The Economic Impact of Tourism in Wisconsin April 2015 State Overview Headline results The Wisconsin visitor economy strengthened in 2014 with a 5.3% increase in visitor spending. This follows a 4.5% gain in 2013. ■ Visitor spending tallied $11.4 billion in 2014. ■ Wisconsin visitor volumes reached 102.4 million in 2014. ■ With improvements in the overall economy and moderating gas prices, both day and overnight visitor volumes grew around 2%. ■ Per trip spending increased as personal income and consumer confidence strengthened in 2014. ■ Visitor spending growth was led by spending on recreational activities along with lodging. 3 Headline results Visitor spending of $11.4 billion generated $18.5 billion in total business sales in 2014 as traveler dollars flowed through the Wisconsin economy. Visitor activity sustained 187,650 jobs in 2014, both directly and indirectly. These jobs represent 7.9% of total employment in Wisconsin; 1 in every 12.7 jobs in the state is sustained by tourism activity. Including indirect and induced impacts, tourism in Wisconsin generated $1.4 billion in state and local taxes and $1.05 billion in Federal taxes last year. In the absence of the state and local taxes generated by tourism, each Wisconsin household would need to pay $620 to maintain the current level of government services. 4 Industry indicator summary Visits to Wisconsin destinations grew 2.0% between 2013 and 2014. Lodging metrics strengthened in 2014, posting their strongest numbers since 2011. State sales tax revenue on lodging properties grew 6.9% in 2014 (source: State Revenue Office). Tourism-related employment grew on par with overall state employment growth, increasing 1.1% from the prior year. 5 Lodging industry The hotel sector expanded robustly in 2014, with room demand growing 3.5%. Lodging metrics reflect a strong 2014 The occupancy rate increased from 55.1% in 2013 to 56.8% in 2014. % change 8% 7% 6% 5% Tighter occupancy boosted average room rates 3.7%. Demand 4% Revenue 3% ADR 2% Rising demand and higher prices generated growth in room revenues of 7.4%. 1% 0% 2011 2012 2013 Source: Tourism Economics All lodging metrics posted their best results since the post-recession spike. 6 2014 Sales taxes Sales tax collections in tourism-related industries were robust in 2014 with the exception of retail sales. Strength in 2014 is evident across several visitor spending categories with lodging and F&B at 5-year highs. Taxable sales in tourism-related industries % change 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2010 2011 Lodging 7 Source: WI Dept. of Revenue 2012 F&B Recreation 2013 Retail 2014 Visitor Spending Overview Wisconsin visitor volumes reached 102.4 million in 2014. Visitors spent a total of $11.4 billion. Wisconsin Visits and Spending Millions US$ Billions $ 12 104 102 11 100 10 98 9 Visits grew 2.0% while spending increased 5.3% in 2014. 96 94 8 92 7 90 6 88 2010 2011 Visitor Spending, bls (L) 2012 2013 Person-Stays, mls (R) Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 9 2014 Visitor spending Visitor Spending 2009 2010 2013 2014 Lodging Other Transport Air $1,685 $834 $384 $1,840 $958 $388 $1,995 $1,057 $405 $2,087 $1,195 $408 $2,182 $1,244 $407 $2,339 $1,285 $421 7.2% 3.3% 3.6% Food & bev. $2,146 $2,252 $2,447 $2,569 $2,729 $2,905 6.4% Retail $1,850 $2,066 $2,200 $2,222 $2,272 $2,328 2.4% Recreation 2nd home rental $1,162 $462 $1,155 $540 $1,225 $569 $1,311 $584 $1,393 $613 $1,502 $638 7.8% 4.2% TOTAL % Change $8,522 $9,199 7.9% $9,899 7.6% $10,376 4.8% $10,840 4.5% $11,419 5.3% 5.3% Wisconsin visitor spending reached $11.4 billion in 2014, posting 5.3% growth. Recreational spending surged, followed by lodging and spending on food & beverages. 10 % Change Tourism Industry Sales & Growth Rate US$ Billions 12 10 $ Billions Sector (US$ Million) 2011 2012 $ $9.2 $9.9 $10.4 $10.8 $11.4 9% 8% 7% 8 6% 5% 6 4% 4 3% 2% 2 1% 0 0% 2010 2011 Spending (L) 2012 2013 % Change (R) Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 2014 Visitor spending by sector Traveler spending neared $3.0 billion on food & beverages. $ Million, 2014 values shown The lodging sector passed the retail sector to become the second largest spending category with $2.3 billion in sales. 