Data Analysis

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Data Analysis
West Virginia’s Landscape
Demographic Data
West Virginia’s Landscape
• The State identified and analyzed key
data, including data from SPP/APR
indicators, 618 data collections, and other
available data (including stakeholder input)
to select the draft SIMR and start to
identify root causes contributing to low
performance.
State Enrollment by Special Education Status Trend
Special Education Status by Race for 2014-2015
LEAST RESTRICTIVE ENVIRONMENTS
WEST VIRGINIA
DECEMBER 1, 2014
General Education:
Full Time (LRE=0)
64%
Correctional
Facility (LRE=9)
0%
Parentally Placed
in Privace School
(LRE=8)
Residential
Placements (LE=6)
0%
OSE
(LRE=5)
1%
Special
Education:Separat
e Schools (LRE=3)
0%
Special
Education
: Separate
Class
(LRE=2)
8%
General Education:
Part-Time (LRE=1)
25%
Student demographics, SY 2013-2014
All students
Grades: PK - 12
Of all students,
48% qualify as
Low-SES
Of all students,
15% qualify as
SWD
62% of SWD
qualify as
Low-SES
Data source: End of Year Certified Enrollment file, 2013 – 2014
Notes: Results incorporate all school districts (including WVSDB & Institutional Programs), Grades Pre-K – 12, analysis
excludes exceptionally gifted (EG) and gifted (GF) from SWD classification
West Virginia Students with Disabilities Demographics
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
43,250 of West Virginia’s 274,363 students have IEPs Ages 3-21
Represent 15-16% of the student population
Special education status by race between 16% of White and 16% of Black
or African American subgroups
Largest eligibility groups are speech language impaired at 29% and specific
learning disabled at 29%
16% of students intellectually disabled including mild, moderate, and severe
84% of SWDs within average range of intelligence
Approximately 62% are low socio-economic status (SES)
West Virginia’s percentage of students with disabilities ages 6-21 is 2.8%
higher than the nation
West Virginia’s percentage of students with disabilities ages 3-5 is 2.6%
higher than the nation
West Virginia’s Landscape
Performance Data – Statewide Assessment
2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 Mathematics
Proficiency Rates (%) by Grade Level
SWOD
SWD
Mathematics proficiency rate (%)
80
70
60
50
40
48.6
48.3
48.2
52.0
43.6
41.1
45.7
43.9
47.4
46.5
30
20
10
17.8
17.1
12.4
0
3
4
5
9.8
9.3
6.7
8.4
8.4
6
7
8
9
10
Grade level
6.4
11
11.4
All
grades
2010 - 2014 Statewide WESTEST 2
Mathematics Proficiency Rates (%)
SWOD
SWD
Mathematics proficiency rate (%)
80
70
60
50
51.0
49.8
46.0
47.2
13.6
13.2
15.3
13.8
2010
2011
2012
Year
2013
46.5
40
30
20
11.4
10
0
Note: The 2014 WESTEST 2 was an online electronic assessment;
all previous years used paper/pencil versions of the assessment.
2014
2014 WESTEST 2 Mathematics
Proficiency Rates (%) by RESA
SWOD
SWD
Mathematics proficiency rate (%)
80
70
60
50
40
52.1
43.8
49.9
44.2
40.4
44.2
49.3
47.0
46.5
30
20
10
0
8.5
1
10.5
2
15.0
3
10.4
4
11.3
5
RESA
13.9
6
10.3
7
12.2
8
11.4
WV
2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 RLA
Proficiency Rates (%) by Grade Level
SWOD
SWD
56.1
53.7
80
RLA proficiency rate (%)
70
60
58.7
50
40
49.4
49.1
48.2
55.3
54.7
49.8
52.9
30
20
10
16.3
12.3
0
3
4
9.5
9.7
9.3
7.0
9.6
7.7
7.2
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Grade level
10.3
All
grades
2010 - 2014 Statewide WESTEST 2
RLA Proficiency Rates (%)
SWOD
SWD
80
RLA proficiency rate (%)
70
52.8
53.7
54.2
52.9
9.7
11.5
11.9
11.4
10.3
2010
2011
2012
Year
2013
2014
60
50
46.6
40
30
20
10
0
Note: The 2014 WESTEST 2 was an online electronic assessment;
all previous years used paper/pencil versions of the assessment.
