Science Journal of Mathematics and Statistics ISSN: 2276-6324 Published By Science Journal Publication http://www.sjpub.org © Author(s) 2015. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Research Article International Open Access Publisher Volume 2015 (2015), Article ID: sjms-109, 15 Pages, doi: 10.7237/sjms/109 Some Statistical Analysis for Continuous – Time Stationary Processes with Missed Data Eman A. Farag1, 2 and Mohamed A. Ghazal3 1Statistical Department, Faculty of Science for Girls, King Abdulaziz University, P.O. Box 80200, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia 2Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science, Helwan University, Egypt E-mail: eamali@kau.edu.sa & eman_farage@yahoo.com 3Mathematics Department, Damietta Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Egypt Accepted on May 03, 2015 Abstract: In this paper, the statistical analysis for continuoustime stationary processes with missed data is presented. The statistics of this process are constructed. The asymptotic properties (first order, second order and k – th order cumulant) for this process are investigated. The asymptotic distribution for an estimate of the spectral density function is established if X a t observed 1 𝒅𝒂 (𝑡) = 0 otherwise (1.5) Keywords: Time series, asymptotic distribution, missed data, continuous time stationary process, spectral density function, normal distribution. Since 𝑃 {𝑑𝑎 (𝑡) = 1} = 𝑝𝑎 > 0, 𝑃 {𝑑𝑎 (𝑡) = 0} = 𝑞𝑎 , 𝑝𝑎 + 𝑞𝑎 = 1, 𝑎 = ̅̅̅̅̅ 1 , 𝑟 and (1.6) Introduction Several authors as e.g. Bloomfield (1970), Brillinger (1970), Marshal (1980) studied the asymptotic time series with missing observations. Ghazal (1999), Ghazal and Farag (1998a) and (1998b) studied the asymptotic time stationary processes with classical methods. Let 𝑋 𝑟 (𝑡) = {𝑋𝑎 (𝑡) , 𝑎 = ̅̅̅̅̅ 1 , 𝑟, 𝑡 𝜖 𝑹} be an r-dimensional continuous time stationary process with mean 𝑚𝑎 , 𝑎 = ̅̅̅̅̅ 1 , 𝑟 , 𝑅𝑎𝑎 (𝜏) , 𝜏 𝜖 𝑹 the continuous covariance function which is defined by 𝑹𝑎𝑎 (𝜏) = 𝐸{𝑋𝑎 (𝑡 + 𝜏) 𝑋𝑎 (𝑡)}= f a a exp i d ; t , R (1.1) R The paper is organized as follows: Estimation of the expectation and its asymptotic distribution is determined in Section 2. Section 3 contains the asymptotic distribution for continuous – time processes with missed data. 2. Estimation of the expectation and its asymptotic distribution and the spectral density function 𝑓𝑎𝑎 (𝜆), 𝜆 ∈ 𝑹, 𝒂 = ̅̅̅̅̅ 1 ,𝑟 which is given by We mention some results, which will be used to prove some theorems. 𝑓𝑎𝑎 (𝜆) = (2 𝜋)− 1 ∫𝑹 𝑅𝑎𝑎 (𝜏) 𝑒𝑥𝑝(− 𝑖 𝜆 𝜏) 𝑑𝜏, 𝜆 ∈ 𝑹 . (1.2) Theorem 2.1 For estimation𝑚 ̂𝑎 , which is defined by equation (1.3), then we has Consider the statistic: ̂𝒂 = 𝒎 𝑇 ∫ 𝑋 (𝑡) 𝑇 0 𝑎 1 𝑑𝑡, (1.3) Which is constructed by T, 𝑇 = [ 1 , ∞), 𝑋𝑎 (𝑡) is a sequence of observations on 𝑋 𝑟 (𝑡). Let 𝑌𝑎 (𝑡) = 𝑋𝑎 (𝑡) 𝑑𝑎 (𝑡), (1.4) is irregularly data on the stationary process 𝑌 𝑎= ̅̅̅̅̅ 1 , 𝑟 and 𝑑𝑎 (𝑡) is Bernoulli sequence of random variables, which satisfies 𝑟 (𝑡), 𝐸𝑚 ̂𝑎 = 𝑚𝑎 (2.1) 𝑇 𝑐𝑜𝑣{𝑚 ̂𝑎 , 𝑚 ̂𝑏 } = 2𝜋 ∫𝑹 𝑓𝑎𝑎 (𝑥) Φ 𝑇 (𝑥) 𝑑𝑥, Where Φ 𝑇 (𝑥) = (2 𝜋 𝑇)− 1 (2.3) 𝑠𝑖𝑛2 𝑥 𝑇 ⁄2 (𝑥⁄2)2 , (2.2) |Page2 𝑇 𝐷𝑚 ̂𝑎 = 2𝜋 ∫𝑹 𝑓𝑎𝑎 (𝑥) Φ 𝑇 (𝑥) 𝑑𝑥 , (2.4) g x T x dx g 0 g x g 0 Proof: Equation (2.1) comes directly by using formula (1.3). From equation (1.1), we get 𝑇 = 𝑇 −2 0 0 Since 𝑇 ∫0 𝑒𝑥𝑝(𝑖 𝑥 𝑡) 𝑑𝑡 = sin 𝑥 𝑇⁄2 𝑥⁄2 𝑒𝑥𝑝(𝑖 𝑥 𝑇⁄2), and by using formula (2.3), then equation (2.2) is obtained. Equation (2.4) comes directly by putting 𝑎 = 𝑏 in equation (2.2). Now, the proof of the