3,500 3,000 2,905 2013 2014 2,339 2,500 2,328 2,000 1,706 1,502 1,500 1,000 638 500 2nd Home Rental Recreation Transportation Retail Lodging Food & bev. 0 Note: In this chart Transportation includes local and air transportation 11 In 2014, visitor spending increased 7.8% on recreation & entertainment, 6.4% on food and beverage, and 7.2% on lodging. Visitor spending distribution With strong growth in leisure visits, the share of spending on recreational activities now exceeds 13% of all visitor spending. Visitor Spending by Sector Retail 20.4% Food & bev. 25.4% Recreation 13.2% Air 3.7% Other Transport 11.3% Lodging 26.1% Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 12 The share of the traveler dollar spent on lodging, the largest sector, grew to 26.1% in 2014. Food & beverage spending ranks second, capturing a quarter of visitor spending, followed by retail at 20%. Visitor spending trends Wisconsin's Visitor Spending by Year, Billions of $ $12 $10 $1.2 $1.3 $1.2 $8 $2.2 $2.2 $1.4 $2.3 $1.5 $2.3 Retail $2.1 $6 $4 $2.9 $2.6 $2.7 $0.4 $1.0 $0.4 $1.1 $0.4 $1.2 $0.4 $1.2 $0.4 $1.3 $2.4 $2.6 $2.7 $2.8 $3.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 $2.3 $2.4 Lodging sales have increased Other Transport 25% since 2010. Lodging Food & bev. Air $2 $0 Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 13 Recreation Visitor spending has grown an average of 5.6% annually since 2010. Visitor spending by market segment Leisure tourism represents 88% of visitor spending in Wisconsin. Overnight visitors spend $7.7 billion in Wisconsin, 67% of the total. Day visitor spending added $3.8 billion in 2014. Domestic visitors to Wisconsin spent $10.8 billion in 2014, 94% of all visitor spending. Visitor Spending in 2014 (US$ Billion) Purpose Stay Business Leisure $1.4 $10.0 Day Overnight Total $11.4 Total 14 $3.8 $7.7 $11.4 Share Stay Purpose Business Leisure Market 12.2% 87.8% Day Overnight Domestic Overseas Canada $10.8 $0.6 $0.1 Total $11.4 Market 32.9% 67.1% Domestic Overseas Canada 94.3% 5.0% 0.7% Visitor spending by market segment 0.7%Canada 5.0% Overseas 100% 90% Percentage distribution 80% Overnight 67.1% 70% 60% Leisure 87.8% Domestic 94.3% 50% 40% 30% Day 32.9% 20% 10% Business 12.2% 0% Purpose Stay Market Sources: Longwoods International, OTTI, Stats Can, Tourism Economics 15 Seasonality of lodging Wisconsin Hotel Room Revenue $ millions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 600 500 400 Tourism is a year-round industry in Wisconsin. Its peak is in the third quarter with nearly one-third of all rooms rented. In 2014, room demand in each quarter is at least 20% of all rooms rented. In 2014, growth was spread throughout the year, with all but Q2 posting room revenue growth of 7% or higher. And Q2 revenue growth only dipped to 5.4%. 300 200 100 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Source: Smith Travel Research Wisconsin Hotel Rooms and Revenue Quarterly Share, 2013 40% Revenue 35% Rooms 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Q1 Q2 Source: Smith Travel Research 16 Q3 Q4 Seasonality of visitor spending In 2014, total visitor Wisconsin Quarterly Visitor Spending $ Millions spending peaked in the 4,000 $3,645 3rd quarter with $3.6 3,500 billion in visitor sales. 3,000 $2,862 Spending growth was 3.5% or higher in all four quarters with Q1 posting spending growth of 6.8%. 2,500 2014 $2,631 $2,280 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Q1 Business 2013 Q2 Q3 Q4 Source: Tourism Economics Day Visitor Spending by Quarter Wisconsin Q1 2013 2014 % Chn 17 Q2 Q3 Q4 $2,135.6 $2,766.2 $3,454.1 $2,484.3 $2,279.9 $2,862.4 $3,645.3 $2,631.5 6.76% 3.48% 5.54% 5.93% Seasonality of visitor spending Tourism spending has grown in every quarter since 2011. Growth did hit a slow patch in the second half of 2012 and first part of 2013 before rebounding in the 2nd half of 2013. Business 18 The upward trend in quarterly tourism spending growth continued in 2014. Wisconsin Tourism Spending Growth Y-o-Y Growth Rates by Quarter 12% $ 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Day 