2014 WESTEST 2 RLA
Proficiency Rates (%) by RESA
SWOD
SWD
80
RLA proficiency rate (%)
70
60
57.3
50
40
49.8
49.4
47.9
52.4
55.5
54.1
54.3
52.9
30
20
10
0
8.0
1
10.2
2
13.3
3
9.5
4
10.4
5
RESA
12.2
6
9.0
7
10.6
8
10.3
WV
2014 Statewide WESTEST 2 Proficiency Rates:
Subgroup Combinations
Math
RLA
80
Proficiency rate (%)
70
65.6
60
50
59.2
46.1
40
39.8
30
20
17.7 17.0
10
9.9
0
SWOD & Non Low-SES
SWOD & Low-SES
SWD & Non Low-SES
Subgroup
SWOD = Students without disabilities
SWD = Students with disabilities
8.7
SWD & Low-SES
APTA Participation:
Mathematics (2013 – 2014)
Hancock
Brooke
Ohio
WV APTA % = 1.43
(Target APTA % = 1.0)
Marshall
Monongalia
Wetzel
Pleasants
Wood
Jackson
Mason
Tyler
Ritchie
Wirt
Cabell
Dodd- Harrison
ridge
Upshur
Nicholas
McDowell
Tucker
Jefferson
Grant
Hardy
Pendleton
Pocahontas
Fayette
Above WV % (> 1.43)
Below WV% (<1.43) but above 1%
Greenbrier
At or below 1% target
Raleigh
Wyoming
Hampshire
Webster
Kanawha
Logan
Mineral
Randolph
Braxton
Wayne Lincoln
Mingo
Taylor
Morgan
Berkeley
Lewis
Clay
Boone
Preston
Barbour
Cal- Gilmer
houn
Roane
Putnam
Marion
Summers
Mercer
Monroe
APTA % calculated using Grades 3-8, and 11
WV APTA % excludes the West Virginia School for the Deaf
and Blind (WVSDB) and Institutional Programs
Data Source: RPTCARD14_PWVN307A
APTA Participation:
RLA (2013 – 2014)
Hancock
Brooke
Ohio
WV APTA % = 1.43
(Target APTA % = 1.0)
Marshall
Monongalia
Wetzel
Pleasants
Wood
Jackson
Mason
Tyler
Ritchie
Wirt
Cabell
Dodd- Harrison
ridge
Upshur
Nicholas
McDowell
Tucker
Jefferson
Grant
Hardy
Pendleton
Pocahontas
Fayette
Above WV % (> 1.43)
Below WV% (<1.43) but above 1%
Greenbrier
At or below 1% target
Raleigh
Wyoming
Hampshire
Webster
Kanawha
Logan
Mineral
Randolph
Braxton
Wayne Lincoln
Mingo
Taylor
Morgan
Berkeley
Lewis
Clay
Boone
Preston
Barbour
Cal- Gilmer
houn
Roane
Putnam
Marion
Summers
Mercer
Monroe
APTA % calculated using Grades 3-8, and 11
WV APTA % excludes the West Virginia School for the Deaf
and Blind (WVSDB) and Institutional Programs
Data Source: RPTCARD14_PWVN307A
West Virginia Students with Disabilities
Performance – Statewide Assessment
• The majority of SWD are not proficient in math or reading language
arts.
• The mathematics success gap (difference between SWODs and
SWDs) is 35.1% for grades 3-11 with the largest gap occurring at
grade 7 at 42.7%. Grade 11 had the lowest proficiency rate at 6.4%
• Percentage of proficient SWDs and SWODs fell during 2013-2014.
This may be attributed to the WESTEST 2 online electronic
administration; all previous years used paper/pencil versions of the
assessment.
• SWDs in RESA 3 had the highest math proficiency rates at 15.0%
and SWDs in RESA 1 had the lowest rates at 8.5%.
• The reading language arts success gap is 42.6% with the largest
gap occurring at grade 6 at 49.0%. Grade 9 had the lowest
proficiency rate at 7.0%
West Virginia Students with Disabilities
Performance – Statewide Assessment
• SWDs in RESA 3 had the highest reading language arts
proficiency rates at 13.3% and RESA 1 had the lowest rates
at 8.0%.
• Non Low-SES and SWD out performed students who were
both disabled and low socio-economic status.
• Participation rates for SWD were 98.21% for mathematics and
98.28% for reading language arts.
