Risk Assessment
Identifying the most urgent hazards & vulnerabilities to our programmes

PART 2: Project risk assessment (Incorporate analysis from Exercises 2.1, 3.2 and
4.1)
Sig = Significance of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Lik= Likelihood of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Rsk= Risk = Significance X Likelihood
(Multiply figures D and E)
A
Location/
Sector
B
Projects
C
CC and/or ED impacts
D
Sig
E
Lik
F
Rsk
G
Adaptation option
1.
Livelihoods
Microcredit enterprises
Erratic rainfall could mean enterprises fail.
4 3 12
2.
Agriculture
Tree nurseries
3. All sectors
Predicted landslides mean communities may need to relocate.
Rapid run-off is reducing soil quality.
Changes in rainfall mean tree pests breed faster; trees are dying. Likely to get worse.
3
4
Alley cropping
All projects
Trees may be susceptible to tree pests, preventing them from protecting crops
The risk of flooding could lead to beneficiaries’ homes being destroyed. This may affect their involvement in the project.
3
4
2 2
4
4
2
4
4
12
16
6
16
4. New sector
New project Potential impacts associated with this project 2 1 2

PART 2: Project risk assessment (Incorporate analysis from Exercises 2.1, 3.2 and
4.1)
Sig = Significance of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Lik= Likelihood of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Rsk= Risk = Significance X Likelihood
(Multiply figures D and E)
A
Sector(s)
B
Projects
C
CC and/or ED impacts
D
Sig
E
Lik
F
Rsk
G
Adaptation option
1.
Livelihoods
Microcredit enterprises
Write all sectors and project types you undertake in columns A
& B
2.
Agriculture
Tree nurseries
3. All sectors
4. New sector
Alley cropping
All projects
New project

Refer to Impact & Options Table
Likely impacts of climate change and environmental degradation Adaptation option
Land degradation

Desertification eg due to overgrazing, overintensive farming, extensive logging.
 Soil erosion eg caused by overintensive farming and grazing.
 Land degradation due to growth or movement of populations.
 Deforestation eg due to logging, land clearance – including through burning forest and shrubs.
 Land degradation can result in choking water run-off channels and flooding.
 Loss of biodiversity eg due to overintensive farming or changes in climate resulting in changes in breeding or migratory routes for flora and fauna.
Maximise biodiversity, soil fertility & land use
 Floating gardens.

Crop rotation to maintain soil quality, minimise erosion (reducing the risk of desertification) and plant less water-dependant crops in drier years
(rotate legumes and other crops).
 Community forest management and reforestation.

Enter identified hazards into risk assessment table
PART 2: Project risk assessment (Incorporate analysis from Exercises 2.1, 3.2 and
4.1)
Sig = Significance of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Lik= Likelihood of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Rsk= Risk = Significance X Likelihood (Multiply figures D and E)
A
Sector(s)
B
Projects
C
CC and/or ED impacts
D E F G
Adaptation option
1.
Livelihoods
Microcredit enterprises
Erratic rainfall could mean enterprises fail.
2.
Agriculture
Tree nurseries
Predicted landslides mean communities may need to relocate.
Rapid run-off is reducing soil quality.
3. All sectors
4. New sector
Alley cropping
All projects
New project
Changes in rainfall mean tree pests breed faster; trees are dying. Likely to get worse.
Trees may be susceptible to tree pests, preventing them from protecting crops
The risk of flooding could lead to beneficiaries’ homes being destroyed. This may affect their involvement in the project.
Potential impacts associated with this project

Discuss & agree significance & likelihood.
Calculate risk.
PART 2: Project risk assessment (Incorporate analysis from Exercises 2.1, 3.2 and 4.1)
Sig = Significance of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Lik= Likelihood of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Rsk= Risk = Significance X Likelihood (Multiply figures D and E)
A
Sector(s)
B
Projects
C
CC and/or ED impacts
D
Sig
E
Lik
F
Rsk
G
Adaptation option
1.
Livelihoods
Microcredit enterprises
Erratic rainfall could mean enterprises fail.
4 3 12
2.
Agriculture
Tree nurseries
Predicted landslides mean communities may need to relocate.
Rapid run-off is reducing soil quality.
2 2 4
3 4 12
3. All sectors
4. New sector
Alley cropping
All projects
Changes in rainfall mean tree pests breed faster; trees are dying. Likely to get worse.
Trees may be susceptible to tree pests, preventing them from protecting crops
The risk of flooding could lead to beneficiaries’ homes being destroyed. This may affect their involvement in the project.
New project Potential impacts associated with this project
4 4 16
3 2 6
4 4 16
2 1 2

PART 2: Project risk assessment (Incorporate analysis from Exercises 2.1, 3.2 and 4.1)
Sig = Significance of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Lik= Likelihood of impact: (4= high; 1= low) Rsk= Risk = Significance X Likelihood (Multiply figures D and E)
A
Sector(s)
B
Projects
C
CC and/or ED impacts
D
Sig
E
Lik
F
Rsk
G
Adaptation option
1.
Livelihoods
Microcredit enterprises
Erratic rainfall could mean enterprises fail.
4 3 12
Rank the risks/ prioritise the hazards
2.
Agriculture
Tree nurseries
Predicted landslides mean communities may need to relocate.
Rapid run-off is reducing soil quality.
2 2 4
3 4 12
4 4 16
3. All sectors
4. New sector
Alley cropping
All projects
Changes in rainfall mean tree pests breed faster; trees are dying. Likely to get worse.
Trees may be susceptible to tree pests, preventing them from protecting crops
The risk of flooding could lead to beneficiaries’ homes being destroyed. This may affect their involvement in the project.
New project Potential impacts associated with this project
3 2 6
4 4 16
2 1 2