Rural Development Update:
The Role of Rural
Rebekka Dudensing, PhD
Community Economic Development
Food, water, & energy for 9 billion people by 2050.
http://grandchallenges.tamu.edu/home/
The Role of Rural
in Global Challenges
47% rural,
~45% farmers
19% rural, 2% farmers
The Role of Rural
in the Texas GDP
8.3% food & fiber
15.3% mining & utilities
Texas Agriculture
40,000,000.00
35,000,000.00
30,000,000.00
25,000,000.00
ALL CROPS TOTAL
20,000,000.00
ALL LIVESTOCK TOTAL
15,000,000.00
ALL AG CASH VALUE
REAL ALL AG CASH VALUE
10,000,000.00
5,000,000.00
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
1988
0.00
Texas Oil and Gas
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1960 1970 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Permits Issued
Total Wells Completed
1935
1937
1939
1941
1943
1945
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
Texas Oil and Gas
1,400,000
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
Crude Oil Production (in thousands of barrels (Mbbl)
Number of Producing Wells
Texas Oil and Gas
Shale Manufacturing 2008-2012
140.00%
120.00%
100.00%
Manufacturing
Employment
80.00%
60.00%
Manufacturing
Establishments
40.00%
20.00%
0.00%
-20.00%
-40.00%
Shale
Non-Shale
Core
Non-Core
Texas Oil and Gas
Shale Employment 2008-2012
70.00%
60.00%
50.00%
40.00%
Metropolitan
30.00%
20.00%
Micropolitan
10.00%
Rural
0.00%
-10.00%
Shale
% Shales
Employment
Core
Counties w
% Core
Growth
Employment
Job Losses
Counties w
Growth
Job Losses
Texas Oil and Gas
50,000,000,000
45,000,000,000
40,000,000,000
Gross Sales, $
35,000,000,000
30,000,000,000
Eagle Ford
25,000,000,000
Metro
20,000,000,000
Micro
Rural
15,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Rural Economic Outcomes
Gross Sales by City in Four Eagle Ford Counties
600000000
500000000
Nordheim 307
Runge 1080
Gross Sales ($)
400000000
Falls City 591
Goliad 1975
Yorktown 2092
300000000
Karnes City 3042
Yoakum 5815
200000000
Kenedy 3296
Cuero 6841
100000000
Beeville 12863
0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Drilling Permits
January-July, 2014
Based on data from Texas Railroad Commission.
Population Growth
2000-2010
Based on Census data.
Grand Challenges in Texas
Food
• Access
• Affordability
• Choices
Water
Energy
• Quantity
• Quality
• Economic/fiscal
• Environmental
• Availability
The Role of Rural
in Texas Challenges
Education, water, & energy for an older,
more diverse, poorer(?) 55M people.
The Role of Rural
•
•
•
•
Rural had better be at the table.
Planning for the future
Regional planning
Rural-urban collaboration
The Role of Rural
Thank you.
Rebekka Dudensing, PhD
Extension Economist – Community Economic Development
Department of Agricultural Economics
Tel. 979.845.1719
rmdudensing@tamu.edu
http://ruralcommunities.tamu.edu
Texas Oil and Gas
1,200,000,000.00
1,000,000,000.00
DeWitt, TX
800,000,000.00
Dimmit, TX
Duval, TX
600,000,000.00
Karnes, TX
Bee, TX
400,000,000.00
Maverick, TX
200,000,000.00
0.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cultivating Community Wealth