Data Analysis West Virginia’s Landscape Demographic Data West Virginia’s Landscape • The State identified and analyzed key data, including data from SPP/APR indicators, 618 data collections, and other available data (including stakeholder input) to select the draft SIMR and start to identify root causes contributing to low performance. State Enrollment by Special Education Status Trend Special Education Status by Race for 2014-2015 LEAST RESTRICTIVE ENVIRONMENTS WEST VIRGINIA DECEMBER 1, 2014 General Education: Full Time (LRE=0) 64% Correctional Facility (LRE=9) 0% Parentally Placed in Privace School (LRE=8) Residential Placements (LE=6) 0% OSE (LRE=5) 1% Special Education:Separat e Schools (LRE=3) 0% Special Education : Separate Class (LRE=2) 8% General Education: Part-Time (LRE=1) 25% Student demographics, SY 2013-2014 All students Grades: PK - 12 Of all students, 48% qualify as Low-SES Of all students, 15% qualify as SWD 62% of SWD qualify as Low-SES Data source: End of Year Certified Enrollment file, 2013 – 2014 Notes: Results incorporate all school districts (including WVSDB & Institutional Programs), Grades Pre-K – 12, analysis excludes exceptionally gifted (EG) and gifted (GF) from SWD classification West Virginia Students with Disabilities Demographics • • • • • • • • • 43,250 of West Virginia’s 274,363 students have IEPs Ages 3-21 Represent 15-16% of the student population Special education status by race between 16% of White and 16% of Black or African American subgroups Largest eligibility groups are speech language impaired at 29% and specific learning disabled at 29% 16% of students intellectually disabled including mild, moderate, and severe 84% of SWDs within average range of intelligence Approximately 62% are low socio-economic status (SES) West Virginia’s percentage of students with disabilities ages 6-21 is 2.8% higher than the nation West Virginia’s percentage of students with disabilities ages 3-5 is 2.6% higher than the nation West Virginia’s Landscape Performance Data – Statewide Assessment 2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 Mathematics Proficiency Rates (%) by Grade Level SWOD SWD Mathematics proficiency rate (%) 80 70 60 50 40 48.6 48.3 48.2 52.0 43.6 41.1 45.7 43.9 47.4 46.5 30 20 10 17.8 17.1 12.4 0 3 4 5 9.8 9.3 6.7 8.4 8.4 6 7 8 9 10 Grade level 6.4 11 11.4 All grades 2010 - 2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 Mathematics Proficiency Rates (%) SWOD SWD Mathematics proficiency rate (%) 80 70 60 50 51.0 49.8 46.0 47.2 13.6 13.2 15.3 13.8 2010 2011 2012 Year 2013 46.5 40 30 20 11.4 10 0 Note: The 2014 WESTEST 2 was an online electronic assessment; all previous years used paper/pencil versions of the assessment. 2014 2014 WESTEST 2 Mathematics Proficiency Rates (%) by RESA SWOD SWD Mathematics proficiency rate (%) 80 70 60 50 40 52.1 43.8 49.9 44.2 40.4 44.2 49.3 47.0 46.5 30 20 10 0 8.5 1 10.5 2 15.0 3 10.4 4 11.3 5 RESA 13.9 6 10.3 7 12.2 8 11.4 WV 2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 RLA Proficiency Rates (%) by Grade Level SWOD SWD 56.1 53.7 80 RLA proficiency rate (%) 70 60 58.7 50 40 49.4 49.1 48.2 55.3 54.7 49.8 52.9 30 20 10 16.3 12.3 0 3 4 9.5 9.7 9.3 7.0 9.6 7.7 7.2 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Grade level 10.3 All grades 2010 - 2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 RLA Proficiency Rates (%) SWOD SWD 80 RLA proficiency rate (%) 70 52.8 53.7 54.2 52.9 9.7 11.5 11.9 11.4 10.3 2010 2011 2012 Year 2013 2014 60 50 46.6 40 30 20 10 0 Note: The 2014 WESTEST 2 was an online electronic assessment; all previous years used paper/pencil versions of the assessment. 