Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
Data format: Raster Dataset - ESRI GRID
File or table name: eab_risk2014a
Coordinate system: NAD 83 Albers
Theme keywords: : Forest Pest, Forest Insect, Invasive Species, Exotic, Emerald Ash Borer, Agrilus planipennis,
Risk, MaxEnt
Abstract: The Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) 2014 Risk surface was produced for the Contiguous 48 U.S. (CONUS) at a
1 square kilometer (1 km2) resolution by the U.S. Forest Service, Forest Health Protection, Forest Health
Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET) in collaboration with Animal and Plant Health Service, Plant Protection and
Quarantine (APHIS PPQ) staff members. The intended use is to develop a risk based sample design for EAB that
prioritizes detection and management activities in areas with the highest risk and uncertainty.
FGDC and ESRI Metadata:
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Identification Information
Data Quality Information
Spatial Data Organization Information
Spatial Reference Information
Entity and Attribute Information
Distribution Information
Metadata Reference Information
Metadata elements shown with blue text are defined in the Federal Geographic Data Committee's (FGDC) Content Standard for
Digital Geospatial Metadata (CSDGM). Elements shown with green text are defined in the ESRI Profile of the CSDGM. Elements
shown with a green asterisk (*) will be automatically updated by ArcCatalog. ArcCatalog adds hints indicating which FGDC elements
are mandatory; these are shown with gray text.
Identification Information:
Citation:
Citation information:
Originators: Downing, M. C., I. I. F. Leinwand, P. H. Chaloux, J. R. Withrow, and F. J. Sapio. 2013.
Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) “Agrilus planipennis Fairmaire Risk Assessment” U.S. Forest Service Forest
Health Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET) Forest Health Protection USDA Forest Service,
http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agrilusplanipennis_riskmaps.shtml
Title:
Detection Uncertainty Surface for Agrilus planipennis
*File or table name: eab_risk2014a
Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
Publication date: 20131126
*Geospatial data presentation form: raster digital data
Series information:
Series name: Version 2.0
Issue identification: 20131126
Publication information:
Publication place: Fort Collins, Colorado
Publisher: Marla C. Downing
Online linkage:
http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agrilusplanipennis_riskmaps.shtml
Larger work citation:
Citation information:
Originators: Downing, M. C., I. I. F. Leinwand, P. H. Chaloux, J. R. Withrow, and F. J. Sapio. 2013.
Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) “Agrilus planipennis Fairmaire Risk Assessment” U.S. Forest Service Forest
Health Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET) Forest Health Protection USDA Forest Service,
http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agrilusplanipennis_riskmaps.shtml
Title:
Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) 2014 Risk Surface
Description:
Abstract:
The Risk Assessment 2014 map for the Emerald Ash Borer (EAB), Agrilus planipennis, was produced for
the Contiguous 48 U.S. (CONUS) at a 1 square kilometer (1 km2) resolution by the U.S. Forest Service,
Forest Health Protection, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET) in collaboration with Animal
and Plant Health Service, Plant Protection and Quarantine (APHIS PPQ) staff members. The intended use
is to develop a risk based sample design for EAB that prioritizes detection and management activities in
areas with the highest risk. The Risk Assessment was produced by combining the EAB Detection Likelihood
and Uncertainty 2002 to 2013 positives model with the EAB Detection Likelihood and Uncertainty 2013
positives models (Downing et al. 2013). Detection Likelihood models were combined by taking the
maximum value between the two models at each 1 km cell (Table 1). Potential introduction sites,
including campgrounds, rest areas, and other sites identified by state cooperators, were given a high risk
rating. The interim surface was masked using a Fraxinus species range map (Withrow 2010) to develop
the final EAB Risk Assessment product. For display purposes and ease of interpretation risk values were
partitioned into four classes of risk (Table 2).
Purpose:
The intended use is to develop a risk based sample design for EAB that prioritizes detection and
management activities in areas with the highest risk and uncertainty.
Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
Input Datasets:
Inputs
Detection
Likelihood
2002 to 2013
Description and Source
Detection likelihood surface developed using MaxEnt statistical technique for modeling
species distributions (FHTET 2013). Incorporates all known EAB positive locations reported
by APHIS and state cooperators from 2002 to 2013. The 2002 to 2013 detection likelihood
model puts more emphasis on previously known EAB infested areas.
Detection
Detection likelihood surface developed using MaxEnt statistical technique for modeling
Likelihood
species distributions (FHTET 2013). Incorporates all known EAB positive locations reported
2013
by APHIS and state cooperators for 2013 only. The 2013 detection likelihood model puts more
emphasis on the frontier of the EAB expanding range.
Detection
Model uncertainty quantifies the variability of the 2002 to 2013 detection likelihood model
Uncertainty runs by calculating the standard deviation of the detection likelihood values on a cell by cell
2002 to 2013 basis.
Detection
Model uncertainty quantifies the variability of the 2013 detection likelihood model runs by
Uncertainty calculating the standard deviation of the detection likelihood values on a cell by cell basis.
2013
Campgrounds Compiled from Federal campgrounds (USDA APHIS PPQ 2009), U.S. MapData Landmark
Points (ESRI 2010), a proprietary campground database acquired from Salesgenie (2010).
Additional campground locations were received from state cooperators.
U.S. Rest
Rest Areas point locations were compiled from points of interest across the U.S. (POI Factory
Areas
2012 http://www.poi-factory.com/node/14656).
High Risk
High risk introduction sites identified in IPHIS and by other state cooperators where merged
Introduction with the campground and rest area dataset to create a single high risk introduction site
Sites 1: Inputs used
database.
Table
in A. planipennis Risk Assessment 2014
Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
References:
APHIS 2012, Compiled Traffic Volume data. Data compiled from “trafficmetrix” current year estimates,
March 2011 Release. Market Planning Solutions Inc. (www.mpsisolutoins.com).
