FREC 410 International Ag. Trade & Marketing Factor Proportions Model (Heckscher-Ohlin (H-O) Model) Dr. Titus Awokuse http://www.udel.edu/FREC/Awokuse/FREC410_webpage.htm 2 Factor Proportions (HO) Model Review of Ricardian Model Labor as only factor Differences in labor productivity is viewed as basis for comparative advantage Other basis for trade (ignored by Ricardo’s model) is differences in countries resource endowments Basis for trade is: differences in countries resource (factor) endowments Factor endowment is viewed as basis for comparative advantage in H-O model Differences among nations due to: proportions of resource ___________ proportions of resource ____ in production 3 4 1 Why Call it HO Model? 4 Main Results of H-O Model Developed by Eli Heckscher (H) & Bertil Ohlin (O) The H-O Theorem Later, HOS model The Factor Equalization Theorem The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem The Rybczynski Theorem NOTE: to include Paul Samuelson’s contributions) Enhancement to Ricardian Model of C.A. Did not assume __________________ We will not emphasis the mathematical derivations and proofs, but rather focus only on the meaning and implications of the theorems for international trade in commodities Did not assume difference ______________ 5 6 The H-O Theorem H-O Model Assumptions A nation will export the commodity whose production requires intensive use of the nation’s relatively abundant and cheap factor and import the commodity whose production requires intensive use of the nation’s relatively scarce and ___________________. 2) 2x2x2 Model Factor intensity 3) Factor mobility 4) Factor Abundance 5) Production functions are identical across countries 1) ____________________ Analytical Application Predicts the pattern of international trade 6) Perfect competition in goods and factor mkts K-abundant _____________________________ 7) Equal tastes and preferences in both countries L-abundant nation ______________________ 8) Incomplete ___________ 7 8 2 H-O Model Assumptions H-O Model Assumptions 1) 2x2x2 Model 2) Factor ____________: 2 Countries: (e.g. US and India) 2 Commodities: Clothing (C) and Steel (S) 2 Factors of production: L and K Differing factor proportions (use and availability) across and within industries Eg. Steel production use more K than in textiles Implies different industries producing diff goods have diff K/L ratios Same factors used in both food and cloth sectors Steel is K-intensive (if S production uses more K per unit of L than is used in production of C) Clothing is L-intensive (if C production uses more L per unit of K than is used in production of S) 3) Factor ________: Factors are mobile within country, but not internationally 9 H-O Model Assumptions: contd. 4) Factor Abundance: 10 H-O Model Assumptions: contd. 5) Production functions are identical across A country is K-abundant relative to another country if it has more K endowment per L endowment than the other country – i.e. _____________ countries within an industry 6) Perfect competition in goods and factor mkts 7) Equal tastes and preferences in both countries 8) Incomplete specialization If US is K-abundant then it can be inferred that France is L-abundant – i.e. _______________ 11 12 3 Autarky: No Trade Autarky: No Trade Y U1 Uo Y Nation A . Nation B PPF . K J U1 Uo (Px/Py)A (Px/Py)B PPF X X Case 1A: Nation A Case 1B: Nation B Y is capital-intensive good; X is labor-intensive good Y is capital-intensive good; X is labor-intensive good Nation A is ________________ Nation B is __________________ (Px/Py)B = __________________ (Px/Py)A = ______________ At point K, domestic production = consumption At point J, domestic production = _______________ 13 14 Autarky: No Trade Y Nation B K . Gains from Trade Y (Px/Py)B . J . . Nation B K’ (Px/Py)A U1 D Uo C E Nation A Case 1C: Together . . . X (Px/Py)B = (Px/Py)A J’ Case 2: Specialization and Trade U1 Nation A X Firms move goods to foreign mkts with temporarily higher prices Disparity in prices between A and B (will induce trade) Y is capital-intensive good; X is labor-intensive good Trade flows will rise until prices are equalized in both mkts A is L-abundant; B is K-abundant Nation B: produces at K and consumes at C (Px/Py)B > (Px/Py)A - differences in slopes = ____________________________ exports DK to nation A Y is relatively cheaper in nation A than in nation B imports _________________________________ Nation A: produces at J and consumes at C X is relatively cheaper in nation B __________________________ Better TOT ________________________________________________ 15 exports EJ to nation B imports _________________________ 16 4 Implications of H-O Model Implications of H-O Model Continued … 1) At autarky: A country consumes (produces) 4) Trade raises (relative & absolute) return to proportionately more (less) of a commodity in which its abundant factor (and reduces return to the other) relative factor endowment is _________________________________ 2) Trade allows greater production of good intensive in the abundant factor (less of other) 3) 5) Arbitrage (trade) results in the law of one price (commodity price equalization) 6) Trade equalizes the rates of return to resources _________________________ Trade allows more consumption of good intensive in least ________________________________ 17 Factor Price Equalization Theorem Main Results of H-O Model The H-O Theorem The Factor Equalization Theorem The Rybczynski Theorem The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem 18 International trade will bring about the equalization in the relative prices of goods which in turn, causes the convergence of the relative prices of factors ________________ Analytical Application Basis of some arguments against NAFTA Fear that _______________________ US job ____________________ 19 20 5 Factor Equalization Theorem: contd. Factor Equalization Theorem: contd. Based on 2 H-O model assumptions 2 countries share identical production technologies Mkts are perfectly competitive (w=P*MPL) Factors are paid on basis of the value of their marginal productivity which in turn depends on the __________________ When prices differ b/w nations – so will their MP’s Factor price equalization is not always observed Due to differences in production technologies Reality: free trade cause a tendency for factor prices to move together if some of the trade b/w nations is based on _______________ and hence so will wages and rent But once goods prices are equalized in international trade – the VMP are also equalized -_______________________________ 21 The Rybczynski Theorem Main Results of H-O Model The H-O Theorem The Factor Equalization Theorem The Rybczynski Theorem The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem 22 An increase in a nation’s endowment of a factor will cause an increase in the final output of the good which uses that factor intensively, and a decrease in the output of the other good. Analytical Application Predicts ________________________ Predicts effect of population growth Predicts effect of ___________________ 23 24 6 Rybczynski Theorem: contd. Main Results of H-O Model • Relationship b/w endowments & outputs • Effect of rise in L-endowment: ¾ Outward shift in L-constraint (PPF shift from E to F) ¾ Production of clothing (L-intensive) rises to c2 ¾ Production _________________________________ Qs L- constraint s1 The H-O Theorem The Factor Equalization Theorem The Rybczynski Theorem The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem E F s2 c1 c2 K- constraint Qc 25 26 Stolper-Samuelson Theorem: contd. The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem If the output price of the K-intensive good rises then the rental rate of K (used intensely in that industry) will rise, while the wage rate paid to L will fall. Similarly, if the price of the L-intensive good were to rise then the wage rate will rise, while _____________________________. Relationship b/w output & factor prices Effect of rise in price of steel: Outward shift in steel’s zero profit line (shift from E to F) Rental rate for K rises from r1 to r2 Wage rate for __________________________ r Analytical Application Effect of tariffs on ______________________ Effect of trade ________________ Zero profit line for clothing Zero profit line for steel r2 F E r1 w2 27 w1 w 28 7 NEXT: Empirical Evidence for Trade Models 29 30 8