Thermal Structure of the Topside Ionosphere at Low Latitudes: New Observational Opportunities Pei Chen Lai and William J. Burke Boston College/Institute for Scientific Research 19 March 2014 Abstract Knowledge about the range of states that the topside ionosphere can assume and the conditions that give rise to them is essential for improving existing models used in a host of practical and research applications. Still, the topside is at best a partially explored region. Electron density profiles (EDPs) acquired during COSMIC-GPS radio occultation events offer promise for fuller views of the topside. However, their reliance on Abel inversions has given users pause. This presentation proceeds in three stages: First, we review the physics and mathematical techniques underlying EDP extractions during occultation intervals as well as the measurement capabilities of other relevant in situ sensors. Second, recognizing that reliance on Abel inversions constitutes the technique’s Achilles heel, we performed a limited comparison of COSMIC EDPs with electron densities measured by sensors on the Communications/Navigation Outage Forecast System (C/NOFS) satellite during conjunction intervals. Results show that COSMIC EDPs were in closer agreement with ion densities measured by the C/NOFS than were those predicted by widely used models. Third, we outline a new technique that combines the capabilities of sensors on the COSMIC, C/NOFS and DMSP satellites to infer altitude profiles of electron and ion temperatures (Te, Ti), mean ion masses <mi> and ionospheric scale heights H at altitudes between the F-layer peak and 850 km. Data acquired during eight COSMIC-C/NOFS-DMSP conjunctions on 24 – 25 October 2011 are used to demonstrate the proposed method’s feasibility then outline our plan to apply it to large databases. Our ultimate goal is to specify topside EDP taxonomies that occur at low latitudes as well as the temperature and mass distributions required to support them. Outline and Objective • This presentation addresses five questions: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Where is GPS and how does it operate? What is COSMIC and what does it measure? How do COSMIC receptions of GPS signals get turned into EDPs? Can we trust COSMIC EDPs and learn something new from them? What value added do data from RPAs on C/NOFs and DMSP bring? • Our objective is to introduce this audience to GPS-COSMIC capabilities for providing useful information about the thermal structure and dynamics of the low-latitude ionosphere in the altitude range 200 to 800 km. Global Position System • GPS consists of 24 operational satellites flying in 55o inclined, circular orbits at an approximate altitude of 22,000 km. - 6 orbital planes with 4 satellites per plane - Dual frequency transmitters f1 = 1.57542 GHz f2 = 1.2276 GHz • GPS receivers identify incoming code with a precision of better than 1 ns (30 cm) by receiver clock from the carrier waves “precise ranging code” (10.23 Mb/s). • The accuracies of clocks between COSMIC and GPS are 10 to 15 m and < 1μs. Constellation Observing System for Meteorology Ionosphere and Climate • COSMIC is a joint Taiwan - US mission that was launched into 72o inclined orbits from Vandenberg AFB on 14 April 2006. • It consists of 6 identical 3-axis stabilized satellites • Initial altitude: 500 km. • Sequentially raised to ~ 800 km. • Orbital nodes separated by ~ 2 hours in local time. COSMIC Payload GOX Occultation Antenna GOX Occultation Antenna COSMIC-GPS Radio Occultations Schematics of COSMIC-GPS radio occultation events