2014 WESTEST 2 RLA Proficiency Rates (%) by RESA SWOD SWD 80 RLA proficiency rate (%) 70 60 57.3 50 40 49.8 49.4 47.9 52.4 55.5 54.1 54.3 52.9 30 20 10 0 8.0 1 10.2 2 13.3 3 9.5 4 10.4 5 RESA 12.2 6 9.0 7 10.6 8 10.3 WV 2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 Proficiency Rates: Subgroup Combinations Math RLA 80 Proficiency rate (%) 70 65.6 60 50 59.2 46.1 40 39.8 30 20 17.7 17.0 10 9.9 0 SWOD & Non Low-SES SWOD & Low-SES SWD & Non Low-SES Subgroup SWOD = Students without disabilities SWD = Students with disabilities 8.7 SWD & Low-SES APTA Participation: Mathematics (2013 – 2014) Hancock Brooke Ohio WV APTA % = 1.43 (Target APTA % = 1.0) Marshall Monongalia Wetzel Pleasants Wood Jackson Mason Tyler Ritchie Wirt Cabell Dodd- Harrison ridge Upshur Nicholas McDowell Tucker Jefferson Grant Hardy Pendleton Pocahontas Fayette Above WV % (> 1.43) Below WV% (<1.43) but above 1% Greenbrier At or below 1% target Raleigh Wyoming Hampshire Webster Kanawha Logan Mineral Randolph Braxton Wayne Lincoln Mingo Taylor Morgan Berkeley Lewis Clay Boone Preston Barbour Cal- Gilmer houn Roane Putnam Marion Summers Mercer Monroe APTA % calculated using Grades 3-8, and 11 WV APTA % excludes the West Virginia School for the Deaf and Blind (WVSDB) and Institutional Programs Data Source: RPTCARD14_PWVN307A APTA Participation: RLA (2013 – 2014) Hancock Brooke Ohio WV APTA % = 1.43 (Target APTA % = 1.0) Marshall Monongalia Wetzel Pleasants Wood Jackson Mason Tyler Ritchie Wirt Cabell Dodd- Harrison ridge Upshur Nicholas McDowell Tucker Jefferson Grant Hardy Pendleton Pocahontas Fayette Above WV % (> 1.43) Below WV% (<1.43) but above 1% Greenbrier At or below 1% target Raleigh Wyoming Hampshire Webster Kanawha Logan Mineral Randolph Braxton Wayne Lincoln Mingo Taylor Morgan Berkeley Lewis Clay Boone Preston Barbour Cal- Gilmer houn Roane Putnam Marion Summers Mercer Monroe APTA % calculated using Grades 3-8, and 11 WV APTA % excludes the West Virginia School for the Deaf and Blind (WVSDB) and Institutional Programs Data Source: RPTCARD14_PWVN307A West Virginia Students with Disabilities Performance – Statewide Assessment • The majority of SWD are not proficient in math or reading language arts. • The mathematics success gap (difference between SWODs and SWDs) is 35.1% for grades 3-11 with the largest gap occurring at grade 7 at 42.7%. Grade 11 had the lowest proficiency rate at 6.4% • Percentage of proficient SWDs and SWODs fell during 2013-2014. This may be attributed to the WESTEST 2 online electronic administration; all previous years used paper/pencil versions of the assessment. • SWDs in RESA 3 had the highest math proficiency rates at 15.0% and SWDs in RESA 1 had the lowest rates at 8.5%. • The reading language arts success gap is 42.6% with the largest gap occurring at grade 6 at 49.0%. Grade 9 had the lowest proficiency rate at 7.0% West Virginia Students with Disabilities Performance – Statewide Assessment • SWDs in RESA 3 had the highest reading language arts proficiency rates at 13.3% and RESA 1 had the lowest rates at 8.0%. • Non Low-SES and SWD out performed students who were both disabled and low socio-economic status. • Participation rates for SWD were 98.21% for mathematics and 98.28% for reading language arts. • 16.0% of SWDs were proficient in science and 12.0% were proficient in social studies • SWD have not made significant progress over the last five years. • WV APTA participation is 1.42% which is .42% above the 1.0% allowed. West Virginia’s Landscape Performance Data – Graduation/Drop out WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 All students Students with disabilities (SWD) 100 Graduation rate (%) 90 80 70 79.3 