2011 2012 Source: Tourism Economics 2013 2014 State Tourism Impacts How visitor spending generates impact • Travelers create direct economic value within a discrete group of sectors (e.g. recreation, transportation). This supports a relative proportion of jobs, wages, and taxes within each sector. • Each directly affected sector also purchases goods and services as inputs (e.g. food wholesalers, utilities) into production. These impacts are called indirect impacts. • 20 Lastly, the induced impact is generated when employees whose incomes are generated either directly or indirectly by tourism, spend those incomes in the local economy. Tourism sales by industry Tourism Sales (US$ Million) Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport 421.5 Other Transport 447.1 Retail Trade 2,327.9 Gasoline Stations 837.9 Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 638.5 Business Services 71.4 Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment 1,236.0 Lodging 2,339.3 Food & Beverage 2,904.6 Personal Services 195.0 Government TOTAL 11,419.1 Growth Rate 5.3% * Direct sales include cost of goods sold for retail sectors 21 Indirect 32.3 300.0 480.1 102.7 4.5 154.8 16.0 1.3 252.0 740.4 775.2 5.9 62.2 2.7 128.6 124.8 122.2 3,305.8 5.7% Induced 24.8 112.6 253.7 154.4 7.5 63.4 293.9 19.6 123.8 1,195.7 244.4 727.3 40.5 2.3 238.2 179.1 69.3 3,750.7 5.7% Total 57.1 412.6 733.8 257.1 433.5 665.3 2,637.9 858.8 375.8 2,574.6 1,091.0 733.2 1,338.7 2,344.3 3,271.3 499.0 191.5 18,475.6 5.5% Tourism sales by industry All business sectors of the Wisconsin economy benefit from tourism activity directly and/or indirectly. Tourism Sales by Industry $ million 3,500 Induced 3,000 Indirect 2,500 Direct 2,000 1,500 22 1,000 500 Air Transport Personal Serv. Other Transp Education Manu Gas Bus. Services Recreation Lodging FIRE Retail Trade 0 F&B Sectors that serve the tourism industry, like business services, gain as suppliers to a diverse tourism industry. Total tourism employment Tourism Economy Employment Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL Growth Rate 23 1,812 2,195 15,459 1,672 3,495 463 24,337 32,755 48,380 2,353 132,920 1.1% Indirect Induced 382 1,014 1,303 624 16 1,487 231 20 1,026 4,190 8,136 84 1,274 44 2,499 1,329 922 24,582 1.4% 270 344 545 938 26 611 4,352 307 426 4,086 2,658 7,183 911 38 4,662 2,420 364 30,142 1.3% Total 653 1,357 1,848 1,562 1,854 4,293 20,042 1,999 1,452 11,770 11,257 7,267 26,522 32,837 55,541 6,103 1,285 187,643 1.2% The tourism sector directly and indirectly supported 187,643 jobs, or 7.8% of all employment in Wisconsin last year. Total tourism employment 24 Thousands 60 Induced 50 Indirect 40 Direct 30 Significant indirect and induced benefits 20 10 Manu Air Transport Gas Other Transp Personal Serv. Education Bus. Services FIRE Retail Trade Recreation 0 Lodging The unemployment rate in Wisconsin was 5.5% in 2014. Without the 187,643 tourism supported jobs, the unemployment rate would nearly double to 10.9%. Tourism Employment by Industry F&B Secondary benefits are realized across the entire economy through the supply chain and incomes as they are spent. Tourism employment intensity Tourism is a significant part of several industries – 92% of lodging, 34% of recreation, and 23% of food & beverage employment is directly supported by tourism spending. Tourism Employment Intensity by Industry Lodging 92.4% Recreation 33.8% Food & bev. 22.8% Retail 4.1% Total 3.7% 0% 25 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Tourism personal income Tourism Labor Income (Compensation) (US$ Million) Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL Pch Change 26 99.0 108.0 346.8 42.6 60.9 22.5 414.3 660.1 776.9 79.8 2,610.9 3.9% Indirect 5.9 80.9 76.1 44.1 0.9 70.5 6.7 0.5 58.2 137.0 386.9 3.1 23.2 0.7 39.4 57.3 68.6 1,060.0 3.9% Induced 5.2 28.9 32.1 66.3 1.4 27.8 120.4 7.7 26.3 138.8 125.5 384.8 14.9 0.6 82.8 71.2 24.4 1,159.0 3.1% Total 11.1 109.9 108.1 110.4 101.2 206.3 473.8 50.8 84.5 336.7 534.9 387.9 452.4 661.4 899.0 208.3 93.0 4,829.9 3.7% Tourism personal income 27 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Induced Indirect Direct Manu