Cosmic may rise above or sink below GPS horizon Altitude EDP Temperature Schreiner et al. (1999), Radio Sci., 34, 949–966. GPS-to-COSMIC Propagation: • The well-known dispersion relation for EM waves propagating in the 2 2 2 2 ionosphere with >> pe >> ce >> en is: k ( pe ) / c , 2 3 where pe q ne / 0 me 2 f pe and f pe (kHz ) 8.98 ne (cm ) • The phase v and group vg speeds of the waves are: v c 2 pe 1 2 2 pe c (1 ) 2 2 2 2 pe pe vg c 1 2 c (1 ) 2 2 • Group delays and phase advances depend only on electron densities ne encountered along propagation path lengths s: q2 t 2c 0 me f 2 (2 ) 2 COSMIC GPS ne ds 40.3 STEC 2 cf GPS-to-COSMIC Propagation: Applications Define the excess phase parameter S as the difference between signals propagating in vacuum over distance |rCOSMIC – rGPS| and along S0 the actual ray path through the ionosphere. COSMIC S0 ds GPS S = S0 - |rCOSMIC – rGPS| where 1- fpe2 / 2 f 2 is the index of refraction. GPS-to-COSMIC Propagation: Applications Schreiner et al. (1999) showed that bending angles for L1 and L2 signals are very small: • 1.118 10-4 for ne = 1010 m-3 • 2.07 10-3 for ne = 1013 m-3 Hence, we assume that GPS signals propagate along very similar paths. Thus STEC can be calculated with either f 1 or f 2 or both frequencies. Bottom Line: Approximate GPS-COSMIC propagation paths as straight lines. GPS-to-COSMIC Propagation: Applications S1 f1 S2 f 2 (S1 S2 ) f1 f 2 STEC 40.3 40.3 40.3( f12 f 22 ) • Using both frequencies any clock-based errors exactly cancel. • Occultation intervals last about 12 minutes • Since STEC measurements are recorded at rate of ~1 per second, about 700 are accumulated to form each EDP. • Inverse Abel transformations are then used to calculate ne along vertical tangent lines. ne (r ) 1 r0 rCOSMIC r0 r dSTEC (r0 ) / dr0 r r 2 0 2 dr GPS-to-COSMIC Propagation: Applications • r0 = distance from center of Earth to a specific altitude • r = distance from center of Earth to height of tangent point • ne profiles can then be integrated to obtain vertical TEC 800 km VTEC ne (h)dh 200 km Critical assumptions for valid Abel inversions: (1) Propagation paths are nearly straight lines (2) GPS and COSMIC orbits are nearly circular (3) Electron density profiles are spherically symmetric, i.e. horizontal gradients along ray paths are weak. Cosmic Data Products and Availability • COSMIC is administered by the National Space Organization (NSPO) and the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) • EDP data are available in tabular format via the internet from the \Taiwan Analysis Center for COSMIC (TACC): http://tacc.cwb.gov.tw/ and UCAR: http://www.cosmic.ucar.edu/. • The example to the right shows an EDP and useful ephemeris information derived from downloaded data files. Complementary Data Sources: SSIES on DMSP & CINDI on C/NOFS RPA Measurements: RPA Schematic i+ e- i+ Vsat negative bias swept voltage negative bias (1) 3 components of ion drift velocities (Vi) (2) Ni tot, Ni O+, and Ni light (3) Ion temperatures Ti collector plate photo & secondary to electronics electrons Current – Voltage Sweeps Log I Intercept Ni Slope -1/Ti (4) Mean ion mass < mi > • SSIES has a boom-mounted spherical Langmuir probe to measure electron densities Ne and temperatures Te. • Infer topside scale heights -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 Applied Voltage 6 8 10 H = kB(Te +Ti) / < mi> g Two COSMIC Case Studies: Solar Min and Max Storms • To help understand COSMIC measurements we undertook two case studies • The first case focused on VTEC measurements acquired during an 80-day period