Downing, M. C., I. I. F. Leinwand, P. H. Chaloux, J. R. Withrow, and F. J. Sapio. 2013. Emerald Ash Borer
(EAB) “Agrilus planipennis Fairmaire Risk Assessment” U.S. Forest Service Forest Health Technology
Enterprise Team (FHTET) Forest Health Protection USDA Forest Service,
http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agrilusplanipennis_riskmaps.shtml
POI Factory 2012. U.S. Rest Area point of interest. http://www.poi-factory.com/node/14656
Salesgenie, 2010. Campgrounds_SG. https://www.salesgenie.com
USDA APHIS PPQ, 2009. Campsites.
Withrow, J. 2010. Production of Urban Host Layers. Deliverable document prepared for USDA Forest
Service, Forest Health Protection, Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET), Task Order No: AG7604-D-09-0542. WAO No: FHTET-10-Pest-Host.
Data Display:
Table 2: Risk Assessment Classes
MaxEnt
Likelihood
Value
Class
0 to 0.05
Low
0.05 to 0.25
Moderate
0.25 to 0.50
Moderate High
0.50 to 1
High
*Language of dataset: en
Time period of content:
Time period information:
Single date/time:
Calendar date: 20131126
Currentness reference:
publication date
Status:
Progress: Planned
Maintenance and update frequency: As needed
Spatial domain:
Bounding coordinates:
*West bounding coordinate: -128.146914
*East bounding coordinate: -65.086930
*North bounding coordinate: 51.759317
*South bounding coordinate: 22.714584
Local bounding coordinates:
*Left bounding coordinate: -2370945.000000
Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
*Right bounding coordinate: 2273055.000000
*Top bounding coordinate: 3189315.000000
*Bottom bounding coordinate: 255315.000000
Place:
Place keywords: Conterminous United States
Place keyword thesaurus: Lower 48 States
Access constraints: None
Use constraints:
None
Point of contact:
Contact information:
Contact organization primary:
Contact person: Marla C. Downing
Contact organization: Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET) Forest Health Protection
Contact position: FHTET Lead, Biological Scientist
Contact address:
Address type: mailing and physical address
Address:
2150 Centre’ Ave., Bldg A, Suite 331
City: Fort Collins
State or province: Colorado
Postal code: 80526-1891
Country: USA
Contact voice telephone: 970-295-5843
Contact electronic mail address: mdowning@fs.fed.us
Hours of service: 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM MT
Data set credit:
Ian Leinwand
Security information:
Security classification: Unclassified
*Native dataset format: Raster Dataset
*Native data set environment:
ESRI ArcGIS 10.0
Cross reference:
Citation information:
Originators: Downing, M. C., I. I. F. Leinwand, P. H. Chaloux, J. R. Withrow, and F. J. Sapio. 2013.
Emerald Ash Borer (EAB) “Agrilus planipennis Fairmaire Risk Assessment” U.S. Forest Service Forest
Health Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET) Forest Health Protection USDA Forest Service,
http://www.fs.fed.us/foresthealth/technology/invasives_agrilusplanipennis_riskmaps.shtml
Spatial Reference Information:
Horizontal coordinate system definition:
Coordinate system name:
*Projected coordinate system name: NAD_1983_Albers
Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
*Geographic coordinate system name: GCS_North_American_1983
Planar:
Map projection:
*Map projection name: Albers Conical Equal Area
Albers conical equal area:
*Standard parallel: 29.500000
*Standard parallel: 45.500000
*Longitude of central meridian: -96.000000
*Latitude of projection origin: 23.000000
*False easting: 0.000000
*False northing: 0.000000
Planar coordinate information:
*Planar coordinate encoding method: row and column
Coordinate representation:
*Abscissa resolution: 1000
*Ordinate resolution: 1000
*Planar distance units: meters
Geodetic model:
*Horizontal datum name: North American Datum of 1983
*Ellipsoid name: Geodetic Reference System 80
*Semi-major axis: 6378137.000000
*Denominator of flattening ratio: 298.257222
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Spatial Data Organization Information:
*Direct spatial reference method: Raster
Raster object information:
*Image format: GRID
*Number of bands: 1
*Row count: 2934
*Column count: 4644
*Vertical count: 1
*Cell size X direction: 1000.000000
*Cell size Y direction: 1000.000000
*Bits per pixel: 32
*Pyramid layers: TRUE
*Image colormap: FALSE
*Compression type: Default
*Raster object type: Grid Cell
*Raster display type: matrix values
*Raster origin: Upper Left
Distribution Information:
Resource description: Downloadable Data
Emerald Ash Borer 2014 Risk Surface
Standard order process:
Digital form:
Digital transfer information:
*Transfer size: 51.98 MB
*Dataset size: 51.98 MB
Metadata Reference Information:
*Metadata date: 20131126
*Language of metadata: en
Metadata contact:
Contact information:
Contact organization primary:
Contact person: Marla C. Downing
Contact organization: Forest Health Technology Enterprise Team (FHTET) USDA Forest Service
Contact position: FHTET, Lead and Biological Scientist
Contact address:
Address type: mailing and physical address
Address:
2150 Centre’ Ave., Bldg A, Suite 331
City: Fort Collins
State or province: Colorado
Postal code: 80526-1891
Country: USA
Contact voice telephone: 970-295-5843
Contact electronic mail address: mdowning@fs.fed.us
Hours of service: 9:00 AM - 5:00 PM MT
*Metadata standard name: FGDC Content Standards for Digital Geospatial Metadata
*Metadata standard version: FGDC-STD-001-1998
*Metadata time convention: local time
Metadata security information:
Metadata security classification: Unclassified