14-____ CUB/EDF Petition to Initiate a Proceeding to Adopt a GHG Metric Attachment 1 Metric 9: Reduction in Greenhouse Gas Emissions ComEd worked with CUB and EDF to develop a full and practical measure of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emission reductions as enabled by smart grid investments. The parties held stakeholder workshops in 2013 to identify the best approach to achieve this measure in Illinois, including strategies for better data collection. The following matrix represents the best estimate of calculable GHG emissions reductions realized as a result of EIMA implementation: A Trends to be Tracked Load Shifting Formula for Tracking GHG reductions A comprehensive approach focusing on “when” energy is used can identify GHG emissions reductions enabled by smart grid technology investments. ComEd will calculate the marginal emissions changes due to load shifting for smart meter customers versus non-smart meter customers at an hourly level. GHG(A) = ∑ Where Hourly Marginal Emissions = ([Hourly Smart Meter Load/customer] – [Hourly non-Smart Meter Load/customer]) * [Hourly Marginal Emissions Rate] * Smart Meter customers Hourly Marginal Emission Rate – ComEd will work with EDF to determine the marginal emissions rate for each hour (8,760) in the program year. For 2013, ComEd and EDF will use data published by the PJM Market Monitor identifying the hourly average generation mix of price-setting generation (marginal generation), and using a standard Greenhouse Gas Emission factor by fuel type to develop an Hourly Marginal Emission Rate (lbs./kWh) Smart Meter Load – ComEd will develop an average load per customer number (kWh) for customers with smart meters for each hour (8,760) in the program year. Non-Smart Meter Load – ComEd will develop an average load per customer number (kWh) for customers that do not have smart meters for each hour (8,760) in the program year. This number will be iterated by backing out hourly load data from customers with interval meters from an overall hourly system load number, accounting for line loss. Geographic Bias – For the duration of the AMI deployment period, ComEd may conduct random sampling of smart meter 14-____ CUB/EDF Petition to Initiate a Proceeding to Adopt a GHG Metric Attachment 1 load and non-smart meter load to report on whether there is any geographic bias in the data and the extent of the bias. After Deployment – ComEd will calculate the year-to-year marginal emissions changes due to load shifting for all smart meter load at an hourly level: Hourly Marginal Emissions = ([Current Year Hourly Smart Meter Load/customer] – [Previous Year Hourly Smart Meter Load/customer]) * [Hourly Marginal Emissions Rate] * Smart Meter customers B Reduction in System Peak A contribution to the reduction in peak load in PJM has direct impacts on the system’s capacity obligations and need for generator resources to meet that demand. ComEd will partner with a third-party entity to conduct a dispatch study of the impact of load shifting and peak load reduction enabled by smart meters, including the increased adoption of electric vehicles, on PJM’s system, and determine a GHG metric around the resulting changes in generator dispatch and expected plant closures. C Reduced Truck Rolls ComEd will compare the aggregate annual GHG emissions of all meter reading vehicles assigned to a specific operating center in the year in which Smart Meters are deployed in that same operating center, to the average aggregate annual GHG emissions of the three years prior to the year in which Smart Meter installation for that specific operating center is completed. GHG emissions will be calculated by measuring fuel consumption and converting into fuel emissions via the Climate Registry emission factor. For the years in which Smart Meter installations occur in multiple ComEd operating centers, the GHG emissions impacts for the individual operating centers will be calculated, then summed. The resulting number will be reported as GHG(D). The above approaches represent the best estimate of GHG reductions as enabled by Smart Grid based on available data. Total GHG Emissions Reductions as enabled by Smart Grid = GHG(A) + GHG(C). GHG(B) will be considered a higher-resolution analysis of the impact and is not additive.