in late 2007 in which ejecta from a coronal hole swept by Earth three times. • During the first and third encounters the corotating interaction region (CIR) at the leading edge of the high-speed stream evoked weak responses in the dayside ionosphere. • Strong responses seen during the second encounter demonstrated effects of penetrating electric fields generated by complex interplanetary sources that included the near simultaneous arrival of an ICME. • The second case study sought to determine whether COSMIC EDPs are trustworthy. Their differences from predictions of the NeQuick model led previous investigators to conclude that horizontal electron density gradients degrade COSMIC EDPs to unacceptable levels. We present empirical tests of this dire conclusion. Case Study 1: November 2007 Storm EIT image from SOHO on 18 November 2007 showing a large coronal hole near the Sun’s central meridian Schematic representation of a corotating region at the leading edge of a high speed stream in the solar wind approaching Earth. Within streams nSW is very low. Magnetic flux emanating from coronal holes are unipolar, with radial components that point either toward or away from the Sun. Case Study 1: November 2007 Storm 80-day period centered on the November 2007 storm: (A) F10.7: daily and 81-day running averages (B) NSW (red) and VSW (blue) (C) IMF BX (blue) and BY (red) (D) Magnetospheric electric field (E) Dst index Vertical dash, marking the arrivals of high speed streams in the vicinity Earth, are separated by 27-day solar rotation periods. Case Study 1: November 2007 Storm Days 322 – 327, 2007 (A) Solar wind density (red) and speed (blue) (B) IMF BX (blue) and BY (red): Note: crossing of heliospheric current sheet (HCS). (C) IMF BY (red) and BZ (blue) (D) Magnetospheric E field (~ 1 mV/m) (E) Sym-H index minimum (~ -70 nT) Note: relative UTs of ICME, CIR, HSS and HCS UT Case Study 1: November 2007 Storm COSMIC VTEC versus Local Time • VTEC Distribution sampled by COSMIC plotted as functions of local time in 9 latitude bins in northern (left) and southern (right) hemispheres. • From this perspective VTEC increased during the storm’s main phase and soon relaxed. • Apparently, no surprises! Case Study 1: November 2007 Storm COSMIC VTEC versus Universal Time • Distribution of VTEC sampled by COSMIC: days 322 – 327, 2007 plotted as functions of universal time in 9 latitude bins in northern (left) and southern (right) hemispheres. • Sym-H index and VS in bottom plots • Viewed from this perspective we see that VTEC increased on during day of the storm’s main phase then relaxed. • Decreased during first half of say 325! • Why? Penetration electric field and deviation from photochemical equilibrium. COSMIC EDPs: Study 2 COSMIC – C/NOFS – DMSP Conjunctions C 24 and 25 October 2011 V ④ ⑥ ② ① COSMIC EDP: Study 2 Interplanetary and Storm Dynamics Top Panel Traces: 20 400 10 200 0 30 0 20 SW -3 (cm ) P SW 600 VSW (km/s) 30 N 800 B B B (nT) (nPa) 40 Interplanetary Drivers and Geomagnetic Responses • NSW density (red) • VSW speed (black) • PSW dynamic pressure (blue) Middle Panel Traces Z 10 Y 0 X • IMF BX (black) -10 • -20 • IMF BZ (blue) • IMF BY (red) -30 100 SSC Main Phase Sym H (nT) 50 0 1-minute averages GSM coordinates Bottom Panel Trace: Recovery Phase • Sym H index (black) -50 • Red dots indicate UT of EDP acquisitions. -100 -150 -200 297:00 297:12 298:00 298:12 299:00 • Vertical dashed lines mark beginnings of main & recovery phases COSMIC EDP: Study 2 C/NOFS and Model Comparisons Midnight Dawn Dusk Noon (B-P) (C-P) (D-P) (A-M) (B-M) (C-M) (D-M) Pre-Storm (A-P) (B-R) (C-R) (D-R) Recovery (A-R) Main Phase Z COSMIC EDP Study Statistical Comparisons with C/NOFS 7 10 N = 0.612 * N 10 5 10 4 e 10 6 10 5 10 4 0.698 N = 6.31 * N e 10 4 10 5 6 10 10 7 6 10 5 10 4 R = 0.774 -3 10 0.848 i e e 1000 1000 7 R = 0.799 i -3 6 10 N = 37.88 * N NeQuick: N [cm ] 10 7 R = 0.858 i e -3 COSMIC: N [cm ] e 1.03 PBMod: N [cm ] 10 1000 1000 -3 C/NOFS: N [cm ] i 10 4 10 5 6 10 -3 C/NOFS: N [cm ] i 10 7 1000 1000 10 4 10 5 6 10 10 7 -3 C/NOFS: N [cm ] i Electron densities from EDPs: • COSMIC (left) • NeQuick (middle) • PBMod (right) Log – Log Plots Power - Law Regression Analyses Plotted as functions of Ni measured at C/NOF altitudes on days 297 ( ) and 298 ( ). Dotted lines are guides indicating results if inferred Ne from EDPs = Ni from CNOFS COSMIC Electron Density Profiles Topside Scale Heights COSMIC-CNOFS-DMSP Conjunctions Top: • Orange, black and purple lines mark EDPs from PBMod, COSMIC & NeQuick • Red/blue dots show Ni from C/NOFS / DMSP 14 Bottom: -3 Ln Ne (cm ) 13 • Linear regressions Ln (Ne) versus altitude for h > 700 km 12 11 10 650 700 750 800 850 Altitude (km) 900 950 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 Altitude (km) dLn( Ne ) kB (Te Ti ) H 1/ dh mi g (h) COSMIC Electron Density Profiles Topside Scale Heights At DMSP altitudes RPA data showed that O+ was the dominant ion Event Te (K) Ti (K) HDMSP (km) HCOS (km) HNeQ (km) HPBM (km) 1 1697 1801 236.7 233.5 231.4 236.0 2 2997 2512 372.6 346.7 204.4 351.5 High degree of agreement achieved between scale heights calculated with mi, Te, Ti from DMSP and those from COSMIC and PBMod EDP slopes. COSMIC Electron Density Profiles Fitting Procedure Recently we developed a low-pass, Fourier fitting procedure that is piecewise continuous at the altitude of the F layer peak h = hp 15 4 k 0 800 hp 4 ln N (h hp ) ck Cos(k ) d k Sin(k ) * e 14 13.5 13 UT: 297:10:00 GLat: 6.8 o N 6 : 433 km p 12 200 300 -3 1.47 10 cm e max h | h hp | o GLong: 104 LT: 17:00 12.5 k 0 Case 1 e e COSMIC | h hp | Ln (N 14.5 ) Ln (N *) ln N (h hp ) ak Cos(k ) bk Sin(k ) * e 400 500 600 700 800 900 h (km) 200 hp 15 Ln (N *) = 0.00016 + 0.9999 Ln (N e 14.5 CINDI on CNOFS measures: <mi>, Ti and Vi e COSMIC ) R = 1 e Ln (N *) 14 Since kB (Te Ti ) dLn( N e* ) H mi g (h) dh 1 13.5 13 12.5 mi (h) g (h) H (h) Te (h) Ti (h) kB 12 12 12.5 13 13.5 Ln (N 14 e COSMIC 14.5 15 ) In all examples R > 0.999 0.01 GLat: 6.8 o o GLong: 104 LT: 17:00 10 200 Ln Ne PBM Ln(Ne cosmic) Ln Ni CNOFS Ln Ni DMSP 300 400 N h -3 1.47 10 cm 433 km p 500 600 COSMIC PBM -0.005 6 : e max 0 700 800 900 -0.01 200 300 400 600 700 800 d Ln Ne /dh (km ): COSMIC PBM 297:04:39 08:00 o 4.8 GLong: 50.2 Ne max: hp: 1.49 10 cm 279 km o 6 -1 0 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 600 700 800 900 0.001 0 -0.001 2 e -0.005 Ln (Ne*) Ln Ne PBM Ln (Ne CNOFS) Ln (Ne DMSP) 500 0.002 0.005 -3 12 300 400 2 GLat: 13 11 300 h (km) 0.01 UT: LT: 14 10 200 -0.005 200 900 d Ln N / dh (km-2) COSMIC PBM 15 Ln Ne: COSMIC PBM CNOFS DMSP 500 h (km) h (km) Case 2 0 -2 297:10:00 2 12 UT: 0.005 2 13 e Ln N d Ln Ne / dh (km -1): COSMIC 14 d Ln Ne/dh (km ): CASE 1 11 0.005 PBM 15 i Ln N Cosmic PBM CNOFS DMSP COSMIC & PBMod EDPs with 1st and 2nd Derivatives during conjunctions with CNOFS & DMSP -0.01 200 300 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 -0.002 200 300 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 COSMIC & PBMod EDPs with 1st and 2nd Derivatives during conjunctions with CNOFS & DMSP 0.02 297:19:00 08:00 GLat: -5.8 GLomg: N : 154 3.77 10U cm-3 h: 300 km e max p o -1 13 o 