theorem is completed. Now, theorem (2.2) below shall study the properties of the kernel Ψ 𝑇 (𝑥) on 𝑹, 𝑥 ∈ 𝑹 which is defined by: Ψ 𝑇 (𝑥) = (2 𝜋 𝑇)− 𝟏 | 𝑇 ∫0 𝑒𝑥𝑝(− 𝑖 𝑥 𝑡) 𝑑𝑡 | , 𝑇 = 1, 2, (2.5) Theorem 2.2 For any 𝑥 ∈ 𝑹, the function Ψ 𝑇 (𝑥) is the kernel on 𝑹 that satisfy the following properties ∞ (1) ∫− ∞ Ψ 𝑇 (𝑥) 𝑑𝑥 = 1, 𝑥 𝜖 𝑹. (2) −δ lim ∫ ΨT (x)dx 𝑇→∞ −∞ ∞ = lim ∫δ ΨT (x)dx = 0, for any 𝑇→∞ (2.7) 𝛿 >, 𝑥 ∈ 𝑹, (3) (2.6) δ lim ∫ ΨT (x)dx 𝑇→∞ −δ A2 = A1 A2 A3 . g x at x 0 , we get x dx . Then, A 2 T A2 is very small according any is very small. Then A2 0 . Suppose that g x , x R is bounded by Now, constant M, then according to formula (2.7), A1 2 M x dx 0 . T T Similarly, A3 T 0 . Therefore, g x x dx g 0 0 , T T this completes the proof of the theorem. Theorem 2.3 If the spectral function f a b x , x R , a , b 1, r is bounded and continuous at a point x 0 , (1) (2) Proof: The proof is omitted. Lemma 2.1 If the function 𝑔(𝑥), 𝑥 ∈ 𝑹 is bounded and continuous at a point 𝑥 = 0 and the function Ψ 𝑇 (𝑥), 𝑥 ∈ 𝑹 satisfies the properties of Theorem 2.2, then Proof: By using formula (2.6), we get T x dx then = 1, for all 𝛿 > 0,𝑥 ∈ 𝑹. ΨT (x)dx = g(0). g x g 0 Now, from continuity of (2.8) ∞ lim ∫ g(x) 𝑇→∞ −∞ T x dx 𝑇 ∫ 𝑓𝑎𝑏 (𝑥) {∫ 𝑒𝑥𝑝(𝑖 𝑥 𝑡1 ) 𝑑𝑡1 ∫ 𝑒𝑥𝑝(− 𝑖 𝑥 𝑡2 ) 𝑑𝑡2 } 𝑑𝑥 𝑹 T x dx 𝑐𝑜𝑣 (𝑚̂ ̂𝑏 ) 𝑎 ,𝑚 g x g 0 for all 𝑥 ∈ 𝑹 and 𝑎 , 𝑏 = ̅̅̅̅̅ 1 , 𝑟. (2.9) lim T cov m̂a , m̂b 2 f a b 0, a ,b 1 , r T lim T D m̂a 2 f a a 0, a 1 , r T (2.10) (2.11) Proof: The proof can be easily obtained by using lemma 2.1. Theorem 2.4 Let X r t X a t ,t R , a 1 , r , be r – dimensional continuous stationary process with mean zero. Then the statistic a T 1 T T X t dt , a (2.12) 0 is asymptotically normal distribution with mean zero and dispersion given by How to Cite this Article: Eman A. Farag and Mohamed A. Ghazal, "Some Statistical Analysis for Continuous – Time Stationary Processes with Missed Data", Science Journal Of Mathematics and Statistics, Volume 2015 (2015), Article ID: sjms-109, 4 Pages, doi: 10.7237/sjms |Page3 lim D a T 2 f a a 0 , a 1 , r . Then T Proof: We begin by noting that to the condition that E E T 0 according X a t 0 , a 1 , r . Next we note from formula (1.2) that cov a T , b T = Then 1 T T T f a b x expi x t 1 0 0 T 1 2 f a b x 2 T exp i x t1 dt1 0 T exp i x t 2 0 f a b x T x dx . lim D a T 2 f a a 0 , a 1 , r . 0 a1 ak 1 k T 2 ca1 ak t1 t k , ,t k 1 t k dt1 dtk T T 0 0 T T 0 T T k 2 ca1 ak u1 , ,u k 1 du1 duk 1 dt . T process equations (1.5) Ra a , R and is the d a t ,t R , a 1 , r satisfies (1.6), ma is the mean, covariance function and . (1) Ya t , t R , a 1 , r , then ma ma pa , (2) (3) p a Raa 0 ma2 p a q a Ra a p 2 R a aa f aa p f a a 2 2 a 1 if 0 if 0 (3.2) pa qa ma2 Ra a 0 (3.3) T Suppose the (1.4) where a sequence Putting t1 t k u1 , ,t k 1 t k u k 1 , then cum a1 T ,, ak T If (3.1) cum a1 T , , ak T = k 2 on the processes cum X t , , X t dt dt 0 3. Asymptotic distribution of stationary process with dt missed dx observations f aa , R , a 1 , r is the spectral density function cum a1 T , , ak T = 2 asymptotically X a ( t ) and Ya t , a 1 , r corresponding by equation T T is normal distribution with mean zero and dispersion given Lemma 3.1 Taking the limits on both sides and then by using lemma 2.1 and then putting a b , we get T a 0 equation (1.4). T X t dt T cov a T , b T 2 k a T T 1 Now, we will study the moments and the asymptotic distribution for Ya t , t R which is defined by . By using equation (2.5), then