• 16.0% of SWDs were proficient in science and 12.0% were
proficient in social studies
• SWD have not made significant progress over the last five
years.
• WV APTA participation is 1.42% which is .42% above the
1.0% allowed.
West Virginia’s Landscape
Performance Data – Graduation/Drop out
WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
All students
Students with disabilities (SWD)
100
Graduation rate (%)
90
80
70
79.3
81.4
84.5
Graduation
Graduation
Graduation
gap = 19.4%
gap = 19.3%
60
59.9
gap = 14.2%
70.3
62.1
50
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. Data
presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which
lag 1 year behind Accountability Year.
2013-2014
WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
Low-Socioeconomic Status (Low-SES)
Students with disabilities (SWD)
100
Graduation rate (%)
90
80.1
80
73.7
72.2
Graduation
gap = 9.8%
Graduation
70
Graduation
gap = 11.6%
gap = 12.3%
60
59.9
70.3
62.1
50
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
2013-2014
Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. In 2013-2014 the definition of
low-SES was expanded to include those participating in Community Eligibility Provision (CEP)
programs. Subgroups are not mutually exclusive (i.e., a student qualifying as low-SES may also
qualify as SWD). Data presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which
lag 1 year behind Accountability Year.
WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
Male
Female
100
Graduation rate (%)
90
83
85
80
70
76
78.2
87
82.1
60
50
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. Data
presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which
lag 1 year behind Accountability Year.
2013-2014
WV Graduation Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
American Indian/Alaskan
100
93.6
Black
White
Hispanic
92
Graduation rate (%)
90
80
79.1
79.6
73.8
70
60
66.7
Asian
94.7
88.6
82.3
84.7
81.9
79.4
75
69.6
59.1
50
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard diploma. Data
presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of student graduation) which
lag 1 year behind Accountability Year.
2013-2014
WV Graduation Rates (%): 2013 - 2014
All students
Students with disabilities (SWD)
100
Graduation rate (%)
80
60
81.3
82.9
83.7
82.8
88.1
70.4
69.3
68.3
70.7
RESA 2
RESA 3
RESA 4
RESA 5
90.1
85.6
73.6
88.7
73.3
65.7
60.3
84.5
70.3
40
20
0
RESA 1
RESA 6
RESA 7
Graph shows graduation among 4-year cohort, standard
diploma. Data presented are for Cohort Year (actual year of
student graduation) which lag 1 year behind Accountability Year.
RESA 8
All WV
Counties
Graduation Rates SWD
2013-2014 - ALL
2013-2014 - SWD
84.46%
70.27%
Graduation Gap
14.19%
Highest Performing LEA
Lowest Performing LEA
Difference Gap
90.06%
33.33%
56.73%
WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
All students
Students with disabilities (SWD)
3
Drop Out rate (%)
2.5
2.2
1.9
2
1.5
1.7
1.5
1.5
1
1.3
0.5
0
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
The drop out gap between the all students group and SWD
group has decreased from 0.5% in 2011-2012 to less than
0.2% in 2013-2014.
2013-2014
WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
Low-Socioeconomic Status (Low-SES)
Students with disabilities (SWD)
3
2.5
Drop Out rate (%)
2.5
2
2.3
2.2
1.7
1.9
1.5
1.5
1
0.5
0
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
In 2013-2014 the definition of low-SES was expanded to include those
participating in Community Eligibility Provision (CEP) programs.
Subgroups are not mutually exclusive (i.e., a student qualifying as lowSES may also qualify as SWD).
2013-2014
WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
Male
Female
3
Drop Out rate (%)
2.5
2
1.5
1.9
1.7
1.4
1.6
1
1.4
1.2
0.5
0
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
2013-2014
WV Drop Out Rate (%) Trends: 2012 - 2014
American Indian/Alaskan
Black
White
Hispanic
Asian
3
Drop Out rate (%)
2.5
2
1.5
1
2.2
2
1.7
1.4
1.2
1.9
1.9
1.5
1.3
1.3
1
1
0.7
0.5
0.2
0
2011-2012
2012-2013
Year
The drop out gap between WV’s largest race/ethnicity
subgroups, White and Black, has remained near 0.5% over the
past three years.