12 0.01 0 Ln (Ne*) Ln Ne PBM Ln (Ne CNOFS) Ln (Ne DMSP) 10 200 -0.02 -0.02 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 200 300 400 h (km) 500 600 h (km) 700 800 200 900 0.02 GLat: -4.8 GLong: 145 N 2.7 10 cm h: 12 : e max o 5 -3 270 km 0.01 0 Ln (Ne*) Ln Ne PBM Ln (Ne CNOFS) Ln (Ne DMSP) 300 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 700 800 900 0 2 10 9 200 -0.01 e 11 500 600 h (km) 2 -1 p o 400 0.01 -2 297:19:15 04:55 300 e 13 UT: LT: d Ln N / dh (km ): COSMIC PBM Case 4 d Ln N / dh (km ): COSMIC PBM Ln Ne: COSMIC PBM CNOFS DMSP 14 0 -0.01 -0.01 11 0.01 -1 14 UT: LT: d Ln Ne /dh (km ): COSMIC PBM 0.02 CASE 3 d Ln Ne /dh (km ): COSMIC PBM e Ln N : COSMIC PBM CNOFS DMSP 15 -0.02 200 300 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 -0.01 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 h (km) 800 900 GLat: 7.1 GLong: 59.4 N : e max h: 13 o o 6 -3 1.42 10 cm 342 km p 0.005 0 e 12 0.01 10 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 -0.01 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 : e max hp: 10 200 300 400 1.66 10 cm 472 km 500 0 e -3 600 h (km) 700 800 900 -0.02 200 500 600 700 800 900 700 800 900 0.005 -2 0.01 -0.01 6 400 0 2 N 76 o o 300 2 298:12:55 18:00 GLong: 11 900 e 13 4.5 -0.01 200 d Ln N / dh (km ): COSMIC PBM 14 d Ln N /dh (km ) COSMIC PBM Ln (Ne*) Ln Ne PBM Ln (Ne CNOFS) Ln (Ne DMSP) GLat -0.005 h (km) CASE 6 UT: LT: 0 h (km) 0.02 -1 Ln Ne: COSMIC PBM CNOFS DMSP h (km) 15 12 0.005 2 -0.005 Ln (Ne*) Ln Ne PBM Ln (Ne CNOFS) Ln (Ne DMSP) 11 0.01 -2 297:04:39 18:37 2 14 UT: LT: e CASE 5 d Ln N /dh (km-1): COSMIC PBM Ln Ne: COSMIC PBM CNOFS DMSP 15 d Ln N / dh (km ): COSMIC PBM COSMIC & PBMod EDPs with 1st and 2nd Derivatives during conjunctions with CNOFS & DMSP 300 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 -0.005 200 300 400 500 600 h (km) COSMIC & PBMod EDPs with 1st and 2nd Derivatives during conjunctions with CNOFS & DMSP -6.3 GLong: 26.7 N : e max o 5 -3 4.4 10 cm h: 13 o GLat: 277 km 0.005 -1 p 0.01 Ln (Ne*) Ln Ne PBM Ln (Ne CNOFS) Ln (Ne DMSP) 10 200 300 400 500 e -0.005 2 e 11 600 700 800 -0.01 200 900 300 400 500 600 700 800 -0.005 200 900 297:03:39 05:45 GLat: -9.5 GLong: 34.1 238 km p 0 e 12 0.01 -2 h: 13 -3 7.3 10 cm 10 200 300 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 800 900 700 800 900 0 -0.01 2 Ln (Ne*) Ln Ne PBM Ln (Ne CNOFS) Ln (Ne DMSP) 700 2 : e max o 600 e N o 5 500 0.001 d Ln N / dh (km ): COSMIC PBM UT: LT: d Ln N /dh COSMIC PBM 14 400 h (km) 0.02 15 Case 8 300 h (km) e Ln N : COSMIC PBM CNOFS DMSP h (km) 11 0 2 0 e 12 0.005 -2 14 298:03:15 05:12 d Ln N / dh (km ): COSMIC PBM UT: LT: CASE 7 d Ln N / dh (km ): COSMIC PBM Ln N : COSMIC PBM CNOFS DMSP 15 -0.02 200 300 400 500 600 h (km) 700 800 900 -0.001 200 300 400 500 600 h (km) COSMIC Electron Density Profiles Summary and Conclusions: • Presented case studies were undertaken to establish a feasible methodology for testing the reliability of COSMIC-based topside EDPs and VTEC estimates • The November 2007 and October 2011 storms provided a variety of external driving conditions. • The PLP on CNOFS provided high resolution ion densities for comparison with EDPs estimated from COSMIC STEC measurements and model predictions. • EDPs from COSMIC acquired within 15 were in better agreement with CNOFS Ni measurements than model predictions. • Early comparisons indicate that further study and analysis is worthwhile, using Ni , Ti and Te from DMSP and C/NOFS to estimate topside thermal distributions. • We have taken first steps towards developing an AI approach to EDP evaluations.