t 2 dt1 dt2 dx by 2 f a a 0 , which completes the proof. = Finally, 1 k cum a1 T , , ak T O T 2 T 0, for all k 2 . Proof: Formula (3.1) can be deduced from equation (1.4) and properties of d a t , a 1 , r . To prove formula (3.2), we get ca1 ak u1 , ,u k 1 du1 duk 1 , k 2 ,3 , Ra a E X a t X a ( t ) E d a t d a t E X a t E X a ( t ) E d a t E d a t . Since E X a t X b ( t ) Ra b ma2 , (3.4) How to Cite this Article: Eman A. Farag and Mohamed A. Ghazal, "Some Statistical Analysis for Continuous – Time Stationary Processes with Missed Data", Science Journal Of Mathematics and Statistics, Volume 2015 (2015), Article ID: sjms-109, 4 Pages, doi: 10.7237/sjms |Page4 Then E X a t X a t E d a t d a t E X a t E X a t Ra a E X t X t E d t d t m 2 p 2 a a a a a a By using equation (3.4) and properties of d a t , a we have 1,r , 2 a 1 0 1 D ma 2 T p f a a 2 1 t 2 dt1 dt2 T pa Now, we will study the limiting distribution for the statistic defined by (3.5). Let ma be defined by equation (3.5). If f a a is continuous at a point 0 and bounded on R then lim T D ma 2 f a a 0 pa2 Ra a 0 2 pa2 f aTa 1 pa q a Ra a 0 2 1 2 a m pa qa . Then equation (3.3) is obtained and then the proof is completed. Theorem 3.1 1 T pa 1 pa 2 ma q a f y dy aa (3.8) (3.7) as T Y t dt , . References 1. P. Bloomfield, Spectral analysis with random missed observations, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 32 (1970) 369 – 380. 2. D.R. Brillinger, Statistical inference for irregularly observed processes, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B 32 (1970) 93 – 114. 3. M.A. Ghazal, On spectral density estimate on non-crossed intervals observation, Int. J. Appl. Math. I (8) (1999) 875 – 882. 4. M.A. Ghazal and E.A. Farag, Estimation the spectral density; autocovariance function and spectral measure of continuous – time stationary, The Annual Conference ISSR, Cairo University, vol. 33, Part I,1998a, pp. 1-20. 5. M.A. Ghazal and E.A. Farag, Asymptotic distribution of spectral density estimate of continuous – time series on crossed intervals observation, The Egyptian Statistical Journal of ISSR, Cairo University, vol. 42, No. 2, 1998b, pp. 197 – 214. Let T a 0 (3.5) Then E ma ma , (3.6) 2 1 2 D ma f a a y dy ma q a T p a T where T aa 0 0 Ra a 0 ma2 qa Proof: The proof can be obtained directly from equation = 2 a , R t the spectral density 0 R exp i d = a a 2 1 pa Ra a 0 ma2 pa qa T T By using equation (1.1), then formula (3.7) is obtained and the proof is completed. Corollary 3.1 ma 0 0 . p a Ra a 0 ma2 p a q a p a2 Ra a exp i p a2 + E Ya t1 Ya t 2 E Ya t1 E Ya t 2 dt1 0 2 a Then formula (3.2) is obtained. Finally, from the definition of spectral density and equation (3.2), we get f aa 2 if 0 T T 1 D ma 2 2 T pa By using equations (1.4) and (3.2), we get Ra a 0 m p a m p , Ra a R m 2 p 2 m 2 p 2 , a a a a aa 2 a Proof: Formula (3.5) comes directly from equation (1.4). To formula (3.6), then by E dprove if using 0 equation (3.5) and a t E d a t , the definition of the dispersion to get (3.7) f a a y T y dy 6. R.J. Marshal, Autocorrelation estimation of time series with randomly missing observation, Biometrica 67 (1980) 557 – 570. y is defined by equation (2.3). How to Cite this Article: Eman A. Farag and Mohamed A. Ghazal, "Some Statistical Analysis for Continuous – Time Stationary Processes with Missed Data", Science Journal Of Mathematics and Statistics, Volume 2015 (2015), Article ID: sjms-109, 4 Pages, doi: 10.7237/sjms d