0.4
2013-2014
2013 – 2014 Drop Out Rates (%)
Among SWD Grades 7 - 12
HANCOCK
BROOKE
OHIO
MARSHALL
MONONGALIA
WETZEL
PLEASANTS
WOOD
RITCHIE
MASON
PUTNAM
WAYNE
UPSHUR
MINGO
TUCKER
JEFFERSON
GRANT
RANDOLPH
PENDLETON
WEBSTER
NICHOLAS
WV SWD drop out rate = 1.5%
POCAHONTAS
LINCOLN
BOONE
HAMPSHIRE
HARDY
BRAXTON
KANAWHA
BERKELEY
MINERAL
LEWIS
CLAY
CABELL
TAYLOR
BARBOUR
CAL- GILMER
HOUN
ROANE
PRESTON
DODD- HARRISON
RIDGE
WIRT
JACKSON
MORGAN
MARION
TYLER
1.4 percent or less
FAYETTE
GREENBRIER
LOGAN
1.5 – 2.8 percent
RALEIGH
WYOMING
MCDOWELL
SUMMERS
2.8 percent or greater
MONROE
MERCER
County level SWD drop out rates ranged from
0% to 4.2%
Drop Out Rates SWD
2013-2014 - ALL
2013-2014 - SWD
Drop Out Gap
Lowest Performing LEA
Highest Performing LEA
Difference Gap
1.5%
1.3%
.2%
4.18%
0.00%
4.18%
West Virginia Students with Disabilities
Outcomes – Graduation-Dropout
• In 2014 only 70.27% of SWD in WV graduated from high
school with a regular diploma in four years and 84.46% of
all students graduated. This is a 14.19% graduation gap.
• Between 2012 and 2014 the 4 year graduation rate for all
students increased 5.14% and for SWDs increased
10.36%.
• Females graduated at 4.9% higher rate than males.
• Asian students had the highest graduation rate and
American Indian/Alaskan had the lowest.
• RESA 6 had the highest rate at 73.6% and RESA 1 had the
lowest rate at 60.3%
West Virginia Students with Disabilities
Outcomes – Graduation-Dropout
• The dropout rate for SWD was 1.5% and for all students
was 1.3% a success gap of .2%. SWDs had a lower
dropout rate than low SES students.
• Males dropped out at a higher rate than females.
• Asian students had the lowest dropout rate at .40% and
black students had the highest at 1.9%. The dropout gap
between WV’s largest race/ethnicity subgroups, white and
black, has remained near 0.5% over the past three years.
• Six LEAs have a dropout rate for SWDs of 2.8% or greater,
19 LEAs have a rate of 1.5% to 2.8%, and 30 LEAs have
rate of 1.4% or less.
West Virginia’s Landscape
Performance Data
Secondary Transition-Post School Outcomes
Secondary Transition
SWD Participation in Higher Education
18.00%
16.00%
15.00%
14.00%
15.59%
12.00%
11.80%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
FFY 2011
FFY 2012
FFY 2013
SWD Competitive Employment
38.00%
37.50%
37.00%
37.26%
36.50%
36.00%
35.50%
35.00%
34.50%
34.00%
34.30%
33.50%
33.00%
32.50%
32.00%
31.50%
32.10%
31.00%
30.50%
30.00%
29.50%
FFY 2011
FFY 2012
FFY 2013
SWD Post Secondary/Other Employment
18.00%
17.00%
16.00%
15.00%
15.10%
15.40%
14.00%
13.00%
12.00%
12.04%
11.00%
10.00%
FFY 2011
FFY 2012
FFY 2013
SWD Not Engaged
42.00%
41.00%
41.00%
40.00%
39.00%
38.00%
37.00%
36.00%
35.00%
35.30%
35.11%
34.00%
33.00%
32.00%
FFY 2011
FFY 2012
FFY 2013
West Virginia Students with Disabilities
Outcomes
Secondary Transition-Post School Outcomes
• Transition section of Individualized Education Program is
98.41% compliant based on Annual Desk Audit and
compliance monitoring.
• Students have low participation rates in higher education
after leaving school.
• 35.11% of SWDs are not engaged after leaving school.
West Virginia’s Landscape
Perceptual Data
Special Education Parent Survey–Transition
Question 24: the school provides information on agencies that
can assist my child in the transition from school.
Agreement Percentage
28.00%
27.50%
27.50%
27.30%
27.00%
26.50%
26.00%
25.80%
25.50%
25.00%
24.50%
2011-2012
2012-2013
2013-2014
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