81.4 84.5 Graduation Graduation Graduation gap = 19.4% gap = 19.3% 60 59.9 gap = 14.2% 70.3 62.1 50 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. Data presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which lag 1 year behind Accountability Year. 2013-2014 WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 Low-Socioeconomic Status (Low-SES) Students with disabilities (SWD) 100 Graduation rate (%) 90 80.1 80 73.7 72.2 Graduation gap = 9.8% Graduation 70 Graduation gap = 11.6% gap = 12.3% 60 59.9 70.3 62.1 50 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year 2013-2014 Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. In 2013-2014 the definition of low-SES was expanded to include those participating in Community Eligibility Provision (CEP) programs. Subgroups are not mutually exclusive (i.e., a student qualifying as low-SES may also qualify as SWD). Data presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which lag 1 year behind Accountability Year. WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 Male Female 100 Graduation rate (%) 90 83 85 80 70 76 78.2 87 82.1 60 50 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. Data presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which lag 1 year behind Accountability Year. 2013-2014 WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 American Indian/Alaskan 100 93.6 Black White Hispanic 92 Graduation rate (%) 90 80 79.1 79.6 73.8 70 60 66.7 Asian 94.7 88.6 82.3 84.7 81.9 79.4 75 69.6 59.1 50 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. Data presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which lag 1 year behind Accountability Year. 2013-2014 WV Graduation Rates (%): 2013 - 2014 All students Students with disabilities (SWD) 100 Graduation rate (%) 80 60 81.3 82.9 83.7 82.8 88.1 70.4 69.3 68.3 70.7 RESA 2 RESA 3 RESA 4 RESA 5 90.1 85.6 73.6 88.7 73.3 65.7 60.3 84.5 70.3 40 20 0 RESA 1 RESA 6 RESA 7 Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. Data presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which lag 1 year behind Accountability Year. RESA 8 All WV Counties Graduation Rates SWD 2013-2014 - ALL 2013-2014 - SWD 84.46% 70.27% Graduation Gap 14.19% Highest Performing LEA Lowest Performing LEA Difference Gap 90.06% 33.33% 56.73% WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 All students Students with disabilities (SWD) 3 Drop Out rate (%) 2.5 2.2 1.9 2 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1 1.3 0.5 0 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year The drop out gap between the all students group and SWD group has decreased from 0.5% in 2011-2012 to less than 0.2% in 2013-2014. 2013-2014 WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 Low-Socioeconomic Status (Low-SES) Students with disabilities (SWD) 3 2.5 Drop Out rate (%) 2.5 2 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.5 1 0.5 0 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year In 2013-2014 the definition of low-SES was expanded to include those participating in Community Eligibility Provision (CEP) programs. Subgroups are not mutually exclusive (i.e., a student qualifying as lowSES may also qualify as SWD). 2013-2014 WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 Male Female 3 Drop Out rate (%) 2.5 2 1.5 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.6 1 1.4 1.2 0.5 0 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year 2013-2014 WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014 American Indian/Alaskan Black White Hispanic Asian 3 Drop Out rate (%) 2.5 2 1.5 1 2.2 2 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.3 1 1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0 2011-2012 2012-2013 Year The drop out gap between WV’s largest race/ethnicity subgroups, White and Black, has remained near 0.5% over the past three years. 