderstorm Multi-cell development Multi-cell storm propagation Rain-cooled air pushes out ahead of the storm: forms the GUST FRONT Multi-cell development Multi-cell storm propagation Gust front acts as the “trigger” mechanism for new thunderstorm cell development Multi-cell development Multi-cell storm propagation Note old storms decay as they are “cut off” from the feed of warm, moist air Two-dimensional view (x-z plane), as pictured on radar (darker shading represents higher radar reflectivities [and higher reflectivities imply both larger particles and greater particle density]) Storm propagation is from right to left ( ) Satellite image corresponding to Panel H. Notice the gust front has propagated far in advance of the multicell storm cluster. Multi-cell complex as shown by radar Disorganized collection / grouping of initial thunderstorms near Kansas City Four hours later, notice the thunderstorms have organized and have progressed south into central Missouri Shelf cloud: found along the leading edge of the gust front The supercell Supercell Thunderstorms • Most intense type of thunderstorm – Most tornadoes, and almost ALL strong (F3, F4, and F5) tornadoes – Almost all large hail (2” diameter on up) • Defining characteristic: – Supercell thunderstorm updrafts ALWAYS rotate • Strong vertical wind shear induces rotation of the supercell thunderstorm – Usually examine magnitude of vertical wind shear in lowest 6 km of the atmosphere (the “zero to 6 kilometer wind shear”) Environment of a supercell • Strong vertical wind shear – A quick note on vertical wind shear One type of vertical wind shear is called “Speed Shear”, where wind does not change direction but instead changes SPEED as you up in the atmosphere. Environment of a supercell • Strong vertical wind shear – A quick note on vertical wind shear West West-southwest South-southwest South-southeast Another type of vertical wind shear is called “directional shear”, where wind changes DIRECTION with height Environment of a supercell • Supercell thunderstorms grow in an environment with BOTH speed AND directional shear! Environment of a supercell • Warm, moist conditionally unstable air at surface – Transported northward from Gulf of Mexico by a strong “low-level jet” • Strong winds extending from 20 meters to 2 kilometers – Southeast @ surface southerly southwesterly as you go up in the atmosphere • This change in wind direction (coupled with a change in speed) provides LOW LEVEL vertical wind shear – Low level wind shear is CRITICAL to tornado formation! Vertical wind profiles for airmass (single-cell), multicell / squall line, and supercell thunderstorms Environment of a supercell • Strong vertical wind shear: both directional and speed • Conditionally unstable atmosphere – Warm, moist air at the surface – Cooler, drier air aloft • At the interface of the warm/moist and cooler/drier air: a temperature inversion exists • Examine atmospheric soundings to identify conditions for supercell development Environment of a supercell Morning sounding: Afternoon sounding: capping temperature inversion is strong (prevents air parcels from rising convectively) capping inversion is gone due to solar heating at the surface Supercell thunderstorms typically form along the dry line and warm front. If an upperlevel front is present (often it is not), supercell thunderstorms can form along its boundary, too Parts of a supercell thunderstorm Main parts 1. Body of the thunderstorm, which contains: – Rotating updraft • – Precipitation core (also contains the downdraft) • – Called a “mesocyclone” Heaviest rain (“heavy rain curtain”) Hail core • surrounds the main updraft 2. Wall cloud – Cloud lowering beneath the main updraft • – Still attached to the body of the supercell Can be rotating or non-rotating (of course the rotating type is of waaaaay more interest!) 3. Anvil cloud – – – – As updraft reaches tropopause, cloud particulate spreads out B/c of strong winds aloft, cloud matter is blown down-wind (sometimes 100 to 200 miles!) Overshooting top: updraft is so strong that it penetrates up to 3000 feet into the stratosphere! “Backsheared anvil”: part of the anvil cloud that extends back into Parts of a supercell thunderstorm Supercell structure (view from above) Supercell structure (view from the east) Supercell structure (view from the east) Supercell structure (viewed on radar) Supercell structure (viewed on radar) “Hook” echo plainly visible on radar Supercell structure (viewed on radar) Tornado location marked by “T” Tornado found in the “hook” echo T “Backsheared” part of the Anvil cloud Main part of the Anvil cloud (blowing downstream) Supercell view from the ground Anvil (not the backsheared part … that would be coming out of the page at us) Wall cloud Flanking line (part of the updraft; new cloud development!) Main thunderstorm body Heavy rain curtain Hail shaft Life cycle of supercell thunderstorm A: Updraft and downdraft are separate; rear-flank downdraft (RFD) begins to form B: RFD reaches surface, begins interacting with mid-level inflow C: RFD and forward-flank downdraft (FFD) collectively interact; tornado may form D: RFD overpowers updraft and pushes (gusts) ahead of the body of the storm. Leading edge of RFD / FFD intersection acts to promote new updraft formation Parts of a supercell: wall cloud Parts of a supercell: main updraft Parts of a supercell: anvil (mammatus) Three types of supercell thunderstorms: classic, low precipitation (LP), high precipitation (HP) Compare low-precipitation (LP) with high-precipitation (HP) Some factors that determine supercell storm mode: (1) Quantity of water vapor in the atmosphere (mixing ratio) (2) Degree of storm-scale interaction (precipitation from one storm’s anvil falling into another storm’s updraft) HP supercell HP supercell HP supercell LP supercell