Construction Wholesale Tr. Other Transp Personal Serv. FIRE Education Recreation Retail Trade Bus. Services Significant indirect and induced benefits Lodging Business services and the FIRE (finance, insurance and real estate) sectors depend on tourism activity as suppliers to tourism companies and their employees. Tourism Labor Income by Industry $ million F&B Substantial employment in F&B and recreation supports significant labor income in those industries. Tourism tax generation Taxes of $2.5 billion were directly and indirectly generated by tourism in 2014. State and local taxes alone tallied $1.4 billion. Traveler Generated Taxes (US$ Million) Tax Type Federal Taxes Subtotal Corporate Indirect Business Personal Income Social Security State and Local Taxes Subtotal Corporate Personal Income Sales Bed Property Excise and Fees State Unemployment TOTAL 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 917.6 944.5 977.0 1,011.0 1,052.3 81.9 104.8 212.6 518.2 87.4 112.0 216.8 528.4 91.5 117.2 223.5 544.8 95.6 122.4 230.7 562.3 100.8 129.1 239.2 583.1 1,202.1 1,269.8 1,312.3 1,356.3 1,412.3 113.2 101.9 425.3 72.7 370.9 108.5 9.6 120.9 103.9 453.1 77.3 391.7 113.0 9.8 126.6 107.2 473.4 80.9 397.8 116.4 10.1 132.2 110.6 490.4 84.6 408.3 119.9 10.4 139.4 114.7 514.8 90.7 417.5 124.4 10.8 2,119.6 2,214.3 2,289.3 2,367.3 2,464.6 In 2014, each household in Wisconsin would have been taxed an additional $620 to replace the tourism taxes received by state and local governments. 28 Tourism tax generation – state & local government 2012 (US$ Million) 2013 2014 706.0 731.8 767.1 Of the $1.4 billion collected by state and local governments from traveler activity, $767 million (54%) accrued to state government. 126.6 107.2 438.0 0.0 0.0 24.2 10.1 132.2 110.6 453.7 0.0 0.0 25.0 10.4 139.4 114.7 476.3 0.0 0.0 25.9 10.8 Local government revenues from visitor activity grew to $647 million. 606.3 625.5 647.3 0.0 0.0 35.4 80.9 397.8 92.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.7 85.6 408.3 95.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.5 92.7 417.5 98.5 0.0 Traveler Generated Taxes - State and Local Government Revenues Tax Type State Tax Subtotal Corporate Personal Income Sales Lodging Property Excise and Fees State Unemployment Local Tax Subtotal Corporate Personal Income Sales Lodging Property Excise and Fees State Unemployment 29 Property tax revenue, along with local excise and fees and lodging taxes, comprise the major revenue streams for local governments. How important is tourism? Were the Wisconsin tourism industry a single business, it would rank #242 on the Forbes 500 list, similar in size to Visa, Inc. and CarMax and larger than Norfolk Southern or Office Depot. Visitor spending of $11.4 billion is equal to the total revenue of the Wisconsin Lottery… since 1988. Total sales in supported by tourism in Wisconsin reached $18.5 billion in 2014. By comparison, worldwide revenue of Wisconsin’s 4th largest company – Kohl’s – was $19 billion in 2014 30 How important is tourism? Were the 133,000 direct tourism jobs located all in one county, it would be enough jobs for EVERY resident in Washington County – the 11th largest county in the state. The total tourism employment of 187,643 is more than the total employment of the Appleton AND Janesville-Beloit MSA’s. 31 How important is tourism? Each household in Wisconsin benefits from tourism, saving $620 in 2014 in taxes as visitor activity supports state and local governmental revenue. ■ That is enough for a annual golfing membership at Christmas Mountain Village or ■ 20-Game Fan's Choice Plan in the outfield for the Milwaukee Brewers or ■ About 20 separate admissions to a waterpark in Wisconsin Dells (assuming average price of $30). 32 Methodology and Background Why quantify the tourism economy? By monitoring tourism’s economic impact, policy makers can make informed decisions regarding the funding and prioritization of tourism development. It can also carefully monitor its successes and future needs. In order to do this, tourism must be measured in the same categories as other economic sectors – i.e. tax generation, employment, wages, and gross domestic product. 