0.4 2013-2014 2013 – 2014 Drop Out Rates (%) Among SWD Grades 7 - 12 HANCOCK BROOKE OHIO MARSHALL MONONGALIA WETZEL PLEASANTS WOOD RITCHIE MASON PUTNAM WAYNE UPSHUR MINGO TUCKER JEFFERSON GRANT RANDOLPH PENDLETON WEBSTER NICHOLAS WV SWD drop out rate = 1.5% POCAHONTAS LINCOLN BOONE HAMPSHIRE HARDY BRAXTON KANAWHA BERKELEY MINERAL LEWIS CLAY CABELL TAYLOR BARBOUR CAL- GILMER HOUN ROANE PRESTON DODD- HARRISON RIDGE WIRT JACKSON MORGAN MARION TYLER 1.4 percent or less FAYETTE GREENBRIER LOGAN 1.5 – 2.8 percent RALEIGH WYOMING MCDOWELL SUMMERS 2.8 percent or greater MONROE MERCER County level SWD drop out rates ranged from 0% to 4.2% Drop Out Rates SWD 2013-2014 - ALL 2013-2014 - SWD Drop Out Gap Lowest Performing LEA Highest Performing LEA Difference Gap 1.5% 1.3% .2% 4.18% 0.00% 4.18% West Virginia Students with Disabilities Outcomes – Graduation-Dropout • In 2014 only 70.27% of SWD in WV graduated from high school with a regular diploma in four years and 84.46% of all students graduated. This is a 14.19% graduation gap. • Between 2012 and 2014 the 4 year graduation rate for all students increased 5.14% and for SWDs increased 10.36%. • Females graduated at 4.9% higher rate than males. • Asian students had the highest graduation rate and American Indian/Alaskan had the lowest. • RESA 6 had the highest rate at 73.6% and RESA 1 had the lowest rate at 60.3% West Virginia Students with Disabilities Outcomes – Graduation-Dropout • The dropout rate for SWD was 1.5% and for all students was 1.3% a success gap of .2%. SWDs had a lower dropout rate than low SES students. • Males dropped out at a higher rate than females. • Asian students had the lowest dropout rate at .40% and black students had the highest at 1.9%. The dropout gap between WV’s largest race/ethnicity subgroups, white and black, has remained near 0.5% over the past three years. • Six LEAs have a dropout rate for SWDs of 2.8% or greater, 19 LEAs have a rate of 1.5% to 2.8%, and 30 LEAs have rate of 1.4% or less. West Virginia’s Landscape Performance Data Secondary Transition-Post School Outcomes Secondary Transition SWD Participation in Higher Education 18.00% 16.00% 15.00% 14.00% 15.59% 12.00% 11.80% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% FFY 2011 FFY 2012 FFY 2013 SWD Competitive Employment 38.00% 37.50% 37.00% 37.26% 36.50% 36.00% 35.50% 35.00% 34.50% 34.00% 34.30% 33.50% 33.00% 32.50% 32.00% 31.50% 32.10% 31.00% 30.50% 30.00% 29.50% FFY 2011 FFY 2012 FFY 2013 SWD Post Secondary/Other Employment 18.00% 17.00% 16.00% 15.00% 15.10% 15.40% 14.00% 13.00% 12.00% 12.04% 11.00% 10.00% FFY 2011 FFY 2012 FFY 2013 SWD Not Engaged 42.00% 41.00% 41.00% 40.00% 39.00% 38.00% 37.00% 36.00% 35.00% 35.30% 35.11% 34.00% 33.00% 32.00% FFY 2011 FFY 2012 FFY 2013 West Virginia Students with Disabilities Outcomes Secondary Transition-Post School Outcomes • Transition section of Individualized Education Program is 98.41% compliant based on Annual Desk Audit and compliance monitoring. • Students have low participation rates in higher education after leaving school. • 35.11% of SWDs are not engaged after leaving school. West Virginia’s Landscape Perceptual Data Special Education Parent Survey–Transition Question 24: the school provides information on agencies that can assist my child in the transition from school. Agreement Percentage 28.00% 27.50% 27.50% 27.30% 27.00% 26.50% 26.00% 25.80% 25.50% 25.00% 24.50% 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014