MATH 105 101 Assignment 5 Solutions Due date: November 13, 2014 MATH 105 101 Assignment 5 Solutions All work must be shown for full marks. 1. (7 marks) In a deck of 30 distinct cards, there is exactly one legendary card called Deathwing. If Artosis draws a hand of 3 cards randomly from the deck (without replacing the cards drawn): • How many possible hands of 3 cards are there? Solution: To form a hand, we can think of the number of choices for each time choosing a card. Note that we have 30 choices for the first card, 29 for the second (excluding the one we already drew), and 28 for the third. However, in a hand of cards, the order of the cards does not matter, so we are, in fact, over-counting. For example, for a hand including 3 cards A,B,C, we can obtain this hand by drawing A first, B second, C third, or by drawing A first, C second, B third. Given 3 cards, we can arrange them in order in 6 different ways, so the total number of hands are: 30.29.28 = 4060. 6 • What is the probability that he will draw the legendary card in his hand? Solution: First, we can find the total number of hands including Deathwing. Since we fix one of the card to be Deathwing, the remaining 2 cards can be chosen freely from the 29 cards left. By the same reasoning in the first part, we get the total number of hands of 3 cards including Deathwing is: 29.28 = 406. 2 Therefore, the probability of Artosis drawing the legendary card in his hand is: 406 1 = . 4060 10 2. (9 marks) Let X be the duration of a telephone call in minutes and suppose that X has the following probability density function: f (x) = ce−x/10 for x ≥ 0, and c is some constant. • Determine the value of c. Page 1 of 3 MATH 105 101 Assignment 5 Solutions Due date: November 13, 2014 Z ∞ Solution: In order to be a PDF, f (x) needs to satisfy the condition f (x) dx = −∞ 1, that is: Z ∞ 1= Z f (x) dx = −∞ 0 ce−x/10 dx = lim −10ce−x/10 |b0 = lim b→∞ 0 = lim −10ce −b/10 b→∞ Thus, c = ce−x/10 dx b Z b→∞ ∞ + 10c = 10c. 1 . 10 • What is the probability that a call lasts less than 5 minutes? Solution: The probability that a call lasts less than 5 minutes is: Z 5 Z 5 1 −x/10 Pr(X < 5) = f (x) dx = e dx = −e−x/10 |50 = 1 − e−1/2 . −∞ 0 10 • Compute the expected value E(X). Solution: We have that: Z Z ∞ xf (x) dx = E(X) = −∞ ∞ 0 1 −x/10 xe dx = lim b→∞ 10 Z b 0 1 −x/10 xe dx. 10 1 −x/10 e dx, du = dx and Using integration by parts, we have u = x, dv = 10 −x/10 v = −e . We get: Z Z 1 −x/10 −x/10 xe dx = −xe + e−x/10 dx = −xe−x/10 − 10e−x/10 + C. 10 Then, E(X) = lim (−xe−x/10 − 10e−x/10 ) |b0 b→∞ = lim −be−b/10 − 10e−b/10 + 10 b→∞ ⇒ E(X) = 10. Page 2 of 3 MATH 105 101 Assignment 5 Solutions Due date: November 13, 2014 3. (9 marks) Let X be a continuous random variable, with the following probability density function: ( a + bx2 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 1 f (x) = 0, else. • Suppose that the expected value E(X) = 3/5, determine the values of a and b. Z ∞ Solution: Since f is a PDF, it has to satisfy f (x) dx = 1, that is: −∞ Z ∞ 1= Z f (x) dx = −∞ 0 1 b 3 1 b (a + bx ) dx = ax + x |0 = a + . 3 3 2 So, b = 3 − 3a. On the other hand, since the expected value E(X) = 3/5, we also get: Z ∞ Z 1 a 2 b 4 1 a b 3 3/5 = E(X) = xf (x) dx = (ax + bx ) dx = x + x |0 = + . 2 4 2 4 −∞ 0 So, 12 = 10a + 5b = 10a + 5(3 − 3a) = 15 − 5a. Hence, a = 3/5, and b = 3 − 3a = 6/5. • Compute the variance Var(X). Solution: We have that Var(X) = E(X 2 ) − (E(X))2 . So, first we compute Var(X 2 ). Z 1 Z ∞ 3 2 6 4 2 2 x f (x) dx = E(X ) = x + x dx 5 5 0 −∞ 1 3 6 1 6 11 = x + x5 |10 = + = . 5 25 5 25 25 Thus, Var(X) = E(X 2 ) − (E(X))2 = Total: 25 marks. Page 3 of 3 11 9 2 − = . 25 25 25