34 Why is this a challenge? Most economic sectors such as financial services, insurance, or construction are easily defined within a country’s national accounts statistics. Tourism is not so easily measured because it is not a single industry. It is a demand-side activity which affects multiple sectors to various degrees. Tourism spans nearly a dozen sectors including lodging, recreation, retail, real estate, air passenger transport, food & beverage, car rental, taxi services, travel agents… 35 Methods and data sources • Domestic visitor expenditure estimates are provided by Longwoods International’s representative survey of US travelers. These are broken out by sectors (lodging, transport at destination, food & beverage, retail, and recreation), by purpose (business and leisure), and by length of stay (day and overnight). • Tourism Economics then adjusts these levels of spending based on a range of known measures of tourism activity: 36 • Overseas visitor spending (source: OTTI, TE) • Canada visitor spending (source: Statistics Canada, TE) • Sales tax receipts • Spending on air travel which accrues to all airports and locally-based airlines • Gasoline purchases by visitors (source: TE calculation) • Smith Travel Research data on hotel revenues • Industry data on employment, wages, GDP, and sales (source: BEA, BLS, Census) Methods and data sources • An IMPLAN model was compiled for the State of Wisconsin. This traces the flow of visitor-related expenditures through the local economy and their effects on employment, wages, and taxes. IMPLAN also quantifies the indirect (supplier) and induced (income) impacts of tourism. • All results are benchmarked and cross-checked and adjusted based on the following: • 37 • US Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Economic Analysis (employment and wages by industry) • US Census (business sales by industry) The source of the employment and wage data is the Regional Economic Information System (REIS), Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. All employment rankings are based on Bureau of Labor Statistics (ES202/QCEW) data. Selected recent economic impact clients Associations / Companies Center for Exhibition Industry Research (Economic Impact of Visa Restrictions) DMAI (Event Impact Calculator for 80 CVBs) US Travel Association (Impact of travel promotion) InterContinental Hotels States California Georgia Maryland New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania Wisconsin Cities Baltimore, MD Columbus, OH Kansas City, MO London, United Kingdom New York City Omaha, NE Orlando, FL Philadelphia, PA Pittsburgh, PA Rockford, IL Countries / Provinces Bahamas Bermuda Cayman Islands Dubai Ontario Canada St. Lucia United Kingdom 38 About Tourism Economics Tourism Economics, headquartered in Philadelphia, is an Oxford Economics company dedicated to providing high value, robust, and relevant analyses of the tourism sector that reflects the dynamics of local and global economies. By combining quantitative methods with industry knowledge, Tourism Economics designs custom market strategies, project feasibility analysis, tourism forecasting models, tourism policy analysis, and economic impact studies. Our staff have worked with over 300 destinations to quantify the economic value of tourism, forecast demand, guide strategy, or evaluate tourism policies. Oxford Economics is one of the world’s leading providers of economic analysis, forecasts and consulting advice. Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with Oxford University’s business college, Oxford Economics is founded on a reputation for high quality, quantitative analysis and evidence-based advice. For this, it draws on its own staff of 90 highly-experienced professional economists; a dedicated data analysis team; global modeling tools; close links with Oxford University, and a range of partner institutions in Europe, the US and in the United Nations Project Link. For more information: info@tourismeconomics.com. 39 For more information: Adam Sacks, President adam@tourismeconomics.com Christopher Pike, Senior Economist cpike@tourismeconomics.com 40